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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Monday, June 22, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 123
Headlines
D E N M A R K
WS AUDIOLOGY: Moody's Rates New Amended Sr. Secured Term Loan 'B3'
F R A N C E
CONSTELLIUM SE: S&P Affirms 'BB-' ICR & Alters Outlook to Positive
LYNXEO HOLDING: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
I R E L A N D
ARBOUR CLO III: S&P Assigns Prelim. B- Rating on F-R-R Notes
ARBOUR CLO XVI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
CVC CORDATUS XXXI: S&P Affirms B-(sf) Rating on Class F-2 Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 6: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Class F Notes
I T A L Y
RINO MASTROTTO: Fitch Lowers LongTerm IDR to 'B', Outlook Negative
L U X E M B O U R G
MELLENU HOLDING: Moody's Assigns First Time B2 Corp. Family Rating
MONITCHEM HOLDCO 3: S&P Rates New EUR600MM Secured Notes 'B-'
N E T H E R L A N D S
HOUSE OF HR: S&P Lowers ICR to 'B-' on Prolonged Market Weakness
R U S S I A
NAVOIYURAN: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'BB' IDR to Positive
S W E D E N
INTRUM AB: Moody's Upgrades CFR to B3 & Alters Outlook to Stable
QUIMPER AB: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B+' LongTerm IDR to Stable
QUIMPER AB: Moody's Affirms 'B1' CFR & Alters Outlook to Negative
T U R K E Y
ISTANBUL METROPOLITAN: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDRs, Outlook Stable
MERSIN METROPOLITAN: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDRs, Outlook Stable
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' IDR, Outlook Stable
BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING: S&P Affirms BB+ ICR & Alters Outlook to Neg.
BROOKING HIRE: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
CD&R FIREFLY: Moody's Rates Amended & Extended Loans 'B2'
DRAX GROUP: S&P Affirms 'BB+' ICR & Alters Outlook to Stable
ENQUEST PLC: Moody's Puts 'B3' CFR on Review for Upgrade
EV METALS: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
GRADEWELL PLANT: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
HOPS HILL 6: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
INNOVARO TECHNOLOGY: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
LANDMARK MORTGAGE 3: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on D Notes
MUNIHIRE OPERATED: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
PEARL BRIDGING: S&W Partners Appointed as Joint Administrators
PIERPONT BTL 2021-1: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on E-Dfrd Notes
RAY ACQUISITION: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B2' CFR to Negative
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D E N M A R K
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WS AUDIOLOGY: Moody's Rates New Amended Sr. Secured Term Loan 'B3'
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Moody's Ratings has assigned B3 ratings to the proposed amended and
extended senior secured term loan B and the senior secured
revolving credit facility (RCF) due in 2032 and 2031, respectively
and borrowed by WS Audiology A/S (WSA or the company).
WSA's B3 long-term corporate family rating (CFR), the B3-PD
probability of default rating (PDR) are unaffected. The positive
outlook is also unaffected.
The proposed transaction seeks to refinance the existing
EUR-denominated Facility B7 (EUR1,900 million) and USD-denominated
Facility B9 ($1,074.17 million), to repay outstanding drawings
under the existing RCF, and to extend the maturity of all senior
secured facilities by three years (RCF maturity from 2028 to 2031,
and term loan maturities from 2029 to 2032). The new term loans are
also expected to be upsized by up to EUR100 million in aggregate,
with the proceeds primarily used to repay RCF drawings and add a
marginal amount of cash to balance sheet.
Overall, Moody's views the transaction as broadly leverage-neutral,
while materially extending the group's debt maturity profile.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The B3 CFR of WSA reflects the company's prominent position in the
global hearing aid market; its operations in a low-cyclical demand
industry with steady growth; its strong diversification across
geographies, with presence in all continents; its various
distribution channels to end users, including retail chains,
independent dispensers and public sector bodies; and its
diversified brand portfolio, with a wide range of technologies.
Concurrently, WSA's rating is constrained by its still-weak credit
metrics. The company's leverage, measured as its Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA, remains high at 6.4x as of the end of March 2026, but
is expected to trend towards 6x over the next 12 months. The rating
also incorporates the risks associated with technological
advancements, pricing competition, and the risk of debt-funded
acquisitions, which could delay leverage reduction.
LIQUIDITY
WSA's liquidity is good. As of March 31, 2026, it had EUR110
million in cash and EUR250 million available under the EUR350
million revolving credit facility (RCF). Over the next 12-18
months, Moody's forecasts annual FCF generation in the EUR50
million - EUR100 million range, driven by EBITDA growth and lower
interest costs. The RCF includes a springing secured net leverage
covenant set at 9.17x, tested only when the RCF is drawn above 40%.
Moody's estimates sufficient capacity in the covenant in case the
RCF is used.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The new senior secured term loans and the senior secured RCF are
rated B3, in line with the CFR. The B3-PD probability of default
rating, in line with the B3 CFR, reflects Moody's 50% family
recovery assumption. The instruments share the same security
package, rank pari passu and are guaranteed by a group of companies
representing at least 80% of the consolidated group's EBITDA. The
security package, consisting of shares, bank accounts and
intragroup receivables, is considered limited.
COVENANTS
Moody's have reviewed the marketing draft terms for the new credit
facilities. Notable terms include the following:
Guarantor coverage will be at least 80% of consolidated EBITDA
(determined in accordance with the agreement) and include all
wholly-owned group companies representing 5% or more of
consolidated EBITDA.
Security will be granted over material intercompany receivables of
the Parent and each Obligor, shares in each Obligor and companies
holding material intellectual property, and material bank accounts,
and floating charges where available, other than in Denmark.
Unlimited senior secured debt is up to senior secured net leverage
ratio of 5.25x, and total debt subject to a fixed charge coverage
ratio (FCCR) of 2.00x. Unlimited restricted payments are permitted
subject to a net leverage ratio of 5.00x. Repayment of asset sale
proceeds is not subject to a leverage test.
Adjustments to consolidated EBITDA include anticipated cost
savings, expense reductions and synergies reasonably expected to
occur within 18 months, capped at 25% of EBITDA.
RATIONALE FOR POSITIVE OUTLOOK
The positive outlook reflects the improvement Moody's expects in
the company's key credit metrics over the next 12 months. This
improvement is likely to be driven by cost-improvement initiatives
and continued revenue growth (in mid-single-digit percentages),
with leverage declining towards 6x, free cash flow (FCF)/debt
increasing towards 5% and the interest cover ratio improving
towards 2x over the next 12 months.
Moody's could change the outlook to stable from positive if the
company fails to deliver on its business plan objectives over the
next 12 months, including steady margin improvements, leverage
reduction, positive FCF and enhanced interest coverage.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Moody's could upgrade WSA's rating if the company maintains its
leading market position and improves its credit metrics, with its
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA decreasing to below 6.0x,
Moody's-adjusted EBITA/interest expense improving above 2.0x and
Moody's-adjusted FCF/debt improving to more than 5%, all on a
sustained basis.
Downward rating pressure could materialize if WSA experiences a
decline in its market position or fails to maintain its
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA below 7.0x on a sustained basis; its
Moody's-adjusted EBITA/interest does not improve above 1.25x; it
generates negative FCF; or it experiences a deterioration in
liquidity.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Medical
Products and Devices published in October 2025.
COMPANY PROFILE
WS Audiology A/S (WSA) is among the global leaders in the hearing
aid industry and operates in more than 125 countries. The company
is privately owned by the Tøpholm and Westermann families, the
Lundbeck Foundation, EQT-managed funds and Athos KG, a German
healthcare-focused single family office that joined WSA as a
minority shareholder in April 2025. As of the last 12 months that
ended March 2026, WSA generated EUR2,499 million in revenue and
EUR437 million in company-reported EBITDA.
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F R A N C E
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CONSTELLIUM SE: S&P Affirms 'BB-' ICR & Alters Outlook to Positive
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S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on aluminum company
Constellium SE to positive from stable and affirmed the 'BB-'
long-term issuer credit rating.
The positive outlook reflects potential rating upside in the coming
12 months as Constellium continues to deliver on its guidance and
build headroom under its financial policy.
Recently Constellium revised up its guidance for 2026, and affirmed
the execution of its "Vision 2028" program.
In S&P's view, structural changes in the aluminum market in the
U.S. and the resilient demand in the aerospace and packaging
sectors are here to stay, leading it to revise up its
over-the-cycle EBITDA for Constellium to about $850 million.
Although EBITDA remains the main driver for the improvement in the
company's credit metrics, the company will use some of its free
cash flows to reduce its gross debt as announced during first
quarter earnings.
Management revised its 2026 guidance upward following a
stronger-than-expected start to the year. It now expects segment
adjusted EBITDA of $900 million-$940 million, excluding the
non-cash impact of metal price lag, and free operating cash flow
(FOCF) in excess of $275 million. The improved guidance reflects:
-- Continued strength in aerospace demand supported by record
aircraft backlogs and rising production rates,
-- Favorable market conditions for North American automotive
rolled products amid ongoing supply shortages,
-- Resilient packaging demand, and
-- Continued execution of operational improvement initiatives
under the Vision 2028 program.
S&P said, "We also believe the North American aluminum market has
become structurally more supportive. This is reflected by the
current elevated U.S. Midwest Aluminum Premium, constrained supply
of automotive rolled products, and favorable scrap spreads
supporting earnings resilience. These factors contributed to a
record underlying EBITDA of $262 million, this single quarter
result is equivalent to close to 50% of the full-year 2024
underlying EBITDA of $569 million. We forecast S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA of about $850 million in 2026 and exceeding
$920 million in 2027."
Strong aerospace demand and favorable positioning in higher-value
applications support improved earnings visibility. The aerospace
and transportation segment remains the main driver of earnings
growth. Constellium benefits from longstanding relationships with
major aerospace customers, including Airbus, and participates in
highly engineered applications that command attractive margins.
Management continues to report robust demand across aerospace
applications, supported by large commercial aircraft production
backlogs and gradually improving supply-chain conditions. S&P
expects aerospace volumes to continue increasing over the next
several years as aircraft manufacturers gradually raise production
rates. The company also benefits from long-term contractual
relationships and proprietary products across aerospace, defense,
space, and other specialized applications, providing good earnings
visibility. In packaging and automotive rolled products,
Constellium continues to benefit from a favorable product mix,
resilient packaging demand, and ongoing shortages of automotive
body sheet in North America. In the automotive segment, while
facing competition from lower-cost producers, Constellium benefits
from the transition toward fuel efficiency and the potential for
growth in the electric vehicle (EV) space via new battery foil
projects. Overall, the company's long-term contract structures
(five to seven years in automotive) and energy cost hedging provide
good visibility on earnings. Additionally, while European
automotive markets remain challenged, North American conditions
remain supportive and provide a meaningful earnings contribution.
S&P said, "We expect Constellium to maintain a disciplined
financial policy that balances shareholder returns, growth
investments, and continued deleveraging. We forecast S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted leverage will decline to approximately 3.0x in
2026 and 2.5x in 2027, supported by stronger earnings and adjusted
FOCF generation of approximately $313 million in 2026, compared
with $124 million in 2025, with further improvement expected in
2027. In our view, structural improvements in the company's
earnings profile have increased its through-cycle EBITDA potential
to approximately $850 million, which should be sufficient to
maintain leverage within management's stated financial policy range
of company-defined leverage of 1.5x-2.5x (which more or less
translates to our adjusted leverage of 2.5x-3.5x). Additionally, we
expect the company to use a portion of its internally generated
cash flow to reduce gross debt, while retaining sufficient
financial flexibility to fund strategic growth investments and
shareholder distributions. As a result, we believe Constellium has
developed greater headroom through the cycle under both its
financial policy and our rating sensitivities."
The positive outlook reflects the company's ability to leverage the
favorable market condition and accelerate the de-risking trajectory
of the company's balance sheet.
S&P said, "Under our base case, we forecast an adjusted EBITDA of
about $900 million in 2026, and over $1 billion in 2027. According
to our calculation this would bring the company's adjusted debt to
EBITDA close to 3.0x (about 2.0x according to the company's
definition).
"We would revise the outlook back to stable, if the company's
deleveraging momentum stalls or if the credit profile fails to
demonstrate a clear path toward the 3.0x leverage threshold over
the cycle." For example:
-- A change in the company's capital allocation, with higher
spending on capex or returns to shareholders, while prolonging the
deleveraging journey.
-- A sharp reduction in demand from key end markets (aerospace,
packaging, industrial) or significant shifts in the U.S.
trade/tariff landscape negatively impact shipment volumes and
revenue visibility.
S&P said, "We see potential for a higher rating as unlikely in the
next 12 months. Over time, we could raise the rating by one notch
if we believe Constellium can keep adjusted debt to EBITDA below
3.0x over the cycle. According to our calculations, such a scenario
could be supported by adjusted EBITDA of about EUR850 million under
normalized EBITDA and reported net debt of about EUR1.7 billion.
"We could raise the rating over the next 12-18 months if
Constellium meets the EBITDA for 2026, and is on track to report
EBITDA of about $1 billion, supporting deleveraging with EBITDA
positioned close to 2.5x (or better) at this current market
conditions, or about 3.0x over the cycle."
LYNXEO HOLDING: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
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Moody's Ratings has affirmed the B2 Corporate Family Rating and the
B2-PD probability of default rating of Lynxeo Holding SAS (Lynxeo
or the company, formerly known as Financière Volta II SAS).
Concurrently, Moody's also affirmed the B2 instrument rating of the
EUR320 million senior secured term loan B (TLB) maturing in 2032
and the EUR70 million senior secured revolving credit facility
(RCF) maturing in 2031, borrowed by Lynxeo Participations (formerly
Financière Volta SAS). The outlook on both entities remains
stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
2025 was a year of consolidation for Lynxeo. The rating affirmation
takes into account the solid performance the company showed in
2025. Based on proforma data Moody's calculates an EBITA margin of
10.9%, leverage of 4.5x debt/EBITDA, interest cover of 3.0x EBITA /
Interest expense and FCF / Debt of 4.2%, Moody's adjusted, credit
metrics at the upper under of Moody's expectations for a B2 rating
of Lynxeo.
The B2 CFR takes comfort from (i) Lynxeo's established market
position in selected niches of the industrial cables market, (ii)
the mission critical nature of its products which is reflected in
long-term customer relationships and which leads to customers
stickiness, (iii) limited capital expenditures requirements over
the next three years reflecting a well invested asset base, (iv)
good diversification in terms of industries and geographies, (v)
good revenue visibility from long-term frame contracts with blue
chip customers and project business which support revenue planning
and (vi) a leverage of 4.5x (Moody's-adjusted, calculated on
pro-forma data for 2025), which is relatively moderate for a B2
rated manufacturing company.
The positive factors are balanced by (i) high customer
concentration with top ten customers accounting for c. 40% of
revenue, (ii) a fragmented market landscape, (iii) the lack of
track record operating as a standalone business and limited
historical data given the recent carveout from Nexans, (iv) free
cash flow generation to be constrained by an increase in working
capital reflecting Moody's assumption of a mid-single digit average
revenue growth over the next three years, and (v) exposure to
copper prices, albeit mitigated by contractual pass-through
mechanisms and immediate hedging of open positions with a small
core copper inventory exposure.
OUTLOOK
The CFR is strongly positioned within the B2 rating category. The
stable outlook balances the established position Lynxeo holds in
the specialty cables market against the challenges of operating as
a standalone business following the carve-out from Nexans and
requirement to build a track record of positive FCF.
LIQUIDITY
Lynxeo's liquidity is adequate. With EUR40 million starting cash in
Q1 2026 and funds from operations of around EUR55-60 million,
moderate positive free cash flow generation on an annual basis
projected for the period 2026-2027, and EUR48 million availability
under its EUR70 million RCF which represents c. 9% of annual
revenue, Lynxeo's liquidity sources are sufficient to cover
expected liquidity needs over the next 12-18 months. However, in
case of EBITDA pressure or higher working capital swings the
company will need to tap into its external sources to manage its
liquidity. Over the next 12 months Moody's estimates additional
EUR22 million of working cash needs and around EUR20 million
working capital outflow.
The company is expected to remain in compliance with sufficient
headroom on its Total Net Leverage Ratio covenant, which is tested
at 5.5x until Dec-26, at 5.0x until Dec-27, and at 4.5x following
that period.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
An upgrade would be considered in case of successful execution of
the post carve-out business plan, which targets further growth of
the business via product innovation, customer wins, geographic
expansion and capabilities expansion, evidenced by maintaining good
liquidity and credit metrics (on a Moody's-adjusted basis)
sustainably
-- Debt / EBITDA below 4.5x
-- FCF / Debt > 5% and
-- EBITA / Interest expense > 3.25x
Likewise, the rating would come under pressure if the expected
further strengthening of the business cannot be achieved as
indicated by
-- Debt / EBITDA increasing above 5.5x
-- EBITA / Interest expense decreasing to below 2.25x or
-- FCF / Debt maintained at low single digits
Likewise, a weakening liquidity profile or an aggressive financial
policy could trigger a negative rating action.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Manufacturing
published in September 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
Lynxeo is a fully integrated player in the specialty industrial
cables market. The company, which generated EUR696 million standard
revenue and reported EUR82.5 million standalone EBITDA for 2024,
serves a diversified range of critical infrastructure industries,
including rolling stock, railways, shipbuilding, automation, wind
turbines, aerospace, medical, solar and nuclear. Lynxeo has a
global manufacturing footprint across Europe, South Korea, China,
and Morocco, with a nascent presence in the United States.
Lynxeo is wholly owned by Latour Capital, a French private equity
sponsor focused on transformation and sustainable growth, with a
track record of majority investments in industrial SMEs in France
and abroad, including several carve-outs.
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I R E L A N D
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ARBOUR CLO III: S&P Assigns Prelim. B- Rating on F-R-R Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary credit ratings to
Arbour CLO III DAC's class X, A-R-R, B-R-R, C-R-R, D-R-R, E-R-R,
and F-R-R notes. At closing, the issuer will have unrated
subordinated notes outstanding from the existing transaction and
will issue additional subordinated notes.
The reinvestment period will be approximately 4.6 years, while the
noncall period will be 1.5 years after closing.
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless there is a frequency switch event. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payment.
The preliminary ratings assigned to the notes reflect S&P'
assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which S&P expects to be
bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which S&P expects to be
in line with its counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,674.61
Default rate dispersion 670.50
Weighted-average life (years) 3.89
Obligor diversity measure 135.84
Industry diversity measure 22.71
Regional diversity measure 1.33
Weighted-average life (years) extended
to cover the length of the reinvestment period 4.61
Transaction key metrics
Total par amount (mil. EUR) 400
Defaulted assets (mil. EUR) 0
Number of performing obligors 176
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.77
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 35.38%
Actual weighted-average spread net of floors (%) 3.66
Actual weighted-average coupon (%) 3.09
Rationale
S&P said, "Our preliminary ratings reflect our assessment of the
collateral portfolio's credit quality, which has a weighted-average
rating of 'B'.
"The portfolio is well diversified, primarily comprising broadly
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and bonds.
Therefore, we conducted our credit and cash flow analysis by
applying our criteria for corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR400.00 million target
par amount, the actual weighted-average spread of 3.66%, the actual
weighted-average coupon of 3.09%, and the target weighted-average
recovery rate. We applied various cash flow stress scenarios, using
four different default patterns, in conjunction with different
interest rate stress scenarios for each liability rating category.
"At closing, we expect the transaction's documented counterparty
replacement and remedy mechanisms to adequately mitigate its
exposure to counterparty risk under our current counterparty
criteria.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, the
transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently mitigated at
the assigned preliminary ratings.
"We expect the transaction's legal structure and framework to be
bankruptcy remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class B-R-R to D-R-R notes could
withstand stresses commensurate with higher ratings than those
assigned. However, as the CLO will be in its reinvestment phase
starting from the effective date, during which the transaction's
credit risk profile could deteriorate, we have capped our
preliminary ratings assigned to the notes."
The class X, A-R-R, E-R-R, and F-R-R notes can withstand stresses
commensurate with the assigned preliminary ratings.
S&P said, "Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow,
counterparty, operational, and legal risks, we believe that our
preliminary ratings are commensurate with the available credit
enhancement for all rated classes of notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, we have also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on the class X to E-R-R notes, based on
four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-R-R notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P regards the exposure to environmental, social, and governance
(ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly in line
with its benchmark for the sector.
Primarily due to the diversity of the assets within CLOs, the
exposure to environmental credit factors is viewed as below
average, social credit factors are below average, and governance
credit factors are average.
For this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being
related to certain activities. Accordingly, since the exclusion of
assets from these industries does not result in material
differences between the transaction and S&P's ESG benchmark for the
sector, no specific adjustments have been made in its rating
analysis to account for any ESG-related risks or opportunities.
Arbour CLO III DAC is a European cash flow CLO securitization of a
revolving pool, comprising euro-denominated senior secured loans
and bonds issued mainly by speculative-grade borrowers. The
transaction will be managed by Oaktree Capital Management (UK)
LLP.
Ratings
Prelim Prelim amount Credit
Class rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
X AAA (sf) 3.000 N/A Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 0.90%
A-R-R AAA (sf) 244.000 39.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.27%
B-R-R AA (sf) 46.000 27.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.80%
C-R-R A (sf) 24.000 21.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.00%
D-R-R BBB- (sf) 29.200 14.20 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 3.00%
E-R-R BB- (sf) 18.800 9.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 5.70%
F-R-R B- (sf) 12.000 6.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 8.90%
Additional
sub. notes NR 47.200 N/A N/A
Subordinated
Notes NR 49.366 N/A N/A
*The preliminary ratings assigned to the class X, A-R-R, and B-R-R
notes address timely interest and ultimate principal payments.
S&P's preliminary ratings address ultimate interest and principal
payments on the rest of the other rated notes.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
ARBOUR CLO XVI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned Arbour CLO XVI DAC final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating
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Arbour CLO XVI DAC
A XS3334177741 LT AAAsf New Rating
B XS3334177824 LT AAsf New Rating
C XS3334178046 LT Asf New Rating
D XS3334178129 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E XS3334178392 LT BB-sf New Rating
F XS3334178475 LT B-sf New Rating
M XS3334178558 LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3334178632 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Arbour CLO XVI DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans, first-lien last-out loans and
high-yield bonds. Note proceeds were used to fund a portfolio with
a target par of EUR400 million. The portfolio is managed by Oaktree
Capital Management (UK) LLP. The collateralised loan obligation
(CLO) has a 4.6-year reinvestment period and an 8.5-year
weighted-average life (WAL) test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors to be in the 'B'' category. The
Fitch weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the identified
portfolio is 23.9.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 65.6%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes six
matrices, all corresponding to a top 10 obligor concentration limit
at 20%. Two matrices are effective at closing and correspond to two
fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 12.5%, and an 8.5-year WAL test.
The other four matrices can be selected by the manager any time
between 12 months and 18 months after closing and correspond to the
same two fixed-rate asset limits and 7.5 year and seven- year WAL
tests.
The transaction includes various concentration limits, including a
maximum exposure to the three largest (Fitch-defined) industries in
the portfolio at 40%. These covenants ensure that the asset
portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has an
approximately 4.6-year reinvestment period and includes
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
test covenant at the issue date to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after its
reinvestment period. These conditions include passing the coverage
tests, the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test and a WAL test
covenant that gradually steps down, before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A to E notes and would
lead to downgrades below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B
notes have a rating cushion of two, the class C and D notes each
have a cushion of four notches, while the class E and F notes each
have a cushion of five notches, due to the better metrics and
shorter life of the identified portfolio than the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, The class A notes are at the highest achievable rating
and therefore have no rating cushion.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to two
notches each for the class A and C notes, three notches each for
the class B and D notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class E and F
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to an
upgrade of up to five notches each for the rated notes, except for
the 'AAAsf' notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test covenant,
allowing the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Arbour CLO XVI
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CVC CORDATUS XXXI: S&P Affirms B-(sf) Rating on Class F-2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'AAA (sf)' credit rating to CVC
Cordatus Loan Fund XXXI DAC's class A-R notes. At the same time,
S&P affirmed its ratings on the existing class B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R,
D-R, E-R, F-1-R, and F-2 notes and withdrew its rating on the
original class A. At closing, the issuer had unrated subordinated
notes outstanding from the existing transaction.
The replacement notes are largely subject to the same terms and
conditions as the original notes, except that the replacement notes
will have a lower spread over EURIBOR.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,740.60
Default rate dispersion 614.93
Weighted-average life (years) 4.58
Obligor diversity measure 133.82
Industry diversity measure 20.35
Regional diversity measure 1.18
Transaction key metrics
Total par amount (mil. EUR) 440
Defaulted assets (mil. EUR) 0
Number of performing obligors 175
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 3.68
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 35.15
Actual weighted-average spread net of floors (%) 3.64
Actual weighted-average coupon (%) 4.47
Rating rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period will end on Dec. 15, 2028.
The portfolio is well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and senior
secured bonds. Therefore, S&P has conducted its credit and cash
flow analysis by applying its criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
S&P said, "In our cash flow analysis, we used a EUR437.02 million
adjusted target par collateral principal amount, derived by adding
a EUR16.99 million portion of unused principal proceeds from the
aggregate principal balance. This is lower than the target par
amount of EUR440.0 million.
"We used the portfolio's actual weighted-average spread (3.64%),
actual weighted-average coupon (4.47%), and the actual portfolio
weighted-average recovery rates for all rated notes.
"We applied various cash flow stress scenarios, using four
different default patterns, in conjunction with different interest
rate stress scenarios for each liability rating category.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, the
transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently mitigated at
the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates the available credit
enhancement for the class B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R notes
could withstand stresses commensurate with higher ratings than
those assigned. However, as the CLO is still in its reinvestment
phase, during which the transaction's credit risk profile could
deteriorate, we capped our assigned ratings on these refinanced
notes.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis for the class A-R and F-1-R
notes indicates that the available credit enhancement could
withstand stresses commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"The class F-2 notes' current break-even default rate (BDR) cushion
is negative at the 'B-' rating level. Based on the portfolio's
actual characteristics and additional overlaying factors, including
our long-term corporate default rates and recent economic outlook,
we believe this class can sustain a steady-state scenario, in
accordance with our criteria." S&P's analysis reflects several
factors, including:
-- The class F-2 notes' available credit enhancement is in the
same range as that of other CLOs S&P has rated and that has
recently been issued in Europe.
-- S&P's BDR at the 'B-' rating level is 22.33% versus a portfolio
default rate of 14.66% if it was to consider a long-term
sustainable default rate of 3.2% for a portfolio with a
weighted-average life of 4.58 years.
-- Whether the tranche is vulnerable to nonpayment in the near
future.
-- If there is a one-in-two chance of this tranche defaulting.
-- If S&P envisions this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following this analysis, we consider the available
credit enhancement for the class F-2 notes to be commensurate with
a 'B- (sf)' rating.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-R to F-2 notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-R to F-1-R notes based on
four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-2 notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit or limit assets from being
related to certain industries. Since the exclusion of assets from
these industries does not result in material differences between
the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
CVC Cordatus Loan Fund XXXI DAC securitizes a portfolio of
primarily senior secured leveraged loans and bonds. CVC Credit
Partners Investment Management Ltd. manages the transaction.
Ratings assigned
Replacement Original
Notes notes
Amount interest interest Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) rate§ rate enhancement(%)
A-R AAA (sf) 268.40 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 1.22% + 1.47% 38.58
Ratings affirmed
Amount
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) Notes' interest rate§
B-1-R AA (sf) 45.00 Three-month EURIBOR + 1.75%
B-2-R AA (sf) 10.00 4.50%
C-R A (sf) 24.20 Three-month EURIBOR + 2.10%
D-R BBB- (sf) 30.80 Three-month EURIBOR + 3.00%
E-R BB- (sf) 17.60 Three-month EURIBOR + 5.55%
F-1-R B+ (sf) 5.50 Three-month EURIBOR + 7.45%
F-2 B- (sf) 8.80 Three-month EURIBOR + 8.65%
*The ratings assigned or affirmed (as applicable) to the class A-R,
B-1-R, and B-2-R notes address timely interest and ultimate
principal payments. The ratings on the class C-R, D-R, E-R, F-1-R,
and F-2 notes address ultimate interest and principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 6: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Class F Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers Euro CLO 6 DAC's class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and
F-R notes. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A, B-1, B-2, C, D, E, and F notes. At closing, the
issuer had unrated subordinated notes outstanding from the existing
transaction.
On June 15, 2026, Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers Euro CLO 6
refinanced the existing class A, B-1, B-2, C, D, E, and F notes
(originally issued in June 2024) through an optional redemption and
issued replacement notes of the same notional. To account for the
difference in Euro Interbank Offered Rate (EURIBOR) rates at
pricing and settlement, the original interest rates on the
refinanced notes were adjusted such that the accrued interest
amounts remain the same for each class of refinanced notes, and
noteholders are paid in full. S&P withdrew its ratings on these
classes of notes.
The replacement notes are largely subject to the same terms and
conditions as the original notes, except that the replacement notes
will have a lower spread over EURIBOR than the original notes.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,712.41
Default rate dispersion 574.79
Weighted-average life (years) 4.79
Obligor diversity measure 153.96
Industry diversity measure 24.18
Regional diversity measure 1.30
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.76
Actual 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 37.21
Actual weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.56
Actual weighted-average coupon (%) 5.48
Rating rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period will end on Jan. 15, 2029.
S&P said, "The portfolio is well diversified at closing, primarily
comprising broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term
loans and senior secured bonds. Therefore, we conducted our credit
and cash flow analysis by applying our criteria for corporate cash
flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we modelled a par amount of EUR298.54
million, which is lower than the target par amount of EUR300.00
million. At closing, the portfolio is below par, the collateral
principal amount used in our cash flow analysis is adjusted further
down by the presence of negative cash.
"We used the portfolio's actual weighted-average spread (3.56%),
actual weighted-average coupon (5.48%), and the actual portfolio
weighted-average recovery rates for all rated notes.
"We applied various cash flow stress scenarios, using four
different default patterns, in conjunction with different interest
rate stress scenarios for each liability rating category.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our counterparty criteria.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
that the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class B-R to E-R notes could withstand
stresses commensurate with higher ratings than those assigned.
However, as the CLO is still in its reinvestment phase, during
which the transaction's credit risk profile could deteriorate, we
capped our assigned ratings on these refinanced notes.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class A-R note could withstand stresses
commensurate with the assigned ratings."
"The class F-R notes' current break-even default rate (BDR) cushion
is negative at the 'B-' rating level. Based on the portfolio's
actual characteristics and additional overlaying factors, including
our long-term corporate default rates and recent economic outlook,
we believe this class can sustain a steady-state scenario, in
accordance with our criteria." S&P's analysis reflects several
factors, including:
-- The class F-R notes' available credit enhancement is in the
same range as that of other CLOs we have rated and that have
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs
-- S&P said, "Our model generated break-even default rate at the
'B-' rating level is 24.21%, versus a portfolio default rate of
15.33% if we were to consider a long-term sustainable default rate
of 3.20% for a portfolio with a weighted-average life of 4.79
years."
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following this analysis, we consider that the available
credit enhancement for the class F-R notes is commensurate with a
'B- (sf)' rating.
"Considering our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-R to F-R notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-R to E-R notes based on
four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-R notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit or limit assets from being
related to certain industries. Since the exclusion of assets from
these industries does not result in material differences between
the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings assigned
Replacement Original
Notes notes
Amount interest interest Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) rate§ rate enhancement(%)
A-R AAA (sf) 183.00 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 1.21% + 1.47% 38.70
B-R AA (sf) 38.10 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 1.76% B-1: + 2.10%
B-2: 5.75% 25.94
C-R A (sf) 16.80 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 1.95% 2.60% 20.31
D-R BBB- (sf) 21.00 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 2.80% + 3.75% 13.28
E-R BB- (sf) 13.50 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 5.60% + 6.67% 8.75
F-R B- (sf) 8.10 Three-month Three-month
EURIBOR EURIBOR
+ 8.50% + 8.20% 6.04
*The ratings assigned to the class A-R and B-R notes address timely
interest and ultimate principal payments. The ratings assigned to
the class C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes address ultimate interest
and principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
RINO MASTROTTO: Fitch Lowers LongTerm IDR to 'B', Outlook Negative
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded Rino Mastrotto Group S.p.A.'s (RMG)
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'B' from 'B+'. The Outlook
is Negative. Fitch has also downgraded its senior secured EUR320
million senior secured notes (SSN) to 'B+' from 'BB-'. Its Recovery
Rating remains at 'RR3'.
The downgrade reflects a sharp increase in RMG's leverage following
weak operating performance in 2025, which alongside increased
operating costs, resulted in lower EBITDA margin and limited
visibility over its return to historical levels.
The Negative Outlook reflects its expectations that Fitch-adjusted
EBITDA gross leverage will remain stretched at above 5.5x in
2026-2027, before gradually restoring headroom from 2028. Fitch
expects deleveraging to be supported by sales growth as end-market
recover - albeit subject to execution risk - and margin to
gradually improve on cost savings.
The rating is supported by RMG's resilient business model, albeit
of moderate scale, and by neutral to positive free cash flow
(FCF).
Key Rating Drivers
Rise in Leverage: Fitch forecasts RMG's EBITDA leverage at 6.3x in
2026 and 5.9x in 2027, versus previous forecasts of 5.4x and 4.9x,
respectively. This revised leverage trajectory is no longer
consistent with a 'B+' rating and has led to the downgrade. Fitch
expects limited headroom, with EBITDA leverage falling below the
negative sensitivity of 5.5x only in 2028. The stretched leverage
in the next two years reflects its expectations of only gradual
growth in EBITDA, driven by low-to mid-single digit revenue growth
and only partial recovery of its operating margin.
Lower Profitability: RMG underperformed its 2025 forecasts, with
EBITDA margin declining to 14.7% (2024: 18.3%). The weaker
performance reflects softer demand across all segments due to weak
end-market conditions, exacerbated by the phase-out of legacy
contracts in the automotive business line. Revenue increase driven
by its Prada partnership announced in June 2025 and its positive
impact on gross margin were not sufficient to fully offset the
pressure on profitability from higher labour and manufacturing
costs.
Fitch assumes EBITDA margin to remain under pressure at 14.4% in
2026, with only a modest recovery supported by gradual improvement
in the sales mix and market recovery, procurement efficiencies and
contribution from new contracts in the automotive segment. Fitch
expects the margin to gradually recover towards 15.5% by 2028,
still below the 17%-18% reported in 2024-2025.
Backlog Supports Modest 2026 Growth: Fitch expects a gradual
improvement in total sales volumes in 2026, driven by 3% organic
growth in the luxury creations segment on the back of a growing
order backlog, as well as synergies and new client additions
following Prada's 10% acquisition of RMG. Fitch expects 2% revenue
growth in the automotive division, driven by multi-year contracts
signed in 2025, which will improve revenue visibility. Delays in
deliveries to customers or cancellations in the orderbook may
pressure sales volumes, reflecting its exposure to cyclical
conditions in the auto industry and dependence on original
equipment manufacturer (OEM) sell-through.
Positive FCF: Fitch projects positive free cash flow (FCF),
supported by normalising capex in 2026-2029, following large
investments in production facilities in 2023-2025, and by the
company's strategy to reduce working capital requirement and a
still manageable interest expense burden. Fitch expects FCF margins
to be in the low single digits in 2026 before improving towards the
mid-single digits by end-2029. This follows a negative 4.8% FCF
margin in 2025, driven primarily by weakened profitability, high
expansionary capex and working capital absorption related to the
Prada acquisition. Weakening FCF generation would put the ratings
under pressure.
Niche Position, High Client Retention: RMG's rating reflects its
established position in the niche luxury and automotive markets,
supported by a bespoke offering that underpins strong client
retention and longstanding relationships with global premium and
luxury fashion houses and automotive OEMs. Loyal customers and 99%
retention rate in the luxury segment mitigate customer
concentration (top five at 36% of revenue) to result in a low risk
of customer loss, Its narrow product range, with about 90% of 2025
EBITDA generated from leather, is partly mitigated by high product
customisation and limited client-switching incentives.
Material Exposure to Luxury Sector: Premium and luxury fashion,
which accounted for 56% of RMG's revenue in 2025, is generally more
resilient to economic downturns but not completely immune to
pronounced and extended macro-economic uncertainty. The strategic
switch to the luxury sector has allowed RMG to diversify its
exposure away from the more cyclical automotive business, which
accounted for 31% of 2025 revenue. Fitch expects the automotive
segment to start recovering from 2027-2028 and the luxury segment
to return to modest growth from 2027, once the consumer market
stabilises.
Bolt-on Acquisitions Part of Strategy: RMG has expanded
organically, complemented by several smaller M&As, some of which
were debt-funded. Fitch expects the company to continue making
small add-on acquisitions once its financial metrics recover, of
around EUR15 million a year in 2028-2029, aimed at internalising
certain production processes. Material debt-funded transformative
M&As are not part of its rating case and will be treated as an
event risk.
Peer Analysis
Fitch does not rate direct peers of RMG, which acts as a supplier
in consumer products manufacturing rather than a manufacturer of
final products. However, Fitch compares it with Flos B&B Italia
S.p.A. (B/Negative), which shares certain similar credit factors
and is partly exposed to the industries of fashion and interior
design.
RMG is rated in line with Flos B&B Italia, a larger-scale producer
of high-end lighting and furniture with broader product
diversification. This is balanced by RMG's comparable EBITDA
margins, also positive FCF and lower leverage. Fitch also views
RMG's operations as more resilient in economic downturns, supported
by its established long-term relationships with key customers.
Fitch's Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Low single-digit organic revenue growth in 2026, followed by
low-to-mid single-digit annual growth in 2027-2029
- EBITDA at 14.4% of gross revenue (including other income) in
2026, gradually increasing towards 15.5% by 2029
- Capex at average 2.7% of revenue over 2026-2029
- M&A spending of EUR15 million a year in 2028-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb-', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bbb-', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('bb-',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('bb-', Higher),
company operational characteristics ('bb', Moderate), profitability
('b+', Lower), financial structure ('b', Higher), and financial
flexibility ('bb-', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a-' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
Key Recovery Assumptions
The recovery analysis assumed that RMG will be considered a going
concern (GC) rather than liquidated in bankruptcy, given its strong
market position and long-term relationship with customers.
Fitch assumed a 10% administrative claim and EUR34 million of
securitisation (drawn amount at end-2025), which Fitch estimates
will remain available during restructuring due to the strong credit
profile of its clients.
The estimated GC EBITDA of EUR57 million, due to the contribution
from Prada Group, reflects the level of earnings required for the
company to sustain operations as a GC in unfavourable market
conditions of shrinking volumes and with an inability to adjust the
cost base.
Fitch assumed a 5.5x enterprise valuations/EBITDA multiple,
reflecting RMG's healthy operating margins, inherently
cash-generative operations and attractive medium- to long-term
luxury sector fundamentals. This multiple is below Flos B&B
Italia's 6.0x, due to the latter's larger scale.
Prior ranking operating company debt consists of EUR36 million of
commercial credit lines, new debt contributed by the Prada Group
and other operating company debt.
RMG's senior secured debt consists of a EUR50 million super senior
revolving credit facility (RCF) due in 2031 (six months before the
SSNs) and EUR320 million SSNs due in 2031. The RCF is prior-ranking
and, in accordance with Fitch's rating criteria, is assumed to be
fully drawn prior to distress.
Its waterfall analysis generates a ranked recovery for the SSNs in
the 'RR3' band, indicating a 'B+' rating, one notch above the IDR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA leverage exceeding 5.5x on a sustained basis
- EBITDA interest coverage below 2.0x
- FCF margin below 2% on a sustained basis
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- EBITDA leverage below 4.5x on a sustained basis
- EBITDA interest coverage above 3.0x
- FCF margin sustained in the mid-single digits
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2025, RMG's Fitch adjusted cash balance was EUR19 million.
Liquidity is also supported by access to an EUR50 million RCF,
which Fitch expects to remain fully undrawn for 2026-2028. The
company also has access to EUR36 million commercial credit lines,
which were undrawn at end-2025. Fitch expects liquidity to be also
supported by its projection of positive FCF generation.
RMG has a concentrated debt structure, with its debut EUR320
million SSNs due in 2031. The EUR50 million RCF matures six months
before the notes. It has no major maturities before the SSNs come
due.
Fitch adjusts RMG's reported cash by EUR25 million Fitch views as
required for operational needs and hence not likely to be available
for debt service.
Issuer Profile
RMG is an Italian manufacturer of customised leather and textile
intermediate products for luxury fashion houses, automotive and
mobility and interior design industries.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Rino Mastrotto Group S.p.A.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Rino Mastrotto Group S.p.A.
LT IDR B Downgrade B+
senior secured LT B+ Downgrade RR3 BB-
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
MELLENU HOLDING: Moody's Assigns First Time B2 Corp. Family Rating
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a first-time long-term corporate
family rating of B2 to Mellenu Holding S.A. (Mellenu Holding). At
the same time, Moody's have affirmed the B2 long-term backed senior
unsecured debt rating of Mellenu Finance S.A. (Mellenu Finance;
formerly named 4Finance, S.A.). The outlook on Mellenu Holding is
stable and the outlook on Mellenu Finance remains stable.
As part of the rating action, Moody's have also withdrawn the B2
CFR of 4Finance Holding S.A. (4finance Holding) for reorganization
reasons. At the time of withdrawal, the outlook on the company was
stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
-- RATIONALE FOR THE FIRST-TIME RATING ASSIGNMENT AND THE
WITHDRAWAL
The rating action reflects the announcement that a consortium led
by 4finance Holding's chairman Kieran Donnelly has agreed to a
management-led buy-out and shareholder restructuring of 4finance
Group's core operating subsidiaries. For this purpose, a new
holding company, Mellenu Holding, has been established in
Luxembourg.
The consortium consists of three groups: the company's management,
holding approximately 25%; a regulated and registered fund with
select current 4finance Group shareholders, holding approximately
35%; and another regulated fund for a group of new investors, with
approximately 40%. Both funds are managed by licensed fund managers
representing the investors in the respective funds.
The transaction will take place in two steps. In the first step,
which concluded on May 29, Mellenu Holding, as a sister company to
4finance Holding, acquired 4finance Holding's core online lending
teams, assets, liabilities, operating subsidiaries and retail
brands. Following the acquisition, the remaining business of
4finance Holding is minimal. In the second step, the consortium
will acquire Mellenu Holding via a Luxembourg acquisition company.
Mellenu Holding is now the guarantor of the EUR 2028 bonds (ISIN:
XS1417876163) issued by Mellenu Finance, with no change to the
existing obligations. All other existing guarantees from operating
subsidiaries remain in place.
Mellenu Holding's CFR of B2 reflects the group's high credit risk
as a sub-prime consumer lender, its historically strong underlying
profitability and its improved financial flexibility after the sale
of its fully owned subsidiary TBI Bank EAD (TBI Bank; Ba2 stable,
ba3).
Mellenu group assumes significant credit risks by lending to
individuals with limited access to more traditional bank lending.
The volumes in the subprime lending segment have contracted in
recent years because of the exit from some countries as well as
some changes to the online lending product mix. The group is
currently present in ten countries, and is actively looking for new
opportunities in emerging markets as part of its strategic growth
plans.
The group grew very rapidly since 2014, partly through the
acquisition of TBI Financial Services B.V. and its subsidiary TBI
Bank in 2016, which was again sold in February 2026. The sale was
positive for the group's financial flexibility in the short-term,
as it allowed the early repayment of one Euro bond that was
maturing in October 2026 and it also provided sufficient resources
to repay the other Euro bond that is maturing in May 2028.
The group is however looking for investment opportunities in other
markets, which may deploy part of the funds obtained from the sale.
Moody's therefore expect the group's strategy and other investments
to evolve, which will provide more clarity on the group's future
cash flows and more broadly its financial flexibility.
Mellenu Holding's CFR also considers the group's increased
capitalization after the sale of TBI Bank, as well as Moody's
assessments that capital ratios will again decrease to more
normalized levels as the group continues its strategic growth. The
sale of TBI Bank has also exerted upward pressure on the group's
profitability, given the online business' focus on the more
profitable subprime lending segment.
The assigned rating also incorporates Mellenu Holding's
environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations, as per
Moody's ESG framework. Moody's assessments of Mellenu Holding's
governance risks is high, reflected in a Governance Issuer Profile
Score (IPS) of G-4 and supported by (1) its concentrated private
ownership and the absence of a supervisory board; (2) the absence
of backup credit lines relative to the firm's financing needs that
signals a lack of preparedness for stress events or unexpected
circumstances; and (3) the complex organizational structure of the
group. Mellenu Holding's ESG Credit Impact Score of CIS-4 reflects
the material impact on ratings from its high governance risks. In
addition, as a sub-prime and near-prime consumer lender, Mellenu
Holding faces high exposure to social risks, particularly related
to treating customers fairly and product pricing.
-- RATIONALE FOR THE AFFIRMATION OF THE BACKED SENIOR UNSECURED
DEBT RATING
Mellenu Finance's B2 backed senior unsecured debt rating reflects
the guarantee from Mellenu Holding, and it is reflective of the
priority ranking of senior unsecured creditors in the group's
capital structure, based on the application of Moody's Loss Given
Default (LGD) framework for Speculative-Grade Companies.
-- RATIONALE FOR THE STABLE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook on Mellenu Holding and Mellenu Finance reflects
Moody's views of the group's strengthened financial position after
the sale of TBI Bank.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Mellenu Holding's CFR could be upgraded if the company
significantly improves its financial flexibility in a sustained
manner, while maintaining strong recurring profitability, adequate
capitalization and contained asset quality.
An upgrade in Mellenu Holding's CFR would likely result in a
corresponding upgrade to Mellenu Finance's backed senior unsecured
debt rating.
Mellenu Holding's CFR could be downgraded if there are any signs of
deterioration in its financial flexibility, for example by a
deployment of the proceeds from the sale of TBI Bank in other
investments. The CFR could also be downgraded if asset quality was
to deteriorate substantially; the group's recurring return on
assets was to decline; or its capitalisation would significantly
deteriorate.
A downgrade in Mellenu Holding's CFR would likely result in a
corresponding downgrade to Mellenu Finance's backed senior
unsecured debt rating. Mellenu Finance's debt rating could also be
downgraded because of adverse changes to their debt capital
structure, which would lower the recovery rate for senior unsecured
debt classes.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Finance
Companies published in July 2024.
Mellenu Holding's "Assigned Standalone Assessment" of b2 is set
five notches below the "Financial Profile initial score" of baa3 to
reflect the risks related to the operating environment for European
subprime lenders and other high-cost instalment lenders.
MONITCHEM HOLDCO 3: S&P Rates New EUR600MM Secured Notes 'B-'
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'B-' issue rating to the proposed
EUR600 million senior secured notes to be issued by Monitchem
Holdco 3 S.A, a subsidiary of Germany-based chemical producer
Monitchem Holdco 2 S.A. (operating as CABB). The recovery rating is
'3', indicating its expectation of meaningful recovery (50%-70%;
rounded estimate: 60%) in the event of default.
Monitchem intends to issue the proposed EUR600 million senior
secured notes with a tenor of five years. The proceeds from the new
senior secured notes, together with EUR82 million of existing cash
on the balance sheet, will be used to:
-- Redeem in full its existing EUR670 million senior secured
notes, due in May 2028;
-- Fund any applicable redemption premium; and
-- Pay about EUR15 million in transaction fees and expenses.
This refinancing, executed well ahead of the existing maturity
date, will extend the company's debt maturity profile. The
transaction will result in a EUR70 million reduction in gross debt
and a subsequent reduction in expected cash interest expenses.
Consequently, S&P has adjusted its debt to EBITDA projection to
about 6.8x by year-end 2026, from our previous expectation of 7.7x
by year-end, excluding this transaction.
In addition, Monitchem intends to downsize its super senior
revolving credit facility (SSRCF) to EUR80 million from EUR110
million.
S&P said, "This transaction aligns with our previous expectations;
Monitchem had indicated plans to utilize a portion of the
equivalent EUR124 million in cash proceeds from the Jayhawk Fine
Chemicals disposal in February 2026 to refinance its outstanding
debt at a lower gross debt amount.
"While the proposed refinancing reduces gross debt levels and
improves gross leverage metrics, we anticipate free operating cash
flow (FOCF) will remain negative until at least 2028, reflecting
ongoing restructuring outflows and elevated capital expenditure
(capex).'
The proposed notes will rank at the same seniority as all the
group's existing and future senior secured debt.
Monitchem's first quarter 2026 performance was broadly in line with
expectations. Despite an 8.1% year-on-year decline in reported
revenue (ex-Jayhawk) to EUR121.9 million, adjusted EBITDA rose by
2.0% to EUR24.9 million, with margins expanding to 20.4% (versus
18.4% in first quarter 2025) due to effective cost controls and
lower energy costs. S&P said, "Our 2026-2027 EBITDA expectations
remain largely unchanged from our April 2026 base case; we expect
Monitchem to generate about EUR99 million S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA for 2026, amid broadly stable operating
performance, and EUR112 million in 2027, following a gradual
improvement in operating performance and expected benefits to start
kicking off from the closure of the Chemiepark Knapsack site in
Hürth, Germany, and continued cost-saving measures."
S&P said, "Assuming successful execution of the refinancing and a
post-transaction cash balance of EUR26 million, we expect S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA to decrease to 6.8x in 2026
and gradually decline to 6.7x in 2027 and 5.2x in 2028.
"We view current rating headroom as sufficient for the time being.
While we expect debt to EBITDA to reduce, the primary constraining
factor for Monitchem at the 'B-' level remains the continued
negative FOCF expected through 2027, driven by ongoing
restructuring, elevated capex and reduced earnings. However, we do
not see immediate concerns regarding liquidity, given the benefits
of the extended debt maturity profile provided by this refinancing,
and the full availability under the new EUR80 million SSRCF.
"Furthermore, we note that the new facility includes a springing
covenant with a senior secured net leverage threshold of 8.3x,
which is only triggered if RCF utilization exceeds 40%. We view
covenant headroom as ample, given that senior secured net leverage
is expected to be approximately 5.3x post-transaction. While the
transaction is leverage-neutral on a net basis, we do not credit
any net cash to Monitchem given its sponsor-owned structure."
Issue Ratings--Recovery Analysis
Key analytical factors
-- The proposed senior secured debt is rated 'B-', with the
recovery rating at '3'. The recovery rating reflects S&P's
expectation of meaningful recovery prospects (50%-70%; rounded
estimate: 60%). The rated senior secured debt comprises the
proposed EUR600 million senior secured notes due in 2031.
-- The capital structure also includes an EUR80 million SSRCF,
maturing six months before the senior secured notes, which is
unrated at the issuer's request. In the recovery waterfall, this
facility ranks behind factoring and securitization claims but ahead
of the senior secured debt.
-- S&P values the group as a going concern, underpinned by its
established position in custom manufacturing and acetyls,
long-standing customer relationships, specialized manufacturing
capabilities, and diversified end-market exposure. The security
package for the senior secured debt primarily comprises share
pledges over the borrower and guarantors, security over material
structural intercompany receivables, and security over certain bank
accounts. It does not include direct liens over operating assets,
equipment, inventory, or real estate.
Despite the support provided by the security package, the expected
recovery on the rated second-lien debt is constrained by the
presence of super senior and priority-ranking claims that sit ahead
of the notes in the recovery waterfall. In S&P's hypothetical
default scenario, it assumes weak macroeconomic conditions in
Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, and North America, resulting
in a sustained deterioration in operating performance due to lower
end-market demand, the loss of key customer contracts, contract
renewals on less favorable terms, and operational disruptions
reducing production efficiency and increasing manufacturing costs.
Simulated default assumptions
-- Year of default: 2028
-- Jurisdiction: Germany.
Simplified waterfall
-- Emergence EBITDA: EUR97 million
-- Multiple: 5.5x
-- Gross enterprise value: EUR536 million
-- Net recovery waterfall value, after 5% administrative expenses:
EUR510 million
-- Estimated priority claims: EUR55 million
-- Estimated super senior debt claims: EUR71 million
-- Estimated senior secured notes claims: EUR624 million
-- Recovery prospect: 50%-70%; rounded estimate: 60%
-- Recovery rating: 3
*All debt amounts include six months of prepetition interest
accrued and an assumed 85% draw on revolving credit facilities.
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
HOUSE OF HR: S&P Lowers ICR to 'B-' on Prolonged Market Weakness
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its issuer credit rating on House of HR
Group B.V. (HOHR) to 'B-'. S&P also lowered its rating on the
group's first-lien debt to 'B-', with the recovery rating remaining
at '3', indicating its expectation of meaningful recovery prospects
(50%-70%; rounded estimate: 55%) in the event of a default.
The stable outlook reflects S&P's expectation of modest revenue
growth and EBITDA margin expansion over the next 12 months, leading
to EBITDA interest coverage of 1.7x-1.8x, debt to EBITDA close to
7.0x, and adequate liquidity despite continued cash burn.
S&P said, "We expect House of HR Group B.V.'s (HOHR's) credit
metrics will underperform our expectations for a 'B' rating due to
prolonged volume weakness in the staffing industry and uncertain
macroeconomic conditions.
"We anticipate a slow improvement in credit metrics, with EBITDA
interest coverage remaining below 2.0x and negative free operating
cash flow (FOCF) after leases in the next two years.
"The downgrade reflects our view that recovery in the staffing
market will be slow amid an uncertain macroeconomic environment. We
forecast revenue growth of 3.3% in 2026, including the full
consolidation of Pro Industry acquired in April 2025 (or 1.6% on a
like-for-like basis, driven mainly by price increases), followed by
2.9% growth in 2027. We continue to forecast an improvement in
profitability due to cost-saving initiatives, lower overheads, and
nonrecurrence of several one-off items recorded in the fourth
quarter of 2025, leading to an S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA
margin of 9.9% in 2026 and 10.2% in 2027, up from 9.0% in 2025.
While the company expects temporary staffing volumes to increase or
stabilize this year, the engineering and consulting (E&C) segment
will take more time to recover. This will drag both revenue growth
and the EBITDA margin since the E&C segment has higher
profitability than the specialized talent solutions (STS) segment.
Although we note that management is taking cost-reduction measures
to mitigate these pressures, we believe the company may incur
reorganization and efficiency program costs that will further weigh
on the EBITDA margin. We also view the E&C segment as more exposed
to AI disruption risk, which could potentially affect revenue and
margin growth.
"We project HOHR's credit metrics will remain below our
expectations for a 'B' rating in the next two years. HOHR's credit
metrics have deteriorated in recent years due to challenging market
conditions, with leverage peaking at 8.1x in 2025. Given the
elevated leverage, we believe the company will focus on
deleveraging, and as such we have not incorporated mergers and
acquisitions into our forecast. Nevertheless, we project EBITDA
interest coverage will remain below 2.0x and FOCF after leases will
remain negative in 2026 and 2027, at about EUR25 million and EUR40
million respectively (including deferred tax payments). This is
driven by meaningful lease payments of EUR95 million-EUR100 million
per year, even as the company works to reduce these payments.
"Liquidity will remain adequate over the next 12 months. We believe
HOHR has ample liquidity to manage its uses over the next 12 months
thanks to a cash balance of EUR89 million, EUR199 million
availability under its revolving credit facility (RCF) as of March
31, 2026, and no near-term debt maturities.
"The stable outlook reflects our expectation of modest revenue
growth and EBITDA margin expansion over the next 12 months, leading
to EBITDA interest coverage of 1.7x-1.8x, debt to EBITDA close to
7.0x, and adequate liquidity despite continued cash burn."
S&P could lower the rating if:
-- The group generates persistently negative FOCF after leases
that weakens its liquidity position; or
-- Operating performance further deteriorates due to continued
weak volumes and profitability, with no clear signs of recovery,
leading S&P to question the sustainability of its capital
structure.
S&P could raise the rating if operating performance recovers faster
than it expects such that FOCF after leases turns sustainably
positive, EBITDA interest coverage reverts to 2.0x, and leverage
remains below 7.5x.
===========
R U S S I A
===========
NAVOIYURAN: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'BB' IDR to Positive
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised State Enterprise Navoiyuran's (NU)
Outlook to Positive from Stable, while affirming its Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB'. Fitch has also affirmed
Navoiyuran 's senior unsecured rating at 'BB' with Recovery Rating
'RR4'.
The Outlook revision mirrors the sovereign rating action on
Uzbekistan on June 3, 2026 (BB/Positive). Navoiyuran's IDR is
equalised with the sovereign's under Fitch's Government-Related
Entities (GRE) Rating Criteria.
Navoiyuran's Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) is 'bb-', reflecting
its large presence in global uranium mining sector, low-cost
in-situ recovery operations, and strong cash generation. This is
offset by limited diversification as a single-commodity producer in
a niche market with exposure to uranium price volatility, moderate
scale and a weak operating environment in Uzbekistan.
Key Rating Drivers
Medium-Sized Miner: Navoiyuran was the sixth largest uranium oxide
producer globally in 2024, according to World Nuclear Association
and representing 8.4% of global uranium supply. In 2025 the company
produced 7.0 thousand tonnes uranium oxide (ktU) versus 5.2ktU in
2024. It uses in-situ recovery (ISR), which is more cost-efficient
than traditional mining.
High reliance on a single commodity exposes the company to volatile
uranium prices. Its adjusted EBITDA was USD607 million in 2025 and
Fitch expects it to exceed USD800 million in 2026 on supportive
uranium prices and high contracted volumes. Fitch expects EBITDA to
moderate to USD550 million-600 million to 2029 under its mid-cycle
price assumptions.
Expanding Reserve Base: Navoiyuran has a reserve life of about 12
years, based on 2P reserves at end-2025 and an average annual
production of about 8ktU in the medium term. Ore reserves have
materially improved over the past two years: according to the
latest JORC report; reserves were at 96.7ktU on 1 January 2026, up
from 63.4ktU a year ago and just 19.5 ktU in January 2024. This is
because ore reserves were transferred from the state to the company
and due to mine development activities.
Rising Production: Navoiyuran almost achieved its production target
set previously for 2030 (7.1ktU) in 2025, supported by capex
doubling year on year to USD552 million in the same year. The
company plans to further increase production volumes while Fitch
used more conservative forecasts in the rating case, reflecting the
typically lower visibility of medium-to-long term sales volumes and
an expected moderation in capex intensity. Fitch also expects the
company to adjust its capex if prices drop below its price
assumptions.
Negative FCF: Large capex and continued distribution of 50% of net
income as dividend will lead to negative free cash flow (FCF).
Fitch expects Navoiyuran's EBITDA gross leverage to increase to
0.9x by 2030 from 0.5x in 2025, remaining at a conservative level,
as Fitch anticipates that the company will have to raise additional
debt.
Low-Cost Position: Navoiyuran's cash costs are among the lowest in
the industry due to efficient ISR technology and high
self-sufficiency in sulphuric acid required for the ISL process.
Sulphuric acid is produced at its own facilities from raw material
supplied by JSC Uzbekneftegaz and some sulphuric acid is procured
from JSC Almalyk Mining and Metallurgical Complex. The introduction
of 100% export duty on sulphur from 1H25 has stabilised domestic
prices. It operates three major mining sites - Zafarabad, Uchkuduk,
and Nurabad - consisting of several deposits, which supply material
to the refining plant that produces uranium oxide.
Diversified Offtake; Logistics Risk: Navoiyuran has a diversified
uranium revenue base with 2025 sales to Japan, Canada, the US,
India, South Korea and commodity traders. It signed a contract with
a UAE-based customer in 2025 and Fitch expects new contracts with
customers in existing markets. Navoiyuran ships uranium via rail to
Saint Petersburg, from which it is exported for further processing.
There are no restrictions on uranium export from Russian territory,
but sanctions, if introduced, might disrupt shipments. The main
alternative is the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route
through Azerbaijan and Georgia, which is used for some shipments of
Kazatomprom.
Ratings Equalised: Navoiyuran's rating is equalised with that of
the sovereign, reflecting a GRE score of 30 points out of a maximum
60.
Strong Responsibility to Support: Fitch assesses both decision
making and oversight and precedents of support as "Strong".
Navoiyuran is 100% owned by the state through the Ministry of
Economy and Finance of Uzbekistan, which has tight control over the
company by monitoring its budget, setting its production targets
and development strategy. Despite plans for an IPO in the medium
term, Fitch would anticipate the state to maintain a majority
ownership. Navoiyuran had not required any support from the
government since its inception as a separate entity in 2022, but
there are precedents of support to other natural resources GREs.
Incentive to Support: Fitch assesses preservation of government
policy role as 'Strong'. Fitch considers Navoiyuran to be a
strategic GRE, considering its important role in the nuclear
production cycle and its political importance to the state. Uranium
mining is one of the major economic activities in Uzbekistan. The
company is the third-largest tax contributor since 2024. It issued
USD300 million notes in June 2025, which underlines its view of the
GRE as proxy issuer for the government, supporting its 'Strong'
assessment of contagion risk.
Peer Analysis
Navoiyuran's direct peer is JSC National Atomic Company Kazatomprom
(BBB/Stable), which holds a 20% global uranium market share versus
Navoiyuran's 8.4% and generates EBITDA above USD1 billion under
mid-cycle assumptions. Navoiyuran's EBITDA margin of 56% in 2025
compares favourably with Kazatomprom's approximately 45%.
Navoiyuran's AISC (all-in sustaining costs) of USD34/lb is slightly
higher than Kazatomprom's of USD29-USD30.5/lb, due to higher
subsoil use tax at 16% of uranium revenue, above Kazatomprom.'s 9%.
The rate for Kazatomprom will increase further in 2026.
Navoiyuran's EBITDA gross leverage of 0.5x compares with
Kazatomprom's 0.3x in 2025. Kazatomprom is rated on a standalone
basis, reflecting its limited ties with Kazakhstan, while
Navoiyuran's IDR is equalised with the sovereign under GRE
criteria.
Peers in Uzbekistan include copper and gold producer, JSC Almalyk
Mining and Metallurgical Complex (Almalyk, SCP: b+), and gold
producer, JSC Navoi Mining and Metallurgical Company (NMMC, SCP:
bb+). Both are 100% state-owned and larger than Navoiyuran.
Almalyk's SCP reflects pressure on FCF from substantial capex for
its transformative copper expansion project, resulting in higher
leverage than both NMMC and Navoiyuran. NMMC's stronger SCP
reflects its larger scale and established gold operations.
Fitch's Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Average uranium spot prices of USD77/lb in 2026, USD65/lb in
2027, USD60/lb in 2028 and USD55/lb in 2029 and mid-cycle
- CPI in Uzbekistan at about 7% in 2026-2029
- Double-digit growth in production in sales volumes in 2026 and
mid-single digit increase in production volumes a year on average
over 2027-2029
- EBITDA margins averaging at or above 50% in 2026-2029
- Capex of USD338 million a year on average in 2026-2029
- Half of net profit distributed as dividend
- No social contributions in 2026-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the SCP:
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bbb', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('bb', Higher),
diversification and asset quality ('bb', Higher), company
operational characteristics ('bbb-', Moderate), profitability
('bbb-', Moderate), financial structure ('a+', Lower), and
financial flexibility ('bb-', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 10% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027, 30% for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year
2029.
The Governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The Operating Environment assessment of 'b+' results in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The SCP is 'bb-'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Application of Fitch's GRE Rating Criteria results in an equalised
approach.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Negative sovereign rating action
- EBITDA gross leverage above 1.5x on a sustained basis could be
negative for the SCP, but not necessarily for the IDR
- Deterioration of the uranium market leading to a material
weakness of financial metrics could be negative for the SCP, but
not necessarily for the IDR
- Unremedied liquidity issues
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action on the sovereign
- A material improvement in scale, neutral FCF, and EBITDA gross
leverage below 1x on a sustained basis and improvement in
liquidity, which could be positive for the SCP but not necessarily
for the IDR
For Rating Sensitivities for Uzbekistan, see ' Fitch Revises
Uzbekistan's Outlook to Positive; Affirms at 'BB'', dated 3 June
2026.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
As of end-2025, Navoiyuran's unrestricted cash amounted to UZS2,708
billion (USD217 million). In July 2025, Navoiyuran issued USD300
million Eurobonds on the LSE, with a coupon of 6.7% and maturing in
July 2030. The company used part of the proceeds to refinance
existing loans, while keeping the rest as cash balance at
end-2025.
At end-2025, total debt comprised solely the USD300 million
Eurobond. Navoiyuran does not have any upcoming debt maturities,
but Fitch expects its FCF to be negative over the next four years,
due to large capex and dividend payment, which are likely to lead
to new debt.
Issuer Profile
Navoiyuran is the sixth-largest producer of natural uranium based
on World Nuclear Association data.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
The company's rating is equalised with the sovereign's.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Navoiyuran.
ESG Considerations
Navoiyuran has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Financial
Transparency due to limited record of audited financial statements
and publication timeliness, which has a negative impact on the
credit profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction
with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
State Enterprise Navoiyuran
LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
senior unsecured LT BB Affirmed RR4 BB
===========
S W E D E N
===========
INTRUM AB: Moody's Upgrades CFR to B3 & Alters Outlook to Stable
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded Intrum AB (publ)'s (Intrum) corporate
family rating to B3 from Caa2, Intrum Investments and Financing
AB's (Intrum Investment and Financing) backed senior secured
ratings related to the Guaranteed Senior Secured Global Notes (2.0
lien notes) to Caa1 from Caa3, and Intrum Investment and
Financing's backed senior secured ratings related to the new money
bonds (1.5 lien notes) to B2 from B3. Moody's changed the outlook
on Intrum and Intrum Investment and Financing to stable, from
positive.
The rating action follows shareholder approval of a
fully-underwritten rights issue, which will further improve
Intrum's leverage and interest coverage through debt redemptions;
Moody's also believes that the rights issue will support the
company's profitability and cash flow, by making additional funds
available for portfolio investment and efficiency initiatives.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade of Intrum's CFR to B3 from Caa2 reflects Moody's
expectations that the fully-underwritten SEK7.5 billion rights
issue will further improve the company's leverage by providing
funds for SEK5 billion of debt redemptions, and will support
profitability and cash flow by making SEK2 billion available for
portfolio investments and efficiency initiatives. The upgrade also
reflects the company's recent relatively stable operational
performance, progress on cost reduction and Moody's expectations
that the company will further increase the efficiency of its
servicing operations and pay down further debt from operating cash
flow. The company's focus on leverage reduction also drove an
improvement of Moody's governance issuer profile score to G-4 from
G-5, and an improvement of Moody's ESG credit impact score to CIS-4
from CIS-5.
This is balanced against still relatively high leverage, pressure
on profitability from a declining investment portfolio, and the
need to re-finance a significant portion of remaining debts
maturing in 2027 (the 1.5 lien notes) and 2028 (the Revolving
Credit Facility).
The upgrade of Intrum Investment and Financing's backed senior
secured ratings related to the Guaranteed Senior Secured Global
Notes (2.0 lien notes) to Caa1 from Caa3 reflects the two-notch
upgrade of Intrum's CFR and no subordination. The upgrade of Intrum
Investment and Financing's backed senior secured ratings related to
the new money bonds (1.5 lien notes) to B2 from B3 reflects
Intrum's CFR, as well as the declining benefit from the
subordination of the larger issuance volume of the 2.0 lien notes
due to redemptions.
OUTLOOK
The stable outlook on Intrum and Intrum Investments and Financing
reflects Moody's expectations that the company's operating
performance will see only gradual improvement over the next 12-18
months.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Intrum's CFR and Intrum Investments and Financing's backed senior
secured debt ratings could be upgraded if the company's operating
performance shows sustained improvements, as evidenced by stable
earnings and cash flow and further improvement in interest coverage
and leverage, or if the company makes further progress in improving
the sustainability of its financing structure.
Further improvements in leverage resulting from the redemption of
the 2.0 lien notes would reduce the volume of subordinated debt and
are hence less likely to lead to an upgrade of the 1.5 lien notes.
Intrum's CFR and Intrum Investments and Financing's backed senior
secured debt ratings could be downgraded if the company's
operational performance materially weakens and the firm's earnings,
cash flow, interest coverage and leverage deteriorate, or if it is
unable to redeem or refinance debts well in advance of their
maturity.
The 1.5 lien new money notes could be downgraded or receive a lower
rating uplift over the CFR if there is a substantial reduction in
the volume of subordinated debt, specifically the 2.0 lien notes.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Finance
Companies published in July 2024.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
QUIMPER AB: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B+' LongTerm IDR to Stable
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised Quimper AB's (Ahlsell) Outlook to Stable
from Negative, while affirming its Long-Term Issuer Default Rating
(IDR) at 'B+'. Concurrently, Fitch has affirmed Ahlsell's senior
secured debt rating at 'B+'. The Recovery Rating remains 'RR4'.
The Outlook revision mainly reflects Fitch's expectation of strong
near-term deleveraging, supported by EBITDA growth, driven mainly
by inorganic revenue growth and recovering operating margins. Fitch
expects the group's near-term profitability to be supported by
continued improvement in activity levels across its key end-markets
and targeted cost savings.
The affirmation reflects expected deleveraging to below its 5x
negative sensitivity by end-2027 after a small breach at end-2026.
It also considers the group's expected mid-single digit free cash
flow (FCF) margin in 2026-2029 and improving EBITDA interest
coverage following the completed repricing of its term loan in
1Q26.
Key Rating Drivers
Temporarily High Leverage: Fitch expects Ahlsell's EBITDA leverage
to decrease to about 5.2x by end-2026 and below 5x by end-2027,
driven by strong EBITDA growth. The group's temporarily high EBITDA
leverage at 6.6x at end-2025 was affected by about a SEK5.5 billion
term loan B (TLB) add-on completed mid-2025 to fund equity return
(about 1.0x impact) and weak profitability due to subdued activity
in the construction market.
Strong EBITDA Growth: Fitch expects about a 25% increase in the
group's nominal EBITDA in 2026, driven by revenue growth in the low
teens, mainly from bolt-on acquisitions, and about a 1pp increase
in the EBITDA margin. Fitch forecasts further mid-to-high
single-digit EBITDA growth in 2027-2029, driven by organic revenue
growth, continued M&A bolt-on acquisitions and a modest increase in
operating margins.
Higher operating margins in 2026 will be mainly driven by
increasing activity, normalised cost inflation and about an
expected SEK400 million near-term cost savings mainly related to
personnel. Organic revenue growth will be supported by sound demand
in renovation, infrastructure and industrial end-markets and
limited exposure to the weak new build residential end-market.
Improving Interest Coverage: Fitch expects EBITDA interest coverage
to increase above 3x in 2026-2029 (2.7x in 2025), after its
completed debt repricing reduced the group's TLB margin by 75bp and
also because of projected strong EBITDA growth. Fitch anticipates
the lower TLB margin to result in annual savings of about SEK0.2
billion. The group's weaker interest coverage in 2024-2025 was
affected by subdued EBITDA generation and temporarily high
additional net costs related to interest-rate hedging.
Solid Cash Flow Generation: Fitch expects FCF margins of 4%-5% in
2026-2029, as strong EBITDA growth is partly offset by a high
interest cost burden. Ahlsell has a good record of converting
EBITDA into cash flow due to the asset-light nature of the business
and its focus on working-capital management. Continued strong cash
flow generation has also allowed the group to fund acquisitions
with internally generated excess cash.
Strong Business Profile: Ahlsell's business profile is solid,
supported by its position as the leading Nordic distributor of
installation products, tools and supplies to professional
customers, and its market-leading position in Sweden. Its products,
customers and suppliers are well-diversified, although with
significant geographic concentration in Sweden. Products are
available through branches, online and unmanned solution channels.
The group's efficient logistics system with short delivery lead
times in the Nordic region is a competitive advantage.
Active M&A Strategy: Fitch expects the group to spend a total of
about SEK5.5 billion on bolt-on acquisitions in 2026-2029.
Execution risk is mitigated by the group's successful integration
record and prudent policy to acquire companies with a clear
strategic fit. Nevertheless, the M&A pipeline, deal considerations
and post-merger integration remain important rating drivers.
Peer Analysis
Fitch views Ahlsell's business profile as stronger than that of
building materials distributor Winterfell Financing S.a.r.l. (Stark
Group; B-/Rating Watch Negative). Both companies benefit from
strong market positions, large operational scale, sound product
diversification, large exposure to renovation markets, and limited
customer and supplier concentration.
Stark's broader geographic footprint is more than offset by
Ahlsell's stronger market diversification, given its exposure to
the infrastructure and industry markets and lower reliance on the
cyclical residential market. Stark's business profile is also
stronger than that of the smaller Wolseley Group Holdings Limited
(B/Stable), mainly due to its larger operational scale and stronger
geographic diversification.
Ahlsell's financial profile is stronger than those of Stark Group
and Wolseley, based on lower expected leverage and stronger
profitability, supported by higher EBITDA margins and FCF
generation.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue at SEK57.8 billion in 2026, with low single-digit organic
annual growth in 2027-2029
- Net M&A at about SEK1.8 billion in 2026 and SEK1.3 billion
annually in 2027-2029, supporting additional revenue growth
(margin-neutral)
- Broadly stable EBITDA margin at 10%-10.5% in 2026-2029
- Capex at 1%-1.3% in 2026-2029
- Broadly neutral working capital in 2026 and working-capital
outflow at 0.3%-0.4% of revenue in 2027-2028
- No shareholder returns, but cash build-up may support
distributions in 2028-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bb+,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb, Lower),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb+, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb-, Moderate), Profitability (b+,
Higher), Financial Structure (b, Higher), and Financial Flexibility
(bb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and has no impact.
- The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
- The operating environment assessment of 'aa' has no impact.
- The SCP is 'b+'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B+'.
Recovery Analysis
The recovery analysis assumes that Ahlsell would be reorganised as
a going-concern (GC) in bankruptcy rather than liquidated. Fitch
has assumed a 10% administrative claim.
Its GC EBITDA estimate of SEK3,250 million is up from SEK3,000
million in the previous calculation, reflecting the structural
impact of recent bolt-on acquisitions. The GC EBITDA reflects its
view of a sustainable, post-reorganisation EBITDA on which Fitch
bases the enterprise valuation. The GC EBITDA reflects intense
market competition and a failure to broadly pass on raw-material
cost inflation, together with an inability to extract acquisition
synergies.
Fitch applies a distressed EBITDA multiple of 5.5x to calculate a
post-reorganisation enterprise valuation. The multiple reflects
Ahlsell's strong brand value in the Nordics, coupled with its
leading market position and strong, stable margins. The multiple is
in line with that of Nordic building material distributor Stark
Group.
The debt structure as of 31 March 2026 comprised a senior secured
TLB of about SEK30.1 billion and a senior secured revolving credit
facility (RCF) of about SEK2.5 billion. These assumptions result in
recovery rates for the senior secured TLB and RCF in the 'RR4'
range, supporting the debt rating at the same level as the IDR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA gross leverage above 5.0x on a sustained basis, including
due to additional equity returns
- EBITDA interest coverage below 3.0x on a sustained basis
- FCF margins below 2% on a sustained basis, including due to
sizeable margin-dilutive acquisitions
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- EBITDA gross leverage below 4.0x on a sustained basis
- Maintaining FCF margins above 3% on a sustained basis
- EBITDA interest coverage above 4.0x on a sustained basis
- Increased geographical diversification outside of Sweden
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Ahlsell's liquidity at end-March 2026 comprised about SEK2.3
billion of readily available cash (excluding SEK0.3 billion of
adjustment by Fitch for intra-year working capital swings) and the
group had access to a fully undrawn committed RCF of about SEK2.5
billion maturing in September 2029. It has no major near-term debt
maturities, and Fitch expects 4%-5% FCF margins in 2026-2029 to be
mostly deployed for continued bolt-on M&A.
Its debt of about SEK30.1 billion at end-March 2026 was
concentrated on its first-lien TLB with a maturity in 2030.
Refinancing risk is manageable due to the lack of large short-term
debt maturities and the group's record of stable performance.
Issuer Profile
Ahlsell is a leading Nordic distributor of installation products in
heating and plumbing, electrical and tools and supplies.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Ahlsell.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Quimper AB
LT IDR B+ Affirmed B+
senior secured LT B+ Affirmed RR4 B+
QUIMPER AB: Moody's Affirms 'B1' CFR & Alters Outlook to Negative
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the B1 corporate family rating and the
B1-PD probability of default rating of Quimper AB (Ahlsell or the
company). Concurrently, Moody's have affirmed the B1 ratings of the
senior secured term loan B (TLB) due March 2030 and the senior
secured revolving credit facility (RCF) due September 2029. The
outlook has been changed to negative from stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Ahlsell's ratings reflect its leading market positions in Nordic
technical distribution, with a diversified product offering across
specialized verticals and broad exposure to relatively resilient
renovation, infrastructure, and industrial end markets (around 67%
of 2025 revenue). Its omnichannel business-to-business (B2B)
distribution model and fragmented SME-focused customer base support
pricing discipline and limited exposure to project delays.
Despite continued organic growth at group level since Q4 2024,
revenue growth remained in the low single digits in 2025. Earnings
were pressured by cost inflation and material restructuring charges
related to the acquisition of Rexel Finland Oy in September 2025,
with only limited contributions in the period. As a result,
Moody's-adjusted EBITDA decreased to SEK5.4 billion (10.4% margin)
in 2025, from SEK5.6 billion (11.1%) in 2024 and SEK 6.0 billion
(11.9%) in 2023. Combined with two TLB upsizes totalling EUR858
million over 2024–25, Moody's-adjusted leverage increased to 6.3x
(5.6x net) at year-end 2025, well above B1 rating thresholds.
Going forward, Moody's expects Ahlsell to deliver both revenue and
earnings growth, supported by the turnaround of the Finnish
electrical operations and contributions from bolt-ons. Moody's
forecasts company-reported EBITDA to recover to SEK6.5 billion in
2026 and SEK7.0 billion in 2027, allowing for gradual deleveraging
to 5.4x (4.7x net) and 4.9x (3.8x net), respectively.
However, this trajectory carries material execution risk. The pace
and magnitude of EBITDA recovery depends on both successful
integration of the Finnish electrical operations and improvement in
end-market demand. Visibility on the latter remains limited, given
subdued construction activity, constrained investment conditions,
and the additional uncertainty from the ongoing conflict in the
Middle East. Any delay in earnings recovery would result in credit
metrics remaining weak for a prolonged period.
Governance considerations were among the key drivers of the rating
action. The current weak credit metrics reflect an aggressive
financial policy, reflecting Ahlsell increasing debt to partially
fund SEK 14.2 billion (EUR1.3 billion equivalent) shareholder
distributions at times of weak operating conditions with limited
visibility on recovery in activity. This weakened the company's
position within the rating category and increased reliance on
timely execution of the deleveraging plan.
RATIONALE OF THE OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects execution risk around the pace and
magnitude of earnings recovery to restore leverage to levels
consistent with the current rating by year-end 2027.
Moody's could stabilize the outlook if Ahlsell delivers sustained
deleveraging through earnings growth and disciplined financial
policy, alongside positive free cash flow generation. Conversely,
downward pressure could arise if leverage remains elevated or
financial policy remains aggressive.
LIQUIDITY
Ahlsell maintains good liquidity. Cash declined to SEK2.6 billion
in March 2026, from SEK3.6 billion in December 2025 and SEK5.8
billion in December 2024, reflecting the net impact from dividend
recapitalisation and investments.
Moody's expects liquidity to strengthen, supported by a return to
positive free cash flow. Moody's forecasts cash EBITDA at SEK6.3
billion in 2026 and SEK6.9 billion in 2027, against annual net
interest and tax charges totalling approximately SEK2.7 billion.
After modest working capital release and capex at SEK2.2 billion
(including lease principal repayments), Moody's expects the company
to generate positive free cash flow in the range of SEK1.5–2.0
billion over the next 12-18 months. After annual bolt-on
acquisitions of up to SEK625 million, Moody's expects cash balances
to recover to around SEK4.3 billion by year-end 2026 and SEK5.8
billion by year-end 2027.
Ahlsell has no significant debt maturities before March 2030, when
the TLB comes due. Its SEK2.5 billion committed revolving credit
facility (RCF) remains fully undrawn. The RCF is subject to a
springing net senior secured leverage covenant tested quarterly,
only when net drawings exceed 40% of commitments, with a threshold
of 9.0x. As of March 2026, this ratio stood at 5.1x, leaving the
company with ample covenant capacity.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could develop if:
-- EBIT margin remains in the high single digits in percentage
terms or above;
-- Debt/EBITDA declines below 4.0x on a sustained basis;
-- Liquidity remains good; and
-- The company demonstrates a conservative financial policy,
illustrated by no excessive profit distributions to shareholders or
larger debt-funded acquisitions
Negative rating pressure would arise if:
-- EBIT margin declines toward the mid-single-digit range in
percentage terms;
-- Ahlsell's operating performance weakens, such that its
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA rises above 5.25x on a sustained
basis;
-- EBITA/interest declines sustainably towards 2.0x; and
-- Liquidity deteriorates, evidenced by persistent track record of
negative free cash flow generation
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Distribution
and Supply Chain Services published in November 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Ahlsell is a leading pan-Nordic technical distributor of
installation products, tools and supplies, operating a
business-to-business (B2B) omnichannel model across heating,
ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) and plumbing, electrical,
and tools and supplies categories.
In the last 12 months to March 2026, Ahlsell generated around
SEK52.8 billion revenues and SEK5.5 billion company-reported EBITDA
(post IFRS-16).
Since February 2012, Ahlsell has been majority owned by funds
affiliated with the private equity firm CVC Capital Partners plc.
===========
T U R K E Y
===========
ISTANBUL METROPOLITAN: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDRs, Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality's
Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs)
at 'BB-'. The Outlooks are Stable.
The ratings reflect its expectations that the city's operating
performance will remain resilient. This is despite persistent
inflation driven by higher imported energy prices amid regional
geopolitical tensions, further depreciation of the Turkish lira,
pressure on opex and an expected increase in debt financing due to
investments under Fitch's rating case. Its debt metrics will remain
commensurate with its peers with a 'bbb-' Standalone Credit Profile
(SCP) over the medium term. Istanbul's IDRs are capped by those of
the Turkish sovereign (BB-/Stable).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Standalone Credit Profile
SCP at 'bbb-': Istanbul's SCP results from a 'Weaker' risk profile
and a 'aaa' financial profile. The SCP also factors in Istanbul's
comparison with its national and international peers in the same
rating category.
Risk Profile: 'Weaker'
Istanbul's 'Weaker' risk profile is driven by four 'Weaker' key
risk factors (revenue adjustability, expenditure sustainability,
liabilities and liquidity robustness and liabilities and liquidity
flexibility) and two 'Midrange' factors (revenue robustness and
expenditure sustainability), all unchanged since the last review.
The assessment reflects Fitch's view of a high risk that the city's
ability to cover debt service with its operating balance may weaken
unexpectedly over 2026-2030 due to lower revenue, higher
expenditure, or an unexpected rise in liabilities or debt service
requirements.
Revenue Robustness: 'Midrange'
Istanbul has a well-diversified and vibrant local economy with GDP
per capita about 60% above the national average, leading to a tax
revenue base with low volatility and robust tax revenue growth
prospects. This makes the city resilient to economic slowdown,
which Fitch expects to continue over 2026-2030. Fitch expects tax
revenue, which comprises about 78% of its operating revenue, to
slightly exceed national nominal GDP CAGR of 21%, and operating
revenue to increase to about TRY735.7 billion by 2030 from TRY269
billion in 2025. This will lead to a resilient operating margin of
about 33%.
Transfers from the central government comprise about 11% of
operating revenue, a low share compared with national peers', due
to the city's strong socio-economic wealth indicators.
Revenue Adjustability: 'Weaker'
Istanbul's ability to generate additional revenue is constrained by
nationally determined tax rates. At end-2025, nationally set and
collected taxes were 76% of Istanbul's total revenue. Local taxes
over which Istanbul has control were a low 0.1% of total revenue,
implying negligible tax flexibility, which is also constrained by
central government limits on rates. This is partly compensated for
by fees and charges over which Istanbul has some control and scope
for asset sales. These accounted for 11% and 2%, respectively, of
its total revenue in 2025.
Expenditure Sustainability: 'Weaker'
Its assessment reflects a persistently high inflationary operating
environment, driven by higher imported energy prices amid regional
geopolitical tensions, which will weigh on expenditure control
despite Istanbul's moderately cyclical and counter-cyclical
responsibilities. Operating revenue CAGR of 69.2% slightly lagged
opex CAGR of 70.2% in 2021-2025, leading to still robust operating
balances. Slower capex growth supported an improvement in the
pre-financing balance to a surplus of 5% of total revenue in 2025,
reversing a deficit of 33% in 2024.
Fitch expects Istanbul to continue providing substantial subsidies
to its loss-making transport company, IETT, as rising costs are
unlikely to be fully offset by tariff adjustments. Fitch also
expects recently introduced central government cost-cutting
measures, together with a projected decline in inflation from 2027,
to support Istanbul in regaining greater control over expenditure
growth.
Expenditure Adjustability: 'Midrange'
Istanbul has a low share of inflexible costs versus its
international peers, at below 70% of totex, which is in line with
other Fitch-rated Turkish metropolitan municipalities. Fitch
expects capex to constitute 40% of totex in 2026-2030, of which
about 10% is discretionary and can be postponed. Spending
flexibility is constrained by Istanbul's weak history of balanced
budgets, due mainly to high capex. Its ability to shrink its
deficits is limited by current services levels and investment needs
driven by rapid urbanisation. Fitch expects pre-financing deficits,
averaging about 15.7% of total revenue, versus 9.5% in 2021-2025.
Investments are mainly for metro extension and highway bridge
construction.
Liabilities and Liquidity Robustness: 'Weaker'
Nearly 91% of Istanbul's debt is in foreign currencies and
unhedged, resulting in significant FX risk, due to large lira
volatility. Fitch expects FX volatility to increase Istanbul's debt
by TRY21 billion, or roughly 15%, by end-2026. The weighted average
life of debt was 3.2 years at end-2025, and most debt was
amortising. About 31% of its debt was bonds with a bullet
repayment. Almost half of its debt is at fixed interest rates
(47%), partly mitigating interest-rate risk. Istanbul is not
exposed to material off-balance-sheet risk. Contingent liabilities
are mostly borrowings of its water affiliate, ISKI, which is a
self-sustaining entity, underpinned by its strong payback ratio of
below 1.0x.
Liabilities and Liquidity Flexibility: 'Weaker'
Istanbul's counterparty risk stems from domestic liquidity
providers rated below 'BBB-', limiting its assessment to 'Weaker',
like its Turkish peers. Istanbul had TRY25 billion cash at
end-2025, up from TRY17.4 billion in 2024, but it remains earmarked
for the settlement of payables or spending such as payments to
contractors for its metro line investments. However, Istanbul can
generate additional liquidity through asset sales and benefits from
very good access to international and domestic financial and
capital markets. Turkish LRGs do not benefit from treasury lines or
cash-pooling, making it challenging to fund unexpected increases in
debt liabilities or spending.
Financial Profile: 'aaa category'
Fitch assesses Istanbul's financial profile assessment in the 'aaa'
category. Robust tax revenue growth will drive operating revenue
towards TRY735.7 billion, supported by expected real GDP growth of
about 4% on average. However, Fitch expects the operating margin to
remain under pressure over 2026-2030, averaging 33% due to
persistently high inflation, versus an average 40% in 2021-2025.
Under Fitch's rating case, Istanbul's operating balance will be
about TRY226.1 billion with adjusted debt of TRY794.1 billion in
2030, leading to a robust debt payback ratio (net adjusted
debt/operating balance) at 3.5x, in line with a 'aaa' financial
profile This is further supported by a robust actual debt service
coverage ratio (ADSCR) at 1.6x in 2030. The fiscal debt burden (net
adjusted debt/operating revenue) remains slightly above 100%, in
line with an 'a' category.
Other Rating Factors
Istanbul's IDRs are capped by the Turkish sovereign IDRs. Its
assessment does not consider extraordinary support from upper
government tiers or asymmetric risk. Under Fitch's International
LRG Criteria, Turkish LRGs cannot be rated above the sovereign due
to high fiscal interdependence between the central government and
Turkish subnationals.
Short-Term Ratings
The 'B' Short-Term IDR is the only option for a 'BB-' Long-Term
IDR.
National Ratings
Istanbul's 'AAA(tur)' National Long-Term Rating is driven by its
Long-Term Local-Currency IDR and based on a peer comparison.
Istanbul's National Long-Term Rating reflects its budgetary
flexibility benefiting from a valuable asset base, unlike its
Turkish peers, which it may use to generate additional liquidity,
and from very good access to both domestic and international
financial markets.
Debt Ratings
The long-term ratings on Istanbul's senior unsecured USD305 million
10.75% bond due in April 2027 and USD715 million 10.5% bond due in
December 2028 are in line with Istanbul's Long-Term IDR.
Peer Analysis
All Turkish metropolitan municipalities and international peers,
such as Yerevan City (SCP: bbb-) and Tashkent City, exhibit
'Weaker' risk profiles, driven by a volatile economic environment
and an evolving institutional framework in which they operate,
resulting in high volatility in operational cash flows.
Among Turkish LRGs, Istanbul is most comparable with Izmir and
Ankara metropolitan municipalities, given similar demographic
trends and relatively high GDP per capita. Istanbul's 'bbb-' SCP is
in line with that of Mersin Metropolitan Municipality, reflecting
broadly similar debt metrics, but remains weaker than Ankara's
'bbb' SCP. Compared with other Turkish LRGs, Istanbul has stronger
payback and ADSCR metrics than Izmir Metropolitan Municipality
(SCP: bb+).
Among international peers, Istanbul's debt metrics are broadly
comparable with that of Yerevan. However, Istanbul's ADSCR is
projected to weaken to 1.6x by 2030 due to higher borrowing costs,
versus Yerevan's, while its payback ratio remains stronger at 3.5x
versus Yerevan's 4.2x.
Issuer Profile
Istanbul is the largest city in Turkiye, with about 15.7 million
inhabitants. It has a crucial role in Turkiye's economy, due its
strategic location as an international junction of land and sea
trade routes, contributing to about 30% of national GDP.
Key Assumptions
Qualitative Assessments:
Risk Profile: 'Weaker'
Revenue Robustness: 'Midrange'
Revenue Adjustability: 'Weaker'
Expenditure Sustainability: 'Weaker'
Expenditure Adjustability: 'Midrange'
Liabilities and Liquidity Robustness: 'Weaker'
Liabilities and Liquidity Flexibility: 'Weaker'
Financial Profile: 'aaa'
Asymmetric Risk: 'N/A'
Support (Budget Loans): 'N/A'
Support (Ad Hoc): 'N/A'
Rating Cap (LT IDR): 'BB-'
Rating Cap (LT LC IDR) 'BB-'
Rating Floor: 'N/A'
Quantitative assumptions - Issuer Specific
Fitch's rating action is driven by the following assumptions for
reference metrics under the 2026-2030 rating case:
- Payback ratio: 3.5x
- ADSCR: 1.6x
- Fiscal debt burden: 107.9%
Fitch's through-the-cycle rating case incorporates a combination of
revenue, cost and financial risk stresses. It is based on 2021-2025
published figures and its expectations for 2026-2030:
- Operating revenue CAGR of 22.3% (69.2% year on year for
2021-2025) due to expected slowing nominal GDP growth of about 21%
on average
- Tax revenue CAGR of 22.9 (69.8% year on year in 2021-2025)
- Current transfers CAGR of 22.5% (66.2% year on year in
2021-2025)
- Opex CAGR of 25.3% (70.2% year on year for 2021-2025) due to
expected slowing inflation of about 21% on average in 2026-2030
- Negative net capital balance averagingTRY243.5 billion in
2026-2030
- Apparent cost of debt on average 9.6%, slightly below the average
cost of debt in 2025, based on declining interest rates. Istanbul
will predominantly continue borrowing in foreign currencies
- Average US dollar/Turkish lira assumptions based on Fitch's
sovereign estimate for 2026 at 51, for 2027 at 59 and for 2028 at
67, with an annual additional depreciation of 10% for 2029-2030
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A downgrade of the Turkish sovereign's IDRs or a downward revision
of Istanbul's SCP resulting from a debt payback of more than 9x on
a sustained basis would lead to a downgrade of Istanbul's IDRs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of the Turkish sovereign IDRs would lead to an upgrade
of Istanbul's IDRs.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Istanbul.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Discussion Note
There was an appropriate quorum at the committee and the members
confirmed that they were free from recusal. It was agreed that the
data was sufficiently robust relative to its materiality. During
the committee no material issues were raised that were not in the
original committee package. The main rating factors under the
relevant criteria were discussed by the committee members. The
rating decision as discussed in this rating action commentary
reflects the committee discussion.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
Istanbul's IDRs are capped by the Turkish sovereign ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Istanbul Metropolitan
Municipality
LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
Natl LT AAA(tur) Affirmed AAA(tur)
senior unsecured LT BB- Affirmed BB-
MERSIN METROPOLITAN: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDRs, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Mersin Metropolitan Municipality's
Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs)
at 'BB-' with Stable Outlooks.
The affirmation reflects its unchanged view that Mersin will
maintain a robust operating balance, despite persistent inflation
driven by higher imported energy prices amid regional geopolitical
tensions. The affirmation also takes into account that debt will
substantially increase due to investments and lira depreciation.
Nevertheless, Fitch expects Mersin's debt metrics to be supported
by a robust operating balance and to remain commensurate with a
'bbb-' Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) over the medium term. The
IDRs are capped by Turkiye's IDRs (BB-/Stable) and the Stable
Outlooks reflect those on the sovereign.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Standalone Credit Profile
Mersin's 'bbb-' SCP results from a 'Weaker' risk profile and a
'aaa' financial profile. The SCP also factors in comparison with
its national and international peers in the same rating category.
Risk Profile: 'Weaker'
The 'Weaker' risk profile reflects two 'Midrange' key rating
factors (KRFs) and four 'Weaker' KRFs. The assessment reflects a
high risk that Mersin's ability to cover debt service with its
operating balance may weaken unexpectedly over 2026-2030) due to
lower revenue, higher expenditure, or an unexpected rise in
liabilities or debt-service requirements.
Revenue Robustness: 'Midrange'
Mersin's tax revenue base is diversified, supported by its trade-
and manufacturing-driven local economy. The diversification leads
to less volatile tax revenue and buoyant growth prospects. Fitch
expects tax revenue growth to only slightly exceed Turkiye's
nominal GDP CAGR of 21% for 2026-2030. This is underscored by
Mersin's 67.8% tax revenue CAGR in 2021-2025, versus the national
nominal GDP CAGR of 65%. Tax revenue should drive operating revenue
higher towards TRY60.9 billion in 2030 from TRY22.7 billion in
2025, supporting its operating balance under its rating case. Tax
revenue represented about 70% of operating revenue on average in
2021-2025.
Revenue Adjustability: 'Weaker'
Mersin's ability to generate additional revenue is constrained by
nationally determined tax rates. At end-2025, nationally set and
collected taxes comprised 69% of total revenue. Local taxes, over
which Mersin has tax autonomy, made up a low 0.1% of total revenue,
implying negligible tax flexibility, and are constrained by
ceilings set by the central government. Tax-setting inflexibility
is partly compensated by fees and charges levied on public services
over which Mersin has some flexibility and by scope for asset
sales. These accounted for 9.9% and 2.6%, respectively, of total
revenue in 2025.
Expenditure Sustainability: 'Weaker'
Fitch expects the persistent high inflationary operating
environment to erode expenditure control despite Mersin's
moderately cyclical and counter-cyclical responsibilities. Opex
growth was broadly aligned with operating revenue growth over
2021-2025, with both rising by about 67%.
Fitch expects high inflation, albeit on a declining trend, to
continue to drive faster opex growth than operating revenue growth
by about 3%. Mersin has a capital-intensive investment programme
over the next five years, with an emphasis on its tram and metro
line projects. This, alongside high inflation, will further limit
Mersin's capacity to control its spending. Fitch expects slower
inflation from 2027, and cost-cutting measures introduced by the
central government to help it regain some control of expenditure
growth.
Expenditure Adjustability: 'Midrange'
Mersin has a low share of inflexible costs compared with
international peers, averaging 70% of totex. This is
counterbalanced by a weak record of balanced budgets, due to large
swings in capex and moderate affordability for cuts, given modest
existing public services and investments. Mersin will invest
TRY15.9 billion annually mainly in capital-intensive public
transportation in the next five years, keeping capex at about 30%
of totex under its rating case. Fitch expects such capex to lead to
large budget deficits before financing on average at close to 18%
of total revenue for 2026-2030, compared with deficits at 9% over
2021-2025 and a surplus before financing in 2025.
Liabilities and Liquidity Robustness: 'Weaker'
Significant Turkish lira volatility exposes Mersin to considerable
FX risk, as nearly 41% of its total debt is in euros and unhedged.
Its debt has a short weighted-average life at two years, increasing
refinancing risk. This is mitigated by the fully amortising nature
of its bank loans and an actual debt service coverage ratio
remaining at least 1.5x under Fitch's rating case. Fitch also
expects new foreign-currency loans to extend the average maturity
of its existing debt stock. Interest-rate risk is mitigated by most
of Mersin's bank loans (54%) being at fixed rates at end-2025.
Mersin is not exposed to material off-balance-sheet risk.
Contingent liabilities (TRY1.3 billion) are moderate and stem
solely from its water affiliate, MESKI, which is self-sustaining.
MESKI's borrowing will continue to increase due to its new
investments, but Fitch expects the company to service its debt with
its own cash flow. In 2025, the company reported a resilient
operating balance, leading to a payback ratio at 1.1x.
Liabilities and Liquidity Flexibility: 'Weaker'
Mersin's counterparty risk stems from domestic liquidity providers
rated below 'BBB-', which coupled with the short tenor of its
loans, limits its assessment to 'Weaker', as for its Turkish peers.
Mersin's available cash at end-2025 was fully restricted for
payables settlement. It has a record of good access to national
lenders and is improving its relationship with international
lenders. Turkish local and regional governments (LRGs) do not
benefit from treasury lines or national cash-pooling, making
funding unexpected increases in debt liabilities or spending peaks
challenging.
Financial Profile: 'aaa category'
Fitch assesses Mersin's financial profile in the 'aaa' category.
Fitch projects operating revenue at TRY60.9 billion by 2030, driven
by tax revenue, based on average real GDP growth of about 4% and
average inflation of 20%. However, Fitch expects the operating
margin to remain under pressure over 2026-2030, averaging around
20% in its rating case due to continued inflationary pressures.
Fitch's rating case forecasts Mersin's operating balance at about
TRY11.6 billion and direct debt at TRY48.7 billion in 2030 (up from
TRY1.3 billion in 2025), leading to a payback ratio (net adjusted
debt/operating balance) at 4.2x, in line with a 'aaa' financial
profile. Fitch expects Mersin's actual debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) to decline to 1.5x by 2030 but still remain resilient,
corresponding to an 'a' category. The fiscal debt burden (net
adjusted debt/operating revenue) will remain below 100%, in line
with a 'aa' category.
Other Rating Factors
Mersin's IDRs are capped by the Turkish sovereign IDRs. Its
assessment does not consider extraordinary support from upper
government tiers or asymmetric risk. Under Fitch's International
LRG Criteria, Turkish LRGs cannot be rated above the sovereign due
to high fiscal interdependence between the central government and
Turkish subnationals.
Short-Term Ratings
The 'B' Short-Term IDR is the only option for a 'BB-' Long-Term
IDR.
National Ratings
Mersin's 'AA+(tur)' National Long-Term Rating is mapped to its
Long-Term Local-Currency IDR and based on a peer comparison. The
Outlook is Stable.
Peer Analysis
All Turkish metropolitan municipalities and international peers,
such as Yerevan City and Almaty City, have 'Weaker' risk profiles,
driven by a volatile economic environment and an evolving
institutional framework, resulting in high volatility in
operational cash flows
Mersin's national and international peers all have 'Weaker' risk
profiles, and their SCPs vary primarily based on their leverage
metrics. Its payback ratio is at the lower end of 'aaa', similar to
Konya Metropolitan Municipality (BB-/Stable) and Yerevan City
(BB-/Positive) and slightly above that of Istanbul Metropolitan
Municipality (BB-/Stable).
Mersin's 'bbb-' SCP is in line with Istanbul's and Yerevan City's
and below Manisa Metropolitan Municipality's 'bbb'.
Issuer Profile
Mersin is an important logistics hub with connections to the Middle
East and the Black Sea. It has a population of two million,
accounting for 2.3% of the national total. Mersin's GDP per capita
in 2024 was TRY444,761, 88% of the national average.
Key Assumptions
Qualitative Assumptions:
Risk Profile: 'Weaker'
Revenue Robustness: 'Midrange'
Revenue Adjustability: 'Weaker'
Expenditure Sustainability: 'Weaker'
Expenditure Adjustability: 'Midrange'
Liabilities and Liquidity Robustness: 'Weaker'
Liabilities and Liquidity Flexibility: 'Weaker'
Financial Profile: 'aaa'
Asymmetric Risk: 'N/A'
Support (Budget Loans): 'N/A'
Support (Ad Hoc): 'N/A'
Rating Cap (LT IDR): 'BB-'
Rating Cap (LT LC IDR) 'BB-'
Rating Floor: 'N/A'
Quantitative assumptions - Issuer Specific
Fitch's rating action is driven by the following assumptions for
reference metrics under the 2026-2030 rating case.
- Payback ratio: 4.2x
- Actual DSCR: 1.5x
- Fiscal debt burden: 79.9%
Fitch's through-the-cycle rating case incorporates a combination of
revenue, cost and financial risk stresses. It is based on 2021-2025
published figures and its expectations for 2026-2030:
- Operating revenues CAGR of 21.9% (67.4% year on year for
2021-2025) due to expected slowing nominal GDP growth of about 21%
on average
- Tax revenue CAGR of 22.6 (67.8% year on year in 2021-2025)
- Current transfers CAGR of 22.5% (67.6% year on year in
2021-2025)
- Opex CAGR of 24.7% (66.8% year on year for 2021-2025) due to
expected slowing inflation of about 21% on average
- Negative net capital balance averaging TRY15.7 billion a year in
2026-2030
- Apparent cost of debt on average 19.6%, below the average cost of
debt in 2025, based on the higher share of foreign-currency
borrowing
- Average US dollar/Turkish lira assumptions based on Fitch's
sovereign estimate for 2026 at 51, for 2027 at 59 and for 2028 at
67, with an annual additional depreciation of 10% for 2029-2030
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A downgrade of Turkiye's sovereign IDRs or a downward revision of
Mersin's SCP, resulting from a debt payback of more than 9x on a
sustained basis, would lead to a downgrade of the IDRs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of Turkiye's sovereign IDRs would lead to an upgrade of
Mersin's IDRs.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Mersin.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Discussion Note
Committee date: 10 June 2026
There was an appropriate quorum at the committee and the members
confirmed that they were free from recusal. It was agreed that the
data was sufficiently robust relative to its materiality. During
the committee no material issues were raised that were not in the
original committee package. The main rating factors under the
relevant criteria were discussed by the committee members. The
rating decision as discussed in this rating action commentary
reflects the committee discussion.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
Mersin's IDRs are capped by Turkiye's sovereign IDRs.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Mersin Metropolitan
Municipality LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
LC ST IDR B Affirmed B
Natl LT AA+(tur) Affirmed AA+(tur)
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Birkenstock Holding plc's Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB+'. The Outlook is Stable. Fitch
has also assigned its upcoming EUR900 million senior unsecured
notes an expected rating of 'BB+(EXP)' with a Recovery Rating
'RR4'. The final rating is contingent on the receipt of final
documents conforming to information already reviewed.
The rating affirmation reflects its expectation that Birkenstock
will maintain strong operating performance with robust credit
metrics and increasing leverage headroom from FY27 (financial year
to September) after the announced debt-funded share buyback in
FY26. Birkenstock's rating is supported by healthy operating
profitability, strong free cash flow (FCF), and a proven commitment
to a conservative financial policy, mitigating its business model
concentration risks.
Key Rating Drivers
Leverage Headroom Temporarily Reduced: Fitch expects EBITDA gross
leverage to rise to 2.1x in FY26, slightly above the negative
sensitivity, driven by its planned share buyback (SBB) of about
EUR470 million, partly funded by the new EUR900 million debt, in
addition to the USD250 million SBB announced in May. The leverage
rise is also driven by weaker earnings growth due to the US tariffs
and FX challenges.
Fitch forecasts EBITDA gross leverage to average 1.7x in FY27-FY29
(net: 1.0x), building more comfortable leverage headroom. This
leverage is more conservative than the 'BB' mid-point for
Fitch-rated consumer products companies, reflecting the company's
high product concentration, moderate scale and niche market
position.
Financial Policy is Key: The rating affirmation reflects its view
of the company's commitment to maintaining a conservative leverage
profile. Birkenstock has adhered to a clear financial policy of
deleveraging and has a commensurate record since its L Catterton
acquisition, including a public commitment to reduce net
debt/EBITDA (IFRS 16, as calculated by the company) to below 1.0x.
Adherence to this conservative financial policy supports the rating
at the upper end of the 'BB' category, balancing its business
risks.
Healthy Profitability Despite Near-Term Challenges: Fitch expects
the US tariffs and FX movements to pressure profitability in FY26,
reducing EBITDA margin to 28%, before recovering towards 29% by
FY28 on growing scale benefits and moderating FX challenges. Fitch
views these margins as very strong, commensurate with the upper end
of the investment-grade category for the sector, reflecting the
company's strong brand, pricing power and high vertical
integration.
Strong Growth Continues: Fitch forecasts Birkenstock's revenue to
grow in the low-teens in FY26, following some improvement from the
9% sales growth reported for 1HFY26, before moderating towards the
high single digits over FY27-FY29. Fitch sees potential for higher
revenue growth with reduced FX movements and continued strong
consumer demand. Growth will also be supported by ongoing
manufacturing capacity expansion and the roll out of new stores
across key geographies, and disproportionately strong growth in
APAC. Birkenstock's actions to mitigate the impact of trade tariffs
include stock build-up, strong pricing power and logistic
optimisation in the US.
Strong Brand; Effective Distribution: The rating reflects
Birkenstock's continued rapid revenue growth despite muted consumer
sentiment in many of its markets, with the brand maintaining wide
appeal and a loyal customer base, particularly in the US and
Europe. This is driven by the product's unique and increasingly
appreciated qualities of comfort, innovation, and an effective
distribution model, with careful allocation of products across
markets and channels, including a growing direct-to-consumer online
sales channel.
Scale, Diversification Constrain Ratings: The ratings are
constrained by Birkenstock's narrow product diversification and
moderate scale for the sector. The fashion appeal in its product
offering, with various designs and colours, increases its
vulnerability to consumer preference changes. Most of its sales are
driven by its five core models, which are offered in a wide range
of variants, with a concentration on sandals and the premium end.
However, the share of closed-toe footwear has been gradually
increasing, to over 30% of sales in FY25. These operating risk
factors are balanced by strong profitability, healthy FCF margins
and conservative leverage.
Gradual Product Diversification: Birkenstock is diversifying its
products with a variety of styles under each model to meet regional
appetite, different usage occasions and evolving consumer trends
and preferences, plus expansion into lower- and higher-priced items
and closed-toe products. Fitch believes diversified geographical
growth, the trend towards more casual clothing and increasing
consumer health consciousness could be beneficial for Birkenstock's
orthopedic offering and help reduce risks related to a narrow
product portfolio.
Peer Analysis
Birkenstock's credit profile is comparable with Levi Strauss &
Co.'s (BBB-/Stable). Both have high concentration on one brand.
Birkenstock has comparable conservative financial discipline,
greater penetration into the direct-to-consumer channel and higher
profitability following deleveraging. The one-notch rating
differential is due mainly to Levi Strauss's much greater scale and
diversification by product.
Birkenstock has a more concentrated product portfolio than Spectrum
Brands, Inc. (BB/Stable), a well-diversified manufacturer of home
and garden, personal care and pet care products. However, Spectrum
has much lower profitability, with an EBITDA margin of 9%-10%,
leading to Birkenstock's EBITDA being about twice as large as
Spectrum's and stronger FCF generation. Fitch also projects
leverage to be marginally stronger, compared with its expectations
for Spectrum at about 2.0x in 2026-2028.
Birkenstock's business profile is weaker than that of Reynolds
Consumer Products Inc. (BB+/Stable), a leading company in the U.S.
aluminium foil industry, due to Reynolds' greater product
diversification. This is offset by Birkenstock's stronger financial
profile, characterised by higher profitability, a stronger FCF
margin, and lower gross leverage compared with Reynolds' projected
EBITDA leverage of 2.5x.
Mattel, Inc. (BBB-/Stable) is a leading global toy manufacturer
with a stronger business profile than Birkenstock, due to its
larger market size and greater diversification, which justify its
higher rating. Birkenstock has a higher EBITDA margin and lower
leverage metrics but maintains high concentration within its
product portfolio.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Organic growth of 10% in FY26, followed by a CAGR of 8% over
FY27-FY29, driven by price and volume growth across all markets
- EBITDA margin declining to 28.1% in FY26 due to cost challenges
related to tariffs and FX, before gradually improving toward 29%
over FY27-FY29
- Change in working capital averaging approximately 2.8% of sales
over FY26-FY29
- Capex of about EUR130 million in FY26, followed by normalisation
to EUR110 million over FY27-FY29
- SBB at about EUR700 million in FY26, followed by EUR200 million a
year to FY29
- No M&A
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bbb-', Lower), sector characteristics
('bbb-', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('bb+',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('bb-', Higher),
company operational characteristics ('bbb-', Moderate),
profitability ('a-', Lower), financial structure ('a', Moderate),
and financial flexibility ('bbb', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 40% weight for the forecast year FY26,
40% for the forecast year FY27 and 20% for the forecast year FY28.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'aa-' has no impact.
The SCP is 'bb+'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BB+'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
• Unsuccessful implementation of the commercial strategy or
weakening brand appeal leading to EBITDA declining below EUR500
million
• EBITDA margin falling below 27% and failure to maintain
mid-single digit FCF margins
• Absorption of resources in connection to growth, or financial
policy changes causing gross EBITDA gross leverage to rise above
2.0x or EBITDA net leverage above 1.5x
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch does not envisage an upgrade in the medium term, unless it
maintains its successful commercial strategy leading to
Fitch-adjusted EBITDA growth towards USD1 billion. This would need
to be accompanied by increased financial policy clarity, including
on shareholder distributions, supporting consistent FCF margins in
the high single digits and EBITDA gross leverage trending towards
1.0x
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Fitch expects Birkenstock to maintain comfortable liquidity for
FY26-FY29. This comprises Fitch-calculated EUR280 million cash on
balance sheet at FYE25, strong FCF generation through to FY29 and
the availability of EUR100 million from EUR210 million revolving
credit facility due in 2029.
The new notes will extend Birkenstock's debt maturity profile to
2033, with no debt maturity before February 2029, when the EUR375
million and USD280 million term loan B (USD119 million outstanding
as of March 2026) tranches fall due. The mandatory 5% amortisation
of the U.S. dollar term loan B is the only scheduled debt repayment
over the rating horizon.
Issuer Profile
Birkenstock is a Germany-based manufacturer of branded casual
footwear.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Birkenstock.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Birkenstock
Holding plc LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
Birkenstock
Financing S.a.r.l.
senior unsecured LT BB+ Affirmed RR4 BB+
Birkenstock Group
B.V. & Co. KG
senior unsecured LT BB+(EXP) Expected Rating RR4
BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING: S&P Affirms BB+ ICR & Alters Outlook to Neg.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on its rating on Birkenstock
Holding PLC to negative from stable, and affirmed its 'BB+'
long-term issuer credit rating. At the same time, S&P assigned its
'BB+' issue rating on the new proposed EUR900 million senior
unsecured notes due 2033 issued by Birkenstock Group B.V. & Co. KG
with a recovery rating of '3'.
The negative outlook reflects Birkenstock's limited rating headroom
amid increased leverage pro forma for the transaction due to
higher-than-expected discretionary spending in share buyback with
adjusted leverage expected to approach 3.0x before deleveraging
again toward 2.5x in 2027.
Birkenstock Group B.V. & Co. KG (a subsidiary of Birkenstock
Holding PLC) plans to issue a new EUR900 million senior unsecured
note due 2033 to refinance the existing EUR429 million senior
unsecured note (EUR432 million including accrued interests) due
2029 and to fund strategic initiatives including share buybacks
(subject to market conditions) and other corporate purposes. In its
base case, S&P assumes cash proceeds to be used for share buybacks.
This is in addition to the $250 million accelerated share
repurchase agreement the company announced in May that is expected
to be completed by end-June 2026.
In second-quarter of fiscal 2026 (second quarter ended March 31),
Birkenstock Holding PLC (Birkenstock) posted robust operating
performance with revenue growth of 14% on a constant currency basis
supported by all geographies and channels. The unfavorable foreign
exchange (FX) impact and tariffs affect the company's EBITDA
margin. Birkenstock confirmed its full year guidance of 13%-15%
revenue growth in constant currency and company's adjusted EBITDA
margin of 30.0%-30.5% (down from 31.8% in previous year).
Pro forma for the proposed transaction, S&P expects 2026 S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA to increase to about 3.0x, up from
2.1x posted in 2025, and to progressively reduce to about 2.5x in
2027 as the company will focus on deleveraging. A higher EBITDA
base and good cash flow conversion despite annual capital
expenditure (capex) of about EUR120 million and potential recurring
share buybacks of $200 million per year mainly underpins the
expected deleveraging.
S&P said, "The transaction represents a negative deviation in the
expected deleveraging trend of the company compared with our
previous base-case scenario. As of end of fiscal 2025 (ended Sept.
30, 2025), the company posted S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to
EBITDA of 2.1x. Under our previous base case, we expected S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted leverage to remain broadly flat for fiscal
2026. Accounting for the proposed transaction, we now forecast S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA 2026 for Birkenstock of
about 3.0x. We expect that the company will reduce leverage to
about 2.5x in 2027 and between 2.0x-2.5x the following year, under
the assumption of about $200 million of potential recurring share
buyback per year but without assuming any further cash outflow
related to additional share buyback initiatives. We think that
Birkenstock's financial policy remains generally supportive despite
additional share buybacks to support L Catterton's progressive
exit. Although we anticipate the company will focus on
deleveraging, we also note that the potential for additional future
share buyback could introduce higher uncertainty around the pace of
future deleveraging. In line with company's guidance, under our
base case we factor about $200 million worth of share repurchase
per year. Any additional share buyback could limit the deleveraging
of the company and further reduce the already limited rating
headroom. We understand that share buyback is intended to
facilitate L Catterton's gradual relinquishing of control of the
company, while simultaneously increasing the share of free float
(about 20.3% as of June 15, 2025) to support liquidity of stock."
Birkenstock launched a new EUR900 million senior unsecured note to
refinance its existing bond and to fund strategic initiatives
including share buybacks and other corporate purposes. The company
plans to use transaction cash proceeds to repay its EUR429 million
senior unsecured note (EUR432 million including accrued interests)
maturing in 2029, while the remaining portion (about EUR471
million) will be utilized for strategic initiatives including share
buybacks (subject to market conditions) and other corporate
purposes. The new instrument will have a tenure of seven years,
maturing in 2033, and will rank pari passu with the rest of the
capital structure. A process of security release in relation to the
existing term loan Bs (TLBs; both euro and U.S. dollar) and the
revolving credit facility (RCF) is intended to be carried out in
connection with the bond offering. Pro forma, the transaction
brings EUR471 million additional debt to the current capital
structure. The company has also recently drawn EUR110 million under
the company's EUR225 million RCF due in 2029 (of which EUR15
million has been separated into ancillary facilities) in connection
with the recent $250 million accelerated share repurchase announced
in May 2026 and expected to be completed by June 30, 2026. S&P
said, "We expect total S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt of about
EUR1.96 billion as of end-2026 consisting of EUR375 million
euro-denominated TLB, EUR99.8 million euro-equivalent U.S.
dollar-denominated TLB, EUR900 million of new senior unsecured
notes, about EUR231 million vendor loan, about EUR230 million of
lease liabilities, and about EUR310 million tax receivables
agreement. We continue to net the accessible cash on the balance
sheet (about EUR176 million as of June 1, 2026) in our adjusted
debt calculation, and we maintain a positive view on Birkenstock's
disciplined approach with deleveraging remaining a key strategic
priority for the company."
S&P said, "We think that Birkenstock will maintain its underlying
operating performance despite an overall challenging market
environment. On the operational side, the company continues to
demonstrate a robust performance despite macroeconomic and
geopolitical challenges. Birkenstock maintains a strong market
positioning through its ability to recruit new customers and
diversify its product portfolio, while maintaining a loyal existing
customer base. During the second quarter of 2026, Birkenstock
posted revenue of EUR618 million (up 14% year on year on a constant
currency basis) with the Americas (+14%) and Asia Pacific (+30%) as
the fastest growing regions. While business-to-business (15% growth
at constant currency in the second quarter) remains a key
distribution channel to attract young customers specifically, the
company continues to invest in the expansion of its direct to
customer channel (12% growth at constant currency in the second
quarter) targeting the opening of a total of 40 new stores in 2026.
For the full year 2026, we now expect reported revenue growth in
the range of 9%-10% affected by FX headwinds. We think that the
business-to-business (B2B) will continue to outpace
direct-to-consumer over the next couple of years, as this remains
the key growth strategy for the company. In terms of profitability,
we anticipate tariff, channel mix, and FX headwinds will negatively
affect the S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin, which we
forecast at about 28.5%-29.0% for 2026 (down from 30.8% in 2025),
slightly improving in 2027 to about 29.5%-30.0%. We think that the
company has multiple levers at its disposal to partially mitigate
the anticipated headwinds, including sales price adjustments and a
better absorption of fixed costs. The company's plans to increase
production capacity are progressing and it has spent about half of
its annual capex budget, which we estimate at about EUR120 million
for full year 2026 (in line with the company's guidance of EUR110
million-EUR130 million). Notably, the existing Arouca and Görlitz
plants are expected to be completed by the end of 2026, while the
new brownfield facility in Wittichenau should be ready for
production later in 2027. We anticipate these investments will
allow for better capacity absorption in Birkenstock's manufacturing
facilities, further contributing positively to offset market
volatility and protecting the EBITDA margin. We expect annual free
operating cash flow (FOCF) to remain strong at about EUR210
million-EUR240 million in 2026, strengthening to about EUR290
million-EUR320 million in 2027."
The negative outlook reflects Birkenstock's limited rating headroom
amid increased leverage pro forma for the transaction due to
higher-than-expected discretionary spending in share buyback with
S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage expected to approach 3.0x
before deleveraging toward 2.5x in 2027.
S&P said, "We could take negative rating action on Birkenstock if
it could not show a clear deleveraging trend such that adjusted
debt to EBITDA approaches 2.5x in 2027 with an expectation to
further reduce toward 2.0x over the following year, or if the
company generates significantly lower-than-expected annual FOCF.
This could happen, for example, if the company undertakes higher
than currently anticipated share buyback or if subdued consumer
confidence weighed on the company's topline growth and
profitability.
"We could consider revising the outlook to stable if the company
shows steady EBITDA growth resulting in a quicker than expected
deleveraging path such that debt to EBITDA decreases close to 2.0x.
This would also depend on the company's ability to maintain sizable
positive FOCF generation without additional discretionary spending
for shareholder remuneration or merger and acquisition activities
other than what is currently factored in our base case."
BROOKING HIRE: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------------
Brooking Hire Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-004348. Philip Dakin and
Benjamin John Wiles, both of Kroll Advisory Ltd, were appointed as
Joint Administrators on June 3, 2026.
The company engaged in specialised construction activities. Its
registered office and principal trading address is Brush House,
Star Road, Partridge Green, West Sussex, RH13 8RA.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Philip Dakin
Benjamin John Wiles
Kroll Advisory Ltd
The News Building
Level 6
3 London Bridge Street
London SE1 9SG
Further information:
Contact: Jodi Sheridan
Email: jodi.sheridan@kroll.com
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7089 4751
Kroll Advisory Ltd
CD&R FIREFLY: Moody's Rates Amended & Extended Loans 'B2'
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned B2 instruments ratings to CD&R Firefly
4 Limited's (MFG) proposed new GBP backed senior secured term loan
B12 and EUR backed senior secured term loan B13, with a combined
face value of up to GBP3,563 million equivalent, the GBP716 million
backed senior secured revolving credit facility and the GBP200
million backed senior secured letter of credit facility, all due
2031 and to be borrowed by CD&R Firefly Bidco Plc. All other
ratings, including MFG's B2 corporate family rating (CFR), and the
stable outlook are unaffected.
The new issuance will repay and effectively reprice CD&R Firefly
Bidco Plc's existing term loan facilities and upsize the facilities
by up to GBP550 million. On completion of the transaction the
instrument ratings of the existing term loans will be withdrawn.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The B2 instrument ratings assigned to MFG's amended and extended
senior secured loans due 2031 are in line with the ratings of the
company's other senior secured debt facilities.
MFG will use the net proceeds from the recapitalisation, together
with around GBP100 million of cash on balance sheet, to fund a
GBP600 million distribution to holders of preferred shares. The
proposed transaction will increase leverage by around 0.8x to 6.2x,
as measured by Moody's-adjusted gross Debt/EBITDA ratio, pro forma
based on the 12 months ended March 31, 2026.
While the transaction increases MFG's leverage to the upper end of
the range Moody's considers appropriate for the B2 rating, Moody's
expects continued EBITDA growth to support a reduction in leverage
to below 6.0x by year-end 2026. MFG has demonstrated a track record
of deleveraging, with leverage declining to 5.4x in March 2026 from
5.8x in December 2025 and 6.6x in December 2024, following its peak
after the acquisition of Morrisons (Market Holdco 3 Limited)'s
petrol filling stations. This improvement was achieved despite a
GBP310 million dividend recapitalisation completed in January
2025.
The company's performance in the first quarter of 2026 benefited
from strong fuel volume growth of 5% post increase in pole prices
due to the Middle East conflict, as consumers were seeking lower
fuel prices, an effect which is unlikely to repeat.
MFG's B2 ratings continue to be supported by its highly resilient
and cash-generative business model with a lean cost structure,
underpinned by its predominantly company-owned franchise-operated
(COFO) model. The company is investing in the expansion of its
electric vehicle (EV) charging network and in enhancements to its
retail offering, including food-to-go and valeting services. MFG
has committed to invest more than GBP400 million in EV charging
infrastructure over 10 years, starting from 2021. Despite elevated
capital spending, which Moody's expects to be around GBP120 million
annually, and higher interest costs as the debt balance continues
to grow, Moody's forecasts Moody's-adjusted free cash flow
(excluding shareholder distributions) of around GBP100 million in
2026 and 2027.
RATING OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that MFG will
continue achieving organic revenue and gross profit growth over the
next 12-18 months. The outlook also reflects Moody's expectations
that the company will maintain a balanced financial policy and any
shareholder distributions will not lead to material re-leveraging.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The ratings could be upgraded if MFG's Moody's-adjusted gross
Debt/EBITDA sustainably reduces below 5.25x and its
Moody's-adjusted (EBITDA–Capex)/Interest expense exceeds 1.75x.
An upgrade would also require the company to maintain broadly
stable fuel volumes and margins.
The ratings could be downgraded if MFG's Moody's-adjusted gross
Debt/EBITDA increases above 6.25x; Moody's-adjusted
(EBITDA–Capex)/Interest expense decreases below 1.25x;
Moody's-adjusted free cash flow turns negative for an extended
period or liquidity weakens.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Retail and
Apparel published in September 2025.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Headquartered in St Albans, England, MFG is the largest independent
forecourt operator in the UK with 1,219 stations, operating under
multiple fuel brands. The company mainly operates petrol filling
stations and offers convenience retail stores and
food-to-go-services. In 2025, MFG generated GBP7.7 billion of
revenue and a company-adjusted EBITDA of GBP705 million. The
company has been majority owned by funds managed by private equity
firm Clayton Dubilier & Rice, LLC since 2015, with Morrisons
(Market Holdco 3 Limited) as minority shareholder.
DRAX GROUP: S&P Affirms 'BB+' ICR & Alters Outlook to Stable
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on both U.K.-based
diversified energy business Drax Group Holdings Ltd. (Drax) and
Drax Power Ltd. to stable from positive. Despite the limited
headroom following the transaction, S&P thinks cash conversion will
remain solid over 2026-2028 and metrics will remain above our 30%
downside threshold.
S&P said, "We also affirmed our 'BB+' long-term issuer credit
ratings on Drax Group Holdings Ltd. and Drax Power Ltd. In
addition, we affirmed our 'BB+' senior secured issue rating on the
debt issued by Drax Finco Ltd., maintained the '3' recovery rating,
and changed the recovery percentage to about 55% from about 60%
recovery in the event of a default."
On June 1, 2026, Drax Group Holdings Ltd. (Drax) announced its
acquisition of Bluefield Solar Income Fund (BSIF) for about GBP548
million. The proposed acquisition is valued at about GBP1 billion,
as BSIF has about GBP500 million of net debt on the balance sheet,
and will be funded through debt.
S&P said, "We regard as positive this diversification of Drax's
portfolio, as it will lower the group's reliance on subsidised
biomass generation while generating highly contracted revenue.
However, the additional debt burden will reduce rating headroom,
and we expect funds from operations (FFO) to debt will fall to 31%
on average over 2026-2028 from 68% in 2025.
"The outlook revision and rating affirmation follow Drax's
announcement it has agreed to acquire U.K. solar and renewables
company BSIF as part of its strategy to diversify earnings and
broaden its base of generation assets. The proposed acquisition
includes approximately 860 megawatts (MW) of operational and
under-construction solar and onshore wind capacity, alongside a 2.9
gigawatt (GW) development pipeline for solar and battery energy
storage systems (BESS). Of this pipeline, 1.2 GW of projects are at
advanced stages, and we expect they will be completed by end-2029.
While we project that credit metric headroom will tighten due to
the acquisition, we view the added diversification and BSIF's
largely contracted earnings positively."
These new assets will complement Drax's existing portfolio of 2.6
GW biomass generation and 2.2 GW flexible generation, comprising
operational pumped storge and hydro, as well as one open-cycle gas
turbine (OCGT), together with two OCGTs and BESS assets in
development. S&P said, "Consequently, we expect biomass to decline
from 87% of generation earnings in 2025 to about 25% by 2029. This
compares favorably to the earnings mix prior to the
acquisition--when we expected Biomass to represent 40% of
generation earnings in 2029--and reduces Drax's exposure to
potential shifts in government support toward biomass in 2031.
Further, the lower marginal costs of onshore wind and solar assets
place them higher in the merit order than biomass, contributing to
more efficient dispatch economics across the integrated portfolio.
We view this as supportive of an improved business risk profile and
a relaxation of our upside FFO to debt threshold by 5 percentage
points to 40%."
S&P said, "We expect revenue from the acquired BSIF portfolio will
be underpinned by largely contracted cash flow, increasing the
diversification and predictability of Drax's earnings and reducing
its reliance on subsidized biomass. BSIF revenue was 92% contracted
in 2025 and we expect it to remain above about 70% contracted
through 2031. Most of the existing contracted revenue is
underpinned by renewable obligation certificates (ROCs) which begin
to roll off in 2033 and all expire by 2037, while pipeline solar
and BESS are expected to be largely covered through contracts for
difference (CfDs) with about 45% of CfDs for the 1.2 GW advanced
projects already secured. Combined with Drax's existing contracted
capacity, the group's largely contracted acquired earnings also
support its business risk profile, in our view.
The proposed acquisition will provide immediate earnings scale,
with the new assets expected to contribute an additional GBP130
million average EBITDA annually over 2026-2028. Prior to the
acquisition, S&P expected earnings from generation to fall
significantly in absolute and relative terms in 2027 when the ROCs
scheme for Drax Power Station expires and the bridge CfD comes into
effect.
Nevertheless, the proposed acquisition is dilutive of Drax's credit
metrics, with FFO to debt decreasing to 31% over 2026-2028 from 68%
in 2025, largely as a result of the purchase. The GBP561 million
all-cash acquisition, with consolidation of about GBP500 million of
debt, will be financed via debt. S&P said, "As a result, we expect
Drax's net debt will rise to a peak of about GBP2 billion in 2026
and remain materially higher than pre-acquisition debt levels for
the remainder of our forecast. We expect leverage will average 2.5x
debt to EBITDA over 2026-2028, remaining above the group's target
of 2x. That said, we consider it positive that the group has paused
its share buyback program, supporting credit metrics and
demonstrating a commitment to reaching the leverage target. Given
the significantly reduced headroom for Drax's credit metrics over
our forecast period, at the current rating level the group has
limited capacity for further leverage-driven expansion. To support
the acquisition, Drax has secured a financing bridge, which
demonstrates the company's commitment to our strong liquidity
assessment. We expect Drax to refinance this through a public bond
issuance in the second half of 2026."
S&P said, "The stable outlook reflects our expectation that Drax's
weighted-average FFO to debt will be 31% for over 2026-2028.
Despite the limited headroom following the BSIF acquisition, we
think cash conversion will remain solid over this period and
metrics will remain above our 30% downside threshold. The stable
outlook also reflects our expectation that Drax will maintain its
current financial policy of targeting debt to EBITDA of 2.0x and
will trend toward that target by 2029. Our base case does not
factor in any new large credit-dilutive acquisitions or any
significant proceeds from divestments.
"We could lower the ratings if Drax's credit metrics are
consistently below FFO to debt of about 30% over the next 24
months. This could result, for instance, from significant
underperformance of Drax's generation assets, notably with
substantial unplanned outages. It could also result from markedly
lower power prices and ROC revenue than we anticipated. However, we
consider this scenario as unlikely over the next 12-18 months,
given the level of free cash flow and contracted power sales for
the group over this period.
"We could raise the ratings if Drax consistently achieves FFO to
debt above 40% while pivoting and diversifying away from subsidized
biomass earnings."
ENQUEST PLC: Moody's Puts 'B3' CFR on Review for Upgrade
--------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has placed on review for upgrade the B3 corporate
family rating and the B3-PD probability of default rating of
EnQuest plc ("EnQuest"). Moody's also placed on review for upgrade
the Caa1 instrument rating of the $675 million backed senior
unsecured notes issued by the company. Previously, the outlook was
positive.
On June 10, 2026, EnQuest announced it had agreed to acquire
interests in four offshore production sharing contracts in Malaysia
from subsidiaries of Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS, A2
stable) for a maximum total consideration of $833 million.
Management expects closing on December 31, 2026, subject to
shareholder approvals and other customary completion conditions.
RATINGS RATIONALE / FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR
DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The proposed acquisition represents a material, credit-positive
expansion for EnQuest, significantly increasing production and
reserves while also improving asset diversification. Pro forma
production would more than double to over 100 kboepd, with 2P
reserves increasing by c.85% and a substantial uplift in contingent
resources, supporting a stable production profile over the next few
years.
At the same time, the assets are low-cost (c.$10/barrel) and drive
a meaningful reduction in group unit operating costs, enhancing
margins and lowering cash flow breakeven. The transaction would
also increase the company's exposure to Malaysia (A3 stable), a
core and stable operating region where EnQuest has an established
track record, partially mitigating the execution risks typically
associated with the integration of a significantly enlarged asset
base.
EnQuest will fund the acquisition with a combination of cash on
balance sheet and drawings under the reserves based lending
facility, which is being increased to $700 million through an
accordion. As a consequence, at the end of 2025, Moody's estimates
that pro forma for the proposed acquisition, Moody's-adjusted gross
debt / average daily production declines to below $20,000/boe
versus EnQuest's standalone levels of c. $25,000/boe.
The review will focus on: (i) the transaction concluding as planned
upon receipt of shareholder approvals and other customary
completion conditions; and (ii) the impact of the proposed
acquisitions on EnQuest's credit profile, taking into account the
combined business plan, financial policy, and the company's ability
to maintain credit metrics commensurate with a higher rating on a
sustained basis. Based on current information, Moody's anticipate
that an upgrade of EnQuest's CFR might be limited to two notches at
the conclusion of the review.
As Moody's have previously stated, the ratings could be upgraded if
EnQuest sustainably expands its production and reserves and
Moody's-adjusted RCF/debt remains sustainedly above 25%. An upgrade
would also require EnQuest to continue generating positive FCF and
maintaining good liquidity through the cycle.
Conversely, the ratings could be downgraded if EnQuest's production
sustainedly declines below 40 kboepd or if RCF/debt falls below
15%, the company adopts a more aggressive financial policy, such as
increasing leverage, or if liquidity weakens.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Independent
Exploration and Production published in February 2026.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
EnQuest is a UK-based independent energy company operating in the
UK North Sea and Southeast Asia. In 2025, the company produced an
average of 45.6 kboepd, including the full annual production from
Harbour Energy plc's (Baa2, negative) Vietnam business acquired
earlier that year.
EV METALS: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------
EV Metals Group PLC was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-004256. Paul Cooper and
Paul Robert Appleton, both of BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP,
were appointed as Joint Administrators on June 1, 2026.
The company specialised in mining of other non-ferrous metal ores.
Its registered office is 6th Floor, 99 Gresham Street, EC2V 7NG.
Its principal trading address is Ground Floor, 8 St Georges
Terrace, Perth, WA 6000, Australia.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Paul Cooper
Paul Robert Appleton
BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP
Level 33
One Canada Square
London E14 5AB
Further information:
Contact: Edward Gordon
Tel: 020 7400 7900
Email: RC-Team@btguk.com
BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP
GRADEWELL PLANT: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Gradewell Plant & Haulage Ltd was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-BHM-208. Amie Helen
Johnson and Constantinos Pedhiou, both of BTG Begbies Traynor
(Central) LLP, were appointed as Joint Administrators on June 3,
2026.
The company specialised in rental of plant and machinery. Its
registered office is 73 Field Lane, Brentford, Middlesex, TW8 8NA.
Its principal trading address is Appspond Lane, St Albans, AL2
3NL.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Amie Helen Johnson
Constantinos Pedhiou
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
Suite 501, Unit 2
94A Wycliffe Road
Northampton NN1 5JF
Further information:
Contact: Danielle Craven
Email: danielle.craven@btguk.com
Tel: 020 8370 7250
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
HOPS HILL 6: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Hops Hill No.6 plc expected ratings. The
assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of final
documents conforming to information already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Hops Hill No.6 plc
A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Hops Hill No.6 plc will be a securitisation of buy-to-let (BTL)
mortgages originated in England and Wales by Keystone Property
Finance Limited (Keystone). The transaction will include a
pre-funding period between the closing date and the first interest
payment date (IPD) and will allow for product switches of up to 5%
of the post pre-funding pool balance (expected to be about GBP20
million), until the first optional redemption date. Keystone also
acts as servicer.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Newly Originated Assets: The loans in the mortgage pool were
originated entirely in 2025 (36%) and 2026 (64%). The pool has a
weighted average (WA) original/current loan-to-value (OLTV/CLTV) of
72.9% and a Fitch-calculated WA interest coverage ratio (ICR) of
89.7%, leading to a WA sustainable LTV (sLTV) of 83.7%. The WA LTVs
and ICR are in line with peer transactions rated by Fitch.
Keystone's target market consists of professional landlords and
limited companies with large portfolios. The borrower
concentration, while comparable with peer transactions rated by
Fitch, is at the upper end of that range.
Pre-Funding Mechanism: The transaction documentation permits the
inclusion of additional mortgage loans by the first IPD to be
purchased with the proceeds of the over-issuance at closing
(pre-funding). The transaction will have a four-month pre-funding
period between the closing date and the first IPD during which
proceeds remaining after the notes' issuance can be used to
purchase additional loans up to 20% of the deal size. Principal
collections during this period can also be used to purchase new
loans.
The additional loans must meet additional mortgage loan conditions
to be included. Fitch believes the conditions required for the
inclusion of additional mortgage loans largely mitigate the risk of
negative portfolio migration. Furthermore, the current portfolio is
already close to most of the limits outlined in these conditions.
Therefore Fitch applied no further stress.
Alternative Prepayment Rates: The mortgage pool will be made up
almost exclusively of fixed-rate loans, which are subject to a
steep roll-off in the fourth and fifth years of the transaction's
life. Fitch therefore applied an alternative high prepayment stress
tracking the fixed-rate reversion profile of the pool. The
prepayment rate applied is floored at 10% during periods of no
reversion and capped at a maximum of 40% a year during reversionary
peaks.
Fixed Hedging Schedule: The pool will consist of fixed-rate loans
that will be hedged through an interest rate swap. The swap will be
based on a pre-defined schedule (including the pre-funded loans),
rather than on the balance of fixed-rate loans in the pool. If
loans prepay or default, the issuer may be be over-hedged. The
excess hedging is beneficial to the issuer in rising interest-rate
scenarios and detrimental in decreasing interest-rate scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement
available to the notes. In addition, unexpected declines in
recoveries could result in lower net proceeds, which may make some
notes susceptible to negative rating action, depending on the
extent of the decline in recoveries.
Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing a transaction's
base-case foreclosure frequency (FF) and recovery rate (RR)
assumptions. Fitch found that a 15% increase in the WAFF and a 15%
decrease in the WARR indicated model-implied downgrades of one
notch each to the class B and C notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement and,
potentially, upgrades. Fitch tested an additional rating
sensitivity scenario by applying a decrease in the WAFF of 15% and
an increase in the WARR of 15%. This would lead to a model-implied
upgrade of one notch to the class B notes, and up to three notches
each to the class D and E notes. The class A and C notes are at
their highest achievable ratings and cannot be upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
INNOVARO TECHNOLOGY: BTG Begbies Appointed as Joint Administrators
------------------------------------------------------------------
Innovaro Technology Ltd, previously known as Annabelle Wolf Ltd,
was placed into administration in the High Court of Justice, Court
Number CR-2026-004328. Wayne MacPherson and Jamie Taylor, both of
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP, were appointed as Joint
Administrators on June 3, 2026.
The company specialised in the wholesale of other office machinery
and equipment. Its registered office and principal trading address
is 57–61 Mortimer Street, London, W1W 8HS.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Wayne MacPherson
Jamie Taylor
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
1066 London Road
Leigh-on-Sea
Essex SS9 3NA
Further information:
Contact: Yanish Gopee
Email: Yanish.Gopee@btguk.com
Tel: 01702 467255
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
LANDMARK MORTGAGE 3: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Landmark Mortgage
Securities No.3 PLC's class B notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
and C notes to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its 'AAA (sf)' and 'BB+ (sf)' ratings on the class A and D
notes, respectively. S&P also removed from CreditWatch negative its
ratings on the class B, C, and D notes.
S&P said, "The rating actions follow our May 5, 2026, placement of
our ratings on the class B to D notes on CreditWatch negative due
to the implementation of updates to our U.K. sector and industry
variables under our global RMBS criteria. They also reflect our
full analysis of the most recent transaction information and the
transaction's current structural features."
This transaction closed in 2007 and consisted primarily of
interest-only loans, resulting in a gradual decrease in the pool
factor to 20.2% by January 2026. Arrears have dropped from a peak
of 24.4% in April 2025 to 19.8%. Cumulative losses total 6.3%.
S&P said, "After applying our updated sector and industry
variables, the overall effect on our credit analysis was a decrease
in the weighted-average foreclosure frequency (WAFF) at all rating
levels." The decrease was largely due to lower anchor default
probabilities, lower loan-to-value (LTV) adjustments, a smaller
originator adjustment, decreased arrears adjustment, and a lower
loan purpose adjustment. These reductions were significantly offset
by increases in the seasoning and self-certified adjustments.
S&P said, "Our weighted-average loss severities (WALS) have
increased at all rating levels since our previous review, largely
due to 50% credit being applied to the U.K. House Price Index for
all loans in the portfolio, which has increased the current LTV
ratio. We removed the 15% valuation haircut applied in our previous
review."
Credit analysis results
Rating level WAFF (%) WALS (%) Credit coverage (%)
AAA 44.70 29.93 13.38
AA 37.04 24.63 9.12
A 32.86 16.02 5.26
BBB 28.83 11.64 3.36
BB 24.58 8.62 2.12
B 23.57 6.05 1.43
WAFF--Weighted-average foreclosure frequency.
WALS--Weighted-average loss severity.
The reserve fund stands at 97% of its required level, triggering a
breach of one of the payment thresholds. This also prevents pro
rata amortization of the notes until the fund reaches the necessary
amount. Since the transaction amortizes sequentially, the available
credit enhancement for each rated class of notes is gradually
increasing. The liquidity facility is sized at 10% of the
outstanding notes' balance.
S&P said, "We affirmed our 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A notes
because our credit and cash flow results indicate their available
credit enhancement remains commensurate with the rating.
"Under our credit and cash flow analysis, the available credit
enhancement for the class B and C notes are commensurate with
higher ratings than those currently assigned. We therefore raised
our ratings on these classes of notes.
"Although the class D notes passed cash flow stresses at higher
rating levels than that assigned, we affirmed the rating to reflect
their available credit enhancement and relative position in the
capital structure. Our rating also reflects the high arrears,
considering the sensitivity to an increase in arrears from
geopolitical risks leading to further cost of living increases, and
the tail-end risk stemming from the significant concentration of
interest-only loans maturing in 2032. We also removed from
CreditWatch negative our ratings on the class B, C, and D notes.
"Counterparty risk does not constrain the ratings as we consider
the transaction to be in line with our counterparty criteria."
Macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking analysis
S&P said, "We expect U.K. inflation to remain above the Bank of
England's 2% target in 2026, and we forecast a 2.6% year-on-year
change in house prices in the fourth quarter of 2026. Given our
current macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking view of the
U.K. residential mortgage market, we performed additional
sensitivities relating to higher default levels due to increased
arrears and extended recovery timings. The sensitivity analysis
results indicate a deterioration consistent with our credit
stability considerations in our rating definitions."
Landmark Mortgage Securities No.3 PLC is an RMBS securitization of
mortgage loans secured on U.K. properties, of which 52% are
buy-to-let. The loans were originated by Unity Homeloans Ltd,
Infinity Mortgages Ltd, and Amber Homeloans Ltd. between 2005 and
2007.
MUNIHIRE OPERATED: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Munihire Operated Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-004309. Philip Dakin
and Benjamin John Wiles, both of Kroll Advisory Ltd, were appointed
as Joint Administrators on June 3, 2026.
The company enaged in specialised construction activities. Its
registered office and principal trading address is Brush House,
Star Road, Partridge Green, West Sussex, RH13 8RA.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Philip Dakin
Benjamin John Wiles
Kroll Advisory Ltd
The News Building
Level 6
3 London Bridge Street
London SE1 9SG
Further information:
Contact: Jodi Sheridan
Email: jodi.sheridan@kroll.com
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7089 4751
Kroll Advisory Ltd
PEARL BRIDGING: S&W Partners Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Pearl Bridging Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-003079. Clare Lloyd and
Henry Anthony Shinners, both of S&W Partners LLP, were appointed as
Joint Administrators on June 3, 2026.
The company specialised in financial intermediation. Its
registered office is c/o BTG Begbies Traynor, 31st Floor, 40 Bank
Street, Canary Wharf, E14 5NR. Its principal trading address is
2nd Floor, 314 Regents Park Road, Finchley, London, N3 2JX.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Clare Lloyd
Henry Anthony Shinners
S&W Partners LLP
c/o Restructuring
45 Gresham Street
London EC2V 7BG
Further information:
Contact: Natalya Ageyeva
Tel: 020 4617 5500
S&W Partners LLP
PIERPONT BTL 2021-1: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on E-Dfrd Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Pierpont BTL 2021-1
PLC's class B-Dfrd notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', C-Dfrd notes
to 'AA (sf)' from 'A (sf)', and D-Dfrd notes to 'A (sf)' from 'BBB
(sf)'. At the same time, S&P affirmed its 'AAA (sf)' rating on the
class A notes and 'BB+ (sf)' rating on the class E-Dfrd notes. S&P
removed its ratings on the class D-Dfrd and E-Dfrd notes from
CreditWatch positive.
S&P said, "The rating actions follow the placement of 119 U.K. RMBS
ratings on CreditWatch due to the implementation of updates to our
U.K. sector and industry variables under our global RMBS criteria.
They also reflect our full analysis of the most recent transaction
information and the transaction's current structural features.
"The performance of the loans in the collateral pool has remained
stable since our previous review. Based on our calculation
methodology, 30+ days arrears decreased to 1.47% in February 2026
compared to 2.98% in August 2025. Cumulative losses remain nil. The
transaction's sequential priority of payments and the notes'
amortization have increased the available credit enhancement for
the class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, and D-Dfrd notes, with the pool factor
falling to 46.5% in February 2026. Since closing, credit
enhancement for these notes increased to 32.6%, 14.1%, 5.9%, and
1.3% from 15.2%, 6.6%, 2.8%, and 0.6%, respectively.
"The prepayment rate decreased to 17.1% in February 2026 from
44.57% in August 2025. Given the high proportion of fixed-to-float
loans in the pool (92.4% in February 2026), with reset dates
concentrated in Q2 and Q3 2026, we performed a sensitivity analysis
reflecting increased prepayments.
"After applying our updated sector and industry variables, the
overall effect in our credit analysis resulted in a decrease in the
weighted-average foreclosure frequency (WAFF) at all rating levels.
The decline is largely due to lower anchor default probabilities,
reduced loan-to-value (LTV) adjustments, and a lower payment shock
adjustment as well as improvements in arrears.
"Our weighted-average loss severities (WALS) have decreased at the
'AAA' to 'BBB' rating levels primarily driven by our lower
overvaluation assessment for London and the southeast. At the 'BB'
to 'B' rating levels, the WALS have increased slightly due to an
increase in our loss severity floors."
Credit analysis results
Rating level WAFF (%) WALS (%) Credit coverage (%)
AAA 17.35 33.50 5.81
AA 11.75 28.05 3.30
A 8.88 18.51 1.64
BBB 6.16 13.38 0.82
BB 3.28 9.85 0.32
B 2.60 6.68 0.17
WAFF--Weighted-average foreclosure frequency.
WALS--Weighted-average loss severity.
S&P said, "The liquidity reserve fund is at its target level.
Excess spread is 1.19% based on our calculation, which considers
stressed servicing fees.
"We affirmed our 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A notes because our
credit and cash flow results indicate their available credit
enhancement remains commensurate with the current rating.
"Although the class B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, and D-Dfrd notes passed cash
flow stresses at higher rating levels than those assigned, we
considered the deferrable nature of the notes, the upcoming peak in
interest revision dates, the transaction's limited excess spread,
and the notes' relative levels of subordination. We therefore
limited our upgrades of these classes of notes and removed our
rating on the class D-Dfrd notes from CreditWatch positive.
"We affirmed and removed from CreditWatch positive our rating on
the class E-Dfrd notes. Our rating reflects the notes' relative
position in the capital structure, and the increased exposure to
tail-end risk. We concluded that the level of soft enhancement in
the transaction (excess spread) is sufficient to support the
current rating.
"Counterparty risk does not constrain the ratings as we consider
the transaction to be in line with our counterparty criteria."
Macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking analysis
S&P said, "We expect U.K. inflation to remain above the Bank of
England's 2% target in 2026, and we forecast a 2.6% year-on-year
change in house prices in Q4 2026. Given our current macroeconomic
forecasts and forward-looking view of the U.K. residential mortgage
market, we performed additional sensitivities relating to higher
default levels due to increased arrears and extended recovery
timings. The sensitivity analysis results indicate a deterioration
consistent with our credit stability considerations in our rating
definitions."
Pierpont BTL 2021-1 PLC is a RMBS securitization of BTL mortgage
loans secured over properties in the U.K. and originated by
LendInvest.
RAY ACQUISITION: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B2' CFR to Negative
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed Ray Acquisition Limited's (Sunrise, or
the company) B2 corporate family rating and its B2-PD probability
of default rating. At the same time, Moody's have affirmed the B2
ratings on the EUR550 million backed senior secured notes due July
2031 and the EUR300 million backed senior secured floating rate
notes due July 2031, both issued by Ray Financing LLC, a special
purpose vehicle and a direct subsidiary of Ray Acquisition Limited.
The outlook was changed to negative from stable for all entities.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects Sunrise's operating underperformance
relative to Moody's expectations, which has resulted in a material
deterioration in credit metrics. As of the 12 months ended March
2026, Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA stood at approximately
8.4x, materially above the 6.5x downgrade threshold previously set
for the rating, while free cash flow has weakened, reflecting lower
earnings, high non-recurring costs and elevated capital spending
linked to the group's ongoing footprint optimisation programme.
Sunrise has experienced a slowdown in demand driven by a
combination of cyclical, policy-related and structural factors.
From a cyclical standpoint, the post-COVID five-year replacement
cycle is running below trend, as demand was pulled forward during
the pandemic when public payors and institutions accelerated
equipment renewals. As a result, end-user replacement volumes
remain below historical levels, weighing on order intake across
both Complex Rehab and Standard Rehab categories.
Compounding this cyclical softness, policy-related uncertainty in
the US did weigh on approvals through the Department of Veterans
Affairs (VA) channel, which accounts for approximately 20% of
Sunrise's Americas revenue and where prescriptions are subject to
federal approval processes. Whilst this uncertainty did slow VA
approval timelines and procurement decisions for some part of 2025,
delaying the conversion of pipeline into revenue and reducing
near-term visibility for the North American business, VA revenues
have improved so far in 2026.
In parallel, more structural headwinds are emerging in Europe,
where public reimbursement schemes in several core geographies are
increasingly favouring the refurbishment and re-issuance of
existing mobility equipment over the procurement of new devices, as
a cost-containment and sustainability measure. This structurally
reduces new-unit demand in mature, high-margin markets and is
expected to persist over the medium term.
Against this softer demand backdrop, tariff exposure nonetheless
remains contained, as the group is largely protected by the Nairobi
Protocol for disabled-use products.
Moody's expects modest EBITDA growth in 2026 and Moody's-adjusted
gross leverage to decline toward 7.5x, driven by savings
initiatives launched in prior quarters. Moody's also expects free
cash flow to turn positive in 2026, as the majority of
project-based capital expenditure including the Tijuana and Fresno
footprint optimisation projects, is now behind the company, with
related costs expected to be finalised by mid-2026. Although
cash-intensive in the short term, these projects are expected to
materially improve Sunrise's cost base and operating processes from
2027 onwards.
Despite these challenges, the B2 rating continues to be supported
by (i) Sunrise's leading global market positions in Complex Rehab
(around 79% of FY2025 revenue); (ii) high barriers to entry
stemming from regulatory requirements, established distribution
relationships and technological know-how; (iii) favourable
long-term demand fundamentals driven by an ageing population and
rising prevalence of chronic disease; and (iv) a supportive sponsor
in Platinum Equity, which has confirmed capital support for larger
M&A.
LIQUIDITY
Sunrise's liquidity is adequate, supported by EUR18.4 million of
cash on balance sheet as of end-March 2026 and access to a EUR150
million revolving credit facility (RCF), of which EUR117 million
was available (EUR33 million drawn as of end March 2026, with EUR9
million carved out for ancillary facility). Moody's expects free
cash flow to be positive in 2026 as the majority of project-based
capital expenditure, apart from ERP and technology rollout, is now
behind the company and the benefits of the savings initiatives
materialize. Long-dated maturities in 2031 provide flexibility, and
the RCF is subject to a springing senior secured net leverage
covenant tested when drawings exceed 50% of commitments, under
which Moody's expects Sunrise to maintain consistent compliance.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The B2 rating of the EUR850 million senior secured notes (SSN) is
in line with the CFR, reflecting the fact that this instrument
represents most of the company's financial debt. However, the notes
are subordinated to the EUR150 million super senior RCF. The SSN
and super senior RCF share the same security package and
guarantees, with the RCF benefiting from a priority claim on
enforcement proceeds. The security package comprises pledges over
the shares of the borrower and guarantors as well as bank accounts
and intragroup receivables. Moody's considers the security package
to be weak, consistent with Moody's approach for shares-only
pledges.
RATIONALE FOR NEGATIVE OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects the deterioration in Sunrise's credit
metrics and the risk that the company may fail to reduce
Moody's-adjusted gross leverage toward 6.5x over the next 12-18
months, amid uncertainty around organic revenue growth, persistent
market headwinds in key geographies, and execution risk on
cost-saving initiatives.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Given the negative outlook, upward rating pressure is unlikely in
the near term. However, positive pressure on the rating could
materialize over time if Sunrise persists in effectively executing
its strategy of featuring a superior product portfolio, fueled by
innovation, while successfully executing its efficiency measures.
In addition, Moody's could upgrade the rating if Sunrise's
Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA decreases and remains below
5.0x; its Moody's-adjusted FCF/debt increases to and remains in
mid-to-high single digits (in percentage terms); and its
EBITDA/interest expenses ratio increases towards 3.0x, all on a
sustained basis.
Moody's could downgrade Sunrise's rating if the company's
Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA remains above 6.5x on a
sustained basis; its Moody's-adjusted EBITDA/interest expenses
remains below 2.0x for a prolonged period; or its FCF does not
recover to positive territory in 2026. Negative pressure on the
rating could also materialise if liquidity weakens; reimbursements
reduce significantly in one of its key markets; or the company
embarks on sizeable debt-financed acquisitions or distributes
significant amounts of cash to shareholders.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Medical
Products and Devices published in October 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
Ray Acquisition Limited (Sunrise) is a global leading provider of
premium mobility products, including manual and powered
wheelchairs, mobility scooters and other mobility aids. The group
has a global footprint with manufacturing and distribution
operations across Europe, EMEA, North America and Asia Pacific, and
sells its products in more than 100 countries, primarily through a
B2B model to dealers, government agencies and public institutions.
For the 12 months that ended March 31, 2026, Sunrise reported
revenue of EUR719 million and company-adjusted EBITDA of EUR151
million excluding the proforma effect of the 2025 acquisitions.
Sunrise has been owned by Platinum since 2024.
*********
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