251226.mbx        T R O U B L E D   C O M P A N Y   R E P O R T E R

                 L A T I N   A M E R I C A

          Friday, December 26, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 258

                           Headlines



A R G E N T I N A

AES ARGENTINA: S&P Upgrades ICR to 'CCC+', Outlook Stable


B R A Z I L

AZUL SA: Will Turn Profit in 2026 After Bankruptcy
BANCO BTG PACTUAL: Fitch Hikes IDRs to BB+, Outlook Stable
ITAU UNIBANCO: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' IDRs, Outlook Stable


C A Y M A N   I S L A N D S

ETIHAD ENERGY: Fitch Gives B+(EXP) Rating to USD167MM Trust Certs


J A M A I C A

JAMAICA: BOJ Says External Accounts Likely to Weaken in Near Term
JAMAICA: Melissa Causes Drop in Tourism Earnings, Job Losses
TRANSJAMAICAN HIGHWAY: S&P's Outlook on 'BB' Rated Notes Now Stable


P E R U

PETROLEOS DEL PERU: S&P Lowers ICR to 'B-', On Watch Negative


P U E R T O   R I C O

JUAN MANUEL GINORIO: Condado Loses Bid to Dismiss Bankruptcy Case

                           - - - - -


=================
A R G E N T I N A
=================

AES ARGENTINA: S&P Upgrades ICR to 'CCC+', Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on AES Argentina Generacion
S.A. (AAG) to 'CCC+' from 'CCC'. The ratings on the company remain
capped at the level of the sovereign rating.

The stable outlook on AAG reflects that on the sovereign and the
improvements in the regulatory framework.

On Dec. 17, 2025, S&P Global Ratings raised its local and foreign
currency ratings on Argentina to reflect its improved access to
liquidity and declining economic vulnerabilities. BUENOS AIRES (S&P
Global Ratings) Dec. 22, 2025—S&P Global Ratings took the ratings
actions described above. Recent developments indicate that the
government's access to capital markets is widening, boosting its
liquidity. Economic imbalances have declined, thanks to lower
inflation and a fiscal surplus during 2025.

Despite recent improvements, AAG's significant exposure to CAMMESA,
the wholesale electricity market operator in Argentina, remains a
rating constraint. The regulatory framework has demonstrably
improved over the past year, resulting in the upturn for
Argentina's energy sector and in a more stable payment flows from
CAMMESA. Also, the government has recently undertaken initiatives
in the energy sector to attract investment and to establish a more
supportive regulatory framework. However, S&P remains conservative
in its outlook for the industry until it sees a longer track record
of consistent and timely cash flows from CAMMESA. If CAMMESA
experiences financial difficulties or delays in payments, this
could pose a liquidity risk for AAG, as was the case during its
debt restructuring in early 2024.

The loss of the Alicura concession weakens AAG's competitive
position. This resulted during an international tender process, in
which another group was selected as the winning bidder.
Consequently, AAG's installed capacity will shrink by 1,050
megawatts (MW), which represents one-third of its total capacity.
And while AAG will no longer rely on Alicura's revenue stream that
will reduce its exposure to CAMMESA, the significant reduction in
installed capacity raises concerns about the company's long-term
business strategy and market position. However, S&P doesn't believe
the impact on the company's cash flows will be material,
considering the unfavorable terms of the concession that generated
only approximately 10% of AAG's EBITDA.

S&P said, "Furthermore, with the international bond's amortization
starting in 2026, we will closely monitor AAG's liquidity and
refinancing plans for next year while executing its capital
expenditure (capex) plan. While unlikely, a freeze in electricity
rates or delays in CAMMESA payments could significantly increase
refinancing risks.

"The stable outlook on AAG reflects that on the sovereign. The
outlook also incorporates the improvements in the regulatory
framework and our view that the company should service debt
maturities in 2026 in an orderly manner. Despite the termination of
the concession for the Alicura hydroelectric plant, we anticipate
that the impact will be limited. as cash flow from it was modest
due to unfavorable terms.

"In the next 12 months, we could lower the ratings on AAG if
CAMMESA fails to make the stipulated payments, which would
jeopardize the company's operations. We could also lower the
ratings if refinancing risk heightens, which will weaken liquidity
and our view of the company's capital structure. Additionally, we
could lower our ratings on AAG or revise the outlook to negative if
we were to take a similar action on the sovereign, as the rating
for AAG is at the same level as the one on the sovereign.

"In the next 12 months, we could revise upward AAG's stand-alone
credit profile to 'b-' if there's a longer track record of
CAMMESA's payment, a reduction in the company's refinancing risk,
and greater clarity regarding the company's long-term business
strategy. While less likely, an upgrade of AAG could also occur if
these conditions are met and new investments linked to power
purchase agreements reduce its exposure to CAMMESA."




===========
B R A Z I L
===========

AZUL SA: Will Turn Profit in 2026 After Bankruptcy
--------------------------------------------------
Bloomberg News reports that Brazilian budget carrier Azul SA, now
backed by United Airlines Holdings Inc. and American Airlines Group

Inc., expects a bankruptcy-triggered reduction of debt and a slew
of
renegotiated aircraft leases to help it generate a profit the next
two
years.  The airline will refocus growth plans on the domestic
market,
though it will increase flights to the US to handle strong demand
for
World Cup soccer matches next summer, Chief Executive Officer John

Rodgerson said in an interview, notes the report.

Azul will still accept deliveries of new aircraft from Airbus SE
and
Embraer SA, the report says.

                    About Azul

Azul S.A. (B3: AZUL4, NYSE: AZUL), the largest airline in Brazil
by
number of flight departures and cities served, offers 900 daily
flights to over 150 destinations. With an operating fleet of over
200 aircrafts and more than 15,000 Crewmembers, the Company has a
network of 300 non-stop routes. Azul was named by Cirium (leading
aviation data analysis company) as the most on-time airline in the
world in 2023. In 2020, Azul was awarded best airline in the world
by TripAdvisor, the first time a Brazilian flag carrier earned the
number one ranking in the Traveler's Choice Awards. On the Web:
http://www.voeazul.com.br/imprensa               

On May 28, 2025, Azul S.A. and 19 affiliated debtors filed
voluntary petitions for relief under Chapter 11 of the United
States Bankruptcy Code (Bankr. S.D.N.Y. Lead Case No. 25-11176).
The cases are pending before Judge Sean H. Lane.

The Company is supported by Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, White &
Case
LLP, and Pinheiro Neto Advogados as legal counsel; FTI Consulting
as financial advisor; Guggenheim Securities, LLC as investment
banker; SkyWorks Capital LLC as fleet advisor; and FTI Consulting,
C Street Advisory Group, and MassMedia as strategic communications
advisors. Stretto is the claims agent.

The Participating Lenders are supported by Cleary Gottlieb Steen &
Hamilton LLP and Mattos Filho as legal counsel and PJT Partners as
investment banker.

United Airlines is supported by Hughes Hubbard & Reed LLP and
Sidley Austin LLP as legal counsel and Barclays Investment Bank as
investment banker.

American Airlines is supported by Latham & Watkins LLP as legal
counsel.

AerCap is supported by Pillsbury Winthrop Shaw Pittman LLP as
legal
counsel.

The U.S. Trustee for Region 2 appointed an official committee to
represent unsecured creditors in the Chapter 11 cases. The
Committee retained Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP as its counsel,
Alvarez & Marsal North America, LLC, as its financial advisor,
Houlihan Lokey Capital, Inc., as its investment banker.

The Backstop Commitment Parties are represented by Cleary Gottlieb
Steen & Hamilton and Mattos Filho, Veiga Filho, Marrey Jr. e
Quiroga Advogados.  The Subscription Agent is Stretto.


BANCO BTG PACTUAL: Fitch Hikes IDRs to BB+, Outlook Stable
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Banco BTG Pactual S.A. (BTG Pactual) and
BTG Pactual Holding S.A. (BTGH) Foreign and Local Currency
Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) to 'BB+' from 'BB',
respectively. The Rating Outlook for the IDRs is Stable. Fitch has
also affirmed the Short-Term IDRs at 'B' and upgraded the Viability
Rating (VR) of BTG Pactual to 'bb+' from 'bb'. Fitch has affirmed
the National Ratings at 'AAA(bra)'/Stable.

The upgrade reflects BTG Pactual's continued enhancements of its
funding profile, while improving its business mix diversification
and financial profile, which led to a sustained strengthening the
bank's core financial profile. Fitch believes BTG Pactual's ratings
should be rated and capped one notch above Brazil's sovereign
rating due to the bank's exceptional strength.

The upgrade also includes a strong record of resilient earnings,
and sound asset-quality trends, combined with stable capital and
stronger liquidity buffers. We believe these factors would mitigate
pressures on the bank in the case of severe stress on the Brazilian
sovereign. We also expect BTG Pactual to maintain profitability
above the regional banks' average.

Fitch has upgraded BTG Pactual's Government Support Rating (GSR) to
'b+' from 'ns' due to the bank's high systemic importance.

Key Rating Drivers

BTG Pactual - IDR, VR, NATIONAL RATINGS

Ratings Driven by VR: BTG Pactual's IDRs and National Ratings are
driven by BTG Pactual's standalone creditworthiness, as measured by
its 'bb+' VR. BTG Pactual's ratings are underpinned by its strong
domestic franchise in its selected markets and increasingly
well-diversified product mix that grant it an exceptional strength
relative to domestic peers. This results in resilient performance
through economic and interest-rate cycles. The ratings also reflect
improved funding and liquidity, robust profitability and adequate
capitalization.

Ratings One Notch Above Brazil: Elevated business diversification
and very strong loss-absorption capacity put BTG Pactual is a
strength relative to domestic peers. The ratings reflect our
expectation that the bank would likely continue to service its
obligations in case of a sovereign default, and that the Brazilian
sovereign is unlikely to impose material restrictions on the bank's
debt-servicing capacity.

Operating Environment: Brazil's "bb/Stable" operating environment
(OE) score caps the headroom for further upgrades despite BTG
Pactual's strengthened profile. While macroeconomic volatility has
moderated, structural vulnerabilities persist, including weaker
sovereign creditworthiness, high funding costs and sensitivity of
local markets to global shocks. BTG Pactual has demonstrated strong
adaptability to these conditions, reflected in stable credit
performance and earnings. Nonetheless, the OE continues to
constrain upside. The Brazilian OE remains capped by Brazil's 'BB'
rating.

Broader, More Balanced Franchise: BTG Pactual's 'bbb-' Business
Profile reflects its scale and diversification as one of Latin
America's largest independent investment banks. The group operates
across investment banking, markets, corporate lending, and sizable
wealth and asset management platforms, with managerial revenues
rising from BRL9 billion in 2020 to BRL25.1 billion in 2024.
Growing international operations and continued expansion in
advisory, distribution and digital channels enhance business
stability, deepen client reach and strengthen BTG Pactual's
competitive positioning versus regional peers.

Moderate Risk Profile, Despite Rapid Expansion: BTG Pactual's risk
profile is assessed as moderate, reflecting a concentrated but
high-quality expanded credit portfolio anchored in large
corporates, financial institutions and infrastructure groups, with
top exposures largely rated at or above the sovereign. Market-risk
activities are larger than those of universal banks given BTG
Pactual's investment-bank model, but are well managed, supported by
strong limits, central clearing and consistent stress testing.
Treasury results have been positive and strong across multiple
years with no loss events, underscoring disciplined risk-taking
despite higher market sensitivity.

Corporate-Focused Book, Adequate Asset-Quality: BTG Pactual's
asset-quality metrics are adequate, reflecting its loan mix,
supporting low loss severity despite moderate single-name exposure.
The Stage 3 ratio stands at 5.8% (5.3% on an expanded-credit
basis), with coverage near 70% and limited restructured loans.
Fitch expects stable asset-quality performance, supported by
diversifying exposures, high borrower quality, and robust workout
and recovery practices.

Resilient Core Earnings Amid Continued Growth: Fitch upgrade BTG
Pactual's earning and profitability score to 'bb+' from 'bb'- The
bank's operating profit/RWA ratio reached 3.7% in 6M25, up from
3.3% in 2023, remaining above most domestic peers and supporting
solid capital generation. Revenues grew 31% YoY in 9M25 across
lending, wealth, asset management and markets, while efficiency
improved with a cost-to-income ratio near historical lows.

Credit costs have normalized but remain well-covered by
pre-impairment profit, underpinning resilient earnings through
market and credit cycles. Growth in fee-based income, consumer
banking and credit origination offers more balance to S&T revenue,
which remains material but less dominant. Fitch views BTG Pactual's
profitability as more sustainable than in previous cycles due to
the depth of recurring businesses and higher client-flow volumes.

Adequate Buffers: Fitch revises BTG Pactual's capitalization &
leverage score to 'bb+' from 'bb'. Common equity tier 1 (CET1)
ratio has remained around 12% in recent periods, supported by
strong internal capital generation despite fast RWA growth. The
bank maintains comfortable buffers relative to regulatory
requirements, and total capital of 15.5% at end-3Q25 is reinforced
by hybrid issuances. The bank's ability to raise capital,
disciplined payout policy and deep access to subordinated debt
markets further reinforce capital flexibility.

Improved Structure Despite Wholesale-Orientation: BTG Pactual's
funding profile remains wholesale-oriented, though deposits have
grown materially, now providing a more balanced mix across
corporate, wealth and retail channels. The gross loans/customer
deposits ratio has risen to around 140%, reflecting rapid
balance-sheet expansion, but retail deposits already account for
roughly 30% of total deposits. Structural liquidity is adequate.
The LCR remains comfortably above regulatory minimums and large
HQLA buffers mitigate sensitivity to short-term market stress.

BTGH - IDRs, NATIONAL RATINGS

BTGH Ratings Equalized: BTGH is a pure holding company. The
company's Long- and Short-Term IDRs and National Ratings are the
same as BTG Pactual's, its main operating subsidiary (controls
65.8% of BTG Pactual). This is due to the company's moderate
leverage and the favorable regulatory framework for Brazilian
financial groups. The equalization of the ratings is based on the
high correlation between the probability of default for BTGH and
the bank. Both are incorporated in the same jurisdiction and are
supervised by the Brazilian authorities. The holding company's
double-leverage ratio was moderate.

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrades

BTG Pactual's ratings would be downgraded following a downgrade of
Brazil's sovereign rating, as they are capped at one notch above it
or a downward revision of Brazilian banks OE assessment.

The ratings could be downgraded if the bank's performance
deteriorates materially and for a prolonged period, reducing its
exceptional strength versus domestic peers, or if its
loss-absorption capacity reduces, diminishing resilience to a
potential Brazilian sovereign stress.

A downgrade could materialize if operating profit fails to remain
above 3% of RWAs. A CET1 ratio below 10%, without prospects of
recovery or mitigating factors, could also pressure the ratings.

Reduced flexibility and capacity to access the wholesale funding
markets, if it materially affects liquidity, could also lead to
negative rating action.

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade

IDRs and VR

Upgrade potential for BTG Pactual is limited. An upgrade would be
contingent on an upgrade of Brazil's rating, resulting in a better
assessment of the group's operating environment.

NATIONAL RATINGS

-- BTG's Long-Term ratings are at the top of the national scale,
and therefore, cannot be elevated.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS

Senior Debt

BTG Pactual's senior unsecured issuances are in line with its IDRs.
The probability of default of any senior obligation is tied to that
of the bank (reflected in the Long-Term IDR), as a default of
senior obligations would be treated by the agency as default by the
entity.

Government Support Rating

BTG Pactual's GSR of 'b+' reflects a limited probability of support
from the Brazilian authorities, if required. Despite contagion
risks from BTG Pactual's position as a domestic bank with high
systemic importance, the government's limited financial flexibility
and capacity to provide support as indicated by its sovereign
rating, highly influence its GSR.

BTGH

BTGH is a pure holding company. The company's Long- and Short-Term
IDRs and National Ratings are the same as BTG Pactual's, its main
operating subsidiary (controls 69.4% of BTG). This is due to the
company's moderate leverage and the favorable regulatory framework
for Brazilian financial groups. The equalization of the ratings is
based on the high correlation between the probability of default
for BTGH and the bank. Both are incorporated in the same
jurisdiction and are supervised by the Brazilian authorities. The
holding company's double-leverage ratio was moderate.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES

Senior Debt

BTG Pactual's senior debt ratings would move in line with the
bank's IDRs.

Government Support Ratings

BTG Pactual's GSR of 'b+' is sensitive to changes in Fitch's
assessment about the ability and/or propensity of the sovereign to
provide timely support to the bank, and would only be likely to
occur with a significant increase in the bank's systemic
importance.

BTGH

BTGH's IDR and national ratings would remain at the same level as
BTG Pactual and would move in tandem with any rating actions on its
main operating subsidiary. However, a material and sustained
increase in BTGH's double-leverage metrics (above 120%), would be
negative for ratings. Additionally, a change in the dividend flows
from the operating companies or debt levels at the holding company
that affects its debt coverage ratios could also be detrimental to
its ratings.

                                Rating            Prior
                                ------            -----
Banco BTG Pactual S.A.

                  LT IDR         BB+      Upgrade   BB
                  ST IDR         B        Affirmed  B
                  LC LT IDR      BB+      Upgrade   BB
                  LC ST IDR      B        Affirmed  B
                  Natl LT        AAA(bra) Affirmed  AAA(bra)
                  Natl ST        F1+(bra) Affirmed  F1+(bra)
                  Viability      bb+      Upgrade   bb
                  Gov't Support  b+       Upgrade   ns
senior unsecured  LT             BB+      Upgrade   BB

BTG Pactual Holding S.A.

                  LT IDR         BB+      Upgrade   BB
                  ST IDR         B        Affirmed  B
                  LC LT IDR      BB+      Upgrade   BB
                  LC ST IDR      B        Affirmed  B
                  Natl LT        AAA(bra) Affirmed  AAA(bra)
                  Natl ST        F1+(bra) Affirmed  F1+(bra)
                  Gov't. Support ns       Affirmed  ns


ITAU UNIBANCO: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' IDRs, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency
Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. (IUH)
and its operating subsidiary Itau Unibanco S.A. (Itau Unibanco) at
'BB+', and the Long-Term National Rating at 'AAA(bra)'. The Rating
Outlooks are Stable.

Fitch has also affirmed IUH and Itau Unibanco's Viability Rating
(VR) at 'bb+' and upgraded IUH's implied VR to 'bbb-' from 'bb+',
reflecting meaningful improvements in the bank's risk profile and
asset quality fundamentals. However, the final VR is one notch
below the implied 'bbb-' VR, driven by the Operating Environment
(OE) adjustment, which Fitch assesses at 'bb+'

Key Rating Drivers

Well-Balanced Business, Risk Profile: IUH's ratings reflect its
strong business profile and well-managed risk, supporting resilient
earnings generation. This is underpinned by the group's leading
domestic banking position and consistent, moderate exposure to
stronger economies than Brazil (BB/Stable), including Chile
(A-/Stable), Uruguay (BBB/Stable) and Colombia (BB+/Negative),
among other Latin American markets. The ratings are also supported
by a sound funding profile and higher liquidity and capital buffers
than similarly rated regional banks.

Group VR: Fitch rates Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. (IUH; BB+/Stable)
and its main bank subsidiary, Itau Unibanco S.A. (Itau Unibanco;
BB+/Stable), at the same level, reflecting similar risk profiles.
This is alignment stems from the Central Bank of Brazil's
consolidated supervision, with capital, liquidity and operational
integration highly fungible across the group. The IDRs and National
Ratings are driven by standalone creditworthiness, as indicated by
the 'bb+' Viability Rating (VR).

Ratings One Notch above Brazil: The VRs are one notch above
Brazil's sovereign rating, reflecting the group's very strong
standalone credit profile. On a consolidated basis, IUHS's direct
exposure to Brazilian sovereign securities debt represents
approximately 1.9x its equity, which is a moderate but manageable
concentration that is well within the banks' risk appetite,
supported by strong capital and liquidity buffers. This, combined
with the bank's geographic diversification, underpins the
resilience of the group's asset quality in periods of stress. Fitch
believes that these entities would likely retain the capacity to
service their obligations in the case of a sovereign default,
without any restrictions from the government.

Stable Operating Environment: Fitch expects IUH to maintain
business volumes at acceptable risk levels, supported by a
'bb+'/Stable OE assessment. This reflects the bank's strong
domestic franchise and moderate complementary operations in Latin
America. In our view, sector risks are balanced in the near term,
with neither clear upside nor downside predominating. Domestically,
although global disinflation is ongoing, local economic activity
remains subdued and risk premiums are elevated, resulting in a
continued restrictive monetary policy stance. Despite a robust
labor market, households remain highly leveraged, with significant
exposure to expensive credit products. This increases their
sensitivity to interest rates and inflation.

Leading Franchise, Disciplined Strategic Execution: IUH's dominant
franchise, strong brand, and diversified revenue model underpin its
business profile. Four-year average operating income is USD24.4
billion, the largest among regional peers. The group combines scale
with strategic discipline, prioritizing high-return segments and
maintaining a selective regional footprint. Latin American
subsidiaries are locally funded and complementary, providing
moderate diversification without elevating risk. Ongoing digital
investments and improved efficiency support recurring earnings.

Proactive Portfolio Management Drives Implied VR Upgrade: Fitch has
upgraded IUH's Risk Profile score to 'bbb-', reflecting
disciplined, forward-looking risk management. The bank maintains a
diversified portfolio supported by tighter wholesale concentration
limits, selective SME and agribusiness growth, and a shift toward
prime retail, which clearly differentiates the bank from domestic
and regional peers. Conservative underwriting, early staging and
strong collateral practices underpin stable asset quality and
cost-of-risk levels broadly in line with higher-rated peers,
helping sustain resilient earnings despite Brazil's challenging
operating environment. Meanwhile, market risks, such as interest
rate and foreign exchange (FX) are well-managed through hedging.

Contained Formation Pressure: Fitch has also upgraded IUH's Asset
Quality score by one notch to 'bb+', supported by resilient metrics
and contained impaired-loan formation throughout multiple cycles.
The Stage 3 ratio improved to 4.2% in 3Q25, below prior
expectations, while Stage 2 improved to 4.1%. Early delinquency
trends are broadly steady. Coverage remains adequate, with 55.9%
Stage 3 reserves, and renegotiated and restructured balances have
declined for eight consecutive quarters. Fitch expects impaired
loans to stay below 5% over the medium term, supported by a
defensive secured mix and selective unsecured growth.

Earnings Resilience and Best-in-Class Efficiency: IUH's operating
profitability is a rating strength, improving over the past three
years. Diversification and strategic enhancements in retail and
corporate banking yield resilient revenue streams. Operating profit
relative to risk-weighted assets (RWA) reached 3.6% in 9M25. Fitch
expects a strong credit underwriting, market risk management, and
cost-to-income culture to maintain earnings ratios close to current
levels in 2025 and 2026.

Adequate and Consistent Capital Planning: Fitch has upgraded IUH's
capitalization and leverage score to 'bb+', supported by its solid
capitalization and internal generation and conservative management
buffers. CET1 remained comfortably above the internal target,
reaching 13.5% in 3Q25; overall capital adequacy was further
supported by AT1 and Tier 2 instruments. Prudent capital planning
balances distributions with regulatory and macroeconomic needs.
Recent liability management, including replacing costlier USD AT1
with domestic issuance, has improved capital efficiency. Fitch
expects CET1 ratios to remain consistent with the current rating.

Stable Funding, Strong Liquidity: Funding and liquidity remain core
rating strengths. IUH benefits from a large, granular retail and
SME deposit base, strong corporate transactional franchises, and
consistent "flight to quality" behavior during periods of market
volatility. Competition for deposits remains elevated, but IUH's
pricing power and diversification help contain pressures. Liquidity
is ample, with high-quality liquid assets providing robust buffers
and regulatory liquidity ratios well above minimum requirements.
Access to domestic and international markets enhances flexibility.

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade

-- IUH's ratings would be downgraded if Brazil's sovereign rating
is downgraded, as they are capped at one notch above the sovereign,
or if IUH's OE assessment is revised downward;.

-- The entities' VRs and Long-Term IDRs would be pressured if the
CET1 ratio falls and remains below 10% without a credible
short-term plan to rebuild it, including due to worse-than-expected
asset quality deterioration or unexpected events;

-- A sustained decline in earnings resilience, i.e., operating
profit/RWAs below 2%, would also likely trigger a negative rating
action;

-- The National Ratings are sensitive to a weakening of
creditworthiness relative to other Brazilian issuers.

Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade

-- An upgrade would require an upgrade of Brazil's sovereign
rating, which would improve the group's operating environment;

-- Over the medium term, an upgrade would require (i) a CET1/RWA
ratio consistently above 12%, (ii) an impaired loan ratio
structurally below 6%, and (iii) preservation of the group's
earnings resilience.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS

Senior Unsecured Debt

IUH's senior unsecured debt is rated in line with its Long-Term
IDRs, as the likelihood of default on these obligations mirrors the
entity's overall default risk.

Subordinated Debt

IUH's Tier subordinated notes are rated two notches below the VR of
'bb+', reflecting their subordinated status and expected high loss
severity. No additional notching for nonperformance is applied
because coupons are not deferrable, and the write-off trigger is
close to the point of nonviability. Accordingly, Fitch views
incremental nonperformance risk as immaterial for rating purposes.

GSR

IUH's GSR of 'bb-' reflects a moderate probability of support from
the Brazilian authorities, if needed. While IUH's position as a
domestic systemically important bank with dominant market shares
raises contagion concerns, the government's moderate financial
flexibility and capacity to provide support as indicated by its
sovereign rating, highly influence its GSR.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
SENIOR DEBT

IUH's senior unsecured debt ratings are equalized with IUH's IDRs
and are therefore primarily sensitive to changes in the IDRs.

SUBORDINATED AND JUNIOR SUBORDINATED DEBT

IUH's hybrid ratings (for its Tier II subordinated debt) rating is
sensitive to a change in its anchor VR.


GSR

An upward revision of the GSR would be contingent on a positive
change in the sovereign's propensity to support the bank. In
Fitch's view, this is highly unlikely, although not impossible.

VR ADJUSTMENTS

The VR of 'bb+' has been assigned below the 'bbb-' implied VR due
to the following adjustment reason: Sovereign Rating (negative)

The Asset Quality score of 'bb' was assigned above the 'b and
below' category implied score because of the following adjustment:
Collateral and reserves.

The Funding & Liquidity score of 'bbb-' was assigned above the 'bb
and below' category implied score because of the following
adjustment: Deposit Structure.

                                  Rating             Prior
                                  ------             -----
Itau Unibanco Holding S.A.

                     LT IDR        BB+      Affirmed  BB+
                     ST IDR        B        Affirmed  B
                     LC LT IDR     BB+      Affirmed  BB+
                     LC ST IDR     B        Affirmed  B  
                     Natl LT       AAA(bra) Affirmed  AAA(bra)
                     Natl ST       F1+(bra) Affirmed  F1+(bra)
                     Viability     bb+      Affirmed  bb+
                     Gov't Support bb-      Affirmed  bb-

  senior unsecured   LT            BB+      Affirmed  BB+

  subordinated       LT            BB-      Affirmed  BB-

Itau Unibanco S.A.

                     LT IDR        BB+      Affirmed  BB+
                     ST IDR        B        Affirmed  B
                     LC LT IDR     BB+      Affirmed  BB+
                     LC ST IDR     B        Affirmed  B
                     Natl LT       AAA(bra) Affirmed  AAA(bra)
                     Natl ST       F1+(bra) Affirmed  F1+(bra)
                     Viability     bb+      Affirmed  bb+
                     Gov't Support bb-      Affirmed  bb-




===========================
C A Y M A N   I S L A N D S
===========================

ETIHAD ENERGY: Fitch Gives B+(EXP) Rating to USD167MM Trust Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Etihad Energy Sukuk Limited's USD167
million trust certificates an expected senior secured rating of
'B+'(EXP). The Recovery Rating is 'RR2.' The certificates are
issued on behalf of Vertex Investments Holdings Limited and
guaranteed by Brooge Petroleum & Gas Investment Company FZE (BPGIC;
B-(EXP)/Stable) and Gulf Navigation Holdings PJSC and certain of
its subsidiaries.

Etihad is the certificates' trustee and an exempted limited
liability company incorporated in the Cayman Islands. It was
incorporated solely to participate in the transactions described in
the transaction documents to which it is a party. Its shares are
held by Walkers Fiduciary Limited as share trustee. Vertex is the
obligor, seller, lessee, purchaser, and servicing agent. BPGIC
guarantees Vertex's payment obligations under the transaction
documents on a senior secured basis. Vertex's payment obligations
under the documents are also guaranteed by Gulf Navigation and
certain subsidiaries on a senior secured basis.

Fitch will assign a final rating to the certificates after removal
of pre-existing liens from BPGIC's operating assets and perfection
of all security interests for certificateholders. Assignment of a
final rating is also contingent on the receipt of executed
documentation conforming to the documentation already reviewed by
Fitch and after BPGIC's expected Issuer Default Rating (IDR) is
converted to final. Issuance proceeds repaid BPGIC's existing
senior secured bonds, and the balance will remain in cash on the
balance sheet.


Key Rating Drivers

The trust certificates' rating is anchored to BPGIC's IDR as a
senior secured guarantor and the group's key cash flow generator.
This reflects Fitch's view that default of the senior secured
obligations under the guarantee would indicate BPGIC's default, per
Fitch's rating definitions.

The sukuk is secured by, among others, a mortgage on BPGIC's key
liquids storage assets and the associated land leasehold, bank
accounts, receivables, and other assets.

Fitch believes the trustee's ability to satisfy payments due on the
certificates ultimately depends on Vertex satisfying its secured
payment obligations to the trustee under the transaction documents,
creditors' recovery prospects would be enhanced by the senior
secured guarantee from BPGIC and Gulf Navigation.

In addition to Vertex's propensity to ensure repayment of the trust
certificates, in Fitch's view, Vertex must ensure full and timely
repayment of Etihad's obligations, due to its various roles and
obligations under the sukuk structure and documentation, especially
but not limited to the below features:

-- Vertex, as servicing agent, is to ensure sufficient funds are
available to meet the periodic distribution amounts, partial
distribution amounts and PIK distribution amounts payable by the
trustee under the certificates on each periodic distribution date.
It can take other measures to ensure that there is no shortfall and
that the face amount and any due and unpaid periodic distribution
amounts are paid in full and in a timely manner.

-- The rental due on a rental payment date, will be an amount equal
to the sum of the fixed rental amount instalment, the cash profit
rental amount, the PIK rental amount, and the lease service amount
less any murabaha profit instalment, which when taken together with
such murabaha profit instalment will be sufficient to fund the
periodic distribution amounts, partial distribution amounts,
partial distribution amount and PIK distribution amounts payable by
the trustee under the certificates. Failure to timely and fully pay
the dissolution distribution amount and any periodic distribution
amount will constitute a dissolution event. Any deferral of the PIK
distribution amount shall not constitute a dissolution event or any
other breach of obligations under the transaction documents.

-- On the scheduled dissolution date, the aggregate amounts of the
deferred sale price then outstanding, if any, shall become
immediately due and payable by the obligor; and the trustee will
have the right to require the obligor to purchase all of its
rights, title, ownership interests, benefits and entitlements in,
to and under the usufruct assets for an amount equal to the
exercise price. The exercise price payable by the obligor to the
trustee, together with the aggregate amounts of the deferred sale
price then outstanding, if any, are intended to fund the
dissolution distribution amount (scheduled) to be paid by the
trustee.

-- If an obligor event has occurred and is continuing and Vertex
fails to effect or perform any ordinary maintenance and repair,
Etihad is entitled but not bound to take possession of the lease
assets for the purpose of having those repairs or replacements
effected, and the Vertex shall repay to the Etihad the full actual
cost of those repairs and replacements.

-- Vertex will ensure that Etihad will be allowed reasonable
access, upon reasonable request, to the lease assets, to inspect
the works and related data books and records, provided that no such
visit or inspection shall interfere with, or interrupt the
operations of the lessee. If the lessee failed to comply, this
would constitute a dissolution event.

- The scheduled dissolution distribution amount is the sum of the
outstanding face amount of such certificate; any due and unpaid
periodic distribution amounts, and all due and unpaid outstanding
PIK payments, for such certificates.

-- The dissolution distribution amount upon dissolution event is
the sum of the outstanding face amount of such certificate; any due
and unpaid periodic distribution amounts for such certificate; in
respect of any redemption of the certificates that occurs during
the period of twelve months from (and including) the issue date,
the make-whole amount for such certificate (if any); the premium
amount for such certificate; in the case of the occurrence of an
obligor event (without double counting the 5% per annum increase
that has been applied to the cash profit rate) an amount equal to
the product of: (i) 5% per annum; (ii) the sum of (A) the aggregate
outstanding face amount of such certificate as at the date of the
occurrence of such obligor event and (B) the outstanding PIK
payment as at the relevant date; and (iii) the actual number of
days in the period from (and including) the date on which such
obligor event occurred to (but excluding) the relevant date,
divided by 360; and all due and unpaid outstanding PIK payments for
such certificate.

- The exercise price and 5% exercise premium payable by Vertex
under the purchase undertaking to the trustee, together with the
aggregate amount of the deferred sale price then outstanding, if
any, are intended to fund the dissolution amount payable by the
trustee under the trust certificates.

- On the occurrence of a total loss event or partial loss event
(unless the lease assets are replaced), if there is a shortfall
from the insurance proceeds, Vertex undertakes to pay the loss
shortfall amount directly into the transaction account. If the
servicing agent is not in compliance with the obligation to insure
the assets against total loss or partial loss events, it shall
immediately deliver written notice to the trustee and the delegate
of such non-compliance and the details thereof, and this will
constitute an obligor event.

- BPGIC and Gulf Navigation and certain subsidiaries have agreed to
unconditionally and irrevocably guarantee in favour of inter alia
the trustee and the delegate the due and punctual performance by
Vertex of all its payment obligations. If Vertex does not pay any
sum payable by it under the transaction documents by the time and
on the date specified for such payment, the guarantor will pay that
sum as directed.

- The payment obligations of the obligor shall constitute direct,
unconditional and secured obligations of the obligor; and save for
such exceptions as may be provided by applicable legislation, at
all times rank at least equally with all other outstanding
unconditional and secured obligations of the obligor, present and
future. Notwithstanding that the Secured Parties have the benefit
of the Transaction Security, to the extent there are any unsecured
and unsubordinated claims against the obligor under the transaction
documents, such unsecured and unsubordinated claims against it,
rank at least pari passu with the claims of all its other present
and future unsecured and unsubordinated creditors, except for those
creditors whose claims are mandatorily preferred by laws applying
to ADGM companies generally.

-- The payment obligations of each of the guarantors are and will
be direct, unconditional, unsubordinated and secured obligations of
the respective guarantors.

-- It is a dissolution event if the obligor repudiates or
challenges the valid, legal, binding and enforceable nature or
sharia compliance of any or any part of a transaction document to
which it is a party, or does or causes to be done any act or thing
evidencing an intention to repudiate or challenge, these conditions
or any (or any part of any) transaction document to which it is a
party.

-- The certificates' terms require that any incremental financial
indebtedness of BPGIC or its immediate holding company exceeding
USD1 million with a tenor of three months or more, excluding any
future tap issuances under the Sukuk, will be and remain at all
times fully and unconditionally subordinated to the certificates in
accordance with the terms of the Subordination Deed.

The sukuk documentation includes an obligation for Vertex to ensure
that at all times, the tangible asset ratio - defined as total
value of the lease assets/aggregate value of the lease assets and
the deferred sale price outstanding - is more than 50%. Vertex's
failure to comply with this obligation will not constitute an
obligor event. If the tangible asset ratio falls below 33%
(tangibility event), the certificate holders will have the option
to require the redemption of all or any of their trust certificates
at the dissolution amount and the trust certificates will be
delisted. In this event, there would be implications for the
tradability and listing of the trust certificates.

Fitch expects the tangibility ratio will be above 50% through the
life of any trust certificates issued. The obligor and its related
parties will have a sufficient base of unencumbered tangible
assets, of which a material portion will be initially earmarked for
the sukuk. As such, the asset base of Vertex and its affiliates is
sufficiently strong to support the trust certificates.

Fitch expects Vertex to maintain the tangibility ratio above 50%
with support from the asset base held by multiple sellers (wholly
owned subsidiaries of Gulf Navigation). The tangible fixed assets
totaled over USD400 million as of 9M25, while the tangibility ratio
will be low but manageable at inception of the sukuk, once BPGIC's
existing bonds are repaid and mortgages over its assets released,
there will be more than sufficient tangible unencumbered assets
available to keep the tangibility ratio well above 50%.

If Vertex does not have sufficient headroom, Fitch expects support
from BPGIC, due to the senior secured guarantee it provides. Fitch
said, "We expect BPGIC to remain a highly cash flow generative
entity with significant restrictions on dividends and other
distributions and a debt service reserve account, providing
sufficient liquidity buffer to service payments due under the
transaction documents."

The terms of the trust certificates include a negative pledge
provision, cross acceleration, obligor event, insurance notice
event, change of-control clause, restrictive covenants with respect
to the trustee, and requirement for BPGIC to fund a debt service
reserve account. Fitch believes a default of BPGIC or an insolvency
of Gulf Navigation would constitute an event of default under the
certificates and financial covenants are in place to limit leverage
at both BPGIC and Gulf Navigation. Based on the information
received, Fitch believes the legacy governance issues previously
impacting BPGIC have been resolved and/or ring-fenced such that
they can no longer impact BPGIC's operations.

Certain transactions aspects are governed by English law, while
other aspects are governed by the laws of Emirates of Fujairah, the
federal laws of UAE and Cayman Islands. Fitch does not express an
opinion on whether the relevant transaction documents are
enforceable under any applicable law. However, Fitch's rating on
the trust certificates reflects the agency's belief that BPGIC
would stand behind its obligations.

- Fitch does not express an opinion on the trust certificates'
compliance with sharia principles when assigning ratings to the
certificates to be issued

Peer Analysis

The certificate's ratings are derived from the guarantor's
Long-Term IDR.

Fitch's Key Rating-Case Assumptions

The certificates are issued on behalf of Vertex via the SPV Etihad
Energy Sukuk Ltd and guaranteed by BPGIC and Gulf Navigation.

Recovery Analysis

The recovery analysis assumes that BPGIC would be liquidated in a
bankruptcy rather than reorganized as a going concern. This is
driven by BPGIC's modern assets with several decades of remaining
useful life and limited investment needs yielding an asset
valuation which is higher than Fitch's post-restructuring
going-concern enterprise value.

For the purposes of recovery calculations Fitch includes
going-concern EBITDA and asset values associated only with BPGIC's
operating assets, conservatively assuming no residual cash flows or
liquidation value from Gulf Navigation.

The USD167 million senior secured sukuk certificates constitute the
sole debt of BPGIC.

Fitch's waterfall analysis, after a deduction of 10% for
administrative claims, led to a waterfall-generated recovery
computation (WGRC) in the 'RR2' band, indicating a 'B+(EXP)'
instrument rating, which is capped by the company's operations
being concentrated in the United Arab Emirates as per Fitch's
Country-Specific Treatment of Recovery Ratings Criteria.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Factors That Could, Individually Or Collectively, Lead To Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade

- A downgrade of BPGIC's IDR would lead to a similar action on the
certificate's rating;

- The certificate's rating may also be sensitive to adverse changes
to the roles and obligations of Vertex, BPGIC and Gulf Navigation
under the Trust Certificate structure and documents.

Factors That Could, Individually Or Collectively, Lead To Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade

- An upgrade of BPGIC's IDR would lead to a similar action on the
certificate's rating.

Liquidity and Debt Structure

Fitch said, "We view BPGIC's liquidity as sufficient, supported by
the recent USD167 million sukuk issuance. This transaction has
refinanced the BPGIC's existing bonds. BPGIC's low-cost structure
will support sufficient cash generation to service the sukuk. Our
rating case does not consider the cash sweep mechanism included
under the new sukuk issuance, which may accelerate debt repayment
further and would be an upside to our rating case in terms of lower
gross leverage over the forecast period."

Issuer Profile

Etihad Energy Sukuk Ltd. is a special-purpose vehicle formed for
the sole purpose of issuing the sukuk.

Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings

The ratings of the senior secured sukuk issued by Etihad are
anchored to the Long-term IDR of BPGIC.

RATING ACTIONS
                           Rating
                           ------
Etihad Energy
Sukuk Ltd

  senior secured     LT    B+(EXP)   Expected Rating  RR2




=============
J A M A I C A
=============

JAMAICA: BOJ Says External Accounts Likely to Weaken in Near Term
-----------------------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that the Bank of Jamaica is warning that the
country's
external accounts are likely to weaken in the near term, as imports

rise and exports continue to decline.

The central bank says the trade deficit, which stood at about
US$3.5 billion during the first seven months of the year, is
expected
to widen further, according to RJR News.  This has been attributed
to
increased imports of food, raw materials, capital goods,
fuel and transport equipment, alongside falling merchandise
exports, the report relays.

The Bank of Jamaica notes that the wider trade gap will also
translate into a larger current account deficit, driven by
weaker-than-expected tourism and business process
outsourcing earnings, as well as flat remittance inflows, the
report says.

However, the central bank says Jamaica is expected to have
sufficient foreign exchange reserves to cover the shortfall,
supported
by disaster risk financing and loan inflows from
multilateral agencies, the report discloses.

                    About Jamaica

Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea.
Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily
dependent
on tourism.  Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.

On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook.  In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2.  The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook
to
positive.  





JAMAICA: Melissa Causes Drop in Tourism Earnings, Job Losses
------------------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that the Bank of Jamaica says tourism earnings are

falling and jobs are being lost in the sector, following the impact
of
Hurricane Melissa, which forced the immediate closure of 43% of the

country's hotel room stock.

In its latest assessment, the central bank said widespread booking

cancellations and the delayed reopening of major hotel chains,
including
Hyatt and Iberostar, now expected between May and as late as
November next year, are likely to worsen unemployment
in the tourism industry, according to RJR News.

The BOJ noted, however, that some smaller properties which were not

severely affected by the hurricane have already
resumed operations, the report notes.

Tourism remains Jamaica's second largest source of foreign exchange

after remittances, generating net foreign exchange
earnings of US$1.76 billion last year, the report adds.

                         About Jamaica

Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea.
Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily
dependent
on tourism.  Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.

On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook.  In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2.  The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook
to
positive.  

TRANSJAMAICAN HIGHWAY: S&P's Outlook on 'BB' Rated Notes Now Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on Transjamaican Highway
Ltd.'s notes to stable from positive and affirmed its 'BB' rating
on the notes.

On Dec. 18, 2025, S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on Jamaica
to stable from positive and affirmed its 'BB' foreign currency and
local currency ratings on the country.

S&P said, "The stable outlook on TJH reflects the sovereign
outlook, indicating our view that TJH's credit profile remains
intrinsically linked to Jamaica's broader economic stability. We
anticipate a gradual recovery in TJH's traffic volumes following
the disruption caused by Hurricane Melissa, driven by the
reactivation of commercial activity and tourism throughout 2026,
supporting our projection of a minimum debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) consistently near 3.0x."

TJH holds a 35-year concession contract to design, construct,
operate, and maintain the Highway 2000 East-West until 2036. The
toll road is fully operational and connects Jamaica's capital city,
Kingston, and its greater metropolitan area to the west.

The toll road has four active toll plazas: May Pen, Vineyards, and
Spanish Town in the T1 Corridor; and Portmore in the T2 Corridor.
Toll rates vary by vehicle class, as is the case for most of its
rated toll roads, and are subject to an annual cap defined in the
concession agreement.

S&P said, "Following damage assessments and the incorporation of
the impact of Hurricane Melissa, which made landfall in Jamaica on
Oct. 28 and has taken time to assess, and following the economic
and fiscal outlook in the government's budget update in December,
we believe the likelihood of an upgrade for Jamaica over the coming
12 months has become more remote. As a result, on Dec. 18, 2025, we
revised the outlook on our ratings on Jamaica to stable from
positive. Despite a significant hit to growth in the near term and
a need to fund rebuilding, Jamaica's solid institutions and
preparedness for external shocks, in addition to an expected
economic rebound, support the current ratings.

"As a result, we revised the outlook on TJH to stable from
positive, reflecting that the sovereign continues to constrain
TJH's credit profile. This is due to the project's significant
exposure to regulatory risks and its inherent dependence on local
economic conditions. Our analysis incorporates stress
testing--including scenarios involving a 100% currency
depreciation, a 10% GDP contraction, and a doubling of
inflation--to assess TJH's resilience. While a six-month cash
funded debt service reserve account provides a limited buffer, our
assessment indicates that cash flows would likely be insufficient
to fully cover debt payments in a sovereign default scenario. A
sovereign stress could also restrict future tariff increases,
potentially affecting the project's cash flow. The 'a-' stand-alone
credit profile (SACP) remains unchanged, reflecting TJH's current
operational strengths.

"The stable outlook on TJH aligns with the sovereign outlook,
reflecting our view that TJH's performance is linked to Jamaica's
broader economic stability. We anticipate a gradual recovery in
traffic volumes following the disruption caused by Hurricane
Melissa, driven by the reactivation of commercial activity and
tourism throughout 2026. Beyond 2026, we expect traffic growth to
track our forecast for Jamaica's GDP growth of approximately 2% per
year, supporting our projection of a minimum DSCR consistently near
3.0x.

"We would likely revise the outlook to negative if we were to take
similar action on Jamaica. Furthermore, a downward revision of the
SACP is possible if financial performance, passenger volume, or
maintenance needs significantly deviate from our expectations,
resulting in a minimum DSCR falling below 1.7x, accompanied by a
significant traffic reduction of approximately 25%. A downgrade of
National Commercial Bank Jamaica Ltd. (NCBJ; BB-/Positive/B), the
project's primary bank account provider, could also trigger a
downward adjustment to the SACP.

"While we consider it unlikely, we could revise the outlook to
positive or raise the rating on TJH's debt if we were to take
similar action on Jamaica. However, we believe this scenario is
contingent on a substantial and sustained improvement in Jamaica's
economic outlook."



=======
P E R U
=======

PETROLEOS DEL PERU: S&P Lowers ICR to 'B-', On Watch Negative
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its issuer credit and issue-level
ratings on Petroleos del Peru Petroperu S.A. to 'B-' from 'B'. At
the same time, S&P placed the ratings on CreditWatch with negative
implications.

S&P said, "The CreditWatch negative reflects the likelihood that we
could lower our ratings on the company in the next few months if
the restructuring process results in a debt repurchase or similar
restructuring that we consider distressed and therefore tantamount
to a default, and/or if additional government support to alleviate
company's short term debt maturities does not materialize in the
next 90 days.

"We believe uncertainties have risen about the government's ability
to implement sustainable corrective measures to support Peruvian
government-owned refiner and fuels supplier Petroleos del Peru S.A.
(Petroperu), and we now view the likelihood of government support
as lower."

Petroperu's financial performance also continues to be weak, with
limited EBITDA to cover its financial obligations.

S&P said, "The downgrade reflects that recent developments have
weakened our view of the likelihood of government support. We
acknowledge that Petroperu has benefited from government support in
recent years, such as from the approval of a $1.0 billion loan
contract with a government guarantee in 2024. However, we think the
government's ability to implement sustainable corrective measures
for Petroperu is uncertain amid persistent political changes, which
could translate into subpar governance and uncertainty about the
government's future policies.

"As a result, we view the role between Petroperu and the government
as important (from our previous view of very important), and we
view the likelihood of government support to Petroperu as
moderately high (from our previous view of high). We believe that
while a default of Petroperu would still have a major impact on the
government, we now consider the consequences of nonintervention
more manageable.

"Petroperu is working on a restructuring process. The company is
actively working on measures to implement this restructuring. While
this process may take some time, we expect that the primary focus
to be on operational improvements rather than financial
restructuring. However, to evaluate the impact on the company's
current operational situation, we will need to have further
disclosure of this plan, including more detailed information about
the specific operational goals and the timeline for execution."

On the other hand, the company faces significant debt amortizations
in the short term, which are challenging given its limited cash
flow generation. As of Sept. 30, 2025, Petroperu faces semiannual
amortizations of the CESCE loan (Compañía de Seguros de Crédito
a la Exportación) of $86 million, around $81 million of interest
from the international bonds due 2032 and 2047, and $5 million of
interest payments from the loan with the Ministry of Finance (MEF
loan). S&P said, "We think the company will cover its December 2025
debt maturities on a timely basis. However, given that Petroperu
has not been able to generate positive cash flow in recent years,
and we expect forward-looking cash flow to remain very limited, we
don't expect the possibility of debt reduction in the coming
years."

S&P said, "Petroperu's capital structure remains unsustainable, in
line with our 'ccc' stand-alone credit profile (SACP). High debt
levels, low or nonexistent cash flow, and operational challenges
have continued to increase the company's leverage metrics. Total
reported debt was $5.450 billion (excluding accrued interests) as
of the third quarter of 2025, and about 10% of that amount (or $580
million) was to come due within the next 12 months. In August 2025,
the company was able to refinance its material short-term debt
maturities for around $1.0 billion with a loan backed by the
government with Banco de la Nacion, which extended its maturity to
2028.

"However, for the 12 months ended Sept. 30, 2025, EBITDA generation
was negative $122.8 million, contrary to our expectations of
positive EBITDA and resulting in weaker credit metrics. We expect
that the company will generate positive EBITDA going forward, based
on already positive EBITDA during third-quarter 2025. Still, its
financial risk profile will remain highly leveraged, with a
debt-to-EBITDA ratio well above 5x. Given S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of 44x and weak interest coverage
below 1x as of Sept. 30, 2025, we believe that Petroperu's
liquidity pressure remains on a stand-alone basis."

The company's financial results remain weak, despite better
third-quarter results. Petroperu's financial performance somewhat
recovered in third-quarter 2025. Sales increased about 3% compared
to the same period last year. This increase mainly resulted from
higher production from the Talara refinery, which boosted sales
volumes and increased exports with a higher commercial value.
Moreover, product purchases were significantly lower, allowing the
company to reduce costs. As a result, Petroperu generated positive
EBITDA of about $38.7 million in the third quarter, compared with
negative $98.6 million during third-quarter 2024. However, the
company's financial results continue to be below S&P's
expectations, and limited EBITDA barely covers 20% of interest
expenses.



=====================
P U E R T O   R I C O
=====================

JUAN MANUEL GINORIO: Condado Loses Bid to Dismiss Bankruptcy Case
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Judge Enrique S. Lamoutte of the United States Bankruptcy Court
for
the District of Puerto Rico denied Condado 5, LLC's urgent motion
for entry of an order pursuant to Section 1112(b)(3) of the
Bankruptcy Code with respect to its motion to dismiss or convert
the bankruptcy case of Juan Manuel Barreto Ginorio.

Condado argues there is cause for dismissal of the bankruptcy case
under Section 1112(b) of the Bankruptcy Code for the Debtor's
unexcused failure to satisfy timely any filing or reporting
requirement.  Condado avers that, as of the date of filing of the
motion to dismiss, the Debtor had not yet filed the Monthly
Operating Reports for August 2025 and September 2025.

The Debtor argues that both MORs were not due until October 21,
2025 pursuant to Fed. R. Bankr. P. 2015(a)(6) because the Opinion
and Order issued by the U.S. District Court for the District of
Puerto Rico, whereby this case was remanded back to the Bankruptcy
Court, was entered on August 20, 2025.   The Debtor also argues
that the MOR for October was not due until November 21, 2025.

The Bankruptcy Court acknowledges that the Debtor did not timely
file the MORs for August and September 2025.  In ruling against
the
motion, however, the Court holds that the Debtor was up to date
with the filing of MORs prior to the entry of the Opinion and
Order, whereby the case was dismissed; (2) the Debtor has cured
his
noncompliance by filing both MORs on November 6, 2025; and (3) the
Debtor timely filed the MOR for October 2025.

The Bankruptcy Court also finds that dismissal is not in the best
interest of creditors and the estate. The lengthy and protracted
history of this case and the related case, Bankr. Case No.
22-02380, together with the substantive matters pending before the
Bankruptcy Court following the District Court's Opinion and Order
dated August 20, 2025, constitute compelling circumstances.

A copy of the Court's Opinion and Order dated December 8, 2025, is
available at https://urlcurt.com/u?l=OT5Ux2 from PacerMonitor.com.

Juan Manuel Barreto Ginorio filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
protection (Bankr. D.P.R. Case No. 23-03681) on November 8, 2023,
listing under $1 million in both assets and liabilities. The
Debtor
is represented by Jesus Batista Sanchez, Esq.



                           *********


S U B S C R I P T I O N   I N F O R M A T I O N

Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America is a daily newsletter
co-published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless
Hills, Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C.,
USA, Marites O. Claro, Joy A. Agravante, Rousel Elaine T.
Fernandez, Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A.
Chapman, Editors.

Copyright 2025.  All rights reserved.  ISSN 1529-2746.

This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
publication in any form (including e-mail forwarding, electronic
re-mailing and photocopying) is strictly prohibited without prior
written permission of the publishers.

Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but is not guaranteed.

The TCR Latin America subscription rate is US$775 per half-year,
delivered via e-mail.  Additional e-mail subscriptions for members
of the same firm for the term of the initial subscription or
balance thereof are US$25 each.  For subscription information,
contact Peter A. Chapman at 215-945-7000.
.


                  * * * End of Transmission * * *