260323.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Monday, March 23, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 58
Headlines
A R G E N T I N A
ARGENTINA: Interest Rates Collapse With Milei Stockpiling Dollars
ARGENTINA: Posts Highest 4th Qtr Unemployment Since Pandemic
SSC POWER: Fitch Affirms 'CC' Rating on Senior Secured Notes
B R A Z I L
ALLIANCA SAUDE: Seeks Court Protection Amid Debt Pressures
ELDORADO BRASIL: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR
NEW FORTRESS: Signs RSA for Landmark UK Restructuring Plan
C O L O M B I A
GRUPO SURA: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
E C U A D O R
CUENCA DPR: Fitch Hikes Rating on Three Tranches to 'B'
ECUADOR DPR: Fitch Hikes Rating on Three Tranches to 'BB+'
GUAYAQUIL MERCHANT: Fitch Hikes Rating on 2026-1 Notes to 'BB(EXP)'
J A M A I C A
LIMNERS AND BARDS: Incurs $13.7 Million Net Loss on Weaker Revenues
P U E R T O R I C O
NBG MACHINE: Case Summary & Nine Unsecured Creditors
V E N E Z U E L A
CITGO PETROLEUM: U.S. Extends Protection From Creditors
- - - - -
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A R G E N T I N A
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ARGENTINA: Interest Rates Collapse With Milei Stockpiling Dollars
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Ignacio Olivera Doll at Bloomberg News reports that there are few
countries in the world right now where interest rates are moving
lower. In Argentina, they're plunging, Bloomberg News relays.
Benchmark short-term rates have dropped to 20 percent this month
from 50 percent at the end of the year and more than 100 percent in
October, according to Bloomberg News. The declines - which put
rates below inflation - are the result of a push by policymakers to
take advantage of a sudden surge in dollar inflows and replenish
the country's depleted hard-currency reserves, Bloomberg News
notes. As the Central Bank purchases millions of dollars day after
day, it pumps pesos into the financial system, swelling the money
supply and, in turn, driving down rates, Bloomberg News says.
President Javier Milei's willingness to let rates sink - rather
than hatch some plan to offset those transactions - has caught the
attention of investors and analysts in Buenos Aires, Bloomberg News
discloses. To them, it's a clear sign that, two years into his
administration, Milei and his aides are starting to worry about the
sluggish pace of economic growth and are keen to get consumers and
companies to spend, borrow and spend more, Bloomberg News notes.
Economic activity "is now at the top of people's concerns," said
Maria Minatta, director of local private consultancy Map Latam,
Bloomberg News relates. For the government, that means "normalising
monetary policy, setting a reasonable interest rate and lowering
reserve requirements in pesos so the economy can recover," he
added.
The moves run counter to other emerging market central banks, which
are more inclined to raise rather than cut borrowing costs -
especially as an oil price surge driven by the Iran war threatens
to reignite inflation, Bloomberg News notes. Hefty dollar inflows
from exports and a still-strong peso have allowed Argentina's
Central Bank to start accumulating reserves, Bloomberg News
discloses. While they've fallen slightly this month, they are up
nine percent this year to US$44.7 billion, Bloomberg News relays.
But the decision to let rates plunge creates a whole new set of
risks for Milei, Bloomberg News notes. Tumbling rates undercut the
rationale for holding pesos, potentially eroding government efforts
to keep the currency stable, Bloomberg News says. A weaker
currency, in turn, could set the stage for an inflationary rebound:
While down from its highs of nearly 300 percent in 2024, inflation
is still far from tamed, clocking in at an annual rate of 31
percent last month, Bloomberg News discloses.
Bloomberg News discloses that those risks may be acceptable for
Argentina's policymakers, who have walked a tightrope as they fight
to spark growth while keeping inflation in check. Although both
issues have vexed the country for years, signs of an economic
slowdown have appeared in 2026, with unemployment growing and key
metrics such as industrial output and construction showing cracks,
Bloomberg News says.
Worries over growth and the job market have come to the forefront
as a result: a recent survey from Isonomia Consultores showed
unemployment leapfrogging inflation on the list of Argentine’s
concerns, Bloomberg News notes.
Ultimately, the trajectories of the dollar and Argentine peso are
likely to determine whether the government's plan is sustainable.
The peso has appreciated by nearly seven percent since the national
elections in October, helped by a reopening of external debt
markets for the nation's companies and robust inflows from
exporters, Bloomberg News relays. With more leeway to accumulate
dollars, the Central Bank has purchased some US$2.8 billion since
January, Bloomberg News discloses.
"We are going to buy reserves while people demand pesos," Central
Bank Governor Santiago Bausili said during a conference at
Argentina Week in New York, Bloomberg News relays.
However, a continued rebound in the dollar - which has been buoyed
by haven-seeking investors during the Middle East conflict - would
undercut the peso's gains, putting additional pressure on local
currency holders already squeezed by falling rates, Bloomberg News
notes.
At the same time, the interest rate decline is denting the appeal
of the peso as a vehicle for carry trades, where investors borrow
in a low-yielding currency to invest in one with higher yields,
Bloomberg News discloses.
Bloomberg News relays that Gabriel Caamano, an economist at local
consultancy Outlier, wrote that while expectations of exchange-rate
stability continue to support carry, "the risks are rising as the
dollar strengthens globally and peso rates fall rapidly."
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of
South America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the
current president of Argentina after winning the November 19,
2023 general election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez
in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal
year 2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however,
its economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Moody's Ratings on July 17, 2025, upgraded Argentina's
long-term foreign currency and local currency issuer ratings to
Caa1 from Caa3 and changed the outlook to stable from positive.
The upgrade reflects Moody's views that the extensive
liberalization of exchange and (to a lesser extent) capital
controls, alongside a new International Monetary Fund (IMF)
program, support the availability of hard currency liquidity and
ease pressure on external finances. This reduces the likelihood of
a credit event. In January 2025, Moody's raised Argentina's local
currency ceiling to B3 from Caa1 and the foreign currency ceiling
to Caa1 from Caa3.
Fitch Ratings, on May 12, 2025, upgraded Argentina's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency and Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to
'CCC+' from 'CCC'. S&P Global Ratings, in February 2025 lowered
its local currency sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to
'SD/SD' from 'CCC/C' and its national scale rating to 'SD' from
'raB+'. DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in November 2024.
ARGENTINA: Posts Highest 4th Qtr Unemployment Since Pandemic
------------------------------------------------------------
Patrick Gillespie at Bloomberg News reports that Argentina's
unemployment rate rose to 7.5 percent at the end of last year, the
highest fourth-quarter reading since the Covid-19 pandemic, as job
losses worsened before Javier Milei's administration passed a
historic labor reform last month.
The jobless rate in Argentina's formal sector jumped for the first
time in three quarters as informal employment held steady at about
43 percent of the employed population, according to data published
by the INDEC national statistics bureau, reports Bloomberg News.
Argentina's formal private sector has lost over 200,000 salaried
jobs, or about three percent of its total, since Milei took office,
the report notes. His administration has also cut several thousand
government jobs but the unemployment rate hasn't jumped
consistently during his tenure partly due to an increase in
freelance and informal workers, according to a separate set of
official data, the report relays.
Milei notched his biggest legislative victory in February when
Congress passed a watered-down version of his labour reform that
eases the rules and costs around hiring, firing and severance,
among a series of other technical changes, the report relays.
While markets applauded the reform, economists warn it's unlikely
to quickly translate into job gains as economic activity sputters,
consumer spending remains down and labour-intensive industries are
struggling to compete as Milei opens up the economy, the report
adds.
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of
South America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the
current president of Argentina after winning the November 19,
2023 general election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez
in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal
year 2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however,
its economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Moody's Ratings on July 17, 2025, upgraded Argentina's
long-term foreign currency and local currency issuer ratings to
Caa1 from Caa3 and changed the outlook to stable from positive.
The upgrade reflects Moody's views that the extensive
liberalization of exchange and (to a lesser extent) capital
controls, alongside a new International Monetary Fund (IMF)
program, support the availability of hard currency liquidity and
ease pressure on external finances. This reduces the likelihood of
a credit event. In January 2025, Moody's raised Argentina's local
currency ceiling to B3 from Caa1 and the foreign currency ceiling
to Caa1 from Caa3.
Fitch Ratings, on May 12, 2025, upgraded Argentina's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency and Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to
'CCC+' from 'CCC'. S&P Global Ratings, in February 2025 lowered
its local currency sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to
'SD/SD' from 'CCC/C' and its national scale rating to 'SD' from
'raB+'. DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in November 2024.
SSC POWER: Fitch Affirms 'CC' Rating on Senior Secured Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
This is a correction of a press release published on March 10,
2026. It includes the Operation Risk Key Rating Driver, which was
omitted from the original release.
Fitch Ratings has affirmed SCC Power Plc's (SCC) $17.861 million
first lien senior secured notes due in 2028, $310 million second
lien senior secured notes due in 2028, and $200 million senior
secured notes due in 2032 at 'CC'.
Rating Rationale
SCC's ratings reflect the project's operational stage, dependence
on Argentina's off-taker and electricity market coordinator,
Compania Administradora del Mercado Mayorista Electrico (CAMMESA),
and Fitch's view of this exposure as systemic but strongly reliant
on federal government subsidies.
The rating considers the company's weaker debt structure, reliance
on refinancing, and a weak covenant package that allows for some
additional indebtedness, which could be preferred in the waterfall
ranking. Ultimately, the ratings reflect SCC's weaker financial
profile and higher refinancing risk assessment.
After the expiry of the regulated power purchase agreements (PPAs)
in December 2027, the issuer will be fully exposed to merchant
revenues, including spot capacity payments. Based on the
essentiality of the assets to meet growing power demand, there are
incentives for the government and CAMMESA to create conditions that
would allow the issuer to source additional revenues, which may
support refinancing in 2028 and 2032, such as Decree 450/2025,
which introduced a framework for the transition of the Argentine
wholesale market to a marginal-cost based system.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Operation Risk - Midrange
Internally Operated Assets with Parts Supply at Fixed Prices
(Operation Risk: Midrange)
SCC's plants are operated in-house by a trained team and overseen
by experts from ultimate sponsor, MSU Group., which owns three
other gas thermal power plants that together comprise 750 MW. Fitch
views the sponsor's experience in operating similar plants as a
positive for the project. Ultimately, the overhauls are fixed price
through long-term agreements with full subsidiaries of Siemens
S.A.
Supply Risk - Midrange
Fuel Supply Fully Mitigated by the Revenue Framework (Supply Risk:
Midrange)
Both diesel oil and gas are fully supplied by CAMMESA, the
project's sole off-taker. Under the PPA and spot framework, the
project is not required to dispatch in the event of a supply
failure, yet it still receives its fixed capacity payment. This
feature helps isolate fuel supply risk to the project. After the
PPAs expire, the power plants can procure their own supply.
Revenue Risk - Midrange
Weak Counterparty and Relevant Exposure to Merchant Revenues
(Revenue Risk: Weaker)
The thermal plants' sole off-taker is CAMMESA, a private company
that serves as the wholesale power market administrator and
operator in Argentina. Fitch views CAMMESA's payment risk as
systemic. However, it is strongly dependent on transfers from the
national government. Due to Argentina's power sector
characteristics, Fitch views the credit quality of the systemic
risk as one notch below Argentina's Local Currency Issuer Default
Rating (IDR).
Until 2027, the projects' revenues will come from U.S.
dollar-denominated fixed capacity payments that cover fixed costs
and debt service. From 2028 to 2032, after most of the PPA's
expire, the project will rely on spot capacity revenues, which will
also be U.S. dollar denominated, according to the recent 400/2025
Resolution.
Debt Structure - 1 - Weaker; Debt Structure - 2 - Weaker
Non-Amortizing Debt with Cash Sweep Mechanism (Debt Structure:
Weaker)
The debt structure of each of the three notes is non-amortizing,
with a bullet payment at the maturity dates. Nonetheless, the notes
benefit from a cash sweep mechanism that is triggered quarterly
whenever unrestricted cash amounts are higher than USD15 million.
Additional debt can be issued for the expansion of some of the
already existing power plants and remediation efforts for one
plant, as well as refinancing of current notes without a new rating
confirmation.
The debt also relies on a six-month debt service reserve account
(DSRA). There is no waterfall structure for the onshore accounts
and the intercompany loans among subsidiaries are allowed.
Peer Analysis
SCC's closest peer is MSU Energy S.A. (MSU Energy; CCC+), an
Argentine electric power company that controls thermal power
plants. Despite having the same ultimate parent as SCC, both are
evaluated separately given their different corporate and debt
structures.
MSU Energy's ratings reflect its exposure to CAMMESA as well as its
adequate liquidity and gradual deleverage. MSU's leverage is
expected to decrease to 3.2x by 2026, which justifies its higher
rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A substantial worsening of near-term operating performance
relative to Fitch's expectations;
- Significant payment delays from CAMMESA or impairment of the
project's liquidity levels;
- Inability to upstream cash from the operating companies to the
issuer due to regulatory developments or inability to present a
sound strategy to refinance the notes by 2027.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Ability to improve cashflows to increase the likelihood of
refinancing.
- Further regulatory developments leading to a market less reliant
on support from the Argentine government or a sovereign upgrade
that could positively affect the company's collections/cash flow.
Financial Profile
Financial Profile
Under Fitch's base case, the first lien notes are expected to be
paid before maturity through the cash sweep mechanism. The
refinancing depends on management's ability to reduce costs and
maintain the plants' availability levels, as well as secure
positive cash flows after the current PPAs mature.
The expected financial profile at the notes' maturity is weak, as
revenues are expected to be much lower. The ratings reflect the
possibility of refinancing the notes based on the sponsor's sound
access to the local market, demonstrated experience with thermal
plant operation, and the importance of the assets for the overall
system. The asset permits' tenors are perpetual, which supports new
revenue streams.
SECURITY
- Secured first lien notes: US$17,861,000; interest rate: 6% ;
maturity: 2028;
- Secured second lien notes: US$310,000,000; interest rate: 8%;
maturity: 2028;
- Secured third lien notes: US$200,000,000; interest rate: 4% ;
maturity: 2032.
All notes have bullet amortization at the maturity date, and the
debt structure is secured by a first-priority lien on substantially
all assets of the issuer and its subsidiaries, including
receivables and equipment. It also includes a cash sweep
mechanism.
Criteria Variation
A variation was proposed to the treatment of systemic risk defined
in the Infrastructure and Project Finance Rating Criteria, which
would in principle detach payment risk from any individual
counterparty's credit quality. CAMMESA's payment risk is viewed as
systemic due to the role it plays in the country's power system.
However, it is strongly dependent on transfers from the national
government, which have been significantly delayed over the years.
Therefore, systemic risk in the Argentinian power sector is viewed
to have a credit quality one notch below Argentina's LC IDR.
CRITERIA VARIATION
A variation was proposed to the treatment of systemic risk defined
in the Infrastructure and Project Finance Rating Criteria, which
would in principle detach payment risk from any individual
counterparty's credit quality. CAMMESA's payment risk is viewed as
systemic due to the role it plays in the country's power system.
However, it is strongly dependent on transfers from the national
government, which have been significantly delayed over the years.
Therefore, systemic risk in the Argentinian power sector is viewed
to have a credit quality below Argentina's Local Currency IDR.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate VS Screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for SCC Power Plc.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
SCC Power Plc
SCC Power Plc/Energy
Revenues - First Lien/1 LT LT
SCC Power Plc/Energy
Revenues - Third Lien/3 LT LT
SCC Power Plc/Energy
Revenues - Second Lien/2 LT LT
===========
B R A Z I L
===========
ALLIANCA SAUDE: Seeks Court Protection Amid Debt Pressures
----------------------------------------------------------
BitGet.com reports that Allianca Saude has turned to the courts for
temporary protection as it faces mounting debt obligations.
The company is proactively requesting judicial assistance to manage
approximately BRL155 million in principal and interest payments
scheduled for April and October, according to the report.
BitGet.com relays that this move follows a clear signal from credit
markets: Fitch Ratings recently lowered Alliança's rating to CCC+,
citing insufficient liquidity as of September 2025 to meet these
payments. Rather than a last-minute reaction, this is a calculated
step to pause and reassess, prompted by the downgrade, the report
adds.
Allianca Saude e Participacoes SA is a Brazil-based company which
engages in the healthcare services & equipment business sector.
ELDORADO BRASIL: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR
-------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed six Latin American pulp, paper and
forestry companies' and their related subsidiaries' ratings. These
actions follow the update of Fitch's "Corporate Rating Criteria"
and "Sector Navigators Addendum to the Corporate Rating Criteria"
on Jan. 9, 2026. The companies' ratings and Outlooks are unaffected
by the criteria changes.
Key Rating Drivers
For the full key rating drivers for each issuer, see the RACs
listed below:
Suzano S.A. (Suzano)
Klabin S.A. (Klabin)
Eldorado Brasil Celulose S.A. (Eldorado)
LD Celulose S.A.(LDC)
Celulosa Arauco y Constitucion S.A.'s (Arauco)
Empresas Copec S.A. (Empresas Copec)
Peer Analysis
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Suzano
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb+,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb, Higher), Profitability (a-,
Moderate), Financial Structure (bb+, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bbb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb-'.
To derive the IDR:
- Fitch has made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BBB-'.
Klabin
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb, Moderate), Profitability (bbb+,
Moderate), Financial Structure (bb-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast
year 2027.
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors also include
bespoke calculations.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bb+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb+'.
To derive the IDR:
- Fitch has made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BB+'.
Eldorado
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bbb+, Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb-, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb, Higher), Company Operational
Characteristics (bbb, Moderate), Profitability (bbb, Moderate),
Financial Structure (bb-, Higher), and Financial Flexibility (bb,
Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the forecast year 2025,
40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year 2027.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bb+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb'.
To derive the IDR:
- Fitch has made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BB'.
LDC
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b, Higher), Company Operational
Characteristics (bbb, Moderate), Profitability (a-, Lower),
Financial Structure (bbb-, Moderate), and Financial Flexibility
(bb+, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the forecast year 2025,
40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year 2027.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb-'.
To derive the IDR:
- Fitch has made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BB-'.
Arauco
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb, Higher), Profitability (bbb,
Moderate), Financial Structure (b, Moderate), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the las historica year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bbb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb-'.
To derive the IDR:
Application of Fitch's Parent and Subsidiary Linkage Rating
Criteria results in a bottom up +2 approach, with a Foreign and
Local Currency IDR 'BBB'.
Empresas Copec
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb+,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb+, Higher),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb, Moderate), Profitability (b,
Lower), Financial Structure (bb, Moderate), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors also include
bespoke calculations.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bbb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb'.
To derive the IDR:
- Fitch has made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BBB'.
Recovery Analysis
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Issuer Profile
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Sources of Information
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Suzano, Klabin, Eldorado, LDC, Arauco or Empresas Copec.
ESG Considerations
Refer to the RAC for each issuer.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Eldorado Intl.
Finance GmbH
senior unsecured LT BB Affirmed BB
Suzano Austria
GmbH
senior unsecured LT BBB- Affirmed BBB-
Suzano
Netherlands B.V.
Senior unsecured LT BBB- Affirmed BBB-
LD Celulose
International GmbH
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed BB-
LD Celulose S.A. LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
LC LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
Suzano S.A. LT IDR BBB- Affirmed BBB-
LC LT IDR BBB- Affirmed BBB-
Empresas Copec S.A. LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
LC LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
Eldorado Brasil
Celulose S.A. LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
LC LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
Celulosa Arauco y
Constitucion S.A. LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
LC LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
senior unsecured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
Klabin S.A. LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
LC LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
Klabin Austria
Gmbh
senior
unsecured LT BB+ Affirmed BB+
NEW FORTRESS: Signs RSA for Landmark UK Restructuring Plan
----------------------------------------------------------
New Fortress Energy Inc. announced on Mar 17, 2026, that it has
entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with its creditors
as part of a consensual UK Restructuring Plan, in what is expected
to be one of the largest consensual UK RP restructuring
transactions ever completed. Through the UK RP process, creditors
will exchange NFE debt for a combination of debt, common and
preferred equity. The transaction is expected to close by the
third quarter of 2026, subject to court availability, customary
conditions and regulatory approvals.
There are several steps to the transaction. Under the terms of the
RSA, the first step is to separate NFE into two independent
entities: "BrazilCo", a privately held standalone company to be
owned by creditors and is comprised of NFE's terminals, power
plants, and operations in Brazil; and "New NFE", a publicly traded,
integrated LNG-to-power company comprising all other remaining
assets and operations of NFE.
The creditor groups will exchange their debt instruments for a
basket of "New NFE" debt, preferred equity, and common shares. In
aggregate, the following will occur through the transaction:
* Reduction of "New NFE" corporate debt from $5.7 billion to
527.5 million
* Issuance of up to $2.5 billion of "New NFE" preferred equity
* Issuance of 65% of "New NFE" common equity
The $2.5 billion of "New NFE" preferred equity issued has a
three-year term with a PIK coupon of 3% in year one, 5% in year
two, and 7% in year three, and is prepayable at any time without
prepayment penalties. If any amount of preferred equity is
outstanding at the end of year three, there is a mandatory
conversion into its pro rata share of 87% of common equity of "New
NFE."
Existing NFE shareholders will have their ownership diluted to 35%
of "New NFE" common equity and are subject to further dilution if
some or all the preferred equity is converted at the end of year
three.
"This consensual restructuring represents a landmark milestone for
the company," said Wes Edens, Chairman and CEO of New Fortress
Energy.
"'New NFE' emerges from this transaction as a fundamentally
transformed company. 'New NFE' will be a capital-light,
low-leverage business that generates significant free cash flow,
supported by long-term supply matched with long-term downstream
demand. This simple business model positions 'New NFE' for robust
growth and stability ahead with very little additional capital
required. We are grateful to our creditors, advisors, customers,
and shareholders for their confidence throughout this process, and
we look forward to the bright future ahead for New Fortress
Energy."
The Company will launch the UK RP process in April, with the
necessary court hearings to review and sanction the plan to
follow.
The transaction is expected to be completed by the third quarter of
2026, subject to court availability, customary conditions and
regulatory approvals.
About New Fortress Energy Inc.
New Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NFE) is a global energy
infrastructure company founded to address energy poverty and
accelerate the world's transition to reliable, affordable, and
clean energy. The Company owns and operates natural gas and
liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure and an integrated fleet
of ships and logistics assets to rapidly deliver turnkey energy
solutions to global markets. Collectively, the Company's assets
and operations reinforce global energy security, enable economic
growth, enhance environmental stewardship and transform local
industries and communities around the world.
===============
C O L O M B I A
===============
GRUPO SURA: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Grupo de Inversiones Suramericana S.A.'s
(Grupo Sura) Long-Term Foreign and Local Issuer Default Ratings
(IDRs) at 'BB+', and senior unsecured notes at 'BB+'. The Rating
Outlook for the IDRs is Stable.
Fitch also affirmed Grupo Sura's National Long-Term Rating at
'AAA(col)' with a Stable Outlook, National Short-Term Rating at
'F1+(col)' and national scale senior unsecured notes at 'AAA(col)
and 'F1+(col)'.
Key Rating Drivers
Multijurisdictional SROE: Grupo Sura's 'bb+' sector risk operating
environment (SROE) score with 'High Importance' reflects the
weighted average of the implied operating environments (OEs) of the
jurisdictions where it operates. Grupo Sura is an international
group based in Colombia with direct financial operations in 10
Latin American countries. However, significant reliance on dividend
streams from Bancolombia (BB+/Stable), Colombia's largest bank,
constrains the SROE.
Fitch's assessment also considers the entity's assets in additional
jurisdictions with stronger OEs, which preserves the issuer's
capacity to service its obligations in the relevant currency in the
event of sovereign default.
Diversified Business Profile: Grupo Sura's IDRs are based upon its
standalone credit profile (SCP) and reflect its diversified
business profile with dominant local franchises and revenue
diversification in strongly regulated financial industries,
including pension funds, banking and insurance services, in several
Latin American countries. The SCP is below the implied SCP as it is
aligned with, and limited by, the 'bb+' SROE score and Colombia's
sovereign rating (BB/Stable).
Recognized Franchise; Stable Business Model: Grupo Sura's strong
business profile reflects its competitive position within the
region and business model. The banking business is the most
relevant in terms for dividend through its noncontrolling stake in
Grupo Cibest and its main subsidiary Bancolombia, while Sura AM is
the leading mandatory pension fund manager (MPFM) in Latin America
with USD217 billion in AUM as of December 2025. Suramericana's
insurance operations provide a steady source of income for the
group. The company has consistent strategy and execution, producing
stable results and recurring upstream dividends from its
subsidiaries and affiliates.
Good Quality of Investments: For investment companies that invest
in a finite number (less than 30) of portfolio companies or exhibit
material portfolio concentration (individuals holding greater than
15%), Fitch considers the underlying investments' credit quality
and seniority to assess overall asset performance and quality.
Accordingly, Grupo Sura's 'bb+' stable trend on asset performance
factor score corresponds to the weighted average credit quality of
its main subsidiaries.
Bancolombia's Viability Rating (VR; bb+) is in line with its
implied VR and reflects the robust company profile, underpinned by
its leading market share in Colombia , which results in consistent
and ample total operating income generation and strong financial
profile and representing the main source of dividends for Grupo
Sura.
Sound Profitability: Grupo Sura's profitability reflects solid
earnings generation, supported by a more diversified business mix
across financial business lines. As of YE 2025, net income to
average equity was 8.7%, above the four-year average of 6.1%
(excluding one-time effects in 2024). Profitability was supported
by strong performance at Cibest and Sura AM. This trend is expected
to continue in 2026, with ROE around 13%, despite market volatility
and tax reforms, mainly in Colombia.
Decrease in Leverage: Grupo Sura's leverage has decreased and is
commensurate with its rating. Gross debt to tangible equity was
0.87x at December 2025 and 0.48x in an unconsolidated basis. In
early 2025, the group made a tender offer to buy back its 2026
senior notes, which closed at USD230 million, that will alleviate
some liquidity pressure in 2026.
Grupo Sura recently signed a bank loan with BBVA and JPMorgan to
replace the five-bank Club Deal (Citi, BBVA, Itaú, Bladex, and
Banco General). Additionally, to cover the bond maturity in April
2026, the entity has a committed facility with BBVA. The group
plans to continue with deleveraging, which Fitch sees as consistent
with the group's financial performance.
Sound Operational Expense Coverage: Grupo Sura's unconsolidated
operational expense coverage was 1.9x as of Sept. 30, 2025 (average
between 2021 and 2024: 1.5x). Its unconsolidated interest coverage
(one-year upstream dividend and interest income over interest
expenses) was a sound 5.3x as of the same date (average between
2021 and 2024: 2.8x). Both metrics are commensurate with a 'bb+'
level factor score for investment companies.
Grupo Sura's subsidiaries and investments provide a strong upstream
of dividends relative to the holding company's operating expenses.
Fitch believes that the upstream dividends and interest income from
subsidiaries adequately cover fixed expenses and debt service at
the holding company level.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A weaker assessment of Grupo Sura's multijurisdictional SROE due
to a sovereign downgrade in Colombia, Chile or Mexico;
- A material reduction in dividends flows from key subsidiaries due
to regulatory restrictions on the banking business or deterioration
in financial profiles—that negatively impacts debt service,
mainly at Bancolombia;
- Assumption of new debts to significant levels which results in a
substantial weakening of financial leverage, its interest coverage
level, and liquidity.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Grupo Sura's IDRs could be upgraded with a combination of (i)
improved multijurisdictional SROE, (ii) an upgrade of the Colombian
sovereign rating, and (iii) strengthened credit quality at key
subsidiaries.
- Grupo Sura National Ratings have no upside potential because they
are at the highest level on the national scale.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
Grupo Sura's global senior unsecured long-term debt is rated at the
same level as its Long-Term IDR, as the likelihood of default on
the notes is the same. Likewise, the national scale senior
unsecured long- and short-term debt are rated at the same level as
the issuer's national long-term and short-term ratings.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The ratings on Grupo Sura's senior unsecured debt would move in
line with its global IDRs and national ratings, respectively.
ADJUSTMENTS
The Standalone Credit Profile has been assigned below the implied
Standalone Credit Profile due to the following adjustment
reason(s): Sector Risk Operating Environment / Sovereign Rating
Constraint (negative).
The Business Profile score has been assigned below the implied
score due to the following adjustment reason(s): Business model
(negative).
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Grupo de Inversiones
Suramericana S.A. LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
LC LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
Natl LT AAA(col) Affirmed AAA(col)
Natl ST F1+(col) Affirmed F1+(col)
senior unsecured LT BB+ Affirmed BB+
senior unsecured Natl LT AAA(col) Affirmed AAA(col)
senior unsecured Natl ST F1+(col) Affirmed F1+(col)
=============
E C U A D O R
=============
CUENCA DPR: Fitch Hikes Rating on Three Tranches to 'B'
-------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the outstanding series of loans issued
by Cuenca DPR to 'B' from 'B-'. The Rating Outlook is Stable.
The upgrade on the notes follows a similar rating action on Banco
del Austro S.A.'s (Austro) rating. On March 6, 2026, Fitch upgraded
Austro's LT IDR to 'B-' from 'CCC+' and assigned it a Stable
Outlook. The rating action on Austro, in turn, followed Fitch's
recent upgrade of Ecuador's sovereign rating to 'B-' from 'CCC+'.
For more details, please see "Fitch Upgrades Six Ecuadorian Banks'
VRs and IDRs Following Sovereign Upgrade," dated March 6, 2026, and
"Fitch Upgrades Ecuador to 'B-'; Outlook Stable," dated Feb. 25,
2026.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Cuenca DPR
2021-1 G2706*AA4 LT B Upgrade B-
2023-1 G2706*AB2 LT B Upgrade B-
2025-1 LT B Upgrade B-
Transaction Summary
The future flow program is backed by U.S. dollar-denominated
existing and future diversified payment rights (DPRs) originated by
Banco del Austro. Citibank N.A. processes 100% of DPR flows in the
U.S. as the sole designated depository bank (DDB) in this
transaction. Citibank executed an account agreement (AA)
irrevocably obligating the bank to make payments to an account
controlled by the transaction trustee.
Fitch's rating addresses timely payment of interest and principal
on a quarterly basis.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Future Flow Rating Driven by Originator's Credit Quality: The
rating of this future flow transaction is tied to the credit
quality of the originator, Banco del Austro S.A. On March 6, 2026,
Fitch upgraded Austro's LT IDR to 'B-' from 'CCC+' and its
Viability Rating (VR) to 'b-' from 'ccc+', and assigned a Stable
Outlook. The rating action followed Fitch's upgrade of Ecuador's
IDR, which raised the bank's OE score to 'b-', which aligns with
the sovereign rating and reflects the bank's exclusive focus on the
domestic market.
Austro's ratings also reflect its moderate franchise and midsize
bank business model, stable asset quality but exposure to OE risks
due to credit concentration in Cuenca, stable margins that support
profitability growth, lower capitalization, and strong liquidity
that supports funding stability.
Notching Differential Limited by Going Concern Assessment (GCA)
Score: Fitch uses a GCA score to gauge the likelihood that the
originator of a future flow transaction will remain in operation
through the transaction's life. Fitch's Financial Institutions (FI)
group assigns a GCA score of 'GC3' to Austro, which reflects its
position as the seventh-largest bank in Ecuador by total assets,
with a market share slightly above 4% as of January 2026. Although
Austro's business model is adequately diversified, it does not hold
a relevant product leadership position within Ecuador, which is
also reflected in the GCA score.
Several Factors Limit Notching Uplift from IDR: The 'GC3' score
allows for a maximum uplift of two notches from the bank's IDR,
pursuant to Fitch's future flow methodology. However, the uplift is
limited to one notch above Austro's IDR due to various factors,
including high future flow debt to non-deposit funding and DDB
concentration risk.
High Future Flow Debt Relative to Balance Sheet: Fitch estimates
that Austro's future flow debt accounts for about 3.5% of its total
funding and 35.5% of non-deposit funding, based on outstanding DPR
program loan balances as of January 2026 and utilizing September
2025 financials. Fitch does not allow the maximum uplift for
originators with future flow debt exceeding 30% of total
non-deposit funding. However, due to the structural benefits, high
flow quality, and continued deleveraging of series 2021 and 2023,
Fitch allows a one-notch uplift from Austro's LT IDR.
Coverage Levels Commensurate with Assigned Rating: Based on average
rolling quarterly DDB flows from February 2021 to January 2026 and
the maximum periodic debt service over the life of the program,
including Fitch's interest rate stress — the projected quarterly
debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) is 31.2x. The transaction could
also withstand about a 97% decrease in flows and still meet the
maximum quarterly debt service. Fitch will continue to monitor flow
performance.
Structure Reduces Potential Redirection/Diversion Risk: The
structure mitigates certain sovereign risks by collecting cash
flows offshore until the periodic debt service amount is reached.
Fitch considers diversion risk partially mitigated by the AA signed
by the sole DDB, Citibank. However, because Citibank processes all
DPR flows, the transaction faces greater diversion risk than other
Fitch-rated DPR programs in the region. This limits the overall
notching differential.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The transaction's rating is sensitive to Austro's credit quality.
A one-notch downgrade of Austro would constrain the transaction's
rating.
- The transaction's rating also depends on the continued operation
of the DPR business line, reflected in the GCA score; a change in
Fitch's view of the GCA score could affect the rating.
- In addition, the transaction's rating is sensitive to the
performance of the securitized business line. The projected
quarterly DSCR is approximately 31.2x, including Fitch's interest
rate stress, allowing for a significant decline in cash flows
without affecting the rating. However, substantial additional
declines in flows could result in a negative rating action. Fitch
will review any changes in these variables in a rating committee to
assess the impact on the transaction's ratings.
- The transaction remains exposed to the economic and political
environment of the home country. Political risks and sovereign
interference may rise with a sovereign downgrade, but the
transaction structure and enhancements mitigate these risks to a
level consistent with the assigned rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The originator's rating and Austro's operating environment are
the main constraints on the program rating. If upgraded, Fitch will
assess whether to maintain the current uplift or adjust it based on
criteria.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
The future flow ratings are driven by the credit risk of Austro as
measured by its Long-Term IDR.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ECUADOR DPR: Fitch Hikes Rating on Three Tranches to 'BB+'
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Ecuador DPR Funding Limited's series
2020-1 loan, 2022-1 notes, and 2023-1 loan to 'BB+' from 'BB-'. The
Rating Outlook is Stable.
The rating actions follow Fitch's recent upgrade of Banco Pichincha
C.A. y Subsidiarias' (BP) Long-Term (LT) Issuer Default Rating
(IDR) to 'B' from 'CCC+'. The rating action on BP, in turn,
followed Fitch's recent upgrade of Ecuador's sovereign rating to
'B-' from 'CCC+'. Fitch has assigned Ecuador's IDR and, in turn,
BP's IDR a Stable Outlook. The 'BB+' ratings on the outstanding
series translate into a four-notch uplift from the LT IDR of the
originator.
The upgrades are supported by the continued strength of the bank's
DPR business. The quality and resiliency of its cash flows have
translated into strong coverage levels. Additionally, future flow
debt relative to balance sheet ratios has decreased.
For more details, please see "Fitch Upgrades Six Ecuadorian Banks'
VRs and IDRs Following Sovereign Upgrade," dated March 6, 2026, and
"Fitch Upgrades Ecuador to 'B-'; Outlook Stable," dated Feb. 25,
2026.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ecuador DPR
Funding
2020-1 LT BB+ Upgrade BB-
2022-1 27928YAA5 LT BB+ Upgrade BB-
2023-1 LT BB+ Upgrade BB-
Transaction Summary
The future flow (FF) program is backed by existing and future U.S.
dollar-denominated diversified payment rights (DPRs) originated by
Banco Pichincha C.A. y Subsidiarias (BP) in Ecuador. The majority
of DPRs are processed by designated depository banks (DDBs) that
have signed acknowledgement agreements (AAs), irrevocably
obligating them to make payments to an account controlled by the
transaction trustee.
Fitch's ratings address timely payment of interest and principal on
a quarterly basis.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Future Flow Rating Driven by Originator's Credit Quality: The
rating of this FF transaction is driven by the Long-Term IDR of the
originator, BP. On March 6, 2026, Fitch upgraded BP's Long-Term IDR
to 'B' from 'CCC+' and Viability Rating (VR) to 'b' from 'ccc+' and
assigned it a Stable Outlook. This action followed Fitch's upgrade
of Ecuador's IDR, which resulted in an improved operating
environment (OE) score for the bank. BP's ratings are driven by its
standalone creditworthiness, as captured in its VR. Its
international diversification translates into an OE score of 'b',
above those of local peers and the sovereign rating.
The bank's LT IDR is now one notch above the sovereign rating,
reflecting the improvements in the OE and a lower risk perception.
These factors should help the bank maintain its strong franchise
and business model as the largest bank in Ecuador's financial
system. Fitch expects Pichincha's profile to be further supported
by the OE improvement. The ratings also reflect an adequate
financial profile that has remained resilient throughout the
economic cycle. Together, this positioning, leadership and stable
performance strengthens Pichincha's ability to absorb potential
macroeconomic risks relative to lower rated peers.
Going Concern Assessment (GCA) Score Supports Notching
Differential: Fitch uses a GCA score to gauge the likelihood that
the originator of a future flow transaction will stay in operation
through the transaction's life. Fitch assigns a GCA score of 'GC1'
to BP based on it being the largest and most systemically important
bank within the highly concentrated Ecuadorian market. The score
allows for a maximum of six notches above the Long-Term IDR of the
originator; however, additional factors limit the maximum uplift.
Factors Limit Notching Differential: The 'GC1' score allows for a
maximum six-notch rating uplift from the bank's IDR, pursuant to
Fitch's future flow methodology. However, uplift is tempered to
four notches from BP's Long-Term IDR as Fitch reserves the maximum
notching uplift for originators rated at the lowest end of the
rating scale.
Moderate Future Flow Debt Relative to Balance Sheet: Future flow
debt represents approximately 1.5% of BP's total funding and 18.4%
of non-deposit funding when considering the current outstanding
balance of the program ($272.5 million) as of Jan. 30, 2026, and
utilizing September 2025 non-consolidated financials. Fitch
considers these ratios small enough to differentiate the credit
quality of the financial future flow transaction from BP's
Long-Term IDR. However, an increase in future flow debt size could
constrain the transaction ratings.
Coverage Levels Commensurate with Assigned Rating: Considering
average rolling quarterly DDB flows over the past five years
(February 2021 - January 2026) and the maximum periodic debt
service over the life of the program, including Fitch's 'BB+'
interest rate stress for the series 2023-1 floating-rate loan,
Fitch's minimum projected quarterly debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) is 77.9x. The program can withstand a reduction in flows of
approximately 99% and still cover the maximum quarterly debt
service obligation. Nevertheless, Fitch will continue to actively
monitor the performance of the flows.
Reduced Redirection/Diversion Risk: The structure mitigates certain
sovereign risks by collecting cash flows offshore until collection
of the periodic debt service amount, allowing the transaction to be
rated over the sovereign country ceiling. Fitch believes payment
diversion risk is partially mitigated by the AA signed by the six
correspondent banks processing the vast majority of U.S. dollar DPR
flows originating in the U.S.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The transaction's ratings are sensitive to changes in BP's credit
quality, which in turn is sensitive to changes in Ecuador's credit
quality and local operating environment. A deterioration of BP's
credit quality could lead to a negative action on the transaction's
rating;
- The transaction's ratings are sensitive to increases in the FF
debt relative to the bank's funding ratios. If either of the ratios
increase beyond the thresholds outlined in Fitch's Future Flow
Securitization Rating Criteria and are expected to remain
consistently above that threshold, it could result in a downgrade
of the transaction's ratings;
- The transaction's ratings are sensitive to the DPR business
line's performance and its ability to continue operating, as
reflected by the GCA score. A change in Fitch's view of the bank's
GCA score could lead to a change in the transaction's ratings. The
minimum expected quarterly DSCR is approximately 77.9x and should
be able to withstand a significant decline in cash flows in the
absence of other issues. However, significant declines in flows
could lead to a negative rating action. Any changes in these
variables will be analyzed in a rating committee to assess the
possible affect on the transaction's ratings;
- No company is immune to the economic and political conditions of
its home country. Political risks and the potential for sovereign
interference may increase as a sovereign's rating is downgraded.
However, the underlying structure and transaction enhancements
mitigate these risks to a level consistent with the assigned
rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The main constraint to the transaction's ratings is the
originator's rating and BP's local operating environment. If
upgraded, Fitch will consider whether the same uplift could be
maintained or if it should be further tempered in accordance with
criteria.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
The future flow ratings are driven by the credit risk of BP as
measured by its Long-Term IDR.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GUAYAQUIL MERCHANT: Fitch Hikes Rating on 2026-1 Notes to 'BB(EXP)'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the issue-specific ratings assigned to
all outstanding series of notes issued by Guayaquil Merchant
Voucher Receivables Limited and Guayaquil DPR Limited to 'BB' from
'BB-'. Fitch has also upgraded the expected rating assigned to the
$150 million series 2026-1 notes in the process of being originated
by Guayaquil Merchant Voucher Receivables Limited to 'BB(EXP)' from
'BB-(EXP)'. The Rating Outlook on the notes is Stable.
These rating actions follow Fitch's recent upgrade of Banco
Guayaquil, S.A.'s (BG) Long-Term (LT) Issuer Default Rating (IDR)
to 'B-' from 'CCC+'. The rating action on BG, in turn, followed
Fitch's recent upgrade of Ecuador's sovereign rating to 'B-' from
'CCC+'. Fitch has assigned Ecuador's IDR and, in turn, BG's IDR a
Stable Outlook. The 'BB' rating on the outstanding series issued
out of the two future flow programs and 'BB(EXP)' rating on the
series 2026-1 to be issued out of Guayaquil Merchant Voucher
Receivables Limited translates into a four-notch uplift from the LT
IDR of the originator.
The upgrades on the notes are supported by strength of the bank's
DPR and credit card businesses, as reflected in the quality of the
respective cash flows for each future flow program which have
consistently supported debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) levels
supportive of the transactions' ratings.
For more details, please see "Fitch Upgrades Six Ecuadorian Banks'
VRs and IDRs Following Sovereign Upgrade," dated March 6, 2026, and
"Fitch Upgrades Ecuador to 'B-'; Outlook Stable," dated Feb. 25,
2026.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Guayaquil Merchant
Voucher Receivables
Limited
2019-1 401539AA9 LT BB Upgrade BB-
2026-1 LT BB(EXP)Upgrade BB-(EXP)
Guayaquil DPR Limited
2023-1 401536AA5 LT BB Upgrade BB-
2023-2 401536AC1 LT BB Upgrade BB-
2024-1 401536AE7 LT BB Upgrade BB-
2024-2 LT BB Upgrade BB-
Transaction Summary
Guayaquil DPR Limited is backed by existing and future USD
diversified payment rights (DPRs) originated by Banco Guayaquil,
S.A. in Ecuador. The majority of DPRs are processed by designated
depository banks (DDBs) that have executed account agreements
(AAs), irrevocably obligating them to make payments to an account
controlled by the program agent.
Guayaquil Merchant Voucher Receivables Limited is backed by future
flows due from American Express (Amex), Visa International Service
Association (Visa), and MasterCard International Incorporated
(MasterCard) related to international merchant vouchers (MVs)
acquired by Banco Guayaquil, S.A. in Ecuador.
Fitch's ratings address timely payment of interest and principal on
a quarterly basis.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Future Flow (FF) Ratings Driven by Originator's Credit Quality: The
ratings of these FF transactions are driven by the LT IDR of the
originator, BG. On March 6, 2026, Fitch upgraded Guayaquil's LT IDR
to 'B-' from 'CCC+' and its viability rating (VR) to 'b-' from
'ccc+', and assigned a Stable Outlook, following a similar action
on Ecuador's IDR. The upgrade of Ecuador's rating translated into
an improved operating environment (OE) score for the bank at 'b-',
which is aligned with the sovereign rating reflecting its
operations are fully concentrated in the domestic market. BG's IDR
is driven by its VR, or standalone creditworthiness. The bank's LT
IDR remains equalized with the sovereign rating.
Strong Going-Concern Assessment (GCA): Fitch uses a GCA score to
gauge the likelihood that the originator of a future flow
transaction will remain in operation throughout the transaction's
life. Fitch assigned a GCA score to BG of 'GC1', reflecting its
systemic importance as Ecuador's second-largest private bank, with
relevant market shares in the banking system's loans, deposits and
assets. Its diversified loan portfolio, strong franchise and solid
reputation also support its critical role in the national payment
system.
Notching Uplift from IDR: The 'GC1' score allows for a maximum
six-notch rating uplift from the bank's IDR, pursuant to Fitch's
future flow methodology. However, uplift is tempered to four
notches from BG's LT IDR, given the high level of future flow debt
relative to BG's non-deposit funding and Fitch reserving the
maximum notching uplift for originators rated at the lowest end of
the rating scale.
High Future Flow Debt: Fitch estimates that future flow debt will
represent approximately 6% of BG's total funding and 35% of its
non-deposit funding. These figures are based on nonconsolidated
financials as of September 2025 and include both the proposed $150
million merchant voucher (MV) issuance and the outstanding balances
on notes issued from BG's MV and DPR programs as of January 2026.
Fitch tempers the notching differential for originators that have
future flow debt greater than 30% of the overall non-deposit
funding and are expected to remain above this threshold over the
medium term. Fitch expects future flow debt to remain one of the
primary sources of funding for the bank, but if the programs'
leverage increases beyond current levels the future flow ratings
could be further constrained.
Coverage Levels — DPR Program: Fitch views the transaction's DSCR
as more than sufficient for the assigned rating. The minimum
projected DSCR is 51.8x when considering the maximum periodic debt
service over the life of the program and DDB flows over the past
five years, while excluding what could be considered nonrecurring
DPR flows.
Coverage Levels — MV Program: Coverage levels have remained more
than sufficient to cover quarterly debt service payments and are
commensurate with the rating on the outstanding notes. When
considering average rolling quarterly flows over the past five
years and the maximum periodic debt service over the life of the
program, including the outstanding series 2019-1 notes and the
proposed $150 million issuance, Fitch's projected minimum quarterly
DSCR is 5.0x throughout the life of the program.
De-dollarization Risk: While the dollarization regime anchors
macroeconomic stability, the risk of de-dollarization exists. It
would only occur in an extreme scenario but would be a major shock
to the Ecuadorean system.
Sovereign/Diversion Risks Reduced: The structure mitigates certain
sovereign risks by collecting cash flows offshore until investors
are paid. Fitch believes diversion risk is partially mitigated by
notice, consent and agreements signed by AmEx, Visa, and MasterCard
(in the case of the MV program) and AAs signed by the DDBs (in the
case of the DPR program).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The transactions' ratings are sensitive to changes in BG's credit
quality which, in turn, is sensitive to changes in the credit
quality of Ecuador and its OE. A one-notch deterioration in BG's
credit quality could lead to a downgrade of the transaction's
ratings if the future flow debt relative to the bank's non-deposit
funding ratio is expected to remain consistently above the 30%
threshold outlined in Fitch's "Future Flow Securitization Rating
Criteria";
- The transactions' ratings are sensitive to the credit card
acquiring business DPR business lines' performances and ability to
continue operating, as reflected by the bank's GCA score. Changes
in Fitch's view of the bank's GCA score could lead to a change in
the transactions' ratings. In addition, the merchant voucher
program could be sensitive to significant changes in the credit
quality of American Express, Visa, or MasterCard to a lesser
extent.
Any changes in these variables will be analyzed in a rating
committee to assess the possible impact on the transaction
ratings.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The main constraint to the transactions' ratings is the
originator's rating and BG's OE. If upgraded, Fitch will consider
whether the same uplift could be maintained.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
The future flow ratings are driven by the credit risk of Banco
Guayaquil, S.A. as measured by its Long-Term IDR.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
=============
J A M A I C A
=============
LIMNERS AND BARDS: Incurs $13.7 Million Net Loss on Weaker Revenues
-------------------------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that the directors of The Limners and Bards (The
LAB) are reporting a net loss after tax of $13.7 million for the
quarter ended January 31 this year.
The loss was recorded on revenues of $171 million, according to RJR
News.
This represents a significant downturn compared to the same period
last year, when the company posted a net profit of $22 million on
revenues of $286.1 million, the report notes.
Despite the weaker performance, the directors say the company
remains focused on executing its strategy with emphasis on revenue
diversification, cost control and expanded use of technology amid
ongoing challenges, the report adds.
Based in Kingston, Jamaica, The Limners and Bards is a an
advertising agency operating as a full-service firm focusing on
three main segments: Production, Media, and Agency services,
including brand strategy, content creation, and media planning.
=====================
P U E R T O R I C O
=====================
NBG MACHINE: Case Summary & Nine Unsecured Creditors
----------------------------------------------------
Debtor: NBG Machine Builder & Precision Tooling
Carr 117 KM 11.4
Bo Rayo Plata
Sabana Grande, PR 00637
Business Description: NBG Machine Builders & Precision
Tooling Inc., based in Sabana Grande, Puerto Rico, delivers
precision machining and custom tooling solutions for industrial
clients. Its operations include manufacturing precision parts for
the pharmaceutical sector and general manufacturing, repairing and
maintaining critical production components, and providing
technical
support for automated systems and industrial equipment. Founded in
2006 and led by President Welderman Matos Alemany, the company
employs a few staff.
Chapter 11 Petition Date: March 13, 2026
Court: United States Bankruptcy Court
District of Puerto Rico
Case No.: 26-01087
Debtor's Counsel: Juan C Bigas, Esq.
JUAN B. BIGAS LAW
PO Box 7011
Ponce, PR 00732-7011
Tel: (787) 259-1000
Fax: (787) 842-4090
E-mail: cortequiebra@yahoo.com
Total Assets: $1,060,708
Total Liabilities: $862,799
The petition was signed by Welderman Matos Alemany as president.
A full-text copy of the petition, which includes a list of the
Debtor's nine unsecured creditors, is available for free on
PacerMonitor at:
https://www.pacermonitor.com/view/W2LZDQQ/NBG_MACHINE_BUILDER__PRESICION__prbke-26-01087__0001.0.pdf?mcid=tGE4TAMA
=================
V E N E Z U E L A
=================
CITGO PETROLEUM: U.S. Extends Protection From Creditors
-------------------------------------------------------
Citing a posting on the Treasury Department's website, Reuters
reports that the United States has extended a license that protects
Venezuela-owned refiner Citgo Petroleum from creditors through
May 5.
The extension comes a day after Washington issued a general license
broadly authorizing U.S. companies to do business with Citgo's
ultimate parent, Caracas-headquartered Venezuelan state-run oil
company PDVSA, according to the report.
The general license is seen as a key step to encourage
investment and further oil output in Venezuela, the report
notes.
Citgo Petroleum Corporation is a United States-based refiner,
transporter and marketer of transportation fuels, lubricants,
petrochemicals and other industrial products. Based in Houston,
Texas, Citgo is majority-owned by PDVSA, a state-owned company of
the Venezuelan government (although due to U.S. sanctions, in 2019,
they no longer economically benefit from Citgo.)
As reported in the Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America in
September 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed the Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) of CITGO Petroleum Corp. (CITGO, or Opco) at
'B' with a Stable Outlook and CITGO Holding, Inc. (Holdco) at
'CCC+'. Fitch also affirmed Opco's existing senior secured notes
and industrial revenue bonds at 'BB' with a Recovery Rating of
'RR1'.
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
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co-published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless
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USA, Marites O. Claro, Joy A. Agravante, Rousel Elaine T.
Fernandez, Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A.
Chapman, Editors.
Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2746.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
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balance thereof are US$25 each. For subscription information,
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