/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/241208.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, December 8, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 342
Headlines
ABPCI DIRECT XI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
ABPCI DIRECT XI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
AGL CLO 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
AGL CLO 22: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1.125MM Class F-R Notes
AGL CLO 34: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Debt
AGL CLO 34: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
AGL CLO 35: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
AIMCO CLO 2018-A: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
AMCR ABS 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class C Notes
AMMC CLO 24: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $20.2MM Class E-R Notes
AMSR 2024-SFR2: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on Class F2 Certs
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 8: Moody's Ups Rating on Class E Notes From Ba1
ARES CLO XXVIi: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $26.5MM E-R3 Notes
BALLYROCK CLO 28: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D Notes
BATTALION CLO XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2024-5C31: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP) Rating on 2 Classes
BENEFIT STREET XXXVI: Fitch Assigns BB+sf Final Rating on E-1 Notes
BFLD TRUST 2020-EYP: S&P Lowers X-EXT Certs Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
BIRCH GROVE 10: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
BMO 2024-5C8: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class G-RR Certs
BPR COMMERCIAL 2024-PARK: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Certs
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA2: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on HRR Certs
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+ Rating on HRR Certs
BX TRUST 2024-FNX: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
CARLYLE US 2024-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P4: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+(sf) Rating on N Notes
CBAM LTD 2018-5: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $45MM Class E Notes
CEDAR FUNDING XI: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
CHASE HOME 2024-10: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-5 Certs
CIFC FUNDING 2022-VII: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
CITIGROUP 2017-P8: S&P Cuts Class V-3D Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
CITIGROUP 2019-C7: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on 2 Tranches
COLT 2024-7: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B2 Certificates
COMM 2013-CCRE8: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. X-C Certs to Ba3
COMM 2014-CCRE20: DBRS Cuts Class E Certs Rating to D
COMM 2014-UBS3: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1A: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1B: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
CQS US 2021-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
CSAIL 2020-C19: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F-RR Debt to 'B-sf'
DT AUTO OWNER: DBRS Confirms 11 Ratings From 5 Transactions
EFMT 2024-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B2 Certs
ELEVATION CLO 2014-2: Moody's Cuts Rating on $9MM F-R Notes to Ca
ELLINGTON CLO I: Moody's Cuts Rating on $43MM Cl. E-R Notes to Ca
ELMWOOD CLO 24: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on Cl. F-R Notes
ELMWOOD CLO 35: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class F Debt
GENERATE CLO 9: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
GOLDENTREE LOAN 11: S&P Affirms 'B- (sf)' Rating on Class F Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2016-GS4: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Two Tranches
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ10: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL7: Fitch Gives 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
GSF 2021-1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class E Notes
INV 2024-IND MORTGAGE: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to Class HRR Certs
JP MORGAN 2012-C8: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to CCC
JP MORGAN 2024-11: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-CES2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Certs
JPMBB 2015-C33: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Certificates
KKR CLO 53: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $200,000 Class F Notes
KRR CLO 53: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
MADISON PARK LXVIII: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
MAGNETITE XLVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MAGNETITE XXXIX: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-2-R Notes
MARBLE POINT XI: Moody's Ups Rating on $31.25MM D Notes from Ba1
MARBLE POINT XII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $24.2MM Cl. E Notes to B1
MCAP CMBS 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class G Certs
MCR TRUST 2024-HF1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. F Certs
MELLO MORTGAGE 2021-INV2: Moody's Ups Rating on B-4 Certs to Ba1
MILL CITY 2024-RS2: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class A-2 Notes
MKT 2020-525M: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class D Certificates
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C11: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class B Certs
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C11: Fitch Cuts Rating on 5 Tranches to Dsf
MORGAN STANLEY 2021-ILP: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on F Certs
NEUBERGER BERMAN 58: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
NXT CAPITAL 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating Cl. E Notes
OAKTREE CLO 2021-1: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
OAKTREE CLO 2024-28: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
OBRA CLO 1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 48: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
OHA CREDIT 3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
PALMER SQUARE 2022-4: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
PIKES PEAK 17: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
POST CLO VI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL3: Moody's Assigns Ba2 Rating to Cl. M-2 Certs
RAD CLO 17: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
RATE MORTGAGE 2024-J4: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
REGATTA XXI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
REGATTA XXI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E-R Notes
RR 33 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class D Notes
RR 33 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on D Notes, Outlook Stable
RR LTD 33: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Class E Notes
SELF COMMERCIAL 2024-STRG: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on HRR Certs
SEQUOIA 2024-INV1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Cl. B5 Certs
SHELTER GROWTH 2021-FL3: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on H Notes
SILVER POINT 6: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
SLM STUDENT 2003-11: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. A-7 Notes to 'Bsf'
SOUND POINT VIII-R: Moody's Cuts Rating on Class E Notes to B3
SYCAMORE TREE 2021-1: S&P Assigns 'BB-' Rating on Class E-R Notes
TEXAS DEBT 2024-II: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
TOWD POINT 2024-5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B3 Notes
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) Rating on B2 Notes
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. B2 Notes
TRINITAS CLO VIII: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on $26MM Cl. E Notes
TRINITAS CLO XI: Moody's Lowers Rating on $31.8MM E-R Notes to B1
US CAPITAL II: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Two Tranches
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-9: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
VIBRANT CLO XIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
WARWICK CAPITAL 5: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
WELLFLEET CLO 2016-2: Moody's Cuts $19.2MM D-R Notes Rating to B3
WELLS FARGO 2024-5C2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2023-4: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
WHITEBOX CLO II: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-1R2 Notes
WHITEBOX CLO II: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1.5MM E-2R2 Notes
WILLIS ENGINE V: Fitch Affirms BB Rating on C Debt
[*] DBRS Reviews 68 Classes From 15 US RMBS Transactions
[*] Fitch Affirms 95 Classes on 13 CMBS Deals on 2006-2012 Vintages
[*] Fitch Affirms Three US CMBS BBCMS 2022 Vintage Transactions
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 18 Bonds from 11 US RMBS Deals
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 25 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 52 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 52 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
*********
ABPCI DIRECT XI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
ABPCI Direct Lending Fund CLO XI LP reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
ABPCI Direct Lending
Fund CLO XI LP
A-1-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1L-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1L-S LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-L LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-R LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
ABPCI Direct Lending Fund CLO XI LP (the issuer) is a middle-market
(MM) collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
AB Private Credit Investors, LLC and originally closed in September
2022. This is the first refinancing, with the original notes to be
refinanced in whole on Dec. 3, 2024. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured MM loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 30.53 versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 31.00. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement (CE) and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.49% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 64.37% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 63.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 52.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 15% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch Ratings' analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
created by adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect
permissible concentration limits and collateral quality test
levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural conditions and inability to
reinvest after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1-R, class
A-1L-R and A-1L-S, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R and
A-2L, between 'BB+sf' and 'AAsf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and
'A+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class D-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R, A-1L-R,
A-1L-S, class A-2-R and class A-2L notes as these notes are in the
highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
For the remaining classes, variability in key model assumptions,
such as increases in recovery rates and decreases in default rates,
could result in an upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity
to potential changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results
under these sensitivity scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf' for class D-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for ABPCI Direct
Lending Fund CLO XI LP.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ABPCI DIRECT XI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to ABPCI
Direct Lending Fund CLO XI LP reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
ABPCI Direct Lending
Fund CLO XI LP
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1L-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1L-S LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2-L LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-R LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
ABPCI Direct Lending Fund CLO XI LP (the issuer) is a middle-market
(MM) collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
AB Private Credit Investors, LLC and originally closed in September
2022. This is the first refinancing, with the original notes to be
refinanced in whole on Dec. 3, 2024. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured MM loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 30.53 versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 31.00. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement (CE) and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.49% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 64.37% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 63.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 52.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 15% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch Ratings' analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
created by adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect
permissible concentration limits and collateral quality test
levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural conditions and inability to
reinvest after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1-R, class
A-1L-R and A-1L-S, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R and
A-2L, between 'BB+sf' and 'AAsf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and
'A+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class D-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R, A-1L-R,
A-1L-S, class A-2-R and class A-2L notes as these notes are in the
highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
For the remaining classes, variability in key model assumptions,
such as increases in recovery rates and decreases in default rates,
could result in an upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity
to potential changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results
under these sensitivity scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf' for class D-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for ABPCI Direct
Lending Fund CLO XI LP.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AGL CLO 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the AGL
CLO 22 LTD. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
AGL CLO 22 LTD.
X LT NRsf New Rating
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 00118XAG1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-2 00118XAJ5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AA+sf New Rating
C 00118XAC0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT A+sf New Rating
D 00118XAE6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1R LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 00118YAA2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
AGL CLO 22 LTD. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) which is managed by AGL CLO
Credit Management LLC that originally closed in October 2022. The
secured notes will be refinanced in whole on Nov. 26, 2024 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $450 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.72% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.61%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 3.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B-R, between 'BB-sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, 'Asf' for class D-2R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 22 LTD.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AGL CLO 22: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1.125MM Class F-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to three classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by AGL CLO 22 LTD.
(the Issuer):
US$2,000,000 Class X Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2037,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$283,500,000 Class A-1R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$1,125,000 Class F-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2037, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
90.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio may consist of permitted
obligations.
AGL CLO Credit Management LLC (the Manager) will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes and the other
classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to transaction
features will occur in connection with the refinancing. These
include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of the
stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain collateral
quality tests; changes to the overcollateralization test levels;
and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $450,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3348
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.40%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 7.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
AGL CLO 34: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Debt
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
AGL CLO 34 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AGL CLO 34 Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
AGL CLO 34 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by AGL
CLO Credit Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.69% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.37%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf(EXP)' and 'AA+sf(EXP)' for class A-2,
between 'BB+sf(EXP)' and 'A+sf(EXP)' for class B, between
'B+sf(EXP)' and 'BBB+sf(EXP)' for class C, between less than
'B-sf(EXP)' and 'BB+sf(EXP)' for class D-1, between less than
'B-sf(EXP)' and 'BB+sf(EXP)' for class D-2, and between less than
'B-sf(EXP)' and 'BB-sf(EXP)' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf(EXP)'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf(EXP)' for class B, 'AA+sf(EXP)' for class C,
'A+sf(EXP)' for class D-1, 'A-sf(EXP)' for class D-2, and
'BBB+sf(EXP)' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information. Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool
information relied upon for its rating analysis according to its
applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately
reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 34 Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AGL CLO 34: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by AGL CLO 34 Ltd. (the Issuer or AGL 34):
US$256,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
AGL CLO 34 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio
may consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, senior secured
bonds or senior secured notes. The portfolio is approximately 97%
ramped as of the closing date.
AGL CLO Credit Management LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five-year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3013
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
AGL CLO 35: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
AGL CLO 35 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AGL CLO 35 LTD.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-L LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
AGL CLO 35, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by AGL
CLO Credit Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.69% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.37%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 35 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
AIMCO CLO 2018-A: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R, A-R,
B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, E-R, and F-R replacement debt from
AIMCO CLO Series 2018-A/AIMCO CLO Series 2018-A LLC, a CLO
originally issued in March 2018 that is managed by Allstate
Investment Management Co. and was not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term
loans.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
AIMCO CLO Series 2018-A/AIMCO CLO Series 2018-A LLC
Class X-R, $3.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $252.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R, $47.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R, $5.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $2.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $44.00 million: Not rated
AMCR ABS 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class C Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed three credit ratings from AMCR ABS Trust
2023-1 as detailed in the ratings table below:
-- Class A Notes A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes BBB (low)(sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes BB (low)(sf) Confirmed
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transaction parties' capabilities regarding originating,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- The credit rating actions are the result of performance to
date, Morningstar DBRS' assessment of future performance
assumptions, and the increasing levels of credit enhancement.
-- The transaction's capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement. Although losses are tracking above
Morningstar DBRS' initial base case CNL expectations, due to the
transaction structure, credit enhancement has increased for all
classes mitigating the weaker than expected collateral performance.
The current level of hard credit enhancement and estimated future
excess spread are sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS'
projected remaining cumulative net loss assumptions at multiples of
coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update," published on September 25, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the securities referenced herein
addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated notes
are the related Interest Distributable Amount, and the related Note
Balance.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance.
AMMC CLO 24: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $20.2MM Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by AMMC CLO 24, Limited (the
"Issuer").
Moody's rating actions are as follows:
US$256,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2035, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$45,500,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2035, Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$21,000,000 Class C-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2035, Assigned A2 (sf)
US$25,300,000 Class D-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2035, Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$20,200,000 Class E-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2035, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
American Money Management Corporation (the "Manager") will continue
to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets
on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity,
including discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a variety of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing including reinstatement and extension of the stated
non-call period and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $395,800,146
Defaulted par: $2,666,621
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2976
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.40%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.89%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.5 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
AMSR 2024-SFR2: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on Class F2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Single-Family Rental Pass-Through Certificates (the Certificates)
issued by AMSR 2024-SFR2 Trust:
-- $208.3 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $37.2 million Class B at AA (sf)
-- $29.3 million Class C at A (sf)
-- $41.3 million Class D at BBB (sf)
-- $17.6 million Class E1 at BBB (sf)
-- $23.3 million Class E2 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $16.3 million Class F1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $23.3 million Class F2 at BB (low) (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A certificates reflects
52.01% of credit enhancement provided by subordinate certificates.
The AA (sf), A (sf), BBB (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and
BB (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 43.43%, 36.68%, 23.12%,
17.74%, 13.98% and 8.60% of credit enhancement, respectively.
The AMSR 2024-SFR2 certificates are supported by the income streams
and values from 1,443 rental properties. The properties are
distributed across 15 states and 37 metropolitan statistical areas
(MSAs) in the United States. Morningstar DBRS maps an MSA based on
the ZIP code provided in the data tape, which may result in
different MSA stratifications than those provided in offering
documents. As measured by BPO value, 56.6% of the portfolio is
concentrated in three states: Tennessee (20.3%), Texas (18.3%), and
Florida (18.0%). The average BPO value is $323,408. The average age
of the properties is roughly 28 years as of the cut-off date. The
majority of the properties have three or more bedrooms. The
certificates represent a beneficial ownership in an approximately
five-year, fixed-rate, interest-only loan with an initial aggregate
principal balance of approximately $434.0 million.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 8: Moody's Ups Rating on Class E Notes From Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Anchorage Credit Funding 8, Ltd.:
US$52,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Upgraded
to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2024 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$18,000,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa3 (sf)
US$14.400,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2024 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
US$27.600,000 Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2024 Upgraded to Ba1
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$167,000,000 Class A Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Affirmed
Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 6, 2019 Assigned Aaa (sf)
Anchorage Credit Funding 8, Ltd., originally issued in June 2019
and refinanced in July 2021, is a managed cashflow CBO The
portfolio is managed by Anchorage Capital Group, L.L.C. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in July 2024.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-R, Class C-R, Class D-R and
Class E notes are primarily a result the benefit of the transaction
having reached the end of the reinvestment period in July 2024.
The affirmation on the rating on the Class A notes is primarily a
result of the expected losses on the notes remaining consistent
with their current rating level, after taking into account the
CBO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralisation ratio.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements. In particular, Moody's noted that
the deal currently benefits from interest income on portfolio
assets that significantly exceeds the fixed rate of interest
payable on the rated notes, due to the deal's exposure to
approximately 32% in floating-rate loans that Moody's calculated to
have a weighted average spread (WAS) of 4.45%. Additionally,
Moody's assumed that the deal will benefit from a lower weighted
average rating factor (WARF) compared to its current covenant
level. Moody's modeled a WARF of 3006 compared to a current
covenant level of 3140.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD361.9m
Defaulted Securities: USD 4.7m
Diversity Score: 63
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3006
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.14 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 4.45%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.82%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 33.74%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's note that the November 2024 trustee report was published at
the time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the October
2024 data. Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score,
weighted average spread and life, and OC ratios exhibit little or
no change between these dates.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Moody's Approach to Assessing Counterparty Risks in
Structured Finance" published in October 2024. Moody's concluded
the ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
ARES CLO XXVIi: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $26.5MM E-R3 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to six classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Ares XXVII
CLO Ltd. (the "Issuer").
US$2,000,000 Class X-R3 Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$320,000,000 Class A-R3 Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$55,000,000 Class B-R3 Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$25,500,000 Class C-R3 Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2034, Assigned A2 (sf)
US$33,000,000 Class D-R3 Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2034, Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$26,500,000 Class E-R3 Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2034, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Ares CLO Management LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a couple of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing. These include: extension of the non-call period
and change of the Benchmark definition.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $496,601,676
Defaulted par: $281,744
Diversity Score: 79
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2987
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.40%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.05%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 6 years
For the deals with upgrade pressure and if you ran the sensitivity
scenarios, consider adding selections from the following paragraph
that are applicable
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
BALLYROCK CLO 28: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Ballyrock
CLO 28 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 28 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Ballyrock Investment Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 3,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Ballyrock CLO 28 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 28 LLC
Class A-1a, $304.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1b, $9.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $47.50 million: AA (sf)
Class B (deferrable), $28.50 million: A (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $28.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $4.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $14.25 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $46.60 million: Not rated
BATTALION CLO XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 replacement
debt from Battalion CLO XVI Ltd., a CLO managed by Brigade Capital
Management L.P. that was originally issued in December 2019 and
underwent a first refinancing in December 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 3,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 12, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the December 2021 debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
December 2021 debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt.
However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our
ratings on the December 2021 debt and withdraw our preliminary
ratings on the replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to Jan. 20,
2038.
-- Additional assets will be purchased on the Dec. 12, 2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will remain at
$400 million. There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 20, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- Additional subordinated notes will be issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC
Class A-1-R2, $240.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $14.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $50.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $24.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $20.0 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $6.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $12.0 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC
Subordinated notes(i), $71.9 million: Not rated
(i)The notional amounts of subordinated notes will be increased to
$71.9 million from $38.5 million in connection with the proposed
refinancing.
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2024-5C31: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP) Rating on 2 Classes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and ratings outlooks to
BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2024-5C31 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates.
Fitch expects to rate the transaction and assign Rating Outlooks as
follows:
- $676,000a class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $125,000,000ab class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $485,070,000ab class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $610,746,000ac class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $97,065,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $41,444,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $37,081,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $175,590,000acd class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,540,000ad class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,725,000ad class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $27,265,000acd class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,359,000ad class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,359,000acd class X-F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,907,000ad class G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,907,000acd class X-G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following classes are not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $31,628,000ade class H-RR.
(a) The certificate balances and notional amounts of these classes
include the vertical risk retention
(VRR) interest, which is expected to be approximately 3.63% of the
certificate balance or notional
amount, as applicable, of each class of certificates as of the
closing date.
(b) The initial certificate balances of classes A-2 and A-3 are
unknown and expected to be $610,070,000 in aggregate, subject to a
5% variance. The certificate balances will be determined based on
the final pricing of those classes of certificates. The expected
class A-2 balance range is $0 to $250,000,000, and the expected
class A-3 balance range is $360,070,000 to $610,070,000. Fitch's
certificate balances for classes A-2 and A-3 are assumed at the
midpoint of their respective ranges.
(c) Notional amount and interest only.
(d) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(e) Class H-RR certificates, excluding the portion included in the
VRR interest, comprise the
transaction's horizontal risk retention interest.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Nov. 30, 2024.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, primary assets of which are 39 loans secured by 55
commercial properties having an aggregate principal balance of
$872,495,000 as of the cut-off date.
The loans were contributed to the trust by Barclays Capital Real
Estate Inc., Starwood Mortgage Capital LLC, German American Capital
Corporation, Argentic Real Estate Finance 2 LLC, Citi Real Estate
Funding Inc., Bank of Montreal, KeyBank National Association, Zions
Bancorporation, N.A, Société Générale Financial Corporation,
Greystone Commercial Mortgage Capital LLC, and LMF Commercial LLC.
The master servicer is expected to be Midland Loan Services and the
special servicer is expected to be LNR Partners, LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings performed cash flow analyses on
26 loans totaling 90.5% of the pool by balance. Fitch's resulting
aggregate trust net cash flow (NCF) of $85.6 million represents a
10.4% decline from the issuer's underwritten NCF of $95.5 million.
Aggregate cash flows include only the pro-rated trust portion of
any pari passu loan.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The transaction has higher Fitch leverage
than recent five-year multiborrower transactions. The pool's Fitch
weighted average (WA) trust loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 96.0% is
higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023 multiborrower five-year averages
of 94.8% and 89.7%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield
(DY) of 9.8% is lower than both the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of
10.2% and 10.6%, respectively.
Investment Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Three loans totaling 14.9%
of the pool received an investment grade credit opinion on a
standalone basis. Queens Center (9.7% of the pool) received a
standalone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. Linx (2.9% of the pool)
received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBB-sf*'. ICONIQ
Multifamily Portfolio (2.3%) received a standalone credit opinion
of 'A-sf'. The pool's total credit opinion percentage is above the
YTD 2024 and 2023 multiborrower five-year averages of 11.7% and
14.6%, respectively. The pool's Fitch LTV and DY, excluding credit
opinion loans, are 99.5% and 9.8%, respectively.
Higher Retail Concentration: The largest property type
concentration is retail (34.7% of the pool), followed by
multifamily (33.8%) and office (18.0%). The pool's retail loan
concentration is higher than YTD 2024 and 2023 five-year
multiborrower averages of 23.6% and 31.6%, respectively. In
particular, the retail concentration includes three of the 10
largest loans (37.4% of the pool). Pools that have a greater
concentration by property type are at greater risk of losses, all
else being equal. The pool's effective property type count is 3.7
is lower than the YTD 2024 and 2023 five-year multiborrower
averages of 4.2 and 4.1, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A reduction in cash flow that decreases property value and capacity
to meet its debt service
obligations.
The list below indicates the model implied rating sensitivity to
changes to the same one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/less than
'CCCsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Similarly, an improvement in cash flow that increases property
value and capacity to meet its debt
service obligations.
The list below indicates the model implied rating sensitivity to
changes in one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET XXXVI: Fitch Assigns BB+sf Final Rating on E-1 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXXVI, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Benefit Street
Partners CLO
XXXVI, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
C LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-1 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
E-2 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXXVI, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Benefit Street Partners L.L.C. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of 99%
first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 75.94%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E-1.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-1.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Benefit Street
Partners CLO XXXVI, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
BFLD TRUST 2020-EYP: S&P Lowers X-EXT Certs Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on five classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from BFLD Trust
2020-EYP.
BFLD Trust 2020-EYP is a U.S. CMBS transaction backed by a
floating-rate, interest-only mortgage loan secured by EY Plaza and
a portion of an adjacent parking structure in Downtown Los
Angeles.
This is a U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction that
is backed by a $275 million floating-rate, interest-only (IO)
mortgage loan. The loan is secured by the borrower's fee simple
interest in EY Plaza, a 1985-built, 41-story, 938,097-sq.-ft. class
A office building located at 725 S. Figueroa St. in the Downtown
Los Angeles office submarket, and a portion (1,480 parking spaces)
of an adjacent 13-level, 2,400-space parking structure.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on the class B, C, and D certificates to 'D (sf)'
reflect S&P's view of the magnitude and duration of the interest
shortfalls due to a significant revision in the appraisal reduction
amount (ARA) and its belief that, based on the new appraisal value
of $150.0 million as of August 2024, recent office comparable sales
in the area, and total loan exposure of $315.8 million (as of the
November 2024 trustee remittance report), these classes would incur
principal losses upon the eventual resolution of the specially
serviced loan.
The ARA, which was revised to $170.0 million from $104.7 million,
resulted in a higher appraisal subordinate entitlement reduction
(ASER) amount commencing with the October 2024 payment date. As of
the Nov. 15, 2024, trustee remittance report, classes B through HRR
(classes E, F, G, and HRR are not rated by S&P Global Ratings) have
experienced interest shortfalls for at least two consecutive
months, and the monthly interest shortfalls are primarily due to
ASER amounts totaling $1.3 million and the accumulated interest
shortfalls totaling $11.5 million. The special servicer, Situs
Holdings LLC, said that it recently received court approval to hire
a broker to market the office property for sale with a targeted
resolution timing in first quarter 2025.
The downgrade of class A to 'CCC (sf)' reflects S&P's qualitative
consideration that its repayment is currently dependent upon
favorable business, financial, and economic conditions and that the
class is vulnerable to default. Specifically, based on the new
August 2024 appraised value, a 28.8% decline from the October 2023
appraised value of $210.7 million and 66.4% lower than the issuance
appraised value of $446.0 million, recent office comparable sales
in the area, total loan exposure, and the special servicer's
estimated liquidation timing, S&P's current analysis indicates a
potential principal loss on this class. Additionally, according to
the November 2024 trustee remittance report, class A has $950 of
liquidity support.
The downgrade on the class X-EXT IO certificates reflects S&P's
criteria for rating IO securities, in which the rating on the IO
security would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
reference class. The notional amount of the class X-EXT
certificates references class A.
The loan exposure increased $8.5 million to $315.8 million since
our July 2024 review. The outstanding advances and accruals
totaling $40.8 million included:
-- Interest advances totaling $17.1 million,
-- Other expenses advances totaling $10.9 million,
-- Accrued unpaid interest totaling $1.3 million, and
-- Cumulative ASER amounts totaling $11.4 million.
In S&P's current analysis, it also considered that, according to
CoStar, the adjacent 777 Tower, a 1.0 million-sq.-ft., 1991-built
office building owned by the sponsor, sold for $120.0 million ($120
per sq. ft.) in July 2024. In addition, according to recent news
articles, L.A. County is in the process of purchasing the 1.4
million-sq.-ft. Gas Company Tower, another downtown Los Angeles
office building owned by the sponsor, for about $200.0 million
($145 per sq. ft.). The property was reappraised in March 2024 at
$214.5 million, or $156 per sq. ft., and secures the sole loan in
GCT Commercial Mortgage Trust 2021-GCT (not rated by S&P Global
Ratings). Further, CoStar noted that the nearby 1.4
million-sq.-ft., 1974-built, Bank of America Plaza office tower,
also owned by the sponsor, was reappraised in July 2024 for $188.9
million, or $132 per sq. ft.
The property was 67.2% occupied, according to the Situs-provided
December 2024 rent roll, and had a reported net operating income of
$16.7 million as of the trailing-12-months ended Sept. 30, 2024,
which is consistent with the performance figures noted in S&P's
last review.
Ratings Lowered
BFLD Trust 2020-EYP
Class A to 'CCC (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class B to 'D (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Class C to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class D to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class X-EXT to 'CCC (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
BIRCH GROVE 10: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Birch
Grove CLO 10 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Birch Grove CLO 10 Ltd.
A LT NRsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Birch Grove CLO 10 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Birch
Grove Capital LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.41, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.95. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.18% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.1% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.2%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 6% of the portfolio balance
in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'Bsf' and
'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Birch Grove CLO 10
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BMO 2024-5C8: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class G-RR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and ratings outlooks to
BMO 2024-5C8 Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates.
- $1,065,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $340,000,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $353,222,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $694,287,000 class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $112,822,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $48,352,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $36,748,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $197,922,000 class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,928,000 class D 'BBB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,928,000 class X-D 'BBB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $20,273,000 class E-RR 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $19,837,000 class F-RR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $12,398,000 class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $37,194,388 class J-RR.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, the primary assets of which are 40 loans secured by 98
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$991,839,388 as of the cutoff date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Bank of Montreal, Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company,
Starwood Mortgage Capital LLC, Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., UBS
AG, Société Générale Financial Corporation, Greystone
Commercial Mortgage Capital LLC, Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.
and Natixis Real Estate Capital LLC.
The master servicer is expected to be Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association and the special servicer is expected to be Greystone
Servicing Company LLC. The trustee and certificate administrator is
expected to be Computershare Trust Company, National Association.
The certificates are expected to follow a sequential paydown
structure
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 29 loans
totaling 88.9% by balance. Fitch's resulting net cash flow (NCF) of
$333.7 million represents a 14.6% decline from the issuer's
underwritten NCF.
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has
higher leverage compared to recent U.S. private label multiborrower
transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan to value ratio
(LTV) of 96.4% is higher than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of
91.7% and 88.3%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY)
of 9.9% is lower than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 10.8% and
10.9%, respectively.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Four loans representing
16.1% of the pool received an investment-grade credit opinion.
Queens Center (7.2% of pool) received a standalone credit opinion
of 'BBBsf*', ICONIQ Multifamily Portfolio (6.5% of pool) received a
standalone credit opinion of 'AA-sf*', Atrium Hotel Portfolio
24-Pack (1.5% of pool) received a standalone credit opinion of
'BBB+sf*', and Linx (1.0% of pool) received a standalone credit
opinion of 'BBB-sf*'.
The pool's total credit opinion percentage is higher than the 2024
YTD average and lower than the 2023 average of 14.6% and 17.8%,
respectively. Excluding credit opinion loans, the pool's Fitch LTV
and DY are 101.1% and 9.6%, respectively, compared with the 2023
conduit LTV and DY averages of 93.3% and 10.4%, respectively.
Lower Pool Concentration: The pool is less concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The top 10 loans in the pool
make up 54.6% of the pool, lower than the 2024 YTD and 2023
averages of 60.7% and 63.7%, respectively. The pool's effective
loan count of 26.3 is above the 2024 YTD and 2023 average of 22.2
and 20.6, respectively.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at maturity,
the pool will pay down 0.1%, which is below the 2024 YTD and 2023
averages of 1.0% and 1.4%, respectively. The pool has 39
interest-only loans, or 97.0% of pool by balance, which is above
the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 89.0% and 84.5%, respectively.
Average Concentration of Pari Passu Loans: Fifteen loans
representing 50.4% of the pool are pari passu loans, which is
higher than the 2024 YTD average of 45.2% and below the 2023
average of 60.1%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on recomputation of certain
characteristics with respect to each mortgage loan. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BPR COMMERCIAL 2024-PARK: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-PARK (the Certificates) issued by BPR Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2024-PARK (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The BPR 2024-PARK single-asset/single-borrower transaction is
collateralized by the borrower's leasehold and subleasehold
interest in the Shops at Merrick Park, an 848,280-sf open-air
shopping center located in Coral Gables, Florida. Coral Gables is a
Miami suburb located approximately five miles southwest of the
Miami CBD. The collateral is made up of three components: Shops at
Merrick Park, a three-story, open-air shopping center anchored by
Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus; Offices at Merrick, a five-story,
126,201-sf office building located adjacent to Shops at Merrick
Park; and several subleased parcels that contain residential
buildings and parking.
Shops at Merrick Park is well located in Coral Gables close to
Miami. The mall has benefited from the growing south Florida
population as evidenced by the center's growth in in-line sales
psf, which surged to $1,024 for the T-12 ended July 31, 2024,
period from $718 in 2019. The property is currently 93.8% leased
and has had strong occupancy historically, averaging 97% from 2016
to 2023. The property is leased to a mix of 101 tenants offering a
mixture of luxury aspirational products, as well as a movie theater
and full-service restaurants. Brookfield executed 67 new and
renewal leases totaling nearly 250,000 sf from 2019 to October
2024. Recently, the property has experienced leasing momentum
particularly with luxury tenants, as evidenced by the opening of
Louis Vuitton and Tory Burch at the property in 2023 and the
anticipated opening of David Yurman, Vuori, and Rhone in the coming
months. The property is anchored by Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus,
which generated $405 psf and $1,062 psf of sales in 2023,
respectively, and both recently renewed their leases.
Considering the property's strong sponsorship, asset quality, and
favorable location, evidence of increasing in-line sales, and
generally consistent occupancy trends, Morningstar DBRS has a
generally positive view of the collateral's credit characteristics.
Although brick-and-mortar retailers are facing secular headwinds
and the continued proliferation of e-commerce continues to gain
traction, the collateral has displayed consistent improvement in
performance, and sales at the property continue to rise.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA2: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2024-GPA2 (the Certificates) to be issued by BX Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2024-GPA2 (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for BX 2024-GPA2 (the Trust) includes the borrower's
fee-simple interest in 13 student housing properties totaling
11,029 beds located in New York, Florida, Texas, Michigan,
Kentucky, North Carolina, and Mississippi. Transaction proceeds of
$945.5 million will be used to refinance $926.5 million of debt
across the portfolio, including mezzanine debt, and debt for
noncollateral. The five-year loan is interest-only (IO) for the
full term.
Blackstone acquired American Campus Communities (ACC), the largest
student housing owner, operator, and developer in the country, in
August 2022. The various debt transactions used to take ACC private
included BX 2022-GPA, which this transaction will be partially
refinancing. This transaction will include only 13 of the original
51 properties financed as part of the BX 2022-GPA deal. Comparing
the same 13 assets, the portfolio has observed an NOI increase of
48.7% compared with the prior securitization in 2022. There has
been continued implementation of revenue generators at the property
since the acquisition in 2022, including utility income, upfront
leasing fees, parking, and landlord liability insurance, resulting
in a total Other Income increase of 86.0% from 2021 to the budgeted
figures for the upcoming 2024/2025 school year. Additionally,
Blackstone and ACC have driven significant rent growth with an
average rent per occupied bed (RPOB) increase from $734 in the
2022/2023 school year to a current RPOD of $924 as of September
2024. They have managed to compress operating expenses over the
same period, down from 44.9% in 2021 to 40.7% as of the May 2024
TTM reporting period. Occupancy has trailed slightly behind
budgeted preleasing estimates. The portfolio is 95.4% occupied as
of September 2024 compared with the estimated occupancy of 97.9%
for the 2024/2025 school year. This figure is down from the
2023/2024 school-year occupancy of 99.5%. While the occupancy has
shown some decline, there is a 13.6% increase in gross potential
income (GPI) YOY driven by the increased RPOB.
The subject portfolio consists of 13 assets spread across nine
universities in seven states and has a weighted average year built
of 2010 and an average distance to campus of 0.28 miles. Most of
the assets were built after 2010 and feature modern amenities,
including fitness centers, study rooms, club rooms, and pools. Unit
interiors feature beds, dressers, kitchen tables, couches, coffee
tables, and standard appliance packages. Since 2012, the portfolio
has received $95.1 million in capital improvements. All
universities represented are either Power 5, Carnegie R1, or
Carnegie R2. Approximately 58.2% of the Issuer's UW NCF is derived
from universities in Power 5 conferences, including Florida State
University, University of Kentucky, Michigan State University,
Texas A&M University, and University of Mississippi. The portfolio
has demonstrated consistently strong rent growth and occupancy
metrics, as the portfolio has never been below a weighted average
occupancy of 89.9% dating back to 2012.
The universities at which these properties serve have strong
enrollment trends and brand recognition. As of the 2023/2024
academic year, the universities represented in the portfolio had an
average enrollment of 37,000 students and have seen a 14.9% growth
in enrollment since 2013. The Power 5 and Carnegie R1 universities
have seen a higher growth rate in enrollment historically when
compared to the national average. Additionally, new supply in the
student housing sector has begun slow post-COVID. New supply each
year, represented as a percentage of total university enrollment,
was 2.2% between 2013 and 2019. Between 2021 and forward 2026
estimates, the new supply is estimated to be 0.9% of university
enrollment. The lack of new supply provides the sponsor a strong
opportunity to see continued rent growth and low vacancy throughout
the loan term.
The portfolio is owned and primarily managed by ACC (10 of the 13
properties managed by ACC), the largest student housing developer
and operator in the country, who was acquired by Blackstone in
August 2022. ACC was founded in 1993 and currently has over 3,000
team members and a portfolio of assets spread across 93 campuses.
The company was awarded the 2023 NAHB Property Management Firm of
the Year and was featured in Newsweek's 2022, 2023, and 2024 lists
of America's most trusted companies. Since the acquisition,
Blackstone has kept ACC involved in the property management due to
its strong historical performance and expertise.
Morningstar DBRS has a favorable view on the portfolio, driven by
strong historical performance, consistent NOI growth, university
representation, and institutional sponsorship and management. The
portfolio has a weighted average occupancy of 98.1% dating back to
2019 (excluding Fall 2020). Between the acquisition in August 2022
and the latest rent roll as of September 2024, the portfolio has
observed NOI growth of 48.7% driven by increased rental rates and
ancillary income initiatives. In addition to the strong growth and
performance metrics, the properties are ideally located on
well-established university campuses.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+ Rating on HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to BX
Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-GPA3's commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates.
The certificate issuance is a CMBS securitization backed by a
commercial mortgage loan secured by the borrowers' fee simple
and/or leasehold interests in 32 student housing properties
totaling 6,017 units (18,502 beds) located near 19 university
markets across 11 U.S. states. The loan is also secured by a
leasehold interest in an offsite parking facility related to one of
the properties and is expected to be secured by a PILOT lessor's
fee simple interest in two of the properties.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 5,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
S&P said, "The preliminary ratings reflect our view of the
collateral's historic and projected performance, the sponsor's
experience, the trustee-provided liquidity, the loan terms, and the
transaction's structure. We determined that the mortgage loan has a
beginning and ending loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 80.8%, based on
S&P Global Ratings' value."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
BX Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-GPA3
Class A, $618,800,000: AAA (sf)
Class B, $139,900,000: AA- (sf)
Class C, $103,900,000: A- (sf)
Class D, $87,400,000: BBB- (sf)
Class HRR(i), $50,000,000: BB+ (sf)
(i)Horizontal risk retention interest.
BX TRUST 2024-FNX: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following ratings and Ratings
Outlooks to BX Trust 2024-FNX, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2024-FNX.
- $520,600,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $69,200,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $64,200,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $90,500,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $72,500,000 class E 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $43,000,000a class HRR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0%
of the estimated fair value of all classes
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on Oct. 24 2024, classes
X-CP and X-NCP were removed from the transaction structure by the
issuer. Fitch has withdrawn the expected 'BBB-(EXP)sf' ratings from
each of the class X-CP and X-NCP because the classes were removed
from the final deal structure by the issuer. The classes above
reflect the final ratings and deal structure.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold an $860 million, two-year, floating-rate,
interest-only mortgage loan with three, one-year extension options.
The mortgage will be secured by the borrower's fee simple interest
in a portfolio of 44 industrial facilities, comprising
approximately 7.5 million sf located in 10 states and nine
markets.
Loan proceeds will be used to refinance approximately $557.2
million of existing debt, pay $25.8 million in closing costs,
return approximately $135.7 million of equity to the sponsor and
recapitalize six unencumbered assets for approximately $141.3
million. The certificates will follow a pro-rata paydown for the
initial 30% of the loan amount and a standard senior-sequential
paydown thereafter. The borrower has a one-time right to obtain a
mezzanine loan. To the extent the mezzanine loan is outstanding and
no mortgage loan event of default is continuing, voluntary
prepayments would be applied pro rata between the mortgage and the
mezzanine loan.
The loan is originated by Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital Holdings
LLC; Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.; Bank of America, National
Association; Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company; and JPMorgan Chase
Bank, National Association. KeyBank National Association is the
servicer with Situs Holdings, LLC. as special servicer. Deutsche
Bank National Trust company will act as the Trustee and
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. as the certificate administrator.
Park Bridge Lender Services LLC will act as operating advisor.
The transaction is scheduled to close on Nov. 15, 2024
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on Oct. 24 2024, classes
X-CP and X-NCP were removed from the transaction structure by the
issuer. Fitch has withdrawn the expected 'BBB-(EXP)sf' ratings from
each of the class X-CP and X-NCP because the classes were removed
from the final deal structure by the issuer. The classes above
reflect the final ratings and deal structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch's stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio at $63.5 million. This is 5.8% lower than the issuer's
NCF and 0.9% lower than trailing 12 months (TTM) ended August 2024
NCF. Fitch applied a 7.25% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of
$875.9 billion.
High Fitch Leverage: The $860 million whole loan equates to debt of
approximately $114 psf with a Fitch stressed debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR), loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt yield (DY) of
0.90x, 98.2% and 7.4%, respectively.
The loan represents approximately 67.4% of the appraised value of
approximately $1.275. Fitch increased the LTV hurdles by 1.25% to
reflect the higher in-place leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio exhibits strong
geographic diversity, with 44 industrial properties (7.5 million
sf) located across 10 states and 10 markets, per CoStar. The three
largest state concentrations are Minnesota (2.8 million sf; 22
properties), Georgia (1.5 million sf; five properties) and Colorado
(1.5 million sf; four properties).
The three largest MSAs are Minneapolis, MN (37.7% of NRA; 28.3% of
allocated loan amount [ALA]); Atlanta, GA (20.1% of NRA; 15.3% of
ALA); and Denver, CO (20.1% of NRA; 15.6% of ALA). The Fitch
effective geographic count for the pool is 5.6. The portfolio also
exhibits significant tenant diversity, as it features 143 distinct
tenants.
Institutional Sponsorship and Management: The loan is sponsored by
Blackstone Real Estate Partners, an affiliate of Blackstone Inc.
The Blackstone Real Estate segment had approximately $332 billion
of assets under management as of Sept. 30, 2023, per its quarterly
reports. It is the largest owner of commercial real estate globally
and has acquired over 600 million sf of industrial space globally
since 2010, including the subject. The portfolio in this
transaction is managed by Link Logistics Real Estate Management
LLC, an affiliate of the borrowers. Link Logistics operates the
largest industrial-only real estate portfolio (at 538 million sf)
in the U.S.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the model
implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'BB-+sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf'/'BBB+sf '/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model implied rating sensitivity to changes to the same one
variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'BB-+sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AA+sf
'/'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to the mortgage loans. . Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CARLYLE US 2024-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Carlyle
US CLO 2024-6, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Carlyle US CLO
2024-6, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Carlyle US CLO 2024-6, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $600 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.7, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26.95. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.51% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.55% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 70.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
12 November 2024
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle US CLO
2024-6, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P4: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+(sf) Rating on N Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Carvana Auto
Receivables Trust 2024-P4's automobile asset-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by prime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 4,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of 15.25%, 13.04%, 9.97%, 6.34%, and 7.72%
credit support (hard credit enhancement and haircut to excess
spread) for the class A (class A-1, A-2, A-3, and A-4,
collectively), B, C, D, and N notes, respectively, based on
stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support levels provide
over 5.00x, 4.50x, 3.33x, 2.00x, and 1.73x coverage of S&P's
expected cumulative net loss (ECNL) of 2.40% for the class A, B, C,
D, and N notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(2.00x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its
preliminary 'AAA (sf)', 'AA+ (sf)', 'A+ (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB+
(sf)' ratings on the class A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively,
are within its credit stability limits.
-- The timely interest and principal payments by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which we believe are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' prime automobile
loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral, and its
updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A. (Wells
Fargo), which do not constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Bridgecrest Credit Co. LLC
(Bridgecrest) as servicer, as well as the backup servicing
agreement with Vervent Inc. (Vervent).
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2024-P4(i)
Class A-1, $68.57 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $177.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $217.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-4, $115.69 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $16.25 million: AA+ (sf)
Class C, $20.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class D, $10.63 million: BBB (sf)
Class N(ii), $19.40 million: BB+ (sf)
(i) Class XS notes will be issued, which are unrated and may be
retained or sold in one or more private placements.
(ii)The class N notes will be paid to the extent funds are
available after the overcollateralization target is achieved, and
they will not provide any enhancement to the senior classes.
CBAM LTD 2018-5: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $45MM Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratingshas upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by CBAM 2018-5, Ltd.:
US$89.684M Class B-1 Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf);
previously on Feb 23, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$30.316M Class B-2 Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf);
previously on Feb 23, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$52.5M Class C Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Aa1
(sf); previously on Feb 23, 2023 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
US$62.5M Class D Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Baa1
(sf); previously on Sep 23, 2020 Confirmed at Baa3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$640M (Current outstanding amount US$ 352,290,866) Class A
Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 29, 2018
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$45M Class E Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Ba3 (sf);
previously on Sep 23, 2020 Confirmed at Ba3 (sf)
CBAM 2018-5, Ltd., issued in March 2018, is a collateralised loan
obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior
secured US loans. The portfolio is managed by CBAM CLO Management
LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-1, Class B-2, Class C and Class
D notes are primarily a result of the deleveraging of the Class A
notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
payment date in October 2023.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A and Class E notes
are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately USD257.16 million
(40.18%) in the last 12 months. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the capital
structure. According to the trustee report dated October 2024 [1]
the Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are reported
at 138.09%, 125.85%, 113.83% and 106.51% compared to October 2023
[2] levels of 127.66%, 119.37%, 110.80% and 105.35%, respectively.
Moody's note that the October 2024 principal payments are not
reflected in the reported OC ratios.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD678.6m
Defaulted Securities: USD9.9m
Diversity Score: 66
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2977
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.6 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.23%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.23%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's note that the November 2024 trustee report was published at
the time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the October
2024 data. Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score,
weighted average spread and life, and OC ratios (after taking into
consideration the October 2024 payment date) exhibit little or no
change between these dates.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
CEDAR FUNDING XI: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned ratings to the class A-1R2, A-2R2, and
B-2R2 replacement debt from Cedar Funding XI CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding
XI CLO LLC, a CLO managed by Aegon USA Investment Management LLC
that was originally issued in April 2019 and underwent its first
refinancing in June 2021. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the class A-1R, A-2R, and B-2R debt following payment in
full on the Nov. 29, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its
ratings on the class B-1, C, D, E, and F debt, which was not
refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to May 2025.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Nov. 29, 2024,
refinancing date. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
Feb. 28, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
a lower rating on the class E and F debt (which was not refinanced)
than today's rating action on the debt reflects. However, we
affirmed our 'BB- (sf)' and 'B- (sf)' ratings on the class E and F
debt, respectively, after considering the margin of failure, the
relatively stable overcollateralization ratio since our last rating
action on the transaction, and that the transaction has recently
entered its amortization phase. Based on the latter, we expect the
credit support available to all rated classes to increase as
principal is collected and the senior debt is paid down. In
addition, we believe the payment of principal or interest on the
class E and F debt when due does not depend on favorable business,
financial, or economic conditions. Therefore, this class does not
fit our definition of 'CCC' risk in accordance with our guidance
criteria."
Replacement And June 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1R2, $236.07 million(i): Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.06%
-- Class A-2R2, $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.30%
-- Class B-2R2, $14.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
June 2021 debt
-- Class A-1R, $240.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.05%
+ CSA(ii)
-- Class A-2R, $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.35% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class B-2R, $14.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60% +
CSA(ii)
(i)Due to an amortization amount on the Nov. 29, 2024, payment
date, the balance of the class A-1R2 notes was reduced on the
closing date to reflect the amortization.
(ii)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Cedar Funding XI CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding XI CLO LLC
Class A-1R2, $236.07 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2R2, $20.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-2R2, $14.50 million: AA (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Cedar Funding XI CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding XI CLO LLC
Class A-1R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-2R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Cedar Funding XI CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding XI CLO LLC
Class B-1: AA (sf)
Class C: A- (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
Class F: B- (sf)
Class R Combination: A-p (sf)
Other Debt
Cedar Funding XI CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding XI CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $30.50 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
CHASE HOME 2024-10: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-10 (Chase 2024-10).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Chase 2024-10
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-X-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-A LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-X LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-A LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-X LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-5 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-10
(Chase 2024-10), as indicated above. The certificates are supported
by 430 loans with a total balance of approximately $515.77 million
as of the cutoff date. The scheduled balance as of the cutoff date
is $515.43 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations (reps) and warranties
(R&Ws) are provided by the originator, JPMCB. All mortgage loans in
the pool will be serviced by JPMCB. The collateral quality of the
pool is extremely strong, with a large percentage of loans over
$1.0 million.
Of the loans, 99.7% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage
(SHQM) average prime offer rate (APOR) loans, with the remaining
0.3% qualifying as rebuttable presumption (APOR) qualified mortgage
loans.
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans, and the
certificates are fixed rate and capped at the net weighted average
coupon (WAC) or based on the net WAC or they are floating rate or
inverse floating rate based off the SOFR index and capped at the
net WAC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.8% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since last
quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 4.3% YoY nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
430 high quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with
maturities of 15 or 30 years that total $515.43 million. In total,
99.7% of the loans qualify as SHQM; the remining 0.3% are
rebuttable presumption QM. The loans were made to borrowers with
strong credit profiles, relatively low leverage and large liquid
reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of 4.9 months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 768, as determined by Fitch,
and is based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and
the updated FICO for loans seasoned at 12 months or more, which is
indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A large
percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived FICO
score equal to or above 750.
Fitch determined that 76.9% of the loans have a borrower with a
Fitch-determined FICO score equal to or above 750. Based on Fitch's
analysis of the pool, the original weighted average (WA) combined
loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio is 77.0%, which translates to a
sustainable LTV (sLTV) ratio of 85.3%. This represents moderate
borrower equity in the property and reduced default risk compared
with a borrower with a CLTV over 80%.
Of the pool, 100.0% of the loans are designated as QM loans.
Of the pool, 100% comprises loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence. Single-family homes, one townhouse,
and planned unit developments (PUDs) constitute 94.2% of the pool,
condominiums make up 4.5%, multi-family homes make up 0.7%, and the
remaining 0.5% are co-ops. Fitch views favorably the fact that
there are no investor loans in the pool.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes, as
determined by Fitch: purchases (93.4%), cashout refinances (1.9%)
and rate-term refinances (4.7%). Fitch views favorably that no
loans are for investment properties and a majority of mortgages are
purchases.
Of the pool loans, 19.5% are concentrated in Texas, followed by
California and Florida. The largest MSA concentration is in the
Dallas MSA (6.5%), followed by the Miami MSA (5.6%) and the Seattle
MSA (5.2%). The top three MSAs account for 17.4% of the pool. As a
result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for
geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps to maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
less recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association is the trustee that will advance as needed
until a replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the
ultimate advancing party.
Losses on the non-retained portion of the loans will be allocated
first to the subordinate bonds (starting with B-6). Once the B-1-A
class is written off, losses will be allocated to A-9-A first and
then to the super senior classes pro-rata once the A-9-A is written
off.
Net interest shortfalls on the non-retained portion will be
allocated first to the A-X-1 class and the subordinated classes
pro-rata based on the current interest accrued for each class until
the amount of current interest is reduced to zero and then to the
senior classes (excluding A-X-1) pro-rata based on the current
interest accrued for each class until the amount of current
interest is reduced to zero
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.45%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.90% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.0% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.15% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 58.1% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 58.1% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this
engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades and
assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions
and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports. Refer to the
"Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
Chase 2024-10 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to the strong transaction parties
and low operational risk present in the transaction as a result of
an above average originator and 'RPS1-' rated servicer. The above
average originator and 'RPS1-' servicer both have a positive impact
on the credit profile, and are relevant to the ratings in
conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CIFC FUNDING 2022-VII: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to CIFC
Funding 2022-VII, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CIFC Funding
2022-VII, Ltd.
A-1 12569EAN7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2A 12569EAA5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2B 12569EAC1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
B-1 12569EAE7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-2 12569EAG2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 12569EAJ6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 12569EAL1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 12569GAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CIFC Funding 2022-VII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by CIFC Asset
Management LLC. The CLO originally closed in 2022, and its secured
notes were refinanced on Nov. 15, 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 23.26, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25.00. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.88% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.47% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.60%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 46.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CIFC Funding
2022-VII, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CITIGROUP 2017-P8: S&P Cuts Class V-3D Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on 17 classes of commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates from Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2017-P8, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the same time,
S&P affirmed its ratings on four other classes from the
transaction.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on the class A-S, B, C, D, E, and F certificates and
the affirmations on the class A-2, A-3, A-4, and A-AB certificates
reflect:
-- S&P's lower revised S&P Global Ratings' values for properties
securing three loans (14.2% of the pooled trust balance) that has
deteriorating performance: 225 & 233 Park Avenue South (5.9%),
Corporate Woods Portfolio (4.2%), and Starwood Capital Hotel
Portfolio (4.1%).
-- S&P's revised loss assumptions on the specially serviced Bank
of America Plaza (4.2%) and Grant Building (3.5%) loans.
-- S&P's higher revised capitalization rates for four loans (9.2%)
in accordance with its revised capitalization rates for class B
office buildings. The four loans are Ann Arbor Mixed Use Portfolio
(3.3%), 440 Mamaroneck Avenue (2.9%), 1450 Veterans (1.7%), and 215
& Town Center (1.3%).
S&P said, "The downgrade on class D to 'B- (sf)' reflects the
bond's susceptibility to future reduced liquidity support and
credit support erosion, while the downgrades on classes E and F to
'CCC (sf)' reflect our qualitative consideration that the repayment
of these classes is currently dependent upon favorable business,
financial, and economic conditions and that these classes are
currently vulnerable to default. Specifically, we expect these
classes to experience credit support erosion from expected losses
upon the ultimate resolution of the specially serviced loans as
well as the increase in S&P Global Ratings' loan-to-value (LTV)
ratio on the Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio loan and 225 &
233 Park Avenue South loan to 143.0% and 108.2%, respectively.
Classes E and F are also susceptible to interest shortfalls in the
event that appraisal reduction amounts (ARA) are implemented or
increased on any of the specially serviced loans.
"The downgrades on the class X-A, X-B, X-D, X-E, and X-F
interest-only (IO) certificates are based on our criteria for
rating IO securities, which states that the ratings on the IO
securities would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
reference class. The notional amount of class X-A references
classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-AB, and A-S; class X-B references
class B; class X-C references class C; class X-D references class
D; class X-E references class E; and class X-F references class F.
"In addition, we downgraded our ratings on the exchangeable classes
V-2A, V-2B, V-2C, V-2D, V-3AC, and V-3D. These exchangeable classes
represent a certain percentage, as defined in the transaction
documents, of the vertical risk retention interest. The
exchangeable classes' interest distribution is based on a formula
referencing the aggregate amount of interest distributed to the
principal- and interest-paying classes. The notional amount for
exchangeable class V-2A references classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4,
A-AB, X-A, and A-S; class V-2B references classes B and X-B; class
V-2C references class C; class V-2D references classes D and X-D;
class V-3AC references classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-AB, X-A, X-B,
A-S, B, and C; and class V-3D references classes D and X-D.
"At issuance and at last review, we used lower LTV recovery
thresholds at each rating category because the loans contributed by
Principal Commercial Capital allow for property insurance coverage
from insurers who are not rated by S&P Global Ratings. Rather, they
require any insurance providers to be rated by any credit rating
agency, including S&P Global Ratings. However, at the current
review, we removed the negative LTV threshold adjustments for these
loans because we considered our recently released criteria for
determining ratings-based inputs, which we consider public ratings
assigned by other credit rating agencies as an indication of
secondary rating risk. We continue to maintain a positive LTV
threshold adjustment for the Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio
loan to account for the geographic diversity of the properties.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the transaction and
the collateral loans, including any developments around the loans
for which we have revised our net cash flows and values and the
resolution of the specially serviced loans. To the extent future
developments differ meaningfully from our underlying assumptions,
we may take further rating actions as we determine necessary."
Loan Details
225 & 233 Park Avenue South ($60.0 million, 5.9 % of the pooled
trust balance)
The loan is the largest loan in the pool. It is secured by two
contiguous class B office buildings comprising 675,756 sq. ft. in
Gramercy Park office submarket of Manhattan. The property offers
easy access to multiple subway and bus lines and is close to
various parks, theatres, and tourist attractions including Madison
Square Park, Gramercy Park, the Gramercy theatre, and the Flatiron
building.
The trust loan represent a pari-passu portion within a larger whole
loan. As of November 2024 trustee remittance report, the trust and
whole loan balances totaled $60.0 million and $235.0 million,
respectively, the same as at our last review. The whole loan pays a
fixed interest rate of 3.64% and matures on June 6, 2027. There is
also $195.0 million in mezzanine debt.
The loan, which has a reported paid-through date of Nov. 6, 2024,
was transferred to special servicing on March 21, 2024, due to
imminent monetary default. As per the special servicer, Argentic
Services Company L.P., some of the key terms proposed for loan
modification include that the borrower and/or mezzanine lender will
contribute approximately $35.0 million to reserve balance or the
mezzanine lender will buy a portion of borrower's equity interest;
however, no resolution has been finalized yet. There are currently
$57.7 million in reserves, which includes tenant reserve of
approximately $41.7 million.
The property's occupancy rate dropped to 40.0% as of June 30, 2024,
from 98.6% in 2023 primarily due to the largest tenant, Facebook
(266,460 sq. ft., 39.4% of the net rentable area [NRA]),
terminating its lease in 2022 by paying a termination fee of $33.0
million and the third-largest tenant, STV (133,200 sq. ft., 19.7%
of NRA), vacating the property upon its lease expiration in May
2024. In recognition of the amount of reserves held, in our current
analysis, we utilized a 16.8% vacancy rate based on the Gramercy
Park CoStar submarket, a $72.20-per-sq.-ft. S&P Global Ratings
gross rent, and a 47.0% operating expense ratio to derive a
long-term sustainable net cash flow (NCF) of $17.9 million on the
whole loan, which is down from $25.0 million at last review in
September 2022. S&P said, "We also increased our capitalization
rate to 8.25% from 6.25% at last review to reflect our updated
capitalization rate for class B office properties. As a result, we
arrived at an S&P Global Ratings expected case value of $217.1
million for the property, 45.6% lower than our $399.5 million value
at our last review and 71.0% below the $750.0 million appraisal
value at issuance."
Corporate Woods Portfolio ($43.5 million, 4.4% of the pooled trust
balance)
The loan is the fifth-largest loan in the pool. The loan is secured
by a 16- building office and retail complex in Overland Park, Kan.,
17 miles south of the Kansas City central business district. Within
the office park, there are also five other office buildings and a
hotel property that are not owned by the borrower and are not part
of the collateral.
The trust loan represents a pari-passu portion within a larger
whole loan. As of November 2024 trustee remittance report, the
trust balance totaled $43.5 million, down from $45.8 million at
last review. The loan amortizes on a 30-year schedule, pays a fixed
interest rate of 4.43%, and matures on Sept. 6, 2027.
The loan is currently on the master servicer's watchlist due to the
debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) falling below the required
threshold as of 2023. The decline in reported performance is due to
decrease in occupancy at the portfolio, primarily due to tenant
Coventry Health (Aetna) downsizing its space from approximately
79,000 sq. ft. to 9,705 sq. ft. in one of the buildings, 40
Corporate Woods. Per watchlist comments, the space remains vacant,
and leasing updates are awaited from the borrower. The
servicer-reported occupancy and NCF are 75.0% and $7.1 million,
respectively, for the six-months ended June 30, 2024, and 83.0% and
$17.2 million, respectively, for 2023. The servicer-reported DSCR
was 1.06x in June 2024, 1.29x in 2023, and 1.25x in 2022.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, we lowered our NCF to $17.2
million based on the 2023 servicer-reported NCF, which is 6.39%
lower than our NCF at last review. The servicer-reported NCF has
been declining since 2020. We also increased our capitalization
rate to 8.50% from 8.00% at last review and issuance to reflect our
updated capitalization rates for the class B office component in
the portfolio. As a result, we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings'
expected case value of $202.4 million, which is 11.9% lower than
our $229.8 million value at last review and 32.3% below the $299.1
million appraisal value at issuance."
Bank of America Plaza ($42.6 million; 4.2% of the pooled trust
balance)
The loan is the seventh-largest in the pool. It is secured by a
six-story, class B, 1988-built office building totaling 438,996 sq.
ft. in Troy, Mich. The property served as the regional headquarters
of Bank of America.
The loan has a trust balance of $42.6 million (down from $44.7
million at issuance) and a total exposure of $42.8 million as of
the November 2024 trustee remittance report. It amortizes on a
30-year schedule, pays a fixed interest rate of 4.70%, and matured
on Sept. 6, 2024. There is also $7.5 million in mezzanine debt.
The loan, which has a reported paid-through date of Oct. 6, 2024,
was transferred to special servicing on Aug. 1, 2024, due to
imminent maturity default. Per the special servicer comments, the
borrower has executed a pre- negotiation agreement and is in
discussion with the special servicer, KeyBank Real Estate Capital
(KeyBank), on a resolution. The occupancy at the property declined
to 53.0% in 2023 from 91.0% in 2022 after the largest tenant at the
property, Bank of America (144,701 sq. ft., 33.0% of NRA), vacated
the property in December 2022. As a result, the servicer-reported
cash flow also declined to $3.6 million as of 2023, down from $7.7
million in 2022.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, we revised our NCF to be in
line with the 2023 servicer-reported NCF of $3.6 million, which is
reflective of the current occupancy of 53.0%. We also increased our
capitalization rate to 9.75% from 8.75% at last review to reflect
our updated capitalization rates for the class B office properties.
As a result, we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings' expected case
value of $37.3 million, which is 32.8% lower than our $55.6 million
value at last review and 52.8% below the $79.2 million appraisal
value at issuance. Based on the revised expected-case value, we
expect a minimal loss (less than 25.0%) upon the eventual
resolution of the loan."
Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio (4.0% of the pooled trust
balance)
The loan is the eighth-largest loan in the pool. It is secured by
the borrower's fee simple and leasehold interests in 65
limited-service and extended-stay lodging properties totaling 6,366
rooms in 21 states. The hotels are operated under 16 different
franchises affiliated with either Larkspur Landing (11 hotels;
34.4% by allocated loan amount), Marriott (21 hotels; 28.1%),
Hilton (19 hotels; 25.0%), IHG (11 hotels; 11.1%), Choice (two
hotels; 1.0%), or Carlson (one hotel; 0.4%).
The trust loan represents a pari passu portion within a larger
whole loan. As of the November 2024 trustee remittance report, the
trust and whole loan balances totaled $41.8 million and $577.3
million, respectively. The whole loan is IO, pays an annual fixed
interest rate of 4.486%, and matures on June 1, 2027. The loan
allows for mezzanine debt, subject to certain performance
thresholds, but has not incurred mezzanine debt to date. S&P
recently reviewed the transaction that holds the $59.3 million
pari-passu portion of the loan in the BANK 2017-BNK6 transaction.
Grant Building ($36.1 million; 3.5% of the pooled trust balance)
The loan is the ninth-largest loan in the pool. It is secured by a
37-story, 461,000 sq. ft. office building in downtown Pittsburgh,
adjacent to the County Courthouse, the City/County Building, and
the Allegheny County Family and Juvenile Courts.
The loan has a trust balance of $36.1 million (down from $37.4
million at last review) and a total exposure of $37.0 million as of
the November 2024 trustee remittance report. It amortizes on a
30-year schedule, pays a fixed interest rate of 4.70%, and matures
on Aug. 6, 2027. An ARA of $15.0 million is in effect against the
loan.
The loan, which has a reported paid-through date of May 6, 2024,
was transferred to special servicing on Sept. 18, 2023, due to
imminent monetary default. The special servicer, KeyBank, filed the
lender's foreclosure complaint, and a receiver was appointed on
March 3, 2024.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, we revised our loss expectation
on the loan based on the April 4, 2024, appraisal value of $23.5
million reported by the servicer, which is 59.5% below the issuance
appraisal value of $58.1 million. Based on our revised
expected-case value, we expect moderate loss (26.0%-59.0%) upon the
eventual resolution of the loan."
Transaction Summary
As of the Nov. 18, 2024, trustee remittance report, the collateral
pool balance was $1.02 billion, which is 94.3% of the pool balance
at issuance. The pool currently includes 52 fixed-rate loans, down
from 53 loans at issuance. Three loans ($138.7 million; 13.5% of
the pooled trust balance) are with the special servicer, eight
loans ($188.8 million; 18.4%) are on the master servicer's
watchlist, and seven loans ($93.8 million; 9.2%) are defeased.
Excluding two specially serviced loans (Bank of America Plaza and
Grant Building) and seven defeased loans and adjusting the
servicer-reported numbers, we calculated an S&P Global Ratings
weighted average DSCR of 1.89x and an S&P Global Ratings weighted
average LTV ratio of 89.3% using a 7.96% S&P Global Ratings
weighted average capitalization rate.
According to the Nov. 18, 2024, trustee remittance report, the
trust incurred monthly interest shortfalls totaling $86,417
primarily from an appraisal subordination entitlement reduction
amount of $60,257 and a special servicing fee of $29,880. The
current shortfalls affected the interest on the class G, which is
not rated by S&P Global Ratings. The trust has not experienced any
principal losses to date. S&P expects losses to reach approximately
2.3% of the original pool trust balance upon the eventual
resolution of the specially serviced Bank of America Plaza (4.2%)
and Grant Building (3.5%) loans.
Ratings Lowered
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-P8
Class A-S to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to 'AA- (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'BBB (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class D to 'B- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to 'CCC (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class F to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class X-A to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AAA (sf)'
Class X-B to 'AA- (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class X-D to 'B- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class X-E to 'CCC (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class X-F to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class V-2A to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AAA (sf)'
Class V-2B to 'AA- (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class V-2C to 'BBB (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class V-2D to 'B- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class V-3AC to 'BBB (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class V-3D to 'B- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-P8
Class A-2: AAA (sf)
Class A-3: AAA (sf)
Class A-4: AAA (sf)
Class A-AB: AAA (sf)
CITIGROUP 2019-C7: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on 2 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 13 classes of Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust (CGCMT) 2018-C5 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2018-C5. The Rating Outlooks on three classes
remain Negative.
Fitch has affirmed 18 classes of Citigroup Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2019-C7 (CGCMT 2019-C7). The Outlooks on eight classes remain
Negative.
Fitch has also affirmed 15 classes of GS Mortgage Securities Trust
2020-GC47 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates, series
2020-GC47 (GSMS 2020-GC47). The Outlooks on 15 classes remain
Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CGCMT 2019-C7
A-AB 17328CAE2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A2 17328CAB8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A3 17328CAC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A4 17328CAD4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
AS 17328CAF9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 17328CAG7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 17328CAH5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 17328CAV4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 17328CAX0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 17328CAZ5 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
G 17328CBB7 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
H 17328CBD3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 17328CAJ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 17328CAK8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 17328CAM4 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 17328CAP7 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
X-G 17328CAR3 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-H 17328CAT9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
CGCMT 2018-C5
A-3 17291DAC7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 17291DAD5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 17291DAE3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 17291DAF0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 17291DAG8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 17291DAH6 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 17291DAJ2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E-RR 17291DAL7 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 17291DAN3 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G-RR 17291DAQ6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 17291DAU7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 17291DAV5 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 17291DAW3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
GSMS 2020-GC47
A-1 36258RAY9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36258RAZ6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 36258RBA0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36258RBB8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36258RBE2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36258RBF9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36258RBG7 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 36258RAA1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 36258RAE3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 36258RAJ2 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G 36258RAN3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 36258RBC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-E 36258RAG8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 36258RAL7 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-G 36258RAQ6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The affirmations reflect
generally stable pool performance since Fitch's prior rating
action. Fitch's current ratings reflect a deal-level 'Bsf' rating
case loss of 4.4% in CGCMT 2018-C5, 3.0% in GSMS 2020-GC47, and
5.2% in CGCMT 2019-C7. The CGCMT 2018-C5 transaction has five Fitch
Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 22.2% of the pool), with no loans in
special servicing. The GSMS 2020-GC47 transaction has six FLOCs
(32.4%), with no loans in special servicing. The CGCMT 2019-C7
transaction has six FLOCs (14.5%), including one loan (4.5%) in
special servicing.
The Negative Outlooks in CGCMT 2018-C5 incorporate an additional
sensitivity scenario on FLOCs Santa Fe Springs Marketplace (3.4%),
Oak Portfolio (2.5%), and Champlain Mill (1.9%) that considers a
heightened probability of default due to upcoming lease rollover
concerns. In addition, the Negative Outlooks reflect the potential
for downgrades with further performance deterioration and/or lack
of stabilization on the 650 South Exeter Street (4.4% of the pool)
and 636 11th Avenue FLOCs (11.5%).
The Negative Outlooks in CGCMT 2019-C7 incorporate an additional
sensitivity scenario on FLOCs Alrig Portfolio (3.1%) and Park
Central Tower (3.0%) that considers a heightened probability of
default due to upcoming lease rollover concerns. In addition, the
Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades with further
performance deterioration and/or lack of stabilization on the 805
Third Avenue loan (4.5%) and 490-504 Myrtle Avenue FLOCs (4.5%).
The pool also has an office concentration of 29%.
FLOCs; Largest Loss Contributors: The largest increase in loss
since the prior rating action and the largest contributor to
overall loss expectations in CGCMT 2018-C5 is the 650 South Exeter
Street loan, secured by a 206,335-sf mixed used property with
office and parking components located in Baltimore, MD.
The loan was flagged as a FLOC due to continued low occupancy and
DSCR following the loss of the two largest tenants. Laureate
Education Inc. (50% of NRA and 60% of base rent; original loan
expiration June 2027) vacated in June 2022 after exercising its
termination right in 2021. The second largest tenant, Morgan
Stanley Smith Barney (18% NRA and 23% base rent), vacated at its
September 2022 lease expiration. The largest remaining tenants
include DLA Piper (16.9%; November 2033) and JP Morgan (5.8%;
November 2029).
The property was 37.6% occupied as of the September 2024 rent roll,
compared to 30% at YE 2023, 32% at YE 2022, and 83% at YE 2021. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was -0.25x as of June 2024, compared
with -1.23x at YE 2023 and down from 2.20x at YE 2022.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 29.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.6% cap rate, a 20% stress to the YE 2022
NOI, and a higher probability of default to account for the
declining performance trends since issuance.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in
CGCMT 2018-C5 is the 636 11th Avenue loan, which is secured by a
564,004-sf office building along the east side of 11th Avenue
between West 46th and West 47th Streets in the Hell's Kitchen
neighborhood of Manhattan.
The property was 100% occupied by The Ogilvy Group, Inc. on a lease
through June 2029. The tenant vacated the property in 2021 and it
remains dark. Ogilvy continues to pay its rental obligations, and
the loan has remained current. Per CoStar, the entire building is
listed for sublease. There have been no additional leasing updates
from the servicer.
The servicer reported NOI DSCR was 2.42x at YE 2023, compared to
2.39x at YE 2022, 2.29x at YE 2021, and 2.23x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 4.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.25% cap rate and a 15% stress to the YE
2022 NOI.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2020-GC47 is the PNC Center loan (4.2%), which is secured by a
498,905-sf office property located in Cincinnati, OH.
PNC Bank (23.6% of NRA; lease expires in February 2030) has been in
occupancy at the property since 1979 which serves as its regional
headquarters. Other large tenants at the property include Core
Specialty Insurance (7.4%; May 2027), Fund Evaluation Group (7.3%;
December 2031), and PWC (6.1%; May 2025). There are seven tenants,
representing 12.4% of the NRA, scheduled to roll in 2025.
As of Q3 2024, the property remains 92% occupied, unchanged from YE
2023, up from 97% at YE 2022, 81% at YE 2021, and 81% at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 11.4% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.25% cap rate, a 20% stress to the YE
2023 NOI, and a heightened probability of default due to the
secondary market location and upcoming rollover risk.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2020-GC47 is the Grand Street Plaza loan (3.6%), which is secured
by two adjacent office buildings (totaling 208,586 sf) in downtown
White Plains, NY.
The largest tenants at the properties include Legal Aid Society of
DC (13.4%; January 2032), New York State Unified Court System
(12.2%; February 2037, after recently extending its October 2024
lease expiry), County of Westchester (8.5%; August 2029), and
Miller Zeidermann (6.6%; June 2026).
Occupancy at the subject has been steadily decreasing since YE
2020. As of the September 2024 rent roll, the property was 78%
occupied, unchanged from YE 2023, down from 80% at YE 2022, 89% at
YE 2021, and 92% at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13.3% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate, 20% stress to the YE 2023
NOI, and a heightened probability of default due to upcoming
rollover and declining occupancy.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2020-GC47 is the 1427 7th Street loan (3.6%), which is secured by a
50-unit multifamily property located in Santa Monica, CA. The
property benefits from its strong location, situated in a very
infill and densely populated location less than one block south of
Santa Monica Boulevard.
Per the June 2024 rent roll, the property was 88% occupied with an
average rental rate of $4,135 per unit. The servicer-reported NOI
DSCR at YE 2023 was 1.49x, compared to 1.36x at YE 2022, 1.15x at
YE 2021, and 1.13x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 6.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 8% cap rate and a 7.5% stress to the YE
2023 NOI.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and the largest contributor to overall loss expectations in CGCMT
2019-C7 is the 805 Third Avenue loan, which is secured by a
596,100-sf office property located in the Grand Central submarket
of Manhattan.
The largest tenant, Meredith Corporation (35.7%; December 2026),
subleases the majority of its space on a co-terminus basis. The
largest subleased tenants are Kroll Bond Rating Agency, NewsMax and
Gen II Fund Services, LLC. The loan transferred to special
servicing in September 2024 and is currently over 30 days
delinquent.
Cash flow has significantly declined since issuance due to the
large decline in occupancy when several tenants vacated upon lease
expirations in 2021 and 2022. As of the June 2024 rent roll, the
property was 57.1% occupied, compared to 62% at YE 2022, 83% at YE
2021, and 81% at YE 2020. In-place rents at the property of
approximately $51 psf are well below submarket rents of $90 psf,
according to CoStar.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 30.0% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 8.50% cap rate and an updated Fitch
sustainable cash flow based on leasing the building up to 72%. The
cap rate is an increase from a 7.50% cap rate at issuance. The
elevated loss also reflects the current delinquency status as the
loan is over 30 days delinquent.
The largest increase in loss since the prior rating action and the
second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in CGCMT
2019-C7 is the 490-504 Myrtle Avenue loan, secured by a
two-property multifamily portfolio totaling 236 units, located in
Brooklyn, NY. The subject properties have 48 units (20% of total
units) designated as affordable housing.
Occupancy has remained stable at the subject properties. As of June
2024, the portfolio was 95% occupied, compared to 96% at YE 2023,
97% at YE 2022, 99% at YE 2021, and 77% at YE 2020. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.70x as of Q2 2024, up from 1.46x
at YE 2023, 1.54x at YE 2022, 1.15x at YE 2021, and 1.32x at YE
2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 8.6% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 8% cap rate and no additional stress to
the YE 2023 NOI.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the November 2024
distribution date, the pool's aggregate balance in CGCMT 2018-C5
has been paid down by 17.5% to $551.3 million from $668.2 million
at issuance. Six loans (16.3% of the pool) are fully defeased.
There are 14 loans (56.6%) that are full-term interest-only, and
the remaining 23 loans (43.4%) are now amortizing.
As of the November 2024 distribution date, the pool's aggregate
balance in GSMS 2020-GC47 has been paid down by 0.4% to $768.7
million from $771.9 million at issuance. There are 19 loans (86.4%)
that are full-term interest-only, four loans (6.1%) remain in its
partial interest-only period, and the remaining six loans (7.5%)
are now amortizing.
As of the November 2024 distribution date, the pool's aggregate
balance in CGCMT 2019-C7 has been paid down by 3.1% to $1.22
billion from $1.26 billion at issuance. Two loans (2.5% of the
pool) are fully defeased. There are 29 loans (61.8%) that are
full-term interest-only, three loans (8.1%) remain in its partial
interest-only period, and the remaining 23 loans (30.1%) are now
amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls affect
these classes.
- Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf', 'Asf' and 'BBBsf'
categories, especially those with Negative Outlooks, may occur with
outsized loss expectations on FLOCs, including 650 South Exeter
Street and 636 11th Avenue in CGCMT 2018-C5, 805 Third Avenue and
490-504 Myrtle Avenue in CGCMT 2019-C7, and PNC Center and Grand
Street Plaza in GSMS 2020-GC47, that increase beyond expectations,
and with limited to no improvement in these classes' CE.
- Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories are likely with
higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses on the specially
serviced loans or other FLOCs.
- Downgrades to distressed ratings would occur should additional
loans transfer to special servicing and/or default or as losses are
realized and/or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and stabilized performance on 650 South Exeter Street
and 636 11th Avenue in CGCMT 2018-C5, 805 Third Avenue and 490-504
Myrtle Avenue in CGCMT 2019-C7, and PNC Center and Grand Street
Plaza in GSMS 2020-GC47.
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
- Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
- Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected, but possible
with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly improved performance of the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COLT 2024-7: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B2 Certificates
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed
certificates to be issued by COLT 2024-7 Mortgage Loan Trust (COLT
2024-7).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
COLT 2024-7
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
to be issued by COLT 2024-7 Mortgage Loan Trust as indicated above.
The certificates are supported by 591 nonprime loans with a total
balance of approximately $434.6 million as of the cutoff date.
Loans in the pool were originated by multiple originators,
including The Loan Store Inc., Foundation Mortgage Corporation,
Northpointe Bank (NPB) and various others. The loans were
aggregated by Hudson Americas L.P. and are currently serviced by
Fay Servicing LLC (Fay), Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (SPS) and
NPB.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 9.8% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since
last quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices have increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August
2024 despite modest regional declines but are still being supported
by limited inventory.
COLT 2024-7 has a combined original LTV (cLTV) of 72.8%, slightly
lower than that of the previous Hudson transaction, COLT 2024-6.
Based on Fitch's updated view of housing market overvaluation, this
pool's sustainable LTV (sLTV) is 81.0%, compared with 83.0% for the
previous transaction.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 591
loans totaling $434.63 million and seasoned at approximately three
months in aggregate as calculated by Fitch. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile, consisting of a 740 model FICO, and
moderate leverage with an 81.0% sLTV and a 72.8% cLTV.
Of the pool, 61.2% of the loans are of a primary residence, while
34.5% comprise an investor property. Additionally, 60.9% are
non-qualified mortgages (non-QMs, or NQMs), 4.1% are safe-harbor
qualified mortgages (SHQM), 0.6% are rebuttable presumption
qualified mortgage loans, and the QM rule does not apply to the
remainder.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 19.50%. This is
mainly driven by the NQM/Non-Prime collateral and the concentration
of investor cash flow product (debt service coverage ratio [DSCR])
loans.
Loan Documentation and DSCR Loans (Negative): About 91.2% of loans
in the pool were underwritten to less than full documentation and
64.1% were underwritten to a bank statement program for verifying
income, which is not consistent with Fitch's view of a full
documentation program. Fitch's treatment of alternative loan
documentation increased 'AAAsf' expected losses by approximately
745bps, compared with a deal of 100% fully documented loans.
7.1% (54 loans) were originated through the originators' investor
cash flow program that targets real estate investors qualified on a
DSCR basis. These business-purpose loans are available to real
estate investors that are qualified on a cash flow basis, rather
than DTI, and borrower income and employment are not verified.
Fitch's average expected losses for DSCR loans is 31.2% in the
'AAAsf' stress.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure with Limited Advancing
(Mixed): The structure distributes principal pro rata among the
senior certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs
in a given period, principal will be distributed sequentially to
class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates until they are reduced to
zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will be made on
the mortgage loans serviced by SPS, Fay and NPB for the first 90
days of delinquency, to the extent such advances are deemed
recoverable. If the P&I advancing party fails to make a required
advance, the master servicer and then the securities administrator
will be obligated to make such advance.
The limited advancing reduces loss severities, as a lower amount is
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. However, the additional stress on the
structure represents downside risk, as there is limited liquidity
in the event of large and extended delinquencies.
COLT 2024-7 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lower of a
100-bp increase to the fixed coupon or the net weighted average
coupon (NWAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest distribution amount will
be distributed to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates on and after
the step-up date if the cap carryover amount is greater than zero.
This increases the P&I allocation for the senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national level
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes. A 10% gain
in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the
rated class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics, SitusAMC, Evolve, Selene,
Clarifii, Opus, Clayton and Maxwell. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and property
valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its analysis
and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to its
analysis: a 5% credit was given at the loan level for each loan
where satisfactory due diligence was completed. This adjustment
resulted in a 50bps reduction to the 'AAA' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COMM 2013-CCRE8: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. X-C Certs to Ba3
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings on three classes and
upgraded the ratings on three classes in COMM 2013-CCRE8 Mortgage
Trust, Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2013-CCRE8 as
follows:
Cl. B, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa
(sf)
Cl. C, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa
(sf)
Cl. D, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa
(sf)
Cl. E, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to
A1 (sf)
Cl. F, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to
Ba1 (sf)
Cl. X-C*, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on three P&I classes, Cl. B, Cl. C and Cl. D, were
affirmed due to the Moody's LTV on the sole remaining loan, the 375
Park Ave Loan, which now represents 100% of the pool. The sole
underlying loan is secured by the pari passu portion of the senior
most portion of the whole mortgage loan and the senior portion
included in the trust has a structured credit assessment of aaa
(sca.pd). The loan's initial maturity date of May 2023 was recently
extended to May 2025, after an initial one-year extension option to
May 2024 and the property occupancy has returned to pre-pandemic
levels.
The rating on two P&I classes, Cl. E and Cl. F, were upgraded due
to significant increase in credit support since Moody's last review
from loan payoffs and the performance of the sole remaining loan in
the pool. The rating of A1 (sf) on Cl. F reflects the lack of
sufficient balance from the non-rated subordinate class to protect
from the risk of interest shortfalls due to possible extraordinary
non-recoverable trust expenses.
The ratings on the Interest Only (IO) Class, Cl. X-C was upgraded
due to improvement in credit quality of its reference classes.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization or an increase
in the pool's share of defeasance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
July 2024.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the November 13, 2024, distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 86% to $191.5
million from $1.38 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by one mortgage loan that has an investment-grade
structured credit assessment.
Two loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in an
aggregate realized loss of $4.9 million (for an average loss
severity of 38%).
The sole remaining loan is the 375 Park Avenue Loan ($191.5 million
– 100% of the pool), which represents a pari passu portion of a
$383 million A-note, a $364.8 million B-note and a $217.3 million
Mezzanine loan. As of the November 2024 remittance date the A-note
has paid down $35 million as part of the loan modification. The
loan is backed by a Class A, trophy office building located in
Midtown Manhattan also known as the "Seagram Building",
encompassing the eastern block of Park Avenue between East 52nd and
East 53rd Streets. The building has 38 stories with a net rentable
area (NRA) of approximately 830,928 square feet (SF). Prior to the
pandemic, property performance had stable performance with a tenant
roster of blue-chip financial and legal tenants. Between 2020 and
2021, occupancy fell from 94% to 67%, and the 2021 net operating
income (NOI) was less than half of the underwritten NOI. However,
occupancy has improved since and the property was 95% leased as of
June 2024 as a result of new leases. The NOI for the trailing
twelve-month period ending June 2024 is still below underwritten
levels but is expected to increase as rent abatements for newly
signed tenants burn off. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in May 2023 for maturity default and was subsequently
modified to include a one-year extension to May 2024, with an
option for another year. The borrower has exercised this option,
extending the loan maturity to May 2025. Moody's structured credit
assessment is aaa (sca.pd).
COMM 2014-CCRE20: DBRS Cuts Class E Certs Rating to D
-----------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit rating on one class of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE20
issued by COMM 2014-CCRE20 Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class E to D (sf) from C (sf)
Following the credit rating downgrade, Morningstar DBRS will
discontinue and withdraw its credit rating on Class E.
The credit rating action on Class E follows a loss to the trust
that was realized with the October 2024 remittance. The trust
incurred a loss of $11.7 million, fully eroding the remainder of
the Class F certificate and part of Class E. This loss was
attributed to nonrecoverable advances on the Harwood Center
(Prospectus ID#4, 17.2% of the pool) loan. The special servicer has
deemed outstanding advances previously made for this loan as
nonrecoverable.
Notes: The principal methodology is North American CMBS
Surveillance Methodology (March 1, 2024).
COMM 2014-UBS3: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
----------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on six classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-UBS3
issued by COMM 2014-UBS3 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class B to BBB (low) (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class X-B to BB (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class C to BB (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class PEZ to BB (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D to C (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
remaining classes as follows:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-M at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
The Negative trends on Classes B, X-B, PEZ and C were maintained
with this review. Classes D, E, F, and G now have credit ratings
that generally do not carry a trend in commercial mortgage backed
securities (CMBS) credit ratings. All other classes have a Stable
trend.
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
loss projections as the pool enters wind-down following the
repayment of the bulk of the original pool. Since the last credit
rating action, 31 loans have left the trust, contributing to
significant deleveraging and concentration of largely higher credit
risk collateral as performing loans reached maturity and ultimately
repaid from the pool. There are five loans remaining in the pool as
of the October 2024 remittance, all of which are secured by office
properties and are in special servicing. Given the adverse
selection and high concentration of defaulted assets, Morningstar
DBRS considered liquidation scenarios for all remaining loans to
determine recoverability for the remaining classes.
In addition to concerns with increased projected losses, there is
also ongoing shorted interest to credit rated bonds, which is
expected to continue building until the loans are disposed or
resolved. As of the October 2024 remittance, cumulative unpaid
interest totalled $5.7 million, up from $2.8 million at the last
the credit rating action in December 2023. Class C has not received
full interest since September 2024 and Class D has not received
full interest since April 2024. Morningstar DBRS' tolerance for
unpaid interest is limited to three to four remittance periods at
the BBB (sf) credit rating category and six remittance periods at
the BB (sf) and B (sf) credit rating categories. The Negative
trends are reflective of increased propensity for interest
shortfalls, as well as the potential for Morningstar DBRS' loss
expectations to further increase should the underlying collateral
values further deteriorate or the workout periods extend beyond the
near to moderate term, exposing the trust to increased property
protection and other expenses accruing over the workout periods.
The largest loan, State Farm Portfolio (Prospectus ID#2, 32.4% of
the pool), is pari passu with notes held in the COMM 2014-UBS4 and
COMM 2014-UBS5 transactions, both of which are rated by Morningstar
DBRS, and the non-Morningstar DBRS rated MSBAM 2014-C16 transaction
and is secured by a portfolio of 14 cross-collateralized,
cross-defaulted office properties in 11 different states. The loan
transferred to the special servicer in September 2023 and remains
delinquent. Although the workout strategy has been noted as full
payoff for the past year, there has been limited progress in the
loan's resolution since the last credit rating action, which is now
noted to be determined. Morningstar DBRS remains cautious about the
refinance prospects given the underlying assets are leased but not
occupied by State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Company (State
Farm), with all but two of the leases running through 2028. While
State Farm continues to make rent payments, it has physically
vacated every property. The loan had an anticipated repayment date
in April 2024, and is now hyper amortizing until April 2029 with
annual resets of the interest rate. Recent servicer commentary
indicates that one property is expected to be released in the near
term. Although the continued rent payments are expected to continue
to amortize the outstanding debt, Morningstar DBRS believes the
current value deficiency to be significant given the dark status of
the properties and the tertiary locations that will likely mean low
investor demand. As such, a liquidation scenario was considered
based on a stressed value analysis, which resulted in a loss
severity approaching 35%.
The second largest loan is Equitable Plaza (Prospectus ID#3, 28.6%
of the pool), which is secured by a 688,292-square-foot (sf) office
property in Los Angeles. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in April 2024 after the borrower indicated the loan would
not be repaid by maturity in June 2024. The special servicer is
dual-tracking the loan for maturity extension and foreclosure.
Occupancy has been in decline over the last several years, dropping
to 56% as of September 2023 from 67% at YE2021 and 82% at YE2020.
According to the September 2023 rent roll, leases representing
29.0% of the net rentable area (NRA) were scheduled to expire
through the next 12 months, posing risk for significant additional
vacancy. The most recent financials available are for the trailing
nine month period ended September 30, 2023, and indicate that cash
flow has also been in year-over-year decline. At issuance, the
subject was valued at $150.5 million and, although a new valuation
has yet to be completed, Morningstar DBRS expects that the
property's value has declined considerably given the drop in
performance. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS liquidated this loan
from the pool based on a stress to the issuance appraisal for an
implied loss severity in excess of 40%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1A: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Class A Notes, the
Class B Notes, and the Class C Notes (collectively, the Notes)
issued by Cornhusker Funding 1A LLC (the Issuer), pursuant to the
terms of the Indenture, dated as of April 22, 2022, between the
Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association as
follows:
-- Class A Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at B (sf)
The credit ratings on the Class A Notes, the Class B Notes, and the
Class C Notes address the ultimate payment of interest and ultimate
return of principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in
the Indenture).
The Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of U.S.
middle-market corporate loans. The Issuer is managed by Mount Logan
Management, LLC (Mount Logan), which is a subsidiary of Mount Logan
Capital Inc. Morningstar DBRS considers Mount Logan to be an
acceptable collateralized loan obligation (CLO) manager.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' annual
review of the transaction performance by applying the "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (the CLO
Methodology; September 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/439759). The Reinvestment
Period ends April 8, 2030. The Stated Maturity is September 15,
2036.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Notes to withstand projected collateral loss
rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Obligations, subject to the Eligibility Criteria which
include testing the Concentration Limitations, Collateral Quality
Tests, and Coverage Tests.
(5) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
CLO management capabilities of Mount Logan as the Collateral
Manager.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Borrower and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance
methodology (the Legal Criteria).
Morningstar DBRS monitors transaction performance metrics based on
the periodicity of the transaction's reporting. The performance
metrics include Collateral Quality Tests, Coverage Tests,
Concentration Limitations, and Performing Collateral Par. As of
September 30, 2024, the transaction is in compliance with all
performance metrics, and the performing collateral par is greater
than the reinvestment target par. The current transaction
performance is within Morningstar DBRS' expectations, which
supports the credit rating confirmations on the Notes, as per the
Level I surveillance analysis in the CLO Methodology. No predictive
model is utilized in the Level I surveillance process.
The coverage and collateral quality test reported values and
thresholds, respectively, that Morningstar DBRS reviewed are as
follows:
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 137.62%; threshold
124.50%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 127.49%; threshold
116.80%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 122.96%; threshold
113.40%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 197.50%; threshold
115.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 173.78%; threshold
110.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 162.09%; threshold
105.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: actual 24.14; threshold 21.00
Minimum Weighted Average Spread Test: actual 5.48%; threshold
5.10%
Maximum DBRS Risk Score Test: actual 31.02%; threshold 34.20%
Minimum Weighted Average DBRS Recovery Rate Test: actual 66.00%;
threshold 64.30%
Some strengths of the transaction are (1) collateral quality that
consists of at least 95% senior-secured middle market-loans and
(2) adequate diversification of the portfolio of collateral
obligations (matrix-driven Diversity Score). Some challenges are
(1) up to 5% of the portfolio pool may consist of long-dated
assets, and (2) the underlying collateral portfolio may be
insufficient to redeem the Notes in an Event of Default.
As of September 30, 2024, the Borrower is in compliance with all
Coverage and Collateral Quality Tests, and there were no defaulted
obligations registered in the underlying portfolio.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1B: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Class A Notes, the
Class B Notes, and the Class C Notes (collectively, the Notes)
issued by Cornhusker Funding 1B LLC (the Issuer), pursuant to the
terms of the Indenture, dated as of April 22, 2022, between the
Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association as
follows:
-- Class A Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at B (sf)
The credit ratings on the Class A Notes, the Class B Notes, and the
Class C Notes address the ultimate payment of interest and ultimate
return of principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in
the Indenture).
The Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of U.S.
middle-market corporate loans. The Issuer is managed by Mount Logan
Management, LLC (Mount Logan), which is a subsidiary of Mount Logan
Capital Inc. Morningstar DBRS considers Mount Logan to be an
acceptable collateralized loan obligation (CLO) manager.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating action is a result of Morningstar DBRS' annual
review of the transaction performance by applying the "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (the CLO
Methodology; September 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/439759). The Reinvestment
Period ends April 8, 2030. The Stated Maturity is September 15,
2036.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Notes to withstand projected collateral loss
rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Obligations, subject to the Eligibility Criteria which
include testing the Concentration Limitations, Collateral Quality
Tests, and Coverage Tests.
(5) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
CLO management capabilities of Mount Logan as the Collateral
Manager.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Borrower and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance
methodology (the Legal Criteria).
Morningstar DBRS monitors transaction performance metrics based on
the periodicity of the transaction's reporting. The performance
metrics include Collateral Quality Tests, Coverage Tests,
Concentration Limitations, and Performing Collateral Par. As of
September 30, 2024, the transaction is in compliance with all
performance metrics, and the performing collateral par is greater
than the reinvestment target par. The current transaction
performance is within Morningstar DBRS' expectations, which
supports the credit rating confirmations on the Notes, as per the
Level I surveillance analysis in the CLO Methodology. No predictive
model is utilized in the Level I surveillance process.
The coverage and collateral quality test reported values and
thresholds, respectively, that Morningstar DBRS reviewed are as
follows:
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 137.40%; threshold
124.50%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 127.28%; threshold
116.80%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: actual 122.77%; threshold
113.40%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 198.74%; threshold
115.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 174.87%; threshold
110.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 163.11%; threshold
105.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: actual 24.87; threshold 21.00
Minimum Weighted Average Spread Test: actual 5.43%; threshold
5.10%
Maximum DBRS Risk Score Test: actual 31.03%; threshold 34.20%
Minimum Weighted Average DBRS Recovery Rate Test: actual 66.00%;
threshold 64.30%
Some strengths of the transaction are (1) collateral quality that
consists of at least 95% senior-secured middle market-loans and (2)
adequate diversification of the portfolio of collateral obligations
(matrix-driven Diversity Score). Some challenges are (1) up to 5%
of the portfolio pool may consist of long-dated assets, and (2) the
underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem the
Notes in an Event of Default.
As of September 30, 2024, the Borrower is in compliance with all
Concentration Limitations, Coverage and Collateral Quality Tests,
and there were no defaulted obligations registered in the
underlying portfolio.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CQS US 2021-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to CQS US
CLO 2021-1 Ltd.'s refinancing notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CQS US CLO 2021-1, Ltd.
A 12659UAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT NRsf New Rating
C-R LT NRsf New Rating
D-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
E 12661TAA9 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
Transaction Summary
CQS US CLO 2021-1, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CQS
(US), LLC, which originally closed in December 2021. The CLO's
secured debt will be partially refinanced on Nov. 27, 2024 from the
proceeds of the issuance of new secured debt. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $396 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.68 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.48% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.1% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 2.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is three months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
Key Provision Changes
- The class A, B, C, and D1 notes (the refinanced notes) are being
refinanced by the class AR, BR, CR and D1R notes (collectively, the
first refinancing notes) with lower spreads while the notional
balance of the notes remains unchanged. The spreads for the class
AR, BR, CR and D1R notes are 1.20%, 1.75%, 2.25% and 3.40%,
respectively, compared to the spread of 1.48%, 2.14%, 2.65% and
3.81% for the class A, B, C, and D1 notes, respectively, before
refinancing.
- The non-call period for the refinancing notes will end in
November 2025.
- The reinvestment period and stated maturity on refinanced notes
remained the same as compared to the original notes.
Fitch Analysis
The current portfolio presented to Fitch includes 284 assets from
266 primarily high yield obligors. The portfolio balance was
approximately $395.9 million. As per the latest trustee report, the
transaction passes all of its coverage tests.
The weighted average rating of the current portfolio is 'B'. Fitch
has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private rating for 50.7%
of the current portfolio par balance; ratings for 49.3% of the
portfolio were derived from Fitch's IDR equivalency map. Analysis
focused on the Fitch stressed portfolio (FSP) for the refinancing
notes and on the current portfolio for the existing notes, and cash
flow model analysis was conducted for this refinancing. The FSP
included the following concentrations, reflecting the maximum
limitations per the indenture or Fitch's assumption:
- Largest five obligors: 2.5% each, for an aggregate of 12.5%;
- Largest three industries: 15%, 12% and 12%, respectively;
- Assumed risk horizon of 6.0 years;
- Minimum weighted average spread of 3.30%;
- Fixed rate Assets: 5.0%.
The FSP assumes a 27.0 WARF and 73.0% WARR, in line with the
current matrix point as of the October 2024 trustee report.
Projected default and recovery statistics for the performing
collateral of the FSP were generated using Fitch's portfolio credit
model (PCM).
The PCM default rate output for the FSP at the 'AAAsf' rating
stress was 51.3%. The PCM recovery rate output for the FSP at the
'AAAsf' rating stress was 39.0%. In the analysis of the FSP, the
class AR notes passed the rating threshold in all nine cash flow
scenarios with minimum cushions of 5.7%.
In addition to testing the base case matrix point, Fitch tested all
permitted matrix points from the matrix provided to the manager at
the original closing. Fitch tested across the matrix to ensure the
projected cash flow performance of the Fitch-rated notes remains
consistent with the ratings assigned.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio at the
'AAAsf' rating stress and the 'BB-sf' rating stress was 42.8% and
22.8%, respectively. The PCM recovery rate output for the current
portfolio at the 'AAAsf' rating stress and the 'BB-sf' rating
stress was 40.2% and 74.1%, respectively. In the analysis of the
current portfolio, the class AR and class E notes both passed the
rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with minimum
cushions of 15.8% and 11.5%, respectively.
Fitch assigned a 'AAAsf' rating to the class AR notes. Fitch also
affirmed the class E notes at 'BB-sf'. The Outlooks for all notes
are Stable. The rating actions reflect that the notes can sustain a
robust level of defaults combined with low recoveries, as well as
other factors, such as the degree of cushion when analyzing the
indicative portfolio and the strong performance in the sensitivity
scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class AR, and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class AR notes as these
notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, and could result in an
upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential
changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results under these
sensitivity scenarios are 'BBBsf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CQS US CLO 2021-1,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CSAIL 2020-C19: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F-RR Debt to 'B-sf'
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded three and affirmed 11 classes of CSAIL
2020-C19 Commercial Mortgage Trust. Classes E, F-RR and X-D were
assigned Negative Rating Outlooks following their downgrades. The
Outlooks for classes A-S, B, C, X-A, and X-B were revised to
Negative from Stable, and the Outlook for class D remains
Negative.
Additionally, Fitch has affirmed 13 classes of CSAIL 2021-C20
Commercial Mortgage Trust. All classes remain on Stable Outlook.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CSAIL 2020-C19
A-1 12597NAQ6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 12597NAR4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 12597NAS2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 12597NAW3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12597NAT0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12597NAX1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12597NAY9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 12597NAC7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 12597NAE3 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
F-RR 12597NAG8 LT B-sf Downgrade B+sf
G-RR 12597NAJ2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 12597NAU7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12597NAV5 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 12597NAA1 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
CSAIL 2021-C20
Commercial Mortgage
Trust
A-2 22945EAT8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 22945EAU5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 22945EAY7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 22945EAV3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 22945EAZ4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 22945EBA8 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 22945EAC5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 22945EAE1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 22945EAG6 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G-RR 22945EAJ0 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 22945EAW1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 22945EAX9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 22945EAA9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 6.4% in CSAIL 2020-C19 and 3.6% in CSAIL 2021-C20. Fitch
Loans of Concern (FLOCs) comprise six loans (18.8% of the pool) in
CSAIL 2020-C19, including two specially serviced loans (10.2%), and
four loans (11.6%) in CSAIL 2021-C20.
The downgrades in CSAIL 2020-C19 reflect increased pool loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action driven by the
specially serviced loans, ArciTerra Portfolio (7.0%) and APX
Morristown (3.2%), and the FLOC Selig Office Portfolio (7.4%). The
Negative Outlooks reflect the office concentration of 30.6% in the
pool and the potential for downgrades without performance
stabilization of the aforementioned specially serviced loans and
FLOCs.
The affirmations in CSAIL 2021-C20 reflect generally stable pool
performance and loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating
action.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to overall
pool loss expectations in the CSAIL 2020-C19 transaction is the
Selig Office Portfolio loan, secured by an urban office portfolio
consisting of three properties all located in downtown Seattle, WA.
The June 2024 rent roll reflects an occupancy of 61% compared to
70% at YE 2023, 65% at YE 2022, and 99% at YE 2019. Near-term
tenant rollover includes 0.7% in 2024, 4.1% in 2025, and 0.2% in
2026 with the next largest concentration of leases (20.6%) expiring
in 2028. The servicer-reported NOI DSCR has declined to 1.25x as of
YE 2023, compared with 1.32x at YE 2022 and 1.76x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 17.3% (prior to concentration
add-on) is based on a 9.75% cap rate and no additional stress to YE
2022 NOI.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in
CSAIL 2020-C19 is the specially serviced APX Morristown asset,
secured by a 486,742 SF suburban office property located in
Morristown, NJ. The loan transferred to special servicing in July
2023 due to imminent monetary default. Occupancy has declined at
the property to 60.6% as of June 2024 due to the departure and
downsizing of several tenants. The largest tenant, Louis Berger
(NRA 22.3%), which was acquired by WSP in late 2018, vacated in
2022 ahead of its lease expiration in 2026. The mezzanine lender
was the winning bidder at the June 2024 UCC Foreclosure sale and is
finalizing a loan modification with the special servicer.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 34% (prior to concentration
add-on) reflects a stressed cap rate of 10% to account for the
office property quality and suburban location and no additional
stress to the YE 2023 NOI. It also factors in a higher probability
of default to account for the transfer to special servicing,
deteriorated occupancy, and high submarket vacancy.
The largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating
action and the third largest contributor to overall pool loss
expectations in the CSAIL 2020-C19 is the ArciTerra Portfolio,
secured by 13 retail and one office property across multiple states
with 642,256 SF. The loan was transferred to special servicing in
October 2023 due to fraud charges against ArciTerra Companies LLC
and the loans sponsor, Jonathan Larmore. The SEC alleges that more
than $35 million from private real estate investment funds and
other investment vehicles that ArciTerra managed were
misappropriated since January 2017. All of the properties within
the portfolio have been appointed a receiver. The servicer-reported
NOI DSCR has declined to 1.27x as of TTM June 2024, compared with
2.04x at YE 2022 and 1.74x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13.4% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 9.5% cap rate and TTM June 2024 NOI.
Additionally, Fitch's loss expectation for the loan factors in an
adjustment to the probability of default as the loan was
transferred to special servicing as a result of the fraud charges
against the sponsor and not the portfolio's performance.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations in the
CSAIL 2021-C20 transaction is the 880 Technology Drive (2%) loan,
secured by a 85,833 SF office property located in Ann Arbor, MI.
The June 2024 occupancy was 67% compared to 50% in December 2022
and 90% in December 2021. The decline in occupancy was due to the
largest tenant Audatex North America (42% of NRA) vacating at the
December 2021 lease expiration. The NOI DSCR as of June 2024 was
1.15x compared to .88x at YE 2023, 1.42x at YE 2022, and 2.24x at
YE 2021.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 29% (prior to concentration
add-on) is based on a 10% cap rate and a 15% additional stress to
the annualized June 2024 NOI.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the November 2024
distribution date, the aggregate balances of the CSAIL 2020-C19 and
CSAIL 2021-C20 transactions have been reduced by 2.2% and 2.9%,
respectively, since issuance.
The CSAIL 2020-C19 transaction includes one loan (5.2% of the pool)
that has fully defeased and CSAIL 2021-C20 has two defeased loans
(3.3%). Cumulative interest shortfalls of $243,687 are affecting
the non-rated class NR-RR in CSAIL 2020-C19 and $55,818 is
affecting the non-rated class NR-RR in CSAIL 2021-C20.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible future downgrades stemming
from concerns with further declines in performance that could
result in higher expected losses on FLOCs. If expected losses do
increase, downgrades to these classes are likely.
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories,
especially those with Negative Outlooks, may occur should
performance of the FLOCs deteriorate further or if more loans than
expected default during the term and/or at or prior to maturity.
These FLOCs include Selig Office Portfolio, ArciTerra Portfolio and
APX Morristown in CSAIL 2020-C19; and 888 Figueroa and 880
Technology Drive in CSAIL 2020-C21.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf'
categories, particularly those with Negative Outlooks, could occur
with higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of
the aforementioned FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed rating of 'CCCsf' would occur as losses
become more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories are possible with
significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs, including Selig Office Portfolio, ArciTerra
Portfolio and APX Morristown in CSAIL 2020-C19; and 888 Figueroa
and 880 Technology Drive in CSAIL 2020-C21.
Upgrades of these classes to 'AAAsf' will also consider the
concentration of defeased loans in the transaction.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration and would only occur sustained improved performance
of the FLOCs. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to distressed rating is not expected but possible with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DT AUTO OWNER: DBRS Confirms 11 Ratings From 5 Transactions
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed 11 credit ratings and upgraded six credit
ratings from five DT Auto Owner Trust Transactions.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4iopp31
The Issuers are:
DT Auto Owner Trust 2021-1
DT Auto Owner Trust 2023-2
DT Auto Owner Trust 2022-3
DT Auto Owner Trust 2022-1
DT Auto Owner Trust 2021-3
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The credit rating actions are the result of collateral
performance to date and Morningstar DBRS' assessment of future
performance assumptions.
-- For DT Auto Owner Trust 2021-1 and DT Auto Owner Trust 2021-3,
losses are tracking below the Morningstar DBRS initial base-case
cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations. The current level of hard
credit enhancement (CE) and estimated excess spread are sufficient
to support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL assumptions
at a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- For DT Auto Owner Trust 2022-1, DT Auto Owner Trust 2022-3, and
DT Auto Owner Trust 2023-2, although losses are tracking above the
Morningstar DBRS initial base-case CNL expectations, the current
level of hard CE and estimated excess spread are sufficient to
support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL assumptions at
a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- The transaction's parties' capabilities regarding originating,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- The transaction's capital structures and form and sufficiency
of available credit enhancement.
-- The Transaction's assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS'
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary, " Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns September 2024 Update," published on September 25,
2024. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS' moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which
were first published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (August 06, 2024).
EFMT 2024-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to EFMT 2024-CES1.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
EFMT 2024-CES1
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The EFMT 2024-CES1 residential mortgage-backed certificates are
backed by 100% closed-end second-lien (CES) loans on residential
properties. This is the first transaction to be rated by Fitch that
includes 100% CES loans off the EFMT shelf.
The pool consists of 2,450 non-seasoned, performing, CES loans with
a current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $203.05
million. One hundred percent of the pool is originated and serviced
by PennyMac Loan Services (PennyMac).
Distributions of interest and principal are based on a sequential
structure, while losses are allocated reverse sequentially,
starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicer, PennyMac, will not be advancing delinquent monthly
payments of principal and interest (P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1, A-2, and
A-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date prior to the
distribution date in January 2029 will have an annual rate equal to
the lower of (i) the applicable fixed rate set forth for such class
of certificates and (ii) the net weighted average coupon (WAC) for
such distribution date. On and after January 2029 the pass-through
rate will be a per annum rate equal to the lesser of (i) the sum of
(a) the applicable fixed rate set forth in the table above for such
class of certificates and (b) the step-up rate (1.0%), and (ii) the
net WAC rate for the related distribution Date. The pass-through
rate on class M-1, B-1, and B-2 certificates with respect to any
distribution date and the related accrual period will be an annual
rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable fixed rate set forth
for such class of certificates and (ii) the net WAC for such
distribution date. The pass-through rate on class B-3 certificates
with respect to any distribution date and the related accrual
period will be an annual rate equal to the net WAC for such
distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.4% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since the
prior quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades,
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024, despite
modest regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
2,450 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments [PUDs]), townhouses and condominiums totaling $203.05
million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit
profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of five months, according to
Fitch, and four months, per the transaction documents. The pool has
a weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 744, as determined
by Fitch, indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. About
42.6% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an
original FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 67.8%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 76.7%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 18.8% and a
WA CLTV of 66.4%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 92.1% were originated by a
retail channel with the remaining 7.9% originated by a broker
channel. Based on Fitch's documentation review, it considers 94.8%
of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 100.0% of the loans are owner occupied. Single-family
homes, PUDs, townhouses and single-family attached dwellings
constitute 97.5% of the pool; condominiums make up 2.5%. The pool
consists of loans with the following loan purposes: cashout
refinances (99.95%) and rate-term refinances (0.05%), which is
consistent with other CES transactions.
None of the loans in the pool have a current balance that is over
$1.0 million.
Of the pool of loans, 17.9% are concentrated in California. The
largest MSA concentration is the Los Angeles MSA (5.4%), followed
by the Washington, D.C. MSA (5.3%) and the Atlanta MSA (4.2%). The
top three MSAs account for 18.4% of the pool. As a result, no
probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for geographic
concentration.
As a majority of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs,
Fitch's prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this
pool.
SecondLien Collateral (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool consists of CES loans originated by PennyMac . Fitch assumed
no recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second-lien loans, based
on the historical behavior of the loans in economic stress
scenarios. Fitch assumes second-lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first-lien loans. After controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed first, to the A-1 class, then sequentially to the
A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes. Interest is prioritized in
the principal waterfall and any unpaid interest amounts are paid
prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred, and then unpaid cap carryover
interest shortfalls.
A realized loss will occur if after giving effect to the allocation
of the principal remittance amount and monthly excess cashflow on
any distribution date, the aggregate the collateral balance is less
than the aggregate outstanding balance of the outstanding classes.
Realized losses will be allocated reverse sequentially, with the
losses being allocated first to class B-3.
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature/Best Execution (Positive): With respect
to any mortgage loan that becomes 180 days MBA delinquent, the
servicer will review, and may charge-off, the mortgage loan with
the approval of the controlling holder (based on an equity analysis
review performed by the servicer) if the review indicates no
significant recovery is likely in respect of such mortgage loan.
The servicer is conducting an equity analysis to determine the best
execution strategy for the liquidation of severely delinquent
loans. Fitch views this as positive, because the servicer and
controlling holder are acting in the best interest of the
certificate holders to limit losses on the transaction. If the
controlling holder decides to write off the losses at 180 days, it
compares favorably to a delayed liquidation scenario, whereby the
loss occurs later in the life of the transaction and less excess is
available. In its cash flow analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would
be written off at 180 days, as this is the most likely scenario in
a stressed case when there is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.4%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on three areas: compliance review,
credit review and valuation review. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis. Based on the results of the 100% due
diligence performed on the pool, Fitch reduced the overall 'AAAsf'
expected loss by 0.73%.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
Consolidated Analytics was engaged to perform the review. Loans
reviewed under this engagement were given compliance, credit and
valuation grades, and assigned initial grades for each subcategory.
Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence
reports. Refer to the Third-Party Due Diligence section for more
detail.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information based on the American Securitization Forum's
(ASF) data layout format, and the data are considered to be
comprehensive. The ASF data tape layout was established with input
from various industry participants, including rating agencies,
issuers, originators, investors and others to produce an industry
standard for the pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS
securitization market. The data contained in the ASF layout data
tape were reviewed by the due diligence companies, and no material
discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ELEVATION CLO 2014-2: Moody's Cuts Rating on $9MM F-R Notes to Ca
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Elevation CLO 2014-2, Ltd.:
US$30,000,000 Class D-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2029 (the Class "D-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on
June 13, 2024 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$9,000,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2029 (the Class "F-R Notes") (current outstanding balance of
$9,053,123.84), Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on June 12, 2023
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging of
the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since May 2024. The Class B-R
notes have been paid down by approximately 81.1% or $18.6 million
since May 2024. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC ratios for the
Class B-R, Class C-R, Class D-R and Class E-R notes are currently
2123.62%, 294.06%, 150.24% and 109.27%, respectively, versus May
2024 levels of 236.01%, 167.67%, 126.86% and 106.91%,
respectively.
The downgrade rating action on the Class F-R notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by credit deterioration
and par loss observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
Moody's calculation the OC ratio for the Class F-R notes is
currently 98.68% versus 100.71% in May 2024. Furthermore, the
Moody's calculated weighted average rating factor (WARF) and
weighted average spread (WAS) have been deteriorating and the
current levels are 2788 and 3.04%, respectively, compared to 2733
and 3.34%, respectively, in May 2024. Moody's also note that
according to the trustee's October 2024 report [1], the IC ratio
for the Class E-R Notes is reported at 102.97%, failing the trigger
of 105%.
No actions were taken on the Class B-R, Class C-R and Class E-R
notes because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $91,983,952
Defaulted par: $1,323,477
Diversity Score: 31
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2788
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.04%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.25%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.36 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 2%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
ELLINGTON CLO I: Moody's Cuts Rating on $43MM Cl. E-R Notes to Ca
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Ellington CLO I, Ltd.:
US$29,400,000 Class C-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2029 (the "Class C-R Notes") (current outstanding balance of
$18,460,614.59), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on June 22, 2023
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the ratings on the following notes:
US$43,000,000 Class E-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2029 (the "Class E-R Notes") (current outstanding balance of
$54,732,430.21), Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on June 22, 2023
Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
US$12,400,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2029 (the "Class F-R Notes") (current outstanding balance of
$16,227,689.09), Downgraded to C (sf); previously on June 22, 2023
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Ellington CLO I, Ltd., originally issued in June 2017, refinanced
fully in August 2018 and partially refinanced in March 2021, is a
managed cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a
portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in October 2021.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging of
the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratio since November 2024. The Class AR
and Class B2R notes have been paid off completely and Class C notes
have been paid down by approximately 37.2% or $10.9 million since
then. Based on the trustee's November 2024 report[1], the OC ratio
for the Class CR notes is reported at 383.35%, versus November 2023
level[2] of 155.22%.
The downgrade rating action on the Class ER and Class FR notes
reflects the specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss
and credit deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio.
Based on the trustee's November 2024 report[3], the OC ratio for
the Class ER notes is reported at 62.08% versus November 2023
level[4] of 93.52%. Furthermore, the trustee-reported weighted
average rating factor (WARF) has been deteriorating and the current
level is 6534 compared to 4954 in November 2023[5], and failing the
triggers of 4228.
No action was taken on the Class DR notes because its expected loss
remain commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $83,502,195
Defaulted par: $47,359,451
Diversity Score: 17
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 5662
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 4.33%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 0.50%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 44.11%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.4 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 22.05%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
ELMWOOD CLO 24: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on Cl. F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt and proposed
new class F-R debt from Elmwood CLO 24 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 24 LLC, a
CLO originally issued in December 2023 that is managed by Elmwood
Asset Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 2,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
S&P said, "On the Dec. 11, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds
from the replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt.
At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the original
debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if the
refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 17, 2030.
-- The non-call period will be extended to Dec. 11, 2026.
-- The replacement class B-R, C-R, and E-R debt is expected to be
issued at a lower spread over three-month CME term SOFR than the
original notes.
-- The original class A-1 and A-2 debt is being replaced by one
new class: A-R.
-- The original class D debt is being replaced by two new classes:
D-1R and D-2R.
-- The new class F-R debt is expected to be issued.
-- No new subordinated notes will be issued, and the stated
maturity of the original subordinated notes will be extended to
Jan. 17, 2038.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 24 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 24 LLC
Class A-R, $315.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $65.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2R (deferrable), $3.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $8.50 million: B- (sf)
Other Debt
Elmwood CLO 24 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 24 LLC
Subordinated notes, $42.00 million: Not rated
ELMWOOD CLO 35: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class F Debt
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Elmwood CLO 35
Ltd./Elmwood CLO 35 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 35 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 35 LLC
Class A, $315.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $65.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $48.00 million: Not rated
GENERATE CLO 9: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt and proposed
new class X-R debt from Generate CLO 9 Ltd./Generate CLO 9 LLC, a
CLO managed by Generate Advisors LLC that was originally issued in
November 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 4,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 10, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, and E-R debt is
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR
than the original notes.
-- The new end of the reinvestment period will be Jan. 20, 2030,
the end of the non-call period will be Jan. 20, 2027, and the
stated maturity will be Jan. 20, 2038.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 100.00%
have credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings,
private ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global
Ratings.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 95.82%
have recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Generate CLO 9 Ltd./Generate CLO 9 LLC
Class X-R, $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $283.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $58.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $27.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R (deferrable), $24.75 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R (deferrable), $5.63 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $14.63 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Generate CLO 9 Ltd./Generate CLO 9 LLC
Subordinated notes, $43.30 million: Not rated
GOLDENTREE LOAN 11: S&P Affirms 'B- (sf)' Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, E-R, and E-J-R replacement debt from GoldenTree Loan
Management US CLO 11 Ltd./GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 LLC,
a CLO originally issued in December 2021 that is managed by
GoldenTree Loan Management II L.P. At the same time, S&P withdrew
its ratings on the original class A, B, C, D, E, and E-J debt
following payment in full on the Dec. 3, 2024, refinancing date.
S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class X and F debt, which were
not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Dec. 3, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
a lower rating on the class F debt (which was not refinanced) than
the rating action on the debt reflects. However, we affirmed our
'B- (sf)' rating on the class F debt after considering the margin
of failure, the relatively stable overcollateralization ratio since
our last rating action on the transaction, and that the transaction
will soon enter its amortization phase. Based on the latter, we
expect the credit support available to all rated classes to
increase as principal is collected and the senior debt is paid
down. In addition, we believe the payment of principal or interest
on the class F debt when due does not depend on favorable business,
financial, or economic conditions. Therefore, this class does not
fit our definition of 'CCC' risk in accordance with our guidance
criteria."
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $403.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.08%
-- Class B-R, $91.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $39.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.80%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $39.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.80%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $16.25 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.90%
-- Class E-J-R (deferrable), $8.125 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.00%
-- Class Subordinated notes, $39.00 million: Not applicable
Original debt
-- Class X(i), $3.90 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.06%(i)
-- Class A, $403.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.39%(i)
-- Class B, $91.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.86%(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $39.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.21%(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $39.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.26%(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $16.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 5.61%(i)
-- Class E-J (deferrable), $8.125 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 8.01%(i)
-- Class F (deferrable), $12.025 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.76%(i)
-- Class Subordinated notes, $39.00 million: Not applicable
(i)Includes a credit spread adjustment of 0.26%.
S&P said, "As mentioned above, our review of this transaction
included a cash flow analysis, based on the portfolio and
transaction data in the trustee report, to estimate future
performance. In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults and the recoveries upon default under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also
considered the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or
ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 Ltd./
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 LLC
Class A-R, $403.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $91.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $39.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $39.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16.25 million: BB+ (sf)
Class E-J-R (deferrable), $8.125 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $39.00 million: NR
Ratings Withdrawn
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 Ltd./
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to NR from 'BB+ (sf)'
Class E-J (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 Ltd./
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 11 LLC
Class X: 'AAA (sf)'
Class F (deferrable): 'B- (sf)'
NR--Not rated.
GS MORTGAGE 2016-GS4: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Two Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 13 classes of GS Mortgage Securities
Trust 2016-GS3 (GSMS 2016-GS3). The Rating Outlooks remain Negative
for five affirmed classes.
Fitch has also affirmed 13 classes of GS Mortgage Securities Trust
2016-GS4 (GSMS 2016-GS4). The Outlooks were revised to Negative
from Stable for four affirmed classes. The Outlooks also remain
Negative for four affirmed classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2016-GS3
A-3 36251PAC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36251PAD6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36251PAE4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36251PAH7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36251PAJ3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36251PAL8 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 36251PAM6 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 36251PAR5 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
F 36251PAT1 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
PEZ 36251PAK0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-A 36251PAF1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36251PAG9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 36251PAP9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
GSMS 2016-GS4
A-3 36251XAQ0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36251XAR8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36251XAS6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36251XAV9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36251XAW7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36251XAY3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 36251XAA5 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
E 36251XAE7 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 36251XAG2 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
PEZ 36251XAX5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-A 36251XAT4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36251XAU1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 36251XAC1 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: The affirmations in both
transactions reflect generally stable pool performance since
Fitch's prior rating action. Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss is
4.9% in GSMS 2016-GS3 and 9.4% in GSMS 2016-GS4. The GSMS 2016-GS3
transaction has eight Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 35.6% of the
pool), with no loans currently in special servicing. The GSMS
2016-GS4 transaction has eight FLOCs (40.2%), including two loans
(7.7%) in special servicing.
The Negative Outlooks in GSMS 2016-GS3 incorporate an additional
sensitivity scenario on the Panorama Corporate Center office FLOC
(6.6%) that considers a heightened probability of default due to
upcoming lease rollover concerns. In addition, the Negative
Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades with further
performance deterioration and/or lack of stabilization on the
Hamilton Place retail FLOC (6.1%) and the Cool Spring Commons
office FLOC (4.1%). The pool also has an office concentration of
29.2%, whereby 10.1% of the pool are office FLOCs.
The Negative Outlooks in GSMS 2016-GS4 reflects possible future
downgrade with continued performance declines on the FLOCs,
particularly Simon Premium Outlets (7.3%) and Westchester Office
Portfolio 2500-2700 Series (3.2%), and/or lower recovery prospects
on the specially serviced loan, Westchester Office Portfolio 700
Series (6.8%). In addition, the Negative Outlooks incorporate an
additional sensitivity scenario on two retail FLOCs, Quad at
Whittier (9.3%) and Village Square (4.7%), that considers a
heightened probability of default due to increased property
vacancies following recent tenant lease rollover. The largest
tenant at Quad at Whittier, Burlington Stores (20.2% NRA), vacated
upon its lease expiration in September 2024. Two tenants at Village
Square, Burlington Coat Factory (18.2%) and Spirit Halloween
(11.9%), also vacated upon their respective lease expirations in
March 2024 and November 2023. The pool also has an office
concentration of 25.2%, whereby 10.9% of the pool are office
FLOCs.
Largest Loss Contributors: The largest contributor to overall loss
expectations in GSMS 2016-GS3 and the fourth largest contributor to
overall loss expectations in GSMS 2016-GS4 is the Hamilton Place
loan, which is secured by a super-regional mall located in
Chattanooga, TN. The loan transferred to special servicing in April
2020 for imminent monetary default at the borrower's request due to
the pandemic and was returned to the master servicer in May 2022.
Non-collateral anchors include Dillard's, Belk and JCPenney. The
larger collateral tenants include Barnes & Noble (7.6% collateral
NRA; through January 2029) and H&M (5.9%; January 2028). As of June
2024, overall mall occupancy was 97.3% and collateral occupancy was
94.1%, compared with 98.0% and 92.0%, respectively, in March 2023,
and 98.2% and 94.6% in March 2022. The June 2024 servicer-reported
NOI DSCR was 1.70x compared with 1.83x at YE 2023.
An updated tenant sales report was requested by Fitch, but not
provided. According to the latest sales figures provided, in-line
tenant sales were $465 psf in 2021, compared with $418 psf in 2019
and $406 psf in 2018.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 23% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 15% cap rate, 7.5% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and a higher probability of default to account for the declining
performance trends since issuance and anticipated refinance
concerns. The loan matures in June 2026.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2016-GS3 is the Cool Springs Common loan, which is secured by a
301,697-sf suburban office located in Brentwood, TN, approximately
15 miles south of the Nashville CBD. This loan is a FLOC due to
declining performance and elevated vacancy at the property.
According to the September 2024 rent roll, the property was 28.1%
occupied and has remained depressed since Community Health Systems
(66% of NRA) and Comprehensive Health Management (6%) vacated at
their lease expirations in 2021. The TTM June 2024
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.07x.
The previous largest tenant at the property, Community Health
Systems, built a 240,000-sf facility in Antioch, TN which was
completed in 2017. The borrower deposited $2.5 million into a
critical tenant reserve fund to avoid a cash trap requirement due
to a major tenant vacating. The balance of this reserve fund
remained at $2.5 million, as of November 2024. According to the
servicer, the borrower continues to market the property vacancies,
with recent positive leasing traction as discussions are ongoing
for a number of leases being negotiated with various tenants that
could potentially increase property occupancy to approximately
70%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 31% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based upon a 10% cap rate and 50% stress to the YE 2020
NOI to reflect Fitch's view of sustainable performance, and factors
a higher probability of default to account for the low DSCR and
anticipated refinance concerns. The loan matures in June 2026.
Another large FLOC in GSMS 2016-GS3 is Panorama Corporate Center,
which is secured by a 780,648-sf suburban office complex located in
Centennial, CO. The loan is interest only for the full loan term.
While property occupancy has remained at approximately 98% since
issuance, this full-term, interest-only loan is designated as a
FLOC due to upcoming rollover risk in 2025, prior to the loan's
February 2026 maturity.
Largest tenants include United Launch Alliance (59.2% NRA; through
February 2027), Comcast (combined, 48.1% NRA and consisting of
36.9% rolling in February 2029 and 11.3% in December 2025) and
Travelport (15.5% NRA; through November 2025). The expiring 2025
leases for Comcast and Travelport collectively represent
approximately 27% of the NRA.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 1.4% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 9% cap rate and a 10% stress to the YE 2023
NOI. Additionally, Fitch also ran an additional sensitivity
scenario which assumes a 100% probability of default to account for
the elevated refinance risk, where loan-level 'Bsf' sensitivity
case loss increases to 17.9% (prior to concentration add-ons).
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2016-GS4 is the specially serviced Westchester Office Portfolio 700
Series loan, which is secured by a portfolio of suburban office
properties consisting of five buildings totaling 671,330-sf located
in White Plains, NY. The loan transferred to special servicing in
May 2023 for imminent monetary default as the borrower was no
longer able to fund shortfalls. According to the servicer, the note
was marketed for sale with the borrower cooperating for a sale of
the property. A buyer has been selected, with contract negotiations
and loan restructuring discussions ongoing.
The portfolio has experienced declining occupancy and cash flow
since issuance. Portfolio occupancy was 49.7% as of the July 2024
rent roll, compared with 67% at YE 2022, 64.5% in March 2022, 67.2%
in March 2021 and 73.9% in December 2020 due to several tenants
vacating or downsizing at or ahead of their scheduled lease
expirations.
Major current in-place tenants include NY Life (4.9%; January 2025)
and Pentegra (4.4%; July 2027). According to the servicer, NY Life
will be vacating at lease expiration, dropping occupancy further to
below 45%. Recent tenant departures including Citrin Cooperman &
Company (5.1%) in October 2024 and UBS (4.4%) in August 2024.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 39% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a stressed value of approximately $49 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2016-GS4 is the Simon Premium Outlets loan, which is secured by two
cross collateralized and cross defaulted outlet centers totaling
436,987sf and located in Queenstown, MD (289,667 sf) and Pismo
Beach, CA (148,009 sf). Major tenants at the Pismo Beach Premium
Outlets include Polo Ralph Lauren (2.3% of total portfolio NRA
leased through January 2026), Nike Factory Store (1.7%; February
2025), and Skechers (1.5%; January 2029). Major tenants at the
Queenstown Premium Outlets include Nike Factory Store (3%; May
2027), Old Navy (3%; June 2026) and Polo Ralph Lauren (2.3%; July
2026).
Total portfolio occupancy was 79.0% as of June 2024, compared with
74.4% as of June 2023, 74.7% as of March 2022, 76.5% in March 2021,
80.7% in August 2020 and 87.9% in December 2019. The downward
trending occupancy has been attributed to several tenants vacating
at or prior to their lease expirations. Occupancy of the Pismo
Beach property was 92.4%, compared with 86.0%, 72.7%, 75.9%, 81.6%
and 87.9% over the same period; for the Queenstown property,
occupancy was 72.4%, compared with 68.5%, 75.6%, 76.9%, 80.3% and
86.1%.
According to the June 2024 rent roll, upcoming rollover at the
Pismo Beach property includes 6.7% in 2024 and 25.2% in 2025; for
the Queenstown property, it consists of 9.9% in 2024 and 14.6% in
2025. However, according to the servicer, a number of these tenants
with upcoming rollover through first half of 2025 have already
renewed their leases.
Fitch's 'Bsf' loss of 24.2% (prior to concentration adjustments)
utilized a 15% cap rate, 10% haircut to the YE 2023 NOI, and
factors an increased probability of default due to anticipated
refinance concerns. The loan matures in September 2026.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2016-GS4 is the Westchester Office Portfolio 2500-2700 Series loan,
which is secured by two suburban office properties totaling 291,265
sf located in Westchester, NY. This FLOC was flagged for declining
occupancy and DSCR. The servicer-reported YE 2023 NOI DSCR was
0.31x, compared with 0.77x at YE 2022, 0.61x at YE 2021, 1.09x at
YE 2020, and 1.61x at YE 2019.
Portfolio occupancy was 57.1% as of June 2024 rent roll, compared
with 59.0% at YE 2023, 63% at YE 2022, 61.2% in March 2022, 68.4%
in March 2021, 78.4% in March 2020 and 79.7% in December 2019.
Prior occupancy declines were attributable to the former largest
tenant, Westchester Medical Group (13.9% of NRA), vacating the
majority of its space (31,662 sf; 11% of NRA; 15% of total base
rent) at expiration in August 2020; the tenant continues to occupy
the remaining 8,529 sf (3% of NRA) through August 2025.
Additionally, four other tenants totaling 6.7% of the portfolio NRA
vacated at expiration in 2021, the largest of which was Ammann &
Whitney, Inc. (2.2%).
The largest in-place tenants include Quorum Federal Credit Union
(7.5%; December 2029), Wells Fargo Clearing Services, LLC (7.3%;
May 2027), and Wells Fargo Bank (6.0%; December 2031). Upcoming
lease rollover includes 8.8% of the NRA in 2024 and 8.4% in 2025.
Fitch's 'Bsf' loss of 50.4% (prior to concentration adjustments)
utilized a 10% cap rate, 10% haircut to the YE 2023 NOI, and
factors an increased probability of default due to anticipated
refinance concerns given the low DSCR and occupancy. The loan
matures in November 2026.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the November 2024
distribution date, the pool's aggregate balance for GSMS 2016-GS3
has been reduced by 15.7% to $946.5 million from $1.1 billion at
issuance. Seventeen loans (17.0% of pool) have been defeased.
As of the November 2024 distribution date, the pool's aggregate
balance for GSMS 2016-GS4 has been reduced by 39.4% to $751.8
million from $1.2 billion at issuance. Two loans (1.3%) have been
defeased.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due
to the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur;
- Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes, particularly those
with Negative Outlooks, are expected with continued performance
deterioration of the FLOCs, increased expected losses and limited
to no improvement in class CE, or if interest shortfalls occur;
- Downgrades to the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' rated categories could occur
should performance of the FLOCs, most notably from Hamilton Place,
Cool Springs Commons, The Falls (7.8%), and Panorama Corporate
Center in GSMS 2016-GS3 and Westchester Office Portfolio 700
Series, Simon Premium Outlets, Westchester Office Portfolio
2500-2700 Series, Quad at Whittier, and Village Square in GSMS
2016-GS4, deteriorate further or if more loans than expected
default at or prior to maturity;
- Downgrades for the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf' categories are
likely with higher than expected losses from continued
underperformance of the FLOCs, particularly the aforementioned
office and retail FLOCs with deteriorating performance and with
greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced loans or
other FLOCs.
- Downgrades to the 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' rated classes would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or
default, or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' rated categories may be possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or defeasance,
coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and
improved performance on the FLOCs. This includes Hamilton Place,
Cool Springs Commons, The Falls, and Panorama Corporate Center in
GSMS 2016-GS3 and Westchester Office Portfolio 700 Series, Simon
Premium Outlets, Westchester Office Portfolio 2500-2700 Series,
Quad at Whittier, and Village Square in GSMS 2016-GS4;
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' rated categories would be limited based
on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
- Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated categories are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better
than expected and there is sufficient CE to the classes;
- Upgrades to the distressed 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' rated classes are
not expected, but possible with better than expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ10: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 60 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ10, and sponsored by
Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company (GSMC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (86.9% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (13.1% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by MAXEX Clearing LLC (MAXEX; 4.8% by loan balance) and
PennyMac Corp. (PennyMac; 13.5% by balance), and originated and
serviced by multiple entities.
In addition, Moody's has corrected the display on its websites for
the following classes to reflect the correct CUSIPs:
Cl. A-X-25, CUSIP 36273ACB5; Cl. B-2, 36273ACF6; Cl B-X-1, CUSIP
36273ACQ2; Cl. B-2A, CUSIP 36273ACG4; Cl. B-X-2, CUSIP 36273ACH2;
Cl. B-3, CUSIP 36273ACJ8; Cl. B-4, CUSIP 36273ACK5; Cl. B-5, CUSIP
36273ACL3; Cl. B-6, CUSIP 36273ACM1 and Cl. A-R, CUSIP 36273ACN9.
Due to an internal administrative error these CUSIPs were not
previously linked to the correct classes.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ10
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-25, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-13*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-17*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-20*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-23*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
Moody's are withdrawing the provisional ratings for the Class A-1L
Loans, Class A-2L Loans, and Class A-3L Loans, assigned on November
19, 2024, because the issuer will not be issuing these classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.40%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.19% and reaches 5.57% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL7: Fitch Gives 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings rates the residential mortgage-backed certificates
issued by GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-RPL7 (GSMBS
2024-RPL7) as follows:
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
GSMBS 2024-RPL7
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating
A-3 LT AAsf New Rating
A-4 LT Asf New Rating
A-5 LT BBBsf New Rating
M-1 LT Asf New Rating
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating
B-4 LT NRsf New Rating
B-5 LT NRsf New Rating
B LT NRsf New Rating
X LT NRsf New Rating
PT LT NRsf New Rating
R LT NRsf New Rating
RETAINED LT NRsf New Rating
SA LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
The notes are supported by 1,770 seasoned reperforming loans with a
total balance of approximately $342 million as of the cutoff date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 12.0% above a long-term sustainable level versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since last quarter.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
RPL Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 1,770
seasoned performing and re-performing first lien loans. As of the
cutoff date, the pool was 95.8% current and 4.2% DQ. Approximately
57.2% of the loans were treated as having clean payment histories
for the past two years or more (clean current) or have been clean
since origination if seasoned less than two years. Additionally,
65% of loans have a prior modification. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile (689 FICO and 45% DTI) and moderate
leverage (63% sLTV).
Sequential-Pay Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash flow is
based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the subordinate
classes do not receive principal until the senior classes are
repaid in full. The credit enhancement consists of subordinated
notes, the distributions of which will be subordinated to P&I
payments due to senior noteholders. In addition, excess cash flow
resulting from the difference between the interest earned on the
mortgage collateral and that paid on the notes may be available to
pay down the bonds sequentially (after prioritizing fees to
transaction parties, Net WAC shortfalls and to the breach reserve
account).
No Servicer P&I Advances (Mixed): The servicer will not advance
delinquent monthly payments of P&I, which reduce liquidity to the
trust. P&I advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent
and eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust.
Due to the lack of P&I advancing, the loan-level loss severity (LS)
is less for this transaction than for those where the servicer is
obligated to advance P&I. Structural provisions and cash flow
priorities, together with increased subordination, provide for
timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' rated class.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.8% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by situsAMC. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a regulatory compliance review that covered
applicable federal, state and local high cost loan and/or
anti-predatory laws, as well as the Truth In Lending Act (TILA) and
Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The scope was
consistent with published Fitch criteria for due diligence on RPL
RMBS. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and, as a
result, Fitch made the following adjustments to its analysis:
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 located in states that fall
under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a 100% LS
over-ride;
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 but not located in states that
fall under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a
five-point LS increase;
- Unpaid taxes and lien amounts were added to the LS.
In total, these adjustments increased the 'AAAsf' loss by
approximately 125bps.
ESG Considerations
GSMBS 2024-RPL7 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to due to the adjustment for the Rep
& Warranty framework without other operational mitigants, which has
a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GSF 2021-1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of notes
issued by GSF 2021-1 (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A-1 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X Notes at A (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
continued performance of most of the underlying collateral, which
generally remains in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations since
the last credit rating action. The transaction benefits from a
relatively well distributed concentration of property types that
collateralize the underlying loans as well as the overall steady
financial performance of most of the remaining loans in the pool.
There are currently no loans on the servicer's watchlist or in
special servicing.
As of the October 2024 remittance, the pool consists of 22
performing loans secured by traditional commercial real estate
properties with a combined balance of $482.1 million. Since the
last credit rating action, one loan was repaid from the trust
through a property sale. The repayment contributed an overall
collateral reduction of approximately $14.5 million. At closing in
November 2021, the transaction featured a funding period whereby
the Issuer could contribute loans to the pool up to the expected
maximum balance of $500.0 million. The pool was originally intended
to be funded within the first year with an allowable six-month
extension option. Although the Issuer did not fund the pool within
the originally expected time frame, the 100% funding target was
reached with the July 2023 remittance when the trust reached a
balance of $496.6 million, representing 99.3% of the originally
planned $500 million pool balance. The transaction now pays
sequentially. The fully funded transaction is concentrated by
property type with office, multifamily, and industrial properties
representing 24.7%, 23.4%, and 19.8% of the current pool balance,
respectively.
Morningstar DBRS notes a continued elevated risk profile for the
Westview loan (Prospectus ID#12; 8.1% of the pool), which is
secured by a 100,182-square foot (sf) office building in Austin,
adjacent to the Texas State Capitol. As of the June 2024 reporting,
the subject was 51.6% occupied, a significant decline from 92.4% in
June 2023. The decline is attributable to the former largest
tenant, WeWork, which accounted for 46.3% of the net rentable area
(NRA), vacating its space in April 2024. The largest remaining
tenants include Cushing Terrell (15.0% of NRA, lease expiry in July
2026), Texas Association of Business (10.0% of NRA, lease expiry in
April 2031), and Wynden Stark LLC (7.0% of NRA, lease expiry in
April 2028) and only 1.0% of NRA with an upcoming lease expiration
in the next 12 months. According to a Q3 2024 Reis report, office
vacancy in the downtown Austin submarket was 30.4%, up from 24.5%
as of Q3 2023. The reported net cash flow for the trailing 12
months ended June 30, 2024, was $2.8 million; however, Morningstar
DBRS expects this figure will drop considerably when factoring in
the full departure of WeWork. As a result of the elevated credit
risk, Morningstar DBRS analyzed the loan with an elevated
probability of default for an expected loss that was approximately
three times greater than the pool average.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
INV 2024-IND MORTGAGE: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to Class HRR Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to six classes of
CMBS securities, issued by INV 2024-IND Mortgage Trust, Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-IND.
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. E, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. HRR, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a first lien mortgage on the
borrower's fee simple ownership or leased fee interests in 17
commercial properties located in Minnesota. Moody's ratings are
based on the credit quality of the loan and the strength of the
securitization structure.
Fifteen properties in the portfolio consist of industrial
facilities that collectively account for 89.0% of ALA and 88.1% of
base rent. Industrial subtypes represented vary, and include a mix
of warehouse (72.1% of ALA, 70.5% of base rent), bulk warehouse
(4.1%, 4.0%), and flex facilities (12.9%, 14.6%). The remaining two
properties consists of one office property (5.9% of ALA, 5.9% of
base rent) and one leased fee property (5.0% of ALA, 4.7% of base
rent). The office property is leased to Cargill Incorporated, which
uses the facility for research and development, and the leased fee
property is leased to Home Depot, which owns the improvements
consisting of a Home Depot retail location.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also consider a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessment of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's make various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also use an adjusted loan balance that reflects each
loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 1.03x and Moody's first
mortgage actual stressed DSCR is 0.79x. Moody's DSCR is based on
Moody's stabilized net cash flow.
The loan first mortgage balance of $210,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 110.7%. Moody's LTV ratio is based on Moody's
Value. The adjusted Moody's LTV ratio for the first mortgage
balance is 101.6% using a cap rate adjusted for the current
interest rate environment.
Moody's also grade properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The property's quality
grade is 1.00.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: the proximity to
global gateway and infill markets, infill locations, strong
occupancy with granular tenancy, multiple property pooling and
strong sponsorship.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: Shari'ah compliant
lease structure, OpCo-PropCo master lease loan structure, property
age, high Moody's LTV (MLTV) ratio, floating-rate interest-only
loan profile, non-sequential prepayment provision, and certain
credit negative legal features.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in July 2024.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
JP MORGAN 2012-C8: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to CCC
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded the credit ratings on two classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-C8
issued by J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust
2012-C8 as follows:
-- Class X-B to CCC (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class G to CCC (sf) from B (low) (sf)
Classes G and X-B have credit ratings that do not carry a trend in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating downgrades reflect the elevated risk of potential
loss to the trust given the further decline in the appraised value
reported for the office collateral that secures the remaining loan
in the pool, Ashford Office Complex (Prospectus ID#5), which is
likely to be further stressed by the elevated tenant rollover risk
during the next 12 months. In addition, Morningstar DBRS has
concerns over the increased propensity for interest shortfalls, as
the non-rated Class NR has accumulated $0.5 million of interest
shortfalls as of the October 2024 reporting, only collecting 5.0%
of its interest payments during the month.
The loan transferred to special servicing in August 2022 for
maturity default and has been deemed a nonperforming matured
balloon as of the August 2024 reporting. Per the servicer's most
recent update, the sale and loan assumption strategy that
Morningstar DBRS noted at last review is no longer active, and
there is now another buyer pursuing the sale at a lower price.
While the sale price has not been disclosed, Morningstar DBRS
considered a liquidation scenario for the loan to test the
recoverability of the remaining certificates, and applied a
conservative haircut to the most recent appraised value and
concluded that losses will erode the majority of the balance for
Class NR, leaving minimal cushion for Class G.
The Ashford Office Complex is secured by three eight-story Class B
office buildings totaling 570,000 square feet in the Energy
Corridor of Houston. The property has reported sustained decline in
performance since 2017 due to volatility in the oil and gas
industry, further exacerbated by the effects of the Coronavirus
Disease pandemic. As of the trailing three-month period ended March
31,2024, the property reported a negative cash flow, and was 56.6%
occupied, with an in-place rental rate that is well below the
asking rent of the submarket. In addition, the largest tenant, CH2M
HILL (14.5% of the net rentable area), which accounts for 41.2% of
the property's total base rent and subleases a portion of its
space, has a lease expiration at the end of November 2024.
An updated appraisal, dated September 2023, valued the property at
$32.5 million, nearly half the former value from November 2022 of
$59.7 million and significantly below the issuance value of $80.2
million. While the recent appraised value could be reduced by more
than half before a loss fully erodes the unrated Class NR, the
property is located the West/Kay Freeway submarket, which has
reported one of the highest vacancy rates in the U.S. for the last
several years, signaling the lack of investor appetite for office
properties in the area, as highlighted by the discussion on the
disposition of the asset above.
As a result, Morningstar DBRS anticipates a prolonged workout
period, which may result in increased property protection and other
expenses accruing over the workout period, increasing the
propensity for interest shortfalls. As such, Morningstar DBRS
factored in additional stress in deriving the liquidated value,
resulting in a loss severity of 76.0%, which erodes more than 95.0%
of the Class NR balance, supporting the rating actions.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-11: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 43 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2024-11, and sponsored by J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Acquisition Corp. (JPMMAC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (93.68% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (6.32% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMMAC, including loans aggregated by MAXEX Clearing
LLC (MAXEX; 9.03% by loan balance), and originated and serviced by
multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-11
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
After the provisional ratings were assigned on November 22, 2024.
The current loan amount of 4 loans from the pool have updated.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.42%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.19% and reaches 6.57% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-CCM1 (the
Certificates) to be issued by the J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust
2024-CCM1 (JPMMT 2024-CCM1):
-- $363.9 million Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $325.9 million Class A-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $325.9 million Class A-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $325.9 million Class A-3-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $244.4 million Class A-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $244.4 million Class A-4-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $244.4 million Class A-4-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $81.5 million Class A-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $81.5 million Class A-5-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $81.5 million Class A-5-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $195.5 million Class A-6 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $195.5 million Class A-6-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $195.5 million Class A-6-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $130.4 million Class A-7 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $130.4 million Class A-7-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $130.4 million Class A-7X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $48.9 million Class A-8 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $48.9 million Class A-8-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $48.9 million Class A-8-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $38.0 million Class A-9 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $38.0 million Class A-9-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $38.0 million Class A-9-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $363.9 million Class A-X-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $363.9 million Class A-X-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $363.9 million Class A-X-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $363.9 million Class A-X-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $363.9 million Class A-X-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $6.1 million Class B-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $6.5 million Class B-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $3.3 million Class B-3 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.5 million Class B-4 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $575.0 thousand Class B-5 at (P) B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
A-X-2, A-X-3, A-X-4, and A-X-5 are interest-only (IO) certificates.
The class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7,
A-7-A, A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-X-1, and A-X-5 are exchangeable
certificates. These classes can be exchanged for combinations of
depositable certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super-senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificates
(Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect to loss allocation.
The (P) AAA (sf) ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.10% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The (P)
AA (low) (sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB (low)
(sf), and (P) B (low) (sf) ratings reflect 3.50%, 1.80%, 0.95%,
0.55%, and 0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages to be funded by the issuance
of the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-CCM1 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 301 loans with a
total principal balance of $383,428,253 as of the Cut-Off Date
(November 1, 2024). This is the first transaction to be issued
under the JPMMT CCM shelf.
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average (WA)
loan age of two months. Approximately 85.2% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
14.8% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section of the related report. In addition, all of the
loans in the pool were originated in accordance with the new
general qualified mortgage (QM) rule.
CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC is the originator for all of the loans
in pool. Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing will act as the Interim
Servicer. As of the Servicing Transfer Date (March 1, 2025), all of
the loans will be serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
For this transaction, the servicing fee payable for mortgage loans
is composed of three separate components: the base servicing fee,
the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional servicing fee.
These fees vary based on the delinquency status of the related loan
and will be paid from interest collections before distribution to
the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as the Master Servicer. Citibank,
N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will
act as Securities Administrator and Delaware Trustee. Computershare
Trust Company, N.A. will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance
LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties Reviewer.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 32 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2024-CCM1 ("JPMMT 2024-CCM1"), and sponsored by J.P.
Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corporation (JPMMAC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (84.9% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (15.1% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMMAC originated by CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC and
serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMCB).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-CCM1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.29%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.11% and reaches 4.72% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2024-CES2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Trust 2024-CES2 (JPMMT 2024-CES2).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMMT 2024-CES2
A-1-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1-B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A-3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
PT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates backed by 100% closed-end second lien (CES) loans on
residential properties to be issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust
2024-CES2 (JPMMT 2024-CES2) as indicated above. This is the second
transaction to be rated by Fitch that includes 100% CES loans off
the JPMMT shelf.
The pool consists of 5,024 non-seasoned, performing, CES loans with
a current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $419.66
million. The main originators in the transaction are Newrez LLC
(Newrez), PennyMac Loan Services (PennyMac) and Amerisave Mortgage
Corporation (Amerisave). All other originators make up less than
15% of the pool. The loans are serviced by Newrez and PennyMac.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) are based on a
sequential structure, while losses are allocated reverse
sequentially, starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicers, Newrez and PennyMac, will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I.
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1A, A-1B,
A-2, A-3 and M-1 certificates with respect to any distribution date
prior to the distribution date (and the related accrual period)
will have an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net weighted average coupon (WAC) for such distribution date.
The pass-through rate on class B-1 and B-2 certificates with
respect to any distribution date and the related accrual period
will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net WAC for such distribution date. The pass-through rate on class
B-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date and the
related accrual period will be an annual rate equal to the net WAC
for such distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.4% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since the
prior quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades,
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024, despite
modest regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
5,024 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments), condominiums, a townhouse and a site condo, totaling
$419.66 million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong
credit profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of nine months, according to
Fitch, and six months, per the transaction documents. The pool has
a weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 739, as determined
by Fitch, indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. About
39.7% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an
original FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 65.9%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV) of 73.5%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 18.4% and a
WA CLTV of 64.1%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 80.4% were originated by a
retail channel or correspondent channel with the remaining 19.6%
originated by a broker channel. Based on Fitch's documentation
review, it considers 79.7% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 96.4% of the loans are of a primary or secondary
residence, and the remaining 3.6% are investor loans. Single-family
homes, planned unit developments (PUDs), townhouses and
single-family attached dwellings constitute 95.2% of the pool;
condominiums make up 3.7%, while multifamily homes make up 1.1%.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes,
according to Fitch: cashout refinances (99.4%), rate-term
refinances (0.3%) and purchases (0.3%). The transaction documents
also show 99.4% of the pool to be cashouts.
None of the loans in the pool are over $1.0 million.
Of the pool loans, 24.2% are concentrated in California. The
largest MSA concentration is Los Angeles MSA (10.9%), followed by
the New York MSA (4.8%) and the Atlanta MSA (4.3%). The top three
MSAs account for 20% of the pool. As a result, no probability of
default (PD) penalty was applied for geographic concentration.
As a majority of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs,
Fitch's prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this
pool.
Second Lien Collateral (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool consists of CES loans originated by Newrez, PennyMac,
Amerisave and other originators. Fitch assumed no recovery and 100%
loss severity (LS) on second lien loans, based on the historical
behavior of the loans in economic stress scenarios. Fitch assumes
second lien loans default at a rate comparable to first lien loans.
After controlling for credit attributes, no additional penalty was
applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed first, pro rata, to the A-1A and A-1B classes, then
sequentially to the A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes.
Interest is prioritized in the principal waterfall and any unpaid
interest amounts are paid prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred, and then unpaid interest
shortfalls.
A realized loss will occur if the collateral balance is less than
the unpaid balance of the outstanding classes. Realized losses will
be allocated reverse sequentially with the losses being allocated
first to class B-3. Once the A-2 class is written off, principal
will be allocated first to class A-1B, and then to class A-1A.
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature/Best Execution (Positive): For any
mortgage loan 180 or more days delinquent (DQ; or earlier, in
accordance with the related servicer's servicing practices, other
than due to such mortgage loan being or becoming subject to a
forbearance plan), the related servicer will perform an equity
analysis review and may charge off such mortgage loan (each such
mortgage loan, a "charged-off loan") with the approval of the
controlling holder if such review indicates no significant recovery
is likely in respect of such mortgage loan.
If the controlling holder does not approve such chargeoff, then the
related servicer will continue monitoring the lien status of such
mortgage loan, in which case, the related servicer will provide the
controlling holder with prompt written notice if such servicer
obtains actual knowledge that the associated first lien mortgage
loan is subject to payoff, foreclosure, short sale or similar
event.
Fitch views the fact that the servicer is conducting an equity
analysis to determine the best execution strategy for the
liquidation of severely DQ loans to be a positive, as the servicer
and controlling holder are acting in the best interest of the
noteholders to limit losses on the transaction. If the controlling
holder decides to write off the losses at 180 days, it compares
favorably to a delayed liquidation scenario, whereby the loss
occurs later in the life of the transaction and less excess is
available. In its cash flow analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would
be written off at 180 days, as this is the most likely scenario in
a stressed case when there is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Per Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria," originators over 15% are
to have an assessment by Fitch. Amerisave represents 15.7% of the
loans in the pool and Fitch did not conduct an assessment. Fitch
did receive a presentation from Amerisave describing its management
structure and details about its operations, which Fitch would
typically obtain during an operation risk review. Fitch also
confirmed that the loans were underwritten to fit into JPMMT's
credit box.
Fitch was comfortable having 15.7% of the pool originated by
Amerisave due to the information provided by the firm, as the loans
fit into JPMMT's credit box, the percentage of loans contributed is
just over 15% and JPMMT is an 'Above Average' aggregator that
conducts its own operational risk reviews of the originators that
they purchase loans from. There was no impact to the losses due to
this variation, since an 'Acceptable' originator receives the same
treatment as an unreviewed originator with an 'Above Average'
aggregator.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Consolidated Analytics, and Clayton. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on three
areas: compliance review, credit review, and data integrity.
Additionally, 33.5% loans had a due diligence review performed on
valuations that was performed by Clayton. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.90% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 100% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC, Consolidated Analytics, and Clayton were engaged to
perform the reviews. Loans under this engagement were given
compliance and credit reviews and assigned initial and final grades
for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in
the due diligence reports. Refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence"
section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies and the auditor (Deloitte), and no material discrepancies
were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
JPMBB 2015-C33: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Certificates
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four and affirmed four classes of
JPMBB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2015-C32 (JPMBB
2015-C32) commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Classes
A-S, B, X-A and X-B were assigned Negative Rating Outlooks
following their downgrades. The Outlook for class A-5 was revised
to Negative from Stable.
Fitch has also affirmed 14 classes of JPMBB Commercial Mortgage
Securities Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates
series 2015-C33 (JPMBB 2015-C33). The Outlook for classes C, D-1,
D-2, D, and X-D were revised to Negative from Stable. The Outlook
on classes E and F remains Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMBB 2015-C33
A-3 46645JAC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 46645JAD4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 46645JAF9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 46645JAE2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 46645JAG7 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 46645JAH5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 46645JAS1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
D-1 46645JBG6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D-2 46645JBJ0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 46645JAU6 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
F 46645JAW2 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 46645JAJ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 46645JAL6 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
X-D 46645JAQ5 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
JPMBB 2015-C32
A-3 46590JAU1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 46590JAV9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 46590JAW7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 46590JBA4 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
A-SB 46590JAX5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 46590JBB2 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
X-A 46590JAY3 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
X-B 46590JAZ0 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses have increased since Fitch's prior rating action to 27.5%
for JPMBB 2015-C32 and 4.7% in JPMBB 2015-C33. The JPMBB 2015-C32
transaction includes 13 Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 50.5% of the
pool), five of which are specially serviced (31.1%). The JPMBB
2015-C33 transaction has four FLOCs (27.1%), including one
specially serviced loan (1.4%).
Due to the near-term loan maturities and increasing pool
concentrations, Fitch performed a look-through analysis including
the likelihood of repayment to determine expected loan recoveries
and losses. Higher probabilities of default were assigned to loans
anticipated to default at maturity due to performance declines
and/or rollover concerns.
JPMBB 2015-C32: The downgrades on classes A-S, B, X-A and X-B
reflect increased pool loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating
action, driven primarily by the specially serviced loans and FLOCs
particularly, the Civic Opera Building Springs (9.6%), Gateway
Business Park (6.6%), One Shell Square (4.3%) and Palmer House
Retail Shops (8.1%) loans. Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case losses were
21.9% at the prior rating action. The Negative Outlooks in JPMBB
2015-C32 reflect possible further downgrades if there is continued
degradation of value and a prolonged workout for the specially
serviced loans, as well as refinance concerns for the FLOCs in the
pool.
JPMBB 2015-C33: The affirmations in JPMBB 2015-C33 reflect
generally stable performance since Fitch's prior rating action. The
Negative Outlooks in JPMBB 2015-C33 reflect the potential for
downgrades should loans fail to refinance at maturity, particularly
the 32 Avenue of the Americas loan (FLOC; 20.7%), as well as with
continued performance deterioration of the other FLOCs, DoubleTree
Anaheim - Orange County (4.2%), Fort Wayne Retail Portfolio (1.4%)
and 1106 Euclid Apartments (0.8%).
Largest Increase in Loss: The largest increase in loss in JPMBB
2015-C32 since the last rating action is the Civic Opera Building
(9.6%) loan, which is secured by a 915,162-sf office property
located in downtown Chicago, IL. The property's major tenants
include; Teamworking COB LLC (5.2% of the NRA, leased through April
2028), TechNexus Facilities (5.2%, December 2026) and Natural
Resources Defense Council (2.8%, March 2038).
According to media reports, Teamworking COB LLC recently expanded
its space in the property to approximately 10.0% of NRA. The loan
transferred to special servicing in July 2020 for imminent monetary
default as a result of the impacts of the coronavirus pandemic. The
special servicer has initiated the foreclosure process, and a
receiver is currently managing the property.
The property was 50.4% occupied as of YE 2023 and the NOI DSCR was
0.38x for the same period. Near term lease rollover includes 6.4%
of NRA in 2025 across 14 leases, and 7.2% in 2026 across nine
leases. The loan reported $641,091 or $0.7 psf in total reserves as
of the October 2024 loan level reserve report. Per CoStar, the
property lies within the West Loop office submarket of the Chicago,
IL market. As of 3Q24, submarket asking rents averaged $30.54 psf
and the submarket vacancy rate was 20.7%. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case
loss of 70.3% (prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a
discount to the most recent appraisal and reflects a stressed value
of $83.40 psf.
The second largest increase in loss in JPMBB 2015-C32 is the
Gateway Business Park (6.6%) loan, which is secured by a 514,047-sf
suburban office building located in Mount Laurel, NJ. The borrower
has not provided the servicer with financial statements and rent
rolls since YE 2022. Per CoStar, the property lies within the North
Burlington County office submarket of the Philadelphia, PA market.
As of 3Q24, submarket asking rents averaged $32.82 psf and the
submarket vacancy rate was 9.6%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 23.5% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 10.0% cap rate and 25.0% stress to the YE
2022 NOI, and factors in an increased probability of default due to
the limited financial reporting and refinance concerns. The loan
matures in September 2025.
Fitch is also monitoring the performance of the One Shell Square
(4.3%) loan, which is secured by a 1.2 million-sf office building
located in New Orleans, LA. The property's major tenants include,
Shell Oil Company (24.5% of the NRA, leased through December 2026),
Hancock Whitney Bank (17.4%, December 2037) and Adams & Reese
(6.9%, November 2024). The property was 80.1% occupied as of the
trailing-six-months ended June 2024 and the servicer-reported NOI
DSCR was 1.74x for the same period. According to media reports,
Shell Oil Company is expected to vacate the property and relocate
to a new 142,000-sf office tower located in the River District.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 25.6% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 10.0% cap rate and 30.0% stress to the
annualized trailing-six-months ended June 2024 NOI, and factors in
an increased probability of default due to lease rollover and
refinance concerns. The loan matures in July 2025.
The largest increase in loss in JPMBB 2015-C33 since the last
rating action is the 32 Avenue of the Americas (20.7%) loan, which
is secured by a 1.2 million-sf office property/data center in New
York, NY. Property occupancy has declined to 57.3% as of Q1 2024
from 60.5% at YE 2023, and remains lower than 70% at YE 2022 and
89% at YE 2020. Due to the occupancy declines, NOI DSCR remains
slightly above a 1.00x coverage for the Q1 2024 and YE 2023
reporting periods.
Per updates from the servicer, Dentsu (5.9% of the NRA) has been
gradually vacating their space ahead of their August 2025 lease
expiration. Cedar Cares (5.7% of the NRA) and Industrious (4.9% of
the NRA), which have previously shown interest in expanding at the
subject property, have also since retracted their plans. In
addition to the decline in occupancy, operating expenses have
increased at the property. Compared to issuance levels, real estate
taxes have risen 41.8% and general and administrative expenses have
increased 170%, contributing to a 28.3% increase in total operating
expenses. Overall, YE 2023 NOI has declined 39.7% yoy and remains
42.7% below the originator's underwritten NOI at issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13.1% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 9.0% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI and
factors an increased probability of default due to refinance
concerns. The loan matures in November 2025.
The second largest increase in loss in JPMBB 2015-C33 is the
DoubleTree Anaheim - Orange County (4.2%) loan, which is secured by
a 461-key, full-service hotel located in downtown Anaheim, CA. The
property was 66% occupied as of YE 2023 and the NOI DSCR was 1.49x
for the same period. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 2.5% (prior
to a concentration adjustment) is based on an 11.25% cap rate to
the YE 2023 NOI.
Increase in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the November 2024
distribution date, the aggregate pool balances of the JPMBB
2015-C32 and JPMBB 2015-C33 transactions have been reduced by 38.3%
and 21.4%, respectively, since issuance. The JPMBB 2015-C32
transaction includes six loans (5.7% of the pool) that has been
fully defeased. 13 loans (19.5%) are fully defeased in JPMBB
2015-C33.
Principal loss and Interest Shortfalls: To date, the JPMBB 2015-C32
transaction has incurred $13.7 million in realized principal losses
which has been absorbed by the NR class. The JPMBB 2015-C33
transaction has not incurred any realized principal losses.
Interest shortfalls totaling $21.7 million are impacting the
non-rated classes C, D, E, F, G and NR in the JPMBB 2015-C32
transaction, and interest shortfalls totaling $169,850 are
impacting the non-rated class NR in the JPMBB 2015-C33
transaction.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated class A-5 with Negative
Outlook in JPMBB 2015-C32 may occur if deal-level losses increase
significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur. Downgrades to the
senior 'AAAsf' rated classes in JPMBB 2015-C33 are not expected in
due to the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes are possible with
continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs, increased
expected losses and limited to no improvement in class CE, or if
interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration or default at or before
maturity, particularly for the 32 Avenue of the Americas loan in
JPMBB 2015-C33.
Downgrades to the 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' categories are possible with
higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs, in particular office loans with deteriorating performance or
with greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced loans or
other FLOCs.
Downgrades to classes with distressed ratings would occur if
additional loans transfer to special servicing or default, as
losses are realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible in JPMBB 2015-C33 with significantly increased CE from
paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved
pool-level loss expectations and improved performance on the
FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
were the likelihood of interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely until
the later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better than
expected and there is sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected but would be
possible with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced
loans or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
KKR CLO 53: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $200,000 Class F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
and one class of loans incurred by KKR CLO 53 Ltd. (the Issuer or
KKR 53):
US$120,000,000 Class A-1L Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$128,000,000 Class A-1L Loans maturing 2038, Definitive Rating
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$200,000 Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes and loans listed are referred to herein, collectively, as
the Rated Debt.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
KKR 53 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued debt will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must consist of
senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of the portfolio may consist of
second lien loans, unsecured loans and permitted-non-loan assets.
The portfolio is approximately 100% ramped as of the closing date.
KKR Financial Advisors II, LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Debt, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the debt in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3209
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 3.65%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Debt is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Debt is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Debt.
KRR CLO 53: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to KKR CLO
53 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
KKR CLO 53, Ltd.
A-1L LT NRsf New Rating
A-1L Loan LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C LT A+sf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
KKR CLO 53 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by KKR
Financial Advisors II, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.02% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.44%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for KKR CLO 53 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
MADISON PARK LXVIII: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Madison Park Funding LXVIII, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Madison Park Funding
LXVIII, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding LXVIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.95% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.88%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding LXVIII, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
MAGNETITE XLVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Magnetite
XLVII, Limited.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Magnetite XLVII,
Limited
A LT NRsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Magnetite XLVII, Limited (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
BlackRock Financial Management, Inc. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $700 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.05% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 75.16%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information. Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to
above, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the
rating agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Magnetite XLVII,
Limited.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MAGNETITE XXXIX: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-2-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, E-1-R, and E-2-R replacement debt from
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC, a CLO originally issued
in October 2023 that is managed by BlackRock Financial Management
Inc.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 5,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 13, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to December 2025.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to January 2028.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to January 2037.
-- The target initial par amount will remain at $400.00 million.
There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is January 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes will be issued on the
refinancing date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC
Class A-R, $260.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-1-R (deferrable), $13.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class E-2-R (deferrable), $1.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC
Subordinated notes, $37.70 million: Not rated
MARBLE POINT XI: Moody's Ups Rating on $31.25MM D Notes from Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Marble Point CLO XI Ltd.:
US$30,000,000 Class C Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2030 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on
December 18, 2017 Assigned A2 (sf)
US$31,250,000 Class D Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2030 (the "Class D Notes"), Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on
August 14, 2020 Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Marble Point CLO XI Ltd., issued in December 2017, is a managed
cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in January 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since February 2024. The Class A
notes have been paid down by approximately 63.25% or $148.4 million
since then. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC ratios for the
Class C and Class D notes are currently 138.89% and 117.05%,
respectively versus January 2024 levels of 122.32% and 111.31%,
respectively.
No actions were taken on the Class A, Class B and Class E notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $230,218,032
Defaulted par: $4,832,770
Diversity Score: 40
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2985
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.28%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.54%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.4 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MARBLE POINT XII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $24.2MM Cl. E Notes to B1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Marble Point CLO XII Ltd.:
US$52,400,000 Class B Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2031 (the
"Class B Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on May 22, 2018
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$25,900,000 Class C Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May
22, 2018 Assigned A2 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$24,200,000 Class E Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class E Notes"), Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on
August 31, 2020 Confirmed at Ba3 (sf)
Marble Point CLO XII Ltd. issued in May 2018, is a managed cashflow
CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in July 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since October 2023. The Class A
notes have been paid down by approximately 50.31% or $163.8 million
since then. Based on the trustee's October 2024 report[1], the OC
ratios for the Class A/B and Class C notes are reported at 135.81%
and 123.81% respectively, versus October 2023 levels[2] of 126.58%
and 118.45%, respectively. Moody's note that the October 2024
trustee-reported OC ratios do not reflect the October 2024 payment
distribution, when $53.5 million of principal proceeds were used to
pay down the Class A Notes.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by credit deterioration
observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on the trustee's
October 2024 report[3], the weighted average rating factor (WARF)
is reported a 3317 versus the October 2023 level[4] of 3102.
Additionally, Moody's note that the October 2024 trustee-reported
WARF, Diversity and WAL tests are currently failing.
No actions were taken on the Class A and Class D notes because
their expected losses remain commensurate with their current
ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio
information, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $307,878,957
Defaulted par: $4,753,631
Diversity Score: 51
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3006
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.38%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.49%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.7 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MCAP CMBS 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class G Certs
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed all credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-1 issued by MCAP
CMBS Issuer Corporation, Series 2014-1 (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class F at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (sf)
All trends remain Stable.
Since Morningstar DBRS' last credit action, the former largest loan
in the pool, 3571-3609 Sheppard Ave East (Prospectus ID#11;
formerly 50.7% of the pool), was fully paid off from the trust. As
of the November 2024 reporting, only two loans remain in the pool.
Both loans are current, with no updated appraisals reported since
issuance, and have been granted short-term maturity extensions
through December 2024 to secure take-out financing. To test the
recoverability of the remaining certificates, Morningstar DBRS
considered liquidation scenarios for both loans based on
conservative haircuts to the issuance appraisal values and
concluded that any losses are likely to be contained in the
nonrated Class H certificate. Overall, Morningstar DBRS determined
that the underlying assets would have to sustain significant
declines in performance and/or reductions to the issuance appraised
values of more than 60.0% in aggregate for the credit rated bonds
to be at risk of default.
The two remaining loans are the 175 Rue de Rotterdam (Prospectus
ID#15; 80.4% of the pool), secured by an office/industrial
property, and the 5498 Boulevard Henri-Bourassa loan (Prospectus
ID#32; 19.6% of the pool), secured by an unanchored retail
property, located in Saint Augustine de Desmaures and Montréal,
respectively, in Québec. Both loans have full recourse and are
fully occupied by single tenants on long-term leases, with no
near-term termination options, benefiting from historically stable
performances since issuance. Annual improvements in cash flow have
primarily been driven by scheduled rent steps. Based on the YE2023
financials, the 175 Rue de Rotterdam and 5498 Boulevard
Henri-Bourassa properties reported debt service coverage ratios and
debt yields of 1.85 times (x) and 16.8%, and 1.22x and 11.0%,
respectively. As such, Morningstar DBRS believes that these loans
are well-positioned for refinance, supporting the credit rating
action.
Notes: All figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
MCR TRUST 2024-HF1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to six classes of
CMBS securities, issued by MCR Trust 2024-HF1, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-HF1:
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. E, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. F, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are backed by a first lien commercial mortgage
loan collateralized by the Borrowers' fee simple interests in a
portfolio of 22 hotels. Moody's ratings are based on the credit
quality of the loan and the strength of the securitization
structure.
The Portfolio is comprised of 22 select-service and extended-stay
hotel properties located across 14 states. The largest hotel
represents 9.1% of the ALA. The largest state concentration is
Illinois, representing 14.8% of the ALA and 16.1% of the TTM NCF
(Four properties totaling 433 guestrooms).
The Portfolio offers a total of 2,855 guestrooms. In terms of hotel
mix, there are 15 select-service / limited service hotels totaling
2,123 keys (74.4% of ALA) and 7 extended-stay hotels totaling 732
keys (25.6% of ALA). All hotels operate under a global hotel
franchise and benefit from the respective brand's reservation
systems and national marketing efforts. Of the 22 hotels, 16 (74.5%
of ALA) operate subject to franchise agreements with Hilton World
Wide Holdings ("Hilton") franchise and are primarily flagged as
Hilton Garden Inn, Homewood Suites, Hampton Inn, and Hampton Inn &
Suites. Six hotels (25.5% of ALA) operate under the Marriott
International Inc. ("Marriott") franchise and are primarily flagged
as Springhill Suites, Residence Inn, Courtyard and TownePlace.
The Portfolio's physical improvements were built at various points
between 1991 and 2018, and exhibit a weighted average age of
approximately 20 years. There are $660,585 in immediate repairs
that were recorded in accordance with property condition reports.
The sponsor has set aside $2,103,400 in PIP reserves to address
this concern and has also previously demonstrated a willingness to
invest across the portfolio since acquisition, spending
approximately $65.6 million ($22,964 per key) between 2017 and
March 2024.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also consider a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessment of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this
transaction, Moody's make various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's
adjust the MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects
capitalization (cap) rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap
rates and market cap rates. Moody's also use an adjusted loan
balance that reflects each loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 1.08x, compared with
1.10x at Moody's provisional ratings due to an interest rate
increase. Moody's first mortgage actual stressed DSCR is 0.96x.
Moody's DSCR is based on Moody's stabilized net cash flow.
The loan first mortgage balance of $300,000,000 represents a
Moody's Ratings LTV of 126.7%. Moody's Ratings LTV ratio is based
on Moody's Ratings value. Moody's did not adjust Moody's Ratings
value to reflect the current interest rate environment as part of
Moody's analysis for this transaction.
Moody's also grade properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and consider those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The pool's weighted
average property quality grade is 2.25.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: (i) margin growth,
(ii) RevPAR penetration, (iii) portfolio diversity, (iv) multiple
property pooling, (v) brand affiliations, and (vi) experienced
sponsorship
Notable concerns of the transaction include: (i) slow post-pandemic
recovery, (ii) portfolio age and condition, (iv) property type
volatility, (v) high MTV, (vi) floating rate, interest only loan
profile and (vii) credit negative legal features.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in July 2024.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
MELLO MORTGAGE 2021-INV2: Moody's Ups Rating on B-4 Certs to Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of five bonds from one US
residential mortgage-backed transaction (RMBS), backed by GSE
eligible first-lien investment property mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: MELLO MORTGAGE CAPITAL ACCEPTANCE 2021-INV2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pool. The
transaction continues to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative loss for the transaction and a small number of
loans in delinquencies. In addition, enhancement levels for the
tranches have grown significantly, as the pool amortize relatively
quickly. The credit enhancement for each tranche upgraded has grown
by, an average, 16% since closing.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
MILL CITY 2024-RS2: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class A-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings to Mill City Securities 2024-RS2
Ltd (MCMLT 2024-RS2).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
MCMLT 2024-RS2
A-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
A-2 LT BB+sf New Rating
M-1 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a re-securitization of 37 underlying subordinate
bonds and one senior AIOS strip from 29 transactions. This is the
third Re-REMIC issued by Mill City Holdings (second this year) of a
similar structure to Mill City 2024-RS1 which was rated by Fitch at
issuance in September 2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Re-REMIC Structure (Positive):
MCMLT 2024-RS2 is a re-securitization of 38 RPL, SPL, and
non-qualified mortgage (NQM) REMIC tranches with a contributing
balance totaling approximately $266.41M. The class A notes benefit
from hard credit enhancement in the form of an
overcollateralization amount equal to the class M balance ($75.5
million). The A-1 Bond totals $169.8 million (36.25% Credit
Enhancement [CE]); while the A-2 totals $21.0 million (28.35% CE).
The Re-REMIC uses a supportive structure where all interest and
principal collections from the underlying bonds, the available
funds, are distributed sequentially. Available funds will first pay
fees, then interest or shortfalls on the class A notes, and then
pay principal sequentially. To the extent that there is excess cash
flow available at the Re-REMIC level, it is distributed to the most
senior bond then outstanding until reduced to zero. Given the
spread between the Re-REMIC coupons and underlying bond coupons
excess interest is expected to be available in both a stress and
base case environment.
This structure is highly supportive of the rated A-1 and A-2 notes
and will turbo down the bonds faster. In Fitch's cash flow
analysis, a scenario with higher prepays, midloaded losses and
declining interest rates was the most strenuous; otherwise, the
credit enhancement levels on the notes have significant
subordination cushion.
The deal is structured to a subordinated step-up coupon on the A-1
and A-2 classes. As the step-up is paid at the bottom of the
waterfall and there are adequate disclosures in the offering docs
and not included as an event of default (EoD), Fitch did not look
for these amounts to be repaid which is consistent with its
approach in its "Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria." As a
result, Fitch's rating opinion only addresses the ultimate receipt
of all accrued interest, available funds shortfalls and principal
payments to which the class A noteholders are entitled and does not
address the subordinated step-up interest amounts.
Noteholder Liquidation Event gives A-1 and A-2 noteholders
optionality and voting rights. The class A-1 noteholder is either
fully protected against losses or requires 100% consent, consistent
with investment-grade ratings. The class A-2 noteholders have
rights to consent the liquation, but there is a risk that the class
A-2 could be subject to losses if the class A-1 noteholders
consent. Fitch views this risk to be commensurate with
speculative-grade ratings.
Strong Performance to Date (Positive):
The underlying bonds are predominantly from seasoned and
re-performing New Residential Mortgage (53.8%) and Mill City
Transactions (22.2%). The remaining classes (24.0%) belong to other
NQM transactions from various issuers. Of the total underlying
contributing balance, $67,803,572.67 or 35.5% is rated by Fitch.
Three transactions, NRZT 2019-RPL3, MCMLT 2023-NQM2, and MCMLT
2023-NQM1 make up 43.0% of the Re-REMIC's underlying allocated
debt. Of the largest underlying transactions, the NRZT 2019-RPL3
was not rated by Fitch while the other Mill City NQM transactions
were.
The NRZ SPL and RPL cohort maintains a 12-month CPR of 5.7% and an
average tranche factor of 80.0% which is entirely due to
writedowns. Fitch expects these classes to continue to sustain
writedowns of approximately 25% in the 'BBB-sf' stress scenarios.
On average, the NRZ deals have also experienced 1.1% net losses and
4.1% are in the 90+ day significant delinquency bucket (including
BK/FC/REO).
- These pools have an average Probability of Default (PD) of 19.0%
and 20.0% in the 'BB+sf' and 'BBB-sf' stress, respectively
- These pools have an average Loss Severity (LS) of 17.9% and 19.6%
in the 'BB+sf' and 'BBB-sf' stress, respectively
Outside of the NRZT RPL, the remaining deals are all non-QM
transactions from various issuers including Mill City, Hudson,
Ellington and Invictus, among others. The collateral in these pools
has experienced 0.03% net losses and 2.48% 90+ DQ concentration;
approximately 110bps and 150bps lower average net losses and 90+ DQ
concentration, respectively, compared to the RPL/SPL cohort. Most
of these underlying tranches are subordinated classes within
sequential or modified sequential waterfalls and as a result have
yet to receive principal payments and amortize down outside of two
tranches from MCMLT 2023-NQM2. They also have a 12-month CPR of
7.5%.
- These transactions have an average PD of 31.7% and 33.8% in the
'BB+sf' and 'BBB-sf' stress, respectively.
- These transactions have an average LS of 29.2% and 30.8% in the
'BB+sf' and 'BBB-sf' stress, respectively.
For the Fitch-rated underlying deals in this transaction, the vast
majority of transactions have experienced a decline in expected
losses since issuance. Overall, losses are 6.6%; down 3.9% in the
'BBB-sf' rating stress since issuance due to low delinquencies and
overall stable performance of the underlying collateral. Average
30+ DQ% is 5.7% across the Fitch rated pools. Only one Fitch rated
transaction (MCMLT 2023-NQM2) has experienced an increase in
expected losses since issuance, however losses remained stable in
recent months.
In this transaction, there are underlying bonds from 19
transactions that were not rated by Fitch. The losses for these
transactions include an adjustment in expected losses to consider
common operational adjustments that would have otherwise been
captured during an initial rating assignment (R&W adjustment and
Diligence penalties). The addition was derived by assuming
adjustments in line with the most punitive additions seen for
similar deals from the respective issuer in which Fitch has rated.
Underlying Bonds and Cashflows (Positive):
The underlying bonds consist of primarily of subordinate bonds, but
also includes one AIOS class. In Fitch's stressed scenarios the
repayment of Re-REMIC notes is primarily based on principal and
interest cash flows on the underlying subordinate bonds.
Of the underlying tranches, seven pass the 'BBB-sf' stress with
100% principal recovery expectations and 11 have a 0% principal
recovery expectation in the most conservative scenario
(Midloadbench-Down) which are mostly the most subordinate,
first-loss, pieces of the underlying transactions. In Fitch's BBB-
stress, Fitch expects a principal recovery of 62.5% of the
underlying principal amount.
Excess spread provides additional funds that can be used as support
to turbo down the senior bonds and pay down principal.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative):
Fitch haircuts property values based on overvaluation at a local
level to determine long-term sustainable values and determine
sustainable loan-to-value's (sLTV). Fitch views the home price
values on a national level as 11.5% above a long-term sustainable
level as of 1Q24. The underlying pools in this transaction maintain
a current wAVG base-case Fitch calculated sLTV ratio of 56.9%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected declines. The analysis
indicates that there is some potential rating migration with higher
MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the model projection. At
the 'BBB-sf' rating, a 10% MVD could result in a downgrade to
'B+sf', while a 20% or 30% MVD could result in a downgrade to a
distressed rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. The analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices could result in an upgrade
from 'BBB-sf' to 'BBB+sf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified while holding
others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of these
variables to reflect asset performance in up and down environments.
The results should only be considered as one potential outcome, as
the transaction is exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors. It
should not be used as an indicator of possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MKT 2020-525M: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class D Certificates
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded three and affirmed two classes of MKT
2020-525M Mortgage Trust, commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2020-525M. Classes A, B and X-A have been
assigned Negative Rating Outlooks following their downgrades. The
Outlooks for affirmed classes C and D remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MKT 2020-525M
A 55316PAA5 LT AAsf Downgrade AAAsf
B 55316PAE7 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
C 55316PAG2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 55316PAJ6 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-A 55316PAC1 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Declining Occupancy and Cash Flow; Weaker Submarket: The downgrades
reflect Fitch's reassessment of a lower long-term sustainable net
cash flow (NCF) since the last rating action and expectation that
property performance will not return to issuance levels due to the
continued leasing challenges and deterioration of submarket
fundamentals in San Francisco.
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible further downgrades should
property NCF and/or market conditions deteriorate beyond Fitch's
updated view of sustainable performance. Following the sponsor's
recent capital investment and with 20% of the NRA scheduled to
expire in 2025 and 2026, Fitch will continue to monitor both
property and submarket leasing traction.
Fitch has further revised its sustainable NCF downward to $47.8
million from $50.3 million at the last rating action, which is also
10% below Fitch's issuance NCF of $53.1 million. While Fitch's
long-term stabilized occupancy expectation of 80% remains unchanged
since the last rating action, Fitch's lower sustainable NCF
primarily reflects a reduction in the achievable rent assumption
for the near-term rolling Wells Fargo space that expires in June
2025 (8.1% of the NRA), currently paying $101 psf.
In total, Wells Fargo leases 13.7% of the NRA; the remaining 5.6%
of the NRA expires in 2026 and has a rental rate of $90 psf for the
office component. The borrower reported that Wells Fargo has listed
all of its space on the sublease market and expects the tenant will
vacate upon its various lease expirations between June 2025 and
June 2026.
The Fitch NCF also reflects a lease up of a portion of the vacant
spaces, including the Wells Fargo space expiring in 2025, assuming
rents of $75 psf for the lower floors and $85 psf for the higher
floors; these rental rates represent a discount from in-place rents
at the property of approximately $94 psf, but are higher than the
average submarket asking rates. The assumed rental rates consider
the recent leasing activity at the property, including two new
leases with law firms, Goodwin & Proctor (floors 31 and 32,
combined 5.6% of the NRA) and Jenner & Block (floor 29, 2.8% of the
NRA), and a short-term lease renewal by Wells Fargo for 2.7% of the
NRA through June 2026.
Fitch's analysis incorporated a higher stressed capitalization
(cap) rate of 8.00%, up from 7.25% at issuance, to factor increased
office sector and submarket performance concerns, resulting in a
Fitch-stressed valuation decline that is approximately 53% below
the issuance appraisal and 18.5% below Fitch's issuance value.
Fitch revised lower its cap rate from 8.25% at the last rating
action, reflecting the sponsor's strength and commitment to the
property.
The sponsor spent $23 million on a new amenity floor, known as The
Cove, and indicates it is scheduled to open in January 2025, with
features that include a wellness center, café, lounge/bar, podcast
room, and various conference and meeting/event spaces. This new
amenity space is anticipated to be a draw for new tenants and help
boost the property's market position, allowing it to attract and
retain above average submarket occupancy and rental rates.
Property occupancy was 70.9% as of the September 2024 rent roll
which factors the 7th floor new amenity space as vacant;
historically, the property had been 74.5% occupied in September
2023 at Fitch's last rating action, 88.8% in September 2022, 91.4%
at YE 2021 and 97.3% at issuance. According to Costar and as of
3Q24, the office submarket vacancy, availability rate and asking
rents were 28.1%, 32.5% and $54.92 psf, respectively, which have
deteriorated further from 25.3%, 31.3% and $59.56 psf at the last
rating action; the metrics have significantly worsened from the
5.3% submarket vacancy and $73.94 psf asking rents at the time of
issuance.
The largest tenant at the property is Amazon (totaling 39.5% of
NRA, of which 17.3% expires in Jan. 31, 2028; 2.8% expires in April
30, 2029 that includes a Feb. 28, 2027 termination option with 12
months' notice; 11.1% expires in Feb. 28, 2030 that includes a Feb.
28, 2027 termination option; and 8.3% expires in Jan. 31, 2031 that
includes a Jan. 31, 2029 termination option). There are termination
fees and a cash flow sweep associated with the termination options
for the Amazon spaces. Notably, Amazon had a termination option in
January 2025 for 17% of the NRA, but the notice period has already
lapsed. It was reported at issuance that Amazon spent $95 psf above
landlord contribution to build out the original premises and first
expansion premises.
The majority of the leases expire during the loan term, with the
highest rollover concentrations in 2025 consisting of 11.7% of the
NRA (including Wells Fargo) and in 2028, comprising 17.5% of the
NRA (including Amazon).
High-Quality Office Collateral in Prime Location; The 525 Market
Street property is a 38-story, class A office building located in
the South Financial District office submarket of San Francisco, per
CoStar. The property is the third largest office building in San
Francisco by square footage. It is certified as LEED Platinum by
the U.S. Green Building Council, which has a positive impact on the
ESG score for Waste & Hazardous Materials Management; Ecological
Impacts. At issuance, Fitch assigned a property quality grade of
'A-'.
Low Risk of Term Default; Full Term, Low-Interest Loan: The loan is
interest only for the 10-year term, maturing February 2030, with a
fixed rate coupon of 2.95%. In its analysis, Fitch applied an
upward loan-to-value (LTV) hurdle adjustment due to the sub-3%
coupon.
Strong Institutional Sponsorship: The sponsor, NYSTRS (51.0% of
ownership) acquired the property in 1998 and DWS (formerly RREEF;
49.0% of ownership) acquired a 49.0% interest in the sponsor as
part of the transaction at issuance.
Fitch Leverage: The $682.0 million mortgage whole loan ($659 psf)
has a Fitch-stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and LTV of
0.78x and 114.2%, respectively, compared to 0.80x and 110.2% at the
last rating action and 0.94x and 93.1% at issuance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades are possible should property NCF and occupancy and/or
market conditions deteriorate beyond Fitch's reassessed view of
sustainable performance, which could occur if the Wells Fargo and
other vacancies are not leased at or above current Fitch
assumptions, and/or if there is sustained property occupancy
declines indicating a change to the property's position in the
market. Additionally, further downgrades are possible with
additional clarity on the termination options for Amazon.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not considered likely given the current ratings
reflect Fitch's view of sustainable performance, but may be
possible with significant and sustained improvement in Fitch NCF,
positive leasing to occupancy levels and rates above market and
with greater certainty on the borrower's ability to refinance the
loan.
The Negative Outlooks could be revised to Stable if property
performance stabilizes, including continued leasing momentum and
stabilizing submarket performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
MKT 2020-525M has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Waste &
Hazardous Materials Management; Ecological Impacts due to the
collateral's LEED Platinum Certification and lower environmental
site risk and associated remediation/liability costs along with
sustainable building practices including Green building certificate
credentials, which has a positive impact on the credit profile, and
is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C11: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class B Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on both classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2013-C11
issued by Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2013-C11 as follows:
-- Class A-S at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class B at C (sf)
The trend on Class A-S is Stable while Class B has a credit rating
that does not typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed
securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
Since the previous Morningstar DBRS credit rating action in
December 2023, there has been no resolution to the last three
outstanding loans, which were the only loans remaining in the
transaction at that time. The servicer has provided updated
appraisals for two of the three loans, however, Morningstar DBRS'
loss expectations remain unchanged and are primarily driven by the
largest loan, Westfield Countryside (Prospectus ID#1; 70.2% of the
pool balance).
The loan is secured by the in-line space of a 1.3 million-square
foot regional mall in Clearwater, Florida. The mall's noncollateral
anchors are Nordstrom Rack, Macy's, Dillard's, and JC Penney. A
fifth anchor pad previously occupied by Sears closed in 2018 but
has been partially backfilled by Whole Foods. The occupancy rate
and net cash flow have improved over the past year, as of the
YE2023 reporting, at 71.0% and $9.2 million, respectively. The loan
transferred to special servicing in June 2020 for imminent default
and a receiver was appointed in January 2021. The sponsor,
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield, is reportedly cooperating in a friendly
foreclosure action and, according to investor reporting, the
special servicer is marketing the asset for sale. Recent servicer
commentary indicates a potential buyer has been identified, but it
is unclear when a sale of the asset may be executed. An October
2023 appraisal valued the subject at $116.0 million, below the
outstanding whole-loan balance of $136.1 million.
Given the concentration of defaulted loans remaining, Morningstar
DBRS considered liquidation scenarios based on conservative
stresses to the most recent appraised values to determine the
recoverability of the remaining bonds. Morningstar DBRS concluded
projected losses for the remaining loans are likely to be contained
to the Class B certificate, currently rated C (sf). Morningstar
DBRS remains concerned, however, about the increased propensity for
interest shortfalls, which could affect Class A-S should the
resolution periods for the defaulted loans extend beyond the near
to medium term, further exposing the trust to increased fees and
expenses. Since the previous credit rating action, cumulative
interest shortfalls have increased by approximately $1.0 million.
Neither of the remaining Morningstar DBRS-rated bonds are being
shorted interest due as of the October 2024 remittance. Should
Morningstar DBRS' loss expectations increase, or should Class A-S
experience full or partial untimely interest payments, Morningstar
DBRS may consider an additional credit rating action.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C11: Fitch Cuts Rating on 5 Tranches to Dsf
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch has downgraded six and affirmed two classes of Morgan Stanley
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust (MSBAM) 2013-C11. The Rating
Outlook remains Negative for the affirmed class A-S.
Fitch Ratings has also affirmed two classes of MSBAM 2013-C8 and
two classes of MSBAM 2013-C13. The Outlook for class E in MSBAM
2013-C8 remains Negative. The Outlook for class F in MSBAM 2013-C13
has been revised to Stable from Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MSBAM 2013-C11
A-S 61762TAG1 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
B 61762TAH9 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
C 61762TAK2 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
D 61762TAN6 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
E 61762TAQ9 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
F 61762TAS5 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
G 61762TAU0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
PST 61762TAJ5 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
MSBAM 2013-C13
F 61763BAG9 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G 61763BAJ3 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
MSBAM 2013-C8
E 61761QAQ6 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F 61761QAS2 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Pool Concentration; Adverse Selection: The transactions are
concentrated with four or fewer loans remaining, the majority of
which are Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs), including specially
serviced loans. Fitch conducted a look-through analysis to
determine the remaining loans' expected recoveries and losses to
assess the outstanding classes' ratings relative to credit
enhancement (CE).
MSBAM 2013-C11: The downgrades to class C through F in MSBAM
2013-C11 reflects higher than expected losses from the disposition
of the specially serviced The Mall at Tuttle Crossing loan since
Fitch's last rating action; actual realized losses on the loan
totaled $70.4 million, resulting in class C taking a partial loss
and classes D through G incurring full losses. The downgrade to
class B reflects default that is now considered inevitable as pool
loss expectations on the three remaining loans, all of which are
specially serviced, affect the class.
The Negative Outlook on class A-S in MSBAM 2013-C11 reflect
possible future downgrades should recovery expectations on the
specially serviced loans worsened due to continued performance
declines, prolonged workouts and/or growing loan exposures.
MSBAM 2013-C8 and MSBAM 2013-C13: The affirmations reflect the
adverse selection and generally stable performance of these pools
since the last rating action.
The Negative Outlook on class E in MSBAM 2013-C8 reflects
performance concerns and the upcoming February 2025 maturity of The
Atrium at Fashion Center loan. While there is another one-year
option to extend the loan, it needs to meet a minimum DSCR
threshold; without materially improved leasing and property
occupancy to support loan refinanceability and/or extension, a
downgrade of this class is possible.
The Rating Outlook revision for class F to Stable from Negative in
MSBAM 2013-C13 reflects the class' high CE, improved recovery
expectations for the remaining pool since the last rating action
and expected continued amortization from the performing 13017-13045
Ventura Boulevard loan.
FLOCs/Specially Serviced Loans: The largest loan in MSBAM 2013-C8
is The Atrium at Fashion Center (45.4% of pool), which is secured
by a 173,073-sf community shopping center located in Paramus, NJ.
The loan originally transferred to special servicing in January
2023 due to imminent default, ahead of the initial February 2023
loan maturity. A loan modification was executed in 2023, which
featured a one-year extension with two additional one-year
extension options subject to DSCR requirements. The borrower
exercised the first of the two additional options through February
2025 with one remaining option, which is subject to a minimum 1.25x
DSCR.
Occupancy has remained at 71% since Bed Bath & Beyond vacated its
48,000-sf ground floor space prior to lease expiration due to
bankruptcy. Per the servicer's update, the borrower is in the
process of finalizing a lease with a national retailer and
reviewing prospective tenants, which could generate leasing the
property back to full occupancy.
Fitch's loss expectation of approximately 50% considers a haircut
to the most recent appraisal value, reflecting a stressed value of
$39 psf.
The largest loan in MSBAM 2013-C11 is Westfield Countryside (70.2%
of pool), which is secured by a 464,836-sf underperforming regional
mall located in Clearwater, FL. The collateral was approximately
79% occupied as of the September 2024 rent roll. The loan
transferred to special servicing in June 2020 due to imminent
monetary default. The sponsor, a joint venture between Westfield
and O'Connor Capital Partners, indicated that they would no longer
support the asset. A receiver was appointed in January 2021. Per
the latest servicer update, the workout strategy remains to pursue
a sale of the asset with an assumption of the debt.
Fitch's loss expectation of approximately 74% considers a haircut
to the most recent appraisal value, reflecting a stressed value of
$87 psf.
The largest loan in MSBAM 2013-C13 is 940 Ridgebrook Road (44.3% of
pool), which is secured by a 210,002-sf previously single-tenanted
suburban office property located in Sparks, MD. The loan
transferred to special servicing for maturity default in December
2023 as a result of the sole tenant, Element Vehicle Management
Services LLC, vacating the building at lease expiration in February
2024. Foreclosure proceedings are in process.
Fitch's loss expectation of approximately 70% considers a haircut
to the most recent appraisal value, reflecting a stressed value of
$36 psf.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories
are possible with higher than expected losses from continued
underperformance of FLOCs, or with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans;
- Downgrades to distressed ratings would occur as losses become
more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Given the significant pool concentration and adverse selection of
these transactions, upgrades are not expected, but may occur with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values or recovery expectations on the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2021-ILP: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2021-ILP
issued by Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2021-ILP as follows:
-- Class A Certificates at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Certificates at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Certificates at A (sf)
-- Class D Certificates at BBB (sf)
-- Class E Certificates at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F Certificates at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the underlying collateral, which remains healthy, as the YE2023
reported net cash flow (NCF) of $38.7 million is above the
Morningstar DBRS NCF of $32.9 million derived at issuance. The
collateral consists of the borrower's fee-simple and leasehold
interest in a portfolio of 61 industrial properties totaling
approximately 6.9 million square feet (sf) in urban areas across
eight markets and five states, with approximately 69.0% of the
portfolio's net rentable area (NRA) in Chicago, Phoenix,
Dallas-Fort Worth, Philadelphia, Houston, and San Antonio. The
average size of the properties in the portfolio is 113,596 sf, with
a weighted-average (WA) build year of 1983. The proportion of
office space across the portfolio totals 19.2%. The tenant roster
features a wide array of industries and sectors, ranging from food
production to large-scale medical supply manufacturing, with no
single tenant representing more than 2.5% of NRA.
The subject financing was part of a larger $673.0 million
recapitalization of the collateral. The sponsorship group, which
includes Investcorp and GIC, contributed $247.4 million of cash
equity to facilitate the recapitalization, representing 33.7% of
the purchase price. Morningstar DBRS generally views financings
involving significant amounts of cash equity contributions from the
transaction sponsors favorably given the stronger alignment of
economic incentives when compared with cash-out financings. Based
in New York, London, and Bahrain, Investcorp had more than $50.0
billion in assets under management as of 2023, spread across
multiple asset classes including commercial real estate, private
equity, and credit management. GIC is a Singapore-based investment
firm with more than $750 billion in assets under management across
various asset classes as of 2023. GIC was founded by the Government
of Singapore to manage its foreign reserves.
The interest-only floating-rate loan had an initial two-year term
with three one-year extension options. The loan is scheduled to
mature in November 2024; however, servicer commentary indicates
that the borrower has exercised the second extension option,
extending loan maturity to November 2025. There are no performance
triggers, financial covenants, or fees required for the borrower to
exercise any of the three one-year extension options, but each
option is conditional upon, among other things, no events of
default and the borrower's purchase of an interest rate cap
agreement for each extension term. The borrower will be required to
maintain a debt yield above 6.0% throughout the loan term or cash
management provisions will be triggered.
The transaction features a partial pro rata/sequential-pay
structure, which allows for pro rata paydowns for the first 30.0%
of the original principal balance, where individual properties may
be released from the trust at a price of 105.0% of the allocated
loan amount (ALA). Proceeds are applied sequentially for the
remaining 70.0% of the pool balance with the release price
increasing to 110.0% of the ALA. Morningstar DBRS applied a penalty
to the transaction's capital structure to account for the pro rata
nature of certain prepayments and for the weak deleveraging
premium. The release provisions require the pool to maintain a
minimum debt yield of 8.8% after each property release. Prior to
the last review, the outstanding trust balance was reduced
nominally by $1.5 million because of a prepayment related to the
release of one small property totaling 0.3% of the ALA at
issuance.
Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated strong occupancy
trends, with a WA occupancy rate of 94.8% at issuance. As of the
YE2023 reporting, the portfolio was 97.0% occupied compared with
the YE2022 figure of 99.0%. Morningstar DBRS' initial analysis of
the portfolio indicates that leases representing 11.9% of portfolio
NRA are set to expire in 2024, followed by 13.5% collectively in
2025 and 2026. Based the YE2023 reporting, the NCF of $38.6 million
reflected a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.25 times (x),
compared with the YE2022 NCF of $34.4 million, reflecting a DSCR of
2.47x. The decline in the DSCR is primarily driven by the
significant increase in debt service due to the loan's
floating-rate nature, as effective gross income remains 8.2% above
the Morningstar DBRS figure while expenses have only increased by
7.9%.
In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS applied a
standard surveillance haircut to the YE2023 NCF and maintained the
capitalization rate of 7.25% applied at issuance, which resulted in
a Morningstar DBRS value of $522.6 million, a variance of -29.9%
from the issuance appraised value of $745.7 million for the
remaining collateral. The updated Morningstar DBRS value implies a
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 85.1%, compared with the LTV of 59.6%
on the issuance appraised value for the remaining collateral and
the 98.3% Morningstar DBRS LTV at issuance. To evaluate the
potential for credit rating upgrades given the increases in cash
flow, Morningstar DBRS applied a conservative haircut to the YE2023
NCF and a 7.25% capitalization rate, resulting in a stressed value
of $426.6 million. The LTV sizing benchmarks resulting from that
stressed analysis indicated that credit rating upgrades were not
warranted with this review. The implied Morningstar DBRS LTV for
the stressed scenario is 104.2%. As part of the analysis,
Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative adjustments
totaling 4.0% in the LTV sizing benchmark to reflect the low
historical vacancy, low cash flow volatility, and desirable
property quality.
The credit ratings assigned to the Class C, D, E, and F
Certificates are lower than the results implied by the LTV sizing
benchmarks by three or more notches. These variances are warranted
given the lack of demonstrated sustained loan performance trends.
Although the improvement in NCF since issuance is notable, based on
the conservative upgrade stress applied, the LTV sizing benchmarks
indicated that upgrades were not warranted with this review.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 58: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 58, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 58, Ltd.
A LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 58, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 23.1, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.58% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 74.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A, between 'BB+sf'
and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A notes as these
notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 58, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NXT CAPITAL 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to NXT Capital
CLO 2024-1 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by NXT Capital Investment Advisers LLC.,
a subsidiary of ORIX Corporation USA.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 5,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- S&P views of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
NXT Capital CLO 2024-1 LLC
Class A, $174.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $18.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.47 million: Not rated
OAKTREE CLO 2021-1: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, E-R, and F-R debt
replacement debt and proposed new class X-R debt from Oaktree CLO
2021-1 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2021-1 LLC, a CLO originally issued in July
2021 that is managed by Oaktree Capital Management L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 2,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 6, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement debt is expected to be issued at a lower
weighted average cost of debt than the previous debt.
-- The replacement class C and D debt will be split into the class
C-1-R and C-2-R debt and class D-1-R and D-2-R debt, respectively,
which will be sequential in payment.
-- The non-call period will be extended to Dec. 6, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 15, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to Jan. 15,
2038.
-- The target initial par amount will remain at $400 million.
There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is Jan. 15, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- No additional subordinated notes will be issued on the
refinancing date.
-- Proposed new class X-R debt issued in connection with this
refinancing is expected to be paid down using interest proceeds
during 16 payment dates beginning with the payment date in July
2025.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Oaktree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class X-R, $4.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $248.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $16.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $40.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $20.0 million: A+ (sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $12.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $14.0 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $6.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.0 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $6.0 million: B- (sf)
Other Outstanding Debt
Oaktree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2021-1 LLC
Subordinated notes, $35.3 million: Not rated
OAKTREE CLO 2024-28: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Oaktree CLO
2024-28 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2024-28 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Oaktree CLO Management Co. LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 5,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Oaktree CLO 2024-28 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2024-28 LLC
Class A, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $25.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $10.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $43.85 million: Not rated
OBRA CLO 1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Obra CLO 1 Ltd./Obra CLO
1 LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Obra CLO Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Obra CLO 1 Ltd./Obra CLO 1 LLC
Class A-1, $240.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $16.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $22.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $35.75 million: Not rated
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 48: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Octagon
Investment Partners 48, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Octagon Investment
Partners 48, Ltd.
A-1R2 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1AR2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-1BR2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Octagon Investment Partners 48, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed
by Octagon Credit Investors, LLC. The secured notes will be
refinanced in whole on Nov. 26, 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $499 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.81, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.89% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.78% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 42% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1AR2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1BR2, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R2, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-1AR2, 'Asf' for class D-1BR2, 'A-sf' for class
D-2R2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Octagon Investment
Partners 48, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
OHA CREDIT 3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R2, A-R2,
B-1-R2, B-2-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 replacement debt
from OHA Credit Funding 3 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 3 LLC, a CLO
managed by Oak Hill Advisors L.P., that was originally issued in
July 2019, and underwent a first refinancing in July 2021. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class X-R, A-R, B-R,
C-R, D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full on the Dec. 3,
2024, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class B-1-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, and E-R2 debt was
issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR than the July
2021 notes.
-- The replacement class X-R2, A-R2, and D-2-R2 debt was issued at
a higher floating spread, replacing the current spread.
-- The reinvestment period and non-call period were extended three
and half years, and the stated maturity will be extended by
approximately two and half years.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 99.99%
have credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings,
private ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global
Ratings.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 98.05%
have recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
OHA Credit Funding 3 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 3 LLC
Class X-R2, $1.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R2, $430.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R2, $85.50 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R2, $16.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $42.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $42.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $5.25 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $22.75 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
OHA Credit Funding 3 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 3 LLC
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
OHA Credit Funding 3 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 3 LLC
Subordinated notes, $64.50 million: Not rated
PALMER SQUARE 2022-4: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Palmer
Square CLO 2022-4, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Palmer Square
CLO 2022-4, Ltd.
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Palmer Square CLO 2022-4, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Palmer Square Capital Management LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 22.42, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 24.00. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.71% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.4% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 67.2%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1R, 'A-sf' for class D-2R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Palmer Square CLO
2022-4, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
PIKES PEAK 17: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Pikes
Peak CLO 17 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Pikes Peak
CLO 17 Ltd
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 17 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Partners Group US Management CLO LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.65, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.2. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.22% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 70.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 17
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
POST CLO VI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Post CLO
VI Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Post CLO VI Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Post CLO VI Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Post
Advisory Group, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 22.33, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.75% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.1% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 43.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Post CLO VI Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL3: Moody's Assigns Ba2 Rating to Cl. M-2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to five classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by PRPM
2024-RPL3, LLC and sponsored by PRP-LB IV, LLC. The securities are
backed by a pool of seasoned performing and re-performing
residential mortgages serviced by SN Servicing Corporation (SNSC)
and Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Rushmore Servicing (Rushmore).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: PRPM 2024-RPL3, LLC
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality and historical
performance of the mortgage loans, the structural features of the
transaction, the origination quality, the servicing arrangement,
the third-party review, and the representations and warranties
framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario is
2.60%, and reaches 14.95% at a stress level consistent with Moody's
Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The methodologies used in these ratings were "Non-performing and
Re-performing Loan Securitizations" published in April 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
RAD CLO 17: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the RAD
CLO 17, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RAD CLO 17, Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 75009JAB7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-2 75009JAE1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C 75009JAC5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D 75009JAD3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E 75009KAA6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
RAD CLO 17, Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) which is managed by Irradiant
Partners, LP that originally closed in October 2022. The secured
notes will be refinanced in whole on Nov. 21, 2024 from proceeds of
the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.51, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.12% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.07% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.5%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'Asf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 17, Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
RATE MORTGAGE 2024-J4: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 60 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by RATE
Mortgage Trust 2024-J4, and sponsored by Guaranteed Rate, Inc.
(GRI).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (100% by
balance) residential mortgages originated by GRI and serviced by
ServiceMac, LLC.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: RATE Mortgage Trust 2024-J4
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-25, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-13*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-17*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-20*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-23*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
Moody's are withdrawing the provisional ratings for the Class A-1L
Loans, Class A-2L Loans, and Class A-3L Loans, assigned on November
11, 2024, because the issuer will not be issuing these classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.31%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.13% and reaches 4.49% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
REGATTA XXI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Regatta XXI Funding Ltd.; reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Regatta XXI Funding
Ltd._Reset
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Regatta XXI Funding Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Napier
Park Global Capital (US) LP that originally closed in October 2021.
The CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on November 26, 2024
from proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $399.96 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans excluding
defaulted obligations.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.94, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.4. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.38% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.31% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1R, 'A-sf' for class D-2R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Regatta XXI Funding
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
REGATTA XXI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Regatta XXI Funding Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Regatta XXI Funding
Ltd._Reset
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Regatta XXI Funding Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Napier
Park Global Capital (US) LP that originally closed in October 2021.
The CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on Nov. 26, 2024 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $399.96 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans excluding defaulted obligations.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.97 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.4. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.38% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.19% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Regatta XXI Funding
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
RR 33 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
RR 33 LTD.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RR 33 LTD
A-1a LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1b LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
RR 33 LTD (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Redding Ridge Asset
Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.4% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.72%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1b, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class A-2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class B, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class D.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1b notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class A-2, 'AA+sf' for class B, 'A+sf'
for class C, and 'BBB+sf' for class D.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RR 33 LTD. In cases
where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in connection
with the credit rating of a transaction, programme, instrument or
issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a key rating
driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant rating
action commentary.
RR 33 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on D Notes, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RR 33
LTD.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RR 33 LTD
A-1a LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1b LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
B LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
C LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
E LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
RR 33 LTD (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Redding Ridge Asset
Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.4% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.72%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1b, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class A-2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class B, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class D.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1b notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class A-2, 'AA+sf' for class B, 'A+sf'
for class C, and 'BBB+sf' for class D.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
21 November 2024
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RR 33 LTD.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
RR LTD 33: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by RR 33 LTD (the Issuer or RR 33):
US$315,000,000 Class A-1a Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class E Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
RR 33 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, senior secured
bonds, high yield bonds, and senior secured notes. The portfolio is
approximately 94% ramped as of the closing date.
Redding Ridge Asset Management LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued five other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 45
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2892
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.1 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
SELF COMMERCIAL 2024-STRG: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following ratings and Rating
Outlooks to SELF Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-STRG, Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-STRG:
- $135,900,000 class A at 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $22,800,000 class B at 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,000,000 class C at 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $25,200,000 class D at 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $38,800,000 class E at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $20,550,000 class F at 'Bsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $13,750,000a class HRR at 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) HRR - Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least
5.0% of the estimated fair value of all classes.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of
Nov. 15, 2024.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in
SELF Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-STRG, a New York common law
trust which holds two promissory notes comprising a $275.0 million,
two-year, floating-rate, IO commercial mortgage loan with three
one-year extension options. The mortgage loan was co-originated by
Wells Fargo Bank, National Association and Goldman Sachs Bank USA.
It has been secured by cross-collateralized and cross defaulted
first priority lien mortgages on the borrowers' fee simple
interests in a portfolio of 43 self-storage properties located
across 11 states.
Mortgage loan proceeds, together with $40.0 in mezzanine debt and
approximately $10.5 million of sponsor equity, were used to
refinance $313.2 million of existing debt and pay $12.3 million of
closing costs.
Wells Fargo Bank, National Association and Goldman Sachs Mortgage
Company act as mortgage loan sellers. KeyBank National Association
serves as the master servicer and 3650 REIT Loan Servicing LLC
serves as the special servicer. Computershare Trust Company,
National Association serves as trustee and certificate
administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC serves as operating
advisor.
The certificates follow a pro rata paydown for the initial 30% of
the loan amount and a standard senior sequential paydown
thereafter.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) for the portfolio is
estimated at $19.6 million; this is 6.1% lower than the issuer's
NCF. Fitch applied an 8.0% capitalization rate to derive a Fitch
value of $244.8 million for the portfolio.
High Fitch Leverage: The $275.0 million mortgage loan equates to
debt of about $88 per square foot (psf), with a Fitch stressed
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 112.3%, debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 0.79x and debt yield of 7.1%. Inclusive of the $40.0
million mezzanine loan, total debt would amount to $101.21 psf with
a Fitch DSCR, LTV and DY of 0.69, 128.7% and 6.2%, respectively.
Geographic Diversity: The portfolio exhibits geographic diversity,
with 43 self-storage properties located across 11 states and 24
unique markets. The four states with the largest concentrations, by
allocated loan amount (ALA), are Texas (15 properties; 26.5% of
ALA), Florida (11; 25.1%), Arizona (5; 19.5%), and North Carolina
(5, 10.6%). No other state accounts for more than 4.2% of ALA. The
properties are generally located in densely populated infill
areas.
Experienced Sponsorship and Management: The sponsorship is a joint
venture between affiliates of TPG Angelo Gordon and Andover LLC
(Andover). TPG Angelo Gordon is a global investment firm with about
$229 billion of AUM. Andover owns, manages, and operates its
facilities under the brand Storage King USA, which it founded in
2003. The firm owns and manages about 162 self-storage facilities,
totaling over 13.5 million square feet, in 18 states.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' /
'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decrease: 'AAsf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCCsf'/'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' /
'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' /
'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SEQUOIA 2024-INV1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Cl. B5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2024-INV1 (SEMT 2024-INV1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2024-INV1
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
AIO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B1A LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B1X LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B2A LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B2X LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B3 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B5 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2024-INV1 (SEMT
2024-INV1) as indicated. The certificates are supported by 643
loans with a total balance of approximately $308.6 million as of
the cutoff date. SEMT 2024-INV1 is the first deal this year under
the Redwood shelf that features collateral that is entirely
comprised of investor and second-home occupancy. Distributions of
principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure.
Following the publication of the presale and expected ratings, the
issuer notified Fitch of an updated tape, which consisted of seven
loan drops and updated cutoff balances. Fitch re-ran both its asset
and cash flow analysis, and there were no changes to the loss
feedback or the expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 12.2% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since
the prior quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been
in decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August
2024, despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
Non-Owner-Occupied Loans (Negative): The pool consists of 76.6%
investor properties and 23.4% of second homes. All investor
property loans were underwritten to the borrower's credit risk,
unlike investor cash flow loans, which are underwritten to the
property's income. Fitch applies a 1.25x probability of default
(PD) penalty for agency investor loans (67.7% of the total pool),
which is less than the standard 1.60x PD penalty for non-agency
investor loans.
For the loss analysis of this pool, Fitch used a customized version
of the U.S. RMBS loan loss model that has a 1.25x PD penalty for
the agency investor cohort and a 1.60x PD penalty for non-agency
investor loans. All of the loans are still underwritten to the
borrower's credit risk.
Post-crisis performance indicates that loans underwritten to DU/LPA
guidelines have relatively lower default rates compared to normal
investor loans used in regression data with all other attributes
controlled. The implied penalty has been reduced to approximately
25% for investor agency loans in the customized model from
approximately 60% for regular investor loans in the production
model.
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
643 loans totaling approximately $308.6 million and seasoned at
about seven months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted average
(WA) Fitch model FICO score of 774 and a 35.9% debt-to-income (DTI)
ratio. The borrowers also have moderate leverage, with an 79.7%
sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio and a 69.6% mark-to-market
combined LTV (cLTV) ratio.
Single-family homes make up approximately 74.3% of the pool;
condos, 16.6%; and multifamily homes, 9.1%. Cash-out loans
constitute only 8.5% of the pool, while purchases represent 89.6%
and rate refinances account for 1.9%. Roughly 80.5% of the pool
being originated by a retail channel.
Of the loans, 60.2% are exempt from the qualified mortgage (QM)
rule standards, as they are loans on investor occupied homes that
are for business purposes, 38.3% are able to qualify as Average
Prime Offer Rate [APOR] or QM safe-harbor loans and remaining 1.5%
are either Non-QM or QM Rebuttable Presumption.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years.
The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a longer
period should losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
After the credit support depletion date, principal will be
distributed sequentially to the senior classes, which is more
beneficial for the super-senior classes (A-9, A-12 and A-18).
SEMT 2024-INV1 will feature the servicing administrator (RRAC),
following initial reductions in the class A-IO-S strip and
servicing administrator fees, obligated to advance delinquent P&I
to the trust until deemed nonrecoverable. Full advancing of P&I is
a common structural feature across prime transactions in providing
liquidity to the certificates, and absent the full advancing, bonds
can be vulnerable to missed payments during periods of adverse
performance.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.95%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.9% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Clayton and SitusAMC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance, and property
valuation. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and,
as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to its analysis: a
5% reduction in its loss analysis. This adjustment resulted in a
37bp reduction to the 'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
SEMT 2024-INV1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for
Transaction Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well
controlled for in SEMT 2024-INV1 and includes strong R&W and
transaction due diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which
resulted in a reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive
impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in
conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SHELTER GROWTH 2021-FL3: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on H Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of notes
issued by Shelter Growth CRE 2021-FL3 Issuer Ltd (the Issuer) as
follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C to at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (sf)
-- Class F at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class H at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the increased credit
support available to the bonds as a result of successful loan
repayments, with collateral reduction of 48.4% since issuance.
While the paydown is a positive development, Morningstar DBRS also
notes that the transaction is somewhat exposed to adverse selection
as four of the remaining 10 loans, representing nearly half of the
current trust balance, are in special servicing. The issues with
those loans are primarily summarized as an inability to execute on
the respective business plans, with varying levels of increased
risk observed for those loans as a result. To account for those
increased risks, Morningstar DBRS' analysis for this review
considered stressed scenarios to increase the loan level expected
losses (ELs), generally reflective of stressed values for the
collateral properties or upward probability of default (POD)
adjustments based on the level and source of the increased stress.
For further information on the driver loans for the transaction,
please see the loan writeups in the Surveillance Performance Update
Report that accompanies this press release. While this approach
increased the pool EL by nearly a full percentage point from the
prior credit rating action's analysis, there was no downward
pressure for the credit ratings as the transaction benefits from an
unrated first-loss bond of $32.9 million, as well as two below
investment-grade bonds, i.e., Class G and Class H, totaling $36.9
million, which combine for significant cushion against realized
losses should the increased risks for those loans ultimately result
in dispositions.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has
published a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth
analysis and credit metrics for the transaction as well as business
plan updates on select loans.
The initial collateral consisted of 20 floating-rate mortgages
secured by 26 transitional properties with a cut-off date balance
totaling approximately $453.9 million. As of the October 2024
remittance, the pool comprised 10 loans secured by 15 properties
with a cumulative trust balance of $234.3 million. Most of the
loans are backed by collateral in a period of transition with plans
to stabilize performance and improve the asset value. The
collateral pool for the transaction is static with no reinvestment
period; however, the Issuer did have the right to use principal
proceeds to acquire fully funded future funding participations
during the Permitted Funded Companion Participation Acquisition
period, which expired in September 2023. Since issuance, 10 loans
have been repaid from the pool, including three loans with a former
cumulative trust balance of $36.8 million that repaid since the
previous Morningstar DBRS credit rating action in November 2023.
The transaction is concentrated by loans secured by multifamily
properties with seven loans, representing 78.8% of the current pool
balance, secured by apartment property types, while the remaining
three loans are secured by three different property types in
senior-housing, student-housing, and office.
Leverage across the pool has remained generally consistent with the
issuance metrics as of the October 2024 reporting, as the current
weighted-average (WA) as-is appraised value loan-to-value ratio
(LTV) is 71.7%, with a current WA stabilized LTV of 61.9%. In
comparison, these figures were 71.5% and 65.6%, respectively, at
issuance. Most of the individual property appraisals for the
remaining collateral were completed in 2021 and as such, may not
fully reflect the effects of increased interest rates and/or
widening capitalization rates since that time. To account for this
factor, Morningstar DBRS applied upward LTV adjustments to increase
the loan level ELs where applicable.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
SILVER POINT 6: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Silver
Point CLO 6, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Silver Point
CLO 6, Ltd.
A-1 Loans LT NRsf New Rating
A-1 Notes LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C LT A+sf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Silver Point CLO 6, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Silver
Point CLO Management, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.19% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.13%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information. Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to
above, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the
rating agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
20 November 2024
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Silver Point CLO 6,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
SLM STUDENT 2003-11: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. A-7 Notes to 'Bsf'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 46 FFELP SLABS ratings from 20
transactions at their current levels. Fitch has revised the Rating
Outlook on the class B notes of SLM Student Loan Trust (SLM)
2003-11 to Stable from Negative and revised the Outlooks on the
class A-4 notes of SLM 2005-4 and the class A-5 notes of SLM 2005-5
to Negative from Stable.
Fitch has also downgraded three FFELP SLABS ratings from three
transactions. The class A-7 notes of SLM 2003-11 were downgraded to
'Bsf' from 'BBsf' and assigned a Stable Outlook. The class A-8
notes of SLM 2004-10 were downgraded to 'BBBsf' from 'Asf' and
assigned a Negative Outlook. The class B notes of SLM 2004-3 were
downgraded to 'BBBsf' from 'Asf' and assigned a Stable Outlook.
Fitch has upgraded the class B notes of SLM 2005-6 to 'AAsf' from
'Asf' and assigned a Stable Outlook.
The affirmations of ratings in the 'Bsf' category are supported by
qualitative factors such as the ability of the sponsor to call the
notes upon reaching 10% pool factor or evidence of sponsor support
such as a revolving credit agreement, which allows the servicer to
purchase loans from the trusts. Although the sponsor has the option
but not the obligation to lend to the trust, Fitch does not give
quantitative credit to these agreements. However, these agreements
provide qualitative comfort that the sponsor is committed to
limiting investors' exposure to maturity risk.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-11
A-7 78442GJT4 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
B 78442GJY3 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-1
A-5 78442GKU9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
A-6 78442GKW5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
B 78442GKV7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-4
A-5A 78442GGD2 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5B 78442GGE0 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5C 78442GGF7 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5D 78442GGG5 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5E 78442GGN0 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
B 78442GGM2 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-2
A-6 78442GLC8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
B 78442GLB0 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-8
A-6 78442GMT0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GMR4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-4
A-4 78442GPH3 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GPL4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-12
A-6 78442GKF2 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GKD7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-14
A-7 78442GKG0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GKP0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-3
A-6 78442GPC4 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B-1 78442GPD2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-8
A-5 78442GQS8 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GQT6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-3
A-6A 78442GLK0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-6B 78442GLL8 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GLJ3 LT BBBsf Downgrade Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-7
A-5 78442GQK5 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GQL3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-10
A-8 78442GNL6 LT BBBsf Downgrade Asf
B 78442GND4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-1
A-5A 78442GFK7 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5B 78442GFL5 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5C 78442GFM3 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
B 78442GFJ0 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2004-5
A-6 78442GLY0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
B 78442GLW4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-10
A-4 78442GJH0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GJF4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-7
A-5A 78442GHH2 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
A-5B 78442GHJ8 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
B 78442GHK5 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-5
A-5 78442GPR1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GPS9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-6
A-7 78442GQE9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GQA7 LT AAsf Upgrade Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-9
A-7A 78442GRA6 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-7B 78442GRB4 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GRC2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign: The trust collateral comprises 100% FFELP loans
with guaranties provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance
provided by the U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97%
of principal and accrued interest. All notes are capped at the U.S.
sovereign rating and will likely move in tandem with the U.S.
sovereign rating given the reinsurance and special allowance
payments (SAP) provided by the ED. Fitch currently rates the U.S.
sovereign 'AA+'/Stable.
Collateral Performance: For all transactions, Fitch applied the
standard default timing curve in its credit stress cash flow
analysis. In addition, the claim reject rate was assumed to be
0.25% in the base case and 2.00% in the 'AA+' case for cash flow
modeling.
Fitch is revising the sustainable constant default rates (sCDR)
upward for the following transactions:
- SLM 2003-1 to 3.00% from 2.00%;
- SLM 2003-4 to 3.00% from 2.50%;
- SLM 2003-7 to 3.00% from 2.70%;
- SLM 2003-11 to 2.50% from 2.30%;
- SLM 2003-12 to 3.00% from 2.75%;
- SLM 2003-14 to 2.50% from 2.40%;
- SLM 2004-2 to 2.50% from 2.10%;
- SLM 2004-3 to 3.00% from 2.75%;
- SLM 2004-5 to 3.00% from 2.40%;
- SLM 2004-8 to 3.00% from 2.50%;
- SLM 2005-3 to 2.50% from 1.50%;
- SLM 2005-4 to 2.50% from 2.00%;
- SLM 2005-5 to 3.00% from 2.70%;
- SLM 2005-6 to 3.00% from 2.50%;
- SLM 2005-8 to 3.00% from 2.70%;
- SLM 2005-9 to 3.00% from 2.70%.
For the remaining transactions, Fitch is maintaining the sCDR
assumptions ranging from 2.50% to 3.00%.
For all transactions, Fitch is assuming sustainable constant
prepayment rates (sCPR; voluntary and involuntary prepayments) of
9.00%.
The 'AA+sf' default rates range from approximately 40.37% to
76.50%, and the 'Bsf' default rates range from 13.50% to 25.50%.
The TTM levels of deferment, forbearance, and income-based
repayment (prior to adjustment) range from 1.62% to 3.04%, 7.71% to
18.01%, and 14.46% to 39.31%, respectively, and are used as the
starting point in cash flow modeling. Subsequent declines or
increases are modeled as per criteria. The borrower benefits range
from 0.01% to 0.31%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
Basis and Interest Rate Risks: Basis risk for these transactions
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for SAP and the securities. Fitch applies its standard
basis and interest rate stresses to these transaction as per
criteria.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by
overcollateralization, excess spread where available and for the
class A notes, subordination provided by the class B notes where
available. As of the most recent distribution, reported total
parity ratios range from 100.00% to 102.27%. Liquidity support is
provided by reserve accounts that are at their floors for all
transactions. All transactions are releasing cash as of the latest
distribution except for SLM 2003-1, 2003-4, 2003-7, and 2003-12
which have fallen below 10% of their initial pool balances.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by
Navient Solutions, LLC. Fitch believes Navient to be an adequate
servicer, due to its extensive track record as one of the largest
servicers of FFELP loans. Fitch was notified that Navient entered
into a binding letter of intent on Jan. 29, 2024 that will
transition the student loan servicing to MOHELA, a student loan
servicer for government and commercial enterprises. The transition
to MOHELA is not expected to interrupt servicing activities.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
'AA+sf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the ED. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults,
basis risk and loan extension risk account for the majority of the
risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions.
Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress sensitivity analysis by
increasing or decreasing key assumptions by 50% over the base case.
The credit stress sensitivity is viewed by increasing both the base
case default rate and the basis spread. The maturity stress
sensitivity is viewed by increasing remaining term and IBR usage
and decreasing prepayments. The results should only be considered
as one potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors and should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the 'AA+sf' rated tranches of notes as they are at their highest
possible current and model-implied ratings.
Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress sensitivity analysis by
increasing or decreasing key assumptions by 25% over the base case.
The credit stress sensitivity is viewed by decreasing both the base
case default rate and the basis spread. The maturity stress
sensitivity is viewed by decreasing remaining term and IBR usage
and increasing prepayments. The results should only be considered
as one potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors and should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
For the notes affirmed at 'Bsf' and below, the current ratings are
most sensitive to Fitch's maturity risk scenario. Key factors that
may lead to positive rating action are sustained increases in
payment rate and a material reduction in weighted average remaining
loan term. A material increase of CE from lower defaults and
positive excess spread, given favorable basis spread conditions, is
a secondary factor that may lead to positive rating action.
CRITERIA VARIATION
The rating of the class A-5 notes of SLM 2004-1 is more than one
category lower than their lowest model-implied rating of 'AA+sf'.
Per Fitch's "U.S. Federal Family Education Loan Program Student
Loan ABS Rating Criteria," if the final ratings are different from
the model results by more than one category, it would constitute a
criteria variation.
An upgrade is not warranted at this time due to the temporary
support provided to the notes as a result of principal paydown due
to loan consolidation. The notes continue to face increased
maturity risk despite this benefit. Had Fitch not applied this
variation, according to Fitch's FFELP criteria, the class A-5 notes
of SLM 2004-1 could not have been rated 'BBBsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SOUND POINT VIII-R: Moody's Cuts Rating on Class E Notes to B3
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following notes issued by Sound Point CLO VIII-R, Ltd.:
US$25M Class C-1-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 1, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf)
US$6M Class C-2-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 1, 2024 Upgraded to Aa1
(sf)
US$29M Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jul 10, 2020 Downgraded to B1
(sf)
US$13M (Current outstanding balance US$16,725,595) Class F Junior
Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Downgraded to Ca (sf);
previously on Sep 20, 2023 Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$396M (Current outstanding amount US$51,330,641) Class A-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Feb 23, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$63M Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Sep 20, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$20M Class D-1 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 1, 2024 Upgraded to Baa2
(sf)
US$14M Class R2-D2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 1, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf)
Sound Point CLO VIII-R, Ltd., issued April 2019 and partially
refinanced in February 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation
(CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured US
loans. The portfolio is managed by Sound Point Capital Management,
LP. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C-1-R and C-2-R notes are
primarily a result of the deleveraging of the senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last
rating action in March 2024.
The rating downgrades on the Class E and Class F notes reflect the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by credit deterioration
and par loss observed in the underlying CLO portfolio since the
last rating action in March 2024.
The Class A-R notes have been paid down by approximately 24.6% or $
97.3 million since the last rating action in March 2024. As a
result of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has
increased. According to the trustee report dated November 2024 [1]
the Class A/B, Class C and Class D OC ratio is reported at 185.15%,
145.66% and 118.04%, compared to February 2024 [2] levels of
148.15%, 129.22% and 113.34%, respectively.
The credit quality has deteriorated as reflected in the
deterioration in the average credit rating of the portfolio
(measured by the weighted average rating factor, or WARF).
According to the trustee report dated February 2024 [2], the WARF
was 3052, compared with 3299 in November 2024 [1]. Additionally,
the Class E OC ratio decreased from 102.59% in February 2024 [2] to
101.61% in November 2024 [1], and is currently failing. While the
transaction doesn't have an explicit Class F OC ratio, its implicit
level has decreased following the loss of par to 96.21% from 99.76%
in February 2024 [2]. Moody's also note that the Class F deferred
interest has increased to $3,725,595 from $1,997,445 reported in
February 2024 [2].
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-R, B-R, D-1 and
R2-D2 notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the
notes remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after
taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
Key model inputs:
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on its published methodology and
could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In its base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $ 216.0m
Defaulted Securities: $ 3.4m
Diversity Score: 50
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3247
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.01 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.64%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.01%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 2.30%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into its cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
other Moody's analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
SYCAMORE TREE 2021-1: S&P Assigns 'BB-' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt and the new class X-R debt
from Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 LLC, a
CLO originally issued in November 2021 that is managed by Sycamore
Tree CLO Advisors L.P. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings
on the original class AL, AN, B-1, B-2, C-1, C-2, D, and E debt
following payment in full on the Dec. 3, 2024, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period were each extended
by 3.25 years.
-- The non-call period was extended to December 2026.
-- The proposed new class X-R debt issued in connection with this
refinancing will be paid down using interest proceeds during the
first 12 payment dates beginning with the payment date in July
2025.
-- Additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class X-R, $5.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $300.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $80.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R (deferrable), $25.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R (deferrable), $10.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $14.75 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class AL to NR from 'AAA (sf) '
Class AN to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-1 to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class C-2 to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 Ltd./Sycamore Tree CLO 2021-1 LLC
Subordinated notes, $45.74 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
TEXAS DEBT 2024-II: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Texas Debt Capital CLO 2024-II, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
TEXAS DEBT CAPITAL
CLO 2024-II, LTD.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Texas Debt Capital CLO 2024-II, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed
by CIFC Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $600 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.23 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.13% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.23% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Texas Debt Capital
CLO 2024-II, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
TOWD POINT 2024-5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B3 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2024-5 (the Notes) issued by Towd
Point Mortgage Trust 2024-5 (the Trust) as follows:
-- $874.0 million Class A1A at AAA (sf)
-- $162.8 million Class A1B at AAA (sf)
-- $1.0 billion Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class A2 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $12.6 million Class M1 at A (low) (sf)
-- $7.6 million Class M2 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $4.4 million Class B1 at BB (sf)
-- $2.7 million Class B2 at B (high) (sf)
-- $2.2 million Class B3 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A1A and A1B are exchangeable notes. These classes can be
exchanged for combinations of exchange notes as specified in the
offering documents.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings reflect 5.10% of credit enhancement
provided by subordinated certificates. The AA (low) (sf), A (low)
(sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (sf), B (high) (sf), and B (low) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 3.10%, 1.95%, 1.25%, 0.85%, 0.60%, and 0.40%
of credit enhancement, respectively.
The Trust is a securitization of a portfolio of predominantly
seasoned performing and reperforming first-lien mortgages funded by
the issuance of asset-backed notes (the Notes). The Notes are
backed by 2,147 loans with a total scheduled principal balance of
$1,092,554,873 as of the Cut-Off Date (October 1, 2024).
The portfolio is approximately 81 months seasoned with 98.3% of the
pool seasoned for more than 24 months. The portfolio contains 0.9%
modified loans, and modifications happened more than two years ago
for 94.7% of the modified loans in the pool. Within the pool, 59 of
the mortgages have non-interest-bearing deferred amounts.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 99.7% of the pool is current under the
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method.
Approximately 92.2% of the mortgage loans have been zero times 30
days delinquent (0 x 30) for at least the past 24 months under the
MBA delinquency method.
Morningstar DBRS assumed approximately 14.4% of the pool is exempt
from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Ability-to-Repay (ATR)/Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules. Additionally,
Morningstar DBRS assumed 9.7% of the loans are designated as
Temporary QM Safe Harbor or QM Safe Harbor, less than 0.1% to be QM
Rebuttable Presumption, and 75.8% to be Non-QM based on the results
of the third-party due diligence.
FirstKey Mortgage, LLC (FirstKey) will acquire the loans from
various transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring
trusts acquired the mortgage loans and are beneficially owned by
funds managed by affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P.
(Cerberus). Upon acquiring the loans from the transferring trusts,
FirstKey, through a wholly owned subsidiary, Towd Point Asset
Funding, LLC (the Depositor), will contribute loans to the Trust.
As the Sponsor, FirstKey, through one or more majority-owned
affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible vertical interest
in each class of securities to be issued (other than any residual
certificates) to satisfy the credit risk retention requirements.
All of the loans will be serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing,
Inc. (SPS). The SPS aggregate servicing fee rate for each payment
date is 0.1100% per annum. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
applied a higher servicing fee rate.
For this transaction, the Servicer will fund advances of delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) until the loans become 180 days
delinquent under the MBA delinquency method or are otherwise deemed
unrecoverable. Additionally, the Servicer is obligated to make
certain advances in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes,
and insurance, installment payments on energy improvement liens,
and reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties.
FirstKey, as the Asset Manager, has the option to sell certain
nonperforming loans or real estate-owned (REO) properties to
unaffiliated third parties individually or in bulk sales. Such
sales require an asset sale price to at least equal a minimum
reserve amount of the product of (1) 91.27% and (2) the current
principal amount of the mortgage loans or REO properties as of the
sale date.
When the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans is reduced to
less than 20% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the Call Option Holder
(an affiliate of the Sponsor, the Seller, the Asset Manager, the
Depositor, and the Risk Retention Holder) will have the option to
cause the Issuer to sell all of its remaining property (other than
amounts in the Breach Reserve Account) to one or more third-party
purchasers so long as the aggregate proceeds meet a minimum price.
When the aggregate pool balance is reduced to less than 10% of the
balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the Call Option Holder may purchase
all of the mortgage loans, REO properties, and other properties
from the Issuer, as long as the aggregate proceeds meet a minimum
price.
The transaction allows for the issuance of Class A1 Loans in which
the Issuer may enter into a Credit Agreement to borrow up to the
balance of the Class A1 Loans from Class A1 Lenders on the Closing
Date. For the TPMT 2024-5 transaction, the Class A1 Loans will not
be issued at closing.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A2
and more subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1A and A1B Notes are retired.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) Rating on B2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2024-CES6 (the Notes) to be issued
by Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2024-CES6 (TPMT 2024-CES6 or the
Trust):
-- $303.1 million Class A1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2 at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1 at (P) BB (high) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B2 at (P) B (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2A at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2AX at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2B at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2BX at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2C at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2CX at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2D at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2DX at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1A at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1AX at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1B at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1BX at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1C at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1CX at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1D at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1DX at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2A at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2AX at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2B at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2BX at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2C at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2CX at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2D at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2DX at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1A at (P) BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1AX at (P) BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1B at (P) BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1BX at (P) BB (high) (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 24.75% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinate Notes. The (P) AA (high)
(sf), (P) A (high) (sf), (P) BBB (high) (sf), (P) BB (high) (sf),
and (P) B (high) (sf) credit ratings reflect 17.90%, 12.90%, 8.45%,
5.30%, and 3.45% of credit enhancement, respectively.
TPMT 2024-CES6 is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime
and near-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Notes. The Notes are backed by 5,537
mortgage loans with a total principal balance of $402,803,290 as of
the Cut-Off Date (November 1, 2024).
The portfolio, on average, is four months seasoned, though
seasoning ranges from one to eleven months. Borrowers in the pool
represent prime and near-prime credit quality weighted-average
Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 729, Morningstar
DBRS-calculated original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of
72.9%, and 100.0% originated with Issuer-defined full
documentation. All the loans are current and none has been
delinquent since origination.
TPMT 2024-CES6 represents the eighth CES securitization by FirstKey
Mortgage, LLC and fifth by CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC. Spring EQ, LLC
(52.1%) and Nationstar Mortgage LLC doing business as (dba) Mr.
Cooper (Nationstar; 47.9%) are the originators for the mortgage
pool.
Newrez, LLC dba Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (52.1%) and
Nationstar (47.9%) are the Servicers of the loans in this
transaction.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Indenture
Trustee, Paying Agent, Administrative Trustee, Note Registrar, and
Administrator. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Custodian.
CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC (CRM) will acquire the loans from various
transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring trusts
acquired the mortgage loans from the Originators. CRM and the
transferring trusts are beneficially owned by funds managed by
affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. Upon acquiring the
loans from the transferring trusts, CRM will transfer the loans to
CRM 1 Depositor, LLC (the Depositor). The Depositor in turn will
transfer the loans to Towd Point Mortgage Grantor Trust 2024-CES6
(the Grantor Trust). The Grantor Trust will issue two classes of
certificates: P&I Grantor Trust Certificate and IO Grantor Trust
Certificate. The Grantor Trust certificates will be issued in the
name of the Issuer. The Issuer will pledge P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate with the Indenture Trustee and will be the primary
asset of the Trust. As a Sponsor, CRM, through one or more
majority-owned affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible
vertical interest in each class of securities to be issued (other
than any residual certificates) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules, they
were made to borrowers who generally do not qualify for agency,
government, or private-label nonagency prime jumbo products for
various reasons. In accordance with the Qualified Mortgage (QM)/ATR
rules, 26.3% of the loans are designated as non-QM, 45.0% are
designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption, and 27.3% are designated
as QM Safe Harbor. Approximately 1.4% of the mortgages are loans
made to investors for business purposes and were not subject to the
QM/ATR rules.
The Servicers will generally fund advances of delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) on any mortgage until such loan becomes 60 days
delinquent under the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) delinquency
method (equivalent to 90 days delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers
Association (MBA) delinquency method), contingent upon
recoverability determination. However, the Servicer will stop
advancing delinquent P&I if the aggregate amount of unreimbursed
P&I advances owed to a Servicer exceeds 95.0% of the amounts on
deposit in the custodial account maintained by such Servicer. In
addition, the related servicer is obligated to make advances in
respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and insurance,
installment payments on energy improvement liens, and reasonable
costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing and
disposing of properties unless a determination is made that there
will be material recoveries.
For this transaction, any loan that is 150 days delinquent under
the OTS delinquency method (equivalent to 180 days delinquent under
the MBA delinquency method), upon review by the related Servicer,
may be considered a Charged Off Loan. With respect to a Charged Off
Loan, the total unpaid principal balance will be considered a
realized loss and will be allocated reverse sequentially to the
Noteholders. If there are any subsequent recoveries for such
Charged Off Loans, the recoveries will be included in the principal
remittance amount and applied in accordance with the principal
distribution waterfall; in addition, any class principal balances
of Notes that have been previously reduced by allocation of such
realized losses may be increased by such recoveries sequentially in
order of seniority. Morningstar DBRS' analysis assumes reduced
recoveries upon default on loans in this pool.
This transaction incorporates a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A2
and subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1 Notes are retired.
On or after (1) the payment date in November 2027 or (2) the first
payment date when the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans
(other than the Charged Off Loans and the real estate owned (REO)
properties) is reduced to less than 30.0% of the Cut-Off Date
balance, the call option holder will have the option to purchase
P&I Grantor Trust Certificate so long as the aggregate proceeds
from such purchase exceeds the minimum price (Optional Redemption).
Minimum price will at least equal sum of (1) class balances of the
Notes plus the accrued interest and unpaid interest, (2) any fees,
expenses and indemnification amounts, and (3) accrued and unpaid
amounts owed to the Class X Certificates minus the Class AX
distributable amount.
On or after the first payment date on which the aggregate pool
balance of the mortgage loans and the REO properties is less than
10% of the aggregate pool balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate at the minimum price (Cleanup Call).
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update," published on September 25, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. B2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Towd Point Mortgage
Trust 2024-CES6 (TPMT 2024-CES6).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
TPMT 2024-CES6
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
M1 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A2A LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2AX LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2B LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2BX LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2C LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2CX LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2D LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A2DX LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
M1A LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1AX LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1B LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1BX LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1C LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1CX LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1D LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M1DX LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M2A LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2AX LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2B LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2BX LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2C LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2CX LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M2DX LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B1A LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B1AX LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B1B LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B1BX LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
AX LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS2 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The notes are supported by 5,537 newly originated, closed-end
second lien (CES) loans with a total balance of $403 million as of
the cutoff date.
Spring EQ, LLC (Spring EQ) and Nationstar Mortgage LLC dba Mr.
Cooper (Nationstar) originated approximately 52% and 48% of the
loans, respectively. Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (SMS) and
Nationstar will service the loans. The servicers will advance
delinquent (DQ) monthly payments of P&I for up to 60 days (under
the Office of Thrift Supervision [OTS] methodology) or until deemed
nonrecoverable.
Distributions of P&I and loss allocations are based on a
traditional senior-subordinate, sequential structure. The
sequential-pay structure locks out principal to the subordinated
notes until the most senior notes outstanding are paid in full.
Excess cash flow can be used to repay losses or net weighted
average coupon (WAC) shortfalls. In addition, the structure
includes a senior IO class, which represents a senior interest
strip of 1.50%, with such interest strip entitlement being senior
to the net interest amounts paid to the P&I certificates.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to an updated view
on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values of
this pool as 11.6% above a long-term sustainable level, compared
with 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% qoq. Housing
affordability is at its worst levels in decades, driven by high
interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased 5.9%
yoy nationally as of May 2024, despite modest regional declines,
but are still being supported by limited inventory.
Closed-End Second Liens (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool comprises newly originated CES mortgages. Fitch assumed no
recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second lien loans based on
the historical behavior of second lien loans in economic stress
scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first lien loans; after controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Strong Credit Quality (Positive): The pool consists of
new-origination CES loans, seasoned at approximately six months (as
calculated by Fitch), with a relatively strong credit profile — a
weighted average (WA) model credit score of 729, a 38%
debt-to-income ratio (DTI) and a moderate sustainable loan-to-value
ratio (sLTV) of 78%.
Roughly 99% of the loans were treated as full documentation in
Fitch's analysis. Approximately 69% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel.
Sequential-Pay Structure with Realized Loss and Writedown Feature
(Mixed): The transaction's cash flow is based on a sequential-pay
structure whereby the subordinate classes do not receive principal
until the most senior classes are repaid in full. Losses are
allocated in reverse-sequential order. Furthermore, the provision
to reallocate principal to pay interest on the 'AAAsf' rated notes
prior to other principal distributions is highly supportive of
timely interest payments to those notes in the absence of servicer
advancing.
With respect to any loan that becomes DQ for 150 days or more under
the OTS methodology, the related servicer will review, and may
charge off, such loan with the approval of the asset manager, based
on an equity analysis review performed by the servicer, causing the
most subordinated class to be written down. Fitch views the
writedown feature positively, despite the 100% LS assumed for each
defaulted second lien loan, as cash flows will not be needed to pay
timely interest to the 'AAAsf' rated notes during loan resolution
by the servicers. In addition, subsequent recoveries realized after
the writedown at 150 days DQ (excluding forbearance mortgage or
loss mitigation loans) will be passed on to bondholders as
principal.
The structure does not allocate excess cashflow to turbo down the
bonds but includes a step-up coupon feature whereby the fixed
interest rate for classes A1, A2 and M1 will increase by 100 bps,
subject to the net WAC, after four years.
In addition, the structure includes a senior IO class certificate
(class AX), which represents a senior interest strip of 1.50% per
annum based off the related mortgage rate of each mortgage loan,
with such interest strip entitlement being senior to the net
interest amounts paid to the notes and paid at the top of the
waterfall. Notably, the inclusion of this senior IO class reduces
the collateral WAC and effectively diminishes the excess spread.
Given that it is a strip-off of the entire collateral balance and
accrual amounts will be reduced by any losses on the collateral
pool, class AX cannot be rated by Fitch.
Overall, in contrast to earlier TPMT CES transactions, this
transaction has less excess spread available and its application
offers diminished support to the rated classes, requiring a higher
level of credit enhancement (CE).
Separately, while Fitch has previously analyzed CES transactions
using an interest rate cut, this stress is not being applied for
this transaction. Given the lack of evidence of interest rate
modifications being used as a loss mitigation tactic, the
application of the stress was overly punitive. If this re-emerges
as a common form of loss mitigation or if certain structures are
overly dependent on excess interest, Fitch may apply additional
sensitivities to test the structure.
Limited Servicer P&I Advances (Neutral): The transaction is
structured with three months of servicer advances for DQ P&I.
Structural provisions and cash flow priorities, together with
increased subordination, provide for timely payments of interest to
the 'AAAsf' rated classes. Fitch is indifferent to the advancing
framework since, given its projected 100% LS, no credit would be
given to advances on the structure side and no additional
adjustment would be made in relation to LS.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis shows how ratings
would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at the national
level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in
addition to the model projected 42.6%, at 'AAAsf'. The analysis
indicates there is some potential rating migration, with higher
MVDs for all rated classes compared with model projections.
Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home prices would lower
all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all rated classes. Specifically, a
10% gain in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for
the rated classes, excluding those being assigned ratings of
'AAAsf'.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Per Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria," originators or aggregators
representing more than 15% of a portfolio are expected to be deemed
'Acceptable' by Fitch. However, Nationstar, which originated 48% of
the pool, has not been assessed as an originator by Fitch. Mortgage
originators and aggregators, as transaction participants, can
influence the performance of the assets backing an RMBS
transaction.
This variation is addressed through Fitch's Loan Loss Model, which,
in the absence of an originator assessment, takes into account the
aggregator's quality and adjusts the default expectation for newly
originated loans accordingly, applying either a credit or a
penalty. Additionally, the 100% due diligence review, which
includes a review of regulatory compliance with a focus on
predatory lending practices and reported no material exceptions,
helps to mitigate this variation by serving as an additional check
for originator quality. This variation had no rating impact.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC (AMC), Clayton, LLC (Clayton) and Consolidated
Analytics. A third-party due diligence review was completed on 100%
of the loans. The scope, as described in Form 15E, focused on
credit, regulatory compliance and property valuation reviews,
consistent with Fitch criteria for new originations. The results of
the reviews indicated low operational risk with no loans receiving
a final grade of C/D. Fitch applied a credit for the high
percentage of loan-level due diligence, which reduced the 'AAAsf'
loss expectation by 86bps.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
TRINITAS CLO VIII: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on $26MM Cl. E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Trinitas CLO VIII, Ltd.:
US$55,000,000 Class B Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf);
previously on Dec 15, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$26.500,000 Class C Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf); previously on Dec 15, 2023 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
US$32.500,000 Class D Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf); previously on Jul 13, 2018 Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$320,000,000 (current outstanding amount US$121,817,123.38)
Class A Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Jul
13, 2018 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$26,000,000 Class E Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed B1
(sf); previously on Dec 15, 2023 Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Trinitas CLO VIII, Ltd., issued in July 2018, is a collateralised
loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield
senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed by Trinitas
Capital Management, LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period
ended in July 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B, C and D notes are primarily a
result of the significant deleveraging of the senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last
rating action in December 2023.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A and E notes are
primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes remaining
consistent with their current rating levels, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately USD 167.1 million
(52.2%) since the last rating action in December 2023 and USD 198.2
million (61.9%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased for the senior and
mezzanine rated notes. According to the trustee report dated
October 2024 [1], the Class A/B, Class C and Class D OC ratios are
reported at 153.19%, 133.22% and 114.86% compared to October 2023
[2] levels of 129.63%, 120.36% and 110.65%, respectively. Moody's
note that the Class E OC test is currently failing.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD271.84m
Defaulted Securities: USD 11.28m
Diversity Score: 51
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3371
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.64 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.40%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.71%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 2.40%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability Moody's are analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Moody's Approach to Assessing Counterparty Risks in
Structured Finance" published in October 2024. Moody's concluded
the ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
TRINITAS CLO XI: Moody's Lowers Rating on $31.8MM E-R Notes to B1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned rating to one class of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Trinitas CLO XI, Ltd.
(the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$378,000,000 Class A-1-RR Floating Rate Notes due 2034 (the
"Class A-1-RR Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
Additionally, Moody's have taken rating action on the following
outstanding notes:
US$31,800,000 Class E-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2034
(the "Class E-R Notes"), Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on
September 15, 2021 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Trinitas Capital Management, LLC (the "Manager") will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued seven other classes of secured notes
and one class of subordinated notes, which will remain
outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, other changes
include extension of the non-call period.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E-R notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
Moody's calculation, the total collateral par balance, including
recoveries from defaulted securities, is $581.5 million, or $18.5
million less than the $600 million initial par amount targeted
during the deal's ramp-up. Furthermore, based on the trustee's
October 2024 report[1], the weighted average rating factor (WARF)
is reported at 2791 failing the reported trigger level of 2420.
Additionally, trustee's reported exposure to issuers with credit
quality of Caa1 or below has increased to 7.76%[2], versus 4.56% in
October 2023[3].
No actions were taken on the Class X Notes, Class A-2-R Notes,
Class B-R Notes, Class C-R Notes, Class D-1-R Notes and Class D-2-R
Notes because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $575,911,018
Defaulted par: $11,283,849
Diversity Score: 82
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2726
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 2.83%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.98%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.64 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
US CAPITAL II: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Two Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of 12 classes from four U.S.
trust preferred collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). The Rating
Outlooks for seven of the classes remain Stable. Rating actions and
performance metrics for each CDO are reported in the accompanying
rating action report.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Preferred Term
Securities VIII,
Ltd./Inc.
A-2 74041PAB6 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
B-1 74041PAC4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 74041PAD2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-3 74041PAE0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
U.S. Capital
Funding I,
Ltd./Corp.
B-1 903329AE0 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
B-2 903329AG5 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
U.S. Capital
Funding II,
Ltd./Corp.
A-2 90390KAB0 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
B-1 90390KAC8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
B-2 90390KAD6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
ALESCO Preferred
Funding III,
Ltd./Inc.
A-2 01448MAB5 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
B-1 01448MAC3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 01448MAD1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
Transaction Summary
The CDOs are collateralized primarily by trust preferred securities
(TruPS) issued by banks.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Two of the transactions deleveraged from collateral redemptions and
excess spread, which led to the senior classes of notes receiving
paydowns. In U.S. Capital Funding I, Ltd./Corp. (US Cap I), the
class A-2 notes were paid in full and the next senior-most classes,
the pro-rata classes B-1 and B-2, were paid down 19% of their last
review note balances. In U.S. Capital Funding II, Ltd./Corp. (US
Cap II), the senior class of notes received a paydown of 96% of its
last review balance. The remaining two deals did not have any
paydowns. The magnitude of the deleveraging for each CDO is
reported in the accompanying rating action report.
For two transactions, the credit quality of the collateral
portfolios, as measured by a combination of Fitch's bank scores and
public ratings, deteriorated, with the other two exhibiting stable
or positive credit migration. One bank issuer in Preferred Term
Securities VIII, Ltd./Inc. (PreTSL VIII), representing 5% of the
pool, deferred for the second time. The issuer had previously
deferred in 2009 and cured in 2014. No new cures or defaults have
been reported since last review.
The ratings for the class B-1 and B-2 (together, the class B) notes
in US Cap II are one notch higher than their model-implied rating
(MIR), which was driven by the outcome of the sensitivity
analysis.
The Stable Outlooks on seven tranches in this review reflect
Fitch's expectation that the classes have sufficient levels of
credit protection to withstand potential deterioration in the
credit quality of the portfolios in stress scenarios commensurate
with the classes' ratings.
Fitch considered the rating of the issuer account bank in the
ratings for the class A-2 notes in Alesco Preferred Funding III,
Ltd./Inc., PreTSL VIII and US Cap II due to the transaction
documents not conforming to Fitch's "Structured Finance and Covered
Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria". These transactions are allowed
to hold cash, and their transaction account bank (TAB) does not
collateralize cash. Therefore, these classes of notes are capped at
the same rating as that of its TAB.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the rated notes may occur if a significant share of
the portfolio issuers default and/or experience negative credit
migration, which would cause a deterioration in rating default
rates.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Future upgrades to the rated notes may occur if a transaction
experiences improvement in credit enhancement through deleveraging
from collateral redemptions and/or interest proceeds being used for
principal repayment.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-9: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Verus
Securitization Trust 2024-9's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by U.S.
residential mortgage loans.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 2,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, prior credit
events, and geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners; and
-- S&P said, "One key change in our baseline forecast since
September, where-in we expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026 (it was previously fourth-quarter
2025). We now expect the federal funds rate to reach 3.50%-3.75% by
the end of next year (versus 3.00%-3.25% in our September outlook)
as inflation is likely to be above the 2.00% target for longer than
we previously thought. Heading into 2025, the U.S. economy is
expanding at a solid pace and while President-elect Donald Trump
outlined numerous policy proposals during his campaign, S&P Global
Ratings' economic outlook for 2025 hasn't changed appreciably,
partly because we have taken a probabilistic approach and are
assuming partial implementation of campaign promises. It will take
time for changes in fiscal, trade, and immigration policy to be
implemented and affect the economy. Therefore, we maintain our
current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency of 2.50%. This reflects our benign
view of the mortgage and housing markets, as demonstrated through
general national level home price behavior, unemployment rates,
mortgage performance, and underwriting."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
Verus Securitization Trust 2024-9
Class A-1, $399,827,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $50,514,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $73,781,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $37,350,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $20,512,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $18,062,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $12,246,806: NR
Class A-IO-S, Notional(ii): NR
Class XS, Notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The collateral and structural information reflect the term sheet
dated Nov. 29, 2024; the preliminary ratings address the ultimate
payment of interest and principal. They do not address the payment
of the cap carryover amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
NR--Not rated.
VIBRANT CLO XIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Vibrant CLO XIII, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Vibrant CLO XIII,
Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-2-R LT WDsf Withdrawn AA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Vibrant CLO XIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Vibrant Capital Partners, Inc. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
The final rating of 'BBBsf' on the class D-1-R notes is higher than
the expected rating of 'BBB-(EXP)sf' assigned on Oct. 22, 2024. The
rating change is due to updated final deal covenants compared to
assumptions used in the assignment of the expected ratings.
When assigning the expected ratings, Fitch anticipated one class of
floating-rate B-1-R notes and one class of fixed B-2-R notes, both
pari passu. Instead, the classes were combined into one class of
floating-rate B-R notes. Fitch has withdrawn the expected rating
for class B-2-R.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.71, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.7. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.11% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 76.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'A+sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Vibrant CLO XIII,
Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
WARWICK CAPITAL 5: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Warwick
Capital CLO 5 Ltd./Warwick Capital CLO 5 LLC's fixed- and
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Warwick Capital CLO Management
LLC--Management Series, a subsidiary of Warwick Capital Partners
LLP.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 4,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Warwick Capital CLO 5 Ltd./Warwick Capital CLO 5 LLC
Class A-1, $256 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $6 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $42 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $35 million: Not rated
WELLFLEET CLO 2016-2: Moody's Cuts $19.2MM D-R Notes Rating to B3
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following note
issued by Wellfleet CLO 2016-2, Ltd.:
US$26,000,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2028 (the "Class C-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aa3 (sf);
previously on February 1, 2022 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$19,200,000 Class D-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2028 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Downgraded to B3 (sf);
previously on May 30, 2024 Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Wellfleet CLO 2016-2, Ltd., originally issued in November 2016 and
refinanced in November 2018, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes
are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated
senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment
period ended in October 2020.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging of
the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since May 2024. The Class A-2-R
notes have been paid down in full by $26.2 million, and the Class
B-R notes have been paid down by $8.2 million or approximately 45%,
since that time. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC ratio for the
Class C-R notes is currently 164.19% (before applying any
haircuts), versus a May 2024 level of 125.24%.
The downgrade rating action on the Class D-R notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the trustee's October 2024 report[1], the OC ratio for the Class
D-R notes is reported at 90.51% versus a May 2024 level[2] of
96.96%.
No action was taken on the Class B-R notes because its expected
loss remains commensurate with its current rating, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $57,294,779
Defaulted par: $6,322,998
Diversity Score: 21
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3886
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.16%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.93%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.47 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 17.15%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Actions
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
WELLS FARGO 2024-5C2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-5C2, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates Series 2024-5C2 as follows:
- $3,921,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $130,000,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $370,082,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $504,003,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $141,301,000a class X-B 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $95,401,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $23,400,000 class B 'AAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $22,500,000 class C 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,160,000ab class X-D 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,160,000b class D 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,640,000bc class E-RR 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,100,000bc class F-RR 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,201,000bc class G-RR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $7,200,000bc class J-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not rate the following class:
- $23,400,339bc class K-RR.
a) Notional amount and interest only.
b) Privately placed pursuant to Rule 144A.
c) Horizontal risk retention interest.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Wells Fargo
Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2024-5C2
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-S LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
E-RR LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
F-RR LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
G-RR LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
J-RR LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
K-RR LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
X-B LT AAAsf New Rating A(EXP)sf
X-D LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, primary assets of which are 27 loans secured by 138
commercial properties having an aggregate principal balance of
$720,005,340 as of the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, Goldman Sachs
Mortgage Company, JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, UBS
AG, Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., and LMF Commercial, LLC.
The master servicer is Wells Fargo Bank, National Association and
the special servicer is Rialto Capital Advisors, LLC. The trustee
and certificate administrator is Computershare Trust Company, N.A.
The certificates follow a sequential paydown structure.
Since publishing its expected ratings on Nov. 12, 2024, Fitch
revised the rating on class X-B to 'AAAsf' from 'Asf'. This
reflects the rating of the lowest referenced tranche whose payable
interest has an impact on the interest-only payments.
Additionally, the balances for classes A-2, A-3, D, X-D and E-RR
were finalized. The initial certificate balance of the class A-2
was expected to be in the range of $0 to $225,000,000, and the
initial aggregate certificate balance of the class A-3 was expected
to be in the range of $275,082,000 to $500,082,000. The final class
balances for classes A-2 and A-3 are $130,000,000 and $370,082,000,
respectively. The initial certificate balance of the class D was
expected to be in the range of $7,200,000 to $9,900,000 and the
initial certificate balance of the class E-RR was expected to be in
the range of $9,900,000 to $12,600,000. The final class balances
for classes D and E-RR are $9,160,000 and $10,640,000, respectively
and the resulting credit support for the class D was 9.103%. The
classes above reflect the final ratings and deal structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 23 loans
totaling 96.8% of the pool by balance. Fitch's aggregate pool net
cash flow (NCF) of $74.4 million represents a 14.6% decline from
the issuer's underwritten NCF of $87.2 million.
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has
higher leverage compared to recent multiborrower transactions rated
by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 93.2% is
worse than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 91.1% and 88.3%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 9.3% is lower
than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 11.0% and 10.9%,
respectively. Excluding credit opinion loans, the pool's Fitch LTV
and DY are 100.0% and 9.6%, respectively, compared to the
equivalent conduit 2024 YTD LTV and DY averages of 96.0% and 10.3%,
respectively.
Shorter Duration Loans: The pool is 100% comprised of loans with
five-year terms, whereas standard conduit transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else equal. This is mainly attributed to the shorter window of
exposure to potential adverse economic conditions. Fitch considered
its loan performance regression in its analysis of the pool.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Five loans representing
20.5% of the pool received an investment-grade credit opinion.
Rockefeller Center (5.6%) received a standalone credit opinion of
'A+sf*'. Atrium Hotel Portfolio 24 Pack (4.9%) received a
standalone credit opinion of 'BBB+sf*'. Queens Center (4.2%)
received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. ICONIQ
Multifamily Portfolio (3.6%) received a standalone credit opinion
of 'AA-sf*'. BioMed 2024 Portfolio 2 (2.3%) received a standalone
credit opinion of 'BBB+sf*'. The pool's total credit opinion
percentage is higher than the 2024 YTD of 15.2% and in line with
the 2023 average of 20.8%.
Higher Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The top 10 loans in the pool
make up 67.3% of the pool, which is higher than the 2024 YTD level
of 60.3% and 2023 level of 63.7%. The pool's effective loan count
of 22.5 is slightly higher than the 2024 YTD and 2023 average
effective loan count of 22.4 and 20.6, respectively. Fitch views
diversity as a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the
overall loss for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at maturity,
the pool will pay down by 0.7%, which is below the 2024 YTD and
2023 averages of 1.0% and 1.4%, respectively. The pool has 22
interest-only loans, or 78.0% of pool by balance, which is better
than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 88.0% and 84.5%,
respectively but still high overall. Additionally, the average loan
term of the pool is 60 months, which is shorter than the 2024 YTD
and 2023 averages of 76.2 months and 87.8 months, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BBsf' / 'B-sf' / less than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A+sf' / 'A-sf' /
'BBB+sf' / 'BBsf' / 'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2023-4: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ratings on nine classes from
Westlake Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-1 and 2023-4. The
transactions are backed by subprime retail auto loan receivables
originated and serviced by Westlake Services LLC.
The rating actions reflect:
S&P said, "Each transaction's collateral performance to date and
our views regarding future collateral performance; Our remaining
cumulative net loss (CNL) expectation for each transaction and its
structure and credit enhancement levels; and
Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, including our most recent macroeconomic outlook that
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
Considering all these factors, we believe each notes'
creditworthiness is consistent with the affirmed ratings.
"The Westlake 2021-1 transaction, reviewed in August 2024,
continues to experience higher back-end losses than our
expectations. As such, we revised and raised our expected CNL for
this transaction. The 2023-4 transaction, albeit early, is
performing in line with our initial expectations, and our expected
CNL for the transaction is unchanged."
Table 1
Collateral Performance (%)
Pool Current 60-plus day
Series Month factor CNL delinq. Extensions
2021-1 44 13.38 8.23 2.08 10.12
2023-4 12 67.38 4.42 1.33 6.20
(i)As of November 2024 distribution date.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
Table 2
CNL Expectation (%)
Original Prior Current
lifetime lifetime lifetime
Series CNL exp. CNL exp.(i) CNL exp.(ii)
2021-1 13.75 (13.50-14.00) 8.25 8.75
2023-4 12.50 N/A 12.50
(i)Revised in August 2024.
(ii)Revised in December 2024.
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectation.
Each transaction has a sequential principal payment structure in
which the notes are paid principal by seniority, which will
increase the credit enhancement for the senior notes as the pool
amortizes. Each transaction also has credit enhancement in the form
of a nonamortizing reserve account, overcollateralization,
subordination for the more senior classes, and excess spread.
As of the November 2024 distribution date, each transaction is at
its specified target overcollateralization level and specified
reserve level.
The affirmed ratings reflect S&P's view that the total credit
support, as a percentage of the amortizing pool balance and
compared with our expected remaining losses, is commensurate with
the respective ratings.
Table 3
Hard Credit Support (i)
Total hard Current total hard
credit support credit support
Series Class at issuance (%) (% of current)
2021-1 D 10.85 84.83
2021-1 E 7.20 57.55
2021-1 F 1.50 14.95
2023-4 A-2 40.80 61.94
2023-4 A-3 40.80 61.94
2023-4 B 34.25 52.22
2023-4 C 23.55 36.34
2023-4 D 14.65 23.12
2023-4 E 9.50 15.48
(i)As of November 2024 distribution date, calculated as a
percentage of the total gross receivable pool balance, consisting
of a reserve account, overcollateralization, and, if applicable,
subordination.
S&P said, "We analyzed the current hard credit enhancement compared
to the remaining expected CNLs for those classes where hard credit
enhancement alone without credit to the expected excess spread was
sufficient, in our view, to support the rating actions. For the
other classes, we incorporated a cash flow analysis to assess the
loss coverage level, giving credit to stressed excess spread. Our
various cash flow scenarios included forward-looking assumptions on
recoveries, timing of losses, and voluntary absolute prepayment
speeds that we believe are appropriate, given the transactions'
performance to date.
"In addition to our break-even cash flow analysis, we also
conducted a sensitivity analyses for the series to determine the
impact that a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario would have on our
ratings if losses began trending higher than our revised loss
expectation.
"In our view, the results demonstrated that all of the classes have
adequate credit enhancement at the current rating levels, which is
based on our analysis as of the collection period ended Oct. 31,
2024 (the November 2024 distribution date).
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the outstanding
transactions to ensure that the credit enhancement remains
sufficient, in our view, to cover our CNL expectations under our
stress scenarios for each of the rated classes."
RATINGS AFFIRMED
Westlake Automobile Receivables Trust
Series Class Rating
2021-1 D AAA (sf)
2021-1 E AAA (sf)
2021-1 F AA (sf)
2023-4 A-2 AAA (sf)
2023-4 A-3 AAA (sf)
2023-4 B AA (sf)
2023-4 C A (sf)
2023-4 D BBB (sf)
2023-4 E BB (sf)
WHITEBOX CLO II: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-1R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Whitebox CLO II Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Whitebox CLO II
LTD_2024
A-1R2 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AA+sf New Rating
C-R2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-1R2 LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2R2 LT BBBsf New Rating
E-1R2 LT BB+sf New Rating
E-2R2 LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Whitebox CLO II Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Whitebox Capital Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.88% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 78.19%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-2R2, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AAsf' for class B-R2, between 'BB-sf' and 'Asf' for
class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1R2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E-1R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-1R2, 'A+sf' for class D-2R2, and 'BBB+sf' for
class E-1R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Whitebox CLO II
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
WHITEBOX CLO II: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1.5MM E-2R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Whitebox CLO II
LTD (the Issuer):
US$256,000,000 Class A-1R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$1,500,000 Class E-2R2 Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least 90%
of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured loans,
up to 10% of the portfolio may consist of second lien loans,
unsecured loans and bonds.
Whitebox Capital Management LLC (the Manager) will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes and the other
six classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to
transaction features will occur in connection with the refinancing.
These include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of
the stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain
collateral quality tests; changes to the overcollateralization test
levels and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3103
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
WILLIS ENGINE V: Fitch Affirms BB Rating on C Debt
--------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings affirmed the ratings of all classes of Willis Engine
Structured Trust III (WEST III), Willis Engine Structured Trust IV
(WEST IV), and Willis Engine Structured Trust V (WEST V). The
Rating Outlooks on the WEST III notes as well as the subordinated
notes of WEST V were revised to Positive from Stable, while the
Outlook for the remaining notes remains Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Willis Engine
Structured Trust IV
Series A 97064EAA6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Series B 97064EAC2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Willis Engine
Structured Trust V
Series A 97064FAA3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Series B 97064FAB1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Series C 97064FAC9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Willis Engine
Structured Trust III
Series A 2017-A 97063QAA0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Series B 2017-A 97063QAB8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Transaction Summary
The rating actions reflect current transaction performance, Fitch's
cash flow projections, and its expectation for the structures to
withstand rating-specific stresses. Rating considerations include
lease terms, lessee credit quality and performance, engine values,
and Fitch's assumptions and stresses, which inform its modeled cash
flows and coverage levels.
Rent collections over the past 12 months have remained
approximately flat for WEST III, while increasing 21% for WEST IV
and decreasing 8% for WEST V versus the prior 12 months. Engine
utilization rates and lease rates impact rent collections, Average
utilization rates were 2.4% lower for WEST III, 3.3% higher for
WEST IV, and 10.0% lower for WEST V, since the previous review.
Maintenance collections over the past 12 months have increased
significantly as airlines are utilizing the engines at higher rates
with inflows 33%, 75% and 13% higher than the prior 12 months for
WEST III, IV, and V respectively.
The debt-service coverage ratios (DSCRs) for WEST III, IV, and V
are currently at 2.72x, 3.16x, and 2.64x respectively. The DSCRs
are comfortably above the rapid amortization (1.1x) and the cash
trapping (1.15x) trigger levels for all three transactions and the
notes are on schedule or ahead of scheduled principal balances.
After satisfying all levels of the waterfall, the transactions have
released cash to the Issuer over the last 12 months totaling $23.0
million, $39.5 million, and $20.5 million for WEST III, IV, and V
respectively.
Overall Market Recovery
Demand for air travel remains robust. Total passenger traffic is
above 2019 levels with September revenue passenger kilometers
(RPKs) up 7.1% compared to September 2023, per the International
Air Transport Association (IATA). International traffic led the way
with 9.2% yoy RPK growth while domestic traffic grew 3.7% yoy.
September's load factor was 83.6%, up 1.0 percentage points
compared to September 2023. Aircraft ABS transaction servicers are
reporting strong demand for aircraft, particularly those with
maintenance green time remaining, and increased lease rates.
Market Risks
While the commercial aviation market has recovered significantly
over the past 12 months, it will continue to face risks including
workforce shortages, supply chain issues, geopolitical risks, and
recessionary concerns that would impact passenger demand. In
addition, uncertainty regarding inflationary pressures remain
despite some improvements.
Most of these events would lead to greater credit risk due to
increased lessee delinquencies, lease restructurings, defaults, and
reductions in lease rates and asset values, particularly for
engines that support older aircraft. All of these factors would
cause downward pressure on future cash flows needed to meet debt
service.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Quality and Appraised Pool Value
Each transaction includes mostly in-demand engines that support
narrow body (NB) airframes representing 87%, 70% and 74% of the
WEST III, IV and V pools respectively by value as of October 2024.
The remaining portion of each pool is split between engines that
support widebody (WB) and regional jet (RJ) airframes, with WB
engines representing 6%, 23 and 24% of each respective pool, and
RJs engines representing 6%, 7% and 2% of each respective pool.
Although Fitch only assigns tiers to aircraft and not the engines
themselves, the engines in the WEST III, IV and V pools principally
support Tier I and Tier II aircraft that are in high demand with
large in-service fleets.
On-lease assets (by value) decreased substantially for WEST III in
October 2024 versus last year's review, to 73% from 83%, although
the average utilization over the last year was 83%. The October
2024 decline was the result of two high-value engines going off
lease. Both engines are desirable, in-demand engines and are
expected to be released. Utilization rates for WEST IV and WEST V
remain consistent with the prior review, 86% to 83% and 71% to 73%,
respectively. WEST V has reported utilization rates consistently
below the other transactions since November 2023.
The Fitch values for the WEST III, IV, and V pools are $271
million, $334 million, and $331 million, respectively. Fitch used
the most recent appraisal as of December 2023 and applied
depreciation and market value decline assumptions pursuant to its
criteria. Fitch uses an LMM (lesser of mean and median) of the
appraiser values.
Using the Fitch Value, the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio for each note
has changed since Fitch's last review in November 2023 as follows:
- WEST III: A note 61% to 60%; B note 70% to 69%;
- WEST IV: A note 63% to 62%; B note 72% to 71%;
- WEST V: A note 74% to 69%; B note 84% to 79%; C note 87% to 82%.
For each of the transactions, the Maintenance Reserve Account is
funded at 100% of target.
Stable Lessee Credit
The credit profiles of the airline and other engine lessees in the
pools have remained stable or improved since the prior review in
October 2023. Nevertheless, some lessees remain under stress. The
proportion of lessees with assumed Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of
'CCC' or below (weighted by asset value) in WEST III decreased
marginally from 30% to 28%; in WEST IV the proportion increased
marginally from 30% to 31%; in WEST V it decreased from 25% to 18%.
The IDR assumptions reflect the lessees' ongoing credit profiles
and fleets in the current operating environment.
Pool Concentration
Geographically, all three transactions largest lessee concentration
is in emerging Asia Pacific, 24%, 28%, and 30%, respectively. Asset
count as of October 2024 is 46, 48, and 43 for WEST III, IV, and V,
respectively. The pool asset count remained similar to last review
for WEST III and IV. WEST III sold two engines; WEST IV sold six
engines and purchased six replacement engines. WEST V had
significant changes to its pool, selling 12 engines and using the
sale proceeds to acquire two high-value engines.
Operation and Servicing Risk
Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC, not rated by Fitch) acts as
sponsor, servicer and administrative agent to the transactions.
Fitch has found WLFC to be an effective servicer with a proven
track-record in the areas of remarketing, underwriting, procuring
and managing engine maintenance, and managing a portfolio. This is
evidenced by the experience of their team, the servicing of their
managed fleet, and securitization performance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades are possible if engine values and lease rates decline
more than forecasted, if lessee payment performance deteriorates,
thereby reducing cash flows, or if engine utilization rates
decline.
Fitch ran two down sensitivities, one regarding lessee credit
quality and the other regarding values. For the first, Fitch
assumed all future lessees have a 'CCC' rating. For the second,
Fitch reduced the starting Fitch value by 10%. Assuming all future
lessees are rated 'CCC' reduced the model-implied-rating (MIR) by
one notch for the WEST IV and V notes. It had no impact on the MIR
of the WEST III notes. Decreasing the Fitch value by 10% resulted
in a two to four notch decrease in the MIRs across all three
transactions.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Potential upgrades are possible if engine values and lease rates
are stronger than forecasted and/or excess maintenance cashflows
are used to deleverage the transactions.
As noted above, the rating outlooks on the WEST III notes as well
as the subordinated notes of WEST V were changed from neutral to
positive. Cashflow generation across all three transactions has
been strong, driven in large part by maintenance inflows. WEST III,
however, has not de-levered. Fitch'd like to see continued strong
performance before considering an upgrade. WEST V has de-levered as
seen in the lower LTV versus last year. However, the engines in the
pool have meaningfully changed over the past year. Fitch'd like to
see how the reconfigured pool performs before considering an
upgrade of the subordinated notes.
Fitch ran an up sensitivity assuming a 10% increase in the starting
Fitch value for the WEST III and WEST V transactions. This scenario
resulted in a one to three notch increase in the MIRs.
Rating upgrades are limited as Fitch caps the aircraft and engine
ABS ratings at 'Asf'. This is due to heavy servicer reliance,
historical asset and performance risks and volatility, and the
transactions pronounced exposure to exogenous risks.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The data used in determining the ratings was provide by the
servicer.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] DBRS Reviews 68 Classes From 15 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 68 classes from 15 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. Of the 15
transactions reviewed, 14 are classified as ReREMICs of legacy RMBS
and one is classified as a HELOC. Of the 68 classes reviewed,
Morningstar DBRS upgraded its credit ratings on four classes and
confirmed its credit ratings on 64 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4fLuNex
The Issuers are:
APS Resecuritization Trust 2016-3
PRMI Securitization Trust 2023-CMG1
Morgan Stanley Resecuritization Trust 2015-R3
Morgan Stanley Resecuritization Trust 2015-R6
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-5
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-6
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-7
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2010-3
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-8
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-9
Structured Asset Securities Corporation Trust 2006-11
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-10
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-11
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-12
The credit rating upgrades reflect a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update" published on September 25, 2024
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/439965). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] Fitch Affirms 95 Classes on 13 CMBS Deals on 2006-2012 Vintages
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded six and affirmed 95 classes from 13
U.S. CMBS multiborrower transactions from the 2006 through 2012
vintages. All transactions are concentrated by the remaining number
of loans/assets. The Rating Outlook was revised to Negative from
Stable on one affirmed class and remains Negative on one affirmed
class. One class was assigned a Negative Outlook following its
downgrade. The Outlook remains Stable on one affirmed class.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CFCRE 2011-C2
D 12527DAF7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 12527DAG5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 12527DAH3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
G 12527DAJ9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
COMM 2010-C1
D 12622DAK0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 12622DAL8 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 12622DAM6 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
G 12622DAN4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
Morgan Stanley
Capital I Trust
2011-C2
D 617459AJ1 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
E 617459AK8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 617459AL6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
G 617459AM4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
H 617459AN2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
CGCMT 2012-GC8
C 17318UAH7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
D 17318UAJ3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 17318UAS3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 17318UAT1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
Citigroup
Commercial
Mortgage Trust
2006-C4
C 17309DAJ2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
D 17309DAK9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 17309DAM5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
F 17309DAN3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
G 17309DAP8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
H 17309DAQ6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J 17309DAR4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
K 17309DAS2 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
L 17309DAT0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
M 17309DAU7 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
N 17309DAV5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
O 17309DAW3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
COMM 2012-CCRE1
D 12624BAL0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 12624BAN6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 12624BAQ9 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
G 12624BAS5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J.P. Morgan Chase
Mortgage Securities
Trust 2007-LDP12
A-J 46632HAL5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
B 46632HAM3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
C 46632HAN1 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
D 46632HAP6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
E 46632HAQ4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
F 46632HAR2 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
G 46632HAS0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
H 46632HAU5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J 46632HAW1 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
K 46632HAY7 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
L 46632HBA8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
M 46632HBC4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
N 46632HBE0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
P 46632HBG5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Q 46632HBJ9 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
T 46632HBL4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Bear Stearns
Commercial Mortgage
Securities Trust
2007-PWR17
C 07388QAN9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 07388QAQ2 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
E 07388QAS8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
F 07388QAU3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
G 07388QAW9 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
H 07388QAY5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J 07388QBA6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
K 07388QBC2 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
L 07388QBE8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
M 07388QBG3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
N 07388QBJ7 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
O 07388QBL2 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
P 07388QBN8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Q 07388QBQ1 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Bear Stearns
Commercial Mortgage
Securities Trust
2007-PWR18
B 07401DAL5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 07401DAM3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 07401DAN1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 07401DAP6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
F 07401DAQ4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
G 07401DAR2 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
H 07401DAS0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J 07401DAT8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
K 07401DAU5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
L 07401DAV3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
M 07401DAW1 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
N 07401DAX9 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
O 07401DAY7 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
P 07401DAZ4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Q 07401DBA8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
Morgan Stanley
Capital I Trust
2006-HQ10
B 61750HAH9 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C 61750HAJ5 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
D 61750HAK2 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
E 61750HAN6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
F 61750HAP1 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
G 61750HAQ9 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
H 61750HAR7 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
J 61750HAS5 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
K 61750HAT3 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
L 61750HAU0 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
M 61750HAV8 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
N 61750HAW6 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
O 61750HAX4 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
UBS 2012-C1
E 90269GAQ4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 90269GAS0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
COMM 2012-CCRE5
E 12623SAU4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 12623SAW0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
G 12623SAY6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
COMM 2012-LC4
B 126192AF0 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
C 126192AG8 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
D 126192AK9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 126192AL7 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 126192AM5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Significant Pool Concentration; Adverse Selection: These
transactions are concentrated with fewer than eight loans/assets
remaining, the majority of which are considered Fitch Loans of
Concern (FLOCs). Fitch conducted a look-through analysis to
determine the loans' expected recoveries and losses to assess the
outstanding classes' ratings relative to credit enhancement (CE).
In some cases, this analysis resulted in rating caps given the weak
collateral quality of the remaining loans and concerns with
ultimate refinanceability and/or workout resolutions. The affirmed
classes reflect stable pool performance and loss expectations since
the last rating action.
The downgrade of classes B and C in COMM 2012-LC4 reflect higher
pool loss expectations and greater certainty of losses since the
last rating action, driven by the four remaining loans/assets,
including a lower-tier regional mall FLOC (Square One Mall), a
specially serviced retail loan secured by an underperforming
lifestyle center (Alamance Crossing), and two REO assets
(Susquehanna Valley Mall and Hickory Glen Apartments). Performance
of these loans/assets has either not stabilized and/or the latest
appraisal valuations have deteriorated further.
While CE is high relative to loss expectations, the Negative
Outlook on class B in COMM 2012-LC4 reflects the significant pool
adverse selection and possible further downgrades should mall
performance and/or valuations of the remaining loans/assets
continue to deteriorate beyond Fitch's expectations, or specially
serviced workouts are prolonged.
The downgrades to 'Dsf' from 'Csf' in MSCI 2006-HQ10 (classes C and
D), BSCMSI 2007-PWR17 (class D) and COMM 2012-CCRE1 (class F)
reflect a principal loss to these classes.
The Negative Outlooks on class C in CGCMT 2012-GC8 and class D in
COMM 2010-C1 reflects the continued performance concerns on the REO
Pinnacle at Westchase asset, specially serviced Gansevoort Park
Avenue loan (CGCMT 2012-GC8) and the Fashion Outlets of Niagara
Falls loan (COMM 2010-C1); downgrades are possible to these classes
should recovery expectations diminish significantly.
COMM 2012-LC4: The REO Hickory Glen Apartments asset (5% of pool)
is a 129-unit multifamily property located in Springfield, IL. As
of May 2024, the property was valued at $3.2 million, marking a
significant 76% decline from its $13.2 million valuation in July
2022. Fitch's analysis on this asset incorporated a 20% stress to
the most recent appraisal due to prolonged workout process and lack
of progress on disposition of the REO asset. In addition, the
appraisal of the Alamance Crossing loan has significantly declined
to $34.2 million as of January 2024 from $45.0 million in November
2022.
Regional Mall Exposure: Ten of the 13 transactions have significant
exposure to lower-tier, underperforming regional malls that are
designated as FLOCs and/or in special servicing, with deteriorated
performance and/or high Fitch loss expectations. These include
Eastview Mall and Commons, which is the sole loan comprising COMM
2012-CCRE5, with an approximate 70% loss; Poughkeepsie Galleria,
which is the sole loan in UBS 2012-C1 with an approximate 73% loss;
and Ingram Park Mall, which is the sole loan in MSC 2011-C2, with
an approximate 46% loss.
Eastview Mall and Commons comprises two retail properties in
Victor, NY whose occupancy fell to 84% in June 2024, with a
servicer-reported NOI DSCR of 1.52x for the same period.
Poughkeepsie Galleria is a 1.1 million-sf regional mall located in
Poughkeepsie, NY where June 2024 occupancy was reported at 70% with
a servicer-reported NOI DSCR of 1.17x. The REO Ingram Park Mall
asset is a 1.1 million-sf regional mall located in San Antonio, TX
with a reported occupancy of 95% in June 2024 and servicer-reported
NOI DSCR of 1.23x.
Changes to CE: As of the November 2024 distribution date, the
aggregate pool balance of the 13 U.S. CMBS conduit transactions has
been reduced in excess of 85% on average (ranging between 85% and
99%) since issuance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks in COMM 2012-LC4, CGCMT 2012-GC8 and COMM
2010-C1 reflect possible downgrades should further declines in
performance and/or lower valuations of the specially serviced
loans/assets result in increased loss expectations for the pool.
Downgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are possible
with higher than expected losses from continued performance of the
FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses on the specially
serviced loans/assets or other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed ratings would occur as losses become more
certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Given the significant pool concentration and adverse selection of
these transactions, upgrades are not expected, but may occur with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values or recovery expectations on the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Fitch Affirms Three US CMBS BBCMS 2022 Vintage Transactions
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 53 classes from three U.S. CMBS 2022
vintage conduit transactions from the BBCMS shelf. The Rating
Outlooks remain Negative for nine classes across the three
transactions.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BBCMS 2022-C17
A-1 054976AA3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 054976AB1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 054976AC9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 054976AD7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 054976AE5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 054976AJ4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 054976AF2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 054976AK1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 054976AL9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 054976AR6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 054976AT2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 054976AV7 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
G-RR 054976AX3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 054976AG0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 054976AH8 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 054976AM7 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 054976AP0 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
BBCMS 2022-C16
A-1 05552YAA4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 05552YAB2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 05552YAC0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 05552YAD8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 05552YAE6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 05552YAJ5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 05552YAF3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 05552YAK2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 05552YAL0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 05552YAX4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 05552YAZ9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 05552YBB1 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G 05552YBD7 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 05552YAG1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 05552YAH9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 05552YAM8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 05552YAP1 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-G 05552YAR7 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
BBCMS 2022-C14
A-1 07336AAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 07336AAB3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 07336AAC1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 07336AAD9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 07336AAE7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 07336AAJ6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 07336AAF4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 07336AAK3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 07336AAL1 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 07336AAP2 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E-RR 07336AAR8 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
F-RR 07336AAT4 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
G-RR 07336AAV9 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
H-RR 07336AAX5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
J-RR 07336AAZ0 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 07336AAG2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 07336AAH0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 07336AAM9 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating
case losses are 3.4% for BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2022-C14 (BBCMS
2022-C14), 3.7% for BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2022-C16 (BBCMS 2022-C16)
and 4.7% for BBCMS Mortgage Trust (BBCMS 2022-C17). Fitch Loan of
Concern (FLOC) concentration includes 15 loans (19.3% of the pool)
in BBCMS 2022-C14 (one of which is a non-specially serviced
delinquent loan, 0.5%), 10 loans (19.0%) in BBCMS 2022-C16 and 11
loans (18.1%) in BBCMS 2022-C17.
BBCMS 2022-C14: The affirmations and Stable Outlooks reflect stable
performance of loans in the pool, as well as limited exposure to
non-credit opinion office loans. While the pool contains a higher
concentration of office properties (37.0% of the pool), the
performance of three credit opinion loans secured by office
properties, Coleman Highline (7.7% of the pool), 1888 Century Park
East (7.7%), and The Summit (5.5%) remains stable.
BBCMS 2022-C16: The Negative Outlooks for classes F, G, X-F and X-G
in reflect the office concentration of 28.6% and performance
declines of multifamily and retail FLOCs, Houston Multifamily
Portfolio (7.1% of the pool) and Perry Hall Center and Perry Hall
Square (2.8%).
BBCMS 2022-C17: The Negative Outlooks for classes E, F, G-RR, X-D
and X-F in reflect the office concentration of 22.4% and
performance declines of the A&R Hospitality Portfolio (4.4%) and
Village Crossroads (2.6%) as well as the upcoming rollover concerns
for the Bell Works (2.8% of the portfolio) and KB Portfolio (2.8%)
loans.
Largest FLOCs and Contributors to Loss: The largest FLOC in the
BBCMS 2022-C14 transaction is the 1100 & 820 First Street NE loan
(6.4%), which is secured by a portfolio of two office buildings
totaling 655,071-sf in Washington D.C. Fitch identified the loan as
a FLOC because the largest tenant, U.S Department of Veteran
Affairs (20.0% of the NRA), exercised a lease termination option
for approximately 9% of the total NRA. This caused occupancy to
decline to 77% from 86% at YE 2023. Additionally, the second
largest tenant, Turner Broadcasting (16.6%) has a lease termination
option in December 2026, prior to lease expiration in December
2031.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 4.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.00% cap rate and a 20% stress to the YE
2023 NOI.
The next largest FLOC in the BBCMS 2022-C14 transaction is the FLOC
Nine + Eighteen Apartments loan (1.9%), which is secured by an
80-unit multifamily property located in Indianapolis, IN. While
occupancy has improved to 87% as of June 2024 from 52% at YE 2023,
performance remains below YE 2022 levels when occupancy was 95% and
100% at issuance. Additionally, operating expenses have increased
approximately 68% between YE 2023 and YE 2022 due to a 480%
increase in real estate taxes. Due to the declines in occupancy and
elevated expenses, the loan's NOI DSCR declined to 0.98x for the
YTD June 2024 reporting period, which is lower than 1.42x at YE
2023 and 1.34x at YE 2022.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 9.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 8.75% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI.
The largest FLOC is the BBCMS 2022-C16 transaction is the Houston
Multifamily Portfolio loan (7.1% of the NRA). It is secured by five
garden-style apartment properties totaling 1,558 units in Houston,
TX. Performance of the portfolio deteriorated significantly as a
result of the pandemic, but it is demonstrating signs of recovery.
According to the borrower, numerous tenants were evicted for
non-payment after the eviction moratorium elapsed. Additionally,
the borrower is investing approximately $12.5 million to restore
units to marketable condition, as they required extensive work
following the evictions.
While occupancy has improved to 90% as of March 2024, up from 74%
at YE 2023 and in-line with issuance levels, cash flow remains an
issue. The TTM March 2024 DSCR and YE 2023 NOI DSCR remain
insufficient to cover debt service at 0.54x and 0.46x,
respectively. Despite the performance declines, the loan has
remained current.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 3.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 8.75% cap rate and 5% stress to Fitch's
sustainable cash flow derived at issuance.
The largest FLOC and contributor to loss expectations in the BBCMS
2022-C17 transaction is the A&R Hospitality Portfolio (4.4%), which
is secured by a portfolio of eight extended stay hotels in Alabama
and one extended stay hotel in Florida totaling 924 rooms. The loan
was identified as a FLOC due to a decline in NOI driven by elevated
expenses. Per the most recent servicer reporting, the TTM June 2024
and YE 2023 insurance expense increased 33.3% and 34.1%,
respectively above issuance levels. As a result, TTM June NOI DSCR
has declined to 1.37x from 1.56x as of YE 2023.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 11.6% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 11.50% cap rate to the TTM June 2024 NOI.
The next largest FLOC in BBCMS 2022-C17 is the KB portfolio loan
(2.8%), which is secured by eight medical office buildings and one
retail building located in Las Vegas, NV. The retail building is
occupied by Walgreens, with a lease expiration in March 2090. While
the retail property comprises 6.4% of the total portfolio NRA, the
tenant contributes 34.5% to overall base rents. Fitch requested
updates regarding Walgreens status at the property, given recent
store closure announcements, but did not receive a response.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 9.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate and 10% stress to the YE 2023
NOI.
The next largest FLOC in BBCMS 2022-C17 is the Village Crossroads
loan (2.6%), which is secured by a 183,202-sf retail center located
in Lady Lake, FL. The collateral is anchored by Best Buy (16.4% of
the NRA), Jo-Ann Fabrics (11.8%), and PetSmart (11.7%). The loan
was identified as a FLOC after Bed Bath and Beyond (15.3% of the
NRA) and Unforgettable Party (5.5%) vacated in 2023, causing
occupancy and NOI DSCR to decline to 72% and 1.07x, respectively
for the YTD June 2024 reporting period, down from 94% and 1.62x at
YE 2022.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 5.0% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.25% cap rate and a 10% stress to the YE
2023 NOI.
Minimal Changes to Credit Enhancement: As of the October 2024
distribution dates the BBCMS 2022-C14, BBCMS 2022-C16 and BBCMS
2022-C17 transactions have been paid down by 2.0%, 0.6% and 0.3%,
respectively. There is one partially defeased loan (3.0% of the
pool) in BBCMS 2022-C14. No loans have defeased in BBCMS 2022-C16
or BBCMS 2022-C17.
Scheduled Amortization: There are 33 loans (64.1% of the pool) that
are full-term interest only (IO), 18 loans (29.1%) that are
amortizing and seven loans (6.9%) that are partial IO in BBCMS
2022-C14. There are 40 loans (74.9%) that are full-term IO, 12
loans (16.2%) that are amortizing and eight loans (8.9%) that are
partial IO in BBCMS 2022-C16. There are 39 loans (75.9%) that are
full-term IO, eight loans (10.8%) that are amortizing and nine
loans (13.3%) that are partial IO in BBCMS 2022-C17.
Realized Losses and Interest Shortfalls: There are no realized
losses affecting the three transactions. Interest shortfalls of
$15,062 are affecting the non-rated K-RR class in BBCMS 2022-C14
and $1,629, and $30,762 are affecting the non-rated vertical risk
retention VRRC and non-rated class J, respectively in BBCMS
2022-C16.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf'-rated classes are not expected due
to their position in the capital structure and continued
amortization and loan repayments, but could occur should deal-level
losses increase significantly. Downgrades to 'AAAsf' rated classes
are possible if interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to 'Asf' and 'BBBsf'-rated classes could occur should
more loans than anticipated experience performance declines and/or
default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf'-rated classes could occur with
further performance deterioration of the FLOCs, loans transfer to
special servicing and/or more loans than expected experience
performance declines. Notable FLOCs include 1100 & 820 First Street
NE and Nine + Eighteen Apartments in the BBCMS 2022-C14
transaction, Houston Multifamily in BBCMS 2022-C16, and A&R
Hospitality Portfolio, KB Portfolio and Village Crossroads in the
BBCMS 2022-C17 transaction.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf'-rated categories may be possible with
improved credit enhancement and/or defeasance, coupled with stable
pool-level loss expectations.
Upgrades to 'BBBsf'-rated categories would be limited based on
sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf'-rated categories would not occur until
later years of the transaction and would require performance
stabilization of the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 18 Bonds from 11 US RMBS Deals
----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 17 bonds and downgraded
the rating of one bond from 11 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime and Alt-A mortgages issued
by multiple issuers.
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=qxPHQp
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-W1
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: Centex Home Equity Loan Trust 2002-A
Cl. AF-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Mar 4, 2014
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. AF-6, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Nov 4, 2016 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. AV, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 11, 2022
Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS, Inc. Asset-Backed Certificates, Series 2004-1
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2016 Confirmed
at Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Fannie Mae Grantor Trust 2004-T5
Cl. AB-4, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 4, 2019 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: Fremont Home Loan Trust 2005-D
Cl. M1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded to
Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Impac CMB Trust Series 2005-1 Collateralized Asset-Backed
Bonds, Series 2005-1
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 4, 2015 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Nov 4, 2015 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 4, 2015 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Nov 4, 2015 Upgraded to
B3 (sf)
Issuer: Park Place Securities, Inc., Asset-Backed Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2005-WCH1
Cl. M-5, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 5, 2017
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2004-RS8 Trust
Cl. M-II-2, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 16, 2020
Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: RASC Series 2003-KS7 Trust
Cl. M-I-1, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 23, 2019
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: RASC Series 2005-AHL3 Trust
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2019 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp Trust 2005-NC2
Cl. M6, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded to
A1 (sf)
Cl. M7, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded to
Caa1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of
the related pools, and an increase in credit enhancement available
to the bonds. The credit enhancement since 12 months ago has grown,
on average, by 7% for the tranches upgraded. Moody's analysis also
reflects the potential for collateral volatility given the number
of deal-level and macro factors that can impact collateral
performance, the potential impact of any collateral volatility on
the model output, and the ultimate size or any incurred and
projected loss.
The upgrade actions on certain bonds are also driven by the
projected availability and crossing of excess funds between two
collateral pools in consideration of factors, such as the speed of
paydown of the bonds and the expected timing of losses. Moody's
analysis also considered the existence of historical interest
shortfalls for some of the bonds.
The rating upgrade on Class AB-4 from the resecuritization
transaction, Fannie Mae Grantor Trust 2004-T5, reflects the rating
action on the underlying bond in CWABS, Inc. Asset-Backed
Certificates, Series 2004-1.
In addition, the rating upgrades also reflect the further seasoning
of the collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of
borrower relief programs on collateral performance. Information
obtained from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on
their current strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the
impact those programs may have on collateral performance and
transaction liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent
analysis has found that in addition to robust home price
appreciation, many of these borrower relief programs have
contributed to stronger collateral performance than Moody's had
previously expected, thus supporting the upgrades.
The rating downgrade of Class M-5 issued by Park Place Securities,
Inc., Asset-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-WCH1 is
the result of outstanding credit interest shortfalls that are
unlikely to be recouped. The bond has a weak interest recoupment
mechanism where missed interest payments will likely result in a
permanent interest loss. Unpaid interest owed to bonds with weak
interest recoupment mechanisms are reimbursed sequentially based on
bond priority, from excess interest, if available, and often only
after the overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target
amount. In transactions where overcollateralization has already
been reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
Certain bonds in this review are currently impaired or expected to
become impaired. Moody's ratings on those bonds reflect any losses
to date as well as Moody's expected future loss.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all deals except Fannie
Mae Grantor Trust 2004-T5 was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology"
published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 25 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 25 bonds from three US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS).
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=SnQQjL
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Mello Mortgage Capital Acceptance 2021-INV3
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: MFA 2021-AEINV1 Trust
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Issuer: MFA 2021-AEINV2 Trust
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
transactions continue to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative losses to date. In addition, the credit
enhancement for each tranche upgraded has grown by, an average, 14%
since closing.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 52 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 52 bonds from six US
residential mortgage-backed transaction (RMBS), backed by
agency-eligible mortgage loans issued by multiple issuers.
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=uLHPoE
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2021-INV1
Cl. A3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 24, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A4, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 24, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. AX1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. AX3*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. AX10*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. BX1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2021-INV2
Cl. B, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B2A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. BX*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. BX2*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: UWM Mortgage Trust 2021-INV2
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: UWM Mortgage Trust 2021-INV3
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: UWM Mortgage Trust 2021-INV4
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Nov 24, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Issuer: UWM Mortgage Trust 2021-INV5
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, recent performance, and Moody's
updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continues to display
strong collateral performance, with cumulative loss for each
transaction under 0.03% and a small number of loans in delinquency.
In addition, enhancement levels for the tranches have grown
significantly as the pools amortized relatively quickly. The credit
enhancement since closing has grown, on average, by 14% for the
tranches upgraded.
While Moody's analysis applied a greater probability of default
stress on loans that have experienced modifications, Moody's
decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were in the
form of temporary payment relief.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 52 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 52 bonds from six US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). OBX 2021-J3 Trust
and RATE Mortgage Trust 2021-J3 are backed by prime jumbo and
agency eligible mortgage loans. OBX 2021-INV1 Trust, OBX 2021-INV2
Trust, OBX 2022-INV4 Trust and Bayview MSR Opportunity Master Fund
Trust 2021-INV5 are backed by almost entirely agency eligible
investor (INV) mortgage loans.
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=iFBNIf
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bayview MSR Opportunity Master Fund Trust 2021-INV5
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2021-INV1 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2021-INV2 Trust
Cl. A-18, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-19, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO-20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO-21*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2021-J3 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-INV4 Trust
Cl. A-13, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO14*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: RATE Mortgage Trust 2021-J3
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jan 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
transactions continue to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative loss for the transactions and a small number of
loans in delinquencies. In addition, enhancement levels for the
tranches have grown significantly, as the pools amortize relatively
quickly. The credit enhancement since closing has grown, on
average, 18% for the non-exchangeable tranches upgraded.
Moody's analysis reflects the potential for collateral volatility
given the number of deal-level and macro factors that can impact
collateral performance, the potential impact of any collateral
volatility on the model output, and the ultimate size or any
incurred and projected loss. In addition, while Moody's analysis
applied a greater probability of default stress on loans that have
experienced modifications, Moody's decreased that stress to the
extent the modifications were in the form of temporary payment
relief.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features, credit enhancement
and other qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
*********
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