/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/241222.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, December 22, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 356
Headlines
522 FUNDING 2019-4(A): Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Class E Notes
720 EAST 2022-I: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
A&D MORTGAGE 2024-NQM6:S&P Assigns Prelim 'B-' Rating on B-2 Certs
AB BSL 5: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
ARES CLO XLV: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $23.625MM E-R Notes
ARES XLII CLOI: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $350,000 F-R2 Notes
ARES XLIII: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Debt
ATLAS SENIOR X: S&P Affirms CCC+ (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
BARINGS CLO 2019-III: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-'Rating on E-RR Notes
BARINGS CLO 2024-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
BATTALION CLO XVI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
BENCHMARK 2024-V12: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. J Certs
BENEFIT STREET XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
BENEFIT STREET XXXVII: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class E Notes
BLACKROCK MAROON XI: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R Notes
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM8: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on B-2 Notes
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on HRR Certs
CARVAL CLO II: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $41.75MM E-R2 Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P4: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Class N Notes
CHASE HOME 2024-10: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
CHASE HOME 2024-11: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2020-555: DBRS Confirms B Rating on G Certs
COLT 2024-7: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B2 Certs
COMM MORTGAGE 2013-CCRE12: Moody's Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Ca
DIAMETER CAPITAL 3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on D-R Notes
DIAMETER CREDIT II: Moody's Ups Rating on $25.65MM E Notes From Ba2
DRYDEN 50 SENIOR: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $30MM Cl. E Notes
EATON VANCE 2015-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on $8MM F-R Notes to Caa3
FLATIRON CLO 26: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
FORTRESS CREDIT VIII: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
FORTRESS CREDIT XXV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
FORTRESS CREDIT XXVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
FREED MORTGAGE 2022-HE1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on C Notes
GALAXY 30: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
GLS AUTO 2023-4: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2011-GC5: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 4 Tranches
GS MORTGAGE 2021-PJ11: Moody's Ups Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs to Ba2
GS MORTGAGE 2021-ROSS: DBRS Cuts Rating on 3 Tranches to C(sf)
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ10: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL7: DBRS Gives B(high) Rating on B-2 Notes
HARVEST US 2024-3: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
HMH TRUST 2017-NSS: S&P Lowers Class D Certs Rating to 'D (sf)'
JP MORGAN 2021-410T: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class D Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
JPMCC 2012-CIBX: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
KEYCORP STUDENT 2006-A: Moody's Ups Rating on II-C Certs to Caa2
KRR CLO 60: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
KSL COMMERCIAL 2024-HT2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) on HRR Certs
LAKE SHORE V: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class C-R Notes
MADISON PARK LXVI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MADISON PARK LXVI: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to $350,000 F Notes
MADISON PARK XLV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-RR Notes
MAGNETITE XXXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-2-R Notes
MENLO CLO I: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
MF1 2020-FL4: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Notes
MORGAN STANLEY 2017-ASHF: S&P Affirms 'CCC' Rating on Cl. F Certs
NATIXIS COMMERCIAL 2019-NEMA: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on X Certs
NEUBERGER BERMAN 29: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
NEW MOUNTAIN 2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM3: Fitch Gives B-sf Rating on Cl. B-2 Notes
NXT CAPITAL 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
OCEANVIEW MORTGAGE 2021-5: Moody's Ups Rating on B-5 Certs to Ba1
OCP CLO 2015-10: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R3 Notes
OHA CREDIT 4: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
PIKES PEAK 10: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
PRESTIGE AUTO 2023-2: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL4: Moody's Assigns Ba2 Rating to Cl. M-2 Certs
RALI TRUST 2007-QH1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Cl. A-1 Certs to B1
REALT 2016-1: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Class G Debt
RIVERVIEW HECM 2007-1: S&P Affirms CCC (sf) on Class A Notes
ROCKFORD TOWER 2021-3: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
SAGARD-HALSEYPOINT 8: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
SCULPTOR CLO XXVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
SG COMMERCIAL 2020-COVE: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on F Certs
SHACKLETON 2018-XII CLO: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Cl. E Notes
SIGNAL PEAK 9: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
SIXTH STREET 27: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
SYMPHONY CLO 40: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
SYMPHONY CLO 46: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on 5 Classes
TRIMARAN CAVU 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
TRINITAS CLO XXXI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
UBS-BARCLAYS 2012-C4: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
UPGRADE RECEIVABLES 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on E Notes
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-9: S&P Assigns 'B-' Rating on B-2 Notes
WELLS FARGO 2022-C62: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. G-RR Debt to CCCsf
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C21: Moody's Affirms Ba1 Rating on C Certs
[*] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 4 Metronet Infrastructure Debt Series
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 19 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
[*] S&P Discontinues 'D' Ratings on 11 Classes From Five US Deals
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 65 Classes From 13 US RMBS Deals
*********
522 FUNDING 2019-4(A): Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by 522 Funding CLO 2019-4(A), Ltd.:
US$24,300,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2024 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$290,000,000 (current outstanding amount US$7,654,101) Class A-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Sep 19, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$52,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$25,200,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2024 Upgraded to
Aaa (sf)
US$22,500,000 Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2024 Affirmed Ba3
(sf)
522 Funding CLO 2019-4(A), Ltd., originally issued in February 2019
and partially refinanced in January 2021, is a collateralised loan
obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior
secured US loans. The portfolio is managed by MS 522 CLO CM LLC.
The transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrade on the Class D-R notes is primarily a result of
the deleveraging of the Class A-R notes following amortisation of
the underlying portfolio since the last rating action in September
2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-R, B-R, C-R and E
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-R notes have paid down by approximately USD25.0 million
(8.6% of original balance) since the last rating action and
USD282.3 million (97.4%) since closing. As a result of the
deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the
capital structure. According to the trustee report dated November
2024 [1] the Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are
reported at 240.6%, 169.1%, 131.5% and 109.0% compared to August
2024 [2] levels of 195.8%, 150.9%, 123.6% and 105.8%,
respectively.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD145.2m
Defaulted Securities: USD2.5m
Diversity Score: 44
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3306
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.32 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.55%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.1%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
720 EAST 2022-I: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from 720 East
CLO 2022-I Ltd./720 East CLO 2022-I LLC, a CLO originally issued in
December 2022 that is managed by Northwestern Mutual Investment
Management Co. LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 17,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 20, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R notes are
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month SOFR than
the original notes.
-- The new class A-2-R notes are expected to be issued at a 1.60%
floating rate above three-month CME term SOFR and rated 'AAA
(sf)'.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to January 2030.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to January 2038.
-- A concentration limit of 2.0% of long-dated obligations is
being added to the transaction.
-- The concentration limit for current-pay securities is being
reduced to 5.0% from 10.0%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
720 East CLO 2022-I Ltd./720 East CLO 2022-I LLC
Class A-1-R, $272.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $20.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $30.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $25.50 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $25.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $17.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $35.30 million: Not rated
A&D MORTGAGE 2024-NQM6:S&P Assigns Prelim 'B-' Rating on B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to A&D Mortgage
Trust 2024-NQM6's mortgage-backed certificates.
First- and second-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully
amortizing residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only
periods) to both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are
primarily secured by single-family residential properties, planned
unit developments, condominiums, two- to four-family residential
properties, mixed-use properties, manufactured housing, five- to
10-unit multifamily residences, and condotels. The pool consists of
872 loans, which are qualified mortgage (QM) safe harbor (average
prime offer rate), QM rebuttable presumption (average prime offer
rate), non-QM/ability to repay (ATR)-compliant loans, and
ATR-exempt loans.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 12,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition and geographic
concentration;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, and representation and warranty framework;
-- The mortgage originator, A&D Mortgage LLC;
-- The 100% due diligence results consistent with represented loan
characteristics; and
-- The expectation that the Federal Reserve will reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026, as opposed to our previous
expectations of fourth-quarter 2025. S&P said, "We continue to
expect real GDP growth to slow from above-trend growth this year to
below-trend growth in 2025. Heading into 2025, the U.S. economy is
expanding at a solid pace, and while President-elect Donald Trump
outlined numerous policy proposals during his campaign, S&P Global
Ratings' economic outlook for 2025 hasn't changed appreciably,
partly because we have taken a probabilistic approach and are
assuming a partial implementation of campaign promises. It will
take time for changes in fiscal, trade, and immigration policy to
be implemented and affect the economy. Therefore, we maintain our
current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency of 2.50%. This reflects our benign
view of the mortgage and housing markets, as demonstrated through
general national-level home price behavior, unemployment rates,
mortgage performance, and underwriting.
S&P Global Ratings announced on Oct. 16, 2024, that it is
requesting comments on its proposal to update its criteria for
rating U.S. RMBS transactions issued 2009 and later. The proposal,
if implemented, would apply to the transaction discussed in this
presale report."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
A&D Mortgage Trust 2024-NQM6
Class A-1A, $149,992,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $30,394,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $180,386,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $34,953,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $40,575,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $17,173,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1A, $8,358,000: BB (sf)
Class B-1B, $5,015,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $10,182,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $7,294,810: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class X, notional(ii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period and is initially $303,936,810.
NR--Not rated.
AB BSL 5: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to AB BSL CLO 5
Ltd./AB BSL CLO 5 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO transaction backed primarily by broadly
syndicated speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured
term loans. The transaction is managed by AB Broadly Syndicated
Loan Manager LLC, a subsidiary of Alliance Bernstein L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 19,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
AB BSL CLO 5 Ltd./AB BSL CLO 5 LLC
Class A-1, $127.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L, $125.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.21 million: Not rated
ARES CLO XLV: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $23.625MM E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Ares XLV CLO, Ltd. (the
"Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$114,110,703 Class A-R Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2030 (the
"Class A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$53,813,000 Class B-R Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2030 (the
"Class B-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$27,562,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2030 (the "Class C-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$36,750,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2030 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Assigned A3 (sf)
US$23,625,000 Class E-R Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2030 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Ares CLO Management II LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a couple of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing. These include: extension of the non-call period
and the updates to alternative benchmark replacement provisions.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $282,074,615
Defaulted par: $138,893
Diversity Score: 52
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3307
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.45%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.12%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.11 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
ARES XLII CLOI: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $350,000 F-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Ares XLIII CLO
Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$448,000,000 Class A-1-R2 Senior Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$350,000 Class F-R2 Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
90.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio may consist of not senior
secured loans.
Ares CLO Management LLC (the Manager) will continue to direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the other
classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: extension of the
reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and non-call
period; changes to certain collateral quality tests; changes to the
overcollateralization test levels; and changes to the base matrix
and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $700,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3157
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.40%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
ARES XLIII: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Debt
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ares
XLIII CLO Ltd. Reset.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares XLIII CLO Ltd.
A-1-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-R 04016PAJ7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
B-R2 LT AA+sf New Rating
C-R2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-1-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BBsf New Rating
F-R2 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Ares XLIII CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Ares CLO Management
LLC. The CLO was originally closed in 2017 and refinanced in 2021.
It is scheduled for a second refinancing on Dec. 12, 2024. The net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will finance a portfolio of approximately $700 million, primarily
consisting of first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality. However, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.92% first lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.04%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R2, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R2, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R2 and class
A-2-R2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-1-R2, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for
class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares XLIII CLO
Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ATLAS SENIOR X: S&P Affirms CCC+ (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B and C debt
from Atlas Senior Loan Fund X Ltd., and removed them from
CreditWatch, where it placed them with positive implications on
Oct. 9, 2024. At the same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on the
class A, D, E, and F debt from the same transaction. The
transaction is a U.S. CLO managed by Crescent Capital Group L.P.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the Oct. 3, 2024 trustee report.
Since S&P's August 2023 rating actions, the class A notes have been
paid down by $164.38 million. These paydowns resulted in the
following improved reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios
since the Aug. 6, 2023 trustee report, which S&P used for its
previous rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 154.32% from 127.95%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 129.10% from 116.43%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 113.26% from 108.11%.
-- The class E O/C ratio improved to 105.31% from 103.55%.
All O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to the lower
balances of the senior notes; consequently, the credit support
increased.
Collateral obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category are at
$48.63 million as of the Oct.3, 2024 trustee report, compared with
$52.57 million reported as of the Aug. 6, 2023 trustee report.
Though the dollar value of the 'CCC' exposure has declined, the
CLO's portfolio has amortized significantly since S&P's last rating
action. Consequently, the percentage exposure of the 'CCC' balance
increased, and is now more than the maximum allowed by the
documents. As a result, the trustee, as per the terms of the CLO
documents, haircuts the O/C numerator. The current haircut is
approximately 2.3% for this excess. The trustee also reported a
decrease in defaulted assets to $3.10 million from $5.25 million
over the same time period.
However, despite the slightly larger concentrations in the 'CCC'
category, the transaction, especially the senior tranches, has also
benefited from a drop in the weighted average life due to the
underlying collateral's seasoning, with 3.16 years reported as of
the October 2024 trustee report, compared with 3.81 years reported
at the time of S&P's August 2023 rating actions.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at the prior rating levels. S&P said, "Though our cash
flow analysis indicated higher ratings for the class C and D debt,
our rating actions reflect additional sensitivity runs that
considered the exposure to 'CCC' rated assets and distressed prices
that we noticed in the portfolio."
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels, though any deterioration in the credit support
available to the notes could results in further ratings changes.
S&P said, "We note that although the cash flow analysis results
indicate lower ratings for the class E and F debt, we view the
overall credit seasoning as an improvement to the transaction. We
also considered the class E's trustee O/C ratio, which is passing,
and that its pure O/C ratio (without a haircut) is higher than the
reported O/C. The class F debt does not have a O/C calculation, but
based on its credit support and the CLO's exposure to 'CCC'
obligations, we believe that the tranche is stable but continues to
need favorable conditions for repayment as per our 'CCC' category
definitions. Any increase in defaults or par losses could lead to
negative rating actions on the class E and F debt in the future.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated outstanding
classes have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating
levels associated with these rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised And Removed From CreditWatch Positive
Atlas Senior Loan Fund X Ltd.
Class B to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)/Watch Pos'
Class C to 'AA (sf)' from 'A (sf)/Watch Pos'
Ratings Affirmed
Atlas Senior Loan Fund X Ltd.
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Class E: B+ (sf)
Class F: CCC+ (sf)
BARINGS CLO 2019-III: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-'Rating on E-RR Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1 loans and A-1-RR, A-2-RR, B-RR, C-RR, D-1-RR, D-2-RR, and E-RR
replacement debt from Barings CLO Ltd. 2019-III/Barings CLO
2019-III LLC, a CLO managed by Barings LLC that was originally
issued in April 2019 and underwent a first refinancing in May 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 17,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 23, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the May 2021 debt. At that
time, S&P expects to withdraw its ratings on the May 2021 debt and
assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if the refinancing
doesn't occur, S&P may withdraw its preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Dec. 23, 2025.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Dec. 23, 2028.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to Jan. 20,
2036.
-- Class A-1 loans will be issued as part of this refinancing, on
a pro-rata basis with the class A-1-RR debt.
-- The previous floating-rate class D-R debt is expected to be
replaced by the sequential floating-rate class D-1-RR and D-2-RR
debt.
-- The issuer is amending provisions related to workout assets.
-- The concentration limitations of the collateral portfolio's
investment guidelines will be amended.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Barings CLO Ltd. 2019-III/Barings CLO 2019-III LLC
Class A-1-RR, $193.40 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1 Loans, $62.60 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-RR, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR, $36.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RR (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-RR (deferrable), $21.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-RR (deferrable), $7.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-RR (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Barings CLO Ltd. 2019-III/Barings CLO 2019-III LLC
Subordinated notes, $56.58 million: Not rated
BARINGS CLO 2024-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Barings
CLO Ltd. 2024-V.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Barings CLO
Ltd. 2024-V
X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Barings CLO Ltd. 2024-V (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Barings LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 22.31, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 23. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality. However, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.4% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.36% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class
A-1, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf'
and 'AA-sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X, class A-1 and
class A-2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category
of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Barings CLO Ltd.
2024-V. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BATTALION CLO XVI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R2,
A-2-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 replacement debt from
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC, a CLO managed by
Brigade Capital Management L.P. that was originally issued in
December 2019 and underwent a first refinancing in December 2021.
At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A-R, B-R,
C-R, D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) were extended to Jan. 20, 2038.
-- Additional assets were purchased on the Dec. 12, 2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains at $400
million. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period,
and the first payment date following the refinancing is April 20,
2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- Additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC
Class A-1-R2, $240.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $14.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $50.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $24.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $20.0 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $6.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $12.0 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC
Class A-R, to NR from AAA (sf)
Class B-R, to NR from AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), to NR from A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), to NR from BBB+ (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), to NR from BB+ (sf)
Other Debt
Battalion CLO XVI Ltd./Battalion CLO XVI LLC
Subordinated notes(i), $71.9 million: NR
(i)The notional amount of subordinated notes was increased to $71.9
million from $38.5 million in connection with the refinancing.
NR--Not rated.
BENCHMARK 2024-V12: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. J Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Benchmark 2024-V12 Mortgage Trust Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates series 2024-V12 as follows:
- $209,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $100,000,000d class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $400,000,000d class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $73,245,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $573,454,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $36,623,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $36,623,000a class X-B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $27,690,000b class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $15,185,000b class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $7,146,000b class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,039,000b class F 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $7,146,000b class G 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,825,000b class J 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the follow classes:
- $29,477,250b class K
- $24,274,750c class RR Interest
- $13,335,000c class RR Certificate
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Class RR Interest and class RR Certificate represent the
transaction's vertical risk retention interest.
(d) The initial certificate balances of classes A-2 and A-3 are
unknown and expected to be $500,000,000 in aggregate, subject to a
5% variance. The certificate balances will be determined based on
the final pricing of those classes of certificates. The expected
class A-2 balance range is $0 to $200,000,000, and the expected
class A-3 balance range is $300,000,000 to $7500,000,000. Fitch's
certificate balances for classes A-2 and A-3 reflect the midpoint
value of each range.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Dec. 12, 2024.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, the primary assets of which are 31 fixed-rate commercial
mortgage loans secured by fee simple and leasehold interests in 156
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$752,195,000 as of the cutoff date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, Citi Real Estate
Funding Inc., German American Capital Corporation, Bank of Montreal
and Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.
The master servicer is expected to be Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. and
the special servicer is expected to be K-Star Asset Management LLC.
Midland Loan Services, a Division of PNC Bank, National
Association, is expected to act as primary servicer with respect to
loans contributed by Citi, pursuant to a primary servicing
agreement with the master servicer. The trustee and certificate
administrator are expected to be Computershare Trust Company, N.A.
The certificates are expected to follow a sequential paydown
structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 17 loans
totaling 81.1% of the pool balance. Fitch's aggregate net cash flow
(NCF), including the pro-rated trust portion of any pari passu
loan, is $75.1 million, which represents a 15.0% decline from the
issuer's aggregate underwritten net cash flow NCF of $88.3
million.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The pool has higher leverage than recent
multiborrower transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 99.2% is worse than both the 2024 YTD
and 2023 five-year multiborrower transaction averages of 94.8% and
89.7%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 9.9%
is weaker than both the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages of 10.2% and
10.6%, respectively.
Investment- Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Three loans representing
16.6% of the pool balance received investment-grade credit
opinions. Queens Center (10.0% of pool) received an
investment-grade credit opinion of 'BBBsf*' on a standalone basis.
CBM Portfolio (4.0% of pool) received an investment-grade credit
opinion of 'A-sf*' on a standalone basis. ICONIQ Multifamily
Portfolio (2.7% of pool) received an investment-grade credit
opinion of 'AA-sf*' on a standalone basis.
The pool's total credit opinion percentage is higher than both the
2024 YTD average of 12.7% and the 2023 average of 14.6% for
Fitch-rated five-year multiborrower transactions. Excluding the
credit opinion loans, the pool's Fitch LTV and DY are 105.0% and
9.4%, respectively.
High Loan Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The largest 10 loans represent
62.8% of the pool, which is worse than both the 2024 YTD five-year
multiborrower average of 60.0% but better than the 2023 average of
65.3%. Fitch measures loan concentration risk with an effective
loan count, which accounts for both the number and size of loans in
the pool. The pool's effective loan count is 21.1.
Property Type Concentration: The pool's effective property type
count of 4.5 is slightly better than the 2024 YTD and 2023 averages
of 4.3 and 4.0, respectively, but the transaction is modestly
concentrated overall. The largest property type concentration is
multifamily (30.1% of the pool), which is higher than the 2024 YTD
and 2023 multifamily averages of 20.7% and 10.9%, respectively, for
five-year multiborrower transactions rated by Fitch.
The second largest property type is hotels, with six loans totaling
25.8% of the pool, including three of the largest 10 loans
(Cheyenne Mountain Resort, Hotel Fort Des Moines, and CBM
Portfolio). This is above the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 11.9%
and 13.1%, respectively. The third largest property type
concentration is retail (22.1% of the pool), which is higher than
the 2024 YTD retail average of 19.7% but lower than the 2023 retail
average of 31.6%.
Shorter-Duration Loans: Loans with five-year terms constitute 100%
of the pool, whereas Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else equal. This is mainly attributable to the shorter window
of exposure to potentially adverse economic conditions. Fitch
considered its loan performance regression in its analysis of the
pool.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-f'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf'/CCCsf
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: AAAsf/AA-sf/A-sf/BBBsf/BBB-sf/BBsf/BB-sf/B-sf
- 10% NCF Increase: AAAsf/AA+sf/Asf/BBB+sf/BBBsf/BBB-sf/BBsf/B+sf
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each mortgage loan. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of 3, unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of 3, means ESG issues
are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the
entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 replacement
debt from Benefit Street Partners CLO XVI Ltd./Benefit Street
Partners CLO XVI LLC, a CLO managed by BSP CLO Management LLC that
was originally issued in December 2018 and refinanced in June 2021.
The previous transactions were not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 16,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 23, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the June 2021 debt. At that
time, S&P expects to assign ratings to the replacement debt.
However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, it may withdraw its
preliminary ratings on the replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement debt is expected to be issued at a lower
weighted average spread than the original debt.
-- The transaction will be collateralized by at least 90% senior
secured loans, cash, and eligible investments.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO XVI Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XVI LLC
Class A-1-R2, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $10.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $50.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Benefit Street Partners CLO XVI Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XVI LLC
Subordinated notes, $83.82 million: Not rated
BENEFIT STREET XXXVII: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Benefit Street Partners
CLO XXXVII Ltd./Benefit Street Partners CLO XXXVII LLC's
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Benefit Street Partners LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXXVII Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXXVII LLC
Class A, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $42.55 million: Not rated
BLACKROCK MAROON XI: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
X-R, A-R, B-1R, B-2R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from
Blackrock Maroon Bells CLO XI LLC, a CLO originally issued in
September 2022 that is managed by BlackRock Capital Investment
Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 17,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 19, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class debt is expected to be issued at a lower
coupon and a lower spread over three-month SOFR than the original
debt, as applicable.
-- The non-call period will be extended to December 2026.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to January 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing variable dividend notes will be extended to January 2038.
The target initial par amount will be upsized to $400.00 million.
-- The class X-R debt is expected to be paid down using interest
proceeds during the first 22 payment dates, beginning with the
April 2025 payment date.
-- The first payment date following the refinancing is April
2025.
-- No additional variable dividend notes will be issued on the
refinancing date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
BlackRock Maroon Bells CLO XI LLC
Class X-R, $24.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $232.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1R, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2R, $10.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $26.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
BlackRock Maroon Bells CLO XI LLC
Variable dividend notes, $53.70 million: Not rated
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM8: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to BRAVO Residential
Funding Trust 2024-NQM8 (BRAVO 2024-NQM8).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BRAVO 2024-NQM8
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
SA LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The BRAVO 2024-NQM8 notes are supported by 533 loans with a total
balance of approximately $226 million as of the cutoff date.
Approximately 91.8% of the loans in the pool were originated by
Citadel Servicing Corporation (dba Acra Lending) and 8.2% by First
Guaranty Mortgage Corporation. Approximately 91.8% of the loans
will be serviced by Citadel (primarily subserviced by ServiceMac)
and the remaining approximately 8.2 % of the loans will be serviced
by Nationstar Mortgage LLC (dba Rushmore).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 9.9% above a long-term sustainable level versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since later quarter.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Non-Qualified Mortgage Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 533 loans totaling around $226 million and seasoned at
around 39 months in aggregate, calculated by Fitch as the
difference between the origination date and the cutoff date. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, a 731 model FICO and a 46%
debt to income (DTI) ratio, including mapping for debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) loans, and low leverage of 62% for a
sustainable loan to value (sLTV) ratio.
Of the pool, 59.6% of loans are treated as owner-occupied, while
40.4% are treated as an investor property or second home, which
include loans to foreign nationals or loans where the residency
status was not confirmed. Additionally, 11.7% of the loans were
originated through a retail channel. Of the loans, 60.2% are
non-qualified mortgages (non-QMs), 1.6% are safe-harbor qualified
mortgages (SHQM), while the Ability to Repay/Qualified Mortgage
Rule (ATR) is not applicable for the remaining portion.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 92.2% of the pool
loans were underwritten to less than full documentation, as
determined by Fitch, and approximately 39.8% were underwritten to a
12-month or 24-month bank statement program for verifying income,
which is not consistent with Appendix Q standards and Fitch's view
of a full documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protections Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR, which reduces the risk of borrower default arising from lack
of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational quality
risks due to the rigors of the ATR mandates regarding underwriting
and documentation of a borrower's ability to repay.
Additionally, approximately 30.0% of the loans are a DSCR product,
while the remainder comprise a mix of asset depletion, profit and
loss (P&L), 12- or 24-month tax returns, award letter and written
verification of employment (WVOE) products. Separately, 37 loans
were originated to foreign nationals or the borrower residency
status of the loans could not be confirmed.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure
distributes principal pro rata among the senior notes, while
shutting out the subordinate bonds from principal until all senior
classes are reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or
delinquency trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will
be distributed sequentially to class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 notes
until they are reduced to zero.
The structure includes a step-up coupon feature where the fixed
interest rate for class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 will increase by
125bps, subject to the net WAC, after four years. This eliminates
the modest excess spread available to repay losses.
Interest distribution amounts otherwise allocable to the unrated
class B-3, to the extent available, may be used to reimburse any
unpaid cap carryover amount for class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3,
prior to the payment of any current interest and interest carryover
amounts due to the class B-3 notes on such payment date. The class
B-3 notes will not be reimbursed for any amounts that were paid to
the senior classes as cap carryover amounts.
Starting from the payment date on and after December 2028, if the
aggregate note amount of the senior notes is greater than zero or
any current interest, interest carryforward amount, or cap
carryover amount is owed to any class of senior notes, the note
rate for the classes M-1, B-1 and B-2 notes will be a per annum
rate equal to 0.000%. Following December 2028, it is unlikely these
four bonds will receive any further interest payments due to the
large expected cap carryover shortfalls on the senior bonds.
No P&I Advancing (Mixed): The servicers will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I. As P&I advances made on behalf
of loans that become delinquent and eventually liquidate reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level loss severities
(LS) are less for this transaction than for those where the
servicer is obligated to advance P&I.
The downside to this is the additional stress on the structure, as
liquidity is limited in the event of large and extended
delinquencies. The structure has enough internal liquidity through
the use of principal to pay interest, excess spread and credit
enhancement (CE) to pay timely interest to senior notes during
stressed delinquency and cash flow periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected 9.9% at the base case. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential for rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on regulatory compliance.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and, as a result,
due to the clean diligence there was an immaterial impact to the
transaction.
ESG Considerations
BRAVO 2024-NQM8 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to the R&W framework without
offsetting mitigants, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on HRR Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to BX Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2024-GPA3's commercial mortgage pass-through certificates.
The issuance is a CMBS securitization backed by a $1.00 billion,
two-year, interest-only, floating rate commercial mortgage loan
with three successive one-year extension options. The loan is
secured by the borrowers' (or, in the case of the two PILOT Lease
Properties, the PILOT Lessor's) fee simple interests in 32
primarily student housing properties totaling 6,017 units (18,502
beds) located near 19 university markets across 11 U.S. states. The
loan is also secured by a leasehold interest in an offsite parking
facility related to one of the properties.
The ratings reflect our view of the collateral's historic and
projected performance, the sponsor's experience, the
trustee-provided liquidity, the loan terms, and the transaction's
structure. S&P determined that the mortgage loan has a beginning
and ending loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 80.8%, based on S&P Global
Ratings' value.
Since the issuance of S&P's preliminary ratings on Dec. 5, 2024,
the mortgage loan's spread has been finalized at approximately
1.73%. This results in an S&P Global Ratings' debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR) of 1.04x, based on the SOFR cap of 6.50% plus the
spread and S&P Global Ratings' net cash flow.
Ratings Assigned
BX Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-GPA3
Class A, $618,800,000: AAA (sf)
Class B, $139,900,000: AA- (sf)
Class C, $103,900,000: A- (sf)
Class D, $87,400,000: BBB- (sf)
Class HRR(i), $50,000,000: BB+ (sf)
(i) Eligible horizontal residual interest.
CARVAL CLO II: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $41.75MM E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by CarVal CLO II Ltd. (the
"Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$433,283,863 Class A-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due
2032, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$76,500,000 Class B-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due
2032, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$37,500,000 Class C-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes Due 2032, Assigned Aa3 (sf)
US$46,500,000 Class D-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes Due 2032, Assigned Baa2 (sf)
US$41,750,000 Class E-R2 Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes Due 2032, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
CarVal CLO Management, LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer.
The Issuer previously issued one other class of secured notes and
one class of subordinated notes, which will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, other changes
include extension of the non-call period.
No action was taken on the Class F-R notes because its expected
loss remain commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels..
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $677,602,539
Defaulted par: $11,087,371
Diversity Score: 74
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2852
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.23%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.30%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.9%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P4: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Class N Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Carvana Auto Receivables
Trust 2024-P4's automobile asset-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by prime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of 15.66%, 13.48%, 10.31%, 6.55%, and 8.25%
credit support (hard credit enhancement and haircut to excess
spread) for the class A (class A-1, A-2, A-3, and A-4,
collectively), B, C, D, and N notes, respectively, based on final
post-pricing stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support
levels provide over 5.00x, 4.50x, 3.33x, 2.33x, and 1.73x coverage
of S&P's expected cumulative net loss (ECNL) of 2.40% for the class
A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(2.00x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA+ (sf)', 'A+ (sf)', 'BBB+ (sf)', and 'BB+ (sf)' ratings
on the class A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively, are within its
credit stability limits.
-- The timely interest and principal payments by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' prime automobile
loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral, and its
updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A. (Wells
Fargo), which do not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Bridgecrest Credit Co. LLC
(Bridgecrest) as servicer, as well as the backup servicing
agreement with Vervent Inc. (Vervent).
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2024-P4(i)
Class A-1, $68.57 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $177.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $217.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-4, $115.69 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $16.25 million: AA+ (sf)
Class C, $20.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class D, $10.63 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class N(ii), $19.40 million: BB+ (sf)
(i)Class XS notes will be issued, which are unrated and may be
retained or sold in one or more private placements.
(ii)The class N notes will be paid to the extent funds are
available after the overcollateralization target is achieved, and
they will not provide any enhancement to the senior classes.
CHASE HOME 2024-10: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-10 (the Certificates) issued
by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-10 (CHASE 2024-10) as
follows:
-- $277.5 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.5 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.5 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $208.1 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.1 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $208.1 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $69.4 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.4 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $69.4 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $166.5 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $166.5 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $166.5 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $111.0 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.0 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $111.0 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $41.6 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.6 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $41.6 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $40.6 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.6 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $40.6 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $138.7 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $456.8 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $13.7 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $13.7 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $13.7 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.8 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $7.8 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $7.8 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $3.2 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $1.5 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-11-X,
A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1, B-1-X, and B-2-X
are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class balances represent
notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X, B-1, and B-2 are
exchangeable certificates. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of depositable certificates as specified in the
offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect
to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 6.70% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.90%, 2.30%, 1.30%, 0.65%, and
0.35% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien,
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-10 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 430 loans with a
total principal balance of $515,426,108 as of the Cut-Off Date
(November 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity from 15 to 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of three months. Approximately 99.8%
of the loans are traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage
loans. The remaining 0.2% of the loans are conforming mortgage
loans. Details on the underwriting of conforming loans can be found
in the Key Probability of Default Drivers section. Approximately
83.1% of the loans were underwritten using an automated
underwriting system (AUS) designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
In addition, all the loans in the pool were originated in
accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule.
JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB) is the Originator of 100% of the
pool and Servicer of 100.0% of the pool.
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS, will act as Securities
Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust National Association will act as
Delaware Trustee. JPMCB will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will serve as the Representations and
Warranties (R&W) Reviewer.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHASE HOME 2024-11: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-11 (Chase 2024-11).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Chase 2024-11
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-11-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-13-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14-X2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14-X3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14-X4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-X-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-A LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-X LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-A LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-X LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-5 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-6 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-11 (Chase
2024-11), as indicated above. The certificates are supported by 395
loans with a total balance of approximately $478.63 million as of
the cutoff date. The scheduled balance as of the cutoff date is
$478.42 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations (reps) and warranties
(R&Ws) are provided by the originator, JPMCB. All mortgage loans in
the pool will be serviced by JPMCB. The collateral quality of the
pool is extremely strong, with a large percentage of loans over
$1.0 million.
Of the loans, 100% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage (SHQM)
average prime offer rate (APOR) loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.4% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since last
quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 4.3% YoY nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
395 high quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with
maturities of 15 to 30 years that total $478.42 million. In total,
100% of the loans qualify as SHQM. The loans were made to borrowers
with strong credit profiles, relatively low leverage and large
liquid reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of 5.2 months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 770, as determined by Fitch,
and is based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and
the updated FICO for loans seasoned at 12 months or more. Based on
the transaction documents the updated FICO is 764. These high FICO
scores are indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A
large percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived
FICO score equal to or above 750.
Fitch determined that 78.1% of the loans have a borrower with a
Fitch-determined FICO score equal to or above 750. Based on Fitch's
analysis of the pool, the original weighted average (WA) combined
loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio is 75.5%, which translates to a
sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio of 83.3%. This represents
moderate borrower equity in the property and reduced default risk
compared with a borrower with a CLTV over 80%.
Of the pool, 100% of the loans are designated as Safe Harbor (APOR)
QM loans.
Of the pool, 100% comprises loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence (89.2% primary and 10.8% secondary).
Single-family homes, and planned unit developments (PUDs)
constitute 91.7% of the pool, condominiums make up 6.7%, and the
remaining 1.6% are co-ops. The pool consists of loans with the
following loan purposes, as determined by Fitch: purchases (93.3%),
cashout refinances (1.3%) and rate-term refinances (5.4%). Fitch
views favorably that no loans are for investment properties and a
majority of mortgages are purchases.
Of the pool loans, 24.9% are concentrated in Texas, followed by
Florida and California. The largest MSA concentration is in the
Dallas MSA (11.6%), followed by the Miami MSA (8.4%) and the New
York MSA (6.7%). The top three MSAs account for 26.7% of the pool.
As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for
geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps to maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
less recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association is the trustee that will advance as needed
until a replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the
ultimate advancing party.
Losses on the non-retained portion of the loans will be allocated
first to the subordinate bonds (starting with class B-6). Once the
B-1-A class is written off, losses will be allocated to class A-9-A
first and then to the super senior classes pro-rata once class
A-9-A is written off.
Net interest shortfalls on the non-retained portion will be
allocated first to the A-X-1 class and the subordinated classes
pro-rata based on the current interest accrued for each class until
the amount of current interest is reduced to zero and then to the
senior classes (excluding class A-X-1) pro-rata based on the
current interest accrued for each class until the amount of current
interest is reduced to zero.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.50%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.85% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.7% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.14% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 58.5% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 58.5% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this
engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades and
assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions
and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports. Refer to the
"Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
Chase 2024-11 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties and Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled
in Chase 2024-11, including strong transaction due diligence.
Additionally, the entire pool is originated by an 'Above Average'
originator, and all of the pool loans are serviced by a servicer
rated 'RPS1-'. All of these attributes result in a reduction in
expected losses and are relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2020-555: DBRS Confirms B Rating on G Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2020-555
issued by Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2020-555 as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class X at AA (sf)
-- Class D at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, which is secured by the leasehold
interest in 555 Tenth Avenue, a Class A luxury high-rise apartment
in the Midtown West submarket of Manhattan, New York, as
illustrated by a high occupancy rate and healthy debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR). According to the most recent servicer
reported figures as of November 2024, net cash flow (NCF) for the
subject collateral reflects steady year-over-year growth. The
annualized trailing-six-month (T-6) NCF for the period ended June
2024 represents an increase of 2.0% and 8.6% over the YE2023 and
YE2022 figures, respectively. Although expenses have increased
since issuance, largely driven by repairs and maintenance costs and
utility expenditures, revenue growth has outpaced the expense
growth overall.
In July 2023, the property suffered damages resulting in estimated
losses exceeding $82.0 million after a construction crane atop a
nearby building partially collapsed, crashing into the subject
property before falling onto the street. The units and common areas
affected were taken offline for repairs and the servicer has
acknowledged receipt of at least $20 million in insurance proceeds.
Morningstar DBRS posed a question to confirm the number of units
affected and if all affected units and common areas have been
repaired, re-leased, and covered by insurance proceeds; however, a
response has not been received as of the date of this press
release. According to the servicer reporting, the commercial units
were fully occupied, and the residential units were 94.6% occupied
as of June 2024, suggesting repairs have been completed and
affected units are back online. Morningstar DBRS notes that Reis
reports that the Q3 2024 average apartment vacancy for the Midtown
West submarket is 4.3%, a marginal improvement from 4.6% a year
prior, further supporting the property's ability to remain nearly
fully occupied.
The underlying collateral property consists of 598 apartment units,
of which 150 are affordable housing under section 421-A; a charter
school occupying nearly 110,000 square feet across eight floors;
and ground-floor retail. The property offers high-end amenities,
including a rooftop terrace, two fitness centers, a yoga studio,
and a bowling alley. The apartment units feature luxurious
finishes, including oversized windows, quartz countertops, and
stainless-steel appliances. The building sits just north of the
Hudson Yards development, with proximity to the Port Authority Bus
Terminal and multiple subway lines. In exchange for providing
affordable housing to the local community, the subject property
benefits from a substantial tax abatement. The percentage of full
taxes owed under the abatement declines gradually over time, and
the abatement remains fully in place through 2053. In the first 10
years alone, full taxes would have been $135.1 million, while the
abated taxes should approximate $1.8 million, or 1.3% of the full
tax amount.
The $400 million whole loan consists of $213.4 million of senior
debt and $136.6 million of junior debt held in the trust, along
with an additional $50.0 million of senior companion loan notes and
$140 million of mezzanine debt held outside the trust. Whole-loan
proceeds were used to repay existing debt, fund upfront reserves,
and pay closing costs and stub interest. The interest-only (IO)
loan has a fixed interest rate and is structured with a 10-year
term.
Given there are now three full years' worth of year-end reporting
for this loan available, with consistent cash flow growth over the
issuance expectations exhibited for a majority of those periods,
Morningstar DBRS considered an updated NCF and Morningstar DBRS
Value as part of the analysis for this loan. Morningstar DBRS
derived an NCF of $26.7 million, which is based on a 2.0% haircut
to the YE2023 figure. A capitalization rate of 5.85% was applied,
based on the issuance analysis, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS
value of $457.3 million and an implied Morningstar DBRS
Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV) of 87.5%. Morningstar DBRS maintained
positive qualitative adjustments to the LTV sizing totaling 5.00%
to account for limited cash flow volatility because of the
property's historically high occupancy, as well as the property's
above-average quality and desirable location within Midtown
Manhattan. The resulting LTV sizing benchmarks supported the credit
rating confirmations with this review.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COLT 2024-7: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by COLT 2024-7 Mortgage
Loan Trust (COLT 2024-7).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
COLT 2024-7
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates to be issued by COLT 2024-7 Mortgage Loan Trust as
indicated above. The certificates are supported by 591 nonprime
loans with a total balance of approximately $434.9 million as of
the cutoff date. Loans in the pool were originated by multiple
originators, including The Loan Store Inc., Foundation Mortgage
Corporation, Northpointe Bank (NPB) and various others. The loans
were aggregated by Hudson Americas L.P. and are currently serviced
by Fay Servicing LLC (Fay), Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (SPS)
and NPB
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 9.8% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since
last quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices have increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August
2024 despite modest regional declines but are still being supported
by limited inventory.
COLT 2024-7 has a combined original LTV (cLTV) of 72.8%, slightly
lower than that of the previous Hudson transaction, COLT 2024-6.
Based on Fitch's updated view of housing market overvaluation, this
pool's sustainable LTV (sLTV) is 81.0%, compared with 83.0% for the
previous transaction.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 591
loans totaling $434.63 million and seasoned at approximately three
months in aggregate as calculated by Fitch. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile, consisting of a 740 model FICO, and
moderate leverage with an 81.0% sLTV and a 72.8% cLTV.
Of the pool, 61.2% of the loans are of a primary residence, while
34.5% comprise an investor property. Additionally, 60.9% are
non-qualified mortgages (non-QMs, or NQMs), 4.1% are safe-harbor
qualified mortgages (SHQM), 0.6% are rebuttable presumption
qualified mortgage loans, and the QM rule does not apply to the
remainder.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 19.50%. This is
mainly driven by the NQM/Non-Prime collateral and the concentration
of investor cash flow product (debt service coverage ratio [DSCR])
loans.
Loan Documentation and DSCR Loans (Negative): About 91.2% of loans
in the pool were underwritten to less than full documentation and
64.1% were underwritten to a bank statement program for verifying
income, which is not consistent with Fitch's view of a full
documentation program. Fitch's treatment of alternative loan
documentation increased 'AAAsf' expected losses by approximately
745bps, compared with a deal of 100% fully documented loans.
7.1% (54 loans) were originated through the originators' investor
cash flow program that targets real estate investors qualified on a
DSCR basis. These business-purpose loans are available to real
estate investors that are qualified on a cash flow basis, rather
than DTI, and borrower income and employment are not verified.
Fitch's average expected losses for DSCR loans is 31.2% in the
'AAAsf' stress.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure with Limited Advancing
(Mixed): The structure distributes principal pro rata among the
senior certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs
in a given period, principal will be distributed sequentially to
class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates until they are reduced to
zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will be made on
the mortgage loans serviced by SPS, Fay and NPB for the first 90
days of delinquency, to the extent such advances are deemed
recoverable. If the P&I advancing party fails to make a required
advance, the master servicer and then the securities administrator
will be obligated to make such advance.
The limited advancing reduces loss severities, as a lower amount is
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. However, the additional stress on the
structure represents downside risk, as there is limited liquidity
in the event of large and extended delinquencies.
COLT 2024-7 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lower of a
100-bp increase to the fixed coupon or the net weighted average
coupon (NWAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest distribution amount will
be distributed to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates on and after
the step-up date if the cap carryover amount is greater than zero.
This increases the P&I allocation for the senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national level
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes. A 10% gain
in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the
rated class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics, SitusAMC, Evolve, Selene,
Clarifii, Opus, Clayton and Maxwell. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and property
valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its analysis
and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to its
analysis: a 5% credit was given at the loan level for each loan
where satisfactory due diligence was completed. This adjustment
resulted in a 50bps reduction to the 'AAA' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COMM MORTGAGE 2013-CCRE12: Moody's Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Ca
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings on two classes and
downgraded the ratings on three classes in COMM 2013-CCRE12
Mortgage Trust, Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2013-CCRE12 as follows:
Cl. A-M, Affirmed B1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2024 Downgraded to
B1 (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2024 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Affirmed C (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2024 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2024
Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2024
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating on Cl A-M was affirmed because of the credit support and
the expected principal paydowns from the remaining loans in the
pool.
The rating on Cl. B was downgraded due to the pool's expected
losses resulting from the pool's significant exposure to delinquent
specially serviced loans. Six of the remaining loans are in special
servicing (96% of the pool) and five specially serviced loans,
representing 73% of the pool, are all six months or more delinquent
and have been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer as of
the November 2024 remittance statement. The non-recoverable loans
include the largest specially serviced loan, 175 West Jackson (51%
of the pool), which is secured by an office property that has
experienced significant declines in value and net operating income
(NOI) since securitization. The second largest specially serviced
loan is the Oglethorpe Mall loan (20% of the pool), which failed to
pay off at its July 2023 maturity date and has exhibited declining
occupancy, revenue, and NOI since 2019. Due to the exposure to
these defaulted loans that have experienced declines in performance
since securitization, the pool remains at risk for higher
anticipated losses.
The rating on Cl. C was affirmed because the rating is consistent
Moody's expected losses from the specially serviced loans.
The ratings on one IO class, Cl. X-A, was downgraded due to the
decline in the credit quality of its reference classes.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded due
to a decline in the credit quality of its referenced exchangeable
classes.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 68.2% of the
current pooled loan balance, compared to 55.4% at Moody's last
review. Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now
20.3% of the original pooled balance, compared to 20.6% at the last
review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
July 2024.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 100% of the pool is in
special servicing or identified as a troubled loan. In this
approach, Moody's determine a probability of default for each
specially serviced and troubled loan that it expects will generate
a loss and estimates a loss given default based on a review of
broker's opinions of value (if available), other information from
the special servicer, available market data and Moody's internal
data. The loss given default for each loan also takes into
consideration repayment of servicer advances to date, estimated
future advances and closing costs. Translating the probability of
default and loss given default into an expected loss estimate,
Moody's then applies the aggregate loss from specially serviced to
the most junior classes and the recovery as a pay down of principal
to the most senior classes.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the November 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 78% to $258 million
from $1.12 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by seven mortgage loans, all of which are in special
servicing and/or have now passed their original scheduled maturity
dates.
The pool has recognized an aggregate realized loss of $67 million
due to a combination of previously liquidated loans as well as
master servicer recoveries of non-recoverable advances.
Furthermore, the transaction is under-collateralized as the
aggregate certificate balance is approximately $7 million greater
than the pooled loan balance.
As of the November 2024 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $31.6 million and impacted up to Cl. B. Over 95% of
the monthly interest shortfalls are a result of the four loans with
non-recoverable determinations. Interest shortfalls are caused by
special servicing fees, including workout and liquidation fees,
appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), non-recoverable
determinations, loan modifications, and extraordinary trust
expenses.
The largest specially serviced loan is the 175 West Jackson Loan
($134.2 million – 50.5% of the pooled certificate balance), which
represents a pari passu portion of a $250 million mortgage loan.
The loan is secured by a Class A, 22-story office building totaling
1.45 million square feet (SF) and located within the CBD of
Chicago, Illinois. Property performance has declined steadily since
2015, with occupancy declining to 58% in June 2024 from 86% in
2015, and the year-end 2023 NOI was 56% lower than in 2013. The
loan most recently transferred to special servicing in November
2021, and as of the November remittance statement was last paid
through its March 2023 payment date. The most recent appraisal
value was 52% below the outstanding loan balance. This loan has
been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer, and as of the
November 2024 remittance statement, there was $5.4 million of
advances reported to the trust portion of this loan. The special
servicer commentary indicates a receiver has been appointed and the
property is being marketed for sale and/or Deed-In-Lieu. Moody's
expect a significant loss from this loan.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Oglethorpe Mall
Loan ($52.7 million – 19.8% of the pooled certificate balance),
which represents a pari passu portion of a $132 million mortgage
loan. The loan is secured by a 627,000 SF portion of a 942,700 SF
regional mall located in Savannah, GA. At securitization, the mall
included four anchor tenants: Macy's, JC Penney, Belk, and Sears.
Both the Belk and Sears spaces were non-collateral. Sears vacated
in 2018 and the anchor space remains vacant. The loan has been in
special servicing since it failed to pay off at its scheduled
maturity date in July 2023. As of December 2022, the collateral was
95% leased, compared to 88% in September 2022 and 95% at
securitization. The property's performance has generally declined
since 2016, with the largest declines in rental revenue occurring
since 2019. The year-end 2022 NOI is 17% below the 2019 NOI and 20%
below the NOI in 2014. The loan has amortized over 12% since
securitization and as of the November 2024 remittance statement,
was last paid through October 2024. Per the servicer commentary,
the special servicer is evaluating workout options with the
borrower and a potential loan modification while dual tracking
receivership and foreclosure proceedings.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Harbourside North
Loan ($35.5 million – 13.7% of the pool), which is secured by the
leasehold interest in a Class A office building in the Georgetown
submarket of Washington D.C. The property operates subject to
ground lease payments, historically representing a high share of
the property's expenses. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in July 2018 due to delinquent payments and became REO in
March 2019. As of year-end 2023, the property was only 15% leased,
and per the servicer commentary, the most recent appraisal
indicates an "as-is" value of $0, primarily driven by the
significant ground lease payments. Servicer commentary also
indicates they are in discussions to transfer the property over to
the fee owner, and the loan has been deemed non-recoverable by the
master servicer. Moody's anticipate a nearly full loss on this
loan.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the MAve Hotel Loan
($18.5 million – 7.0% of the pool), which is secured by an
independent limited-service 12-story boutique hotel with 2,200 SF
of ground floor retail space located at 27th and Madison Avenue in
New York, New York. The property previously operated as a homeless
shelter on a month-to-month contract with the Department of
Homeless Services (DHS) to rent out 100% of the hotel, however, the
DHS left at the end of 2020, and the loan transferred to special
servicing in April 2021 due to delinquent payments. The hotel
remains closed, and special servicer commentary indicates a
foreclosure action has been filed. As of the November 2024
remittance statement the loan was last paid through its November
2021 payment date and has previously been deemed non-recoverable by
the master servicer.
The remaining two specially serviced loans as of the November 2024
remittance statement are secured by a single tenant retail property
located in New York, New York and a now dark former single tenant
retail building, located in Bel Air, Maryland. Moody's have also
assumed a high default probability for one poorly performing loan,
The Crossings Loan ($11 million – 4.1% of the pool), which is a
retail property located in Elkview, West Virginia that has had
significant performance deterioration due to low occupancy and low
DSCR.
DIAMETER CAPITAL 3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on D-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, and D-R replacement debt from Diameter
Capital CLO 3 Ltd./Diameter Capital CLO 3 LLC, a CLO originally
issued in March 2022 that is managed by Diameter CLO Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 18,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 10, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Jan. 15, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 15 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to Jan. 15 2038.
-- No additional assets will be purchased on the Jan. 10, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will upsize to
$550 million. There will be an additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 15, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- An additional $15.2 million of subordinated notes will be
issued on the refinancing date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $341.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.33%
-- Class A-2-R, $77.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70%
-- Class B-R, $33.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $30.25 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.75%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $22.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.25%
-- Subordinated notes, $48.45 million: Not rated
Original debt
-- Class A-1A, $240.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.39%
-- Class A-1B, $12.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.65%
-- Class A-2, $50.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.05%
-- Class B (deferrable), $26.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.25%
-- Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.30%
-- Class D (deferrable), $16.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 6.80%
-- Subordinated notes, $33.25 million: Not rated
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Diameter Capital CLO 3 Ltd./Diameter Capital CLO 3 LLC
Class A-1-R, $341.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $77.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-R, $33.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.25 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $22.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Diameter Capital CLO 3 Ltd./Diameter Capital CLO 3 LLC
Subordinated notes, $48.45 million: Not rated
DIAMETER CREDIT II: Moody's Ups Rating on $25.65MM E Notes From Ba2
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Diameter Credit Funding II, Ltd.:
US$36,900,000 Class B Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes Due 2038 (the
"Class B Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 20, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$12,150,000 Class C Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on
Mar 20, 2024 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
US$12,150,000 Class D Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class D Notes"), Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on
Mar 20, 2024 Upgraded to A3 (sf)
US$25,650,000 Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class E Notes"), Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously
on Mar 20, 2024 Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Diameter Credit Funding II, Ltd., originally issued in November
2019 and partially refinanced in January 2022, is a managed
cashflow CBO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of corporate bonds and loans. The transaction's reinvestment period
will end in January 2025.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions reflect the benefit of sustained par coverage,
high net interest income, and short period of time remaining before
the end of the deal's reinvestment period. In particular, the deal
has accumulated par and the current performing par, based on
Moody's calculation, is $272 million including the assumed recovery
on defaulted assets, which is in excess of the reinvestment target
par balance. Additionally, the deal is currently benefiting from
high net interest income due to approximately 24% exposure to
floating rate loans, whose interest payments have increased
relative to the fixed rates of interest payable on the rated
notes.
Furthermore, the notes also benefit from the short period of time
remaining before the end of the deal's reinvestment period in
January 2025, after which the note payments are expected to
commence. In light of the reinvestment restrictions during the
amortization period which limit the ability of the manager to
effect significant changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's
analyzed the deal assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral
pool characteristics will be maintained and continue to satisfy
certain covenant requirements. In particular, Moody's assumed that
the deal will benefit from lower weighted average rating factor
(WARF), higher weighted average coupon (WAC) and diversity levels
compared to their respective covenant levels. Moody's modeled a
WARF of 2877 compared to its current covenant level of 3318, a WAC
of 5.68% compared to its current covenant level of 5.50%, and a
diversity of 53 compared to its current covenant level of 45.
No action was taken on the Class A notes because its expected loss
remains commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $271,802,551
Defaulted par: $488,533
Diversity Score: 53
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2877
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 4.73%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.68%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 34.65%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.2 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
DRYDEN 50 SENIOR: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $30MM Cl. E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Dryden 50 Senior Loan Fund:
US$36M Class C Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Mar 15, 2024 Upgraded to Aa3
(sf)
US$30M Class D Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2022 Upgraded to Baa2
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$386.4M (Current outstanding amount US$249,916,511) Class A-1-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Apr 26, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$15.6M Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 26, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$54M Class B Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Mar 15, 2024 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$30M Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 29, 2017 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Dryden 50 Senior Loan Fund, issued in August 2017, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed
by PGIM, Inc.. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in
October 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C and D notes are primarily a
result of the deleveraging of the Class A-1-R notes following
amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last rating
action in March 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R, A-2-R, B and E
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-R notes have paid down by approximately USD89.0
million (23.0%) since the last rating action in March 2024 and
USD136.5 million (35.3%) since closing. As a result of the
deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased. According
to the trustee report dated October 2024 [1] the Class A/B, Class C
and Class D ratios are reported at 135.97%, 122.21% and 112.70%
compared to January 2024 [2] levels, on which the last rating
action was based, of 130.15%, 119.61% and 112.04%, respectively.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD433.4m
Defaulted Securities: USD6.8m
Diversity Score: 77
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2723
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.59 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference
floors): 3.08%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.50%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
EATON VANCE 2015-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on $8MM F-R Notes to Caa3
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following notes issued by Eaton Vance CLO 2015-1, Ltd.:
US$30,500,000 Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 4, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa2 (sf)
US$24,400,000 Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2017 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$8,000,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 4, 2024 Downgraded to
Caa2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$246,000,000 (current outstanding amount US$68,393,555.40) Class
A-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2017 Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$22,500,000 Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 21, 2017 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$29,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$16,600,000 Class E-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2023 Downgraded to Ba3
(sf)
Eaton Vance CLO 2015-1, Ltd., issued in October 2015 and refinanced
in December 2017, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed
by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The
portfolio is managed by Eaton Vance Management. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in January 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrades on the ratings on the Class C-R and D-R notes are
primarily a result of the significant deleveraging of the senior
notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
last rating action in April 2024.
The Class A-1-R notes have paid down by approximately USD110.9
million (45.1% of original balance) since April 2024 and USD177.7
million (72.2%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the capital
structure. According to the trustee report dated November 2024 [1]
the Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are reported
at 168.3%, 134.1%, 115.4% and 105.4% compared to March 2024 [2]
levels of 137.6%, 121.6%, 111.2% and 105.1%, respectively.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The downgrade to the rating on the Class F-R note is due to the
deterioration in the credit quality of the underlying collateral
pool since the last rating action in April 2024. The credit quality
has deteriorated as reflected in the deterioration in the average
credit rating of the portfolio (measured by the weighted average
rating factor, or WARF) and an increase in the proportion of
securities from issuers with ratings of Caa1 or lower. According to
the trustee report dated November 2024, the WARF was 3155 [1],
compared with 2962 [2] as of the last rating action. Securities
with ratings of Caa1 or lower currently make up approximately 9.0%
[1] of the underlying portfolio, versus 6.0% [2] in last rating
action.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R, Class A-2-R,
Class B-R and Class E-R notes are primarily a result of the
expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD204.7 million
Defaulted Securities: USD1.2 million
Diversity Score: 57
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3011
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.5 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.3%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): Not applicable
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.2%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: None
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
FLATIRON CLO 26: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Flatiron
CLO 26 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Flatiron CLO 26 Ltd.
X LT AAAsf New Rating
A LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Flatiron CLO 26 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by NYL
Investors LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.31, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.59% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
73.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A, between 'BB+sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B, between 'B+sf'
and 'A-sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X and class A
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, between
'Asf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D, and between 'BBB+sf' and 'BBsf' for
class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Flatiron CLO 26
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
FORTRESS CREDIT VIII: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-1A-R, B-R, C-R, and D-R debt from Fortress Credit BSL VIII
Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL VIII LLC, a CLO originally issued in
October 2019 that is managed by FC BSL VIII Management LLC. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A-1A, B,
C, and D debt following payment in full on the Dec 18, 2024
refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class A-1F
and E debt, which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Dec. 18,2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains at
$400.00 million. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
Jan. 21, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1A-R, $191.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.05%
-- Class A-2-R, $32.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.40%
-- Class B-R, $48.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
-- Class C-R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.00%
-- Class D-R, $24 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.85%
-- Subordinated notes, $37.00 million: Not applicable
Original debt
-- Class A-1A, $191.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.44%+
CSA(i)
-- Class A-1F, $25.00 million: 2.78%
-- Class A-2, $32.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%+
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $48.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.25%+
CSA(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.20%+ CSA(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 4.35%+ CSA(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 7.01%+ CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $37.00 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Fortress Credit BSL VIII Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL VIII LLC
Class A-1A-R, $191.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R, $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Fortress Credit BSL VIII Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL VIII LLC
Class A-1A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Fortress Credit BSL VIII Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL VIII LLC
Class A-1F, $25.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class E, $20.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Fortress Credit BSL VIII Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL VIII LLC
Class A-2-R, $32.00 million: NR
Subordinated notes, $37.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
FORTRESS CREDIT XXV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Fortress Credit
Opportunities XXV CLO LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by middle-market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by FCOD CLO Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Fortress Credit Opportunities XXV CLO LLC
Class A-1-R(i), $65.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-L(ii), $45.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-T, $122.20 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.90 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $21.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $34.40 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $30.10 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $25.80 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $75.40 million: Not rated
(i)Revolving loan tranche. The rating on the class A-1-R loans
addresses only the full and timely payment of principal and the
base interest amount, and it does not consider any capped amounts
above this base interest amount.
(ii)The class A-1-L loans are convertible into class A-1-T notes,
while the class A-1-T notes and class A-1-R loans are not
convertible into any other tranche.
FORTRESS CREDIT XXVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Fortress
Credit BSL XXVI Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL XXVI LLC's floating-rate
debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed by broadly syndicated speculative-grade (rated
'BB+' and lower) senior secured term loans. The transaction is
managed by FC BSL CLO Manager V LLC, a subsidiary of Fortress
Investment Group LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 13,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Fortress Credit BSL XXVI Ltd./Fortress Credit BSL XXVI LLC
Class A, $202.00 million: Not rated
Class A-L loans, $50.00 million: Not rated
Class A-L, $0: Not rated
Class B, $52.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $18.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.70 million: Not rated
FREED MORTGAGE 2022-HE1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on C Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. takes credit rating actions on all classes of
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2022-HE1 issued by FREED Mortgage
Trust 2022-HE1 as follows:
-- Class A confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B upgraded to A (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class C confirmed at B (low) (sf)
The credit rating upgrade reflects a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update" published on September 25, 2024
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/439965). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GALAXY 30: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
X-R, A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from
Galaxy 30 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 30 CLO LLC , a CLO managed by PineBridge
Investments LLC that was originally issued in March 2022.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 11,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 17, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the March 2022 debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the March
2022 debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if
the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
March 2022 debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, and E-R debt is
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR
than the March 2022 notes.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to Jan. 15, 2038.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 15, 2030, and
the non-call period will be extended to Dec. 17, 2026.
-- Class X-R debt will be issued in connection with this
refinancing. This debt is expected to be paid down using interest
proceeds during the first eight payment dates beginning with the
payment date in April 2025.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Galaxy 30 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 30 CLO LLC
Class X-R, $2.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $252.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $52.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $8.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
GLS AUTO 2023-4: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on one class of notes from
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-4 (GCAR 2023-4) and affirmed
its ratings on five other classes. The transaction is backed by
subprime retail auto loan receivables originated and serviced by
Global Lending Services LLC.
The rating actions reflect:
-- The transaction's collateral performance to date and S&P's
expectations regarding future collateral performance;
-- S&P's remaining cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations for the
transaction and the transaction's structures and credit enhancement
levels; and
-- Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, including our most recent macroeconomic outlook that
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
Considering all these factors, S&P believes the notes'
creditworthiness is consistent with the raised and affirmed
ratings.
GCAR 2023-4 is performing slightly worse than S&P's initial
expectations. The series is experiencing elevated levels of gross
losses which, coupled with lower cumulative recoveries, is
resulting in higher CNLs. As such, S&P raised its expected CNL for
this transaction.
Table 1
Collateral performance (%)(i)
Pool Current Current Current 60+ day
Mo. factor CNL CRR CGL Ext. delinq.
12 74.34 5.04 34.88 7.74 3.64 5.85
(i)As of the November 2024 distribution date.
Mo.--Month.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
CRR-Cumulative recovery rate.
CGL--Cumulative gross loss.
Ext.--Extensions.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
Table 2
CNL expectations (%)
Original Current
lifetime lifetime
CNL exp. CNL exp.
17.50 18.50
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.
N/A–-Not applicable.
The transaction has a sequential principal payment structure--in
which the notes are paid principal by seniority--that will increase
the credit enhancement for the senior notes as the pool amortizes.
The transaction also has credit enhancement consisting of
overcollateralization, a non-amortizing reserve account,
subordination for the more senior classes, and excess spread. As of
the November 2024 distribution date, the transaction is at its
specified target overcollateralization level and specified reserve
level.
The raised and affirmed ratings reflect our view that the total
credit support as a percentage of the amortizing pool balance (as
of the collection period ended Oct. 31, 2024), compared with our
expected remaining losses, is commensurate with each rating.
Table 3
Hard credit support(i)
Total hard Current total hard
credit support credit support
Class at issuance (%) (% of current)
A-2 55.30 78.98
A-3 55.30 78.98
B 41.35 60.21
C 28.45 42.86
D 15.30 25.17
E 6.15 12.86
(i)As of the November 2024 distribution date. Calculated as a
percentage of the total gross receivable pool balance, consisting
of a reserve account, overcollateralization, and, if applicable,
subordination. Excludes excess spread that can also provide
additional enhancement.
S&P said, "We analyzed the current hard credit enhancement compared
to the remaining expected CNL for those classes where hard credit
enhancement alone--without credit to the expected excess
spread--was sufficient, in our view, to raise or affirm the
ratings. For other classes, we incorporated a cash flow analysis to
assess the loss coverage levels, giving credit to stressed excess
spread. Our various cash flow scenarios included forward-looking
assumptions on recoveries, the timing of losses, and voluntary
absolute prepayment speeds that we believe are appropriate given
the transaction's performance to date.
"In addition to our break-even cash flow analysis, we conducted a
sensitivity analysis for the series to determine the impact that a
moderate ('BBB') stress scenario would have on our ratings if
losses began trending higher than our revised loss expectation.
"In our view, the results demonstrated that all of the classes have
adequate credit enhancement at their respective raised and affirmed
rating levels, which is based on our analysis as of the collection
period ended Oct. 31, 2024 (the November 2024 distribution date).
"We will continue to monitor the transaction's performance to
ensure credit enhancement remains sufficient, in our view, to cover
our CNL expectations under our stress scenarios for each of the
rated classes."
Rating
Class To From
B AAA (sf) AA (sf)
RATINGS AFFIRMED
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-4
Class Rating
A-2 AAA (sf)
A-3 AAA (sf)
C A (sf)
D BBB- (sf)
E BB- (sf)
GS MORTGAGE 2011-GC5: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 4 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed all its credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2011-GC5 issued by GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2011-GC5 as follows:
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at A (sf)
-- Class C at C (sf)
-- Class D at C (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
The trends on Classes A-S, X-A, and B are Stable. Classes C, D, E,
and F have credit ratings that typically do not carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS'
consistent view on the transaction, with minimal changes to loss
projections for the five remaining loans, four of which are secured
by regional malls in secondary or tertiary markets that have shown
performance declines from issuance. Two of these loans, totaling
43.5% of the pool, are in special servicing, while two more,
totaling 50.0% of the pool, are being monitored on the servicer's
watchlist. Since Morningstar DBRS' last credit rating action in
December 2023, the collateral remains unchanged, although one loan,
totaling 36.9% of the pool, was returned to the master servicer
because of a loan modification.
Given the concentration of the transaction, Morningstar DBRS based
its credit ratings on a recoverability analysis using
conservatively derived values for the remaining assets, which
continues to indicate that losses are likely to be contained to the
Class D certificate, currently rated C (sf). Morningstar DBRS
remains concerned about the increased propensity for interest
shortfalls should the resolution periods for the defaulted loans
extend beyond the near to medium term, further exposing the trust
to increased fees and expenses. Since the previous credit rating
action, cumulative interest shortfalls have increased by
approximately $8.0 million with the Class C certificate, currently
rated C (sf), which received only 80% of the owed interest payment
in the November 2024 reporting.
The transaction has been relatively insulated from losses to date,
as the principal balance of the unrated Class G certificate has
been eroded by only 13.1% because of realized losses, with $43.6
million of unpaid principal remaining. Both loans in special
servicing became real estate owned in Q3 2023, and based on the
most recent appraisals obtained from Q2 2024, the property value
for both assets has declined by over 70.0% since issuance. Based on
the updated values, the resulting loan-to-value ratio (LTV) for
each loan exceeded 175% based on total trust exposure, and
Morningstar DBRS believes loss severities exceeding 65.0% are
likely for each loan, in which case the principal balance of Class
D would be eroded by over 40%.
The 1551 Broadway loan (Prospectus ID#2; 36.9% of the pool) is
secured by a 26,500-square foot (sf) retail property in Times
Square in Midtown Manhattan. The property was initially leased to
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc., who had a lease expiration in
February 2024. While servicer reporting indicates that the property
is vacant and the loan's debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) fell to
0.92 times (x) as of Q2 2024 from 2.40x as of YE2023, Morningstar
DBRS has confirmed that the tenant is still in operations. As part
of the loan modification that returned the loan to the master
servicer, loan maturity was extended to December 2025 and the loan
will remain on the servicer's watchlist with hard cash managed in
effect until the loan is paid in full. Since the last review, the
loan's principal balance has been reduced by approximately $4.2
million, with nearly $17.0 million in reserves as of the November
2024 reporting. The property was most recently appraised for $359.0
million in November 2023, consistent with the issuance appraised
value of $360.0 million. The resulting LTV is 42.4%, suggesting
that even in an event of adverse liquidation, loss to the trust is
unlikely.
The Parkdale Mall & Crossing loan (Prospectus ID#5; 13.1% of the
pool) is secured by a regional mall and adjacent strip mall in
Beaumont, Texas. The loan was in special servicing from February
2021 until its return to the master servicer in October 2022 as a
result of the agreed-upon maturity extension to March 2026. As of
Q2 2024, the property was 71.5% occupied, with a DSCR of 0.98x.
Despite the sponsor's commitment to the property and the loan's
return to the master servicer, the most recent appraised value from
February 2022 of $42.1 million is well below the current
outstanding loan balance of $54.2 million, reflecting an LTV of
129%, and performance has since declined further. As such,
Morningstar DBRS believes there is continued significant term and
refinance risk associated with this loan.
The Ashland Town Center loan (Prospectus ID#9; 6.5% of the pool) is
secured by a regional mall in Ashland, Kentucky. The loan
transferred to special servicing in July 2021 for imminent monetary
default having failed to repay ahead of its original maturity. The
sponsor, Washington Prime Group Inc., was granted a loan
modification in November 2022, extending the loan maturity to July
2023 with two additional one-year extension options. The borrower
has since exercised both extension options with a final maturity
date of July 2025. As of Q2 2024, the property reported an
occupancy rate of 97.4%, with a DSCR of 2.50x. The property was
most recently re-appraised in September 2022 for $42.9 million, a
9.0% increase from the 2021 appraised value but still below the
issuance appraised value of $66.0 million. Based on the updated
value, the resulting LTV is 62.6%. Given these factors, Morningstar
DBRS believes the near-term performance outlook is stable, but this
does not rule out the likelihood for potential losses should the
borrower fail to pay off the loan at the extended maturity date.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2021-PJ11: Moody's Ups Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs to Ba2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 28 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by prime
jumbo and agency eligible mortgage loans issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ11
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-GR1
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-LTV2
Cl. A-31, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-32, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-33, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-31*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-32*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-33*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-PJ1
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jan 16, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 16, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectation on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continue to display
strong collateral performance, with limited cumulative losses of
less than .01% for each deal. In addition, three of the pools are
also showing a low number of loans in delinquency. GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-LTV2 has not experienced any
losses to date, however, as of the November 2024 distribution date,
it includes one loan which is seriously delinquent more than 180
days and five loans in foreclosure, cumulatively making up 1.79% of
the outstanding collateral balance.
Enhancement levels for the tranches have grown significantly, as
the pool amortizes relatively quickly. The credit enhancement for
each tranche upgraded has grown by, on average, 15.1% since
closing.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GS MORTGAGE 2021-ROSS: DBRS Cuts Rating on 3 Tranches to C(sf)
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on all classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates issued by GS Mortgage
Securities Corporation Trust 2021-ROSS as follows:
-- Class A to AA (low) (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class A-Y to AA (low) (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class A-Z to AA (low) (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class A-IO to AA (low) (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class B to A (low) (sf) from AA (sf)
-- Class C to BB (low) (sf) from A (high) (sf)
-- Class D to CCC (sf) from BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from B (low) (sf)
-- Class G to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
All classes continue to carry Negative trends, with the exception
of Classes D, E, F, and G, which have credit ratings that do not
carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). The
Class A, A-Y, A-Z, and A-IO certificates (the CAST certificates)
can be exchanged for other classes of CAST certificates and vice
versa, as described in the offering memorandum.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends are reflective of
Morningstar DBRS' increased loss expectations for the underlying
loan, driven by the trust's increasing exposure as the loan
continues to be in default and in special servicing, and most
recent decline in appraised value. The most recent appraisal as of
January 2024 valued the collateral portfolio at $682.7 million,
representing a 41.6% decline from its issuance value of $1.2
billion. In addition to the decline in value, outstanding advances
and shortfalls continue to accrue, increasing the loan's total
exposure to $728.8 million as of the October 2024 remittance. Given
these factors, Morningstar DBRS considered a liquidation scenario
in the analysis for this review, the results of which suggest that
losses could be incurred to Classes E, F, and G at disposition.
In its liquidation scenario, Morningstar DBRS applied a 25.0%
haircut to the January 2024 appraised value to provide cushion
against the expected continued build of advances and the potential
for further value decline, resulting in a liquidation value of
$512.0 million (loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 135.0%), and implying
a capitalization rate of 9.9% on the YE2023 net operating income
(NOI). Inclusive of a 1.0% liquidation fee, an additional year of
principal and interest advances, and all current outstanding
advances, Morningstar DBRS' liquidation scenario considers the
total trust exposure could reach approximately $798.8 million.
Although the results of the liquidation scenario suggest that
Classes A, B, C, and D are insulated from loss at this point in
time, the implied LTV for each of those classes, based on the
estimated amount of proceeds available after paying all outstanding
and expected future advances, has increased beyond the LTV Sizing
Benchmarks at each of the respective prior credit rating
categories, supporting the credit rating downgrades to those
classes with this review.
Collateral for the trust consists of the fee-simple interest in
seven Class A/Class B office properties totaling approximately 2.1
million square feet in Arlington, Virginia. The $691.0 million loan
was structured with a two-year initial term that matured in June
2023. While the loan was structured with three one-year extension
options, subject to certain provisions, including spread increases
and the purchase of a new interest rate cap, the borrower did not
elect to execute its extension option and the loan transferred to
special servicing in May 2023 for monetary default. In addition to
the subject loan, there is also a $150.0 million mezzanine loan in
place, held outside of the trust. The mezzanine loan was purchased
in February 2024 and, according to special servicer commentary, a
loan modification is currently in progress which could ultimately
include terms to allow for debt restructuring.
As of September 2024, the collateral was 75.7% occupied, in line
with the submarket which reported a 74.5% occupancy rate, according
to Reis. Reis projects submarket vacancy to marginally improve in
the next five years but expects vacancy to remain above the
pre-coronavirus pandemic rate of 18.6% in 2019. The portfolio's
largest tenant is the U.S. Department of State (16.1% of the
portfolio's net rentable area (NRA)), with a lease expiration in
2034. Inclusive of other government tenants, U.S. General Services
Administration comprises 20.9% of the portfolio NRA. No other
single tenant occupies more than 6.0% of the portfolio's NRA or
represents more than 8.0% of the gross rents. Tenant rollover in
the next 12 months is minimal, with tenants representing a combined
5.7% of the portfolio NRA, which have an upcoming lease expiration.
Per the YE2023 financials, the loan reported a net cash flow (NCF)
of $33.5 million, significantly less than the Morningstar DBRS NCF
of $52.6, mainly because of an increase in below-the-line items. In
comparison, the YE2023 NOI was reported at $50.6 million, compared
with the Morningstar DBRS NOI of $56.0 million.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ10: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings on
the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-PJ10 (the Notes) issued by
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ10 (GSMBS 2024-PJ10):
-- $267.9 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.9 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.9 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.9 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.9 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.9 million Class A-X-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-X-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-X-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $200.9 million Class A-X-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-X-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-X-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.7 million Class A-X-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-X-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-X-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.2 million Class A-X-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-X-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-X-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $107.2 million Class A-X-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-X-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-X-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $67.0 million Class A-X-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-X-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-X-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class A-X-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-X-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-X-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-X-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.7 million Class A-X-26 at AAA (sf)
-- $20.2 million Class B-1A at AA (low)(sf)
-- $20.2 million Class B-X-1 at AA (low)(sf)
-- $20.2 million Class B-1 at AA (low)(sf)
-- $4.4 million Class B-2A at A (low)(sf)
-- $4.4 million Class B-X-2 at A (low)(sf)
-- $4.4 million Class B-2 at A (low)(sf)
-- $3.3 million Class B-3 at BBB (low)(sf)
-- $1.7 million Class B-4 at BB (low)(sf)
-- $788.0 thousand Class B-5 at B (low)(sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued and withdrew its credit ratings on
Classes A-1L, A-2L, and A-3L Loans initially contemplated in the
offering documents, as they were not issued at closing.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-9, A-10, A-11,
A-12, A-13, A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-18, A-19, and A-20 are super
senior notes. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support note (Class A-21) with respect to loss
allocation.
Classes A-1-X, A-2-X, A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X,
A-9-X, A-10-X, A-11-X, A-12-X, A-13-X, A-14-X, A-15-X, A-16-X,
A-17-X, A-18-X, A-19-X, A-20-X, A-21-X, A-22-X, A-23-X, A-24-X,
A-25-X, A-26-X, B-X-1, and B-X-2 are interest-only (IO) notes. The
class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-10, A-11, A-13,
A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-19, A-20, A-22, A-23, A-24, A-25, B-1,
and B-2 are exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Notes reflect 10.00% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (low) (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf) credit
ratings reflect 3.60%, 2.20%, 1.15%, 0.60%, and 0.35% credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The securitization is a portfolio of first-lien fixed-rate prime
residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the Mortgage-Backed
Notes, Series 2024-PJ10 (the Notes). The Notes are backed by 287
loans with a total principal balance of $315,197,126 as of the
Cut-Off Date.
The pool consists of first-lien, fully amortizing fixed-rate
mortgages (FRMs) with original terms to maturity of 30 years. The
weighted-average (WA) original combined loan-to-value (CLTV) for
the portfolio is 69.6%. A small portion of the pool (25.8%)
comprises loans with Morningstar DBRS calculated current CLTV
ratios between 80.0% and 90.0%, while none of the pool falls above
90.0% current CLTV. In addition, 98.0% of the loans in the pool
were originated in accordance with the general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule subject to the average prime offer rate designation.
The mortgage loans are originated by United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC
(UWM; 59.2%), and various other originators, each comprising less
than 10.0% of the pool.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Newrez, LLC (Newrez), doing
business as (dba) Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint;
82.1%), PennyMac Loan Services (PennyMac; 13.5%) and United
Wholesale Mortgage LLC (UWM/Cenlar FSB; 4.4%).
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as the Master Servicer,
Paying Agent, and Custodian. U.S. Bank Trust National Association
(U.S. Bank; rated AA with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will
act as Delaware Trustee. U.S. Bank Trust Company, National
Association will act as Collateral Trustee. Pentalpha Surveillance
LLC (Pentalpha) will serve as the Representation and Warranty
Reviewer.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL7: DBRS Gives B(high) Rating on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned credit ratings to the Mortgage-Backed
Securities, Series 2024-RPL7 (the Notes) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-RPL7 (the Trust) as follows:
-- $231.7 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $19.2 million Class A-2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $250.9 million Class A-3 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $269.3 million Class A-4 at A (high) (sf)
-- $283.9 million Class A-5 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $18.4 million Class M-1 at A (high) (sf)
-- $14.6 million Class M-2 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $9.7 million Class B-1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $7.0 million Class B-2 at B (high) (sf)
The Class A-3, A-4, and A-5 Notes are exchangeable. These classes
can be exchanged for combinations of initial exchangeable notes as
specified in the offering documents.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 28.65% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (high) (sf), A
(high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and B (high) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 22.75%, 17.10%, 12.60%, 9.60%, and 7.45% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The Trust is a securitization of a portfolio of seasoned performing
and reperforming, first-lien residential mortgages funded by the
issuance of the Notes. The Notes are backed by 1,770 loans with a
total principal balance of $341,896,465 as of the Cut-Off Date
(October 31, 2024).
The portfolio is approximately 167 months seasoned and 65.0% of the
loans have been modified. The modifications happened more than two
years ago for 92.8% of the modified loans. Within the pool, 602
mortgages have non-interest-bearing deferred amounts, which equate
to approximately 7.4% of the total principal balance. No
government-sponsored enterprise, Home Affordable Modification
Program, or proprietary principal forgiveness amounts are included
in the deferred amounts.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 95.2% of the loans in the pool are current.
Approximately 0.7% of the loans are in bankruptcy (92.4% of the
bankruptcy loans are performing) and 4.2% are 30 days delinquent.
Approximately 56.2% of the mortgage loans have been zero times 30
days delinquent (0x30) for at least the past 24 months under the
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method and 89.3%
have been 0x30 for at least the past 12 months under the MBA
delinquency method.
Approximately 68.2% of the pool is exempt from the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau Ability-to-Repay (ATR)/Qualified
Mortgage (QM) rules because the loans were originated as investor
property loans or were originated prior to January 10, 2014, the
date on which the rules became applicable. The loans subject to the
ATR rules are designated as non-QM (31.8%).
The Mortgage Loan Sellers, Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company (GSMC),
MCLP Asset Company, Inc., and MTGLQ Investors, L.P., acquired the
mortgage loans in various transactions prior to the Closing Date
from various mortgage loan sellers or from an affiliate. GS
Mortgage Securities Corp. (the Depositor) will contribute the loans
to the Trust. These loans were originated and previously serviced
by various entities through purchases in the secondary market.
The Sponsor, GSMC, or a majority-owned affiliate, will retain an
eligible vertical interest in the transaction consisting of an
uncertificated interest (the Retained Interest) in the Trust
representing the right to receive at least 5.0% of the amounts
collected on the mortgage loans, net of the Trust's fees, expenses,
and reimbursements and paid on the Notes (other than the Class R
Notes) and the Retained Interest to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements under Section 15G of the Securities Exchange
Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated thereunder.
As of the related servicing transfer date (December 4, 2024),
NewRez LLC dba Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (NewRez) will service
all the loans. The NewRez aggregate servicing fee rate for each
payment date is 0.045% per annum.
There will not be any advancing of delinquent principal or interest
on any mortgages by the related Servicer or any other party to the
transaction; however, the related Servicer is obligated to make
advances in respect to the preservation, inspection, restoration,
protection, and repair of a mortgaged property, which includes
delinquent tax and insurance payments, the enforcement of judicial
proceedings associated with a mortgage loan, and the management and
liquidation of properties (to the extent that the related Servicer
deems such advances recoverable).
On or after the Payment Date on which the aggregate Unpaid
Principal Balance of the Mortgage Loans is less than 25% of the
Aggregate Cut-Off Date Unpaid Principal Balance, the Controlling
Holder will have the option to purchase all remaining property of
the Issuer at the Minimum Price (Optional Clean-Up Call). The
Controlling Holder will be the beneficial owner of more than 50% of
the Class B-5 Notes (if no longer outstanding, the next most
subordinate Class of Notes, other than Class X).
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on the Class
A-2 Notes and more subordinate bonds will not be paid from
principal proceeds until the more senior classes are retired.
Excess interest can be used to amortize the principal of the notes
after paying transaction parties fees, net weighted-average coupon
(Net WAC) shortfalls, and making deposits on to the breach reserve
account.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HARVEST US 2024-3: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Harvest
US CLO 2024-3 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Harvest US
CLO 2024-3 Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Harvest US CLO 2024-3 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Investcorp Credit Management US LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 23.2, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25.6. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.5% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.16% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 9.25% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1, between
'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Harvest US CLO
2024-3 Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
HMH TRUST 2017-NSS: S&P Lowers Class D Certs Rating to 'D (sf)'
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on six classes of commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates from four U.S. CMBS
transactions.
S&P said, "The downgrades on the five principal and interest paying
classes from the four transactions reflect our expectation that the
accumulated interest shortfalls outstanding will remain outstanding
for the foreseeable future. Our assessment also indicates that some
of these classes may also incur principal losses upon the eventual
liquidation of the specially serviced assets in the respective
transactions."
The downgrade of the class X-EXT interest-only (IO) certificates
from J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust
2015-FL7 reflects our criteria for rating IO securities, which
state that the rating on the IO security would not be higher than
that of the lowest rated reference class. The notional amount of
class X-EXT references classes A, B, C, and D.
The interest shortfalls are primarily due to the appraisal
subordinate entitlement reduction (ASER) amounts in effect for
specially serviced assets.
S&P said, "Our analysis primarily considered ASER amounts based on
appraisal reduction amounts (ARAs) calculated using recent Member
of the Appraisal Institute (MAI) appraisals. We also considered
servicer-nonrecoverable advance determinations and special
servicing fees, which are likely, in our view, to cause recurring
interest shortfalls."
The servicer implements ARAs and resulting ASER amounts according
to each transaction's terms. Typically, these terms call for an ARA
equal to 25% of the loan's stated principal balance to be
implemented when it is 60 days past due and an appraisal or other
valuation is not available within a specified time frame. S&P
primarily considered ASER amounts based on ARAs calculated from MAI
appraisals when deciding which classes from the affected
transactions to downgrade to 'D (sf)'. This is because ARAs based
on a principal balance haircut are highly subject to change, or
even reversal once the special servicer obtains the MAI
appraisals.
Servicer-nonrecoverable advance determinations can prompt
shortfalls due to a lack of debt-service advancing, the recovery of
previously made advances after an asset was deemed nonrecoverable,
or the failure to advance trust expenses when nonrecoverability has
been determined. Trust expenses may include, but are not limited
to, property operating expenses, property taxes, insurance
payments, and legal expenses.
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2015-FL7
S&P said, "We lowered our rating on the class D certificates from
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2015-FL7, a
U.S. CMBS floater transaction to 'D (sf)' from 'B-(sf)'. The
downgrade reflects the accumulated interest shortfalls, which we
expect to be outstanding for the foreseeable future until the
eventual resolution of the specially serviced loan. Based on our
analysis, we also believe this class has a high probability to
incur principal loss upon the eventual resolution of the specially
serviced BlueMountain Lodging Portfolio loan."
S&P said, "We also lowered our rating on the class X-EXT IO
certificate to 'D (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'. The downgrade reflects our
criteria for rating IO securities, in which the ratings on the IO
securities would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
referenced class. Class X-EXT references classes A, B, C and D."
According to the November 2024 trustee remittance report, the trust
experienced current monthly interest shortfalls totaling
$138,619.92, primarily due to ASER based on an ARA that was
implemented in April 2024. Classes D, BLU1, and BLU2 have
experienced interest shortfalls for at least five consecutive
months. Rake classes BLU1 and BLU2 are not rated by S&P Global
Ratings.
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. Trust 2018-RIVR
S&P said, "We lowered our rating on the class A certificates from
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. Trust 2018-RIVR, a U.S. stand-alone
(single-borrower) CMBS transaction to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'.
The downgrade reflects accumulated interest shortfalls that we
expect to remain outstanding for the foreseeable future until the
eventual resolution of the specially serviced loan. Based on our
analysis, we also expect this class to incur principal loss upon
the eventual resolution of the specially serviced River North Point
loan."
According to the November 2024 trustee remittance report, the trust
experienced current monthly interest shortfalls totaling
$1,272,573.74 due primarily to ASER based on an ARA that was
implemented in May 2024. The class A certificates have experienced
interest shortfalls for at least seven consecutive months.
COMM 2018-HCLV Mortgage Trust
S&P said, "We lowered our ratings on the class D and E certificates
from COMM 2018-HCLV Mortgage Trust, a U.S. stand-alone
(single-borrower) CMBS transaction to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'.
The downgrade reflects accumulated interest shortfalls that we
expect will remain outstanding for the foreseeable future until the
specially serviced loan's eventual resolution. Based on our
analysis, we also expect these classes to incur principal losses
upon the eventual resolution of the specially serviced Hughes
Center Las Vegas loan."
According to the November 2024 trustee remittance report, the
monthly interest shortfalls affecting the trust totaled $948,503.28
due to an increased in ASER amount based on an updated ARA
implemented in November 2024. Classes D and E incurred interest
shortfalls for the first time in November 2024, while the classes
F, G, and RRI certificates, which are not rated by S&P Global
Ratings, have incurred interest shortfalls for at least nine
consecutive months.
HMH Trust 2017-NSS
S&P said, "We lowered our rating on the class D certificates from
HMH Trust 2017-NSS, a U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS
transaction to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'. The downgrade reflects
accumulated interest shortfalls that we expect to be outstanding
for the foreseeable future until the eventual resolution of the
specially serviced loans. In addition, based on our analysis, we
also expect this class to incur principal loss upon the eventual
resolution of the specially serviced loans."
According to the December 2024 trustee remittance report, the trust
experienced current monthly interest shortfalls totaling
$416,654.50 due to an increased in ASER based on an updated ARA
implemented in September 2024. Classes D, E, and F have experienced
interest shortfalls for at least four consecutive months. Classes E
and F are not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
Ratings Lowered
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2015-FL7
Class D to 'D (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Class X-EXT to 'D (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. Trust 2018-RIVR
Class A to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'
COMM 2018-HCLV Mortgage Trust
Class D to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class E to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'
HMH Trust 2017-NSS
Class D to 'D (sf)' from 'CCC- (sf)'
JP MORGAN 2021-410T: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class D Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on three classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2021-410T
issued by J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust
2021-410T as follows:
-- Class A to AA (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class B to BBB (sf) from AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-A to BBB (high) (sf) from AA (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
remaining classes as follows:
-- Class C at BB (sf)
-- Class D at B (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on all classes to Stable from
Negative.
With the prior credit rating action in December 2023, Morningstar
DBRS downgraded its credit ratings on the three lowest-rated
classes and assigned Negative trends to all classes following the
early lease termination of the property's former second-largest
tenant, First Republic Bank (First Republic). The loan's
anticipated repayment date (ARD) is in January 2028, providing the
sponsor with a fair amount of time to backfill First Republic's
vacant space ahead of the ARD; however, leasing momentum at the
property has been sluggish. According to the servicer, the borrower
continues to market vacant space at the property with several
prospective tenants showing interest; however, no new leases have
been signed to date. In addition, should the loan not repay at the
ARD and hyper-amortization terms kick in, the loss of First
Republic's rent suggests that in-place cash flows would no longer
be able to sustain a meaningful paydown of the loan's principal
balance. As such, Morningstar DBRS removed the ARD credit applied
in the loan-to-value ratio (LTV) sizing benchmarks at issuance. The
updated Morningstar DBRS value derived as part of the December 2023
credit rating action was maintained for this review, with the
resulting downward pressure implied by the LTV sizing tool further
supporting the credit rating downgrades with this review.
Additional details are outlined below.
The transaction is collateralized by a redeveloped Class A office
and retail building in Manhattan's Hudson Yards submarket. The
current sponsor, 601W Companies, acquired the property, formerly
known as the Master Printers Building, for $952.5 million. The
whole loan amount of $705.0 million consists of seven senior A
notes totaling $408.0 million, one junior B note totaling $157.0
million, a senior mezzanine loan totaling $20.0 million, and one
junior mezzanine loan totaling $120.0 million. Six of the seven
senior A notes and the junior B note are securitized in the subject
transaction. The trust loan is interest only (IO) throughout the
ARD term. The terms of the ARD require that, should the loan remain
outstanding beyond that date, it will incur additional interest and
will begin hyper-amortizing, with the fully extended maturity date
occurring in March 2032. However, as previously noted, should the
former First Republic space remain vacant, Morningstar DBRS expects
that there would be little to no excess cash flow available to pay
down the loan.
Although JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A (rated AA with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) bought most of First Republic's assets in May
2023, it did not acquire the subject lease at the property. The
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation took possession of First
Republic's 211,521-square-foot (sf) lease (formerly 33.5% of the
property's net rentable area (NRA)) in September 2023 and
ultimately negotiated a termination agreement with the landlord.
The two largest remaining tenants at the property are Amazon.com,
Inc. (53.1% of the NRA, lease expiry in May 2037) and Related
(11.3% of the NRA, lease expiry in 2045). Both tenants have
termination options beginning in 2030 and every subsequent five
years. The loan is currently cash managed because of First
Republic's lease termination. Per the loan agreement, in the event
of a major tenant trigger, the lender will continue to sweep excess
cash until such time the cumulative amount being held in the excess
cash flow reserve fund exceeds $100 per sf (psf). Although the
property continues to generate positive cash flow, even after First
Republic's departure, the amount of excess cash available after
fulfilling debt service obligations remains limited. According to
the November 2024 reporting, reserve balances total $3.8 million
($893,202 of which is held in tenant and leasing reserves).
The servicer reported an occupancy rate of 65.1% and net cash flow
(NCF) (annualized) of $28.5 million for the trailing six months
ended June 30, 2024, resulting in a debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 1.24 times (x). In comparison, the property was 99.2%
occupied and generated $49.0 million of NCF (a DSCR of 2.25x) at
issuance. First Republic formerly accounted for approximately 38.0%
of the base rent. The loan benefits from strong institutional
sponsorship, a prime location in a premier New York office market,
and the lack of significant rollover risk in the remaining tenancy
during the rest of the loan term. However, the significant increase
in vacancy and lack of leasing momentum at the property in the
nearly 18 months since First Republic's departure; despite healthy
demand within the submarket, were factors in Morningstar DBRS'
conservative approach in the analysis for this review. Per Q3 2024
Reis data, Class A properties within a one-mile radius reported
vacancy and average rental rates of 10.8% and $82.34 psf,
respectively, compared with the subject property's average office
rental rate of approximately $86.00 psf.
During the prior review, Morningstar DBRS derived an updated NCF
based on the in-place tenancy and expected lease-up costs for the
vacant First Republic space, concluding to a stabilized occupancy
rate of 85.0%. That analysis resulted in a Morningstar DBRS value
of $539.3 million, a -19.0% and -44.0% variance from the
Morningstar DBRS value and appraised value derived at issuance,
respectively. The Morningstar DBRS value implies an LTV of 75.7% on
the senior debt and an LTV of 105.0% based on the total mortgage
debt amount of $565.0 million (compared with the LTV of 85.0% based
on the Morningstar DBRS value at issuance). The leverage increases
substantially to an all-in Morningstar DBRS LTV of 131.0% when
factoring in both the senior and junior mezzanine loans. During the
prior review, Morningstar DBRS also removed the positive
qualitative adjustment of 2.75% applied at issuance for low cash
flow volatility but maintained positive qualitative adjustments to
the LTV sizing benchmarks totaling 5.0% to account for property
quality and market fundamentals. The consideration of the
Morningstar DBRS property value noted above, in addition to the
updates made to the LTV sizing benchmarks as part of the removal of
the ARD credit and the cash flow volatility credit, resulted in
significant downward pressure at the top of the capital stack,
supporting the credit rating downgrades with this review.
The credit rating assigned to the Class C certificate is higher
than the result implied by the LTV sizing benchmarks by three or
more notches. The variances are warranted given the mitigating
factors in the conservative assumptions made as part of the
derivation of the Morningstar DBRS value for the collateral
property, as well as the Class A status of the property, the
overall desirability of the subject's submarket, and the in-place
cash flows, which suggest there remains sufficient cash flow to
support the outstanding mortgage debt.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its following provisional credit ratings on
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-11 (the
Certificates) issued by the J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-11
(JPMMT 2024-11)
-- $395.8 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $395.8 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $395.8 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $296.9 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $296.9 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $296.9 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $99.0 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $99.0 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $99.0 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $237.5 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $237.5 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $237.5 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $158.3 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $158.3 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $158.3 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $59.4 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $59.4 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $59.4 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $49.6 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $49.6 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $49.6 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.9 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $515.3 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $515.3 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $515.3 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $9.9 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $9.9 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $9.9 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.0 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.7 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $1.1 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-11-X,
A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1, A-X-2, A-X-3,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X, A-X-1, B-1, and
B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be exchanged
for combinations of depositable certificates as specified in the
offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect
to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.95% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 4.15%, 2.20%, 1.10%, 0.60%, and
0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-11 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 441 loans with a
total principal balance of $ 547,864,527 as of the Cut-Off Date
(November 1, 2024).
Subsequent to the issuance of the related Presale Report, four
loans had their unpaid principal balances lowered by a total of
$3,756. Unless specified otherwise, all the statistics regarding
the mortgage loans in this report are based on the Presale Report
balance.
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 15 to 30 years and a weighted-average
(WA) loan age of three months. Approximately 93.7% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
6.3% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section. In addition, all of the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) originated 67.0% of the pool
and PennyMac Loan Services, LLC originated 15.4%. Various other
originators, each comprising less than 15%, originated the
remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will be serviced or
subserviced, as applicable, by United wholesale Mortgage (67.0%)
and PennyMac (15.4%). For the JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
(JPMCB)-serviced loans, Shellpoint will act as interim servicer
until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the servicing transfer date
(March 1, 2025).
For certain Servicers in this transaction, the servicing fee
payable for mortgage loans is composed of three separate
components: the base servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee,
and the additional servicing fee. These fees vary based on the
delinquency status of the related loan and will be paid from
interest collections before distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC (Nationstar) will act as the Master
Servicer. Citibank, N.A. (Citibank; rated AA (low) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Securities Administrator and
Delaware Trustee. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (Computershare)
will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will
serve as the Representations and Warranties (R&W) Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-CCM1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-CCM1 (the Certificates)
issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-CCM1 (JPMMT 2024-CCM1):
-- $350.3 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $313.7 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $313.7 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $313.7 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $235.3 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $235.3 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $235.3 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $78.4 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $78.4 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $78.4 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $188.2 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $188.2 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $188.2 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $125.5 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $125.5 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $125.5 million Class A-7X at AAA (sf)
-- $47.1 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $47.1 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $47.1 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $36.5 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $36.5 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $36.5 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $350.3 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $350.3 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $350.3 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $350.3 million Class A-X-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $350.3 million Class A-X-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $5.9 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $6.3 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $3.1 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.5 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $554.0 thousand Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
A-X-2, A-X-3, A-X-4, and A-X-5 are interest-only (IO) certificates.
The class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7,
A-7-A, A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-X-1, and A-X-5 are exchangeable
certificates. These classes can be exchanged for combinations of
depositable certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificate
(Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.10% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.50%, 1.80%, 0.95%, 0.55%, and
0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages to be funded by the issuance
of the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-CCM1 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 290 loans with a
total principal balance of $369,097,600 as of the Cut-Off Date
(November 1, 2024). This is the first transaction to be issued
under the JPMMT CCM shelf.
Subsequent to the issuance of the related Presale Report, eleven
loans were removed from the pool. The Certificates are backed by
301 mortgage loans with a total principal balance of $383,428,253
in the Presale Report. Unless specified otherwise, all the
statistics regarding the mortgage loans in this report are based on
the Presale Report balance.
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average (WA)
loan age of two months. Approximately 85.2% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
14.8% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section of the related report. In addition, all of the
loans in the pool were originated in accordance with the new
general qualified mortgage (QM) rule.
CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC is the originator for all of the loans
in pool. Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing will act as the Interim
Servicer. As of the Servicing Transfer Date (March 1, 2025), all of
the loans will be serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A..
For this transaction, the servicing fee payable for mortgage loans
is composed of three separate components: the base servicing fee,
the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional servicing fee.
These fees vary based on the delinquency status of the related loan
and will be paid from interest collections before distribution to
the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as the Master Servicer. Citibank,
N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will
act as Securities Administrator and Delaware Trustee. Computershare
Trust Company, N.A. will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance
LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties Reviewer.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
JPMCC 2012-CIBX: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
-----------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the following classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-CIBX
issued by JPMCC 2012-CIBX Mortgage Trust:
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
Classes E, F, and G have credit ratings that do not carry a trend
in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating confirmations reflect the minimal changes in
Morningstar DBRS' expectations and the makeup of the remaining pool
over the past year. Morningstar DBRS remains cautious on the
disposition timeline and recoverability prospects for the remaining
two loans in the pool: Jefferson Mall (Prospectus ID#4, 50.8% of
the pool) and Southpark Mall (Prospectus ID#5, 49.2% of the pool).
Both loans previously transferred to special servicing because of
imminent nonmonetary default following the bankruptcy filing of
their sponsor, CBL & Associates Properties, Inc. (CBL), in November
2020. After emerging from bankruptcy, the sponsor executed
modifications in October 2022 to achieve full reinstatement of both
loans while retaining CBL as the property manager and sponsor.
Modification terms included an extension of the maturity dates to
June 2026, as well as the execution of a hard lockbox requiring
excess cash flow to go toward principal payments and a capital
expenditure reserve. Per the November 2024 remittance, transaction
reserves total $8.3 million, a decline from the $10.0 million in
reserves at last review in November 2023.
Given the concentration and high exposure to previously defaulted
loans, Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings are based on a
recoverability analysis, which considers the most recent appraised
values for the two underlying assets, their continued declining
performance and potential for further value decline. Based on the
most recent appraisals, future losses at disposition could be
contained to Classes F, G, and the unrated Class NR; however, when
subject to additional stress tests, Class E continues to remain
exposed to possible losses at resolution, supporting the
maintenance of the C (sf) credit ratings across all classes.
The Jefferson Mall loan is secured by 281,020 square feet (sf) of
in-line space and one stand-alone restaurant parcel in a 956,992-sf
super-regional mall in Louisville, Kentucky. The remaining
noncollateral anchors are Dillard's, JCPenney, and Tilted 10.
According to the July 2024 rent roll, the property was 93.5%
occupied, compared with the 99.2% occupancy reported in June 2023.
Collateral leases scheduled to roll through maturity total 52.5% of
the net rentable area (NRA). Cash flow and the debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) have also declined over the past year. A
February 2021 appraisal valued the property at $34.7 million, a 66%
decline from the issuance appraised value of $101.7 million. Given
the performance declines and high rollover during the remaining
term, Morningstar DBRS further stressed this value for an expected
loss severity of more than 50.0%.
The Southpark Mall loan is secured by the borrower's fee-simple
interest in 397,596 sf of a larger 687,375-sf regional mall located
in Colonial Heights, Virginia. The mall is anchored by Dick's
Sporting Goods (collateral) and three noncollateral anchors.
Although occupancy has been stable, rollover at the subject is
notable, totaling 36.6% of the NRA prior to the loan's scheduled
maturity in June 2026, including Dick's Sporting Goods (28.6% of
NRA, lease expiry in November 2024). The YE2023 net cash flow was
reported at $4.1 million, down from $5.8 million as of YE2022. The
respective DSCR declined below breakeven. The February 2021
appraisal valued the property at $40.0 million, a 61% decline from
the issuance appraised value of $103.0 million. Given the
performance declines and concentrated rollover, Morningstar DBRS
further stressed this value, resulting in a loss severity
approaching 45.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
KEYCORP STUDENT 2006-A: Moody's Ups Rating on II-C Certs to Caa2
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of three PSL tranches and
placed one FFELP tranche on review with direction uncertain from
KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2004-A, KeyCorp Student Loan Trust
2005-A and KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2006-A. The underlying
collateral for these transactions includes loans originated under
the Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) and private
student loans (PSLs). The FFELP and the PSLs collateral is
separated into group I and group II, respectively, with each group
collateralizing its own set of notes with independent reserve
accounts and payment waterfalls. The residual cash flow in each
group can be used to cover any payment shortfalls in the other
group.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2004-A
Class II-D, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Feb 23, 2024
Upgraded to B2 (sf)
Issuer: KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2005-A
Cl. I-B, Aa1 (sf) Placed On Review Direction Uncertain; previously
on Jul 26, 2024 Aa1 (sf) Placed On Review for Downgrade
Cl. II-C, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Feb 23, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2006-A
Cl. II-C, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 11, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily driven by the adoption of the
updated methodologies "US Private Student Loan Securitizations" and
"FFELP Student Loan Securitizations" published on 12/12/2024 and
reflect recent performance information and Moody's updated default
assumptions on the underlying private student loan collateral.
The upgrades are primarily driven by the overall positive impact of
the methodological changes and build-up of credit enhancement.
The action to put the FFELP tranche Cl. I-B issued by KeyCorp
Student Loan Trust 2005-A on watch with direction uncertain is
driven by the potential uplift from increased residual cash flow
from the PSL portion prompted by the adoption of the updated PSL
methodology, offsetting the risk that the notes will not pay off
prior to their legal final maturity dates.
On July 26, 2024, Moody's placed the FFELP tranches issued by
KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2004-A, KeyCorp Student Loan Trust
2005-A and KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2006-A on review for
downgrade, following Nelnet's disclosure of a collateral data
reporting approach that appears to have understated the remaining
term of loans in Income-based Repayment Plans (IBR), potentially
increasing the risk of the notes not paying down by their legal
final maturity dates.
During the review period, Moody's will update Moody's cash flow
modeling to reflect the residual cash flow from the PSL portion and
the updated remaining term of the FFELP collateral portion to
assess the likelihood that the notes will be paid off prior to
their legal final maturity dates. Moody's will also consider
updated prepayment and performance information, as well as other
deal specific considerations
Moody's lifetime cumulative gross default expectations are noted
below for the transactions PSL pools:
KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2004-A: 26.00%
KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2005-A: 23.15%
KeyCorp Student Loan Trust 2006-A: 26.25%
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features and credit enhancement.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The methodologies used in these ratings were "FFELP Student Loan
Securitizations" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the notes if, given Moody's expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
higher ratings. Among the factors that could drive the ratings up
are increasing voluntary prepayment rates, faster paydown speed of
the loan pool as a result of declining borrower usage of relief
programs.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the FFELP bonds if the
paydown speed of the loan pool declines as a result of the updated
remaining term, lower than expected voluntary prepayments, and
higher than expected deferment, forbearance and IBR rates, which
would threaten full repayment of the class by its final maturity
date. In addition, because the US Department of Education
guarantees at least 97% of principal and accrued interest on
defaulted loans, Moody's could downgrade the rating of the notes if
it were to downgrade the rating on the United States government.
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the PSL bonds if net losses
are higher than Moody's expectations, or if the servicer's
financial stability or quality of servicing deteriorates. Other
reasons for worse-than-expected performance include error on the
part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and
fraud.
KRR CLO 60: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to KKR CLO
60 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
KKR CLO 60 Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C LT A+sf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
KKR CLO 60 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by KKR
Financial Advisors II, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.95% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.97%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for KKR CLO 60 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
KSL COMMERCIAL 2024-HT2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) on HRR Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-HT2 (the Certificates) to be issued by KSL Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2024-HT2 (the Trust):
-- Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- Class HRR at (P) B (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The Trust is secured by secured by the fee-simple and/or leasehold
interests in 13 hospitality properties across six states. The
portfolio consists of 2,384 total keys, including four properties
(1,072 keys, representing 42.9% of allocated loan amount (ALA))
operating under the Marriott brand family; four properties (398
keys, representing 21.7% of ALA) as independent brands; three
properties (549 keys, representing 20.6% of ALA) operating under
the Hilton brand family; and two properties (365 keys, representing
14.9% of ALA) operating under the Hyatt brand family. The
properties were constructed between 1904 and 2015 and have a
weighted-average (WA) year built of 1997 and WA renovation year of
2021.
The subject financing of $761.0 million, along with a $104.0
million mezzanine loan, will facilitate the refinancing of $740.9
million of existing debt, redistribute $77.6 million to the
sponsor, establish a $29.2 million property improvement plan (PIP)
letter of credit, and cover closing costs. The loan is a two-year,
floating-rate (one-month Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)
plus 2.800% per annum) interest-only mortgage loan with three
one-year extension options. The borrower is expected to purchase an
interest rate cap with a one-month Term SOFR strike price of 5.0%.
The transaction sponsor is an affiliate of KSL Capital Partners
(KSL). KSL is a private equity firm specializing in equity and debt
investing in U.S. and international travel and leisure enterprises,
spread across five primary sectors: hospitality, recreation, clubs,
real estate, and travel services. KSL has been an industry leader
for its 30 years of operation by strategically acquiring lodging
and leisure-oriented assets and implementing management to help
drive cash flow. Since 2005, KSL has raised more than $21 billion
worth of capital commitments that focus solely on its travel and
leisure endeavors, investing in more than 185 businesses across the
world.
The properties in the portfolio were constructed between 1904 and
2015. Since 2016, approximately $161.3 million ($67,647 per key) in
capital expenditure (capex) was invested in the properties. An
additional $29.2 million ($17,718 per key) of planned capex is
budgeted for seven of the properties from 2024 through 2027. The
planned capex is part of brand-mandated PIPs over the fully
extended five-year loan term. In lieu of an upfront reserve to
cover the cost of the brand-mandated PIPs, the sponsor is required
to deliver a letter of credit in an amount equal to $29.2 million.
Once/if performed, these improvements would allow the portfolio to
maintain its competitive position and improve its overall financial
performance. One property, which will potentially require a PIP
upon an upcoming franchise expiry in 2025, is not included in the
PIP cost estimate. Morningstar DBRS applied a $5.0 million
Morningstar DBRS value adjustment to recognize the PIP shortfall
during the initial loan term.
The largest properties by net cash flow (NCF) are the Westin
Philadelphia, the Boston Envoy, and the Hilton Garden Inn New
York-Midtown East, which represent approximately 11.8%, 11.6%, and
10.7% of the trailing 12-month period (T-12) ended September 30,
2024, NCF, respectively. No other property represents more than
10.5% of portfolio NCF. The 13 properties average approximately 183
keys and the largest hotel, the Cadillac Hotel & Beach Club,
Autograph Collection, contains 357 keys, or approximately 15.0% of
the total keys in the portfolio. The portfolio is located across
six states, with the largest concentration by ALA in New York and
Florida, which account for approximately 39.6% and 23.0% of the
loan balance by ALA, respectively. No other state accounts for more
than 15.0% of the loan balance by ALA. Most of these markets are
located within a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 7 or 8 (62.0% of
ALA), and the WA portfolio Market Rank is 6.1. The locations within
these markets are primarily high-barrier-to-entry urban markets
that benefit from increased liquidity driven by consistently strong
investor demand, even during times of economic stress.
In 2019, prior to the coronavirus pandemic, the portfolio achieved
an occupancy rate of 82.9% and an average daily rate (ADR) of
$238.96, resulting in a revenue per available room (RevPAR) of
$198.19. Following a significant decline during 2020 because of the
coronavirus pandemic, the portfolio's performance was able to
recover to pre-pandemic levels by 2022, with the YE2022 RevPAR of
$198.43 just higher than the YE2019 RevPAR of $198.19. Over the
past two years, the portfolio has continued to experience
consistent top-line growth. During the T-12 ended September 30,
2024, the portfolio achieved an occupancy rate of 79.1%,
representing a 3.9% increase over the YE2023 occupancy and an ADR
of $278.63, representing an 0.6% increase over the YE2023 ADR.
These figures resulted in a RevPAR of $220.46, representing a 4.5%
increase over the YE2023 RevPAR and an 11.2% increase over the
YE2019 RevPAR. Of the 13 properties in the portfolio, 11 achieved a
higher RevPAR during the T-12 ended September 30, 2024, than in
2019, while 12 saw RevPAR increases from YE2023 to the T-12 ended
September 30, 2024. The portfolio achieved a WA RevPAR penetration
of 107.7% during the T-12 ended September 30, 2024, as well as
104.8% in YE2023, 99.9% in YE2022, and 102.2% in YE2019, indicating
that the majority of properties in the portfolio have historically
outperformed their respective competitive sets. Morningstar DBRS
concluded a RevPAR of $219.19 based on an occupancy rate of 78.8%
and an ADR of $278.24. This RevPAR figure is 0.6% lower than the
T-12 ended September 30, 2024, RevPAR of $220.46 and 3.9% greater
than the YE2023 RevPAR of $210.94.
The overall portfolio appraised value is $1.25 billion, which
equates to a moderate appraised total debt LTV of 69.1% (65.9% LTV
based on the $1.31 bulk sale value). The Morningstar DBRS-concluded
value of $906.5 million ($380,243 per key) represents a significant
27.6% discount to the appraised value and results in a Morningstar
DBRS whole-loan LTV of 95.4%, which is indicative of high-leverage
financing; however, the Morningstar DBRS value is based on a
capitalization rate (cap rate) of 8.19%, which represents a
significant stress over current prevailing market cap rates and
accounts for a $5.0 million Morningstar DBRS value deduction to
account for the PIP shortfall for the Hilton Garden Inn Tribeca
during the initial loan term.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
LAKE SHORE V: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class C-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
X-R, B-R, and C-R notes and class A-1R and A-2R loans from Lake
Shore MM CLO V LLC, a CLO originally issued in November 2022 that
is managed by First Eagle Alternative Credit LLC. At the same time,
S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class X, B, and C notes
and class A-1 and A-2 loans following payment in full on the Dec.
12, 2024, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Dec. 12, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Dec. 12, 2028.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing variable dividend notes) were extended to Jan. 15,
2037.
-- The turbo feature of the original class C debt was removed.
-- The class X-R notes were issued in connection with this
refinancing. These notes are expected to be paid down using
interest proceeds in 15 payment dates beginning with the payment
date in April 2025.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Lake Shore MM CLO V LLC
Class X-R, $22.60 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1R loans, $270.00 million: A (sf)
Class A-2R loans, $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class B-R (deferrable), $28.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Lake Shore MM CLO V LLC
Class X to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-1 loans to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class A-2 loans to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Lake Shore MM CLO V LLC
Variable dividend notes, $50.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
MADISON PARK LXVI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Madison
Park Funding LXVI, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Madison Park Funding
LXVI, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Madison Park Funding LXVI, Ltd. was upsized by approximately $100
million to $700 million, rather than the aggregate ramp-up par
amount of $600 million that was anticipated when the expected
ratings were assigned. The class D-2 notes are fixed rate notes
rather than floating rate notes as anticipated when the expected
ratings were assigned.
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding LXVI, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $700 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality. However, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.13% first lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.7%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1 notes, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between 'BB+sf' and
'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C
notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1 notes,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 notes, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AAsf' for class C notes,
'Asf' for class D-1 notes, 'A-sf' for class D-2 notes, and 'BBB+sf'
for class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding LXVI, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MADISON PARK LXVI: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to $350,000 F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Madison Park Funding LXVI, Ltd. (the Issuer or Madison Park
LXVI):
US$430,500,000 Class A-1 Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2037,
Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$350,000 Class F Deferrable Floating Rate Junior Notes due 2038,
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Madison Park LXVI is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will
be collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 96% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 4% of the portfolio may
consist of not senior secured loans. The portfolio is approximately
80% ramped as of the closing date.
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $700,000,000
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3229
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.50%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
MADISON PARK XLV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-RR Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-RR, B-RR,
C-RR, D-RR, and E-RR replacement debt from Madison Park Funding XLV
Ltd./Madison Park Funding LLC, a CLO managed by UBS Asset
Management (Americas) LLC that was originally issued in July 2020
and underwent a refinancing in July 2021. At the same time, S&P
withdrew its ratings on the class A-R, B-R, C-R, and D-R debt
following payment in full on the Dec. 17, 2024, refinancing date
(S&P did not rate the class E-R debt).
The replacement debt was issued via a conformed indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt as well as the revised
coverage test triggers. According to the conformed indenture, the
non-call period for the replacement debt was set to June 17, 2025,
the weighted average life test schedule was revised, and the
concentration limit for fixed-rate assets was set to 5.00%.
Replacement And July 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-RR, $287.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.08%
Class B-RR, $60.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.65%
Class C-RR, $24.35 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.90%
Class D-RR, $26.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.90%
Class E-RR, $14.10 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.25%
July 2021 debt
Class A-R, $265.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.38161%
Class B-R, $76.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.96161%
Class C-R, $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.31161%
Class D-R, $28.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.41161%
Class E-R, $18.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.61161%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Madison Park Funding XLV Ltd./Madison Park Funding XLV LLC
Class A-RR, $287.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR, $60.80 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RR, $24.35 million: A (sf)
Class D-RR, $26.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-RR, $14.10 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Madison Park Funding XLV Ltd./Madison Park Funding XLV LLC
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Madison Park Funding XLV Ltd./Madison Park Funding XLV LLC
Subordinated notes, $36.90 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
MAGNETITE XXXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-2-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-1-R, D-2-R, E-1-R, and E-2-R replacement debt from Magnetite
XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC, a CLO originally issued in October
2023 that is managed by BlackRock Financial Management Inc. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A, B, C,
D, and E debt following payment in full on the Dec. 13, 2024,
refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to December 2025.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to January 2028.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) were extended to January 2037.
-- The target initial par amount will remain at $400.00 million.
There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and the
first payment date following the refinancing is January 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC
Class A-R, $260.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-1-R (deferrable), $13.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class E-2-R (deferrable), $1.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Magnetite XXXIX Ltd./Magnetite XXXIX LLC
Subordinated notes, $37.70 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
MENLO CLO I: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Menlo CLO I
Ltd./Menlo CLO I LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Permira US CLO Manager LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 12,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Menlo CLO I Ltd./Menlo CLO I LLC
Class A-1, $263.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.75 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $46.75 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $25.50 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $21.25 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $8.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.75 million: BB- (sf)
Class F (deferrable), $3.19 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $36.40 million: Not rated
MF1 2020-FL4: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the following classes of
notes issued by MF1 2020-FL4, Ltd.:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the increased credit
support available to the bonds as a result of successful loan
repayments, with collateral reduction of 40.3% since issuance.
Additionally, the majority of loan collateral, 19 loans,
representing 98.6% of the current trust balance, is secured by
multifamily properties. Multifamily properties have historically
proven to be better able to retain property value and cash flow
compared with other property types.
While the paydown is a positive development, Morningstar DBRS notes
that the transaction is somewhat exposed to adverse selection as a
majority of the borrowers are facing execution risk with their
respective business plans because of a combination of factors,
including decreased property values, increased construction costs,
slower rent growth, and increases in debt service costs stemming
from the current elevated interest rate environment as all loans
have floating interest rates. As a result of lagging business plans
and loan exit strategies, the borrowers of 13 loans, representing
61.9% of the current trust balance, have received loan
modifications and/or forbearances. Terms for the modifications vary
from loan to loan; however, common terms include interest deferrals
via a hard and soft pay structure and waiving interest rate cap
agreement requirements. Forbearance agreements have been executed
to facilitate further modification discussions between the lender
and borrowers. To account for those increased risks, Morningstar
DBRS' analysis for this review considered stressed scenarios to
increase the loan-level expected losses (ELs), generally reflective
of stressed values for the collateral properties or upward
probability of default (POD) adjustments based on the level and
source of the increased stress. While this approach increased the
pool EL by nearly a full percentage point from the prior credit
rating action's analysis, there was no downward pressure for the
credit ratings as the transaction benefits from an unrated
first-loss bond of $67.7 million, as well as two below
investment-grade bonds, i.e., Class F and Class G, totaling $73.6
million, which combine for significant cushion against realized
losses should the increased risks for those loans ultimately result
in dispositions.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS published
a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth analysis and
credit metrics for the transaction as well as business plan updates
on select loans. For access to this report, please click on the
link under Related Documents below or contact us at
info-DBRS@morningstar.com.
The initial collateral consisted of 22 floating-rate mortgages
secured by 29 transitional multifamily properties with a cut-off
date balance totaling approximately $783.3 million. Most of the
loans were in a period of transition with plans to stabilize
performance and improve the asset value. The transaction included
an 18-month reinvestment period that expired in May 2022, at which
point the bonds began to amortize sequentially with loan repayment
and scheduled loan amortization.
The pool currently comprises 20 loans secured by 40 properties with
a cumulative trust balance of $568.2 million. Since the previous
Morningstar DBRS rating action in December 2023, four loans with a
prior cumulative trust balance of $122.1 million have successfully
repaid from the pool. Four of the original 22 loans, representing
17.0% of the current pool balance, remain in the trust.
Leverage across the pool has remained generally consistent with the
issuance metrics as of the November 2024 reporting, as the current
weighted-average (WA) as-is appraised value loan-to-value ratio
(LTV) is 73.4%, with a current WA stabilized LTV of 63.8%. In
comparison, these figures were 62.0% and 55.0%, respectively, at
issuance. Most of the individual property appraisals for the
remaining collateral were completed in 2021 and as such, may not
fully reflect the effects of increased interest rates and/or
widening capitalization rates since that time. To account for this
factor, Morningstar DBRS applied upward LTV adjustments to increase
the loan-level ELs where applicable.
Palm Valley (Prospectus ID#33, 5.0% of the current trust balance)
represents the pool's only specially serviced loan. The loan, which
is secured by a 264-unit, garden-style apartment property in
Goodyear, Arizona, transferred to special servicing in October 2024
after the loan failed to pay off upon its July 2024 maturity
default. According to the collateral manager, the sponsor has
experienced difficulty in covering the debt service payment in
recent months and requested a loan modification. The property was
96.0% occupied as of August 2024. As of the year-end 2023
financials provided by the servicer, the property generated a net
cash flow of $2.9 million equating to a debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 0.62x and debt yield of 4.7%. In its current analysis,
Morningstar DBRS increased its POD to the loan to reflect the
increased maturity and business plan execution risk. The resulting
loan EL exceeded the WA EL for the overall pool.
There are 19 loans, representing 95.0% of the current trust
balance, on the servicer's watchlist as of the November 2024
reporting. The loans have been flagged for DSCRs below breakeven
and upcoming loan maturities. The largest loan in the pool, Two
Blue Slip (Prospectus ID#40, 16.1% of the current trust balance),
is being monitored on the servicer's watchlist for upcoming
maturity risk. The loan matures in February 2025; however, the loan
includes two additional 12-month extension options. The property
was 90.5% occupied as of September 2024 rent roll. According to the
YE2023 financials the property generated $14.9 million, equating to
a DSCR of 0.59x and debt yield of 4.4%. In its current analysis,
Morningstar DBRS applied upward as-is and as-stabilized LTV
adjustments to reflect the increased business plan execution risk.
The resulting loan EL is below the WA EL for the overall pool.
Through October 2024, the lender had advanced cumulative loan
future funding of $121.9 million to 17 of the 20 outstanding
individual borrowers to aid in property stabilization efforts. The
largest advance, $27.5 million, had been made to the borrower of
the Parkview at Collingswood loan, which is secured by a
1,030-unit, high-rise-style apartment community located in
Collingswood, New Jersey. The advanced funds have been used to fund
the borrower's extensive $27.5 million planned capital expenditures
(capex) across the portfolio. The Q3 2024 collateral manager report
noted the borrower had completed 677 unit upgrades with another 43
units in progress. Of the renovated units, 346 units have achieved
rental premiums of $296 per unit compared with in-place rental
rates at issuance.
An additional $83.3 million of loan future funding allocated to 10
of the outstanding individual borrowers remains available. The vast
majority of available funding ($56.1 million) is allocated across
the two portfolio loans sponsored by Veritas, ranging from $23.0
million for the SF Multifamily Portfolio II loan to $33.1 million
for the LA Multifamily Portfolio II loan. The business plan for
each loan is similar, with funds available to renovate properties
with a small portion of dollars allocated for potential
performance-based earnouts.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2017-ASHF: S&P Affirms 'CCC' Rating on Cl. F Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on four classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from Morgan Stanley
Capital I Trust 2017-ASHF, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the same
time, S&P affirmed its ratings on three other classes from the
transaction.
This U.S. standalone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction is backed
by a floating-rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan. The loan,
which has a $409.8 million balance as of the Nov. 15, 2024, trustee
remittance report, is secured by the borrowers' fee-simple
interests in a portfolio of eight full-service, three
extended-stay, and six limited-service lodging properties in seven
states totaling 3,128 guestrooms. No properties have been released
to date; however, the trust balance was paid down by $9.3 million
since our last review. Since issuance, the deal has paid down by
$17.3 million, the majority of which was due to the release of a
parking parcel at the Hilton St. Petersburg Bayfront.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on the class B, C, and D certificates and
affirmations on the class A, E, and F certificates primarily
reflect:
-- The loan transferred to the special servicer in August 2024 and
defaulted at its November 2024 despite increasing net cash flow
(NCF) over the past three years that is sufficient to cover debt
service. The loan is currently unhedged, and discussions
surrounding a workout resolution are ongoing.
-- S&P's expected-case valuation for the portfolio, while
unchanged from last review, is 9.6% lower than the value it derived
at issuance.
-- While the portfolio's revenue per available room (RevPAR) has
increased since the COVID-19 pandemic, operating expenses have
similarly increased, resulting in stagnating gains in NCF. S&P
said, "The servicer-reported NCF for 2023 ($37.9 million) and the
trailing 12 months (TTM) ending June 30, 2024, ($38.2 million) are
slightly above the NCF that we derived in our July 2020 review but
have not recovered to pre-COVID-19 levels of $42.6 million in
2019."
S&P said, "The affirmation of our 'CCC (sf)' rating on class F
further reflects our qualitative consideration that its repayment
remains dependent upon favorable business, financial, and economic
conditions, and that the class remains vulnerable to default.
Specifically, the trust loan has an S&P Global Ratings'
loan-to-value ratio of 102.7% through this class, and our current
analysis continues to indicate a potential principal loss on this
class.
"Although the model-indicated rating for class E was higher than
the affirmed rating, primarily as a result of the $9.3 million in
principal paydown since our last published review, we affirmed our
rating on this class considering its position in the waterfall, as
well as the fact that the loan is not presently covered by an
interest rate cap agreement and the uncertainty surrounding the
potential loan workout.
"We lowered the rating on the X-EXT IO certificates based on our
criteria for rating IO securities, in which the rating on the IO
securities would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
reference class. The notional amount of class X-EXT references the
class C certificates.
"At issuance, we applied a positive 1.0% transaction-level
qualitative adjustment to account for the significant capital that
was being invested in the portfolio at that time as well as the
brand and geographic diversity existing within the portfolio. In
our current review, we have removed the transaction-level
qualitative adjustment, given the lack of clarity about more recent
capital expenditures on the properties as well as the loan's
maturity default and transfer to the special servicer."
The loan, which matured Nov. 9, 2024, had a non-performing matured
balloon payment status as of the Nov. 15, 2024, trustee remittance
report. However, the master servicer, Wells Fargo Bank N.A.,
reports that the borrowers subsequently remitted a debt service
payment for the November payment period. The special servicer,
Trimont Real Estate Advisors LLC, stated that it has recently
granted the borrowers a 90-day forbearance while it negotiates a
potential workout.
S&P said, "We will continue to monitor the performance of the
portfolio and loan, including the in-progress negotiations
regarding a potential loan workout. If we receive information that
differs materially from our expectations, we may revisit our
analysis and take additional rating actions as we determine
appropriate."
Property-Level Analysis Updates
S&P said, "In our July 2020 review, we were concerned about the
depth and duration of the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on
performance. However, it was unclear at that time whether the
pandemic would result in a permanent shift to the portfolio's NCF,
so we accounted for some of this risk by increasing our
capitalization rate by 100 basis points while retaining our
issuance NCF."
Since that time, NCF has improved each year, although the rate of
improvement has recently slowed, and NCF remains below pre-COVID-19
levels. Servicer-reported NCF increased to $38.2 million for the
TTM ending June 30, 2024, from $37.9 million in 2023 and $34.5
million in 2021. In comparison, NCF was $42.6 million in 2019.
Revenues now exceed pre-COVID-19 levels, reported as $156.4 million
in the TTM ending June 30, 2024, compared to $148.1 million in
2019, but expenses are similarly higher, reported at $111.5 million
in the TTM ending June 30, 2024, compared to $99.1 million in
2019.
S&P said, "In our current property-level analysis, we arrived at a
$36.4 million NCF (unchanged from our last review) using a 70.0%
occupancy, $164.00 average daily rate, and $114.80 RevPAR. Using a
10.43% S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate, which is a weighted
average of the various property types and is unchanged from our
last review, and deducting $0.4 million for a Proposition 13
adjustment for the San Deigo Residence Inn Sorrento Mesa Valley
property, we derived an S&P Global Ratings expected-case value of
$348.4 million, or $111,372 per guestroom.
"Our revised expected-case value is unchanged from our last review
but is 9.6% below our issuance value and 40.8% below the issuance
appraised value of $588.1 million. This yielded an S&P Global
Ratings loan-to-value ratio of 117.6% on the trust balance."
Table 1
Servicer-reported collateral performance
Trailing 12 months ending June 30, 2024(i) 2023(i) 2022(i)
Occupancy rate (%) 70.6 70.9 67.4
Average daily rate ($) 164.85 161.62 155.72
Revenue per available room ($) 104.88 114.55 116.45
Net cash flow (mil. $) 34.5 37.9 38.2
Debt service coverage (x) 1.06 1.10 1.79
Appraisal value (mil. $)(ii) 480.3 480.3 480.3
(i)Reporting period.
(ii)As of July 2020.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Current review Last review At issuance
(Dec 2024)(i) (July 2020)(i) (Dec 2017)
Trust balance 409.8 419.0 427.0
Number of properties 8 8 8
Number of keys 3,128 3,128 3,128
Occupancy rate (%) 70.0 76.1 76.1
Average daily rate ($) 164.0 128.92 128.92
Revenue per available room ($)114.80 98.10 98.10
Net cash flow (mil. $) 36.4 36.4 36.4
Capitalization rate (%) 10.43 10.43 9.43
Deduct from value (mil. $)(ii) 0.6 0.6 0.6
Value (mil. $) 348.4 348.4 385.4
Value per guestroom ($) 111,372 111,372 123,203
Loan-to-value ratio (%) 117.6 120.3 106.3
(i)Review period.
(ii)For California Proposition 13.
Ratings Lowered
Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2017-ASHF
Class B to 'A+ (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class C to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'A- (sf)'
Class D to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class X-EXT to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'A- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2017-ASHF
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class E: B (sf)
Class F: CCC (sf)
NATIXIS COMMERCIAL 2019-NEMA: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on X Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-NEMA issued by
Natixis Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2019-NEMA as follows:
-- Class A at A (sf)
-- Class B at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X at BB (sf)
-- Class C at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class V-ABC at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class V2 at CCC (sf)
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class V-D at CCC (sf)
The trends on Classes A, B, C, X, and V-ABC are Stable. Classes D,
V2, and V-D have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends
in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS' outlook
on the transaction, which remains relatively unchanged since the
previous credit rating action in December 2023. While the loan has
been modified and was subsequently returned to the master servicer
in June 2024, Morningstar DBRS maintains its conservative view on
the transaction in light of the updated property valuations for the
underlying collateral. As such, Morningstar DBRS did not update its
loan-to-value (LTV) sizing benchmarks and maintained the stressed
value analysis derived during the previous credit rating action in
December 2023, which indicated an LTV ratio in excess of 100% on
the secured debt.
The transaction consists of a $199.0 million first-lien mortgage
loan secured by NEMA San Francisco, a 754-unit Class A luxury
apartment complex with 11,184 square feet of commercial retail
space in the South of Market (SoMa) submarket. The trust loan is
part of a $384.0 million whole loan and consists of a $130.0
million senior A-1 note and a $69.0 million senior-subordinate A-B
note. Outside of the trust, there is $75.0 million of additional
debt that is pari passu to the A-1 note, as well as $110 million in
subordinate B notes. The trust loan has a 10-year term and pays
interest only (IO) for the full term until its maturity in February
2029.
The loan transferred to special servicing in August 2023 following
imminent monetary default. A loan modification was executed in
February 2024, with the interest rate on the B-1 note reduced to a
fixed rate of 2.00% through the earlier of either August 2026 or
upon the net cash flow (NCF) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
achieving a minimum 1.10 times (x) on a quarterly basis.
Additionally, the accruing interest on the B-2 note was terminated,
requiring the borrower to only repay the unpaid principal at
maturity. Among other terms, the borrower was also required to fund
approximately $5.0 million upfront for past-due payments to bring
the loan current and to commit to funding a minimum of $5.5 million
in future equity through the remainder of the loan term, including
a $2.5 million deposit in the capital expenditure (capex) reserves
and $1.0 million deposits each year following the aforementioned
funding. According to the servicer, the required $2.5 million capex
deposit has been received. The loan will remain in a cash sweep
period until fully repaid. According to November 2024 reporting,
there was more than $2.7 million held in reserves.
In its previous analysis of the transaction, Morningstar DBRS was
in receipt of an appraisal dated September 2023, which valued the
collateral at $279.0 million, a 48.9% decline from the issuance
appraised value of $543.6 million and below the whole-loan balance
of $384.0 million. In its current analysis, Morningstar DBRS
applied a conservative 15.0% haircut to the September 2023
appraised value to reflect the potential for further value declines
amid property underperformance, resulting in a stressed value of
$237.2 million. The servicer provided a second appraisal in October
2023, valuing the property at $328.8 million. As indicated above,
Morningstar DBRS maintains its outlook on the property value as
performance has yet to reach levels projected by either appraisal,
although there is evidence of moderate improvement.
According to the Q2 2024 financials, the loan reported an
annualized NCF of $13.8 million, relatively consistent with the
YE2023 and YE2022 figures of $13.6 million and $13.0 million,
respectively, but below the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $20.1 million
derived in 2020. Based on the modified debt service amount, the
loan's DSCR was reported at 1.02x as of Q2 2024, above breakeven
for the first time since 2019. Historical declines in cash flow
have primarily stemmed from depressed rental rates and increased
rental concessions initiated during the pandemic; however, rental
rates have shown improvement over the last couple of years,
increasing to $3,445 per unit as of June 2024, from $3,318 per unit
in April 2023 and $3,183 per unit in April 2022. By means of
comparison, according to Reis Q2 2024 data, the average asking and
effective rental rates for the SoMa submarket were reported at
$3,753 per unit and $3,620 per unit, respectively.
Despite the improvement in the achieved average rental rate,
property performance still lags the 2023 appraisal expectations.
When applying the annualized Q2 2024 NCF against the September 2023
and October 2023 values of $279.0 million and $328.8 million, the
implied capitalization (cap) rates are 4.96% and 4.21%,
respectively, below the assumed cap rates in the appraisals of
5.75% and 6.0%, respectively. In comparison, the Morningstar DBRS
value of $237.2 million reflects an implied cap rate of 5.83% based
on the Q2 2024 NCF. While on the lower end of the Morningstar DBRS
range for multifamily properties, the cap rate reflects the
subject's urban infill location and above-average property quality.
The implied Morningstar DBRS cap rate is further supported by
information from the CBRE U.S. Cap Rate Survey H1 2024, which
indicates Class A value-added multifamily properties in the infill
San Francisco area traded at cap rates ranging from 5.25% to 5.75%
while stabilized properties traded at cap rates ranging from 4.75%
to 5.50%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 29: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 29, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers CLO 29,
Ltd. - Reset
A-1R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 29, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers LLC that originally closed in
September 2018 and was not rated by Fitch. On Dec. 12, 2024 (the
reset date), the CLO's existing secured notes will be redeemed in
full with refinancing proceeds. The secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million
of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.47, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.6% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.9% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.4%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44.0% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1R and class
A-2R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1R, and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 29, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEW MOUNTAIN 2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to New
Mountain CLO 2 Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
New Mountain
CLO 2 Ltd
A Loans LT AAAsf New Rating
A1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
New Mountain CLO 2 Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by New Mountain Credit
CLO Advisers, L.L.C. that originally closed in April 2021. This is
the first refinancing in which the existing secured notes will be
refinanced in whole, on Dec. 13, 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and the existing subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.1, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25.5. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.13% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.7% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 75.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 46% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A loans and A1-R
notes, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A2-R notes, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for
class D1-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D2-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R
notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class F-R
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A loans, A1-R
notes and class A2-R notes as these loans/notes are in the highest
rating category of 'AAAsf'. Variability in key model assumptions,
such as increases in recovery rates and decreases in default rates,
could result in an upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity
to potential changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results
under these sensitivity scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R notes,
'AA+sf' for class C-R notes, 'A+sf' for class D1-R notes, 'Asf' for
class D2-R notes, 'BBB+sf' for class E-R notes, and 'BBB-sf' for
class F-R notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authorityregistered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for New Mountain CLO 2
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM3: Fitch Gives B-sf Rating on Cl. B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings assigns final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed notes to be issued by New Residential Mortgage Loan
Trust 2024-NQM3 (NRMLT 2024-NQM3).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
NRMLT 2024-NQM3
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A-3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch rates the residential mortgage-backed notes to be issued by
NRMLT 2024-NQM3, as indicated above. The notes are supported by 538
newly originated loans with a balance of $272 million as of the
Nov. 1, 2024 cutoff date. The pool consists of loans originated by
NewRez LLC, as well as third-party originators Champions Funding,
LLC (Champions), among others.
The notes are secured mainly by non-qualified mortgage (QM) loans
as defined by the ability-to-repay (ATR) Rule. Of the loans in the
pool, 71.6% are designated as non-QM while the remainder are not
subject to the ATR Rule.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.2% above a long-term sustainable level (relative
to 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24). Housing affordability is
the worst it has been in decades, driven by both high interest
rates and elevated home prices. Home prices had increased 4.3% yoy
nationally as of August 2024 despite modest regional declines, but
are still being supported by limited inventory.
Non-Prime Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 538
loans, totaling $272 million and seasoned approximately three
months in aggregate, according to Fitch, as calculated from
origination date. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile when
compared with other non-QM transactions, with a 750 Fitch model
FICO score and 37% debt/income ratios (DTI), as determined by Fitch
after converting the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) values.
However, leverage (81% sustainable loan/value [sLTV]) within this
pool is consistent compared to previous NRMLT transactions from
2024. The pool consists of 68.2% of loans where the borrower
maintains a primary residence, while 31.8% are considered an
investor property or second home. In addition, only 20.0% of the
loans were originated through a retail channel. Moreover, 71.6% are
considered non-QM and the remainder are not subject to QM.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure pays
principal pro rata among the senior notes while shutting out the
subordinate bonds from principal until all senior classes are
reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency
trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will be paid
sequentially to class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 notes until they are
reduced to zero.
Starting on the payment date immediately following the first
payment date of which the principal balance of the mortgage loans
is less than or equal to 20% of the balance as of the cut-off date,
the class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 notes feature a 100-bp coupon
step-up, subject to the net WAC. This increases the interest
allocation for the A-1A through A-3 and decreases the amount of
excess spread available in the transaction.
Loan Documentation (Negative): 71.4% of the pool was underwritten
to less than full documentation, according to Fitch. Approximately
54.2% was underwritten to a 12-month or 24-month bank statement
program for verifying income, which is not consistent with Fitch's
view of a full documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR Rule. The standards are meant to reduce the risk of borrower
default arising from lack of affordability, misrepresentation or
other operational quality risks due to rigor of the ATR Rule's
mandates with respect to the underwriting and documentation of the
borrower's ATR. In addition, 7.7% are DSCR product and 6.9% are
Asset Depletion product.
High Investor Property Concentrations (Negative): Approximately
23.9% of the pool comprises investment property loans, including
7.7% underwritten to a cash flow ratio rather than the borrower's
DTI ratio. Investor property loans exhibit higher probability of
defaults (PDs) and higher loss severities (LS) than owner-occupied
homes. Fitch increased the PD by approximately 2.0x for the cash
flow ratio loans relative to a traditional income documentation
investor loan to account for the increased risk.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model projected 42.3% at 'AAA'. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential rating migration
with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the model
projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home prices
would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Evolve, Infinity, and SitusAMC. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance, and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
- Fitch applied a 5% PD credit at the loan level for all loans
graded either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 53bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NXT CAPITAL 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to NXT Capital CLO 2024-1
LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by middle-market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by NXT Capital Investment Advisers LLC., a subsidiary of
ORIX Corporation USA.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
NXT Capital CLO 2024-1 LLC
Class A, $174.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $18.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.44 million: Not rated
OCEANVIEW MORTGAGE 2021-5: Moody's Ups Rating on B-5 Certs to Ba1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of three bonds from one US
residential mortgage-backed transaction (RMBS), backed by
first-lien prime jumbo mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Oceanview Mortgage Trust 2021-5
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 29, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 29, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jan 29, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pool.
The transaction continue to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative loss to date and a small number of loans in
delinquency. In addition, enhancement levels for the tranches have
grown, as the pool amortized. The credit enhancement for each
tranche upgraded has grown by, an average, 26% since closing.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of this transaction. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
OCP CLO 2015-10: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R3 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R3, B-1R3, B-2R3, C-R3, D-1R3, D-2R3, and E-R3 replacement debt
from OCP CLO 2015-10 Ltd./OCP CLO 2015-10 Corp., a CLO that is
managed by Onex Credit Partners LLC and had underwent a second
refinancing. S&P Global Ratings did not rate the debt issued in
connection with the second refinancing that closed in 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 13,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 20, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the previously refinanced
debt. S&P said, "At that time, we expect to assign ratings to the
replacement debt. However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may
withdraw our preliminary ratings on the replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture, the transaction
will be collateralized by at least 90.00% senior secured loans,
cash, and eligible investments, with a minimum of 87.50% of the
loan borrowers required to be based in the U.S., Canada, and United
Kingdom.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OCP CLO 2015-10 Ltd./OCP CLO 2015-10 Corp.
Class A-R3, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1R3, $43.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2R3, $5.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R3 (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R3 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2R3 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R3 (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $66.60 million: Not rated
OHA CREDIT 4: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R2, A-R2,
B-1-R2, B-2-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 replacement debt
from OHA Credit Funding 4 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 4 LLC, a CLO
managed by Oak Hill Advisors L.P. that was originally issued in
September 2019 and underwent a refinancing in October 2021. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full on the Dec. 16, 2024,
refinancing date. The class X-R notes were not rated by S&P Global
Ratings.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class X-R2, A-R2, B-1-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2,
and E-R2 notes were issued at a lower spread over three-month SOFR
than the October 2021 notes.
-- The replacement class A-R2, C-R2, and E-R2 notes were issued at
a floating spread, replacing the current floating spread.
-- The replacement class B-R debt was split into the class B-1-R2
and B-2-R2 debt, which will be paid pro-rata with the class B-1-R2
debt bearing floating-rate interest and the class B-2-R2 debt
bearing fixed-rate interest.
-- The replacement class D-R debt was split into the class D-1-R2
and D-2-R2 debt, which will be sequential in payment and will both
bear floating-rate interest.
-- The stated maturity was extended 1.25 years.
-- The reinvestment period was extended 3.25 years.
-- The non-call period was extended 3.15 years.
-- The weighted average life test date was extended 0.25 years.
-- The class X-R2 notes was issued on the refinancing date and are
expected to be paid down using interest proceeds during the first
nine payment dates, beginning with the payment date in January
2025.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
OHA Credit Funding 4 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 4 LLC
Class X-R2, $2.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R2, $372.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R2, $71.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R2, $13.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $4.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $19.50 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
OHA Credit Funding 4 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 4 LLC
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
OHA Credit Funding 4 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 4 LLC
Subordinated notes, $51.40 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
PIKES PEAK 10: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Pikes
Peak CLO 10 Ltd's reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Pikes Peak
CLO 10 LTD
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-AR LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-BR LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R LT Bsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 10 LTD (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Partners Group US
Management CLO LLC, which originally closed in April 2022. The
transaction will reset for the first time on Dec. 12, 2024. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million
of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans. The
transaction is upsized from the original deal size that was issued
in 2022.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.66, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.33% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.14% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.2%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to those of
other CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
created by adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect
permissible concentration limits and collateral quality test
levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to
account for structural and reinvestment conditions after the
reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class F-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, 'A-sf' for class D-2R, 'BBB+sf' for class E-R, and
'BBB-sf' for class F-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 10
LTD.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
PRESTIGE AUTO 2023-2: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on three classes of notes and
affirmed its ratings on 10 classes of notes from Prestige Auto
Receivables Trust (PART) 2022-1, 2023-1, and 2023-2, which are ABS
transactions backed by subprime retail auto loan receivables
originated and serviced by Prestige Financial Services Inc.
The rating actions reflect:
-- The transactions' collateral performance to date;
-- S&P's remaining cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations for the
transactions and the transactions' structures and credit
enhancement levels; and
-- Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, and our most recent macroeconomic outlook, which
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
Based on these factors, and on the capital contributions of $4.5
million and $6.5 million to PART 2022-1 and PART 2023-2,
respectively, that Prestige Financial Services Inc. (Prestige) made
to the series on Dec. 12, 2024, S&P believes the notes'
creditworthiness is consistent with the raised and affirmed
ratings.
A key pillar of Prestige's business model is funding auto retail
contracts for obligors whose credit history displays a period of
good credit followed by a period of poor credit, which may include
a recent bankruptcy (Chapter 7 or 13). Historically, Prestige's
bankruptcy collateral performed better than its non-bankruptcy
collateral. Since 2022, however, the relatively higher
non-bankruptcy collateral in PART 2022-1 (82%), PART 2023-1 (71%),
and 2023-2 (61%), together with the economic headwinds and lower
wholesale used vehicles prices, negatively impacted performance and
negated the performance differential between the two collateral
types.
S&P said, "Since our prior rating action on PART 2022-1, on April
26, 2024, performance has trended worse than our revised CNL
expectations. The frequency of defaults has not decreased as the
pool has aged, and gross charge-offs have remained elevated.
Recovery is at the program's low point and is not improving.
Together, these factors have resulted in higher monthly net losses.
Delinquencies and extensions, too, are elevated and concerning. In
view of the transaction's continued deteriorating performance to
date, we further revised and raised our expected CNL (ENCL) for
PART 2022-1."
The PART 2023-1 and 2023-2 transactions are performing better than
PART 2022-1 did at the same point in time. Nevertheless, each
series' performance is trending higher than our original ECNLs, and
their delinquencies and extensions are elevated. As such, S&P has
revised and raised its ECNLs for these series.
Table 1
PART collateral performance(i)
Pool 60+ day Monthly
factor delinq. extension CGL CRR CNL
Series Mo. (%) (%) rate (%) (%) (%) (%)
2022-1 26 44.20 8.67 4.10 28.45 23.22 21.85
2023-1 19 58.10 6.46 4.51 16.64 21.04 13.14
2023-2 13 75.20 4.83 3.94 8.77 21.95 6.85
(i)As of the December 2024 distribution date.
PART--Prestige Auto Receivables Trust.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
CGL--Cumulative gross loss.
CRR--Cumulative recovery rate.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
Table 2
CNL expectations (%)
Original
lifetime Prior lifetime Revised lifetime
Series CNL exp. CNL exp.(i) CNL exp.(ii)
2022-1 16.00 29.00-30.00 34.00
2023-1 18.75 N/A 28.00
2023-2 18.75 N/A 28.00
(i)Revised in April 2024 for series 2022-1.
(ii)As of the December 2024 distribution date.
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.
N/A--Not applicable.
The transactions contain a sequential principal payment structure
in which the notes are paid principal by seniority. The sequential
payment structure increases subordination as a percentage of the
amortizing pool for all classes except the lowest-rated subordinate
class. The transactions also have credit enhancement in the form of
a nonamortizing reserve account, overcollateralization, and excess
spread.
As of the December 2024 distribution date, the PART 2022-1
overcollateralization amount has fallen below its target after
being built to its target following the capital contribution in
April 2024. The PART 2023-1 and PART 2023-2 overcollateralization
amounts have yet to build to their respective targets. All three
series' nonamortizing reserves are at their respective original and
revised targets. Hard credit enhancement (without credit to excess
spread) has increased as the series' pools have amortized.
Table 3
Hard credit support(i)
Total hard Current total hard
credit support at credit support
Series Class issuance (%) (% of current)(ii)
2022-1 B 41.50 96.22
2022-1 C 30.70 71.82
2022-1 D 19.45 46.39
2022-1 E 10.25 25.60
2023-1 B 45.05 79.67
2023-1 C 31.95 57.12
2023-1 D 21.70 39.48
2023-1 E 10.75 20.62
2023-2 A-2 58.65 86.17
2023-2 B 44.15 66.88
2023-2 C 32.80 51.79
2023-2 D 20.80 35.82
2023-2 E 9.20 20.39
(i)As of the December 2024 distribution date.
(ii)Calculated as a percentage of the total receivable pool
balance, which consists of a reserve account, subordination, and
overcollateralization. Excludes excess spread that can also provide
additional enhancement.
S&P said, "We incorporated a cash flow analysis (as of the
collection period ending October 31) giving credit to stressed
excess spread to assess the loss coverage levels, given our revised
ENCLs, for the notes. Our cash flow scenarios included
forward-looking assumptions on recoveries, the timing of losses,
and voluntary absolute prepayment speeds that we believe are
appropriate, given the transaction's performance. Additionally, we
conducted sensitivity analyses to determine the impact that a
moderate ('BBB') stress level scenario would have on our ratings if
losses trended higher than our revised base-case loss
expectations.
"In our analysis, we also considered Prestige's contribution of
$4.5 million and $6.5 million in additional capital to PART 2022-1
and PART 2023-2, respectively, on Dec. 12, 2024. The contributions
were deposited to the reserve accounts of the series as a
non-declining amount--increasing the target reserve accounts to
2.59% and 3.42% from 1.25% and 1.00% of the initial collateral
balance of PART 2022-1 and 2023-2, respectively. The capital
contribution is a one-time cash infusion into PART 2022-1 and
2023-2, intended to increase credit enhancement and defray future
net losses from impacting the rated notes, specifically, the most
subordinated class E notes, which are highly dependent on excess
spread and most susceptible to continued high losses.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the transactions to
ensure that the credit enhancement remains sufficient, in our view,
to cover our CNL expectations under our stress scenarios for each
rated class."
RATINGS RAISED
Prestige Auto Receivables Trust
Rating
Series Class To From
2022-1 B AAA (sf) AA+ (sf)
2022-1 C AA (sf) A+ (sf)
2023-1 B AA+ (sf) AA (sf)
RATINGS AFFIRMED
Prestige Auto Receivables Trust
Series Class Rating
2022-1 D BBB (sf)
2022-1 E BB- (sf)
2023-1 C A (sf)
2023-1 D BBB (sf)
2023-1 E BB- (sf)
2023-2 A-2 AAA (sf)
2023-2 B AA (sf)
2023-2 C A (sf)
2023-2 D BBB (sf)
2023-2 E BB- (sf)
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL4: Moody's Assigns Ba2 Rating to Cl. M-2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to five classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by PRPM
2024-RPL4, LLC and sponsored by PRP IV Holdings, L.P. The
securities are backed by a pool of seasoned performing and
re-performing residential mortgages serviced by SN Servicing
Corporation (SNSC) and Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Rushmore
Servicing (Rushmore).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: PRPM 2024-RPL4, LLC
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality and historical
performance of the mortgage loans, the structural features of the
transaction, the origination quality, the servicing arrangement,
the third-party review, and the representations and warranties
framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario is
2.50%, and reaches 14.40% at a stress level consistent with Moody's
Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The methodologies used in these ratings were "Non-performing and
Re-performing Loan Securitizations" published in April 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
RALI TRUST 2007-QH1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Cl. A-1 Certs to B1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating of Cl. A-1 from RALI Series
2007-QH1 Trust, a US residential mortgage-backed transactions
(RMBS) backed by Option ARM mortgages.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating action is as follows:
Issuer: RALI Series 2007-QH1 Trust
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun 28, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects the recent performance as well as
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
rating upgrade is a result of the improving performance of the
related pool, and an increase in credit enhancement available to
the bond.
The rating action also reflects the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrade.
Moody's analysis also reflects the potential for collateral
volatility given the number of deal-level and macro factors that
can impact collateral performance, the potential impact of any
collateral volatility on the model output, and the ultimate size or
any incurred and projected loss.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in this rating was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
REALT 2016-1: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Class G Debt
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed eight class of Real Estate Asset
Liquidity Trust Series 2016-1 (REAL-T 2016-1). Following their
affirmations, the Rating Outlook for Class F was revised to
Negative from Stable. Class G remains on Rating Outlook Negative.
Fitch has affirmed all rated classes of Real Estates Asset
Liquidity Trust Series 2016-2 (REAL-T 2016-2), Real Estate Asset
Liquidity Trust Series 2017-1 (REAL-T 2017-1) and Real Estate Asset
Liquidity Trust Series 2018-1 (REALT-T 2018-1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
REAL-T 2018-1
A-2 75585RQF5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 75585RQH1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
C 75585RQJ7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
D-1 75585RQK4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D-2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
E LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
G LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
REAL-T 2017
A-2 75585RPZ2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 75585RQB4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
C 75585RQC2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
D-1 75585RQD0 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
D-2 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
E LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
F LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
G LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
REAL-T 2016-1
A-1 75585RMW2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 75585RMY8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 75585RNC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
C 75585RNE1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
D 75585RNG6 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E 75585RNJ0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 75585RNL5 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
G 75585RNM3 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
REAL-T 2016-2
A-2 75585RNR2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 75585RNZ4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
C 75585RPA7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
D 75585RPB5 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
E 75585RPC3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
F 75585RPD1 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
G 75585RPE9 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' ratings
case losses are 3.6% in REAL-T 2016-1, 2.5% in REAL-T 2016-2, 2.7%
in REAL-T 2017-1 and 3.4% in REAL-T 2018-1. Loan performance
remains largely stable across the transactions. Fitch Loans of
Concerns (FLOCs) comprise seven loans (23.0% of the pool) in the
REAL-T 2016-1 transaction, seven loans (34.0%) in REAL-T 2016-2,
four loans (29.2%) in REAL-T 2017-1, and two loans (9.0%) in the
REAL-T 2018-1 transaction.
Due to the concentrated nature of upcoming scheduled maturities and
adverse selection concerns, Fitch performed a sensitivity and
liquidation analysis for the REAL-T 2016-1 and REAL-T 2016-2
transactions where loans were grouped based on their delinquency
status, performance and collateral quality and subsequently ranked
based on their perceived likelihood of repayment and/or loss
expectations. Loan maturities accounting for 78.5% and 69.7% of the
REAL-T 2016-1 and REAL-T 2016-2 transactions, respectively, are
concentrated in 2025.
Affirmations in the REAL-T 2016-1 transaction reflects mostly
stable pool performance coupled with continued improvements in
credit enhancement from amortization and pay down from loans. The
Negative Outlooks on Classes F and G reflect increased pool loss
expectations, since Fitch's prior rating action, primarily due to
continued performance declines of the Ste Catherine Street Retail
Montreal (7.4% of the pool), Richmond Street Office (3.4%), Walkers
Line Office Burlington (3.0%), Revera Retirement Oakville (2.9%),
and Bristol Building Office St Johns (1.9%) loans and the potential
for downgrades should performance continue to deteriorate further
or loans transfer to special servicing.
Affirmations in the REAL-T 2016-2, REAL-T 2017-1 and REAL-T 2018-1
transactions reflects generally stable performance since Fitch's
prior rating action with greater expectation for loans to refinance
at maturity, as well as concentration to stable asset types
including self-storage (17 loans for 34.8% in REAL-T 2017-1 and
seven loans for 21.4% in REAL-T 2018-1), limited exposure to office
loans and mostly stable performance of loans in the pool with
higher anticipate refinance of loans at maturity.
Largest FLOCS and Increases to Loss Expectations: The largest FLOC
in the REAL-T 2016-1 transaction is the Ste Catherine Street Retail
Montreal (7.4% of the pool), which is secured by a 35,219-sf retail
property located in Montreal, QC. According to the most recent
servicer provided OSAR, the NOI DSCR has remained negative since
2019 following the vacancies of Forever 21 (85.8% of the NRA) in
2019 and Fossil (14.2%) in 2020. However, a new lease has been
executed for the entire building under a build-to-suit arrangement
with rent commencement in March 2025. Despite the negative cash
flow, the loan has remained current and is scheduled to mature in
September 2025.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 4.3% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.50% cap rate and a 20% stress to the YE
2019 NOI.
The largest contributor to loss expectations and largest increase
in loss since the prior rating action in the REAL-T 2016-1
transaction is the Richmond Street Office loan (3.4%), which is
secured by a 50,895-sf office property located in Toronto, ON.
Property occupancy declined to 23.7% as of YE 2023 after Cardinia
Real Estate Canada (78.1%of the NRA) vacated the subject. Due to
the occupancy declines, the loan's NOI DSCR declined to -0.53x as
of YE 2023 from 2.01x at YE 2021. Despite the performance declines,
the loan has remained current and is scheduled to mature in January
2026. The loan is full recourse to the sponsor.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 20.6% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate and 40% stress to the YE 2021
NOI and also factors an increased probability of default to account
for the loan's heightened maturity default concerns given the large
vacancy.
The next largest FLOC and second largest increase in loss since the
prior rating action in the REAL-T 2016-1 transaction is the
Walker's Line Offices Burlington loan (2.9%), secured by a
55,401-sf office building in Burlington, ON. The loan was
identified as a FLOC due to lower operating cash flow and upcoming
rollover around the loan's January 2026 maturity. As of May 2023,
occupancy remains stable at 88.6%.
However, the TTM January 2023 and TTM January 2022 NOI DSCR were
lower, at 1.29x and 1.33x, respectively, compared to the issuer's
underwritten DSCR of 1.52x. Additionally, per the most recent rent
roll from May 2023, upcoming lease rollover includes 10.5% of the
NRA in 2024, 32.6% in 2025 and 35.8% in 2026, coinciding with loan
maturity.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 19.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate, a 10% stress to the TTM
January 2023 NOI and factors an increased probability of default to
account for the loan's heightened maturity default concerns.
The next largest increase in loss expectations since the prior
rating action in REAL-T 2016-1 is the Revera Retirement loan (2.7%
of the NRA), which is secured a 69-unit independent support living
residence in Oakville, ON. The loan was identified as a FLOC due to
lower occupancy and NOI DSCR. Per the most recent rent roll,
occupancy at the subject declined to 75% from pre-pandemic levels
of 90% at YE 2019 and YE 2018. Declines in occupancy contributed to
a lower servicer reported DSCR of 0.03x and 0.65x for the YE 2023
and YE 2022 reporting periods, respectively.
According to the servicer, occupancy has declined due to
challenging market conditions; however, a new property manager was
engaged to improve occupancy at the subject. Despite the declines
in cash flow, the loan has remained current and is full recourse to
the sponsor.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 22.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.50% cap rate and a 20% stress to the YE
2022 NOI and an increased probability of default due to concerns
around the loan defaulting at its December 2025 maturity.
The next largest FLOC and increase in loss expectations since the
prior rating action in the REAL-T 2016-1 transaction is the Bristol
Building Office St. Johns loan (1.7%), secured by a 29,400-sf
office building located in St. Johns, IL. The loan was identified
as a FLOC due to sustained performance declines. Property occupancy
has remained at 62% since YE 2021, down from 100% prior to the
pandemic. Due to the occupancy declines, the loan's DSCR coverage
has remained below a 1.00x coverage since 2021.
According to updates from the servicer, the borrower is actively
working with brokers to lease the vacant space. They are also
seeking to renew the leases of the two remaining tenants, Munn
Insurance Limited and Det Norske Veritas, whose leases expire in
February 2025 and May 2025, respectively.
Fitch's 'Bsf' ratings case loss of 27.7% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 11% cap rate, a 10% stress to the YE 2023
NOI and an increased probability of default to account for the
loan's heightened default concerns at its July 2025 maturity.
The largest FLOC and largest contributor to loss expectations in
the REAL-T 2016-2 transaction is Cameron Street Industrial
Hawkesbury loan (8.0% of the pool), which is secured by two
industrial buildings totaling 264,288-sf located in Hawkesbury, ON.
The loan was identified as a FLOC due to lower occupancy and NOI
DSCR. The sole tenant Bentley Leathers vacated the space in 2021,
but was subsequently backfilled by Robert Transport (78.2% of the
NRA) in September 2021. While the tenant's lease is currently month
to month, the servicer noted that the tenant intends to renew for a
longer term.
Due to lower occupancy, NOI DSCR has declined to 1.24x and 1.21x
for the YE 2023 and YE 2022 reporting periods, which compares to
1.92x at YE 2019.
Fitch's 'Bsf' ratings case loss 17.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.00% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI and
factors an increased probability of default to account for the
loan's heightened maturity default concerns as the loan approaches
maturity in October 2025.
The largest contributor to loss and the largest increase in loss
expectations since the prior rating action in the REAL-T 2017-1
transaction is the Worthington Office North Bay loan (4.0%),
secured by an 84,328-sf office property in North Bay, ON. The loan
was identified as a FLOC due to sustained occupancy and cash flow
declines. Occupancy at the subject has fallen to 68% for the TTM
March 2024 in line with occupancy year over year. The decline in
occupancy has caused NOI DSCR to drop to 0.73x as of YE 2023, down
from 1.08x as of YE 2022 and compares with the issuer's
underwritten coverage of 1.59x.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 14.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an 11% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI and
includes an increased probability of default to account for the
loan's heightened term and maturity default concerns.
The next largest FLOC and largest increase in loss expectations
since the prior rating action in REAL-T 2017 is the Desjardins
Office Jonquiere Quebec loan (3.7%), which is secured by a
35,184-sf office property in Saguenay, QC. The property is fully
occupied by the Desjardins Group with lease expiration in August
2025 coterminous with loan maturity.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 4.3% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate and 20% stress to the YE 2023
NOI.
The largest FLOC and largest contributor to loss in the REAL-T
2018-1 transaction is the Chateau Dollard Retirement loan (8.5% of
the pool), which is secured by a 122-unit senior housing property
located in Dollard Des Ormeaux, QC. The loan was identified as a
FLOC due to sustained cash flow declines. Occupancy has recovered
to 79% as of YE 2023 from 69% at YE 2022, but remains lower than
occupancy of 83% at YE 2019, and is down from 88% at YE 2018 and
issuance levels of 92%. Due to the occupancy declines, the loan has
maintained an NOI DSCR below a 1.00x coverage. The loan has
remained current and does not have recourse provisions to the
sponsor.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13.0% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.50% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI and an
increased probability of default due to the loan's term and
maturity default concerns.
Loans with Recourse: The following transactions feature full or
partial recourse to the borrowers and/or sponsors:
- 33 loans for 94.0% of the REAL-T 2016-1 pool balance;
- 12 loans for 57.0% of the REAL-T 2016-2 pool balance;
- 13 Loans for 51.9% of the REAL-T 2017-1 pool balance;
- 23 loans for 46.8% of the REAL-T 2018-1 transaction.
Changes to Credit Enhancement: As of the November 2024 distribution
date, the aggregate balance reduction across the transactions
ranges from to 47.6% to 66.6%. There have been no realized losses
across the transactions. Defeasance comprises one loan (0.6%) in
REAL-T 2016-1 and one loan (5.8%) in REAL-T 2016-2. Interest
shortfalls of $162 and $12,147 are impacting the non-rated class H
across the REAL-T 2016-1 and REAL-T 2018-1 transactions,
respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the classes rated 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' are not
considered likely due to position in the capital structure and
continued expected increases in CE, but may occur at 'AAAsf' should
interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to the 'A-sf' and 'BBBsf' rated classes could occur with
an increase in loss expectations including outsized losses on
larger FLOCs, including Ste Catherine Street Retail Montreal,
Richmond Street Office and Walkers Line Offices Burlington in the
REAL-T 2016-1 transaction; Cameron Street Industrial Hawkesbury in
REAL-T 2016-2; Skyline Thunder Centre, Worthington Office North Bay
and Desjardins Office Jonquiere Quebec in REAL-T 2017-1, and
Chateau Dollard Retirement in REAL-T 2018-1.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated classes are possible with
higher than expected losses from FLOCs and/or if loans are unable
to refinance and default at maturity.
Downgrades to distressed classes would occur as losses become more
certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' rated classes are possible with
increased credit enhancement resulting from amortization and
paydowns, coupled with stable pool-level losses expectations and/or
performance stabilization of FLOCs. Classes would not be upgraded
above 'AA+sf' if there is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations of the pools, including loan
maturities, as well as adverse selection of remaining loans in the
pool.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not likely until the later years
of the transaction and absent performance improvements in FLOCs and
adverse selection of the remaining loans in the pool.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
RIVERVIEW HECM 2007-1: S&P Affirms CCC (sf) on Class A Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of the ratings on five
classes from five U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities
(RMBS) transactions backed by reverse mortgages, including two
resecuritized reverse mortgage real estate mortgage investment
conduit (re-REMIC) transactions, issued between 2007 and 2010. All
of these transactions are backed by home equity conversion mortgage
(HECM) loan collateral. The review yielded one upgrade and four
affirmations.
Analytical Considerations
S&P said, "We incorporate various considerations into our decisions
to raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by our projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics, and their potential effects on certain classes. We
performed credit analysis using liquidation timelines, broker
commission and rating-level foreclosure cost assumptions, combined
tax and insurance rates, and market value decline (MVD) assumptions
to include an assessment of the level of over/under valuation in
the prevailing property market. We also used updated constant
prepayment rate (CPR) assumptions as described below.
"The rating affirmations reflect our opinion that our projected
credit support, collateral performance, and credit-related
reductions in interest on these classes has remained relatively
consistent with our prior projections."
CPR Assumptions
S&P said, "Our analysis contemplated both fast and slow CPR
assumptions, and we further segmented those assumptions by the
borrower's gender and age. According to our reverse mortgage
criteria, if the observed CPRs are considerably different from
those in the criteria, we may use updated CPR vectors.
"During this review, we updated our slow CPR assumptions due to
observed CPR data for the pool's weighted average borrower age. Our
'AAA' slow CPR assumptions reflect the most recent published
mortality tables. However, we believe that our fast CPR assumptions
remain accurate, and we used those as stated in our reverse
mortgage surveillance criteria.
"For the Mortgage Equity Conversion Asset Trust 2007-FF2
transaction we updated our base-case assumption to a level that
equates to the 'AAA' slow CPR assumptions for male and to a level
that equates to the 'BBB' slow CPR assumptions for female, as
published in Appendix Table 4 of our reverse mortgage criteria of
our reverse mortgage criteria. We then linearly interpolated the
CPRs for the 'BB' through 'AA' rating categories.
"For the Mortgage Equity Conversion Asset Trust 2010-1 transaction,
we updated our base-case assumption to a level that equates to the
'AAA' slow CPR assumptions for male and to a level that equates to
the 'A' slow CPR assumptions for female, as published in Appendix
Table 4 of our reverse mortgage criteria of our reverse mortgage
criteria. We then linearly interpolated the CPRs for the 'BB'
through 'AA' rating categories.
"Lastly, for the Riverview HECM Trust 2007-1 transaction, we
updated our base-case assumption to a level that equates to the
'AA' slow CPR assumptions for male and to a level that equates to
the 'B' slow CPR assumptions for female, as published in Appendix
Table 4 of our reverse mortgage criteria. We then linearly
interpolated the CPRs for the 'BB' through 'AA' rating categories.
Ratings list
Rating
Issuer Series Class CUSIP To From
Mortgage Equity Conversion Asset Trust 2007-FF2
2007-FF2 A 61911CAA1 AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf)
Mortgage Equity Conversion Asset Trust 2010-1
2010-1 A 61911BAA3 A (sf) BBB (sf)
Main rationale: Increased credit support.
Riverview HECM Pass-Through Certificates , Series 2007-4
2007-4 A 76942LAA2 CCC (sf) CCC (sf)
Riverview HECM Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2008-1
2008-1 A-5 76942RAF8 AA+ (sf) AA+ (sf)
Riverview HECM Trust 2007-1
2007-1 A Notes 769422AA4 CCC (sf) CCC (sf)
ROCKFORD TOWER 2021-3: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Rockford
Tower CLO 2021-3, Ltd. Reset Transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Rockford Tower
CLO 2021-3, Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-1-AR LT A+sf New Rating
C-2-AR LT Asf New Rating
C-BR LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Rockford Tower CLO 2021-3, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Rockford Tower Capital Management, L.L.C., which originally closed
in 2021 and will reset in December 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $548 million(excluding
defaults) of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.49, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 23.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.67% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.61% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 68.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class C-1-AR, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-2-AR and
C-BR, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-1-AR,
'AAsf' for class C-2-AR and class C-BR, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R,
'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB-sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Rockford Tower CLO
2021-3, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
SAGARD-HALSEYPOINT 8: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to
Sagard-HalseyPoint CLO 8 Ltd./Sagard-HalseyPoint CLO 8 LLC's
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by HalseyPoint Asset Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 13,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Sagard-HalseyPoint CLO 8 Ltd./Sagard-HalseyPoint CLO 8 LLC
Class A-1, $270.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $11.25 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $60.75 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $27.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $21.375 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $5.625 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-3 (deferrable), $4.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $13.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $39.60 million: Not rated
SCULPTOR CLO XXVI: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1a-R, D-1b-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt and
the proposed new class X-R debt from Sculptor CLO XXVI
Ltd./Sculptor CLO XXVI LLC, a CLO originally issued in June 2021
that is managed by Sculptor Loan Management L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 13,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 23, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt.'
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1aR, and E-R debt is
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR
than the original debt.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to Jan. 20, 2038.
-- The original class D-1 debt is being replaced by two new
classes: D-1a-R and D-1b-R.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2030, and
the non-call period will be extended to Dec. 23, 2026.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Sculptor CLO XXVI Ltd./Sculptor CLO XXVI LLC
Class X-R, $3.75 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $56.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1a-R (deferrable), $8.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-1b-R (deferrable), $12.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $8.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Sculptor CLO XXVI Ltd./Sculptor CLO XXVI LLC
Subordinated notes, $37.74 million: Not rated
SG COMMERCIAL 2020-COVE: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series issued by SG
Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2020-COVE as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class X at BBB (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
The trends on Classes X, D, E, and F are Negative, and the trends
on Classes A, B, and C are Stable.
With this review, Morningstar DBRS removed the credit ratings on
all classes from Under Review with Negative Implications, where
they were placed on September 5, 2024.
The underlying loan for this transaction is secured by a 283-unit
Class A multifamily property in Marin County, California. Although
the collateral benefits from a prime waterfront location, superior
amenities, and limited competition within the submarket, the
property's occupancy rate has lagged market levels for several
years, with cash flows below issuance expectations as a result.
Morningstar DBRS also notes the near-term maturity date in March
2025, which presents elevated refinance risk given the in-place
cash flow declines. These factors support the Negative trends on
the bottom classes. However, given the strong submarket
fundamentals for multifamily properties and the collateral's high
quality, Morningstar DBRS expects that there remains significant
incentive for the sponsor to continue working to stabilize the
property and either secure a maturity extension or contribute
additional equity to secure a replacement loan. Those factors, as
well as a value analysis suggesting that there remains significant
cushion against loss for the upper part of the capital stack,
support the credit rating confirmations and Stable trends with this
review.
The transaction benefits from the collateral's premium quality and
favorable position with the South Marin submarket, which offers a
limited supply of multifamily properties given the lack of vacant
land and environmental constraints on further development,
resulting in a historically low vacancy rate. The sponsor, Maximus
Real Estate Partners, has invested more than $50.0 million toward
capital improvements since acquiring the property in 2013. The
property is composed of 100 one-bedroom units, 138 two-bedroom
units, 44 three-bedroom units, and one four-bedroom unit. Property
amenities include a 52-slip boat marina, three pools, two spas, a
playground, a clubhouse, and a fitness center.
The trust debt of $160.0 million is a pari passu participation
interest in a $210.0 million whole loan, with the remaining balance
represented by senior notes securitized in the BBCMS Mortgage Trust
2020-C7 transaction that is also rated by Morningstar DBRS. The
loan is currently on the servicer's watchlist because of its
pending maturity date. The servicer has reached out to the borrower
for an update on the plans at maturity; however, as of the date of
this press release, no updates have been provided to Morningstar
DBRS.
According to the financial reporting for the trailing nine-month
period ended September 30, 2024, the property generated $9.6
million of net cash flow (NCF) (annualized), reflecting a debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.22 times (x), a considerable
decline from the issuance and Morningstar DBRS figures of $11.4
million (a DSCR of 1.43x) and $10.7 million (a DSCR of 1.31x),
respectively. According to the September 2024 rent roll, the
property was 86.6% occupied with an average base rental rate of
$5,890 per unit ($5.80 per square foot (psf)). In comparison, the
property was approximately 97.0% occupied (with an average base
rental rate of $4,990 per unit) at issuance. Despite average
in-place rental rates growing by approximately 20.0% since loan
closing, increases in vacancy loss and operating expenses have
driven declines in the NCF. As of September 2024, approximately 30%
of three-bedroom units (which typically command the highest rental
rates) and 11% of one-bedroom units were vacant. As a result, the
sponsor continues to offer ongoing concessions while adjusting
asking rents for those unit types downward to increase overall
competitiveness and marketability.
According to Reis, similar vintage apartment properties within the
South Marin submarket reported an average vacancy rate of below
5.0% with an average asking rental rate of $4,292 per unit.
Likewise, a competitive set report provided by the servicer, which
includes a select number of similar vintage/quality properties,
reflects average occupancy rates of approximately 95.0% with an
average rental rate $4.96 psf as of August 2024. Although the
subject's average rental rate remains higher than that of the
competitive set and submarket, the volatility in occupancy and
reduced demand may be a result of the sponsor's pricing strategy,
as opposed to the asset's overall desirability. As outlined above,
it appears the sponsor has taken proactive steps toward bringing
rental rates in line with the market average in an effort to
stabilize operations at the property.
With this review, Morningstar DBRS considered a stabilized property
value of $195.1 million, which is a variance of -5.0% and -31.6%
from the Morningstar DBRS value and appraised value derived at
issuance, respectively. Morningstar DBRS maintained the NCF derived
at issuance of $10.7 million but elected to increase the
capitalization rate to 5.5% from 5.25% to reflect the volatility in
occupancy and cash flow, in addition to the execution risk tied to
the sponsor's stabilization strategy. The updated Morningstar DBRS
value implies a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 57.6% on the senior
debt and an LTV of 107.7% based on the total mortgage debt amount
of $210.0 million (compared with the LTV of 102.8% based on the
Morningstar DBRS value at issuance). With this credit rating
action, Morningstar DBRS removed the positive qualitative
adjustment of 2.5% applied at issuance for low cash flow volatility
and maintained positive qualitative adjustments to the LTV sizing
benchmarks totaling 4.0% to account for generally strong property
quality and stable market fundamentals.
The credit ratings assigned to Classes A, B, C, D, and E are higher
than the results implied by the LTV sizing benchmarks by three or
more notches. The variances are warranted given the subject
property's premium quality; its favorable position within the South
Marin submarket, which benefits from a historically low vacancy
rate; and the generally positive leasing momentum evidenced over
the last few reporting periods. However, Morningstar DBRS continues
to be concerned about the elevated maturity risk in the short term,
therefore supporting the Negative trends. Morningstar DBRS will
continue to monitor this transaction for updates.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
SHACKLETON 2018-XII CLO: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Shackleton 2018-XII CLO, Ltd.
US$60,000,000 Class B Senior Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Aaa
(sf); previously on May 31, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$25,500,000 Class C Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 31, 2023 Upgraded to A1
(sf)
US$30,250,000 Class D Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2020 Confirmed at Baa3
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$320,000,000 (current outstanding amount US$171,684,213) Class A
Senior Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Jul
11, 2018 Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$24,250,000 Class E Junior Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2020 Confirmed at Ba3
(sf)
Shackleton 2018-XII CLO, Ltd., issued in July 2018, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The portfolio is
managed by Alcentra NY, LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period
ended in July 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrades on the ratings on the Class B, C and D Notes are
primarily a result of the deleveraging of the Class A Notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio over the last 12
months.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately USD136.1 million
(42.5% of original balance) over the last 12 months and EUR148.3
million (46.3%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased for Class A/B, Class C
and Class D. According to the trustee report dated November 2024
[1] the Class A/B, Class C and Class D OC ratios are reported at
144.03%, 129.75% and 116.09%, compared to November 2023 [2] levels
of 130.32%, 121.87% and 113.16%, respectively.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A and Class E Notes
are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
Key model inputs:
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD335.3m
Defaulted Securities: USD4.0m
Diversity Score: 63
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3070
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.42 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.42%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.23%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Recoveries
higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive impact on
the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
SIGNAL PEAK 9: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R, A-1R,
A-2R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt from Signal
Peak CLO 9 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 9 LLC, a CLO originally issued in
June 2021 that is managed by ORIX Advisers LLC, a wholly owned
subsidiary of ORIX Corp. USA. The original debt was not rated by
S&P Global Ratings.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture, the transaction was collateralized by at
least 90% senior secured loans, cash, and eligible investments,
with a minimum of 90% of the loan borrowers required to be based in
the U.S., Canada, the U.K., and Netherlands.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Signal Peak CLO 9 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 9 LLC
Class X-R, $5.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1R, $310.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2R, $10.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $60.000 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R (deferrable), $25.000 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R (deferrable), $10.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $15.000 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $52.245 million: Not rated
SIXTH STREET 27: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Sixth Street CLO 27
Ltd./Sixth Street CLO 27 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Sixth Street CLO 27 Management LLC
(initially organized under the name Meadowvest Management IV LLC),
a subsidiary of Sixth Street Advisers.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Sixth Street CLO 27 Ltd./Sixth Street CLO 27 LLC
Class A, $315.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $65.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $3.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $16.25 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $50.00 million: Not rated
SYMPHONY CLO 40: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from Symphony
CLO 40 Ltd./Symphony CLO 40 LLC, a CLO originally issued in
November 2023 that is managed by Symphony Alternative Asset
Management LLC, which merged with Nuveen Asset Management LLC in
December 2020.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 16,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Dec. 19, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R debt
are expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month SOFR
than the original debt.
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R
notes are expected to be issued at a floating spread, replacing the
current floating spread.
-- The non-call period will be extended two years.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to January 2038.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to January 2030.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Symphony CLO 40 Ltd./Symphony CLO 40 LLC
Class A-R, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.50 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Symphony CLO 40 Ltd./Symphony CLO 40 LLC
Subordinated notes, $36.40 million: Not rated
SYMPHONY CLO 46: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Symphony
CLO 46, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Symphony CLO 46,
Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Symphony CLO 46, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Symphony Alternative Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 23.2 versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25.0. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.5% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.7% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.0%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 47.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-1 notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2
notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AA+sf' for class C notes,
'A+sf' for class D-1 notes, 'Asf' for class D-2 notes, and 'BBB+sf'
for class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
06 December 2024
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Symphony CLO 46,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
TOWD POINT 2024-CES6: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on 5 Classes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2024-CES6 (the Notes)
issued by Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2024-CES6 (TPMT 2024-CES6 or
the Trust):
-- $303.1 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1 at A (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B2 at B (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2A at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2AX at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2B at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2BX at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2C at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2CX at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2D at AA (high) (sf)
-- $27.6 million Class A2DX at AA (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1A at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1AX at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1B at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1BX at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1C at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1CX at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1D at A (high) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class M1DX at A (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2A at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2AX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2B at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2BX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2C at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2CX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class M2DX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1A at BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1AX at BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1B at BB (high) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1BX at BB (high) (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 24.75% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinate Notes. The AA (high) (sf), A
(high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and B (high) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 17.90%, 12.9%, 8.45%, 5.30%, and 3.45% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
TPMT 2024-CES6 is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime
and near-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Notes. The Notes are backed by 5,537
mortgage loans with a total principal balance of $402,803,290 as of
the Cut-Off Date (November 1, 2024).
The portfolio, on average, is four months seasoned, though
seasoning ranges from one to eleven months. Borrowers in the pool
represent prime and near-prime credit quality weighted-average
Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 729, Morningstar
DBRS-calculated original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of
72.9%, and 100.0% originated with Issuer-defined full
documentation. All the loans are current and none has been
delinquent since origination.
TPMT 2024-CES6 represents the eighth CES securitization by FirstKey
Mortgage, LLC and fifth by CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC. Spring EQ, LLC
(52.1%) and Nationstar Mortgage LLC doing business as (dba) Mr.
Cooper (Nationstar; 47.9%) are the originators for the mortgage
pool.
Newrez, LLC dba Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (52.1%) and
Nationstar (47.9%) are the Servicers of the loans in this
transaction.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Indenture
Trustee, Paying Agent, Administrative Trustee, Note Registrar, and
Administrator. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Custodian.
CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC (CRM) will acquire the loans from various
transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring trusts
acquired the mortgage loans from the Originators. CRM and the
transferring trusts are beneficially owned by funds managed by
affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. Upon acquiring the
loans from the transferring trusts, CRM will transfer the loans to
CRM 1 Depositor, LLC (the Depositor). The Depositor in turn will
transfer the loans to Towd Point Mortgage Grantor Trust 2024-CES6
(the Grantor Trust). The Grantor Trust will issue two classes of
certificates: P&I Grantor Trust Certificate and IO Grantor Trust
Certificate. The Grantor Trust certificates will be issued in the
name of the Issuer. The Issuer will pledge P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate with the Indenture Trustee and will be the primary
asset of the Trust. As a Sponsor, CRM, through one or more
majority-owned affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible
vertical interest in each class of securities to be issued (other
than any residual certificates) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules, they
were made to borrowers who generally do not qualify for agency,
government, or private-label nonagency prime jumbo products for
various reasons. In accordance with the Qualified Mortgage (QM)/ATR
rules, 26.3% of the loans are designated as non-QM, 45.0% are
designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption, and 27.3% are designated
as QM Safe Harbor. Approximately 1.4% of the mortgages are loans
made to investors for business purposes and were not subject to the
QM/ATR rules.
The Servicers will generally fund advances of delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) on any mortgage until such loan becomes 60 days
delinquent under the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) delinquency
method (equivalent to 90 days delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers
Association (MBA) delinquency method), contingent upon
recoverability determination. However, the Servicer will stop
advancing delinquent P&I if the aggregate amount of unreimbursed
P&I advances owed to a Servicer exceeds 95.0% of the amounts on
deposit in the custodial account maintained by such Servicer. In
addition, the related servicer is obligated to make advances in
respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and insurance,
installment payments on energy improvement liens, and reasonable
costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing and
disposing of properties unless a determination is made that there
will be material recoveries.
For this transaction, any loan that is 150 days delinquent under
the OTS delinquency method (equivalent to 180 days delinquent under
the MBA delinquency method), upon review by the related Servicer,
may be considered a Charged Off Loan. With respect to a Charged Off
Loan, the total unpaid principal balance will be considered a
realized loss and will be allocated reverse sequentially to the
Noteholders. If there are any subsequent recoveries for such
Charged Off Loans, the recoveries will be included in the principal
remittance amount and applied in accordance with the principal
distribution waterfall; in addition, any class principal balances
of Notes that have been previously reduced by allocation of such
realized losses may be increased by such recoveries sequentially in
order of seniority. Morningstar DBRS' analysis assumes reduced
recoveries upon default on loans in this pool.
This transaction incorporates a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A2
and subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1 Notes are retired.
On or after (1) the payment date in November 2027 or (2) the first
payment date when the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans
(other than the Charged Off Loans and the real estate owned (REO)
properties) is reduced to less than 30.0% of the Cut-Off Date
balance, the call option holder will have the option to purchase
P&I Grantor Trust Certificate so long as the aggregate proceeds
from such purchase exceeds the minimum price (Optional Redemption).
Minimum price will at least equal sum of (1) class balances of the
Notes plus the accrued interest and unpaid interest, (2) any fees,
expenses and indemnification amounts, and (3) accrued and unpaid
amounts owed to the Class X Certificates minus the Class AX
distributable amount.
On or after the first payment date on which the aggregate pool
balance of the mortgage loans and the REO properties is less than
10% of the aggregate pool balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate at the minimum price (Cleanup Call).
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update," published on September 25, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
TRIMARAN CAVU 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Trimaran
CAVU 2024-1 Ltd./Trimaran CAVU 2024-1 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trimaran Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Dec. 17,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Trimaran CAVU 2024-1 Ltd./Trimaran CAVU 2024-1 LLC
Class A, $240.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $64.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.0 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $38.0 million: Not rated
TRINITAS CLO XXXI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Trinitas CLO XXXI
Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXXI LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXXI Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXXI LLC
Class A-1, $73.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1LA, 129.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1LB, $50.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.70 million: Not rated
UBS-BARCLAYS 2012-C4: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-C4
issued by UBS-Barclays Commercial Mortgage Trust 2012-C4 as
follows:
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
There are no trends as the CCC (sf) and C (sf) credit ratings
categories generally do not carry trends in commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
Since the last credit rating action, one loan, Evergreen Plaza
(Prospectus ID#12; formerly 24.4% of the pool), which was
previously in special servicing, was disposed from the trust at no
loss as of the January 2024 payment date. As of the November 2024
remittance, two nonperforming matured loans that are secured by
real estate owned (REO) assets remain in the pool. Both loans have
reported updated appraisal values, which are lower than their
respective values that Morningstar DBRS considered at its last
review and well below their values at issuance. With this review,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed both loans with liquidation scenarios,
resulting in losses that remain contained to the lowest-rated Class
F certificate. In addition, interest shortfalls continue to
accumulate, affecting both remaining rated classes. As of November
2024, interest shortfalls totaled $4.2 million, with approximately
$18,000 contained to Class E. Given the expected credit
deterioration from a liquidation scenario for both loans and the
accumulating interest shortfalls, Morningstar DBRS maintained the
CCC (sf) and C (sf) credit ratings on Classes E and F,
respectively.
The Newgate Mall loan (Prospectus ID#6; 80.5% of the pool) is
secured by the in-line space and two anchor spaces of a
single-level regional mall in Ogden, Utah, and has been REO since
April 2021. An updated appraisal, dated March 2024, valued the
property at $21.8 million, down from the issuance appraised value
of $83.0 million, reflecting an as-is loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of
225.1%. For this review, Morningstar DBRS applied a haircut to the
most recent value and liquidated the loan, resulting in an implied
loss exceeding $40.0 million and a loss severity in excess of
75.0%.
The Fashion Square loan (Prospectus ID#23; 19.5% of the pool) is
secured by a mixed-use property in St. Louis, Missouri, consisting
of 13,000 square feet (sf) of retail space, 75,000 sf of office
space, and 72 multifamily units and has been REO since April 2023.
The property was re-appraised in May 2024 at a value of $7.9
million, compared with the issuance value of $25 million,
reflecting an as-is LTV of 170.0%. For this review, Morningstar
DBRS applied a haircut to the most recent value and liquidated the
loan, resulting in an implied loss exceeding $7.0 million and a
loss severity in excess of 50.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
UPGRADE RECEIVABLES 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes issued by Upgrade Receivables Trust
2024-1 (Upgrade 2024-1):
-- $150,704,000 Class A Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- $45,997,000 Class B Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- $37,969,000 Class C Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $35,125,000 Class D Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- $29,271,000 Class E Notes at B (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings on the Notes are based on Morningstar DBRS'
review by of the following considerations:
(1) The transaction's form and sufficiency of available credit
enhancement.
-- Overcollateralization, subordination, amounts held in the
Reserve Fund Account, and excess spread create credit enhancement
levels that are commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- Transaction cash flows are sufficient to repay investors under
all AA (low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and
B (sf) stress scenarios in accordance with the terms of the Upgrade
2024-1 transaction documents.
-- The transaction provides for Class E Notes with a credit rating
of B (sf). While the Morningstar DBRS Rating U.S. Structured
Finance Transactions, Appendix I: U.S. Consumer Loan ABS
Transactions methodology does not set forth a range of multiples
for this asset class for the B (sf) level, the analytical approach
for this rating level is consistent with that contemplated by the
Methodology. The typical range of multiples applied in the
Morningstar DBRS stress analysis for a B (sf) rating is 1.00 times
(x) to 1.25x.
(2) The Morningstar DBRS cumulative net loss (CNL) assumption of
16.85% based on the Statistical Cutoff Date pool composition, which
is not expected to differ materially from the Cutoff Date pool, and
the expected prefunded receivables, which will be subject to a
Concentration Test (i.e., a set of collateral concentration
limits), which Morningstar DBRS took into consideration when
deriving the CNL assumption.
(3) The eligibility criteria and Concentration Test applicable to
the additional loan collateral that may be added to the trust
during the Prefunding Period, which is expected to total up to
20.00% of the total collateral backing Upgrade 2024-1.
(4) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update, published on September 25, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
(5) Upgrade's experience, sourcing, and servicing capabilities.
(6) The Lending Partners' experience, underwriting, and origination
capabilities.
(7) The annual percentage rate (APR) charged on the loans and the
status of the Lending Partners as the true lenders.
-- The weighted-average (WA) APR of the loans in the pool is
21.92%.
-- All loans included in Upgrade 2024-1 are originated by CRB or
BRB in compliance with the relevant usury limit.
-- Upgrade is obliged to repurchase any loan if there is a breach
of a representation and warranty that materially and adversely
affects the interests of the purchaser.
(8) Systems & Services Technologies' (SST) ability to perform
duties as a Backup Servicer.
(9) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that address
the true sale of the unsecured loans, the nonconsolidation of the
trust, that the trust has a valid perfected security interest in
the assets, and consistency with the Morningstar DBRS Legal
Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes referenced herein
address the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations are the note balance of and
accrued interest on the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, and
Class E Notes, including any unpaid accrued interest from prior
distribution dates.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-9: S&P Assigns 'B-' Rating on B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Verus Securitization
Trust 2024-9's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by primarily
newly originated first- and second-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate
residential mortgage loans, including mortgage loans with initial
interest-only periods, to both prime and non-prime borrowers. The
loans are secured by single-family residences, planned-unit
developments, two- to four-family residential properties,
condominiums, condotels, townhouses, mixed-use properties, and
five- to 10-unit multifamily residences. The pool has 1,261 loans
backed by 1,314 properties, which are qualified mortgage
(QM)/non-higher-priced mortgage loans (safe harbor), QM rebuttable
presumption, non-QM/ability-to-repay-compliant, and
ability-to-repay-exempt loans. Eighteen of the 1,261 loans are
cross-collateralized loans backed in total by 71 properties.
After the preliminary ratings were issued, the issuer removed 28
loans from the pool, updated the loan balances to reflect the Dec.
1, 2024, cut-off date, and updated the bond sizes accordingly
keeping the credit enhancement the same as at the time of
preliminary ratings. The issuer also added initial exchangeable
class A-1A and A-1B notes, which together can be exchanged for
exchangeable class A-1 notes. Our loss coverage numbers and ratings
are unchanged from the preliminary loss coverage and ratings.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, prior credit
events, and geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners; and
-- S&P said, "One key change in our baseline forecast since
September, where-in we expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026 (it was previously fourth-quarter
2025). We now expect the federal funds rate to reach 3.50%-3.75% by
the end of next year (versus 3.00%-3.25% in our September outlook)
as inflation is likely to be above the 2.00% target for longer than
we previously thought. Heading into 2025, the U.S. economy is
expanding at a solid pace and while President-elect Donald Trump
outlined numerous policy proposals during his campaign, S&P Global
Ratings' economic outlook for 2025 hasn't changed appreciably,
partly because we have taken a probabilistic approach and are
assuming partial implementation of campaign promises. It will take
time for changes in fiscal, trade, and immigration policy to be
implemented and affect the economy. Therefore, we maintain our
current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency of 2.50%. This reflects our benign
view of the mortgage and housing markets, as demonstrated through
general national level home price behavior, unemployment rates,
mortgage performance, and underwriting."
Ratings Assigned(i)
Verus Securitization Trust 2024-9
Class A-1A, $329,724,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $59,625,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $389,349,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $49,190,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $71,848,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $36,371,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $19,974,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $17,590,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $11,925,209: NR
Class A-IO-S, Notional(ii): NR
Class XS, Notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
WELLS FARGO 2022-C62: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. G-RR Debt to CCCsf
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded one class and affirmed 30 classes of
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2022-C62 (WFCM 2022-C62).
Fitch has also revised the Rating Outlooks for classes C, C-1,
C-X1, C-2, C-X2, D, E and X-D to Negative from Stable; the Outlook
for classes F and X-F remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2022-C62
A-1 95003MAA6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 95003MAB4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 95003MBS6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4-1 95003MAH1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4-2 95003MAJ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4-X1 95003MAK4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4-X2 95003MAL2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 95003MBV9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S-1 95003MAM0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S-2 95003MAN8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S-X1 95003MAP3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S-X2 95003MAQ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 95003MAC2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95003MBW7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B-1 95003MAR9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B-2 95003MAS7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B-X1 95003MAT5 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B-X2 95003MAU2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 95003MBX5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
C-1 95003MAV0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
C-2 95003MAW8 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
C-X1 95003MAX6 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
C-X2 95003MAY4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 95003MBD9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 95003MBF4 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 95003MBH0 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
G-RR 95003MBK3 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-A 95003MBT4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 95003MBU1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-D 95003MAZ1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 95003MBB3 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 5% and Fitch Loans of Concerns (FLOCs) comprise eight
loans (22.1% of the pool), including two specially serviced loans
(8.5%).
The downgrade to class G-RR and Negative Outlooks on classes C,
C-1, C-X1, C-2, C-X2, D, E, X-D, F and X-F reflect the transfer of
Midtown Central Square (7.4%) to special servicing and continuing
performance declines of 530 Bush (3.7%) and Long Lake Crossing
(4%). The Negative Outlooks also reflect the potential for further
downgrades with continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs as
well as the office concentration (27.8% of pool).
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the 530
Bush Street loan which is secured by a 104,737-sf office building
located in San Francisco, California. The loan is a FLOC due to
performance declines and submarket concerns. Per the July 2024 rent
roll, the property was 42.3% occupied compared to 63% at YE 2022
and 84% at underwriting. Rollover included 8.9% of NRA in 2024,
8.4% in 2025 and 20.3% in 2026. Declining occupancy is driving NOI
lower. The YE 2023 NOI is 69% below YE 2022 and the Fitch issuance
NCF. The annualized September 2024 NOI is 90% below YE 2022 and 89%
below the Fitch issuance NCF.
Per CoStar as of QTD 4Q24, comparable properties in the Union
Square Office submarket had a 25% vacancy rate, 25.8% availability
rate and $45.09 market asking rent while the total submarket had a
26% vacancy rate, 26.7% availability rate and $44.63 market asking
rent. Per the July 2024 rent roll, the property had average
in-place rent of $49.83 psf. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13%
(prior to concentration add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate and a 30%
stress to the YE 2022 NOI for occupancy declines and rollover risk
as well as an elevated probability of default.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Midtown Central Square loan secured by a 269,800-sf office property
located in Houston, TX which transferred to special servicing in
August 2024 due to non-monetary default. The borrower failed to
cooperate with cash management and financial reporting
requirements. Recently, the borrower indicated that they would
comply with the requirements and the special servicer is now
working with the borrower to document a reinstatement agreement.
The City of Houston, the largest tenant at the property, has two
different leases: one for 4,000 square feet expiring February 2025
and one for 43,848 square feet set to expire December 2028.
According to the servicer, the City initially allowed the lease
ending February 2024 to expire, which triggered a cash sweep, but
it has since renewed the lease through the end of February 2025.
Per the YE 2023 rent roll, the property is 89.7% occupied, compared
to 85% at underwriting. Servicer reporting from June 2024 shows
occupancy declined to 79% (Fitch was not provided an updated rent
roll). Per CoStar, there's approximately 128,829-sf available for
lease, of which about 96,044-sf is available for direct lease.
Rollover included 9.8% of NRA in 2025 and 24.2% in 2026. Fitch's
'Bsf' rating case loss of 7% (prior to concentration add-ons)
reflects a 9.75% cap rate and a 10% stress to the Fitch issuance
NCF for occupancy declines and rollover risk in 2025-2026.
The Long Lake Crossing FLOC is secured by a 171,994-sf office
property located in Troy, Michigan built in 1987. The property is
experiencing declining cash flow due to declining revenues and
increased expenses since issuance. Annualized June 2024 revenues
are 8% below the issuer underwritten amount while expenses are 15%
above. The annualized June 2024 NOI of $1,867,598 is 14% below YE
2022 and 1% below the Fitch issuance NCF. Per the June 2024 rent
roll, the property was 83.8% occupied compared to 85% at YE 2022
and 83% at underwriting. Rollover included 4.5% of NRA in 2024, 8%
in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026.
Per CoStar as of QTD 4Q24, comparable properties in the Troy North
Office submarket had a 24.6% vacancy rate, 32.2% availability rate
and $21.38 market asking rent while the total submarket had a 14.6%
vacancy rate, 19.5% availability rate and $20.59 market asking
rent. Per the June 2024 rent roll, the property had average
in-place rent of $22.25 psf. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 6%
(prior to concentration add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate and a 10%
stress to the annualized June 2024 NOI.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the November 2024
remittance report, the aggregate balances of the WFCM 2022-C62 have
been reduced by 0.59% since issuance. Loan maturities are
concentrated in 2032 with 42 loans for 90% of the pool.
Cumulative interest shortfalls are approximately $48,100 affecting
the non-rated classes H-RR and VRR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible future downgrades stemming
from concerns with further declines in performance that could
result in higher expected losses on FLOCs. If expected losses do
increase, downgrades to these classes are likely.
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories,
particularly those with Negative Outlooks, may occur should
performance of the FLOCs deteriorate further or if more loans than
expected default during the term and/or at or prior to maturity.
These FLOCs include Midtown Central Square, 530 Bush and Long Lake
Crossing.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' categories,
particularly those with Negative Outlooks, could occur with higher
than expected losses from continued underperformance of the
aforementioned FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses on the
specially serviced loans or other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf' would occur as losses
become more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs, including Midtown Central Square, 530 Bush
and Long Lake Crossing. Upgrades of these classes to 'AAAsf' will
also consider the concentration of defeased loans in the
transaction.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration and would only occur sustained improved performance
of the FLOCs.
Upgrades to 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely until the
later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected but possible with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C21: Moody's Affirms Ba1 Rating on C Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings on four classes and
downgraded the rating on one class in WFRBS Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2014-C21, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2014-C21 as follows:
Cl. A-S, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 18, 2020 Affirmed Aaa
(sf)
Cl. B, Affirmed A2 (sf); previously on Apr 23, 2021 Downgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. C, Affirmed Ba1 (sf); previously on Apr 23, 2021 Downgraded to
Ba1 (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 18, 2020 Affirmed
Aaa (sf)
Cl. PEX, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Apr 23, 2021
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on three P&I classes were affirmed because of their due
to their credit support, Moody's expected principal paydowns from
the remaining loans in the pool as well as the transaction's key
metrics, including Moody's loan-to-value (LTV) ratio and Moody's
stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) are within acceptable
ranges.
The rating on the IO class, Cl. X-A, was affirmed based on the
credit quality of its referenced classes.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEX, was downgraded due
to a decline in the credit quality of its referenced exchangeable
classes. Cl. PEX references Cl. A-S, Cl. B and Cl. C. Cl. A-S has
paid down approximately 70% since last review.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 29.1% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 9.6% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 9.1% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 8.0% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
July 2024.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 100% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determine a
probability of default for each specially serviced and troubled
loan that it expects will generate a loss and estimates a loss
given default based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if
available), other information from the special servicer, available
market data and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for
each loan also takes into consideration repayment of servicer
advances to date, estimated future advances and closing costs.
Translating the probability of default and loss given default into
an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply the aggregate loss
from specially to the most junior classes and the recovery as a pay
down of principal to the most senior classes.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the November 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 77% to $329 million
from $1.42 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by ten remaining mortgage loans, all of which are
now in special servicing and have passed their original maturity
dates. Additionally, four loans have been liquidated from the pool,
resulting in an aggregate realized loss of $33.6 million (for an
average loss severity of 50%).
As of the November 2024 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $499,024. Moody's anticipate interest shortfalls
will continue because of the exposure to specially serviced loans
and/or modified loans. Interest shortfalls are caused by special
servicing fees, including workout and liquidation fees, appraisal
entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan modifications, and
extraordinary trust expenses.
The largest specially serviced loan is the Fairview Park Drive Loan
($90 million - 27.4% of the pool), which is secured by a 360,000
square feet (SF) office building located in Falls Church, Virginia.
The collateral consists of a 15-story class A office building and
an adjacent 5-story parking garage and is part of a 220-acre master
planned office development called Fairview Park. At securitization,
the property served as the global headquarters for its largest
tenant, General Dynamics (170,380 SF or 47% of the net rentable
area (NRA)). However, the General Dynamics vacated in October 2019
and the lender subsequently backfilled most of the vacated space
with BAE Systems Inc. shortly after. As of year-end 2023, the
property was 86% occupied, consistent with 86% in 2022 and at
securitization. The loan transferred to the special servicer in May
2024 and failed to pay off at its original maturity date in June
2024. The most recent appraisal dated August 2024 valued the
property at $91.1 million, which was a 33% decline in value since
securitization but slightly above the outstanding loan balance. The
loan was interest only for its entire term and is last paid through
its June 2024 payment date. Servicer commentary indicated the
borrower reported difficulties refinancing the loan and has
expressed interest in a loan modification and the special servicer
is evaluating workout options.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Queens Atrium
Loan ($81.5 million – 24.8% of the pool), which represents a pari
passu portion of a $169 million mortgage loan. The loan is secured
by a 1.03 million SF office building located in Long Island City,
New York. The collateral consists of two buildings that are 100%
leased, almost entirely by New York City agencies. The properties
are within a ten-minute walk of the Court Square and Queens Plaza
subway stops. The loan transferred to the special servicer in July
2024 after failing to pay off at its original maturity date in June
2024. The largest tenant, NYC SCA (30.5% of NRA, lease expiration
in January 2029), has gone dark but is still fulfilling its lease
obligations. Furthermore, the property faces additional lease
rollover risk with an additional 37% of the NRA having lease
expirations through year-end 2026. The property has consistently
maintained full occupancy since securitization. The loan has
amortized 9.4% since securitization after an initial 5-year
interest only period. The special servicer commentary indicates
ongoing discussions of a potential maturity extension while
evaluating resolution options. The reported loan DSCR as of
year-end 2023 was over 2.00X, however, the loan is last paid
through its July 2024 payment date.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Shops at
CenterPoint ($49.0 million – 14.9% of the pool), which is secured
by an approximately 461,196 square feet (SF) retail center located
in Grand Rapids, Michigan. The subject is directly across from
Woodland Mall, a 1.2 million SF super-regional mall containing
retailers such as Macy's, JCPenney, Von Maur, and Apple. The loan
failed to pay off at its original maturity date in June 2024 and
subsequently received a forbearance that concluded in November 2024
and the loan was transferred to special servicing. The property was
98% leased as of June 2024, compared to 95% in 2023 and 90% at
securitization. The performance has been generally consistent since
securitization and had a 1.55X NOI DSCR as of June 2024 compared to
1.54X at securitization. The loan has amortized 9.2% since
securitization, however, the loan is last paid through its October
2024 remittance date and is classified as nonperforming balloon
balance.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the Cedar Crest
Professional Park loan ($48.2 million – 14.6% of the pool), which
is secured by a class B medical office campus located approximately
4 miles southwest of Allentown, PA. Property performance has
deteriorated as a result of decline in occupancy and the property
was 53% leased as of March 2024, compared to 42% in 2023, 60% in
2022, and 80% at securitization. An updated appraisal in August
2024 valued the property at $62.2 million, a 33% decline in value
since securitization but remained above the outstanding loan
balance. The loan transferred to special servicing in July 2024 and
has passed its July 2024 maturity date. Per the servicer
commentary, the borrower has requested a loan modification, and the
lender is actively seeking the appointment of a receiver. As of the
November 2024 remittance, the loan has amortized by 19.6% since
securitization, however, the loan is last paid through its June
2024 payment date.
The remaining six specially serviced loans are secured primarily by
four office and two manufactured housing loans that have
experienced significant performance declines since securitization
and low DSCRs. All the special serviced loans failed to pay off at
their original maturity. Moody's have estimated an aggregate loss
of $96 million (a 29% expected loss on average) for the specially
serviced loans.
[*] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 4 Metronet Infrastructure Debt Series
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes Series 2024-1,
2023-3, 2023-2, 2023-1, and 2022-1. The Rating Outlooks remain
Stable.
Fitch has affirmed the following classes:
- $344,600,000 series 2024-1, class A-2 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $47,700,000 series 2024-1, class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $96,00,000 series 2024-1, class C at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
- $478,236,000 series 2023-3 class A-2 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $66,156,000 series 2023-3 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $133,109,000 series 2023-3 class C at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $600,000,000 (a) series 2023-2 class A-1 at 'Asf'; Outlook
Stable;
- $487,139,000 series 2023-1 class A-2 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $67,387,000 series 2023-1 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $135,587,000 series 2023-1, class C, at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
- $860,781,000 series 2022-1, class A-2, at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $119,075,000 series 2022-1 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $239,584,000 series 2022-1 class C at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) This note is a Variable Funding Note (VFN) and has a maximum
commitment of $600 million, which has been amended and increased by
$200 million. Draws on this facility are contingent upon leverage
consistent with the class A-2 notes.
Transaction Summary
The transaction is being affirmed in connection with an amendment
to the outstanding variable funding note issued out of the trust.
The commitment of this facility is being increased to $600 million
from $400 million, as of the last issuance of notes. Other changes
to the terms of the transaction are very limited.
The transaction is a securitization of subscription and contract
payments derived from an existing fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP)
network. Collateral assets include conduits, cables, network-level
equipment, access rights, customer agreements, transaction accounts
and a pledge of equity from the asset entities. Debt is secured by
net revenue from operations and benefits from a perfected security
interest in the securitized assets.
The collateral consists of high-quality fiber lines that support
the provision of internet, cable and phone services to a network of
approximately 515,050 customers across 14 states; these assets
represent approximately 89.8% of the sponsor's business based on
the percentage of revenue generated. For the markets contributed to
the transaction, the largest portion of the subscriber base,
comprising 27.1% of annualized run rate revenue (ARRR), is located
in Indiana, although the base is spread across a few distinct
markets within the state.
The ratings reflect a structured finance analysis of cash flows
from the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic network,
rather than an assessment of the corporate default risk of the
ultimate parent, Metronet Holdings, LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) on the pool
is $328.7 million, implying a 15.9% haircut to issuer NCF in the
base case. The debt multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated
classes is 9.4x, versus the debt/issuer NCF leverage of 7.9x.
Inclusive of the cash flow required to draw on the maximum variable
funding note (VFN) commitment of $600 million, the Fitch NCF on the
pool is $369.3 million, implying a 17.2% haircut to issuer NCF. The
debt multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is
10.0x, compared with the debt / issuer NCF leverage of 8.2x.
Credit Risk Factors: Major factors affecting Fitch's determination
of cash flow and maximum potential leverage (MPL) include: the high
quality of the underlying collateral networks; scale and diversity
of the customer base, market position and penetration; capability
of the operator; and strength of the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect
long-term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of
this transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities
have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology, rendering obsolete the current transmission
of data through fiber optic cables, will be developed. Fiber optic
cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable means to
transmit information, and data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, contract churn,
or lower market penetration or the development of an alternative
technology for the transmission of data could lead to downgrades.
Fitch's base case NCF was 15.9% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2
from 'Asf' to 'BBBsf'; class B from 'BBBsf' to 'BB+sf'; class C
from 'BBsf' to 'B+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings based
on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2 from 'Asf' to 'Asf';
class B from 'BBBsf' to 'A-sf'; class C from 'BBsf' to 'BB+sf'.
Upgrades are unlikely for these transactions given the provision
for the issuer to issue additional notes, which rank pari passu or
subordinate to existing notes, without the benefit of additional
collateral. In addition, the transaction is capped in the 'Asf'
category, given the risk of technological obsolescence.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 19 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 19 bonds from three US
residential mortgage-backed transaction (RMBS). The collateral
backing this deal consists of prime jumbo and conforming loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-2
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Feb 29, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-3
Cl. A-2-X*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Issuer: Western Mortgage Reference Notes, Series 2022-CL1 and
Western Mortgage Reference Notes, Series 2022-CL2
Cl. 1M-3B, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2022
Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. 1M-3C, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2022
Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Feb 16, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. 2M-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Feb 16, 2024
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
transactions continue to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative loss for the transactions and a small number of
loans in delinquencies. In addition, enhancement levels for the
tranches have grown significantly, as the pool amortize relatively
quickly. The credit enhancement for each tranche upgraded has grown
by, an average, 11% since closing.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] S&P Discontinues 'D' Ratings on 11 Classes From Five US Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings discontinued its 'D (sf)' ratings on 11 classes
of commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from five U.S.
CMBS transactions.
S&P said, "We discontinued these ratings according to our
surveillance and withdrawal policies. We had previously lowered the
ratings on these classes to 'D (sf)' due to accumulated interest
shortfalls that we believed would remain outstanding for an
extended period or, in the case of the interest-only certificates,
our interest-only criteria.
"We view a subsequent upgrade to a rating higher than 'D (sf)' to
be unlikely under the relevant criteria for the classes within this
review."
Ratings list
Rating
Issuer Series Class CUSIP To From
CF 2019-CF1 Mortgage Trust
2019-C1 65C 12529MAY4 NR D (sf)
CF 2019-CF1 Mortgage Trust
2019-C1 65D 12529MAZ1 NR D (sf)
CF 2019-CF1 Mortgage Trust
2019-C1 65X2 12529MBD9 NR D (sf)
GSCG Trust 2019-600C
2019-600C X 36260TAC9 NR D (sf)
GSCG Trust 2019-600C
2019-600C B 36260TAE5 NR D (sf)
GSCG Trust 2019-600C
2019-600C C 36260TAG0 NR D (sf)
GSCG Trust 2019-600C
2019-600C D 36260TAJ4 NR D (sf)
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2013-LC11
2013-LC11 C 46639YAW7 NR D (sf)
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2013-LC11
2013-LC11 X-B 46639YAT4 NR D (sf)
JPMBB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2013-C12
2013 C-12 F 46639NAE1 NR D (sf)
Natixis Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2018-FL1
2018-FL1 B 63874MAJ1 NR D (sf)
NR--Not rated.
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 65 Classes From 13 US RMBS Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 65 ratings from 13 U.S.
RMBS transactions issued between 2003 and 2007. The review yielded
18 upgrades, two downgrades, 42 affirmations, and three
withdrawals.
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://tinyurl.com/9rhmja3e
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by its projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics and their potential effects on certain classes.
Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance or delinquency trends;
-- An increase or decrease in available credit support;
-- Expected duration;
-- Historical and/or outstanding missed interest payments, or
interest shortfalls;
-- Small loan count;
-- Available subordination and/or overcollateralization; and
-- Reduced interest payments due to loan modifications.
Rating Actions
The rating changes reflect S&P's view regarding the associated
transaction-specific collateral performance, structural
characteristics, and/or the application of specific criteria
applicable to these classes.
The upgrades primarily reflect the classes' increased credit
support. As a result, the upgrades reflect the classes' ability to
withstand a higher level of projected losses than S&P had
previously anticipated.
The affirmations reflect S&P's view that its projected credit
support, collateral performance, and credit-related reductions in
interest on these classes have remained relatively consistent with
our prior projections.
S&P said, "The downgrades reflect our assessment of the principal
write-downs' effect on the classes during recent remittance
periods. Two of the classes with ratings lowered to 'D (sf)' were
rated 'CCC (sf)' before the rating action.
"We withdrew our ratings on three classes from two transactions due
to the small remaining loan count on the related structure. Once a
pool has declined to a de minimis amount, we believe there is a
high degree of credit instability that is incompatible with any
rating level."
*********
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