/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/250112.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, January 12, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 11
Headlines
ACREC 2025-FL3: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Three Tranches
BAIN CAPITAL 2021-3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Debt
BALLYROCK CLO 15: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
BBCMS 2019-BWAY: Fitch Keeps 'B-sf' Rating on Watch Negative
BBCMS TRUST 2015-SRCH: Fitch Alters Outlook on BB+ Rating to Neg
BEAR STEARNS 2007-PWR18: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
BWAY 2021-1450: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: DBRS Assigns BB(high) Rating on HRR Certs
BX TRUST 2021-LBA: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on 2 Tranches
CARLYLE US 2021-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
CEDAR FUNDING IV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R3 Debt
CHASE HOME 2024-11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
CHESTNUT NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
CIFC FUNDING 2016-I: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E-RRR Notes
CIFC FUNDING 2021-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2014-GC25: DBRS Cuts 2 Classes' Rating to CCC
CLOVER CLO 2021-3: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $22.5MM E-R Notes
COMM 2014-CCRE18: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
COMM 2014-CCRE20: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on 2 Tranches
ELEMENT NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
FIGRE TRUST 2024-HE6: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on F Notes
FMBT 2024-FBLU: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
GEMINI NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
HUDSON'S BAY 2015-HBS: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on 2 Tranches
JEFFERIES 2024-II: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-(sf)' Rating on E Notes
JORDAN NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
JP MORGAN 2022-ACB: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-12: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B5 Certs
KKR STATIC I: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
KSL COMMERCIAL 2024-HT2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on HRR Certs
MADISON PARK XXII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Cl. E-R-2 Notes
MERCHANTS FLEET 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
MILL CITY 2021-NMR1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Two Tranches
NEUBERGER BERMAN 30: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
NYT 2019-NYT: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
OHA CREDIT 2: S&P Assigns Preliminary BB-(sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
OHA CREDIT 8: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
ORL 2024-GLKS: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class HRR Certs
OZLM XIV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R3 Notes
PRPM 2024-NQM4: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on Class B-1 Certs
RAD CLO 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
READY CAPITAL 2019-6: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
RESERVOIR FINANCIAL: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class D Loan
RIPPLE NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
SDART 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns B+(EXP) Rating on B5 Certs
SILVER POINT 7: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
SILVER POINT 7: Moody's Assigns 'B3' Rating to $250,000 Cl. F Notes
SUNNOVA AURORA I: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class C Notes
TCW CLO 2020-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class ERR Notes
TIDAL NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
TOWD POINT 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B3 Notes
UNITI FIBER 2025-1: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP) Rating on Class C Notes
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
VISTA POINT 2024-CES3: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B-2 Notes
VITALITY RE XVI: Fitch Gives BB-(EXP)sf Rating on 2025 Cl. C Notes
VITALITY RE XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim B+(sf) Rating on Cl. C Notes
VOYA CLO 2020-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-RR Notes
VOYA CLO 2024-7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C3: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on G-RR Certs
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB (sf) on E Notes
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C23: DBRS Cuts Class C Certs Rating to BB
WP GLIMCHER 2015-WPG: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on PR-2 Certs
[*] DBRS Confirms 44 Ratings From 16 CPS Auto Receivables Trust
[*] DBRS Reviews 422 Classes From 21 US RMBS Transactions
[*] DBRS Takes Credit Rating Action on 8 Single-Family Rental Deals
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 14 Bonds From 7 US RMBS Deals
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 7 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 17 Classes From 13 US RMBS Deals
*********
ACREC 2025-FL3: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Three Tranches
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Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
ACREC 2025-FL3 LLC as follows:
- $583,000,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $176,000,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $71,500,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $66,000,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $42,625,000ab class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class D-E 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abc class D-X 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $19,250,000ab class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class E-E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abc class E-X 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,750,000bd class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bd class F-E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bcd class F-X 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $22,000,000bd class G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bd class G-E 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bcd class G-X 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $83,875,000d Income Notes.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Exchangeable Notes. The class D, E, F and G notes are
exchangeable notes. Each class of exchangeable notes may be
exchanged for the corresponding classes of exchangeable notes, and
vice versa. The dollar denomination of each of the received classes
of notes must be equal to the dollar denomination of each of the
surrendered classes of notes.
(c) Notional amount and interest only.
(d) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 12.875% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $983,600,000 and does not include future funding.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Jan. 6, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes represent the beneficial interest in the trust, the
primary assets of which are 25 loans secured by 25 commercial
properties with an aggregate principal balance of $983,600,000 as
of the cutoff date, including three delayed-close collateral
interests totaling $107.6 million, which are expected to close
within 60 days after the closing date. The pool also includes
ramp-up collateral interest of $116.4 million.
The loans were contributed to the trust by ACREC Loan Seller II
LLC. The servicer is expected to be Situs Asset Management LLC, and
the special servicer is expected to be Situs Holdings, LLC. The
trustee is expected to be Wilmington Trust, National Association,
and the note administrator is expected to be Computershare Trust
Company, National Association. The notes are expected to follow a
sequential paydown structure.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's
collateral, including site inspections on 70.7% of the loans by
balance, and cash flow analysis and asset summary reviews on 100%
of the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings performed cash flow analyses on
all 25 loans in the pool. Fitch's resulting aggregate net cash flow
(NCF) of $37.0 million represents a 10.97% decline from the
issuer's aggregate underwritten NCF of $41.6 million, excluding
loans for which Fitch utilized an alternate value analysis.
Aggregate cash flows include only the prorated trust portion of any
pari passu loan.
Higher Leverage: The pool has higher leverage compared to recent
CRE-CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio of 148.1% is between the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages
of 140.7% and 171.2%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield
(DY) of 5.7% is between the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 6.5%
and 5.6%, respectively.
Better Pool Diversity: The pool diversity is better than that of
recently rated Fitch CRE-CLO transactions. The top 10 loans make up
51.7% of the pool, which is lower than both the 2024 and 2023
CRE-CLO averages of 70.5% and 62.5%, respectively. Fitch measures
loan concentration risk with an effective loan count, which
accounts for both the number and size of loans in the pool. The
pool's effective loan count is 23.0. Fitch views diversity as a key
mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss for
pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Multifamily Concentration: The pool 100% comprises multifamily
properties, compared with the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of
78.4% and 82.6%, respectively. The quality of the pool is
comparable to that of Fitch-rated Freddie Mac transactions.
Therefore, Fitch modelled the pool as such, removing the property
type concentration adjustment similar to Freddie Mac and
Fitch-rated MF1 CRE-CLO transactions.
No Amortization: The pool is 100% comprised of interest-only loans.
This is worse than both the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 56.8%
and 35.3%, respectively, based on fully extended loan terms. As a
result, the pool is expected to have zero principal paydown by the
maturity of the loans. By comparison, the average scheduled
paydowns for Fitch-rated U.S. CRE-CLO transactions in 2024 and 2023
were 0.6% and 1.7%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'/lower than
'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria." Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Rating Recovery
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BAIN CAPITAL 2021-3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Debt
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
and E-R replacement debt from Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3
Ltd./Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 LLC, a CLO originally issued in
June 2021 that is managed by Bain Capital Credit U.S. CLO Manager
LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original
class A, B, C, and E debt following payment in full on the Jan. 7,
2025, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its rating on the class D
debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 7, 2026.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $307.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.06%
-- Class B-R, $72.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.90%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $17.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.25%
-- Subordinated notes, $48.20 million: Not applicable
Original debt
-- Class A, $307.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.42%(i)
-- Class B, $72.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.91%(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.26%(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.36%(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 6.76%(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $48.20 million: Not applicable
(i)Includes a credit spread adjustment of 0.26%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 Ltd./
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 LLC
Class A-R, $307.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $72.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $17.50 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 Ltd./
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 Ltd./
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 LLC
Class D (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Other Debt
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 Ltd./
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2021-3 LLC
Subordinated notes, $48.20 million: Not rated
NR--Not rated.
BALLYROCK CLO 15: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, and D-2-R replacement debt, and the
proposed new class E-R debt from Ballyrock CLO 15 Ltd./Ballyrock
CLO 15 LLC, a CLO originally issued in 2021 that is managed by
Fidelity Management and Research Co. LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 7,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 15.2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- Class D will be split into D-1-R and D-2-R and there will be a
new class E-R.
-- All classes of notes are expected to be issued at a floating
spread.
-- The stated maturity, non-call date, and reinvestment periods
will be extended by 3.75 years.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Ballyrock CLO 15 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 15 LLC
Class A-1-R, $252.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Ballyrock CLO 15 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 15 LLC
Subordinated notes, $41.25 million: Not rated
BBCMS 2019-BWAY: Fitch Keeps 'B-sf' Rating on Watch Negative
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has maintained Rating Watch Negative on classes A and
X-NCP of BBCMS 2019-BWAY Mortgage Trust (BBCMS 2019-BWAY)
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BBCMS 2019-BWAY
A 05492NAA1 LT B-sf Rating Watch Maintained B-sf
X-NCP 05492NAQ6 LT B-sf Rating Watch Maintained B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
RWN Maintained; New Special Servicer: The continuation of Rating
Watch Negative on class A and X-NCP reflects the limited change
regarding the workout status of the specially serviced 1407
Broadway loan since Fitch's prior rating action on July 12, 2024.
The special servicer changed from Mount Street US LLP to Torchlight
Loan Services LLP in August 2024. Torchlight indicated that
discussions with the borrower regarding workout alternatives remain
ongoing. The loan initially transferred to special servicing in
August 2023 ahead of its second extended maturity date in November
2023.
Fitch expects to resolve the Rating Watch status within six months
as further updates on the progress of the loan workout become
available, allowing time for the new special servicer to continue
negotiations. As indicated at Fitch's prior rating action, there is
a likelihood of downgrades to the classes A and X-NCP if the
borrower and special servicer fail to reach a commercially viable
modification agreement for the loan. Downgrades to the remaining
distressed-rated classes are also possible if recovery prospects
deteriorate due to a decline in value and/or significant increase
in interest shortfalls.
Performance Deterioration; Delinquent Loan; Value Decline: The
property has had a significant decline in both the updated
appraised value received in June 2024 and Fitch's value of the
asset, leading to substantially lower recovery expectations at
Fitch's July 2024 rating action. The current ratings also factor in
the loan's delinquent status and the interest shortfalls affecting
all classes since the June 2024 remittance.
The decline in Fitch's value of the asset is driven by continued
property performance deterioration and weaker market fundamentals
beyond Fitch's view of sustainable performance. The value of the
asset also incorporates an alternative approach using a discounted
cash flow analysis to consider the adverse impact of the illiquid
office lending market and the short remaining term on the ground
lease.
The ratings of class A and interest-only class X-NCP consider the
possibility of a loan modification that could include terms
resulting in a full recovery to these classes as the sponsor and
special servicer continue to negotiate workout options.
Significant Decline in Appraised Value: Fitch reviewed the
appraisal performed by CBRE, which Fitch received a finalized copy
in early June. The appraiser concluded a May 2024 as-is value of
$136 million. This represents a 73% decline from the $510 million
issuance appraised value. The appraisal also contemplated an
as-stabilized value of $177 million in May 2029 with no ground
lease extension, a hypothetical as-is value of $197 million with a
ground lease extension and a hypothetical as-stabilized value of
$286 million with a ground lease extension.
Short-Term Leasehold Interest: The property is subject to a 76-year
ground lease through December 2030, with one 18-year renewal option
remaining, which would extend the ground lease through December
2048. The current ground lease payments are a fixed $414,000 per
annum, which are set to increase to a fixed $450,000 per annum on
January 2031 through December 2048.
Specially Serviced Loan: The loan transferred to the special
servicer in August 2023 ahead of its second extended maturity date
in November 2023. The special servicer was subsequently transferred
from KeyBank to Mount Street in November 2023. Fitch received a
notice in June 2024 that the special servicer was being transferred
by the new controlling class holder from Mount Street to
Torchlight.
As of the December 2024 payment date, the loan was reported as a
non-performing matured balloon and was over 90 days past due, with
the last paid through date as of March 2024. An appraisal reduction
of $226.4 million has been applied to the loan balance as of the
June 2024 remittance reporting, which has limited master servicer
advancing on the loan. Interest shortfalls are currently affecting
all classes per the remittance; full shortfalls are impacting
classes B and below while classes A and X-NCP receive partial
interest.
Recovery of interest shortfalls are possible as the property
continues to generate sufficient cash flow to pay debt service;
however, recovery is reliant on the special servicer's application
of cash flow to refund advances and interest shortfalls, and is
also likely to depend on the terms of a potential modification.
Cash Flow Declines: The servicer reported YE 2023 NCF was $19.5
million, compared with $22 million at YE 2022, $22.7 million at YE
2021, $28.7 million at YE 2020 and $36.5 million issuer
underwritten NCF. Property operating expenses have increased as a
percentage of income as rental revenue has declined due to higher
vacancy.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to classes A and X-NCP to 'CCCsf' or lower, including
'Dsf', are expected if workout negotiations stall, or if a
modification that would result in a greater certainty of recovery
to these classes does not occur or the property is transitioned to
the lender.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not considered likely due to the loan's ongoing
delinquent status and market conditions that could affect the
property's cash flow and recovery value, but may be possible with
an extension of the ground lease coupled with a sustained
improvement in collateral performance and greater certainty on the
ultimate resolution of the loan.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BBCMS TRUST 2015-SRCH: Fitch Alters Outlook on BB+ Rating to Neg
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed eight classes of BBCMS Trust 2015-SRCH
Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. The
Rating Outlooks for classes B, C, D, E and X-B have been revised to
Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
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BBCMS 2015-SRCH
A-1 05547HAA9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 05547HAC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 05547HAJ0 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 05547HAL5 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 05547HAN1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 05547HAQ4 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
X-A 05547HAE1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 05547HAG6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Performance; Single Tenant Lease Exposure: The affirmations
reflect stable overall property-level performance that remains in
line with issuance expectations and continued loan amortization.
The Negative Outlooks on classes B, C, D, E and X-B reflect the
potential for downgrades if Google fails to renew its lease (tenant
is required to provide notice to renew by August 2025). The three
collateral buildings are 100% leased by Google through August 2027
(co-terminus with the loan maturity). While there is a cash flow
sweep in the event Google does not provide notice to renew, Fitch
views the anticipated reserved amount ($25 psf or approximately
$25MM) to be insufficient to stabilize the property should Google
elect to vacate.
The updated Fitch net cash flow (NCF) of $38.5 million is down 5%
from the prior rating action and 5.7% from the Fitch issuance NCF
of $40.9 million, due primarily to a higher submarket vacancy
assumption. The most recent servicer-reported NCF debt service
coverage ratio as of YE 2023 was 1.71x. Fitch's analysis maintained
the issuance capitalization rate of 8.0%.
In addition, submarket fundamentals for office properties continue
to be challenged. According to Costar as of 3Q24, the office
submarket vacancy, availability rate and average asking rent were
reported to be 16.3%, 13.8% and $63.62 psf, respectively, compared
with 15%, 14.2% and $61.15 psf at the last rating action. CoStar
forecasts the vacancy rate to be 18.8% in 3Q27 when the Google
lease expires.
Recent media reports indicate that Google is looking to reduce its
footprint in the San Francisco Bay Area region after making
approximately 1.5 million square feet of space available for
sublease. To address concerns with the upcoming rollover and weak
submarket conditions, Fitch's analysis included an additional
sensitivity scenario, which factored a higher vacancy assumption of
20% and a cap rate of 8.25%; this sensitivity scenario contributed
to the Negative Outlooks.
Amortization: The loan is interest-only for the first four years
and eight months and then amortizes on a 30-year schedule,
resulting in seven years of amortization. The loan began to
amortize in August 2020, resulting in 6% paydown since issuance. By
loan maturity in August 2027, the trust balloon balance is
estimated to be $372.1 million ($395/sf), resulting in an
approximate 13.5% reduction to the initial loan amount.
Superior Collateral Quality in Strong Location: The loan is secured
by the fee simple interest in three recently constructed,
single-tenant office buildings, totaling 943,056 sf, leased to
Google, Inc. in Sunnyvale, CA. The three buildings hold a LEED-Gold
designation and are among the most technologically advanced in the
area, which has a positive impact on the ESG score for Waste &
Hazardous Materials Management; Ecological Impacts. The complex
also includes a 52,500-sf amenities building (non-collateral) for
the sole use of tenants, which includes fitness and weight
equipment, studios for classes, full locker rooms and an outdoor
pool.
Fitch Leverage: The $396.6 million mortgage loan ($421 psf) has a
Fitch debt service coverage ratio and loan-to-value of 1.0x and
89.6%, respectively, compared with 1.19x and 75% at the last rating
action and 1.16x and 76.5% at issuance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to classes A-1, A-2 and interest-only class X-A are not
expected given continued amortization, but may be possible if
Google fails to renew. Downgrades to classes B, C, D, E and X-B are
possible should property NCF and occupancy and/or market conditions
deteriorate beyond Fitch's reassessed view of sustainable
performance, which could occur if Google does not provide notice to
renew.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not considered likely given the upcoming maturity,
single-event risk and the current ratings reflect Fitch's view of
sustainable performance.
The Negative Outlooks could be revised to Stable if Google renews,
submarket conditions stabilize and there is greater certainty on
the borrower's ability to refinance the loan.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
BBCMS 2015-SRCH has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Waste &
Hazardous Materials Management; Ecological Impacts due to the
sustainable building practices including Green building certificate
credentials, which has a positive impact on the credit profile, and
is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BEAR STEARNS 2007-PWR18: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2007-PWR18 issued by Bear Stearns
Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2007-PWR18 as follows:
-- Class B at C (sf)
-- Class C at C (sf)
-- Class D at C (sf)
All classes have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends
in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit ratings continue to reflect Morningstar DBRS' loss
projection upon the resolution of the sole remaining loan in the
transaction, which is expected to erode the majority of the
outstanding balance of Class B and the full outstanding balance of
Class C, Class D, and the unrated Class E. Cumulative outstanding
interest shortfalls totaling $28.4 million as of December 2024
reporting have also negatively affected the transaction. The
interest shortfalls have risen to Class B, and in its analysis,
Morningstar DBRS concluded that the outstanding shortfalls will
also be realized as a loss to bondholders upon loan resolution.
The remaining loan, Marriott Houston Westchase (Prospectus ID#6),
is secured by a 604-key, full-service hotel in Houston. The loan
has been delinquent since September 2020 with servicer advances
totaling $3.7 million as of December 2024 reporting. According to
servicer commentary, there is no updated workout proposal between
the lender and the borrower. An April 2024 site inspection found
the property to be in good condition; however, deferred maintenance
was noted following a fire at the property in February 2024, which
affected 271 keys. Servicer commentary noted the repairs had been
completed and the insurance claim process was ongoing. Property
operating performance continues to struggle as the servicer
reporting for the trailing 12 months ended May 31, 2024 indicates a
57.4% occupancy rate and $118.26 average daily rate.
The property was most recently appraised with a value of $37.5
million, dated January 2024, unchanged from the March 2023
appraised value. The value represents a decline of more than 70.0%
from the issuance property value of $135.0 million. As of the
December 2024 remittance, the loan had an outstanding principal
balance of $69.9 million, with a total exposure of $75.0 million.
Morningstar DBRS continues to project significant losses associated
with the disposition of this asset, with an expected loss severity
in excess of 85.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BWAY 2021-1450: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass Through Certificates issued by BWAY
2021-1450 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A at AA (sf)
-- Class B at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D at B (high) (sf)
-- Class E at B (low) (sf)
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
Class F has a credit rating that generally does not carry a trend
in commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings. All
other classes have a Stable trend.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends are reflective of
performance that remains in line with Morningstar DBRS'
expectations following the previous credit rating actions in April
2024. Occupancy at the subject remains depressed from issuance;
however, the borrower has had success in renewing and securing new
leases at the subject over the last eight months. Morningstar DBRS
notes its ongoing concern regarding the property's exposure to
WeWork as the second largest tenant. In addition, the loan has an
upcoming final maturity in September 2026 where significant gap
financing needs could affect the borrower's ability to secure
takeout financing.
The $215.0 million transaction is secured by the fee simple
interest in 1450 Broadway, a Class A office tower located at the
southeast corner of 41st Street and Broadway in Manhattan's Times
Square South submarket. The collateral primarily consists of office
space, with a small ground-floor retail component. The
floating-rate loan had an initial loan term of two years, with
three one-year extension options available for a fully extended
maturity date of September 2026. There are no performance triggers
associated with the extension terms; however, the borrower must
purchase a rate cap at a price that will ensure a minimum DSCR of
1.20 times. The borrower has exercised its second of three
extensions with a current maturity date in September 2025. The
sponsor, ZG Capital Partners (the Zar Group), is a New York-based
real estate investment firm with extensive ownership and operating
experience.
According to the July 2024 rent roll, the subject was 70.5%
occupied down from the March 2023 occupancy of 85.9%. The largest
collateral tenants include Shazdeh Fashion Inc (10.4% of the net
rentable area (NRA), lease expiry in January 2029), WeWork (9.8% of
the NRA, lease expiry in April 2029), and FGX International (5.8%
of the NRA, lease expiry in May 2027). The decline in occupancy is
attributable to the downsizing of the former largest tenant WeWork
from 14.2% of NRA to its current footprint; downsizing of Iconix
International Inc from 8.1% of NRA to 2.3% of NRA; and departure of
the former tenant, Tarrant Apparel Group, which previously occupied
7.9% of the NRA. Offsetting some of these concerns are signs of
continued leasing activity at the subject. According to the July
2024 rent roll, new leases representing 6.3% of the NRA have been
signed and commenced between August and December 2024, indicating
in-place occupancy of approximately 76.8%. There is minimal
scheduled rollover over the next 12 months. The leasing agent is
marketing approximately 8.5% of the NRA as available on the
property's website. As of the Q3 2024 Reis report, the Midtown West
submarket reported a vacancy rate of 12.9% with an effective rent
of $54.61 per square foot (psf), compared with the Q3 2023 vacancy
rate of 13.0% with an effective rent of $55.85 psf. The subject
currently achieves an average rental rate of $62.38 psf.
Morningstar DBRS' concerns with regards to WeWork center on the
firm's bankruptcy filing in November 2023 and the expectation at
that time that terms of nonrejected leases were likely to be
amended over the near to medium term. Although unconfirmed by the
servicer, it appears that WeWork has negotiated a reduction in its
lease term to 2029 from 2035, as well as a reduction to its rental
rate to $37.00 psf from its issuance rate of $56.50 psf. At
issuance, WeWork's lease included a corporate guarantee from the
parent company, WeWork Companies Inc., totaling $6.1 million ($97
psf), which would reduce annually to a minimum of $3.6 million ($53
psf). Although WeWork has since exited bankruptcy, Morningstar DBRS
notes that the current value of this guaranty is likely negligible.
According to the December 2024 reserve report, there is $7.7
million in leasing reserves and $2.0 million in tenant reserves on
hand.
The subject reported a net cash flow (NCF) of was $12.2 million for
the trailing twelve-month period ended June 30, 2024, according to
servicer reporting, down from the year-end 2023 NCF of $14.3
million. The June 2024 figure may not include year-end expense
reimbursements paid by tenants; however, Morningstar DBRS expects
WeWorks' rent reduction will have an impact on rental revenue. This
will be partially offset by new leasing activity, which at the time
of this writing appears to be positive.
Morningstar DBRS' previous credit rating action, dated April 2024,
included an update to the valuation of the asset. For more
information regarding the approach and analysis conducted, please
refer to the press release titled "Morningstar DBRS Takes Rating
Actions on North American Single-Asset/Single-Borrower Transactions
Backed by Office Properties," published on April 15, 2024. For
purposes of this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS maintained
the valuation approach from the April 2024 review, which was based
on a capitalization rate of 8.0% applied to the Morningstar DBRS
NCF of $12.4 million. Morningstar DBRS also maintained positive
qualitative adjustments to the Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV) Sizing
benchmarks totaling 2.0% to reflect the subject property's
favorable location near Bryant Park consistent with other
comparable properties within the area. The Morningstar DBRS
concluded value of $154.9 million represents a -55.1% variance from
the issuance appraised value of $345 million and implies an all-in
LTV of 138.8%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-GPA3: DBRS Assigns BB(high) Rating on HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2024-GPA3 (the Certificates) issued by BX Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2024-GPA3 (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for BX 2024-GPA3 (the Trust) includes the borrower's
fee-simple interest in 32 student housing properties (or with
respect to 2 properties subject to a PILOT lease, the Borrower's
leasehold interest and is expected to include, the applicable
lessor's fee interest in such properties) totaling 18,502 beds. The
largest state representations in the portfolio are Texas, Kentucky,
and Virginia. Transaction proceeds of $1.0 billion will be used to
refinance $809.8 million of debt across the portfolio and debt for
noncollateral, return $115.3 million to the sponsor, and cover
remaining closing costs. While this transaction includes a $115.3
million equity distribution to the sponsor, the BX 2024-GPA2
transaction that was recently securitized and used to refinance the
combined larger BX 2022-GPA portfolio included an $83.6 million
equity injection from the sponsor. The five-year, fully extended
loan is IO for the full term.
Blackstone acquired American Campus Communities (ACC), the largest
student housing owner, operator, and developer in the country, in
August 2022. The various debt transactions used to take ACC private
included BX 2022-GPA, which this transaction will be partially
refinancing. This transaction will include only 32 of the original
51 properties financed as part of the BX 2022-GPA deal. Comparing
the same 32 assets, the portfolio has observed an NOI increase of
35.2% compared with the prior securitization in 2022. There has
been continued implementation of revenue generators at the property
since the acquisition in 2022, including utility income, upfront
leasing fees, parking, and landlord liability insurance, resulting
in a total Other Income increase of 72.7% from 2021 to the budgeted
figures for the upcoming 2024/2025 school year. Additionally,
Blackstone and ACC have driven significant rent growth with an
average rent per occupied bed (RPOB) increase from $664 in the
2022/2023 school year to a current RPOD of $755 as of October 2024.
They have managed to compress operating expenses over the same
period, down from 53.4% in 2021 to 47.9% as of the T-12 reporting
period ended May 31, 2024. Occupancy has trailed slightly behind
the previous school year. The portfolio is 93.5% occupied as of
October 2024 compared with the actual occupancy of 95.8% for the
2023/2024 school year. While the occupancy has shown some decline,
there is a 9.9% increase in gross potential income (GPI)
year-over-year (YOY) driven by the increased RPOB.
The subject portfolio consists of 32 assets spread across 19
universities in 11 states and has a WA year built of 2005 and an
average distance to campus of 0.23 miles. Roughly 38.2% of the
assets were built after 2010 and feature modern amenities,
including fitness centers, study rooms, club rooms, and pools. Unit
interiors feature beds, dressers, kitchen tables, couches, coffee
tables, and standard appliance packages. Since 2012, the portfolio
has received $161.2 million in capital improvements. All
universities, except one (Minnesota State University, Mankato), are
represented by either Power 5, Carnegie R1, or Carnegie R2.
Approximately 65.4% of the Issuer's UW NCF is derived from
universities in Power 5 conferences, including Texas Tech
University, Texas A&M University, University of Louisville,
University of Kentucky, University of Florida, Florida State
University, Iowa State University, University of Illinois
Urbana-Champaign, and University of Minnesota. The portfolio has
demonstrated consistently strong rent growth and occupancy metrics,
as the portfolio has never been below a WA occupancy of 93.6%
dating back to 2012.
The universities at which these properties serve have strong
enrollment trends and brand recognition. As of the 2023/2024
academic year, the universities represented in the portfolio had an
average enrollment of more than 35,000 students and have seen a
8.1% growth in enrollment since 2013. The Power 5 and Carnegie R1
universities have seen a higher growth rate in enrollment
historically when compared with the national average.
Additionally, new supply in the student housing sector has begun
slow post-coronavirus. New supply each year, represented as a
percentage of total university enrollment, was 1.7% between 2013
and 2019. Between 2021 and forward 2026 estimates, the new supply
is estimated to be 0.5% of university enrollment. The lack of new
supply provides the sponsor a strong opportunity to see continued
rent growth and low vacancy throughout the loan term.
The portfolio is owned and primarily managed by affiliates of ACC
(20 of the 32 properties managed by ACC OP Management LLC; with the
remaining 12 properties managed by Abacus Management B LLC), the
largest student housing developer and operator in the country, who
was acquired by Blackstone in August 2022. ACC was founded in 1993
and currently has more than 3,000 team members and a portfolio of
assets spread across 93 campuses. The company was awarded the 2023
National Association of Home Builders Property Management Firm of
the Year and was featured in Newsweek's 2022, 2023, and 2024 lists
of America's most trusted companies. Since the acquisition,
Blackstone has kept ACC involved in the property management because
of its strong historical performance and expertise.
Morningstar DBRS has a favorable view on the portfolio, driven by
strong historical performance, consistent NOI growth, university
representation, and institutional sponsorship and management. The
portfolio has a WA occupancy of 96.1% dating back to 2019
(excluding Fall 2020). Between the acquisition in August 2022 and
the latest rent roll as of October 2024, the portfolio has observed
NOI growth of 35.2% driven by increased rental rates and ancillary
income initiatives. In addition to the strong growth and
performance metrics, the properties are ideally located on
well-established university campuses.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BX TRUST 2021-LBA: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on 2 Tranches
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on the following classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2021-LBA
issued by BX Trust 2021-LBA:
-- Class A-V at AAA (sf)
-- Class B-V at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C-V at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D-V at A (sf)
-- Class E-V at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F-V at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G-V at B (low) (sf)
-- Class X-V-NCP at A (high) (sf)
-- Class A-JV at AAA (sf)
-- Class B-JV at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C-JV at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D-JV at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-JV at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F-JV at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G-JV at B (low) (sf)
-- Class X-JV-NCP at A (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, which remains in line with
Morningstar DBRS' expectations as evidenced by the most recent net
cash flow (NCF) and the stable occupancy rate. The transaction
consists of two separate, uncrossed portfolios of assets, Pool 1
(Fund V; 16 assets) and Pool 2 (Fund JV; 35 assets), each of which
supports the payments on its respective series of certificates.
Generally, each of the portfolios consists of functional bulk
warehouse product that exhibits strong functionality metrics and
favorable locations with in major industrial markets.
Since Morningstar DBRS' last review, there have been no changes to
the underlying collateral. To date, one property has been released
from Fund V, representing an 8.6% collateral reduction since
issuance. Both mortgage loans have a partial pro
rata/sequential-pay structure, which allows for pro rata paydowns
for the first 30.0% of the unpaid principal balance at a release
premium of 105.0% of the allocated loan amount, which increases to
110.0% for the remaining 70.0% of the principal balance.
Both loans, which are floating-rate loans, are currently on the
servicer's watchlist for their upcoming maturity in February 2025;
however, the loans each have three, one-year extension options
remaining. Servicer commentary indicates that the borrower has
requested use of the third extension option and Morningstar DBRS
believes the loans are generally well-positioned to exercise the
option.
Morningstar DBRS remains concerned with the elevated rollover risk
throughout the fully extended loan term for both portfolios. At
issuance, leases representing approximately 72.5% and 87.1% of
Morningstar DBRS' base rent were scheduled to roll through the
fully extended loan term across the Fund V and Fund JV portfolios,
respectively. However, this risk is mitigated by the success of
e-commerce as consumer demand for faster and ultimately same-day
shipping times becomes commonplace. These property types have
generally performed well given the continued dominance of
e-commerce and demand for industrial space. The pool is located
across several well-performing West Coast markets, with a
geographic concentration in Southern California.
Fund V consists of 16 industrial properties, totaling approximately
2.6 million square feet (sf) in four states (Arizona, California,
Oregon, and Washington), and reported an occupancy rate of 96.0%
with an annualized NCF of $24.7 million (a debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR) of 1.11 times (x)) per the Q2 2024 financials compared
with the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $19.8 million at issuance for the
16 remaining properties. Fund JV consists of 35 industrial
properties, totaling approximately 6.6 million sf in six states
(Washington, Nevada, California, Utah, Texas, and Colorado), and
reported an occupancy rate of 97.5% with an NCF of $47.3 million (a
DSCR of 1.16x) per the T-12 period ended June 30, 2024, financials
compared with the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $34.1 million.
In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS maintained its
NCF assumptions for the portfolios. For Fund V, Morningstar DBRS
maintained the NCF assumption of $19.8 million and applied a
capitalization rate of 6.75%, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS value
of $293.7 million, a variance of 40.9% from the issuance appraised
value of $496.8 million and a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 104.7%.
For Fund JV, Morningstar DBRS maintained the NCF assumption of
$34.1 million and a applied a capitalization rate of 7.0%,
resulting in a Morningstar DBRS value of $487.3 million, a variance
of 45.9% from the issuance appraised value of $900.0 million and an
LTV of 113.9%. Morningstar DBRS maintained the positive qualitative
adjustments for Fund V and Fund JV totaling 8.5% and 8.0%,
respectively, to reflect the low cash flow volatility, good
property quality, and strong market fundamentals.
Morningstar DBRS penalizes transactions with this partial pro
rata/sequential-pay structure as it is credit negative,
particularly at the top of the capital stack. Under a partial pro
rata paydown structure, deleveraging of the senior notes through
the release of individual properties occurs at a slower pace
compared with a sequential-pay structure. The borrower can also
release individual properties across both portfolios with customary
requirements.
The sponsors under the mortgage loans are joint-venture
partnerships between Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust, Inc.
(BREIT) and LBA Logistics. BREIT is an affiliate of The Blackstone
Group, Inc. (Blackstone), whose real estate group was founded in
1991 and has a global real estate portfolio valued at $602 billion.
Blackstone is also one of the world's largest industrial landlords.
LBA Logistics is the industrial arm of LBA Realty LLC, a real
estate investment and management company with a diverse portfolio
of industrial properties across the United States.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CARLYLE US 2021-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Carlyle
US CLO 2021-6, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carlyle US CLO
2021-6, Ltd.
X-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-L LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Carlyle US CLO 2021-6, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Carlyle CLO
Management L.L.C. that originally closed in August 2021. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $499 million
(excluding defaults) of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.3, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.33% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 72.3% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 70.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A-1-R and class A-L, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class
A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf' and
'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-1-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X, class A-L,
class A-1-R and class A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest
rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle US CLO
2021-6, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CEDAR FUNDING IV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R3 Debt
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
X-R3, A-R3, AL-R3, B-R3, C-R3, D-R3, and E-R3 replacement debt from
Cedar Funding IV CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding IV CLO LLC, a CLO managed
by Aegon USA Investment Management LLC, a subsidiary of Aegon Asset
Management. S&P Global Ratings had rated the original transaction
that was issued in 2014 and the first refinancing in 2017; however,
the second refinanced transaction was not rated by S&P Global
Ratings.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 7,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 9, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the previously refinanced
debt. At that time, S&P expects to assign ratings to the
replacement debt. However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, it may
withdraw its preliminary ratings on the replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture the transaction
will be collateralized by at least 90.0% senior secured loans,
cash, and eligible investments, with a minimum of 90.0% of the loan
borrowers required to be based in the U.S., Canada, and United
Kingdom.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Cedar Funding IV CLO Ltd./Cedar Funding IV CLO LLC
Class X-R3, $5.70 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R3, $299.80 million: AAA (sf)
Class AL-R3, $65.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R3, $68.40 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R3 (deferrable), $34.20 million: A (sf)
Class D-R3 (deferrable), $34.20 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R3 (deferrable), $21.95 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $77.00 million: Not rated
CHASE HOME 2024-11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-11 (the Certificates) issued
by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-11 (CHASE 2024-11) as
follows:
-- $309.1 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $309.1 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $309.1 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $231.8 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $231.8 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $231.8 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $185.4 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $185.4 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $185.4 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $123.6 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $123.6 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $123.6 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $46.4 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.4 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $46.4 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $77.3 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $428.8 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $10.7 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $5.9 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $5.9 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $5.9 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.3 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.0 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $1.1 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-11-X,
A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1, B-1-X, and B-2-X
are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class balances represent
notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X, B-1, and B-2 are
exchangeable certificates. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of depositable certificates as specified in the
offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect
to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.65% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.30%, 2.00%, 1.05%, 0.60%, and
0.35% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien,
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-11 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 395 loans with a
total principal balance of $478,418,856 as of the Cut-Off Date
(December 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity from 15 to 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of three months. 100% of the loans
are traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans.
Approximately 70.4% of the loans were underwritten using an
automated underwriting system (AUS) designated by Fannie Mae or
Freddie Mac. In addition, all the loans in the pool were originated
in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule.
JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB) is the Originator of 100% of the
pool and Servicer of 100.0% of the pool.
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS, will act as Securities
Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust National Association will act as
Delaware Trustee. JPMCB will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will serve as the Representations and
Warranties (R&W) Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHESTNUT NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Class A
Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
(together, the Secured Notes) issued by Chestnut Notes Issuer LLC
pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July 28, 2023 (the
Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental Indenture dated as
of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental Indenture dated as of
December 20, 2024, entered into between Chestnut Notes Issuer LLC,
as the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as
Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Chestnut Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.65%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.71%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.75%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 195.08%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 156.17%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.35%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 47.18%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 53.08%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 60.94%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 62.90 %; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.25%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
CIFC FUNDING 2016-I: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E-RRR Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-RRR, B-RRR,
C-RRR, D-1-RRR, D-2-RRR, and E-RRR replacement debt from CIFC
Funding 2016-I Ltd./CIFC Funding 2016-I LLC, a CLO managed by CIFC
Asset Management LLC that was originally issued in 2016 and
underwent a second refinancing in Dec. 3, 2021. At the same time,
S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A-RR, B-RR, C-RR, D-1-RR,
D-2-RR, and E-RR debt following payment in full on the Jan. 3,
2025, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its rating on the class
F-R debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture, the non-call period was extended to July 3,
2025 for the replacement debt.
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
lower ratings on replacement class E-RRR debt and the
non-refinanced class F-R debt than today's rating actions on the
debt reflects. However, we assigned our 'BB- (sf)' rating on the
class E-RRR debt and affirmed our 'B- (sf)' rating on the class F-R
debt after considering the margin of failure, the relatively stable
overcollateralization ratio since our last rating action on the
transaction, and that the transaction has enter its amortization
phase. Based on the latter, we expect the credit support available
to all rated classes to increase as principal is collected and the
senior debt is paid down. In addition, we believe the payment of
principal or interest on the class F-R debt when due does not
depend on favorable business, financial, or economic conditions.
Therefore, this class does not fit our definition of 'CCC' risk in
accordance with our guidance criteria."
Replacement And December 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-RRR, $322.5 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.00%
-- Class B-RRR, $57.5 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.45%
-- Class C-RRR (deferrable), $30.0 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.70%
-- Class D-1-RRR (deferrable), $17.5 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.30%
-- Class D-2-RRR (deferrable), $12.5 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.00%
-- Class E-RRR (deferrable), $20.0 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.00%
December 2021 debt
-- Class A-RR, $322.5 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.08% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B-RR, $57.5 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C-RR (deferrable), $30.0 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.20% + CSA(i)
-- Class D-1-RR (deferrable), $17.5 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.90% + CSA(i)
-- Class D-2-RR (deferrable), $12.5 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.25% + CSA(i)
-- Class E-RR (deferrable), $20.0 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.50% + CSA(i)
-- Class F-R (deferrable), $4.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 10.15% + CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $49.25: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
CIFC Funding 2016-I Ltd./CIFC Funding 2016-I LLC
Class A-RRR, $322.5 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RRR, $57.5 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RRR (deferrable), $30.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-RRR (deferrable), $17.5 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2-RRR (deferrable), $12.5 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-RRR (deferrable), $20.0 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
CIFC Funding 2016-I Ltd./CIFC Funding 2016-I LLC
Class A-RR to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-RR to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-RR to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-1-RR to NR from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class D-2-RR to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-RR to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
CIFC Funding 2016-I Ltd./CIFC Funding 2016-I LLC
Class F-R: 'B- (sf)'
Other Debt
CIFC Funding 2016-I Ltd./CIFC Funding 2016-I LLC
Subordinated notes, $49.25 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
CIFC FUNDING 2021-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the CIFC
Funding 2021-V, Ltd. Reset Transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
CIFC Funding
2021-V, Ltd.
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CIFC Funding 2021-V, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by CIFC Asset
Management LLC that originally closed in July 2021. This is the
first full refinancing where the existing notes will be redeemed in
full on Jan. 8, 2024. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.65, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.09% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.72%, versus
a minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
constitute up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to those of
other CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
created by adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect
permissible concentration limits and collateral quality test
levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls,
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and analysis of matrices is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CIFC Funding
2021-V, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2014-GC25: DBRS Cuts 2 Classes' Rating to CCC
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded all classes of Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-GC25 issued by Citigroup
Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class X-B to BBB (sf) from AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B to BBB (low) (sf) from AA (sf)
-- Class C to CCC (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEZ to CCC (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class X-D to C (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D to C (sf) from BB (high) (sf)
-- Class X-E to C (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes B and X-B to
Negative from Stable. The remaining classes have credit ratings
that do not typically carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed
securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends reflect the
increased loss expectations for the six remaining loans in the
pool, primarily driven by the Bank of America Plaza loan
(Prospectus ID#1, 56.1% of the current pool balance), which
received an updated appraisal following the loan's transfer to
special servicing in July 2024 for maturity default. The loan is
discussed in more detail below. At the last credit rating action in
May 2024, Morningstar DBRS downgraded its credit ratings on six
classes and changed trends on four classes to Negative from Stable,
reflecting concerns with select loans that were exhibiting value
deficiency and were facing elevated refinance risk. Since the
previous credit rating action, 50 loans, previously representing
71.4% of the pool, were repaid in full, leaving just six loans
remaining as of the December 2024 remittance. Morningstar DBRS
considered liquidation scenarios for all remaining loans to
determine recoverability for the remaining classes, the results of
which suggest that losses could be incurred from Classes D to F,
supporting the credit rating downgrades and Negative trends with
this review.
The largest loan in the pool, Bank of America Plaza, secured by a
1.4 million-square-foot Class A office complex in the central
business district of Los Angeles, transferred to special servicing
in July 2024 for imminent maturity default and was reappraised at a
value of $188.9 million, representing a current loan-to-value ratio
of 211.7% and a 68.8% decline from its issuance value of $605.0
million. The loan most recently reported an annualized net cash
flow (NCF) of $34.1 million and a debt service coverage ratio of
2.07 times during the trailing six-month period ended June 30,
2024, with an occupancy rate of 78.9%. Morningstar DBRS expects
occupancy to decline to approximately 66.8% as the property's
third-largest tenant, Sheppard Mullin Richter, has indicated it
will vacate upon lease expiry in December 2024. Following the
tenant's departure and in absence of any additional leasing
activity, NCF could decline to $29.6 million, implying a 15.7%
capitalization rate on the most recent appraised value. The Bank of
America Plaza loan is pari passu with two additional loans in deals
rated by Morningstar DBRS: WFRBS 2014-C23 and GSMS 2014-GC26.
With this review, given the precipitous value decline to the Bank
of America Plaza as well as the pool's increased level of adverse
selection with all six loans in special servicing, Morningstar DBRS
based its analysis on the recoverability of the remaining assets.
The liquidation scenario considered for the Bank of America Plaza
resulted in implied losses exceeding $76.0 million (loss severity
approaching 70.0%), which would erode into Class D. While the
implied proceeds from the recoverability analysis suggest that
Class B would remain insulated from loss, credit risk has increased
significantly because of the expected credit erosion in the event
that the loan is liquidated, supporting the credit rating
downgrades and Negative trends.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CLOVER CLO 2021-3: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $22.5MM E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Clover CLO 2021-3, LLC
(the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$315,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2035 (the "Class A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$65,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2035
(the "Class B-R Notes"), Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$25,000,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2035 (the "Class C-R Notes"), Assigned A2 (sf)
US$32,500,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2035 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$22,500,000 Class E-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2035 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Clover Credit Management, LLC (the "Manager") will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a variety of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing. These include: extension of the non-call period;
benchmark definition change and updates to alternative benchmark
replacement provisions.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 76
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2804
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.20%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.07%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.6 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
COMM 2014-CCRE18: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed all credit ratings on the classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE18
issued by COMM 2014-CCRE18 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at B (low) (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class X-B at BBB (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes X-B, D, and E to
Stable from Negative. Class F has a credit rating that typically
does not carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities
(CMBS) credit ratings.
Since the previous credit rating action in March 2024, a total of
29 loans have been repaid in full, contributing to a principal
repayment of nearly $400.0 million, leaving the trust with a
current balance of $61.5 million as of the December 2024 reporting.
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS'
recoverability expectations for the two remaining loans, Southfield
Town Center (Prospectus ID#4, 87.5% of the pool) and Bristol
Village (Prospectus ID#33, 12.5% of the pool). Both loans are in
special servicing for default, after failing to repay upon their
scheduled maturities in May 2024; however, recent appraisals
indicate improved values since issuance.
Given the concentration of defaulted loans remaining, Morningstar
DBRS' analysis considered conservative liquidation scenarios for
both loans, based on stresses to the most recent appraised values
to determine the recoverability of the outstanding bonds.
Morningstar DBRS concluded that the senior certificates, including
Classes D and E, continue to be insulated from losses, while Class
F continues to be exposed to loss given the reduced credit support
of the nonrated Class G since issuance, which has a principal
balance of only $3.6 million. In addition, the Class F certificate
has been shorted interest since February 2024, exceeding
Morningstar DBRS' tolerance levels, and the timing for
recoverability is likely to be extended, further exposing the trust
to expenses and interest shortfalls, further supporting the credit
rating of C (sf).
With this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS also changed the
trends on Classes D and E to Stable from Negative. This is
reflective of the slight improvement in performance of both loans
since the last review. Both assets have received updated
appraisals, which indicate that, even in a stressed value scenario,
Classes D and E are likely to be recovered.
The larger of the two loans, Southfield Town Center, transferred to
special servicing in February 2024 for imminent maturity default.
The loan is secured by a 2.15 million-square-foot (sf),
five-building suburban office property in the Detroit suburb of
Southfield, Michigan. According to the servicer's commentary, the
borrower was unsuccessful in its attempts to secure takeout
financing prior to the May 2024 maturity date and has engaged a
workout advisor. The special servicer has submitted a forbearance
agreement to the lender for approval, and the lender has indicated
it will be dual tracking foreclosure while documenting the
agreement. As of the YE2023 reporting, the property reported a net
cash flow (NCF) of $18.4 million (debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 2.07 times (x)), which represents an increase over the
YE2022 and Morningstar DBRS figures of $17.8 million (DSCR of
2.00x) and $14.5 million (DSCR of 1.63x), respectively. Occupancy
remained relatively flat since issuance, with the property
reporting a YE2023 figure of 77.0%, which is in line with the
YE2022 figure of 79.0%, but an increase from the 67.0% occupancy at
issuance. The property was reappraised in May 2024 at $216.9
million, nearly a 20% improvement over the issuance appraised value
of $181.0 million.
The Bristol Village loan is secured by a 25,075-sf retail center in
Costa Mesa, California. The loan transferred to special servicing
ahead of its May 2024 maturity date. According to the servicer's
commentary, the borrower and special servicer are in negotiations
for a potential forbearance, and the borrower is likely to pay off
by the end of March 2025. Per the YE2023 reporting, the property
reported an NCF of $0.8 million (DSCR of 2.16x), which marks a
decrease from the YE2022 NCF of $0.9 million (DSCR of 2.33x).
Occupancy fell year over year as well, with the property reporting
a YE2023 figure of 89.0%, a slight decrease from the YE2022
occupancy of 93.0%. The property was reappraised in June 2024 at
$14.1 million, nearly a 10% improvement over the issuance appraised
value of $12.9 million.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2014-CCRE20: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on 2 Tranches
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on three classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE20
issued by COMM 2014-CCRE20 Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class X-B to BBB (low) (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class PEZ to BB (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class C to BB (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also confirmed its credit ratings on the following
classes:
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class X-C at CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes X-B,
PEZ, and C to Stable from Negative. Classes D and X-C have credit
ratings that do not typically carry a trend in commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS' current
outlook and loss expectations for the transaction, which remain
relatively unchanged from the prior credit rating action in January
2024. As the pool continues to wind down, Morningstar DBRS looked
to a recoverability analysis, the results of which suggest that
even in a conservative scenario, losses would be contained to the
Class D certificate. However, the transaction is more exposed to
adverse selection and an increased propensity for interest
shortfalls given only four loans remain in the pool, three of which
(representing 85.5% of the current pool balance) are in special
servicing.
As of the December 2024 remittance, cumulative unpaid interest
totaled $5.8 million, up from $4.2 million at the last credit
rating action. Interest payments on the Class D certificate have
been shorted by approximately $700,000 to-date and are accruing by
more than $130,000 per month. Morningstar DBRS' tolerance for
unpaid interest is limited to one-to-two periods at the AA (sf) and
A (sf) credit rating categories and six remittance periods at the
BB (sf) and B (sf) credit rating categories. Although the Class C
certificate continues to receive full interest due, the servicer
could elect to withhold those payments if the workout periods for
the specially serviced loans continue to extend, further supporting
the credit rating downgrade of the Class C certificate.
The largest specially serviced loan, Harwood Center (Prospectus
ID#4, 41.7% of the pool), is secured by an office building in
downtown Dallas. The loan transferred to special servicing in 2020
after the former largest tenant, Omnicom Group Inc., significantly
reduced its footprint by almost 50.0% at the property as part of a
lease extension to 2030. The loan became real estate owned in
November 2021. According to the servicer, the lender and property
manager are working toward leasing up the property while completing
a renovation plan. The property was most recently appraised in
March 2024 at a value of $64.8 million, below the April 2023 and
issuance appraised values of $69.8 million and $124.0 million,
respectively. According to Reis, office properties in the Dallas
central business district submarket reported a Q3 2024 vacancy rate
of 34.3%, compared with the Q3 2023 vacancy rate of 34.1%.
Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan in its analysis based on a
haircut to the most recent appraised value, resulting in a loss
severity greater than 40.0%.
The second largest specially serviced loan, Beverly Connection
(Prospectus ID#7, 34.5% of the pool) is secured by a 334,566-square
foot power center in Los Angeles. Anchor tenants include Target,
Nordstrom Rack, and Marshalls. The sponsor was unable to repay the
loan at its maturity date in August 2024, and as of the most recent
reporting, is delinquent having last paid in July of this year.
Although the property was 91.8% occupied as of YE2023, net cash
flow (NCF) was approximately 16.0% below the underwritten figure. A
reinstatement agreement was executed in September 2023; however,
during the process of returning the loan to the master servicer,
the borrower requested to initiate discussions with the lender for
a potential modification to extend the loan's maturity date.
Morningstar DBRS considered a conservative recoverability approach
for these loans, in addition to the other remaining loans in the
pool. Although the Class C certificate is well insulated from loss,
Morningstar DBRS remains concerned, however, with the timing of
disposition of the remaining assets, and the likelihood that unpaid
interest continues to accrue, as well as the potential for further
value decline.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ELEMENT NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Class A
Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
(together, the Secured Notes) issued by Element Notes Issuer LLC
pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July 28, 2023 (the
Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental Indenture dated as
of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental Indenture dated as of
December 20, 2024, entered into between Element Notes Issuer LLC,
as the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as
Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Element Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.53%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.55%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.75%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 195.08%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 156.17%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.35%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 55.41%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 62.34%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 71.58%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 73.88%; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.24%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
FIGRE TRUST 2024-HE6: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-HE6 (the Notes) issued
by FIGRE Trust 2024-HE6 (FIGRE 2024-HE6 or the Trust):
-- $240.0 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $21.6 million Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- $20.1 million Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- $12.1 million Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $12.1 million Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- $12.1 million Class F at B (low) (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A Notes reflects 25.55% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinate notes. The AA (low)
(sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 18.85%, 12.60%, 8.85%, 5.10%, and 1.35% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of recently originated first-
and junior-lien revolving home equity lines of credit (HELOCs)
funded by the issuance of the Notes. The Notes are backed by 4,384
loans (individual HELOC draws), which correspond to 4,074 HELOC
families (each consisting of an initial HELOC draw and subsequent
draws by the same borrower) with a total unpaid principal balance
(UPB) of $322,339,191 and a total current credit limit of
$348,782,347 as of the Cut-Off Date (November 30, 2024).
The portfolio, on average, is three months seasoned, though
seasoning ranges from one to 11 months. All the HELOCs are current
and have been performing since origination. All the loans in the
pool are exempt from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
Ability-to-Repay (ATR)/Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules because HELOCs
are not subject to the ATR/QM rules.
Figure is a wholly owned, indirect subsidiary of Figure
Technologies, Inc. (Figure Technologies) that was formed in 2018.
Figure Technologies is a financial services and technology company
that leverages blockchain technology for the origination and
servicing of loans, loan payments, and loan sales. In addition to
the HELOC product, Figure has offered several different lending
products within the consumer lending space including student loan
refinance, unsecured consumer loans, and conforming first lien
mortgage. In June 2023, the company launched a wholesale channel
for its HELOC product. Figure originates and services loans in 48
states and the District of Columbia. As of October 2024, Figure
originated, funded, and serviced more than 159,000 HELOCs totaling
approximately $11.9 billion.
Figure is the Originator of most and the Servicer of all HELOCs in
the pool. Other originators in the pool are Figure Wholesale and
certain other lenders (together, the White Label Partner
Originators). The White Label Partner Originators originated HELOCs
using Figure's online origination applications under Figure's
underwriting guidelines. Also, Figure is the Seller of all the
HELOCs. Morningstar DBRS performed a telephone operational risk
review of Figure's origination and servicing platform and believes
the Company is an acceptable HELOC originator and servicer with a
backup servicer that is acceptable to Morningstar DBRS.
Figure is the transaction's Sponsor, and FIGRE 2024-HE6 is its 11th
rated securitization of HELOCs. Also, Figure-originated HELOCs are
included in five securitizations sponsored by Saluda Grade. These
transactions' performances to date are satisfactory.
The transaction includes mostly junior liens (primarily second
liens) and some first-lien HELOCs.
In this transaction, all HELOCs except two are open-HELOCs that
have a draw period of two, three, four, or five years during which
borrowers may make draws up to a credit limit, though such right to
make draws may be temporarily frozen, suspended, or terminated
under certain circumstances. At the end of the draw term, the HELOC
mortgagors have a repayment period ranging from three to 25 years.
During the repayment period, borrowers are no longer allowed to
draw, and their monthly principal payments will equal an amount
that allows the outstanding loan balance to evenly amortize down.
All HELOCs in this transaction are fixed-rate loans. The HELOCs
have no interest-only payment period, so borrowers are required to
make both interest and principal payments during the draw and
repayment periods. No loans require a balloon payment.
The loans are made mainly to borrowers with prime and near-prime
credit quality who seek to take equity cash out for various
purposes. These HELOCs are fully drawn at origination, as evidenced
by the weighted-average (WA) utilization rate by current line
amount of approximately 96.8% after three months of seasoning on
average. For each borrower, the HELOC, including the initial and
any subsequent draws, is defined as a loan family within which
every new credit line draw becomes a de facto new loan with a new
fixed interest rate determined at the time of the draw by adding
the margin determined at origination to the then current prime
rate.
Relative to other HELOCs in Morningstar DBRS-rated deals, the loans
in the pool are all fixed rate, fully amortizing with a shorter
draw period and may have terms significantly shorter than 30 years,
including five- to 10-year maturities.
Certain Unique Factors in HELOC Origination Process
Figure seeks to originate HELOCs for borrowers of prime and
near-prime credit quality with ample home equity. It leverages
technology in underwriting, title searching, regulatory compliance,
and other lending processes to shorten the approval and funding
process and improve the borrower experience. Below are certain
aspects in the lending process that are unique to Figure's
origination platform:
-- To qualify a borrower for income, Figure seeks to confirm the
borrower's stated income using proprietary technology algorithms.
-- The lender uses the FICO 9 credit score model instead of the
classic FICO credit score model used by most mortgage originators.
-- Instead of title insurance, Figure uses an electronic lien
search algorithm to identify existing property liens.
-- Instead of a full property appraisal, Figure uses a property
valuation provided by an automatic valuation model (AVM), or in
some cases where an AVM is not available or is ineligible, a broker
price opinion (BPO) or a residential evaluation.
The credit impact of these factors is generally loan specific.
Although technologically advanced, the income, employment, and
asset verification methods used by Figure were treated as less than
full documentation in the RMBS Insight model. In addition,
Morningstar DBRS applied haircuts to the provided AVM and BPO
valuations, reduced the projected recoveries on junior-lien HELOCs,
and generally stepped up expected losses from the model to account
for a combined effect of these and other factors. Please see the
Documentation Type and Underwriting Guidelines sections of the
related report for details.
Transaction Counterparties
Figure will service all loans within the pool for a servicing fee
of 0.25% per year. Also, Newrez LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage
Servicing (Shellpoint) will act as a Subservicer for loans that
default or become 60 or more days delinquent under the Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA) method. In addition, Northpointe Bank
(Northpointe) will act as a Backup Servicer for all mortgage loans
in this transaction for a fee of 0.01% per year. If Figure fails to
remit the required payments, fails to observe or perform the
Servicer's duties, or experiences other unremedied events of
default described in detail in the transaction documents, servicing
will be transferred to Northpointe from Figure, under a successor
servicing agreement. Such servicing transfer will occur within 45
days of the termination of Figure. In the event of a servicing
transfer, Shellpoint will retain servicing responsibilities on all
loans that were being special serviced by Shellpoint at the time of
the servicing transfer. Morningstar DBRS performed an operational
risk review of Northpointe's servicing platform and believes the
company is an acceptable loan servicer for Morningstar DBRS-rated
transactions.
The Bank of New York Mellon will serve as Indenture Trustee, Paying
Agent, Note Registrar, Certificate Registrar, and REMIC
Administrator. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB will serve as
the Custodian, and the Owner Trustee. DV01, Inc. will act as the
loan data agent.
The Sponsor or a majority-owned affiliate of the Sponsor will
acquire and intends to retain an eligible vertical interest
consisting of the required percentage of the Class A, B, C, D, E,
F, and G Note amounts and Class FR Certificate to satisfy the
credit risk-retention requirements under Section 15G of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder. The Sponsor or a majority-owned affiliate of the
Sponsor will be required to hold the required credit risk until the
later of (1) the fifth anniversary of the Closing Date and (2) the
date on which the aggregate loan balance has been reduced to 25% of
the loan balance as of the Cut-Off Date, but in any event no longer
than the seventh anniversary of the Closing Date.
Additionally, pursuant to the EU and UK Risk Retention Agreement,
the Sponsor will agree that on an ongoing basis for so long as the
Notes are outstanding:
-- it will retain exposure to a material net economic interest in
this transaction of not less than 5% of the nominal value of each
class of Notes, in the form specified in related transaction
documents;
-- neither it nor any affiliate will sell, hedge or mitigate its
credit risk under or associated with the EU and UK Retained
Interest, except to the extent permitted in accordance with the EU
Securitization Rules and the UK Securitization Rules respectively;
-- it will not change the retention option or method of
calculation of its EU and UK Retained Interest, except to the
extent permitted under the EU Securitization Rules or the UK
Securitization Rules;
-- it will confirm its EU and UK Retained Interest in the SR
Investor Report; and
-- it will promptly notify the Issuer and a responsible officer of
the Paying Agent in writing if for any reason: (a) it ceases to
retain exposure the EU and UK Retained Interest in accordance with
the above, or (b) it or any of its affiliates fails to comply with
the covenants set out above.
Similar to other transactions backed by junior lien mortgage loans
or HELOCs, but different from certain Morningstar DBRS-rated FIGRE
transactions, the HELOCs that are 180 days delinquent under the MBA
delinquency method may not be charged off by the Servicer in its
discretion. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS assumes all junior
lien HELOCs that are 180 days delinquent under the MBA delinquency
method will be charged-off.
Draw Funding Mechanism
This transaction uses a structural mechanism similar to other HELOC
transactions to fund future draw requests. The Servicer will be
required to fund draws and will be entitled to reimburse itself for
such draws from the principal collections prior to any payments on
the Notes and the Class FR Certificates.
If the aggregate draws exceed the principal collections (Net Draw),
the Servicer is entitled to reimburse itself for draws funded from
amounts on deposit in the Reserve Account (including amounts
deposited into the Reserve Account on behalf of the Class FR
Certificate holder after the Closing Date).
The Reserve Account is funded at closing initially with a rounded
balance of $1,128,187 (0.35% of the aggregate UPB as of the Cut-Off
Date). Prior to the payment date in January 2030, the Reserve
Account Required Amount will be 0.35% of the aggregate UPB as of
the Cut-Off Date. On and after the payment date in January 2030
(after the draw period ends for all HELOCs), the Reserve Account
Required Amount will become $0. If the Reserve Account is not at
target, the Paying Agent will use the available funds remaining
after paying transaction parties' fees and expenses, reimbursing
the Servicer for any unpaid fees or Net Draws, and paying the
accrued and unpaid interest on the bonds to build it to the target.
The top-up of the account occurs before making any principal
payments to the Class FR Certificate holder or the Notes. To the
extent the Reserve Account is not funded up to its required amount
from the principal and interest (P&I) collections, the Class FR
Certificate holder will be required to use its own funds to
reimburse the Servicer for any Net Draws.
Nevertheless, the servicer is still obligated to fund draws even if
the principal collections and the Reserve Account are insufficient
in a given month for full reimbursement. In such cases, the
Servicer will be reimbursed on subsequent payment dates first, from
amounts on deposit in the Reserve Account (subject to the deposited
funds), and second, from the principal collections in subsequent
collection periods. Figure, as a holder of the Trust
Certificate/Class FR Certificates, will have an ultimate
responsibility to ensure draws are funded by remitting funds to the
Reserve Account to reimburse the Servicer for the draws made on the
loans, as long as all borrower conditions are met to warrant draw
funding. The Class FR Certificates' balance will be increased by
the amount of any Net Draws funded by the Class FR Certificate
holder. The Reserve Account's required amount will become $0 on the
payment date in January 2030 (after the draw period ends for all
HELOCs), at which point the funds will be released through the
transaction waterfall.
In its analysis of the proposed transaction structure, Morningstar
DBRS does not rely on the creditworthiness of either the Servicer
or Figure. Rather, the analysis relies on the assets' ability to
generate sufficient cash flows, as well as the Reserve Account, to
fund draws and make interest and principal payments.
Additional Cash Flow Analytics for HELOCs
Morningstar DBRS performs a traditional cash flow analysis to
stress prepayments, loss timing, and interest rates. Generally, in
HELOC transactions, because prepayments (and scheduled principal
payments, if applicable) are primary sources from which to fund
draws, Morningstar DBRS also tests a combination of high draw and
low prepayment scenarios to stress the transaction.
Transaction Structure
The transaction employs a pro rata cash flow structure subject to a
Credit Event, which is based on certain performance triggers
related to cumulative losses and delinquencies. This transaction
differs from certain previous Morningstar DBRS-rated FIGRE
transactions where there is no performance trigger related to Net
WA Coupon (WAC) Rate.
Relative to a sequential pay structure, a pro rata structure
subject to sequential trigger (Credit Event) is more sensitive to
the timing of the projected defaults and losses as the losses may
be applied at a time when the amount of credit support is reduced
as the bonds' principal balances amortize over the life of the
transaction.
Excess cash flows can be used to cover any realized losses. Please
see the Cash Flow Structure and Features section of the related
report for more details.
Notable Structural Features
Similar to previous Morningstar DBRS-rated FIGRE transactions, this
deal employs a Delinquency Trigger and a Cumulative Loss Trigger.
The effective dates for the triggers may differ from prior rated
transactions. The Delinquency Trigger is applicable on or after the
12th payment date (December 2025) rather than being applicable
immediately after the Closing Date.
Unlike some of the prior FIGRE securitizations that employed a
pro-rata pay structure amongst all rated notes, this transaction
includes rated classes - Class D, Class E, and Class F, that
receive their principal payments after the pro rata classes (Class
A, Class B, and Class C) are paid in full. The inclusion of
sequential pay classes retains credit support that would otherwise
be reduced in the absence of a credit event.
Unlike some of the prior FIGRE securitizations, this transaction
includes a principal-only class, Class G, that provides credit
support to the rated notes instead of overcollateralization (OC).
Since there is no longer any OC, there is no longer any need for
the OC Target or OC Floor present in other transactions.
The Reserve Account Required Amount will be 0.35% of the aggregate
UPB as of the Cut-Off Date, lower than the prior FIGRE
securitizations.
Other Transaction Features
For this transaction, other than the Servicer's obligation to fund
any monthly Net Draws, described above, neither the Servicer nor
any other transaction party will fund any monthly advances of P&I
on any HELOC. However, the Servicer is required to make advances in
respect of taxes, insurance premiums, and reasonable costs incurred
in the course of servicing and disposing of properties (servicing
advances) to the extent such advances are deemed recoverable or as
directed by the Controlling Holder (the holder of more than a 50%
interest of the Class XS Notes). For the junior-lien HELOCs, the
Servicer will make servicing advances only if such advances are
deemed recoverable or if the associate first-lien mortgage has been
paid off and such HELOC has become a senior-lien mortgage loan.
The Depositor may, at its option, on or after the earlier of (1)
the payment date on which the balance of the Class A Notes is
reduced to zero or (2) the date on which the total loans' and real
estate owned (REO) properties' balance falls to or below 25% of the
loan balance as of the Cut-Off Date (Optional Termination Date),
purchase all of the loans and REO properties at the optional
termination price described in the transaction documents.
The Depositor, at its option, may purchase any mortgage loan that
is 90 days or more delinquent under the MBA method at the
repurchase price (Optional Purchase) described in the transaction
documents. The total balance of such loans purchased by the
Depositor will not exceed 10% of the Cut-Off Date balance.
The Servicer, at a direction of the Controlling Holder, may direct
the Issuer to sell (and direct the Indenture Trustee to release its
lien on and relinquish its security interest in) eligible
nonperforming loans (those 120 days or more delinquent under the
MBA method) or REO properties (both, Eligible Nonperforming Loans
(NPLs)) to third parties individually or in bulk sales. The
Controlling Holder will have a sole authority over the decision to
sell the Eligible NPLs, as described in the transaction documents.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
FMBT 2024-FBLU: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2024-FBLU (the Certificates) issued by FMBT Trust
2024-FBLU:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The FBMT 2024-FBLU transaction is secured by the fee-simple and
leasehold interests of five special purpose entities (collectively,
the "Borrowers) in, among other things, a portion of the
Fontainebleau Miami Beach Resort, a 1,594-key, full-service resort.
Of the 1,594 keys, 846 keys are hotel guest rooms located in two
towers, the Chateau and the Versailles. The remaining keys for the
subject, located in the Trésor and Sorrento towers, are
condominiums that are third-party owned but participate in the
hotel revenue-sharing program further detailed in the presale
report on this transaction. The historical participation rate for
the condominium program has averaged 84.9% since 2011. The
15.5-acre resort is opportunely situated in the mid-beach area of
Miami Beach, Florida. The resort provides a host of amenities for
hotel guests and non-guests alike, which Morningstar DBRS views
positively, in addition to its strong historical performance,
property quality, and experienced and dedicated sponsor.
Since 2005, the property has undergone approximately $1.1 billion
in capital improvements including a comprehensive renovation of the
entire property in 2008 for a total cost of $571.8 million. Since
2019 the property has spent approximately $232 million on capital
improvements which includes the development costs for the
convention center. Additionally, three of the four towers have had
their guest rooms renovated over the last five years with the
remaining tower, the Versailles, scheduled to undergo a $15.4
million renovation beginning in 2025, with $6.3 million spent in
2024 for materials. In total, approximately $38.0 million in
planned capital improvements are scheduled to be completed between
2025 and 2027.
The borrower sponsor for this transaction is Jeffrey Soffer, who
runs Fontainebleau Development, a real estate development and
hospitality group with a portfolio based on the premise of
designing, owning, marketing, and operating its assets throughout
the entire development of each project. The portfolio of
hospitality assets includes the JW Turnberry Marriott, Hilton
Nashville Downtown, and the Fontainebleau Las Vegas. Fontainebleau
Development is led by Jeffrey Soffer, the loan guarantor, chairman,
and chief executive officer, who has been investing in real estate
for over 25 years, helping to expand the company from a regional
leader to a nationally recognized organization. The resort is
self-managed by the borrower.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GEMINI NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. (Morningstar DBRS) finalized its provisional credit
ratings on the Class A Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes,
and the Class D Notes (together, the Secured Notes) issued by
Gemini Notes Issuer LLC pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July
28, 2023 (the Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental
Indenture dated as of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental
Indenture dated as of December 20, 2024, entered into between
Gemini Notes Issuer LLC, as the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company,
National Association, as Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Gemini Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.65%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.71%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.17%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 194.59%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 156.28%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.43%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 47.18%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 53.08%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 60.94%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 62.90%; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.24%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ11: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-PJ11 (the Notes) to be issued by
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ11:
-- $262.5 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $262.5 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $262.5 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $262.5 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $262.5 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $262.5 million Class A-X-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-X-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-X-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $196.9 million Class A-X-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-X-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-X-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $157.5 million Class A-X-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-X-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-X-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $39.4 million Class A-X-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-X-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-X-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.0 million Class A-X-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-X-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-X-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $65.6 million Class A-X-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-X-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-X-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $15.4 million Class A-X-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-X-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-X-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-X-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $277.9 million Class A-X-26 at AAA (sf)
-- $19.8 million Class B-1A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $19.8 million Class B-X-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $19.8 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class B-2A at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class B-X-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $3.4 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.9 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $464.0 thousand Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-9, A-10, A-11,
A-12, A-13, A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, and A-18 are super senior
notes. These classes benefit from additional protection from the
senior support note (Class A-21) with respect to loss allocation.
Classes A-X-1, A-X-2, A-X-3, A-X-4, A-X-5, A-X-6, A-X-7, A-X-8,
A-X-9, A-X-10, A-X-11, A-X-12, A-X-13, A-X-14, A-X-15, A-X-16,
A-X-17, A-X-18, A-X-19, A-X-20, A-X-21, A-X-22, A-X-23, A-X-24,
A-X-25, A-X-26, B-X-1, and B-X-2 are interest-only (IO) notes. The
class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-10, A-11, A-13,
A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-19, A-20, A-22, A-23, A-24, A-25, B-1,
and B-2 are exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Notes reflect 10.00% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (low) (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf) credit
ratings reflect 3.60%, 2.25%, 1.15%, 0.55%, and 0.40% credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The securitization of a portfolio of first-lien fixed-rate prime
residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the Notes. The
Notes are backed by 256 loans with a total principal balance of
$308,825,465 as of the Cut-Off Date.
The pool consists of first-lien, fully amortizing fixed-rate
mortgages (FRMs) with original terms to maturity of mostly 15 to 30
years. The weighted-average original combined loan-to-value (CLTV)
for the portfolio is 69.6%. A small portion of the pool (29.7%)
comprises loans with Morningstar DBRS-calculated current CLTV
ratios between 80.0% and 90.0%, while none of the pool falls above
90.0% current CLTV. In addition, 99.9% of the loans in the pool
were originated in accordance with the general Qualified Mortgage
rule subject to the average prime offer rate designation.
The mortgage loans are originated by United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC
(UWM; 36.3%), PennyMac Loan Services, LLC (PennyMac; 15.1%), CMG
Mortgage doing business as (dba) CMG Financial (11.0%), and various
other originators, each comprising less than 10.0% of the pool.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Newrez, LLC dba Shellpoint
Mortgage Servicing (78.4%), PennyMac (21.0%), and UWM/Cenlar FSB
(0.6%).
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (Computershare; rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Paying Agent,
Loan Agent, and Custodian. Computershare Delaware Trust Company
will act as Delaware Trustee. Computershare Trust Company, N.A.
will act as Collateral Trustee. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC
(Pentalpha) will serve as the Representation and Warranty
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
This transaction allows for the issuance of Class A-1L, A-2L, and
A-3L loans, which are the equivalent of ownership of Class A-1,
A-2, and A-3 Notes, respectively. These classes are issued in the
form of a loan made by the investor instead of a note purchased by
the investor. If these loans are funded at closing, the holder may
convert such class into an equal aggregate debt amount of the
corresponding Notes. These classes were not issued.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
HUDSON'S BAY 2015-HBS: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on 2 Tranches
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-HBS issued by
Hudson's Bay Simon JV Trust 2015-HBS as follows:
-- Class X-A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-7 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class X-B-7 at A (sf)
-- Class B-7 at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C-7 at BB (sf)
-- Class D-7 at B (low) (sf)
-- Class E-7 at CCC (sf)
-- Class X-A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-10 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class X-B-10 at A (sf)
-- Class B-10 at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C-10 at BB (sf)
-- Class D-10 at B (low) (sf)
-- Class E-10 at CCC (sf)
All trends are Stable with the exception of Classes E-7 and E-10,
which have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends in
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS' outlook
on the transaction, which remains relatively unchanged since the
previous credit rating action in January 2024. While the trust
continues to pay down as a result of loan amortization and property
releases, and exhibits healthy performance metrics, Morningstar
DBRS maintains its conservative view on the transaction given the
increased propensity for adverse selection and the portfolio's
sustained high exposure to vacant properties. Morningstar DBRS
maintained its use of a stressed value analysis for its review,
which supported the credit rating confirmations.
At issuance, the transaction consisted of an $846.2 million
first-mortgage loan secured by 34 cross-collateralized properties
previously leased to 24 Lord & Taylor stores and nine Saks Fifth
Avenue stores in 15 states. The collateral properties represented
19 fee-simple ownership interests (64.1% of the pool balance) and
15 leasehold interests (35.9% of the pool balance), totaling 4.5
million square feet. Individual tenant storefronts are located in
various malls and freestanding locations with concentrations in New
Jersey and New York. The loan is sponsored by a joint venture
between Hudson's Bay Company (HBC) and Simon Property Group (SPG).
The loan included a $149.9 million floating-rate Component A, which
was paid off as of the November 2023 payment period, as well as a
$371.2 million fixed-rate Component B and a $324.9 million
fixed-rate Component C. Principal proceeds are now being used to
pay down Component B.
Property releases are subject to release premiums of 115.0% of the
allocated loan amount (ALA). Since Morningstar DBRS' last review,
two additional properties, Natick Mall and Freehold Raceway Mall
(formerly 3.9% of the issuance ALA in aggregate), were released
from the portfolio at a combined premium of approximately $22.4
million, lower than each property's go-dark value derived in 2019.
In total, four properties have been released since issuance and,
along with loan amortization, the outstanding loan balance has been
reduced to $598.5 million per the December 2024 reporting,
representing a collateral reduction of 29.3%.
The portfolio was formerly 100% leased to Lord & Taylor and Saks
Fifth Avenue on two master leases with 20-year initial terms and
six five-year extension options for each store. The operating
leases are fully guaranteed by HBC. Following Lord & Taylor's
bankruptcy filing in 2020, all Lord & Taylor stores were closed,
resulting in 25 of the 34 collateral properties, representing 54.7%
of the ALA, becoming fully vacant. The borrower continues to abide
by the terms of the October 2021 loan modification that mandated
the borrower to pay the full difference between total monthly rent
and debt service as well as to use all excess cash flow to amortize
the principal balance. Various reserves have also been funded to
help reposition the dark collateral properties. As of December
2024, the loan reported a total of $8.6 million across all
reserves.
According to the most recent financials, the portfolio reported an
annualized consolidated net cash flow (NCF) of $94.6 million for
the trailing three months ended March 31, 2024, which excludes the
released properties and reflects a debt service coverage ratio of
2.05 times. In comparison, the YE2023 and YE2022 NCFs were $90.1
million and $87.8 million, respectively, while Morningstar DBRS'
NCF derived in 2020 was approximately $53.6 million (excluding
released properties). The year-over-year improvement is driven by
an increase in base rents. Despite the improvement, given the
prolonged vacant status for majority of the Lord & Taylor
properties, as well as the dated appraisals (which were finalized
in 2019), Morningstar DBRS maintained a stressed scenario in its
analysis for this review. For this review, Morningstar DBRS updated
its value to exclude the released properties and applied a
conservative haircut to the 2019 appraisal values, resulting in a
value of $525.1 million, which represents a -52.7% variance from
the 2019 as-is appraised value of $1.1 billion for the unreleased
properties and reflects an as-is loan-to-value ratio of 114.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JEFFERIES 2024-II: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-(sf)' Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Jefferies
Credit Partners Direct Lending CLO 2024-II Ltd./Jefferies Credit
Partners Direct Lending CLO 2024-II LLC's floating- and fixed-rate
debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by middle market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by Jefferies Credit Partners LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 8,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Jefferies Credit Partners Direct Lending CLO 2024-II Ltd./
Jefferies Credit Partners Direct Lending CLO 2024-II LLC
Class X, $4.5000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $136.0625 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1 loans, $61.6875 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $0.4375 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2 loans, $8.3125 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $20.9700 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $10.5300 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $22.2000 million: A (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $5.8000 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $14.7100 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.2900 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $21.0000 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $45.7600 million: Not rated
JORDAN NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Class A
Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
(together, the Secured Notes) issued by Jordan Notes Issuer LLC
pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July 28, 2023 (the
Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental Indenture dated as
of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental Indenture dated as of
December 20, 2024, entered into between Jordan Notes Issuer LLC, as
the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as
Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Jordan Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.65%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.71%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.60%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 194.96%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 156.07%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.26%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 47.18%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 53.08%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 60.94%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 62.90%; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.25%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2022-ACB: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2022-ACB
issued by J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust
2022-ACB as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
transaction's overall stable performance, as evidenced by cash flow
and occupancy growth since Morningstar DBRS assigned the credit
ratings in 2022. The loan is secured by the borrower's fee-simple
interest in the American Copper Buildings, a Class A luxury
multifamily property in midtown Manhattan. The property boasts
extensive and superior amenities, including a rock-climbing wall, a
fitness center and studios, a rooftop infinity pool, and spa
facilities. The total trust loan amount of $611.4 million is backed
by a joint venture between Black Spruce Management, LLC, which owns
a portfolio of over 40 properties across four boroughs in New York,
and The Orbach Group, LLC, which specializes in affordable housing.
Both sponsors have real estate portfolios exceeding $1.0 billion.
The $675 million floating-rate loan is interest only and includes
an additional $63.5 million in mezzanine debt, which is further
divided into two separate loans that are set to mature in March
2025. The loan matured in March 2024 and the borrower exercised the
first of up to three one-year extension options, with a current
maturity date of March 2025. The fully extended maturity date is
March 2027. A cash flow sweep will commence upon an event of
default or if the debt yield falls below 5.8% after March 2024. As
of the trailing 12-month period ended June 30, 2024 (T-12),
financial reporting, the debt yield remained above this threshold
at 6.8% on the trust loan and 6.2% on the whole loan. The loan
benefits from City of New York 421-A tax exemptions, which remain
in effect until June 2038, 11 years after the fully extended loan
maturity date. As a requirement to maintain its tax-exempt status,
the property is required to lease designated affordable units. The
property currently offers a total of 160 affordable units,
representing approximately 21.0% of the total unit count. The tax
abatement exempts the property from 100% of its taxes on
improvements for the first 12 years. After that, the exemption
percentage decreases in 20% increments every other year until Year
20, at which point the exemption expires.
According to the T-12 financials, the property reported a net cash
flow (NCF) of $41.7 million, representing a debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR) of 0.83 times (x), which continues the upward trend
over the YE2022 and YE2023 cash flow figures. The T-12 NCF
represents an increase of 21.9% compared with the Morningstar DBRS
NCF of $34.2 million at issuance. Despite this positive cash flow
trend, the floating-rate nature of the loan has created downward
pressure on the DSCR, which decreased from 1.33x at YE2022. The
in-place interest rate cap agreement serves as a mitigant to the
increased floating-rate benchmark. To exercise each available
extension option, the borrower is required to purchase a new
interest rate cap agreement with a strike price such that a minimum
DSCR of 1.10x is achieved.
The growth in cash flow is primarily a result of increased rental
rates for the market-rate units. As of the June 30, 2024, rent
roll, the average rental rate of all units was $5,481 per unit
while the average rental rate of market-rate units and affordable
housing were $6,746 per unit and $1,015 per unit, respectively.
This is a significant increase from September 2022, when the
overall average rental rate was $5,163 per unit for all units,
$6,364 per unit for market-rate units, and $923 per unit for
affordable units. In addition, vacancy at the property continued to
remain low at 5.9% as of June 2024. In comparison, according to
Reis' Q3 2024 data, the Stuyvesant/Turtle Bay submarket average
asking rental and vacancy rates were $6,157 per unit and 3.1%,
respectively. Vacancy is projected to tighten to 2.0% by 2029. The
two ground-floor retail tenants, Bright Horizons and Hole in the
Wall, have lease expiration dates in February 2037 and July 2029,
respectively, beyond the loan's fully extended maturity date.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings are based on a value analysis
completed at issuance, which considered a capitalization rate of
5.75%, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS Value of $595.5 million and
a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 102.7% on the mortgage loan. The
Morningstar DBRS Value of $595.5 million represents a variance of
-29.8% from the appraised value of $848.0 million at issuance. In
addition, Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative
adjustments to the LTV sizing benchmarks totaling 7.5% to reflect
the high quality of the property, strong market fundamentals, and
historically stable cash flow.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-12: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-12 (the Certificates) issued
by the J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-12 (JPMMT 2024-12):
-- $420.8 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $420.8 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $420.8 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $315.6 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $315.6 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $315.6 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $105.2 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $105.2 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $105.2 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $252.5 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $252.5 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $252.5 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $168.3 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $168.3 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $168.3 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $63.1 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $63.1 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $63.1 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $49.5 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $49.5 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $49.5 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $46.8 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $517.1 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $517.1 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $517.1 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $9.4 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $9.4 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $9.4 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $11.3 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $11.3 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $11.3 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.1 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.8 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $1.4 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-11-X,
A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1, A-X-2, A-X-3,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X, A-X-1, B-1, and
B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be exchanged
for combinations of depositable certificates as specified in the
offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9 and A-9-A) with respect
to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 6.00% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 4.30%, 2.25%, 1.15%, 0.65%, and
0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages to be funded by the issuance
of the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-12 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 426 loans with a
total principal balance of $550,086,650 as of the Cut-Off Date
(December 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average (WA)
loan age of two months. Approximately 95.3% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
4.7% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section. In addition, all of the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) originated 57.3% of the pool
and PennyMac Loan Services, LLC originated 9.7%. Various other
originators, each comprising less than 10%, originated the
remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will be serviced or
subserviced, as applicable, by UWM (57.3%), Shellpoint (24.1%), and
Fay Servicing (5.62%). For the JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
(JPMCB)-serviced loans, Shellpoint will act as interim servicer
until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the servicing transfer date
(March 1, 2025).
For certain Servicers in this transaction, the servicing fee
payable for mortgage loans is composed of three separate
components: the base servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee,
and the additional servicing fee. These fees vary based on the
delinquency status of the related loan and will be paid from
interest collections before distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC (Nationstar) will act as the Master
Servicer. Citibank, N.A. (Citibank; rated AA (low) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Securities Administrator and
Delaware Trustee. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (Computershare)
will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will
serve as the Representations and Warranties (R&W) Reviewer.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
KKR STATIC I: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to KKR
Static CLO I Ltd., refinancing notes. The Outlooks for all notes
are Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
KKR Static CLO I Ltd.
A-R 48255QAL7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R 48255QAM5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AA+sf
B-R2 LT AA+sf New Rating
C-R 48255QAN3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
C-R2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-R 48255QAP8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB+sf
D-R2 LT BBB+sf New Rating
E 48255RAA9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB+sf
E-R2 LT BB+sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
KKR Static CLO I Ltd. (the issuer) is a static arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by KKR Financial
Advisors II, LLC, that originally closed in July 2022 and
refinanced in January 2024. The CLO's secured notes are refinanced
on Jan. 7, 2025 (the second refinancing date) from the proceeds of
new secured notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.54% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.78%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction does not have a
reinvestment period; however, the issuer has the ability to extend
the weighted average life of the portfolio as a result of maturity
amendments. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
incorporating potential maturity amendments on the underlying loans
as well as a one-notch downgrade on the Fitch Issuer Default Rating
Equivalency Rating for assets with a Negative Outlook on the
driving rating of the obligor. The shorter risk horizon means the
transaction is less vulnerable to underlying price movements,
economic conditions and asset performance.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
KEY PROVISION CHANGES
The refinancing is being implemented via the refinancing
supplemental indenture, which amended certain provisions of the
transaction. The changes include but are not limited to; extending
the refinancing notes non-call period until July 2025, increasing
outstanding amount of 'AAAsf' rated note and reducing the other
rated notes, extending the weighted average life test at the second
refinance date to six years and reducing the refinancing notes
liability spreads.
FITCH ANALYSIS
KKR Static CLO I Ltd. is a static pool CLO. The issuer is not
permitted to purchase any loans after the closing date (other than
rescue financing assets). As such, there are no collateral quality
tests or concentration limitations. Fitch's analysis is based on
the latest portfolio presented to Fitch from the arranger that
includes 168 assets from 159 primarily high yield obligors. The
portfolio balance, excluding any defaulted asset and the amount of
positive cash, was approximately $291.9 million.
The weighted average rating factor of the current portfolio is
'B'/'B-'. Fitch has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private
rating for 39.0% of the current portfolio par balance; ratings for
61.0% of the portfolio were derived from using Fitch's IDR
Equivalency Map.
In lieu of a traditional stress portfolio, Fitch ran a maturity
extension scenario on the current portfolio to account for the
issuer's ability to extend the weighted average life of the
portfolio to 6.0 years as a result of maturity amendments. The
scenario also considers a one-notch downgrade on the Fitch IDR
Equivalency Rating for assets with a Negative Outlook on the
derived rating of the obligor, as described in Fitch's CLO and
Corporate CDO Rating Criteria.
Fitch generated projected default and recovery statistics of the
Fitch Stressed Portfolio (FSP) using its portfolio credit model
(PCM) on the underlying collateral pool excluding defaulted assets.
The PCM default and recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the
'AAAsf' rating stress were 54.6% and 39.7%, respectively. The PCM
default and recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the 'AA+sf' rating
stress were 53.5% and 49.0%, respectively. The PCM default and
recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the 'A+sf' rating stress were
47.9% and 58.7%, respectively. The PCM default and recovery rate
outputs for the FSP at the 'BBB+sf' rating stress were 41.6% and
68.0%, respectively. The PCM default and recovery rate outputs for
the FSP at the 'BB+sf' rating stress were 35.5% and 73.5%,
respectively.
In the analysis of the current portfolio, the class A-R2, B-R2,
C-R2, D-R2, and E-R2 notes passed the 'AAAsf', 'AA+sf', 'A+sf',
'BBB+sf', and 'BB+sf' rating thresholds in all nine cash flow
scenarios with minimum cushions of 10.1%, 4.3%, 4.1%, 9.5%, and
12.9%, respectively. In the analysis of the FSP, the class A-R,
B-R, C-R, D-R, and E notes passed the 'AAAsf', 'AA+sf', 'A+sf',
'BBB+sf', and 'BB+sf' rating thresholds in all nice cash flow
scenarios with a minimum cushion of 7.4%, 1.4%, 2.8%, 7.3%, and
8.8%, respectively.
The Stable Outlook on the class A-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-R2, and E-R2
notes reflects the expectation that the notes have a sufficient
level of credit protection to withstand potential deterioration in
the credit quality of the portfolio.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-R2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C-R2, between 'B-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class D-R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for KKR Static CLO I
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
KSL COMMERCIAL 2024-HT2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2024-HT2 (the Certificates) issued by KSL Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2024-HT2 (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The Trust is secured by secured by the fee-simple and/or leasehold
interests in 13 hospitality properties across six states. The
portfolio consists of 2,384 total keys, including four properties
(1,072 keys, representing 42.9% of allocated loan amount (ALA))
operating under the Marriott brand family; four properties (398
keys, representing 21.7% of ALA) as independent brands; three
properties (549 keys, representing 20.6% of ALA) operating under
the Hilton brand family; and two properties (365 keys, representing
14.9% of ALA) operating under the Hyatt brand family. The
properties were constructed between 1904 and 2015 and have a
weighted-average (WA) year built of 1997 and WA renovation year of
2021.
The subject financing of $761.0 million, along with a $104.0
million mezzanine loan, will facilitate the refinancing of $740.9
million of existing debt, redistribute $77.6 million to the
sponsor, establish a $29.2 million property improvement plan (PIP)
letter of credit, and cover closing costs. The loan is a two-year,
floating-rate (one-month Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)
plus 2.800% per annum) interest-only mortgage loan with three
one-year extension options. The borrower is expected to purchase an
interest rate cap with a one-month Term SOFR strike price of 5.0%.
The transaction sponsor is an affiliate of KSL Capital Partners
(KSL). KSL is a private equity firm specializing in equity and debt
investing in U.S. and international travel and leisure enterprises,
spread across five primary sectors: hospitality, recreation, clubs,
real estate, and travel services. KSL has been an industry leader
for its 30 years of operation by strategically acquiring lodging
and leisure-oriented assets and implementing management to help
drive cash flow. Since 2005, KSL has raised more than $21 billion
worth of capital commitments that focus solely on its travel and
leisure endeavors, investing in more than 185 businesses across the
world.
The properties in the portfolio were constructed between 1904 and
2015. Since 2016, approximately $161.3 million ($67,647 per key) in
capital expenditure (capex) was invested in the properties. An
additional $29.2 million ($17,718 per key) of planned capex is
budgeted for seven of the properties from 2024 through 2027. The
planned capex is part of brand-mandated PIPs over the fully
extended five-year loan term. In lieu of an upfront reserve to
cover the cost of the brand-mandated PIPs, the sponsor is required
to deliver a letter of credit in an amount equal to $29.2 million.
Once/if performed, these improvements would allow the portfolio to
maintain its competitive position and improve its overall financial
performance. One property, which will potentially require a PIP
upon an upcoming franchise expiry in 2025, is not included in the
PIP cost estimate. Morningstar DBRS applied a $5.0 million
Morningstar DBRS value adjustment to recognize the PIP shortfall
during the initial loan term.
The largest properties by net cash flow (NCF) are the Westin
Philadelphia, the Boston Envoy, and the Hilton Garden Inn New
York-Midtown East, which represent approximately 11.8%, 11.6%, and
10.7% of the trailing 12-month period (T-12) ended September 30,
2024, NCF, respectively. No other property represents more than
10.5% of portfolio NCF. The 13 properties average approximately 183
keys and the largest hotel, the Cadillac Hotel & Beach Club,
Autograph Collection, contains 357 keys, or approximately 15.0% of
the total keys in the portfolio. The portfolio is located across
six states, with the largest concentration by ALA in New York and
Florida, which account for approximately 39.6% and 23.0% of the
loan balance by ALA, respectively. No other state accounts for more
than 15.0% of the loan balance by ALA. Most of these markets are
located within a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 7 or 8 (62.0% of
ALA), and the WA portfolio Market Rank is 6.1. The locations within
these markets are primarily high-barrier-to-entry urban markets
that benefit from increased liquidity driven by consistently strong
investor demand, even during times of economic stress.
In 2019, prior to the coronavirus pandemic, the portfolio achieved
an occupancy rate of 82.9% and an average daily rate (ADR) of
$238.96, resulting in a revenue per available room (RevPAR) of
$198.19. Following a significant decline during 2020 because of the
coronavirus pandemic, the portfolio's performance was able to
recover to pre-pandemic levels by 2022, with the YE2022 RevPAR of
$198.43 just higher than the YE2019 RevPAR of $198.19. Over the
past two years, the portfolio has continued to experience
consistent top-line growth. During the T-12 ended September 30,
2024, the portfolio achieved an occupancy rate of 79.1%,
representing a 3.9% increase over the YE2023 occupancy and an ADR
of $278.63, representing an 0.6% increase over the YE2023 ADR.
These figures resulted in a RevPAR of $220.46, representing a 4.5%
increase over the YE2023 RevPAR and an 11.2% increase over the
YE2019 RevPAR. Of the 13 properties in the portfolio, 11 achieved a
higher RevPAR during the T-12 ended September 30, 2024, than in
2019, while 12 saw RevPAR increases from YE2023 to the T-12 ended
September 30, 2024. The portfolio achieved a WA RevPAR penetration
of 107.7% during the T-12 ended September 30, 2024, as well as
104.8% in YE2023, 99.9% in YE2022, and 102.2% in YE2019, indicating
that the majority of properties in the portfolio have historically
outperformed their respective competitive sets. Morningstar DBRS
concluded a RevPAR of $219.19 based on an occupancy rate of 78.8%
and an ADR of $278.24. This RevPAR figure is 0.6% lower than the
T-12 ended September 30, 2024, RevPAR of $220.46 and 3.9% greater
than the YE2023 RevPAR of $210.94.
The overall portfolio appraised value is $1.25 billion, which
equates to a moderate appraised total debt LTV of 69.1% (65.9% LTV
based on the $1.31 bulk sale value). The Morningstar DBRS-concluded
value of $906.5 million ($380,243 per key) represents a significant
27.6% discount to the appraised value and results in a Morningstar
DBRS whole-loan LTV of 95.4%, which is indicative of high-leverage
financing; however, the Morningstar DBRS value is based on a
capitalization rate (cap rate) of 8.19%, which represents a
significant stress over current prevailing market cap rates and
accounts for a $5.0 million Morningstar DBRS value deduction to
account for the PIP shortfall for the Hilton Garden Inn Tribeca
during the initial loan term.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MADISON PARK XXII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Cl. E-R-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
refinancing notes issued by Madison Park Funding XXII, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Madison Park
Funding XXII, Ltd.
A-1-R 55819XAY8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R 55819XBA9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R-2 LT AA+sf New Rating
C-R-2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-1-R2 LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R-2 LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding XXII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC. The transaction originally
closed on Oct. 20, 2016 and was refinanced on Feb. 20, 2020. This
is the deal's second refinancing. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $799 million (excluding defaults) of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.2% first lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 75.33%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-R-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R-2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R-2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R-2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R-2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R-2,
'A+sf' for class D-1-R2, 'Asf' for class D-2-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for
class E-R-2. Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class
A-R-2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding XXII, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MERCHANTS FLEET 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on thirteen securities
issued by three Merchant Fleet Funding LLC transactions.
Merchants Fleet Funding LLC, Series 2023-1
-- Class A Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class D Notes BBB(sf) Confirmed
-- Class E Notes BB (sf) Confirmed
Merchants Fleet Funding LLC, Series 2024-1
-- Class A AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C A (high)(sf) Confirmed
-- Class D BBB(sf) Confirmed
-- Class E BB(sf) Confirmed
The confirmations are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
origination, underwriting, and servicing.
-- The credit quality of the collateral pool and historical
performance, with low delinquencies and charge-offs to date.
-- The credit ratings address timely payment of interest on the
notes as well as the ultimate payment of principal by legal final
maturity.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns: September 2024 Update," published on September 25,
2024. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS' moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic
scenarios, which were first published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance.
MILL CITY 2021-NMR1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Two Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to seven
previously unrated classes from two Mill City Mortgage Loan Trust
(MCMLT) transactions issued in 2018 and 2021.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Mill City Mortgage
Loan Trust 2021-NMR1
B3A 59982HAT7 LT BBB+sf New Rating
B3B 59982HAU4 LT BBBsf New Rating
B3 59982HAV2 LT BBBsf New Rating
B4A 59982HAW0 LT BB+sf New Rating
B4B 59982HAX8 LT BBsf New Rating
B4 59982HAY6 LT BBsf New Rating
Mill City Mortgage
Loan Trust 2018-3
B3 59980XAM9 LT BB+sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch has rated other classes within these transactions since deal
close. The additional classes with ratings assigned today are more
junior than the classes with existing ratings and were unrated at
deal close. Both of the transactions have performed well since
closing with many of the previously rated bonds upgraded or
assigned a Positive Outlook. All of the transactions are U.S. RMBS
transactions collateralized by pools of re-performing loans (RPL).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Lower Expected Losses for Seasoned Collateral (Positive):
MCMLT 2018-3: The loans for MCMLT 2018-3 were seasoned
approximately 133 months in aggregate at issuance and are currently
seasoned 213 months.
The expected losses, have decreased since issuance and since the
prior review. Current average expected losses in the 'BBBsf' and
'BBsf' stresses are 11.5% and 9.3%, compared to 23.5% and 18.8% at
issuance. Reduced loss expectation is primarily driven by a decline
in sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) driven by home price
appreciation and borrower pay-downs. Average current sLTV is 68.9%
compared to 97.4% at issuance in the base-case stress. Relatively
consistent borrower performance has also been a contributing
factor.
MCMLT 2021-NMR1: The loans for MCMLT 2021-NMR1 were seasoned
approximately 149 months in aggregate at issuance and are currently
seasoned 198 months.
The expected losses, have decreased since issuance and since the
prior review. Current average expected losses in the 'BBBsf' and
'BBsf' stresses are 15.6% and 12.8%, compared to 27.5% and 23.5% at
issuance. Reduced loss expectation is primarily driven by a decline
in sLTV driven by home price appreciation and borrower pay-downs.
Average current sLTV is 67.5% compared to 88.2% at issuance. Like
MCMLT 2018-3, relatively consistent borrower performance has also
been a contributing factor.
Stable Performance (Positive):
Although both transactions exhibit delinquencies (DQs) higher than
the Fitch RPL sector average, both transactions have experienced
consistent month over month and year over year performance trends,
which has been a positive driver. Additionally, both transactions
have maintained low and consistent serious DQs (90+ DQ%).
MCMLT 2018-3: Current 30+ DQ% of the pool is currently 14.4%; up
130bp year-over-year. It is also approximately 550bps above the RPL
sector average. Despite the significantly higher than average DQs,
DQs for this pool have remained very much stable over the past
several years. 90+ DQ% is currently 5.5% and has increased by 30bps
since November 2022. Realized losses have also been limited with
cumulative losses at $5.1 million or 1.1% of the original
collateral balance. The unrated B-6 tranche is the first loss-piece
and has been written down by $893,858.
MCMLT 2021-NMR1: Current 30+ DQ% of the pool is currently 16.5%; up
30bp year-over-year. It is also approximately 760bps above the RPL
sector average. Despite the significantly higher than average DQs,
DQ for this pool has remained very much stable over the past
several years. 90+ DQ% is currently 6.2% and has decreased by 24bps
since November 2022. Realized losses have also been limited with
cumulative losses at $911,113 or 0.29% of the original collateral
balance. No bonds have taken any writedowns.
No Advancing and Sequential-Pay Structure (Positive):
Both of these transactions are structured to a sequential-pay
structure whereby the subordinate classes do not receive principal
until the senior classes are repaid in full. Losses are allocated
in reverse-sequential order.
Other classes in both of these deals have experienced upgrade
pressure since issuance including in their last review (September
2024) which has reflected strong performance.
MCMLT 2018-3: Current deal factor is 48% at a deal age of 74
months. The B3 class currently has 11.3% worth of credit
enhancement, which is up 5.3% since issuance. The hard dollar
subordination is approximately $24.8 million, which is down
approximately $760,000 from issuance after $893,858 in writedowns
to the B6 class and $165,326 worth of overcollateralization.
Relative credit enhancement has increased as a percentage of the
total collateral balance as a result of paydowns and deleveraging.
The B3 class has yet to begin amortizing principal.
MCMLT 2021-NMR1: Current deal factor is 57% at a deal age of 45
months. The B3 and B4 classes currently have credit enhancements of
21.7% and 12.4% which are the results of increases of 8.3% and 5.0%
respectively. The hard dollar subordination for the B4 class is
approximately $24.7 million which has remained unchanged since
issuance. Relative credit enhancement has increased as a percentage
of the total collateral balance as a result of paydowns and
deleveraging. Like MCMLT 2018-3, neither these classes, nor their
respective A/B notes have begun to amortize principal.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected declines. The analysis
indicates that there is some potential rating migration with higher
MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the model projection. At
the 'BBB+sf' rating, a 10% MVD could result in a downgrade to
'BBsf', while a 20% or 30% MVD could result in a downgrade to a
'Bsf' or distressed rating. At the 'BB+sf' rating, it could result
in a downgrade to 'Bsf' while a 20% MVD could result in a downgrade
to a distressed rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. The analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices could result in an upgrade
from 'BBB+sf' to 'A-sf' and an upgrade from 'BB+sf' to 'BBB-sf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified while holding
others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of these
variables to reflect asset performance in up and down environments.
The results should only be considered as one potential outcome, as
the transaction is exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors. It
should not be used as an indicator of possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
Mill City Mortgage Loan Trust 2018-3 has an ESG Relevance Score of
'4' for Transaction Parties & Operational Risk, which has a
negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 30: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-L and B-L loans and class A1-R2, A-LR2, A2-R2, B-R2, B-LR2, C-R2,
D1-R2, D2-R2, and E-R2 replacement debt from Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers CLO 30 Ltd./Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 30 LLC, a
CLO originally issued in Jan. 22, 2019, that is managed by
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 8,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 9, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the existing debt. S&P
Said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
existing debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
existing debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to Jan. 20, 2039; however,
the stated maturity date for the class A and B debt will be Jan.
20, 2037, until the controlling class condition is satisfied.
-- The weighted average life test will be extended to nine years
from the refinancing date.
-- Minimal additional assets will be purchased on and after the
Jan. 9, 2025 refinancing date, and the target initial par amount
will be $450.00 million. If required, there will be an additional
effective date and/or ramp-up period, and the first payment date
following the refinancing is April 20, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- The subordinated notes will be increased by $9.35 million. In
addition, the stated maturity date of the subordinated notes will
be updated to match that of the secured debt.
-- The transaction has made updates to conform to current rating
agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A1-R2, $71.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.24%
-- Class A-L loans(i), $217.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 1.24%
-- Class A-LR2, $0.00 million(ii): Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.24%
-- Class A2-R2, $9.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.50%
-- Class B-R2, $10.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
-- Class B-L loans(i), $35.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.60%
-- Class B-LR2, $0.00 million(ii): Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.60%
-- Class C-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.75%
-- Class D1-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.80%
-- Class D2-R2 (deferrable), $4.50 million: 7.74%
-- Class E-R2 (deferrable), $ 13.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.15%
Subordinated notes, $54.48 million: Not applicable
(i)The class A-L and B-L replacement loans will retain the same
legal class names as the current existing class A-L and class B-L
loans, respectively, following the Jan. 9, 2025, refinancing date.
In addition, on the Jan. 9, 2025 refinancing date, the class A-L
and B-L lenders may elect a cashless settlement and enter into
amendments on the terms of their existing commitments of class A-L
and B-L loans.
(ii)The class A-LR2 and B-LR2 debt will be issued with a zero
balance on the second refinancing date; however, they may be
increased upon a class A-L and B-L loan conversion to the class
A-LR2 and B-LR2 notes, respectively.
Existing debt
-- Class A-R, $51.379457 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.01% + CSA(i)
-- Class A-L loans, $217.157471 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 1.01%+ CSA(i)
-- Class A-L, $0.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.01%+
CSA(i)
-- Class B-R, $35.85 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.40% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B-L loans, $35.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.40% + CSA(i)
-- Class B-L, $0.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.40% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $32.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.75% + CSA(i)
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $27.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.85% + CSA(i)
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.20% + CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $45.13 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is equal to 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 30 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 30 LLC
Class A1-R2, $71.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L Loans, $217.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-LR2, $0.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A2-R2, $9.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $10.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-L Loans, $35.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-LR2, $0.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: A (sf)
Class D1-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D2-R2 (deferrable), $4.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $ 13.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $54.48 million: Not rated
NYT 2019-NYT: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-NYT
issued by NYT 2019-NYT Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-EXT at A (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
All trends are stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
long-term strength of the credit profile of the transaction. The
transaction is secured by the borrower's leasehold interest on a
portion of the New York Times Building, a Class A office building
in midtown Manhattan. Collateral for the loan includes office space
on floors 28 through 50, representing approximately 715,000 square
feet (sf), and 23,000 sf of ground floor retail space. Floors 2
through 27, which are occupied by the New York Times, are not a
part of the collateral. The collateral office property benefits
from its desirable location in Midtown Manhattan, a factor that has
contributed to historically high occupancy rates. Performance
remains consistent with the analysis considered at Morningstar
DBRS' previous credit rating action in April 2024, when the
Morningstar DBRS capitalization (cap) rate and the qualitative
adjustments derived at issuance were reassessed considering the
shift in demand and use for office property types in the last
several years. The resulting analysis contributed to credit rating
downgrades for the four most junior bonds in the capital stack as
part of that credit rating action in April 2024.
The $635.0 million floating rate, interest-only whole loan has a
current maturity date in December 2024. The loan was structured
with a two-year initial term and five one-year extension options;
As of the December 2024 reporting, the servicer's commentary
indicated that the borrower had exercised the fifth and final
extension option. The whole loan includes $515.0 million of senior
debt and $120.0 million of un-securitized subordinate debt.
Additionally, there is $115 million of unsecured mezzanine debt
that is held outside of the transaction. The loan is sponsored by
Forest City Enterprises L.P., and is owned by Brookfield Property
Partners L.P., which contributed $279.6 million of sponsor equity
at loan closing to acquire the property.
According to the trailing six months ended June 30, 2024,
financials, the collateral generated an annualized net cash flow
(NCF) of $34.5 million (reflecting a debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 0.88 times (x)), a significant decline from the YE2023
NCF figure of $43.3 million (a DSCR of 1.21x) and the Morningstar
DBRS NCF of $43.5 million. The decline is attributed to two
separate 11-month rent abatements for the largest tenant at the
property, Datadog Inc. (Datadog) (30.9% of net rentable area
(NRA)). The abatements total $12.4 million, and the tenant began
receiving the abatements in September 2022 and June 2023. In
addition, according to recent servicer commentary, the tenant will
receive approximately $15.2 million in additional abatements
between December 2024 to March 2026, tied in part to additional
space the tenant will lease from vacating tenant, Cam North
America, LLC (Cam North America), as discussed below.
According to the June 2024 rent roll, the property was 98.4%
occupied, unchanged from YE2023. Recent servicer commentary
confirmed that Cam North America (13.2% of NRA) will be vacating
its space at lease expiration in December 2024; however, Datadog
will backfill all three floors previously occupied by the tenant
and will receive rent abatements through March 2026. In addition,
the servicer confirmed that the second-largest tenant, Covington
and Burling LLP (26.2% of NRA, lease expiring September 2027), will
be moving a few blocks south, to 30 Hudson Yards, as part of an
expansion of its space. The tenant is expected to vacate mid-2025
but, as there are no termination or contraction options available,
will remain on the hook for its $17.5 million annual rent
obligation until lease expiration in 2027.
Although the pending departure of the second-largest tenant is a
noteworthy development, Morningstar DBRS notes that the sponsor
will have several years of lead time to pursue a replacement tenant
and given the subject's location and demand within the submarket,
it seems likely there will be prospects for the space. According to
Reis, the submarket vacancy rate at Q3 2024 was 12.9%, with Reis
forecasting vacancy rates to move to 13.7% by 2027 when the
tenant's lease expires. The property's average rental rates as of
the June 2024 rent roll were $95.20 per square foot (psf) compared
with the Midtown West submarket figures of $69.50 psf.
In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS maintained the
7.00% cap rate applied at the previous credit rating action in
April 2024, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS value of $622.0
million, a variance of -35.7% from the issuance appraised value of
$967.8 million. The Morningstar DBRS value implies a loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio of 82.8%, compared with the LTV of 50.9.2% on the
issuance appraised value and the Morningstar DBRS LTV of 76.9% at
issuance. As part of this analysis, Morningstar DBRS maintained
positive qualitative adjustments totaling 5.25% in the LTV sizing
benchmark to reflect the low historical vacancy, low cash flow
volatility, and desirable property quality.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
OHA CREDIT 2: S&P Assigns Preliminary BB-(sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the
replacement class X-R2, A-R2, A-L, B-1-R2, B-L, B-2-R2, C-R2,
D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 notes and A-L and B-L loans from OHA
Credit Funding 2 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 2 LLC, a CLO managed by
Oak Hill Advisors L.P. that was originally issued in July 2019 and
underwent a first refinancing in April 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 6,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 9, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the April 2021 debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the April
2021 debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if
the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
April 2021 debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R2, A-L, B-1-R2, B-L, C-R2, and E-R2
notes and A-L and B-L loans are expected to be issued at a lower
spread over three-month term SOFR than the existing debt.
-- Class B-2-R2 fixed-rate notes will be issued in connection with
this refinancing.
-- The class D-R debt is being replaced with sequential class
D-1-R2 and D-2-R2 debt, which is expected to be floating rate.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to Jan. 21, 2038.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 21, 2030, and
the non-call period will be extended to Jan. 9, 2027.
-- Class X-R2 notes will be issued in connection with this
refinancing. These notes are expected to be paid down using
interest proceeds during the first eight payment dates beginning
with the payment date in April 2025.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OHA Credit Funding 2 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 2 LLC
Class X-R2, $1.2 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R2, $204.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L, $0.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L loans, $168.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R2, $27.0 million: AA (sf)
Class B-L, $0.0 million: AA (sf)
Class B-L loans, $42.0 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R2, $15.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $36.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $36.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $6.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $18.0 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
OHA Credit Funding 2 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 2 LLC
Subordinated notes, $50.9 million: Not rated
OHA CREDIT 8: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
X-R, A-1-R, A-2-R, B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R debt
replacement debt from OHA Credit Funding 8 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding
8 LLC, a CLO managed by Oak Hill Advisors L.P. that was originally
issued in March 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 3,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 9, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the March 2021 debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the March
2021 debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if
the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
March 2021 debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1-R, B-1-R, C-R, D-1-R, and E-R notes
are expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term
SOFR than the original notes.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to Jan. 20, 2038.
-- The original class A debt is being replaced by two new classes:
A-1-R and A-2-R.
-- The original class D debt is being replaced by two new classes:
D-1-R and D-2-R.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 9, 2030, and
the non-call period will be extended to Jan. 9, 2027.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OHA Credit Funding 8 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 8 LLC
Class X-R, $1.40 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $369.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $39.00 million: Not rated
Class B-1-R, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R, $18.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
OHA Credit Funding 8 Ltd./OHA Credit Funding 8 LLC
Subordinated notes, $50.00 million: Not rated
ORL 2024-GLKS: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class HRR Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-GLKS (the Certificates) issued by ORL 2024-GLKS Mortgage
Trust:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The transaction is secured by the fee-simple interest in the Grande
Lakes Resort, a 1,592-key, full-service hotel that includes both a
582-key Ritz Carlton and 1,010-key JW Marriott. The 409-acre resort
is located within 30 minutes of Orlando's biggest attractions such
as Universal Studios and Walt Disney World and is less than 15
minutes from Orlando International Airport. The differentiated
hotel brands present different experiences that attract a more
diverse guest base across leisure, corporate, and group demand.
Morningstar DBRS has a positive view of the collateral considering
the significant capital investment made into the property and
post-COVID recovery.
The resort offers a strong amenity package with 14 food and
beverage (F&B) outlets, three pools, a waterpark and lazy river, a
40,000-square foot (sf) spa and fitness center, an 18-hole golf
course, tennis courts, a kids club, and nearly 278,000 sf of
meeting and event space. Most of the square footage for the meeting
and event space is indoors with a variety of large ballroom
offerings, which can be configured based on group needs, and
smaller breakout rooms, but there are also outdoor terraces and
venues for open-air events. The property's robust amenities appeal
to leisure, corporate, and group demand, and allow the property to
easily shift segmentation. Both hotels at Grande Lakes Resort have
been recognized as Top 5 Hotels in Orlando by US News in 2024, with
the Ritz Carlton as number one. Additionally, the Ritz Carlton is a
AAA Five-Diamond rated hotel and the JW Marriott is a AAA
Four-Diamond rated hotel.
The sponsor acquired the collateral in 2018 for $870.0 million and
subsequently invested $139.6 million across the resort. All 1,592
keys have been renovated with a full replacement of hard and soft
goods. The Ritz Carlton has received $46.3 million ($79,500 per
key) in renovations since 2019 and has an additional $6.1 million
planned in 2025. In addition to the comprehensive renovations to
the guest rooms, the Ritz has added a 14th-floor lounge known as
the Ritz Club, refreshed various F&B outlets, and upgraded the pool
areas. The 2025 capital improvements will be targeted toward the
meeting rooms. The JW Marriott has seen $91.8 million ($90,900 per
key) in renovations since 2019, which included a redesigned lobby,
updates to the pool area, including the addition of three
waterslides, several reimagined F&B outlets, and a full renovation
of the meeting space.
The total loan amount of $800.0 million will be used to refinance
$750.0 million in existing CMBS debt (ORL 2023-GLKS), return $34.0
million to the sponsor, and cover closing costs. The two-year
floating-rate loan is interest only and has three one-year
extension options. The floating rate will be based on the one-month
Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) plus 2.65%. The borrower
has entered into an interest rate cap agreement with an assumed
SOFR cap of 5.50%.
The borrower sponsor for this transaction will be a joint venture
between Trinity Real Estate Investments LLC (Trinity) and Elliott
Management Corporation (Elliott). While the subject is their first
venture together, Trinity and Elliott have gone on to make several
other hospitality-centered investments together. Trinity is a
private real estate investment firm that specializes in value-add
opportunities. The firm has made over $9.8 billion of investments
throughout the U.S., Mexico, Europe, and Japan, and its portfolio
comprises more than 7,800 hotel rooms. Elliott has a domestic and
international strategy fund with a combined $70 billion under
management since July 2024. Since 2009, Elliott has invested more
than $13.0 billion in commercial real estate in the U.S., Europe,
and Asia. Additionally, Elliott is headquartered in Florida.
Following the recent renovations at the property, the collateral
has seen positive momentum in average daily rate (ADR) and revenue
per available room (RevPAR) with rates of $361.77 and $240.14,
respectively, as of the trailing 12-month period ended September
2024. While ADR and RevPAR are stronger in 2024 than they were in
2023, when they were $345.76 and $236.85, respectively, occupancy
continues to lag pre-pandemic levels and has even fallen slightly
below 2023 performance at 66.4% compared with 68.5%. This is a
somewhat common trend in the hospitality industry as hotels
benefitted from pent-up demand following the pandemic, which has
since slowed down in 2024. However, because of the timing of the
renovations, it is possible that the resort has not fully realized
the upside in performance on a go-forward basis.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
OZLM XIV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R3 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-2R3, B-1R3, B-2R3, C-1R3, C-2R3, and D-R3 replacement debt from
OZLM XIV Ltd./OZLM XIV LLC, a CLO originally issued in December
2015 that is managed by Sculptor Loan Management L.P. and was not
rated by S&P Global Ratings.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Sculptor Loan Management L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 8,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Jan. 10, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to assign ratings to the replacement
debt. However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may withdraw
our preliminary ratings on the replacement debt."
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OZLM XIV Ltd./OZLM XIV LLC
Class X-R, $3.250 million: NR
Class A-1R3, $201.500 million: NR
Class A-2R3, $45.50 million: AA (sf)
Class B-1R3 (deferrable), $19.500 million: A (sf)
Class B-2R3 (deferrable), $7.450 million: A- (sf)
Class C-1R3 (deferrable), $8.800 million: BBB (sf)
Class C-2R3 (deferrable), $5.687 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-R3 (deferrable), $10.563 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $52.438 million: Not rated
NR--Not rated.
PRPM 2024-NQM4: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on Class B-1 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-NQM4 (the
Certificates) issued by PRPM 2024-NQM4 Trust (the Issuer) as
follows:
-- $276.9 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $9.5 million Class A-2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $29.3 million Class A-3 at A (high) (sf)
-- $17.4 million Class M-1A at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $14.9 million Class M-1B at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $6.7 million Class B-1 at BB (low) (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A-1 Certificates reflects
25.85% of credit enhancement provided by the subordinated
certificates. The AA (high) (sf), A (high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf),
BBB (low) (sf), and BB (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 23.30%,
15.45%, 10.80%, 6.80%, and 5.00% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed- and
adjustable-rate expanded prime and nonprime first-lien residential
mortgages funded by the issuance of the Certificates. The
Certificates are backed by 762 mortgage loans with a total
principal balance of $373,371,330 as of October 31, 2024 (the
Cut-Off Date).
PRPM 2024-NQM4 represents the eighth securitization issued from the
PRPM NQM shelf, which is backed by both nonqualified mortgages
(non-QM) and business-purpose investment property loans
underwritten using debt service coverage ratios (DSCR). PRP V AIV
Holdings, L.P., a fund owned by the aggregator, Balbec Capital LP &
PRP Advisors, LLC (PRP), serves as the Sponsor of this
transaction.
OCMBC Inc. doing business as (dba) LoanStream Mortgage (LoanStream;
26.9%) is the largest originator of the mortgage loans; 73.2% of
the loans were originated by various originators, each of which
originated less than 10% of the loans. Fay Servicing, LLC (Fay;
86.7%) & NewRez LLC dba Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint;
13.3%) are the Servicers of the loans in this transaction. PRP will
act as Servicing Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust Company, National
Association (rated AA with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will
act as Trustee, Securities Administrator, and Certificate
Registrar. U.S. Bank National Association will act as Custodian.
For 37.7% of the pool, the mortgage loans were underwritten to
program guidelines for business-purpose loans that are designed to
rely on property value, the mortgagor's credit profile, and DSCR,
where applicable. In addition, 2.6% of the pool comprises
investment property loans underwritten using debt-to-income ratios
(DTI). Because these loans were made to borrowers for business
purposes, they are exempt from the Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau's (CFPB) Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules and TILA/RESPA
Integrated Disclosure rule.
For 36.4% of the pool, the mortgage loans were originated to
satisfy the CFPB's Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules, but were made to
borrowers who generally do not qualify for agency, government, or
private-label nonagency prime jumbo products for various reasons.
In accordance with the QM/ATR rules, these loans are designated as
non-QM. Remaining loans subject to the ATR rules are designated as
QM Safe Harbor (20.0%), and QM Rebuttable Presumption (3.2%) by
unpaid principal balance (UPB).
The Sponsor, or the Depositor, a majority-owned affiliate of the
Sponsor, will retain the requisite portion of the Class B-3 and the
Class XS Certificates, representing an eligible horizontal interest
of at least 5% of the aggregate fair value of the Certificates to
satisfy the credit risk-retention requirements under Section 15G of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder. Such retention aligns Sponsor and investor interest in
the capital structure.
On or after the earlier of (1) the distribution date in December
2027 or (2) the date when the aggregate UPB of the mortgage loans
is reduced to 30% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the Depositor, at
its option, may redeem all of the outstanding Certificates at a
price equal to the class balances of the related Certificates plus
accrued and unpaid interest, including any Cap Carryover Amounts,
any deferred amounts, and other fees, expenses, indemnification,
and reimbursement amounts described in the transaction documents
(Optional Redemption). An Optional Redemption will be followed by a
qualified liquidation.
The Sponsor will have the option, but not the obligation, to
repurchase any mortgage loan that becomes 60 or more days
delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) method at
the Repurchase Price (par plus interest), provided that such
repurchases in aggregate do not exceed 10% of the total principal
balance as of the Cut-Off Date.
For this transaction, the Servicers will not fund advances of
delinquent principal and interest (P&I) on any mortgage. However,
the Servicers are obligated to make advances in respect of taxes,
insurance premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties (servicing advances).
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with a
pro rata principal distribution among the senior classes (Class
A-1, A-2, and A-3) subject to certain performance triggers related
to cumulative losses or delinquencies exceeding a specified
threshold (Trigger Event). Prior to a Trigger Event, principal
proceeds can be used to cover interest shortfalls on the Class A-1,
A-2, and A-3 before being applied sequentially to amortize the
balances of the senior and subordinate Certificates. After a
Trigger Event, principal proceeds will be allocated to cover
interest shortfalls on the Class A-1 and then in reduction of the
Class A-1 note balance before a similar allocation of funds to the
Class A-2 (IPIP).
Monthly Excess Cash flow can be used to cover realized losses
before being allocated to unpaid Cap Carryover Amounts due to Class
A-1, A-2, A-3, M-1A, M1B, and B-1 (if applicable). For this
transaction, the Class A-1, A-2, and A-3 fixed rates step up by 100
basis points on and after the payment date in November 2028. On or
after January 2029, interest and principal otherwise payable to the
Class B-3 may also be used to pay any Class A Cap Carryover
Amounts.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
RAD CLO 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RAD CLO
9, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RAD CLO 9, Ltd.
(f/k/a Kayne
CLO 9, Ltd.)
A-1 48661QAA9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
RAD CLO 9, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Irradiant Partners, LP. On Jan. 7, 2025 the secured notes will be
refinanced in whole. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $450 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.31 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating
category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, the
notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S.
CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.64% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.77% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial matrix point of
70.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'Asf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 9, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
READY CAPITAL 2019-6: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the following classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates issued by Ready
Capital Mortgage Trust 2019-6:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class IO-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class IO-B/C at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
-- Class G at B (high) (sf)
The trends on Classes C, D, and IO-B/C are Positive. The trends on
all remaining classes are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction since the previous Morningstar DBRS
credit rating action in February 2024. Two loans remain in special
servicing, representing 8.8% of the current pool balance, and there
are 18 loans on the servicer's watchlist, representing 48.0% of the
current pool balance. Morningstar DBRS' analysis includes
conservative adjustments made, where appropriate, to reflect
increased credit risk, and its projections for these loans remains
largely unchanged since the last credit rating action.
Offsetting this concentration is the significant increase in credit
support as a result of continued amortization and loan repayments.
Since the previous credit rating action, two loans have been
repaid. As of the November 2024 remittance, 50 of the original 89
loans remain in the pool with a current trust balance of $218.8
million, reflecting a collateral reduction of 49.2% since issuance.
This forms the basis of the Positive trends placed on Classes C, D,
and the interest-only Class IOBC. Credit support to Classes C and D
has nearly doubled since issuance, indicating positive pressure in
the middle of the capital stack. There are a number of loans
scheduled to mature over the next 12 to 24 months. As the pool
continues to deleverage and granted performance remains stable,
these classes may be subject to future upgrades to reflect the
improved credit enhancement. Upward ratings movement may be
constrained by adverse selection and lack of resolution for
underperforming loans.
The largest loan in special servicing, 777 E 12th St (Prospectus
ID#5; 8.4% of the pool balance), is secured by a mixed-use property
in the Fashion District of downtown Los Angeles. The loan
transferred to special servicing in October 2023 due to imminent
monetary default, and the special servicer is pursuing foreclosure.
Occupancy has declined in recent years, most recently reported at
80.1% as of the September 2024 rent roll, down from 91.6% as of
September 2023. As of the Q3 2023 annualized net cash flow (NCF)
provided by the servicer, the property generated a NCF of $1.1
million, equating to a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 0.84
times (x). Morningstar DBRS has yet to receive an updated appraised
value from the servicer; however, at issuance, the property's value
was $31.6 million. Given the prolonged decline in operating cash
flow, Morningstar DBRS believes the property's current market value
has significantly declined. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
considered a stressed value in its liquidation scenario resulting
in a loss severity in excess of 50%.
The other loan in special servicing, Lakeland Medical Office
Building (Prospectus ID#81; 0.5% of the pool balance), is secured
by an office property in Niles, Michigan. The loan has been in
special servicing since September 2020 and became real estate owned
in July 2022. While the servicer has not provided updated
financials, the property was appraised for $1.5 million as of
August 2023. Morningstar DBRS also assumed a liquidation scenario
in its analysis of this loan, resulting in a loss severity above
60.0%. The cumulative projected losses from both specially serviced
loans are projected to be contained to the unrated bond, Class H.
The largest loan on the servicer's watchlist, 1001 Ross (Prospectus
ID#2; 11.0% of the pool), is secured by a 204-unit multifamily
property with a 30,164-square-foot retail component in downtown
Dallas. Despite historically stable occupancy, the loan continues
to be monitored for low DSCR, which was reported at 0.68x for the
trailing 12 months (T-12) ended September 30, 2024. In September
2024, the loan was modified extending loan maturity to September
2025, inclusive of a 12-month extension subject to certain
performance thresholds. As part of the modification the borrower
paid down the loan by $2.5 million and purchased a new rate cap
agreement with a 3.25% strike rate. In its current analysis,
Morningstar DBRS applied increased loan-to-value ratio and
probability of default adjustments to reflect the current credit
risk of the loan. The adjustments resulted in a loan expected loss
approximately 2x greater than the expected loss for the pool.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
RESERVOIR FINANCIAL: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class D Loan
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Class A Loan, the Class B Loan, the Class C Loan, and the Class D
Loan, and the Class E Loan (together, the Loans) issued by
Reservoir Financial, LLC, pursuant to the terms of the Fourth
Amended and Restated Loan Agreement (the Loan Agreement) dated
December 20, 2024, among Reservoir Financial, LLC, as the Borrower;
Delaware Life Insurance Company, as a Lender and the Managing
Lender; Clear Spring Life and Annuity Company, as a Lender; and
Cortland Capital Market Services LLC, as the Paying Agent and
Calculation Agent:
-- Class A Loan at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B Loan at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class C Loan at (P) BBB (sf)
-- Class D Loan at (P) BB (sf)
-- Class E Loan at (P) B (low) (sf)
The provisional credit rating on the Class A Loan addresses the
timely payment of interest and the ultimate payment of principal on
or before the Legal Final Maturity Date. The provisional credit
ratings on the Class B Loan, the Class C Loan, and the Class D
Loan, and the Class E Loan address the ultimate payment of interest
and the ultimate payment of principal on or before the Legal Final
Maturity Date. The Loans could have an earlier Maturity Date (as
defined in the Loan Agreement) if the proceeds from the liquidation
of the assets of the Borrower, distributed pursuant to Section 1.4
of the Loan Agreement, would be sufficient so that after such
distribution all interest and Deferred Interest (if any) due and
payable and the outstanding principal amount of the Loans would be
paid in full and the Aggregate Loan Balance reduced to zero.
Should a Distribution Event (as defined in the Loan Agreement)
occur, the Designated Lender (as defined in the Loan Agreement)
shall have the right at any time, upon written notice to the
Borrower, the Paying Agent, and the Rating Agency, to instruct the
Paying Agent to distribute the Borrower's assets to the Designated
Lenders. In consideration thereof, the Aggregate Loan Balance of
the Loans will be reduced to zero and all obligations of the
Borrower (except those which expressly survive the termination of
the Loan Agreement) shall be deemed satisfied.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
Reservoir Financial, LLC is a cash flow collateralized loan
obligation (CLO) that will be collateralized primarily by a
portfolio of U.S. senior secured middle-market (MM) corporate loans
and managed by Delaware Life Insurance Company as the Servicer.
Morningstar DBRS considers Delaware Life Insurance Company to be an
acceptable CLO manager. At the time of assigning the provisional
credit ratings on the Loans, Morningstar DBRS understood that the
Lenders and the Servicer are affiliated entities (though the
Lenders may sell or assign the Loans following the closing). As
such, as of this date, certain key parties to this transaction are
related parties. In addition, Delaware Life Insurance Company
engaged Morningstar DBRS for the determination of the credit
ratings on the Loans.
The Scheduled Reinvestment Period Termination Date is the Payment
Date immediately succeeding the date that is three years following
the DBRS Final Ratings Effective Date, as defined in the Loan
Agreement. The Legal Final Maturity Date is December 18, 2034.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Loans to withstand projected collateral loss
rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Obligations.
(5) Assessment of the CLO management capabilities of Delaware Life
Insurance Company as the Servicer.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Borrower and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS "Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance"
methodology.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via a selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Applicable Row Level, selected by the
Servicer, the following metrics are determined by the applicable
row of the CQM: Maximum Weighted Average Life, Minimum Weighted
Average Spread, and Maximum Risk Score. Morningstar DBRS analyzed
each structural configuration as a unique transaction and all
configurations (rows) passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating
stress levels. The Overcollateralization Tests and the Collateral
Quality Tests that Morningstar DBRS modelled during its analysis
are presented below:
Coverage Tests
Class A Overcollateralization Test: 137.06%
Class B Overcollateralization Test: 125.33%
Class C Overcollateralization Test: 119.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Test: 110.28%
Class E Overcollateralization Test: 106.73%
Collateral Quality Tests
Minimum Weighted-Average Spread: Subject to Collateral Quality
Matrix; 5.25% - 6.25%
Minimum Weighted-Average Coupon: 5.50%
Minimum Weighted-Average Recovery Rate: 52.5%
Maximum Weighted-Average Risk Score: Subject to Collateral Quality
Matrix; 30.0% - 35.0%
Maximum Weighted-Average: Subject to Collateral Quality Matrix:
3.00 - 5.50 years
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) collateral
that consists of primarily U.S. senior-secured MM corporate loans,
and (2) the expected adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Diversity Score, CQM-driven).
Some challenges were identified: (1) the collateral will be
revolving during the Reinvestment Period and will continue to ramp
up after the Closing Date, and (2) the expected weighted-average
credit quality of the underlying obligors may fall below investment
grade (per the CQM) and the majority of the underlying loans are
not expected to have public ratings.
Morningstar DBRS modeled the transaction using the Morningstar DBRS
CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, default
timings, and recovery rates, among other credit considerations
referenced in the Morningstar DBRS "Global Methodology for Rating
CLOs and Corporate CDOs." Morningstar DBRS' analysis produced
satisfactory results, which supported the provisional credit
ratings on the Loans.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that Morningstar
DBRS uses when rating the Loans.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
RIPPLE NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Class A
Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
(together, the Secured Notes) issued by Ripple Notes Issuer LLC
pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July 28, 2023 (the
Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental Indenture dated as
of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental Indenture dated as of
December 20, 2024, entered into between Ripple Notes Issuer LLC, as
the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as
Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Ripple Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.65%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.71%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.46%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 194.83%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 155.97%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.16%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 47.18%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 53.08%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 60.94%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 62.90%; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.25%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
SDART 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate and assign Rating Outlooks to
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust (SDART) 2025-1.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Santander Drive
Auto Receivables
Trust 2025-1
A-1 ST F1+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral Performance — Stable Credit Quality: SDART 2025-1 is
backed by collateral that is consistent with that of prior SDART
series, with a weighted average (WA) FICO score of 605 and an
internal WA loan funded score (LFS) of 535, both the same as in
2024-5. WA seasoning is 6.8 months, below the recent high for the
platform of 10.6 months in 2024-5. New vehicles total 32.4% of the
pool, up slightly from 30.7% in 2024-5.
In addition, the pool is diverse in terms of vehicle models and
geographic concentrations. The transaction's percentage of
extended-term loans (61+ months) remains elevated at 93.1%, and
greater-than-72-month term loans total 20.3%, up from 18.8% in
2024-5.
Forward-Looking Approach to Derive Rating Case Proxy —
Delinquencies Up, Losses Contained: Fitch considered economic
conditions and future expectations by assessing key macroeconomic
and wholesale market conditions when deriving the series rating
case loss proxy. Fitch used the 2007-2009 and 2015-2018 vintage
ranges to derive the loss proxy for 2025-1, representing
through-the-cycle performance. While performance has deteriorated
for 2022 and 2023 originations, increases in delinquencies have not
fully rolled into losses. Fitch's rating case cumulative net loss
(CNL) proxy for 2025-1 is 15.00%.
Payment Structure — Adequate Credit Enhancement: Initial hard
credit enhancement (CE) totals 42.60%, 31.30%, 21.80%, 10.75%, and
6.15% for classes A, B, C, D, and E, respectively. After a trend in
declining CE over the past several transactions, initial hard CE
increased in 2024-5. However, 2025-1 hard CE is 0.40%, 0.70%, and
0.20% lower for classes A through C, but 0.25% higher for class D,
compared with 2024-5. The 2025-1 structure differs in that it is
the first SDART transaction since 2021 to include class E. Excess
spread is expected to be 9.33% per annum. Loss coverage for each
class of notes is sufficient to cover the respective multiples of
Fitch's rating case CNL proxy of 15.00%.
Operational and Servicing Risks — Consistent
Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: Santander Consumer USA Inc.
(SC) has adequate abilities as the originator, underwriter and
servicer, as evident from historical portfolio and securitization
performance. Fitch rates SC's ultimate parent, Banco Santander,
S.A., 'A-'/Stable/'F2'. Fitch deems SC as capable of servicing this
transaction.
Fitch's base case loss expectation, which does not include a margin
of safety and is not used in Fitch's quantitative analysis to
assign ratings, is 13.00%, based on Fitch's "Global Economic
Outlook — December 2024" report and transaction-based forecast
projections.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CNL levels that are higher than the rating case and would likely
result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage levels
available to the notes. In addition, unanticipated declines in
recoveries could also result in lower net loss coverage, which may
make certain note ratings susceptible to potential negative rating
actions depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Therefore, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial rating case CNL and recovery rate
assumptions, as well as by examining the rating implications on all
classes of issued notes. The CNL sensitivity stresses the rating
case CNL proxy to the level necessary to reduce each rating by one
full category to non-investment grade (BBsf) and to 'CCCsf' based
on the break-even loss coverage provided by the CE structure.
Fitch also conducts 1.5x and 2.0x increases to the rating case CNL
proxy, representing both moderate and severe stresses. Fitch also
evaluates the impact of stressed recovery rates on an auto loan ABS
structure and rating impact with a 50% haircut. These analyses are
intended to provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of the
notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to rising CE levels and consideration for
potential upgrades. If CNL is 20% less than the projected proxy,
the expected ratings for the subordinate notes could be upgraded by
up to one category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparing or recomputing certain
information with respect to 150 loans from the statistical data
file. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did
not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The concentration of hybrid and electric vehicles of approximately
5.9% did not have an impact on Fitch's ratings analysis or
conclusion on this transaction and has no impact on Fitch's ESG
Relevance Score.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns B+(EXP) Rating on B5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2025-1 (SEMT 2025-1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
SEMT 2025-1
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A10 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A15 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A16 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A17 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A18 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A19 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A20 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A21 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A22 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A23 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A24 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A25 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO10 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO15 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO16 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO17 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO18 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO19 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO20 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO21 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO22 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO23 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO24 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO25 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO26 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1A LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1X LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2A LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2X LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B4 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B5 LT B+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B6 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The certificates are supported by 477 loans with a total balance of
approximately $562.8 million as of the cutoff date. The pool
consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages acquired by Redwood
Residential Acquisition Corp. from various mortgage originators.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
477 loans totaling approximately $562.8 million and seasoned at
about three months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted average
(WA) Fitch model FICO score of 778 and a 35.8% debt-to-income (DTI)
ratio. The borrowers also have moderate leverage, with an 81.0%
sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio and a 71.7% mark-to-market
combined loan-to-value (cLTV) ratio.
Overall, 93.2% of the pool loans are for a primary residence, while
6.8% are loans for second homes; 71.5% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel. Additionally, 99.6% of the loans are
designated as safe harbor qualified mortgage (QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices (SHPs), it views the home price
values of this pool as 11.0% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since the
prior quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices increased 3.9% yoy nationally as of September
2024, despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
After the credit support depletion date, principal will be
distributed sequentially to the senior classes, which is more
beneficial for the super-senior classes (A-9, A-12 and A-18).
SEMT 2025-1 will feature the servicing administrator (RRAC),
following initial reductions in the class A-IO-S strip and
servicing administrator fees, obligated to advance delinquent P&I
to the trust until deemed nonrecoverable. Full advancing of P&I is
a common structural feature across prime transactions in providing
liquidity to the certificates, and absent the full advancing, bonds
can be vulnerable to missed payments during periods of adverse
performance.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.25%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10%, 20% and 30%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.1% at 'AAAsf'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration with higher MVDs compared to the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national level
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E ("Form 15E") as
prepared by Clayton, SitusAMC, and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance, and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction in its loss
analysis. This adjustment resulted in a 24bp reduction to the
'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
SEMT 2025-1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2025-1 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SILVER POINT 7: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Silver Point CLO 7, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Silver Point
CLO 7, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Silver Point CLO 7, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Silver
Point CLO Management, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.95% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.17%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Silver Point CLO 7,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
SILVER POINT 7: Moody's Assigns 'B3' Rating to $250,000 Cl. F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Silver Point CLO 7, Ltd.:
US$320,000,000 Class A-1 Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Silver Point 7 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans and permitted
non-loan assets. The portfolio is approximately 80% ramped as of
the closing date.
Silver Point CLO Management, LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2947
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
SUNNOVA AURORA I: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class C Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes issued by Sunnova Aurora I Issuer, LLC,
Series 2024-PR1 (Sunnova 2024-PR1 or the Issuer):
-- $197,600,000 Series 2024-PR1 Class A Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- $17,900,000 Series 2024-PR1 Class B Notes at A (sf)
-- $12,700,000 Series 2024-PR1 Class C Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The Morningstar DBRS credit ratings on the Notes are based upon a
review by Morningstar DBRS of the following considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure and the form and sufficiency
of available credit enhancement.
-- Overcollateralization, subordination, reserve account amounts,
and excess spread create credit enhancement levels that are
commensurate with the ratings.
-- Transaction cash flows are sufficient to repay investors under
all rating stress scenarios in accordance with the terms of the
Sunnova 2024-PR1 transaction documents.
-- The quality and credit characteristics of the solar lease
customers.
-- Structural features of the transaction that require the Notes
to enter into full turbo principal amortization if performance
deteriorates or if the Notes remain outstanding post-ARD.
-- The experience, origination, and underwriting capabilities of
Sunnova.
-- Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational assessment of
Sunnova and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator.
-- The ability of the Servicer to perform collections on the
collateral pool and other required activities.
-- Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational assessment of
Sunnova and considers the entity to be an acceptable servicer.
-- The legal structure and legal opinions that address true sale,
nonconsolidation, that the trust has a valid first-priority
security interest in the assets, and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns: December 2024 Update, published on December 19, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Class A Notes, Class B
Notes, and Class C Notes addresses the credit risk associated with
the identified financial obligations in accordance with the
relevant transaction documents. The associated financial
obligations are Note Interest and the Outstanding Note Balance on
the Class A Notes, Note Interest, Interest on unpaid Note Interest,
Class B Deferred Interest, interest on unpaid Class B Deferred
Interest, and the Outstanding Note Balance on the Class B Notes,
and Note Interest, Interest on unpaid Note Interest, Class C
Deferred Interest, interest on unpaid Class C Deferred Interest,
and the Outstanding Note Balance on the Class C Notes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TCW CLO 2020-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class ERR Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A1-R3, A2-R3,
B-R3, C-R3, and D-R3 replacement debt from TCW CLO 2020-1 Ltd./TCW
CLO 2020-1 LLC, a CLO managed by TCW Group Inc. that was originally
issued in April 2020 and underwent a refinancing in May 2021. At
the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A1RR, A2RR,
BRR, CRR, and DRR debt following payment in full on the Jan. 3,
2025, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class
ERR and XRR debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 20, 2026.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
a lower rating on the class ERR debt (which was not refinanced)
than today's rating action reflects. However, we affirmed our 'BB-
(sf)' rating on the class ERR debt after considering the margin of
failure, the relatively stable overcollateralization ratio since
our last rating action on the transaction, and that the transaction
will soon enter its amortization phase. Based on the latter, we
expect the credit support available to all rated classes to
increase as principal is collected and the senior debt is paid
down. In addition, we believe the payment of principal or interest
on the class ERR debt when due does not depend on favorable
business, financial, or economic conditions. Therefore, this class
does not fit our definition of 'CCC' risk in accordance with our
guidance criteria."
Replacement And May 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A1-R3, $300.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.05%
-- Class A2-R3, $25.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.45%
-- Class B-R3, $55.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.60%(i)
-- Class C-R3, $30.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.00%(i)
-- Class D-R3, $30.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
3.40%(i)
May 2021 debt
-- Class XRR, $4.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.11%(i)
-- Class A1RR, $300.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.42%(i)
-- Class A2RR, $25.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.71%(i)
-- Class BRR, $55.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.01%(i)
-- Class CRR, $30.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.31%(i)
-- Class DRR, $30.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.66%(i)
-- Class ERR, $20.0 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.01%(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $55.5 million: Not applicable
(i)Includes a credit spread adjustment of 0.26%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
TCW CLO 2020-1 Ltd./TCW CLO 2020-1 LLC
Class A1-R3, $300.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A2-R3, $25.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R3, $55.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R3, $30.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-R3, $30.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
TCW CLO 2020-1 Ltd./TCW CLO 2020-1 LLC
Class A1RR to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A2RR to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class BRR to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class CRR to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class DRR to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
TCW CLO 2020-1 Ltd./TCW CLO 2020-1 LLC
Class XRR: AAA (sf)
Class ERR: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
TCW CLO 2020-1 Ltd./TCW CLO 2020-1 LLC
Subordinated notes, $55.5 million: Not rated
TIDAL NOTES: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class D Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Class A
Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
(together, the Secured Notes) issued by Tidal Notes Issuer LLC
pursuant to the Indenture dated as of July 28, 2023 (the
Indenture), as amended by the First Supplemental Indenture dated as
of July 25, 2024 and the Second Supplemental Indenture dated as of
December 20, 2024, entered into between Tidal Notes Issuer LLC, as
the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, as
Trustee:
-- Class A Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest (excluding any Defaulted Interest, as defined in the
Indenture) and the ultimate return of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes, and the Class D Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest (excluding any Defaulted
Interest, as defined in the Indenture) and the ultimate return of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transaction's respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' review
of the Second Supplemental Indenture, dated December 20, 2024,
which amended the definition of PIKable Loan, as well as the
satisfaction of certain conditions to finalize the credit ratings.
The Secured Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. middle-market corporate loans. Tidal Notes Issuer LLC is
managed by 26North Direct Lending II LP, an affiliate of 26North
Partners LP. Morningstar DBRS considers 26North Direct Lending II
LP to be an acceptable middle-market corporate loan manager.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The integrity of the transaction structure.
(2) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the portfolio quality.
(3) Adequate credit enhancement to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
middle-market corporate loan management capabilities of 26North
Direct Lending II LP.
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via the selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM).
Depending on a given Diversity Score, the following metrics are
selected accordingly from the applicable row of the CQM:
Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, WAS Test, and Weighted-Average
Recovery Rate (WARR). Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural
configuration as a unique transaction and all configurations (rows)
passed the applicable Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The
Coverage Tests and triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests
that Morningstar DBRS reviewed in its analysis are presented
below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 149.00%; Threshold
140.00%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 136.96%; Threshold
115.00%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 123.53%; Threshold
113.00%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Actual 120.55%; Threshold
113.00%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 227.47%; Threshold
150.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 194.84%; Threshold
130.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 156.49%; Threshold
120.00%
Class D Interest Coverage Ratio Test: Actual 147.62%; Threshold
120.00%
Advance Rate Tests:
Class A Advance Rate: Actual 58.93%; Threshold 60.00%
Class B Advance Rate: Actual 66.29%; Threshold 67.50%
Class C Advance Rate: Actual 76.11%; Threshold 77.50%
Class D Advance Rate: Actual 78.57%; Threshold 80.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Actual 12.70; Threshold 8
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Actual 33.06%; Threshold
40.00%
Minimum WA Spread: Actual 5.24%; Threshold 5.00%
Minimum Average Recovery Rate Test: Actual 60.50%; Threshold
59.04%
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which consists of at least 95% of senior-secured middle
market loans; (2) the adequate diversification of the portfolio of
collateral obligations (Minimum Diversity Score Test of 8); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Obligations.
Some challenges that were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average (WA) credit quality of the underlying obligors may
fall below investment grade (per the Collateral Quality Matrix) and
the majority may not have public ratings once purchased; and (2)
the underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem
the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in Morningstar DBRS' "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (November 19, 2024;
https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/443207) and CLO Insight Model
v. 1.0.1.4.
Model-based analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned Second
Supplemental Indenture, produced satisfactory results. Considering
the analysis, as well as the transaction's legal aspects and
structure, Morningstar DBRS finalized the credit ratings on the
Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that is used in
assigning ratings to a facility.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. Dollars unless otherwise noted.
TOWD POINT 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B3 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2024-2 (the Notes) issued by Towd
Point Mortgage Trust 2024-2 (the Trust) as follows:
-- $436.8 million Class A1A at AAA (sf)
-- $79.5 million Class A1B at AAA (sf)
-- $516.3 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $12.6 million Class A2 at AA (sf)
-- $6.0 million Class M1 at A (sf)
-- $3.8 million Class M2 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $2.7 million Class B1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $1.4 million Class B2 at B (high) (sf)
-- $1.1 million Class B3 at B (low) (sf)
The Class A1 Notes are exchangeable. This class can be exchanged
for combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings reflect 5.45% of credit enhancement
provided by subordinated certificates. The AA (sf), A (sf), BBB
(high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), B (high) (sf), and B (low) (sf) credit
ratings reflect 3.15%, 2.05%, 1.35%, 0.85%, 0.60%, and 0.40% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
The Trust is a securitization of a portfolio of predominantly
seasoned performing and reperforming first-lien mortgages funded by
the issuance of asset-backed notes (the Notes). The Notes are
backed by 860 loans with a total scheduled principal balance of
$546,058,171 as of the Cut-Off Date (December 1, 2024).
The portfolio is approximately 92 months seasoned with 100.0% of
the pool seasoned for more than 24 months. The portfolio contains
0.7% modified loans, and modifications happened more than two years
ago for 100.0% of the modified loans in the pool. Within the pool,
none of the mortgages have non-interest-bearing deferred amounts.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 99.5% of the pool is current under the
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method.
Approximately 91.7% of the mortgage loans have been zero times 30
days delinquent (0 x 30) for at least the past 24 months under the
MBA delinquency method (ignoring delinquencies due to servicing
transfer).
Morningstar DBRS assumed approximately 18.4% of the pool is exempt
from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Ability-to-Repay (ATR)/Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules. Additionally,
Morningstar DBRS assumed 1.6% of the loans is designated as
Temporary QM Safe Harbor or QM Safe Harbor, and 80.0% to be Non-QM
based on the results of the third-party due diligence.
FirstKey Mortgage, LLC (FirstKey) will acquire the loans from
various transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring
trusts acquired the mortgage loans and are beneficially owned by
funds managed by affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P.
(Cerberus). Upon acquiring the loans from the transferring trusts,
FirstKey, through a wholly owned subsidiary, Towd Point Asset
Funding, LLC (the Depositor), will contribute loans to the Trust.
As the Sponsor, FirstKey, through one or more majority-owned
affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible vertical interest
in each class of securities to be issued (other than any residual
certificates) to satisfy the credit risk retention requirements.
All of the loans will be serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing,
Inc. (SPS). The SPS aggregate servicing fee rate for each payment
date is 0.1050% per annum. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
applied a higher servicing fee rate.
For this transaction, the Servicer will fund advances of delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) until the loans become 180 days
delinquent under the MBA delinquency method or are otherwise deemed
unrecoverable. Additionally, the Servicer is obligated to make
certain advances in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes,
and insurance, installment payments on energy improvement liens,
and reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties.
FirstKey, as the Asset Manager, has the option to sell certain
nonperforming loans or real estate-owned (REO) properties to
unaffiliated third parties individually or in bulk sales. Such
sales require an asset sale price to at least equal a minimum
reserve amount of the product of (1) 92.65 % and (2) the current
principal amount of the mortgage loans or REO properties as of the
sale date.
When the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans is reduced to
less than 20% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the Call Option Holder
(an affiliate of the Sponsor, the Seller, the Asset Manager, the
Depositor, and the Risk Retention Holder) will have the option to
cause the Issuer to sell all of its remaining property (other than
amounts in the Breach Reserve Account) to one or more third-party
purchasers so long as the aggregate proceeds meet a minimum price.
When the aggregate pool balance is reduced to less than 10% of the
balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the Call Option Holder may purchase
all of the mortgage loans, REO properties, and other properties
from the Issuer, as long as the aggregate proceeds meet a minimum
price.
The transaction allows for the issuance of Class A1 Loans in which
the Issuer may enter into a Credit Agreement to borrow up to the
balance of the Class A1 Loans from Class A1 Lenders on the Closing
Date. For the TPMT 2024-2 transaction, the Class A1 Loans will not
be issued at closing.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A2
and more subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1A and A1B Notes are retired.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
UNITI FIBER 2025-1: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP) Rating on Class C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Uniti Fiber ABS Issuer LLC, Secured Fiber Network Revenue Term
Notes, Series 2025-1 as follows:
- $426,000,000 series 2025-1, class A-2, 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $65,000,000 series 2025-1, class B, 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $98,000,000 series 2025-1, class C, 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $31,000,000(a) series 2025-1, class R.
(a) Horizontal credit risk retention interest representing 5% of
the 2025-1 notes.
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitization of contract payments derived
from an existing enterprise fiber network. The collateral assets
include conduits, cables, network-level equipment, access rights,
customer contracts and transaction accounts. Debt is secured by net
cash flow from operations and benefits from a perfected security
interest in the securitized assets.
The collateral network consists of the sponsor's enterprise fiber
network, which includes approximately 14,100 fiber route miles
(FRM), serves 10,000 buildings and supplies 4,000 wireless towers
across multiple counties in Florida, Alabama, Louisiana and
Mississippi. The collateral network supports 19,580 circuits that
provide dark/lit backhaul for fiber-to-the-tower (FTTT) wireless
customers, data transport, internet and ethernet connectivity
solutions for enterprise businesses, voice services and wholesale
last-mile fiber connections for wireline carriers.
The ratings reflect a structured finance analysis of cash flow from
the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic network,
rather than an assessment of the corporate default risk of the
ultimate parent, Uniti Group Inc. (B+/Rating Watch Negative).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) on the pool
is $56.3 million, implying a 14.1% haircut to issuer NCF. The debt
multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 10.5x,
compared with debt/issuer NCF leverage of 9.0x.
Based on the Fitch NCF and assumed annual revenue growth of 2%, and
following the transaction's anticipated repayment date (ARD), the
notes would be repaid 20.0 years from closing.
Credit Risk Factors: The major factors affecting Fitch's
determination of cash flow and maximum potential leverage include
the high quality of the underlying collateral networks, low
historical churn, the creditworthiness of contract counterparties,
market position, market diversity, capability of the operator and
the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect
long-term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of
this transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities
have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology, rendering obsolete the current transmission
of data through fiber optic cables, will be developed. Fiber optic
cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable means to
transmit information, and data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, customer churn,
declining contract rates or the development of an alternative
technology for the transmission of data could lead to downgrades.
Fitch's base case NCF was 14.1% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2
from 'A-sf' to 'BBB-sf'; class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'BBsf'; class C
from 'BB-sf' to 'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Increasing cash flow from rate increases, additional customers, or
contract amendments could lead to upgrades.
A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings based
on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2 from 'A-sf' to 'Asf';
class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'BBBsf'; class C from 'BB-sf' to 'BBsf'.
Upgrades, however, are unlikely given the issuer's ability to issue
additional pari passu notes. In addition, the senior classes are
capped in the 'Asf' category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E ("Form 15E") as
prepared by KPMG LLP.The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on fiber network assets and related contracts.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Verus
Securitization Trust 2025-1's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by U.S.
residential mortgage loans.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 8,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, prior credit
events, and geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners; and
-- S&P said, "One key change in our baseline forecast since
September, wherein we expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026 (was fourth-quarter 2025
previously). We continue to expect real GDP growth to slow from
above-trend growth this year to below-trend growth in 2025. Heading
into 2025, the U.S. economy is expanding at a solid pace and while
President-elect Donald Trump outlined numerous policy proposals
during his campaign, S&P Global Ratings' economic outlook for 2025
hasn't changed appreciably partly because we have taken a
probabilistic approach and are assuming partial implementation of
campaign promises. It will take time for changes in fiscal, trade,
and immigration policy to be implemented and affect the economy.
Our current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency is therefore unchanged at 2.50%.
This reflects our benign view of the mortgage and housing markets,
as demonstrated through general national level home price behavior,
unemployment rates, mortgage performance, and underwriting."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
Verus Securitization Trust 2025-1
Class A-1, $354,066,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $45,088,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $68,600,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $36,237,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $20,469,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $17,703,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $11,065,419: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The collateral and structural information reflect the term sheet
dated Jan. 6, 2025. The preliminary ratings address the ultimate
payment of interest and principal. They do not address the payment
of the cap carryover amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
VISTA POINT 2024-CES3: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2024-CES3 (the Notes)
issued by Vista Point Securitization Trust 2024-CES3 (VSTA
2024-CES3 or the Trust):
-- $185.8 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $13.5 million Class A-2 at AA (sf)
-- $13.0 million Class A-3 at A (sf)
-- $13.4 million Class M-1 at BBB (sf)
-- $12.4 million Class B-1 at BB (sf)
-- $8.2 million Class B-2 at B (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 27.30% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinate Notes. The AA (sf), A (sf), BBB
(sf), BB (sf), and B (sf) credit ratings reflect 22.00%, 16.90%,
11.65%, 6.80%, and 3.60% of credit enhancement, respectively.
VSTA 2024-CES3 is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime,
expanded-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Asset-Backed Securities, Series
2024-CES3 (the Notes). The Notes are backed by 1,314 mortgage loans
with a total principal balance of 255,545,541 as of the Cut-Off
Date (November 30, 2024).
The portfolio, on average, is two months seasoned, though seasoning
ranges from zero to 20 months. Borrowers in the pool represent
prime and expanded-prime credit quality--weighted-average (WA)
Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 734, Issuer-provided
original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 66.8%. The loans
were generally originated with Morningstar DBRS defined full
documentation standards.
As of the Cut-Off Date, all but three loans (99.8% of the pool)
were current. Since then, two loans (0.2%) that were 30 days
delinquent have self-cured, leaving only one loan (
VITALITY RE XVI: Fitch Gives BB-(EXP)sf Rating on 2025 Cl. C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate Series 2025 Principal-At-Risk
Variable Rate Notes issued by Vitality Re XVI Limited (Vitality Re
XVI, the Issuer), a Cayman Islands exempted company licensed as a
Class C insurer.
All classes of Notes have a scheduled termination date of Jan. 8,
2029 and a Final Extended Redemption Date of Jan. 8, 2030. The
expected principal amount for the Class A Notes is $160,000,000,
$60,000,000 for the Class B Notes and $30,000,000 for the Class C
Notes with no amortization. The interest spread for the Notes will
be determined at time of pricing.
This preliminary rating is based on the 'weakest-link' of the
following key rating drivers: i) medical benefit ratio
excess-of-loss (XoL) risk assessment; ii) the Issuer Default Rating
(IDR) of ceding insurer; and iii) the credit quality of the
permitted investments. Fitch believes the risk assessment of the
medical benefit ratio XoL presents the greatest risk.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Vitality Re XVI
Limited
Series 2025,
Class A Notes
Principal-at-Risk
Variable Rate Notes
due January 8, 2029 LT BBB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Series 2025, Class B
Principal-at-Risk
Variable Rate Notes
due January 8, 2029 LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Series 2025, Class C
Principal-at-Risk
Variable Rate Notes
due January 8, 2029 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
This is the sixteenth medical benefit ratio "ILS bond" for covered
business underwritten by Aetna Life Insurance Company (ALIC, the
Covered Business Company). To date, noteholders have not
experienced any principal loss on any prior transactions - of
which, Vitality Re XII Limited (matures 2025), Vitality Re XIII
Limited (2026), Vitality Re XIV Limited (2027) and Vitality Re XV
Limited (2028) are outstanding following the issuance of Vitality
Re XVI Limited.
Capitalized but undefined terms have the meaning provided in the
Offering Circular Supplement and the Offering Circular for the
Notes.
Transaction Summary
The Series 2025 Notes (Class A, B, C) provide collateralized,
multi-year, indemnity-based annual aggregate XoL reinsurance
protection to Health Re, Inc., a Vermont domiciled special purpose
financial insurance company that is wholly-owned by Aetna Inc.
(Aetna), that assumes a quota share of certain commercial group
health insurance policies (the Covered Business) underwritten by
Aetna Life Insurance Company (ALIC).
The Covered Business to be ceded to Health Re (and for which
Vitality Re XVI will provide XoL coverage) primarily consists of
commercial insured accident and health business, namely Preferred
Provider Organization (PPO), Point of Service (POS) and Indemnity
products, directly written by ALIC. These are reportable in ALIC's
statutory annual statements as Accident and Health Group except for
the Excluded Risks.
For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2024, ALIC earned $10.3 billion
of premiums on approximately 1.9 million members for the Covered
Business. Full-year premiums for the Covered Business for 2023 and
2022 were $12.9 billion and $11.9 billion, respectively.
Each Class of Notes is "principal-at-risk," meaning a principal
loss will occur if the Covered Business's medical benefit ratio
(MBR) exceeds a predetermined attachment (MBR Attachment), set at
inception and reset annually during the second, third and fourth
Annual Risk Periods. The initial MBR Attachment level is 97% for
Class C, 100% for the Class B and 106% for Class A. A total
principal loss (MBR Exhaustion) occurs if the MBR reaches 100% for
Class C, 106% for Class B and 122% for Class A.
There are four Annual Risk Periods, each running from Jan. 1 to
Dec. 31. Milliman, Inc. (Milliman) acting as Modeling Agent, will
deliver the MBR Risk Analysis Report which informs the
probabilities of attachment and expected loss. Milliman will also
act as the Reset Agent, delivering a Reset Report for the second,
third and fourth Annual Risk Periods using Updated Health Industry
Exposure Data and the Updated Aetna Exposure Data.
The updated MBR Attachment and updated MBR Exhaustion will be
established to maintain the same modeled probability of attachment
and expected loss as the initial modeled probabilities (used in the
MBR Risk Analysis Report) and will be effective Jan. 1 of each
Annual Risk Period. The interest spread will not change.
The Notes may be redeemed due to specified Early Redemption Events,
including: i) clean-up events; ii) Health Re's failure to meet
Vermont capital requirements; iii) regulatory or legislative
changes affecting ALIC (or Health Re) leading ALIC to terminate
coverage; iv) Health Re defaulting on an Installment Premium
payment; v) failure to replace the Reset Agent, Claims Reviewer, or
Loss Reserve Specialist if they cannot perform their duties, or vi)
Health Re's election to terminate the XoL Agreement under certain
conditions. An Early Termination Event Premium will be paid to
noteholders for events (ii) and (iv).
Health Re may, at its option, elect to require Vitality Re XVI to
extend the term of each XoL agreement (thereby extending the
maturity date of the related Class of Notes) past the Scheduled
Termination Date. This extension may be four additional quarters
with the Final Extended Redemption Date being Jan. 8, 2030 and is
not considered an additional risk period. Generally, claims
incurred in a given calendar year are 99% completely paid within 12
months after the end of that year.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Medical Benefit Ratio XoL Risk Assessment
Third-Party Model is Complex (Neutral): The rating analysis in
support of the risk assessment of the MBR XoL is highly
model-driven and actual losses may differ from the results of
simulation analyses. This model (and previous iterations) has been
used on all prior Vitality transactions. Fitch reviewed this model
according to its "Insurance Linked Securities Criteria".
The model produces a MBR probability distribution as a combination
of two separate component models: i) a Claims Trend Module
comprising of nine sub-modules with corresponding data and
assumptions; and ii) a Premium Trend Module consisting of nine
sub-modules (including output from the Claims Trend Module). A
total of two million simulations are run to generate a volume of
modeling points in the tail of the distribution.
Initial Modeled MBR Attachment Probability (Neutral Trait): The
modeled one-year attachment probability based on the best estimate
(base case) assumptions was 5 bp, 51 bp and 164 bp for the Class A,
B and C Notes, respectively. These probabilities of first dollar
loss correspond to 'bbb+' for Class A, 'bb+' for Class B and 'bb-'
for Class C according to Fitch's ILS Calibration Matrix. Fitch
qualitatively reviewed sensitivity analysis (see below) that
generally showed a one to two rating downgrade possibility under
adverse conditions. This review along with baseline modeled results
determined Fitch's medical benefit ratio XoL risk assessment.
Sensitivity Analysis Illustrated Downside but Limited Risks
(Negative): Nine claim trend sensitivities were provided with the
attachment probability for Class A ranging from
VITALITY RE XVI: S&P Assigns Prelim B+(sf) Rating on Cl. C Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned preliminary ratings of 'BBB+(sf)',
'BB+(sf)', and 'B+(sf)' to the class A, B, and C notes,
respectively, to be issued by Vitality Re XVI Ltd. The series 2025
notes will cover claims payments of Health Re Inc.--and ultimately,
Aetna Life Insurance Co. (ALIC; A-/Negative/--) related to the
covered insurance business to the extent the medical benefits ratio
(MBR) exceeds 106% for the class A notes, 100% for the class B
notes, and 97% for the class C notes. The MBR is calculated on an
annual aggregate basis.
S&P bases its ratings on the lowest of the following:
-- The MBR risk factor on the ceded risk ('bbb+' for the class A
notes, 'bb+' for the class B notes, and 'b+' for the class C
notes);
-- The rating on ALIC (the underlying ceding covered business
company); or
-- The rating on the permitted investments ('AAAm') that will be
held in the respective collateral accounts (there is a separate
collateral account for each class of notes) at closing.
According to the risk analysis provided by Milliman Inc., one of
the world's largest providers of actuarial and related products and
services, the primary driver of historical medical insurance
financial fluctuations has been the volatility in per capita claim
cost trends and lags in insurers' reactions to these trend changes
in their premium rating actions. Other volatility factors include
changes in expenses and target profit margins. Although these
factors cause the majority of claims volatility, the extreme tail
risk is affected by severe pandemics.
Ratings List
New Ratings
Vitality Re XVI Limited
-- Senior Secured Class A notes BBB+(sf)(prelim)
-- Senior Secured Class B notes BB+(sf)(prelim)
-- Senior Secured Class C notes B+(sf)(prelim)
VOYA CLO 2020-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-RR Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the Voya
CLO 2020-2, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Voya CLO 2020-2,
Ltd.
X LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1RR LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2RR LT AAAsf New Rating
B-RR LT AAsf New Rating
C-RR LT Asf New Rating
D-1RR LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2RR LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-RR LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Voya CLO 2020-2, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Voya
Alternative Asset Management LLC. The transaction originally closed
in August 2020 and was first refinanced in September 2021. The CLOs
existing secured notes will be refinanced in whole on Jan. 9, 2025
from proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provided
financing on a portfolio of approximately $700 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.29, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 24. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.34% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.07% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 43% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A-1RR, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2RR, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-RR, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-RR, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1RR,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2RR, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-RR.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X, class A-1RR
and class A-2RR notes as these notes are in the highest rating
category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-RR, 'AAsf' for class C-RR, 'A+sf'
for class D-1RR, 'A-sf' for class D-2RR, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-RR.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information. Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to
above, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the
rating agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Voya CLO 2020-2,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
VOYA CLO 2024-7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Voya CLO
2024-7, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Voya CLO 2024-7,
Ltd.
X LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Sub Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Voya CLO 2024-7, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Voya
Alternative Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.08, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.09. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.32% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.88% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.2%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 43% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A-1, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X, class A-1 and
class A-2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category
of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Voya CLO 2024-7,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C3: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on G-RR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-5C3, commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2025-5C3 as follows:
- $8,135,000a class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $244,550,000a class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $318,059,000a class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $570,744,000b class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $135,552,000b class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $51,978,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $46,882,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $36,691,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $32,613,000bc class X-D ' BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,403,000bc class X-F ' BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,402,000ac class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,211,000ac class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,403,000ac class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,269,000acd class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
Fitch is not expected to rate the following classes:
- $40,767,428acd class J-RR;
- $18,173,000f class Combined VRR Interest.
(a)Class balances, excluding the combined vertical risk retention
(VRR) interest, are net of their proportionate share of the VRR
interest, totaling 2.18% of the notional amount of the
certificates.
(b)Net of its proportionate share of the vertical risk retention
interest, and interest only. The total notional amount for X-A is
$583,464,000, for X-B $138,573,000, for X-D $33,340,000 and for X-F
$21,880,000.
(c)Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(d)Class G-RR and J-RR certificates comprise the transaction's
horizontal risk retention (HRR) interest.
(e)The expected class A-2 balance range is $0 to $250,000,000, and
the expected class A-3 balance range is $325,147,000 to
$575,147,000, both net of their proportionate share of the combined
VRR interest. The balance for class A-2 reflects the top point of
its range, and the balance for class A-3 reflects the bottom point
of its range, net of their proportionate share of the combined VRR
interest. In the event the class A-3 certificates are issued at
$575,147,000, the class A-2 certificates will not be issued.
(f)The combined VRR interest comprises the transaction's VRR
interest, and the certificate balance is subject to change based on
the final pricing of all classes.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Wells Fargo Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2025-5C3
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-S LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Combined VRR Interest LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
G-RR LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
J-RR LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-B LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-F LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, whose primary assets consist of 30 loans secured by 63
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$833,520,429 as of the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, Argentic Real
Estate Finance 2 LLC, Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., JPMorgan Chase
Bank, National Association, LMF Commercial, LLC, Goldman Sachs
Mortgage Company and UBS AG.
The master servicer is expected to be Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association and the special servicer is expected to be Argentic
Services Company LP. The trustee and certificate administrator is
expected to be Computershare Trust Company, National Association.
The certificates are expected to follow a sequential paydown
structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 25 loans
totaling 96.7% of the pool by balance. Fitch's aggregate pool net
cash flow (NCF) of $78.7 million represents a 14.3% decline from
the issuer's underwritten aggregate pool NCF of $91.9 million.
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has lower
leverage compared to recent five-year multiborrower transactions
rated by Fitch Ratings. The pool's Fitch loan to value ratio (LTV)
of 103.9% is worse than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 95.2% and
89.7%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 9.4%
is lower than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 10.2% and 10.6%,
respectively. Excluding the credit opinion loan, the pool's Fitch
LTV and DY are 104.7% and 9.5%, respectively, compared to the
equivalent 2024 LTV and DY averages of 96.0% and 9.9%,
respectively.
Shorter Duration Loans: The pool is 100% comprised of loans with
five-year terms, whereas standard conduit transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else being equal. This is mainly attributed to the shorter
window of exposure to potential adverse economic conditions. Fitch
considered its loan performance regression in its analysis of the
pool.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: One loan, representing 3.0%
of the pool, received an investment-grade credit opinion. Queens
Center (3.0%) received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. The
pool's total credit opinion percentage is considerably lower than
the 2024 and 2023 averages of 12.6% and 14.6%, respectively.
Higher Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The top 10 loans in the pool
make up 68.1% of the pool, which is higher than the 2024 level of
60.2% and 2023 level of 65.3%. The pool's effective loan count of
18.6 is slightly lower than the 2024 and 2023 average effective
loan count of 22.7 and 19.7, respectively. Fitch views diversity as
a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss
for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at maturity,
the pool will pay down by 1.0%, which is above the 2024 and 2023
averages of 0.4% and 0.4%, respectively. The pool has 23
interest-only loans, or 79.9% of pool by balance, which is lower
than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 92.8% and 91.7%, respectively,
but still high overall.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/less
than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB (sf) on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Westlake
Automobile Receivables Trust 2025-1's automobile receivables-backed
notes.
The note issuance is an ABS transaction backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 8,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- The availability of approximately 44.3%, 38.0%, 29.1%, 22.2%,
and 19.0% credit support (hard credit enhancement and haircut to
excess spread) for the class A (classes A-1, A-2, and A-3,
collectively), B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, based on
stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support levels provide
at least 3.50x, 3.00x, 2.30x, 1.75x, and 1.50x coverage of S&P's
expected cumulative net loss (ECNL) of 12.50% for the class A, B,
C, D, and E notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.75x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB (sf)' ratings on
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, are within its
credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral,
and its updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of
the auto finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A., which do
not constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Westlake Services LLC
(Westlake Services) as servicer and its view of the company's
underwriting and the backup servicing arrangement with
Computershare Trust Co. N.A.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance (ESG) credit factors, which
are in line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Westlake Automobile Receivables Trust 2025-1
Class A-1, $278.20 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2-A/A-2-B, $361.76 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $125.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $86.12 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $138.29 million: A (sf)
Class D, $110.63 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $60.34 million: BB (sf)
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C23: DBRS Cuts Class C Certs Rating to BB
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded the credit ratings on nine classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-C23
issued by WFRBS Commercial Mortgage Trust 2014-C23 as follows:
-- Class B to BBB (high) (sf) from AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C to BB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEX to BB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D to C (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class X-B to C (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class X-C to C (sf) from BB (high) (sf)
-- Class X-D to C (sf) from B (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes A-S, X-A, B, C, and
PEX to Negative from Stable. Classes D, E, F, X-B, X-C, and X-D
have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings. The
trend on Class A-5 remains Stable.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends reflect the
increased loss expectations for the six remaining loans in the
pool, primarily driven by the Bank of America Plaza loan
(Prospectus ID#1; 40.1% of the current pool balance), which
received an updated appraisal following the loan's transfer to
special servicing in July 2024 for maturity default. At the last
credit rating action in May 2024, Morningstar DBRS changed the
trends on Classes X-B, D, X-C, E, X-D, and F to Negative from
Stable, reflecting concerns with select loans that were exhibiting
value deficiency and were facing elevated refinance risk. Since the
previous credit rating action, 61 loans, previously representing
60.0% of the pool, were repaid in full, leaving just six loans
remaining as of the December 2024 remittance. Morningstar DBRS
considered liquidation scenarios for all remaining loans to
determine recoverability for the remaining classes, the results of
which suggest that losses could be incurred into Class D,
supporting the credit rating downgrades and Negative trends with
this review.
The largest loan in the pool, Bank of America Plaza, secured by a
1.4 million-square-foot Class A office complex in the Central
Business District of Los Angeles, transferred to special servicing
in July 2024 for imminent maturity default and was re-appraised at
a value of $188.9 million, representing a current loan-to-value
ratio of 211.7% and a 68.8% decline from its issuance value of
$605.0 million. The loan most recently reported an annualized net
cash flow (NCF) of $34.1 million and a debt service coverage ratio
of 2.07 times during the trailing six-month period ended June 30,
2024, with an occupancy rate of 78.9%. Occupancy is expected to
decline to approximately 66.8% as the property's third-largest
tenant, Sheppard Mullin Richter, has indicated it will vacate upon
lease expiry in December 2024. Following the tenant's departure and
in the absence of any additional leasing activity, NCF could
decline to $29.6 million, implying a 15.7% capitalization rate on
the most recent appraised value. The Bank of America Plaza loan is
pari passu with two additional deals rated by Morningstar DBRS:
CGCMT 2014-GC25 and GSMS 2014-GC26.
With this review, given the precipitous decline in value of the
Bank of America Plaza loan as well as the pool's increased level of
adverse selection with five loans, representing 76.5% of the pool,
in special servicing, Morningstar DBRS based its analysis on the
recoverability of the remaining assets. The liquidation scenario
considered for Bank of America Plaza resulted in implied losses
exceeding $80.0 million (loss severity approaching 70.0%), which
would erode into Class D. While the implied proceeds from the
recoverability analysis suggest that Classes A-5 through C remain
insulated from loss, credit risk has increased significantly as a
result of the expected credit erosion in the event that the loan is
liquidated, supporting the credit rating downgrades and Negative
trends.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WP GLIMCHER 2015-WPG: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on PR-2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-WPG
issued by WP Glimcher Mall Trust 2015-WPG as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X at A (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class PR-1 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class SQ-1 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class PR-2 at BB (sf)
-- Class SQ-2 at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class SQ-3 at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction since Morningstar DBRS' last credit
rating action in January 2024, with no changes to the collateral
and performance metrics since then remaining in line with
expectations. Both loans continue to report net cash flow (NCF) in
line with or above issuance levels. Morningstar DBRS updated its
values for both loans with this review. While the current credit
ratings are lower than the results implied by the loan-to-value
ratio (LTV) sizing benchmarks, the borrower may face challenges
refinancing the loans at their June 2025 maturity dates due to the
current higher-interest-rate environment, supporting the credit
rating confirmations with this review.
This transaction is backed by portions of the senior debt and all
of the subordinate debt secured by Scottsdale Quarter (Prospectus
ID#2, 39.2% of the pool), a 541,386-square-foot (sf) mixed-use
retail center in Scottsdale, Arizona, and Pearlridge Center
(Prospectus ID#1, 60.8% of the pool), a 1.14 million-sf
super-regional mall in Aiea, Hawaii, the state's largest enclosed
shopping center. Both properties are managed by Washington Prime
Group and are not cross-collateralized or cross-defaulted.
Pearlridge Center is an enclosed center, originally built in 1972
and located just north of Pearl Harbor. The mall is anchored by
Macy's (18.4% of net rentable area (NRA)), which has a lease
expiration in February 2027. Inclusive of the vacant anchor box,
which was previously ground-leased by Sears, the mall's occupancy
was reported at 72.8% as of June 2024, in line with the prior year.
The sponsor has assumed the Sears lease and continues to evaluate
leasing opportunities. The loan reported a Q2 2024 annualized NCF
of $21.0 million (whole loan debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of
2.60 times (x)), which remains in line with the YE2023 NCF of $22.8
million (whole loan DSCR of 2.83x). Morningstar DBRS expects NCF to
remain steady as the loan approaches its June 2025 maturity date
given the granularity of the mall's tenancy and minimal upcoming
lease rollover.
Scottsdale Quarter is a Class A, mixed-use, open-air lifestyle
center 17 miles northeast of Phoenix, Arizona, in the affluent
Kierland neighborhood of north Scottsdale. The collateral includes
an office component representing 32.5% of the NRA. The two largest
tenants at the property are both office users, Starwood Hotels &
Resorts (14.8% of NRA, lease expiration February 2027) and
co-working tenant Spaces (8.7% of NRA, lease expiration December
2033). Major retail tenants include Landmark Theatres, Restoration
Hardware, and Pottery Barn. Per the June 2024 rent roll, the
property was 84.7% occupied, which is below the YE2023 and YE2022
figures of 94.0% and 93.0%, respectively. NCF has increased
approximately 50% since the lows experienced during 2021, with the
property reporting a trailing 12-month NCF for the period ended
June 30, 2024, of $21.9 million (DSCR of 3.70x), an increase from
the YE2023 and YE2022 NCF of $21.7 million (DSCR of 3.67x) and
$19.2 million (DSCR of 3.25x), respectively.
In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS derived updated
values for both properties, using the YE2023 NCFs for each, with a
2.0% haircut (HC) applied for Pearlridge Center and a 20.0% HC for
Scottsdale Quarter. For Pearlridge Center, a capitalization (cap)
rate of 7.25% was applied, resulting in an updated Morningstar DBRS
value of $307.9 million (whole loan LTV of 73.1%), in line with the
previous Morningstar DBRS value derived in 2023. Morningstar DBRS
maintained a positive qualitative adjustment to the LTV sizing
benchmarks totaling 4.0% to reflect the property's quality and
strong market fundamentals, as the property benefits from its
location and strong competitive position. For Scottsdale Quarter,
Morningstar DBRS maintained its blended cap rate approach from the
last review, assuming a 7.25% cap rate for the retail space and a
10.0% cap rate for the office space, resulting in an overall cap
rate of 8.25%. The resulting Morningstar DBRS value was $210.0
million (whole loan LTV of 78.6%). Morningstar DBRS maintained a
positive qualitative adjustment to the LTV sizing benchmarks
totaling 1.0%, which included a -1.0% adjustment for cash flow
volatility given the soft office market and a 2.0% adjustment for
above-average property quality.
The Morningstar DBRS credit ratings assigned to Classes C, PR-1,
PR-2, SQ-1, SQ-2, and SQ-3 are lower than the results implied by
the LTV sizing benchmarks. The variances are warranted as both
loans are scheduled to mature in June 2025, and given the
higher-interest-rate environment, the borrower may face additional
challenges securing takeout financing. Furthermore, to evaluate the
potential for upgrades, Morningstar DBRS applied a conservative
20.0% upgrade stress to the YE2023 NCFs for both properties. The
LTV sizing benchmarks resulting from that stressed analysis
indicated that upgrades were not warranted with this review.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] DBRS Confirms 44 Ratings From 16 CPS Auto Receivables Trust
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed 44 credit ratings and upgraded 15 credit
ratings from Sixteen CPS Auto Receivables Trust.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/40m5cUs
The Issuers are:
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2024-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2024-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2024-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-A
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-C through CPS Auto
Receivables Trust 2021-C, losses are tracking below the Morningstar
DBRS initial base-case cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations. The
current level of hard credit enhancement (CE) and estimated excess
spread are sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS projected
remaining CNL assumptions at a multiple of coverage commensurate
with the credit ratings.
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-D through CPS Auto
Receivables Trust 2023-C, although losses are tracking above the
Morningstar DBRS initial base-case CNL expectations, the current
level of hard CE and estimated excess spread are sufficient to
support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL assumptions at
a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-D through CPS Auto
Receivables Trust 2024-C, losses are tracking in line with the
Morningstar DBRS initial base-case CNL expectations. The current
level of hard CE and estimated excess spread are sufficient to
support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL assumptions at
a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- The transaction capital structures and form and sufficiency of
available CE.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originating, underwriting, and servicing.
-- The Transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns September 2024 Update," published on September 25, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS'
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Noteholders' Monthly Interest
Distributable Amount and the related Note Balance.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance.
[*] DBRS Reviews 422 Classes From 21 US RMBS Transactions
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 422 classes from 21 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The 21 transactions
reviewed are classified as agency credit-risk transfer
transactions. Of the 422 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS
upgraded its credit ratings on 385 classes and confirmed its credit
ratings on 37 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/423SJ94
The Issuers are:
Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2021-DNA2
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2020-DNA2
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2017-DNA2
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2017-HQA3
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2017-HRP1
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2018-DNA2
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2018-HQA1
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2018-HQA2
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2018-HRP2
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2019-DNA3
Structured Agency Credit Risk Debt Notes, Series 2019-HRP1
Freddie Mac STACR Trust 2019-DNA1
The credit rating upgrades reflect a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] DBRS Takes Credit Rating Action on 8 Single-Family Rental Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited conducted a surveillance review of eight
multi-borrower single-family rental (MB SFR) transactions. Most of
the credit rating actions were credit rating confirmations with a
few credit ratings being upgraded. One transaction has three
classes for which the trends were maintained as Negative. All other
trends are Stable.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/3WaXgCL
The Issuers are:
CoreVest American Finance 2020-1 Trust
B2R Mortgage Trust 2015-1
B2R Mortgage Trust 2015-2
CoreVest American Finance 2018-1 Trust
CoreVest American Finance 2018-2 Trust
CoreVest American Finance 2019-1 Trust
CoreVest American Finance 2019-3 Trust
CoreVest American Finance 2020-3 Trust
The rating confirmations reflect the overall stable performance of
the transactions with the reported cash flows and other performance
metrics of most loans generally in line with Morningstar DBRS'
expectations. The credit rating upgrades generally reflect the
significantly increased credit support, whether through principal
repayments or increased loan payoffs, coupled with a lack of a
significant concentration of loans showing performance declines
since issuance. Performance data for each transaction were
analyzed, including loan repayments, cash flow and/or occupancy
changes for the collateral properties, special servicing transfers,
and watchlist additions. In the case of larger loans in special
servicing that were exhibiting performance declines from issuance
and/or were reporting payment or maturity defaults, Morningstar
DBRS considered liquidation scenarios based on a value stress
determined by the severity of the performance decline. For some
loans exhibiting increased risks that were not liquidated in the
analysis, a higher probability of default was analyzed to increase
the expected loss.
The November 2024 remittance reports showed the servicer's
watchlist concentrations ranged between 17.4% and 55.1%, with
concentrations of delinquent loans between 0.0% and 11.4% across
the eight transactions. Realized losses to date have been generally
minimal. Historically, liquidations across these pools have shown
somewhat binary outcomes, with many loans reporting no or very
small losses at disposition, while other loans report high loss
severities sometimes exceeding 100%. Weighted-average loss
severities ranged between 0.0% and 41.0%. The CAF 2019-1
transaction had the highest watchlist concentration, with the
majority of loans being monitored for deferred maintenance and/or
failure to report updated financials, while the CAF 2018-1
transaction had the highest delinquency concentration, with two
loans listed as 30 to 59 days delinquent.
The CAFL 2019-3 transaction has the most barbelled structure of the
eight transactions, with the largest amount of principal repayment
during the last 12 months totaling more than $93.0 million (or a
collateral reduction of 24.7%) and the second-highest delinquency
rate at 10.2%, increased from 8.1% in January 2024 and 7.6% in
January 2023. Given the significant increase in credit support
toward the top of the capital stack, Morningstar DBRS upgraded
three senior certificates, while maintaining Negative trends on the
three most junior certificates as a result of the increased
delinquency and specially serviced loans, which represent 10.2% and
21.5% of the pool, respectively. While two (9.6% of the pool) of
the three largest specially serviced loans were brought current in
October 2024, both loans are made to the same borrower, have been
in special servicing since October 2021, and are now considered
matured non-performing. The special servicer has noted there are
cash flow and possible liquidity issues that could impair the
ability to refinance or cure the outstanding defaults. Another loan
(1.8% of the pool) in special servicing made its last debt service
payment in November 2021 and is listed with discounted payoff as
the workout strategy. Based on the increased risks for these loans,
in its analysis Morningstar DBRS liquidated them from the trust
with an implied loss of $4.7 million.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 14 Bonds From 7 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 14 bonds from seven US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corp. 2006-WMC1
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Ownit Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2005-RS1 Trust
Cl. M-I-1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-II-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2017
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: RASC Series 2006-EMX1 Trust
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Issuer: SG Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-OPT2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 15, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. A-3C, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2017 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-3D, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2017
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Specialty Underwriting and Residential Finance Trust,
Series 2003-BC2
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024 Downgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2024
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Issuer: Specialty Underwriting and Residential Finance Series
2006-AB1
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Mar 15, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 17, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of
the related pools, and/or an increase in credit enhancement
available to the bonds. Most of the upgraded bonds have seen growth
in credit enhancement since Moody's last review, which is the key
driver for these upgrades. The credit enhancement since 12 months
ago has grown on average by 14% for the tranches upgraded. Moody's
analysis also considered the existence of historical interest
shortfalls for the bonds. In addition, Moody's analysis also
reflects the potential for collateral volatility given the number
of deal-level and macro factors that can impact collateral
performance, and the potential impact of any collateral volatility
on the model output.
Certain bonds in this review are currently impaired or expected to
become impaired. Moody's ratings on those bonds reflect any losses
to date as well as Moody's expected future loss.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 7 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of seven bonds from three
US residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by
agency eligible prime and investor mortgage loans.
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=hjgioY
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: PMT Loan Trust 2021-INV1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 17, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2020-1
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2021-INV2
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2024 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
transactions continue to display strong collateral performance,
with cumulative loss for the transactions below 0.05% and a small
number of loans in delinquencies. In addition, enhancement levels
for the tranches have grown significantly, as the pool amortize
relatively quickly. The credit enhancement since closing has shown
relative growth of over 3x for the non-exchangeable tranches
upgraded from Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2020-1 and, on
average, 19.9% for the other non-exchangeable tranches upgraded
from other transactions.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in this deal
because the expected losses on these bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features, and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 17 Classes From 13 US RMBS Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 17 classes from 13 U.S.
RMBS transactions issued between 2004 and 2006. The review yielded
seven downgrades and 10 discontinuances.
S&P said, "The rating actions reflect our analysis of the
transactions' interest shortfalls and/or missed interest payments
on the affected classes. We lowered our ratings in accordance with
our "S&P Global Ratings Definitions," published Dec. 2, 2024, which
imposes a maximum rating threshold on classes that have incurred
missed interest payments resulting from credit or liquidity
erosion. In applying our ratings definitions, we looked to see if
the applicable class received additional compensation beyond the
imputed interest due as direct economic compensation for the delay
in interest payments (e.g., interest on interest) and if the missed
interest payments will be repaid by the maturity date.
"In instances where the class does receive additional compensation
for outstanding interest shortfalls, our analysis considers the
likelihood that the missed interest payments, including the
capitalized interest, would be reimbursed under our various rating
scenarios. In this review, seven classes from seven transactions
were affected.
"In accordance with our surveillance and withdrawal policies, we
discontinued 10 ratings from six transactions that had observed
interest shortfalls or missed interest payments during recent
remittance periods. We had previously lowered our rating on these
classes to 'D (sf)' because of principal losses, accumulated
interest shortfalls, missed interest payment, and/or credit related
reductions in interest due to loan modification. We view a
subsequent upgrade to a rating higher than 'D (sf)' is unlikely
under the relevant criteria within this review.
"We will continue to monitor our ratings on securities that
experience interest shortfalls and/or missed interest payments, and
we will further adjust our ratings as we consider appropriate."
Ratings list
Rating
Issuer
Series Class CUSIP To From
Asset Backed Securities Corporation Home Equity Loan Trust Series
2005-HE3
2005-HE3 M6 04541GQZ8 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2004-AC4
2004-AC4 A-1 073879EA2 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2004-AC4
2004-AC4 A-4 073879ED6 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
CSFB Home Equity Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-FIX1
Trust
2005-FIX1 A-5 22541S5U8 CCC (sf) B- (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
CWABS Asset Backed Certificates Trust 2005-16
2005-16 MV-4 126670PL6 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
GE-WMC Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-1
2006-1 A-2a 36829JAA9 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
GSAMP Trust 2006-S6
2006-S6 A-1B 36245CAB8 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
GSAMP Trust 2006-S6
2006-S6 A-1C 36245CAC6 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
GSAMP Trust 2006-S6
2006-S6 A-2 36245CAD4 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
GSAMP Trust 2006-S6
2006-S6 A-3 36245CAE2 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2006-OPT2
2006-OPT2 M-2 40430HEB0 CCC (sf) B- (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
Park Place Securities, Inc.
2004-WCW2 M-6 70069FBC0 D (sf) CC (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
Park Place Securities, Inc.
2005-WCH1 M-4 70069FFL6 BB (sf) BBB- (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
Park Place Securities, Inc.
2005-WCW1 M-4 70069FKH9 D (sf) CC (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
PPT Asset-Backed Certificates Series 2004-1
2004-1 A 693525AF4 BB (sf) BBB- (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
Saxon Asset Securities Trust 2005-1
2005-1 M-4 805564RQ6 NR D (sf)
Main rationale: Discontinued, as an upgrade to a rating higher
than 'D (sf)' is unlikely in the future under the relevant
criteria.
Securitized Asset Backed Receivables LLC Trust 2004-DO2
2004-DO2 M-1 81375WBV7 CCC (sf) B- (sf)
Main rationale: Ultimate repayment of missed interest unlikely
at higher rating levels.
NR--Not rated.
*********
Monday's edition of the TCR delivers a list of indicative prices
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