/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/250202.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, February 2, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 32
Headlines
AASET 2021-1 TRUST: S&P Raises Class C Notes Rating to BB+ (sf)
ABFC TRUST 2002-NC1: Moody's Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to Caa1
ACHM TRUST 2023-HE1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class C Notes
ACRE COMMERCIAL 2021-FL4: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on F Notes
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 21: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $20MM E-R Notes
BAIN CAPITAL 2019-3: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $30MM E-RR Notes
BARINGS CLO 2018-III: S&P Raises Class F Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2023-C19: Fitch Lowers Rating on G-RR Debt to 'Bsf'
BENEFIT STREET XXIX: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R Notes
BLP COMMERCIAL 2023-IND: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Certs
CARVAL CLO III: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $28.4MM E-R2 Notes
CFCRE 2016-4: Fitch Affirms Bsf Rating on 2 Tranches
CIG AUTO 2021-1: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Class E Notes to Ba2
COLT 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B-2 Certs
COLUMBIA CENT 31: S&P Affirms 'BB- (sf)' Rating on Class E Notes
COMM 2014-CCRE14: Moody's Lowers Rating on Class E Certs to Csf
COMM 2014-UBS2: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class E Certs
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1C: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
ELMWOOD CLO 37: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
ELMWOOD CLO 38: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
GENERATE CLO 20: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2013-G1: Fitch Affirms 'CCC' Rating on 2 Tranches
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC22: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
GS MORTGAGE 2019-GC39: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F Notes to 'B-sf'
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on B4 Notes
HOMES 2025-AFC1: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Notes
INDYMAC MH 1997-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on 5 Tranches to Ba1
ISLAND FINANCE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(high) Rating on C Notes
ISLAND FINANCE 2025-1: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating on Class C Notes
JP MORGAN 2011-C3: S&P Affirms CCC- (sf) Rating on Cl. J Certs
LIBRA SOLUTIONS 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class B Notes
LOANCORE 025-CRE8: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. G Notes
MADISON PARK XXVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
MADISON PARK XXVII: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
MF1 2025-FL17: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class F-X Notes
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C9: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
MTN COMMERCIAL 2022-LPFL: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
NASSAU 2021-I: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 44: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
NEWARK BSL 2: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $20MM Class D Notes
OCEAN TRAILS XIV: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
OCEAN TRAILS XIV: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Cl. F-R Notes
OCTAGON LOAN: Moody's Cuts Rating on $20.7MM Cl. E-RR Notes to B1
OFSI BSL XII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
PIKES PEAK 8: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
POST ROAD 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
PRET 2025-RPL1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class B-2 Notes
RAD CLO 27: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
RAD CLO 28: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
RCKT MORTGAGE 2025-CES1: Fitch Gives 'Bsf' Rating on 5 Tranches
SANTANDER DRIVE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
SCULPTOR CLO XXVII: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $19.1MM E-R Notes
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B+sf' Rating on Cl. B Certs
SIGNAL PEAK 14: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
SILVER POINT 1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
SILVER POINT 1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
SUTTONPARK 2021-A: DBRS Keeps BB Rating of D Notes Under Review
TPR FUNDING 2022-1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class E Advances
UBS COMMERCIAL 2017-C6: Fitch Cuts Rating on Two Tranches to Bsf
UBS-BAMLL TRUST 2012-WRM: S&P Cuts Cl. E Certs Rating to 'D (sf)'
VOYA CLO 2020-3: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class E-RR Notes
WELLS FARGO 2014-LC16: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class C Certs
ZAYO ISSUER 2025-1: Fitch Gives 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. C Notes
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 8 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds From 11 US RMBS Deals
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 72 Classes From Eight US RMBS Deal
[] Fitch Takes Various Action on College Loan Trust I Indentures
[] Moody's Takes Action on 11 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
*********
AASET 2021-1 TRUST: S&P Raises Class C Notes Rating to BB+ (sf)
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 15 ratings from four
aircraft ABS transactions. The review yielded 13 upgrades and two
affirmations.
S&P said, "The upgrades primarily reflect the increase in the
respective notes' credit enhancement due to principal repayments
backed by strong collateral collections (base rent, maintenance
reserves, end-of-lease payment, and sale of aircraft) and sustained
stable portfolio performance leading to decreases in loan-to-value
(LTV) ratios since our last review. The affirmations reflect the
constraints related to the application of our counterparty risk
criteria for those notes, although the performance has remained
strong."
The sections below provide more transaction-specific details from
this review. All statistics reported herein are as of the December
2024 payment date.
AASET 2021-1 Trust
S&P said, "We raised our ratings on the class B and C notes and
affirmed our rating on the class A notes from AASET 2021-1 Trust.
"The upgrades primarily reflect the sustained stable performance of
the underlying aircraft pool, the paydown of the notes since the
prior review, and the resulting decline in the LTV ratios. The
affirmation reflects the constraints related to the application of
our counterparty risk criteria, although the performance has
remained strong."
The portfolio is backed by 31 aircraft that were manufactured
between 2000 and 2015, with a weighted average age of 14.2 years
and weighted average remaining lease term of 3.7 years (based on
the lower of mean and median [LMM] of the half-life appraised
values as of October 2024). One aircraft is currently off lease and
one aircraft is due to come off lease in the next 12 months. The
portfolio is well-diversified across lessees and jurisdictions with
a majority of narrowbody aircraft.
S&P said, "Since our most recent review in July 2023, the
transaction has paid down the class A, B and C notes by
approximately $161.9 million, $51.5 million, and $2.9 million,
respectively, primarily from cash flows from base and utilization
rents. From the July 2023 payment date to the January 2025 payment
date the LTV ratio has decreased for class A to 52.75% from 67.93%,
for class B to 63.00% from 83.95%, and for class C to 73.85% from
93.64%.
"Our cash flow analysis suggests a higher rating for all three
classes. However, we considered the structural subordination of the
class B and C notes, as well as their respective LTVs relative to
the age of the portfolio and the results of additional cash flow
runs that applied additional haircuts to cash flows. In general, we
also considered the replacement framework, and the rating threshold
associated with the bank account and liquidity facility providers,
while determining the ratings assigned herein.
"We also note that if our rating of the liquidity provider and/or
the bank account provider were to be lowered below a certain level
or if either provider is replaced by a counterparty with a lower
rating, it could lead to a potential change in the notes' rating
based on the application of our counterparty risk criteria."
MAPS 2018-1 Ltd.
S&P raised its ratings on the class A, B, and C notes from MAPS
2018-1 Ltd.
The upgrades primarily reflect the sustained stable performance of
the underlying aircraft pool, the paydown of the notes since the
prior review, and the resulting decline in the LTV ratios.
The portfolio is backed by nine aircraft and two engines
manufactured between 2002 and 2011, with a weighted average age of
14.5 years and a weighted average remaining lease term of 3.7 years
(based on the LMM of the half-life appraised values as of September
2024). The portfolio is fully leased with 10.84% of the leases
expiring in the next 12 months.
Since S&P's most recent review for this deal in September 2023, the
class A, B, and C notes have been paid down in aggregate by
approximately $141 million, $27.7 million, and $16.5 million,
respectively.
From the September 2023 payment date to the January 2025 payment
date, the LTV ratio (based on the LMM of the half-life appraised
values) decreased for the class A notes to 32.31% from 63.16%, for
the class B notes to 36.38% from 74.28%, and for the class C notes
to 45.24% from 84.53%. These decreases have been driven by
cashflows from rental collections and the sales of seven aircraft
since S&P's last review.
S&P said, "Our cash flow results indicated a higher rating for all
the three classes. However, we considered the structural
subordination for the class B and C notes and the increased
portfolio concentration as the transaction continues to undertake
opportunistic aircraft dispositions. In general, we also considered
the replacement framework and the rating threshold associated with
the liquidity facility provider (after the class A notes are paid
off) and the bank account provider while determining the ratings
assigned herein.
"We also note that if our rating of the liquidity provider and/or
the bank account provider were to be lowered below a certain level
or if either provider is replaced by a counterparty with a lower
rating, it could lead to a potential change in the notes' rating
based on the application of our counterparty risk criteria."
MAPS 2021-1 Trust
S&P raised its ratings on the class B and C notes and affirmed its
rating on the class A notes from MAPS 2021-1 Trust.
The upgrades primarily reflect the continued stable performance of
the underlying aircraft pool, the paydown of the notes since the
prior review, and the subsequent decline in the LTV ratios. The
affirmation reflects the constraints related to the application of
S&P's counterparty risk criteria, although the performance has
remained strong.
The portfolio is backed by nine aircraft manufactured between 2000
and 2014, with a weighted average age of 13.8 years and a weighted
average remaining lease term of 4.9 years (based on the LMM of the
half-life appraised values as of September 2024). The portfolio is
fully leased with 9.17% leases expiring in the next 12 months.
Since S&P's last review of this transaction in July 2023, the class
A, B, and C notes have been paid down by approximately $205.9
million, $48.4 million, and t $39.1 million, respectively.
From the July 2023 payment date to the January 2025 payment date,
the LTV ratio decreased for the class A notes to 42.18% from
69.46%, for the class B notes to 49.18% from 84.19%, and for the
class C notes to 50.26% from 93.61%. These decreases have been
driven by cashflows from rental collections and the sales of eight
aircraft since our last review.
S&P said, "Our cash flow results indicated a higher rating for all
the three classes. However, we considered the structural
subordination for the class B and C notes and the increased
portfolio concentration as the transaction continues to undertake
opportunistic aircraft dispositions. In general, we also considered
the replacement framework and the rating threshold associated with
the liquidity facility provider (after the class A notes are paid
off) and the bank account provider while determining the ratings
assigned herein.
"We also note that if our rating of the liquidity provider and/or
the bank account provider were to be lowered below a certain level
or if either provider is replaced by a counterparty with a lower
rating, it could lead to a potential change in the notes' rating
based on the application of our counterparty risk criteria."
PK Air 1 L.P.
Table 1
Overcollateralization
Class Current (%) Issuance (%) Threshold (%)
A-F 1544.35 173.07 154.60
A-R 1544.35 173.07 154.60
B1-F 253.10 137.24 109.39
B2-F 146.35 116.25 109.39
C-F 117.21 106.62 108.29
D1-F 113.36 105.15 105.27
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class A-F and A-R
loans, and the class B1-F, B2-F, C-F, and D1-F notes from PK Air 1
L.P.
The upgrades reflect the transaction's sustained strong performance
since closing, compliance with all the coverage tests (i.e.,
interest coverage and overcollateralization [O/C]), the loans'
amortization, the servicer's (Apollo PK Air Management [CLO] L.P.)
strength, and their track record in the aviation lending space.
When the transaction originally closed, two cohorts of liabilities
were issued, one consisting of six classes of U.S. dollar
(USD)-denominated loans and notes and the other consisting of four
classes of euro-denominated loans and notes. Each cohort was
collateralized by USD and euro-denominated loans, respectively, and
the structure was cross-collateralized. In late 2024, the
euro-denominated collateral was sold and the euro-denominated notes
were entirely paid down. The transaction now consists solely of the
six USD-denominated loans and notes collateralized by
USD-denominated portfolio of first-lien loans. While each cohort
relied on proceeds denominated in the respective currency, there
were some provisions in the waterfall that allowed for the
utilization of proceeds denominated in the other currency. The full
repayment of the euro liabilities, in S&P's view, further
strengthens the USD structure because they can now use the
collections to solely repay the USD liabilities.
The USD-denominated loans have amortized and prepaid, resulting in
$687.3 million of amortization of the class A-R and A-F loans
between the June 2024 and December 2024 payment dates.
The transaction is backed by a portfolio of first-lien senior
secured loans collateralized by 163 aircraft and aircraft engines.
The LMM value of the underlying aircraft and aircraft engine is
$3.06 billion adjusted by the issuer's share in individual loans.
The assets and liabilities are now only denominated in USDs.
The structure allowed for reinvestment of principal proceeds until
December 2022 and since then, the notes have paid down according to
the payment sequence defined in the transaction documents. The O/C
ratio for the USD structure passes with strong cushions and, given
that this structure has also entered the amortization phase, S&P
believes the ratios will continue to improve as the notes continue
to pay down. The O/C of each class of the USD-denominated notes has
improved since issuance.
S&P said, "The results of our cash flow runs indicated a higher
rating for the class B-2F, C-F, and D1-F notes. We considered the
structural subordination of these classes while determining the
ratings assigned."
Ratings Raised
AASET 2021-1 Trust
Class B to A- (sf) from BBB (sf)
Class C to BB+ (sf) from B+ (sf)
MAPS 2018-1 Ltd.
Class A to A+ (sf) from A (sf)
Class B to A- (sf) from BBB+ (sf)
Class C to BBB+ (sf) from BB (sf)
MAPS 2021-1 Trust
Class B to A- (sf) from BBB+ (sf)
Class C to BBB+ (sf) from BB (sf)
PK Air 1 L.P.
Class A-F to AA (sf) from A+ (sf)
Class A-R to AA (sf) from A+ (sf)
Class B1-F to AA (sf) from A (sf)
Class B2-F to AA- (sf) from BBB+ (sf)
Class C-F to A- (sf) from BB (sf)
Class D1-F to BBB+ (sf) from B+ (sf)
Rating Affirmed
AASET 2021-1 Trust
Class A: A+ (sf)
MAPS 2021-1 Trust
Class A: A+ (sf)
ABFC TRUST 2002-NC1: Moody's Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to Caa1
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Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating of one bond and downgraded
the ratings of two bonds from ABFC 2002-NC1 Trust. The collateral
backing this deal consists of subprime mortgages.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: ABFC 2002-NC1 Trust
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 17, 2017
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 17, 2017 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools, and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectations for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's loss-given-default expectation assesses both the
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
ACHM TRUST 2023-HE1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class C Notes
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DBRS, Inc. takes credit rating actions on all classes of
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2023-HE1 issued by ACHM Trust
2023-HE1 as follows:
-- Class A confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B upgraded to A (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class C confirmed at B (low) (sf)
The credit rating upgrade reflects a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns December 2024 Update" published on December 19, 2024
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/444924). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ACRE COMMERCIAL 2021-FL4: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit rating on one class of notes
issued by ACRE Commercial Mortgage 2021-FL4 Ltd. (the Issuer) as
follows:
-- Class G to CCC (sf) from B (low) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
The trends on Classes E and F remain Negative. Class G no longer
carries a trend as it has a credit rating that typically does not
carry a trend in Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
credit ratings. The trends on all remaining classes are Stable.
The credit rating downgrade to Class G reflects ongoing accumulated
interest shortfalls due, which will soon exceed Morningstar DBRS'
tolerance relative to the current credit rating. Class G has not
received full interest due since the June 2024 remittance.
Morningstar DBRS' tolerance for unpaid interest is limited to six
consecutive remittance periods at the B (sf) credit rating
category. The Negative trends are reflective of the increased
propensity for interest shortfalls, as well as the uncertainty
around the recoverability of the majority of the loans in this
maturing pool.
The transaction is in wind down, with a cumulative trust balance of
$279.2 million, composed of five loans as of the December 2024
remittance. Since the previous Morningstar DBRS credit rating
action in June 2024, one loan with a former trust balance of $32.4
million was liquidated from the pool with a realized loss of $20.2
million, in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations. Of the
remaining loans, three loans, representing more than 80.0% of the
pool balance, are secured by office properties. Morningstar DBRS
believes the values of the assets have declined from respective
loan closing as the borrowers of each loan have been unable to
successfully implement their respective business plans. One of
these loans, highlighted below, is currently in special servicing.
Exchange (Prospectus ID#3; 26.9% of the current trust balance), the
second largest asset in the pool, is secured by a
567,859-square-foot (sf) office property in Charlotte, North
Carolina. The loan transferred to special servicing for maturity
default in May 2024 and is currently paid through April 2024.
According to the servicer, the asset is currently real estate
owned. As of the trailing 12-month period (T-12) ended September
30, 2024, the property generated net cash flow (NCF) of $4.5
million, resulting in a DSCR of 0.72 times (x). The property was
appraised for $83.0 million as of February 2024, down 24.7% from
the issuance value of $110.2 million. The February 2024 value
implies a loan-to value ratio (LTV) of 82.7% based on the current
funded A-note of $68.6 million. Morningstar DBRS believes the
current market value is likely lower and, in its analysis,
Morningstar DBRS applied a haircut to the most recent appraisal
value, resulting in a minor loss severity. The projected losses for
this loan are expected to be contained to the unrated first loss
piece.
The transaction closed in January 2021 with an initial collateral
pool of 23 floating-rate mortgage loans secured by 34 mostly
transitional real estate properties with a cut-off-date pool
balance of approximately $667.2 million. The collateral pool for
the transaction is static; however, the Issuer was able to acquire
funded loan participation interests into the trust over the
Permitted Funded Companion Participation Acquisition Period, which
ended with the April 2024 Payment Date.
The largest loan in the pool, 311 West Monroe (Prospectus ID#1;
32.3% of the current trust balance), is secured by a 15-story,
390,512-sf, Class A office property in the West Loop submarket of
Chicago. The borrower used the advanced funds to pay for leasing
costs for tenants that had executed leases at loan closing and to
fund debt service shortfalls. Of the $48.0 million future funding
proceeds, $34.7 million was allocated for leasing costs and $13.3
million was allocated for debt service carry costs. The borrower's
business plan was to stabilize operations after signing new leases
to secure takeout financing or sell the asset. The loan's initial
maturity date was in March 2023; however, the loan was modified to
extend the loan maturity to March 2025. As part of the
modification, the borrower purchased a new interest rate cap
agreement and deposited $2.2 million into the carry reserve.
According to documents provided by the servicer, the property was
93.0% occupied as of the T-12 period ended September 30, 2024, with
an NCF figure of $7.5 million, which equated to a DSCR of 0.65x. In
its analysis, Morningstar DBRS assumed a stressed value, which
resulted in an LTV in excess of 100%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. The
principal methodology is North American CMBS Surveillance
Methodology (December 13, 2024).
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 21: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $20MM E-R Notes
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Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to three classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Anchorage
Capital CLO 21, Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$244,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034 (the "Class A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$47,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2034
(the "Class B-R Notes"), Assigned Aa1 (sf)
US$20,000,000 Class E-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Anchorage Collateral Management, L.L.C. (the "Manager") will
continue to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of
the assets on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading
activity, including discretionary trading, during the transaction's
remaining reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the non-call
period will be extended as well.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $390,369,880
Defaulted par: $1,286,913
Diversity Score: 84
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3208
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.63%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.50%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.75 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
BAIN CAPITAL 2019-3: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $30MM E-RR Notes
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Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Bain Capital Credit CLO
2019-3, Limited (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$310,000,000 Class A-RR Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$21,500,000 Class B-2-RR Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aa1 (sf)
US$29,915,000 Class C-1-RR Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned A2 (sf)
US$22,500,000 Class D-RR Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$30,000,000 Class E-RR Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Additionally, Moody's have taken rating actions on the following
outstanding notes originally issued by the Issuer on December 30,
2021 (the "First Refinancing Date"):
US$43,800,000 Class B-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on December 30, 2021
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$3,585,000 Class C-2-R Senior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
due 2034, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on December 30, 2021
Assigned A3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Bain Capital Credit US CLO Manager, LLC (the "Manager") will
continue to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of
the assets on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading
activity, including discretionary trading, during the transaction's
remaining reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued three other classes of secured notes
and one class of subordinated notes, which will remain
outstanding.
Other changes to transaction features in connection with the
refinancing include extension of the non-call period.
Moody's rating actions on the Class B-1-R Notes, and Class C-2-R
Notes are primarily a result of the refinancing, which increases
excess spread available as credit enhancement to the rated notes.
No action was taken on the Class X-R notes because its expected
losses remain commensurate with its current rating, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $487,819,817
Defaulted par: $3,988,214
Diversity Score: 90
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3012
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.08%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.09%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.5 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, decrease in overall WAS or net interest
income and, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
BARINGS CLO 2018-III: S&P Raises Class F Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
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S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class C, D, E, and F
debt from Barings CLO Ltd. 2018-III. At the same time, we affirmed
our ratings on the class B-1 and B-2-R debt from the same
transaction.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the December 2024 trustee report.
The transaction has paid down $194.56 million collectively to the
class A-1, A-2, B-1, and B-2-R debt since S&P's August 2023 rating
actions, resulting in the class A-1 and A-2 debt being paid in full
and approximately 96.45% of the B-1 and B-2-R debt still
outstanding. These paydowns resulted in improved reported
overcollateralization (O/C) ratios since the July 2023 trustee
report, which S&P used for its previous rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 285.46% from 147.49%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 180.82% from 128.61%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 130.86% from 113.48%.
-- The class E O/C ratio improved to 112.25% from 106.00%.
All O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to the lower
balances of the senior notes; consequently, the credit support
increased.
Along with the O/C ratios, the collateral portfolio's credit
quality has improved since S&P's last rating actions. Collateral
obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category have decreased, with
$17.39 million reported as of the December 2024 trustee report
compared to $32.87 million reported as of the July 2023 trustee
report. Over the same period, the par amount of defaulted
collateral decreased to $0 from $9.65 million.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the debt at the prior rating levels and decrease in principal
balance of 'CCC' category obligations and defaulted obligations
since the last review.
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels, though any deterioration in the credit support
available to the notes could results in ratings changes.
S&P said, "Although our cash flow analysis indicated a higher
rating for the class E debt, our rating action reflects additional
sensitivity runs that considered the exposure to lower-quality
assets and distressed prices we noticed in the portfolio.
"Although the cash flow results indicated a lower rating for the
class F debt, we view the overall credit seasoning as an
improvement to the transaction and also considered the improved
credit enhancement currently available to this class. In our
opinion, the class F debt no longer meets our 'CCC' criteria for
being dependent on favorable conditions to meet its payments, hence
its rating was raised to 'B- (sf)'. However, any increase in
defaults or par losses could lead to negative rating actions on the
class F debt in the future.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis--and other qualitative factors as
applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
Barings CLO Ltd. 2018-III
Class C to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class D to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)
Class E to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)
Class F to 'B- (sf)' from 'CCC+ (sf)
Ratings Affirmed
Barings CLO Ltd. 2018-III
Class B-1: AAA (sf)
Class B-2-R: AAA (sf)
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2023-C19: Fitch Lowers Rating on G-RR Debt to 'Bsf'
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Fitch Ratings has downgraded two and affirmed 13 classes of BBCMS
Mortgage Trust 2023-C19 (BBCMS 2023-C19). Fitch has also assigned a
Negative Rating Outlook to class G-RR following the downgrade and
revised the Outlook to Negative from Stable for classes C, D-RR,
E-RR and F-RR.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BBCMS 2023-C19
A-1 05553RAA8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2A 05553RAB6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2B 05553RAZ3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 05553RAC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 05553RAG5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 05553RAD2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 05553RAH3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 05553RAJ9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D-RR 05553RAK6 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E-RR 05553RAM2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
F-RR 05553RAP5 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
G-RR 05553RAR1 LT Bsf Downgrade BB-sf
H-RR 05553RAT7 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-A 05553RAE0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 05553RAF7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss is 4.8%. Six loans are designated as Fitch Loans of Concern
(FLOCs; 10.4% of the pool), including five loans (10.1%) in special
servicing.
The downgrades reflect increased pool loss expectations, driven
primarily by the specially serviced 2 Executive loan (6.4%). The
Negative Outlooks reflect potential downgrades with continued
performance deterioration of the FLOCs, as well as prolonged
workouts and/or outsized valuation declines for the specially
serviced loans.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is the 2
Executive loan, which is secured by a 290,922-sf mixed-use (office
and multifamily) property located in Fort Lee, NJ. The property
underwent a renovation to the top four floors beginning in 2019 to
transform former office space into 84 multifamily units. The
largest three office tenants are GSA (18.0% of NRA), Hudson
Crossing Surgery (11.8%) and Nadri Inc (11.1%).
Shortly after issuance and in April 2023, a fire occurred in one of
the residential units, resulting in significant water damage that
affected several residential and commercial units. The loan
transferred to special servicing in January 2024 due to various
defaults, including payment default. The servicer reported there
are code violations at the property and several outstanding
mechanic's liens totaling nearly $1 million. Due to the defaults
and ongoing issues, a foreclosure was filed in June 2024. Media
reports indicate that the borrower (Meyer Chetrit) has countersued
the trustee alleging mismanagement of funds.
As of September 2023, the servicer-reported DSCR was 1.36x.
According to the July 2024 rent roll, the multifamily portion was
89% occupied and the office portion was 91% occupied. Despite the
positive cash flow and stable occupancy, Fitch expects a prolonged
loan workout given the pending litigation that could erode property
valuation.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 31.2% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 9.25% cap rate to the Fitch issuance NCF and
factors the elevated probability of default given the foreclosure
loan status.
Three of the other loans in special servicing have the same sponsor
(Abe Cohen); these loans, Pennbrook Portfolio (Philadelphia, PA),
350 5th St & 372 Baltic St (Brooklyn, NY), and 566 7th Street
(Brooklyn, NY), combined 2.3% of the pool, secured by multifamily
properties, transferred to special servicing in February 2024 for
payment default. Foreclosure was filed in October 2024.
Another loan with the same sponsor (60 Diamond Street; 0.3%) is
currently 30 days delinquent. Performance remains generally in line
with issuance expectations and occupancy is reported to be 100% for
each asset. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating loss ranges from 2.9% to 6.3%
(prior to concentration add-ons); the minimal losses for each loan
reflect the asset type and stable overall performance.
The fifth loan in special servicing is Holiday Inn Express -
Hesperia (1.3%), which is secured by a 100-key limited service
hotel located in Hesperia, CA. The loan transferred special
servicing in January 2024 for payment default. However, the
borrower has since paid the loan current and a reinstatement
agreement has been executed. The loan is expected to return to the
master servicer. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 10.5% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects the Fitch issuance NCF and a 11.50%
cap rate.
Limited Change to Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the December 2024
remittance report, the transaction has been paid down by 0.18%
since issuance. There are 26 (85.9%) full-term, interest-only (IO)
loans and three loans (3.7%) have a partial, IO period. Based on
the scheduled balances at maturity, the pool will pay down by only
1.4%. Cumulative interest shortfalls of $255,000 are affecting the
non-rated class J-RR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur should performance of the FLOCs deteriorate
significantly and/or if more loans than expected default at or
prior to maturity.
Downgrades for the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories are likely
with higher than expected losses from the FLOCs, particularly the 2
Executive loan, and/or with greater certainty of losses on the
specially serviced loans.
Downgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' ratings would occur should
additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, as
losses are realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable to improved pool-level loss
expectations and better than expected resolutions for the specially
serviced loans, particularly 2 Executive.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is the likelihood of interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET XXIX: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from Benefit
Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC,
a CLO originally issued in December 2022 that is managed by BSP CLO
Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 29,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 5, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Jan. 25, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 25, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to Jan. 25,
2038.
-- Additional assets will be purchased on the Feb. 5, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will upsize to
$1 billion. There may be an additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 25, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- There will be $35.20 million in additional subordinated notes
issued on the refinancing date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $640.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.18%
-- Class B-R, $120.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.50%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $60.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.75%
-- Class D-1-R (deferrable), $60.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.55%
-- Class D-2-R (deferrable), $10.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.60%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.60%
-- Subordinated notes, $70.20 million: Not applicable
Original debt
-- Class A, $300.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.220%
-- Class B-1, $63.75 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.100%
-- Class B-2, $15.00 million: 6.655%
-- Class C (deferrable), $26.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 4.000%
-- Class D (deferrable), $28.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 5.750%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $17.25 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.810%
-- Subordinated notes, $35.00 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC
Class A-R, $640.0 million: AAA(sf)
Class B-R, $120.0 million: AA(sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $60.0 million: A(sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $60.0 million: BBB-(sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $10.0 million: BBB-(sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $30.0 million: BB-(sf)
Other Debt
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC
Subordinated notes, $70.2 million: Not rated
BLP COMMERCIAL 2023-IND: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2023-IND
issued by BLP Commercial Mortgage Trust 2023-IND as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, as evidenced by the steady
occupancy across the portfolio since issuance. The portfolio is
predominantly backed by industrial properties and benefits from
experienced sponsorship, long-term leases, and geographical and
sectoral diversity. It was previously noted there have been delays
in construction of the largest building in the portfolio (I-10
Logistics Center 41.8% of the net rentable area (NRA)), discussed
further below. The servicer confirmed that construction was
completed in 2024, and Morningstar DBRS expects financial
performance to increase to issuance expectations through the 2025
reporting.
The transaction is collateralized by the borrower's fee-simple or
leasehold interest in 30 cross-collateralized properties totaling
4.4 million square feet. The portfolio consists of 28 industrial
properties and two office properties spread across 12 states,
including California, New Jersey, and Maryland. The sponsor,
Brookfield Strategic Real Estate Partners IV (BSREP IV), a fund
controlled by Brookfield Asset Management, contributed $329.2
million of equity in the $807.7 million acquisition price of the
subject portfolio. The $550 million interest-only, floating-rate
loan has an initial upcoming maturity of March 2025 and is
structured with three one-year extension options. The initial term
as well as each of the extension options require the purchase of an
interest rate cap agreement that yields a debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR) of 1.10 times (x) and 1.05x, respectively, however, no
performance tests are required to exercise any option. According to
the servicer, the first maturity extension extending the loan to
March 2026, has not been exercised. However, the borrower has until
10 days prior to the maturity date to provide notice of its
extension.
The loan has a partial pro rata/sequential-pay structure that
allows for pro rata paydowns for the first 20.0% of the unpaid
principal balance. The borrower can release any property in the
portfolio at a release price of 110.0% of the ALA as long as the
portfolio debt yield does not drop below the debt yield prior to
the release or the portfolio's debt yield at issuance. As of the
December 2024 remittance, there have been no property releases to
date.
As of the June 2024 rent roll, the portfolio reported an occupancy
rate of 91.7%, compared with the YE2023 figure of 91.3%. The
portfolios largest tenants are Shein (41.8% NRA, lease expire in
September and December 2024), Kearney Page Warehouse Services
(18.0% NRA, lease expiry in February 2029), and Iron Mountain (4.9%
NRA, lease expiry in December 2024 and December 2027).
Approximately 3.6% of the NRA have leases scheduled to expire in
the next 12 months.
According to the annualized trailing six-month financials for the
period ended June 30, 2024, the subject reported NCF of $6.3
million (DSCR of 0.13x), compared to $7.9 million (DSCR of 0.17x)
at YE2023 and the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $34.9 million derived at
issuance. Financials remain below issuance expectations due to the
largest tenant, Shein (51.2% of Morningstar DBRS base rent) facing
move-in delays due to prolonged construction. At issuance, Shein
was expected to take occupancy in the two buildings at the I-10
Logistics Center in September 2023 subject to an initial
three-month rent abatement period. Following numerous delays in
construction, the servicer has confirmed that the Shein took
occupancy in June and September 2024 with both free rent periods
complete as of this commentary.
At issuance, Morningstar DBRS derived a value of $527.9 million
based on the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $34.9 million and a
capitalization rate of 6.75%, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS
loan-to-value (LTV) of 104.2% compared with the LTV of 60.0% based
on the appraised value at issuance. Positive qualitative
adjustments totaling 7.25% were applied to the LTV Sizing
Benchmarks to reflect the portfolio's quality, cash flow
volatility, and strong market fundamentals. Morningstar DBRS'
credit outlook of the transaction remains unchanged from issuance
despite the tenant move-in delays and resulting depressed cash
flows.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CARVAL CLO III: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $28.4MM E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by CarVal CLO
III Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$310,970,133 Class A-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2032, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$51,000,000 Class B-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2032, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$24,500,000 Class C-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Assigned Aa3 (sf)
US$31,900,000 Class D-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Assigned Baa2 (sf)
US$28,400,000 Class E-R2 Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
CarVal CLO Management, LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer.
The Issuer previously issued one other class of secured notes and
one class of subordinated notes, which will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a variety of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing, including extension of the Refinancing Notes'
non-call period.
No action was taken on the Class F Notes because its expected loss
remains commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $478,127,405
Defaulted par: $7,448,366
Diversity Score: 73
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2841
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.10%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.13%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.09 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
CFCRE 2016-4: Fitch Affirms Bsf Rating on 2 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 16 classes of CFCRE 2016-C3 Mortgage
Trust. Following their affirmations, the Rating Outlooks for class
B, C and X-B were revised to Negative from Stable. The Rating
Outlooks for class D, E, X-D and X-E remain Negative.
Fitch has also affirmed 15 classes of CFCRE 2016-C4 Mortgage Trust.
The Outlooks for class B, C and X-B were revised to Stable from
Positive. The Outlooks for class E, F, X-E and X-F were revised to
Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CFCRE 2016-C4
A-3 12531YAM0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 12531YAN8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-HR 12531YAP3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-M 12531YAU2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12531YAL2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12531YAV0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C 12531YAW8 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
D 12531YAE8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 12531YAF5 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F 12531YAG3 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
X-A 12531YAQ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12531YAS7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
X-E 12531YAB4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-F 12531YAC2 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
X-HR 12531YAR9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
CFCRE 2016-C3
A-2 12531WBA9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 12531WBB7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12531WAZ5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
AM 12531WBF8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12531WBG6 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 12531WBH4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 12531WAL6 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 12531WAN2 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
F 12531WAQ5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
G 12531WAS1 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-A 12531WBC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12531WBD3 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
X-D 12531WAA0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-E 12531WAC6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-F 12531WAE2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-G 12531WAG7 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The deal-level 'B'sf
rating case loss for the CFCRE 2016-C3 and CFCRE 2016-C4
transactions is 8.5% and 5.0%, respectively. Fitch Loans of Concern
(FLOCs) include 11 loans (39.9% of the pool) in CFCRE 2016-C3, and
12 loans (34.0%) in CFCRE 2016-C4, which includes one loan (7.2%)
in special servicing.
Affirmations in CFCRE 2016-C3 and CFCRE 2016-C4 reflect generally
stable pool performance since Fitch's prior rating action. Due to
concentration of upcoming loan maturities in both transactions,
Fitch performed a sensitivity and liquidation analysis that grouped
the remaining loans based on their collateral quality and current
status, and then ranked them by their perceived likelihood of
repayment and/or loss expectations.
Loan maturities are concentrated in the second half of 2025 (75.9%)
and Q1 2026 (24.1%) in the CFCRE 2016-C3 transaction, and the first
half of 2026 (75.9%) in the CFCRE 2016-C4 transaction.
The Negative Outlooks in CFCRE 2016-C3 reflect these classes'
reliance on FLOCs to repay, including Element LA (9.4%), Empire
Mall (7.6%), One Commerce Plaza (5.8%), Springfield Mall (4.6%),
Glenridge Medical Center I (4.2%) and Fairfield Inn & Suites,
Cordele (0.6%), which have experienced continued performance
declines and anticipated refinancing challenges.
Due to concerns surrounding refinancing, Fitch's analysis of CFCRE
2016-C3 also incorporated an additional sensitivity scenario that
factored a heightened probability of default on the Element LA
loan, where pool-level losses increase to 9.7% and contributed to
the Negative Outlooks.
The Negative Outlooks in CFCRE 2016-C4 reflect these classes'
reliance on FLOCs to repay, including the specially serviced Hyatt
Regency St. Louis at the Arch as well as office FLOCs, One Commerce
Plaza, 5353 West Bell Road, Racine Dental, 3 Executive Campus,
Traveler's Office Tower II, Binz Building and Banderas Corporate
Center; downgrades are possible with continued performance declines
and/or default at or prior to maturity of these FLOCs.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest increase in loss since
the prior rating action in CFCRE 2016-C3 is the Element LA loan
(9.4% of the pool), which is secured by a 284,037-sf suburban
office property located in Los Angeles, CA. The property is fully
occupied by RIOT Games, who utilizes the property as its global
headquarters. The tenant has a lease termination option in February
2025, with 12 months' notice, which was not exercised, per servicer
reporting. The tenant's lease expires in March 2030, beyond the
loan's November 2025 loan maturity. The property is located south
of the Palisades Fire that is currently affecting the Los Angeles
MSA. Fitch requested updates from the servicer regarding any fire
damage, but did not receive a response.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 12.0% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9% cap rate and a 20% stress to the YE 2023
NOI. Fitch also performed an additional sensitivity scenario to
account for the high debt per square foot anticipated refinance
concerns, increasing the 'Bsf' sensitivity case loss to 24% (prior
to concentration adjustments), which contributed to the Negative
Outlooks.
The CFCRE 2016-C3 transaction includes two regional mall loans, the
Empire Mall (7.6%) and the Springfield Mall (4.6%). The YTD June
2024 occupancy and NOI DSCR for the Empire Mall are 85% and 1.52x,
respectively. Comparable inline sales were $456 psf as of March
2024. The Springfield Mall performance has continued to decline
with the June 2024 occupancy falling to 86% from 97% at YE 2023.
NOI DSCR has declined to 1.24x for the YTD June 2024 reporting
period from 1.32x at YE 2023. Due to concerns regarding performance
and anticipated refinance challenges of these two malls, Fitch's
'Bsf' rating case loss of 40% (prior to concentration adjustments)
for the Empire Mall and 33% (prior to concentration adjustments)
for the Springfield Mall factor a heightened probability of
default.
The second largest contributor to loss expectations in the CFCRE
2016-C3 transaction and the largest contributor to loss in CFCRE
2016-C4 is the One Commerce Plaza loan (5.8% of CFCRE 2016-C3 and
4.4% in CFCRE 2016-C4), secured by a 737,528-sf office property
located in Albany, NY. The property is mainly occupied by New York
State Agencies (totaling 70% of the NRA), including the Departments
of State, Department of Health, Department of Higher Education,
Department of Financial Institutions and Department of Temporary
Disability. While overall performance has remained stable since
issuance, there is substantial upcoming lease rollover, including
the Department of Health's lease (23% of NRA) expiring prior to
loan maturity in January 2026.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 22.6% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate, 10% stress to the YE 2022 NOI
and factors an increased probability of default to account for the
loan's heightened maturity default concerns.
The next largest contributor to loss expectations in the CFCRE
2016-C4 transaction is the 5353 West Bell Road loan (3.1%), which
is secured by a 206,155-sf office building located in Glendale, AZ.
The property is fully leased to the CSAA Insurance Group through
November 2025, which is prior to the loan's maturity in January
2026. According to CoStar and broker materials, the entire space is
listed as available for sublease. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of
17.6% (prior to concentration adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate
and a 20% stress to the YE 2022 NOI, and factors an increased
probability of default to account for the loan's heightened
maturity default concerns.
The third largest contributor to loss expectations in the CFCRE
2016-C4 transaction is the Traveler's Office Tower II loan (2.5%),
which is secured by a 349,149-sf office property located in
Southfield, MI. The loan was identified as a FLOC due to
performance declines, impending lease rollover and weakened
submarket conditions. Occupancy declined to 69.8% as of September
2024 from 68% at YE 2021 and remains below pre-pandemic occupancy
of 98% at YE 2019. Due to the occupancy declines, the loan's NOI
DSCR has declined to 3.7x for the YTD September 2024 reporting
period, down from 4.6x as of YE 2019 and 4.0x at YE 2018.
Additionally, there is significant upcoming rollover of
approximately 45% of the NRA in 2026, including the largest tenant
R1 RCM, Inc (35.7%) which expires in April 2026, subsequent to loan
maturity in January 2026.
According to CoStar, approximately 77.7% of the NRA is listed as
available for sublease. Fitch requested leasing updates on the
available space, but did not receive a response. The property is
located in the Southfield submarket of the Detroit MSA, which
reported a vacancy rate of 24.5% and a higher availability rate of
28.6%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 18.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.5% cap rate and a 25% stress to the YE
2023 NOI as well as an increased probability of default to account
for the loan's heightened maturity default risk.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the January 2025
distribution statement, the aggregate balances of the CFCRE 2016-C3
and CFCRE 2016-C4 transactions have been reduced by 16.3% and
24.4%, respectively. There are 10 loans (23.3%) in CFCRE 2016-C3
and 14 loans (16.4%) in CFCRE 2016-C4 that are defeased. Interest
shortfalls of $108,196 are impacting the non-rated class G in CFCRE
2016-C3 and $82,804 are impacting the non-rated class G in CFCRE
2016-C4.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes are not likely due to their
position in the capital structure and continued
amortization/paydown and defeasance of loans, but may occur should
interest shortfalls impact these classes or there are substantial
increases in deal-level losses.
Downgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' rated classes in the CFCRE 2016-C3
transaction could occur with an increase in pool-level losses from
further performance deterioration of FLOCs, namely Element LA,
Empire Mall, One Commerce Plaza, Springfield Mall, Glenridge
Medical Center I and Fairfield Inn & Suites, Cordele. In the CFCRE
2016-C4 transaction, downgrades to these classes could occur if
performance of the FLOCs and loans in special servicing, most
notably Hyatt Regency St. Louis at The Arch, One Commerce Plaza,
5353 West Bell Road, Racine Dental, 3 Executive Campus and
Travelers Office Tower II, deteriorate further or fail to
stabilize.
Downgrades to 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf'-rated are likely with
higher-than-expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs, particularly the aforementioned office loans with
deteriorating performance and with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans, or with prolonged workouts of the
loans in special servicing.
Downgrades to 'Bsf'-rated classes would occur should the
aforementioned FLOCs and loans in special servicing fail to
stabilize and/or expected losses increase from further performance
declines of these loans
Downgrades to distressed classes are should additional loans be
transferred to special servicing or default, as losses are realized
or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and improved performance on the FLOCs. This includes
Element LA, Empire Mall, One Commerce Plaza, Springfield Mall,
Glenridge Medical Center I and Fairfield Inn & Suites, Cordele in
CFCRE 2016-C3 and Hyatt Regency St. Louis at The Arch, One Commerce
Plaza, 5353 West Bell Road, Racine Dental, 3 Executive Campus and
Travelers Office Tower II in CFCRE 2016-C4. Classes would not be
upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there is likelihood for interest
shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to the distressed classes are unlikely absent performance
stabilization of the FLOCs and improved recovery prospect of loans
in special servicing.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CIG AUTO 2021-1: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Class E Notes to Ba2
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings takes action on 47 classes of bonds issued from 37
non-prime auto securitizations. The bonds are backed by pools of
retail automobile non-prime loan contracts originated and serviced
by multiple parties.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-2
Class D Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Sep
20, 2024 Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Issuer: American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-4
Class D Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Dec
18, 2023 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-3
Class E Notes, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Issuer: AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-1
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Class E Notes, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-2
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2024
Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: CIG Auto Receivables Trust 2021-1
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Sep 20, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Issuer: CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Sep 20, 2024
Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Issuer: Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2022-1
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 16, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 16, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jun 16, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2022-3
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 3, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-3
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 20, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-3
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-3
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2023-5
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 20, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 15, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-2
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Apr 5, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2024-2
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on May 16, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 16, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2024-3
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 15, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Lendbuzz Securitization Trust 2023-2
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on May 31, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-2
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-3
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-4
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-1
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-5
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-6
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-4
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-5
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-6
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jan 18, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-2
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Apr 24, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2023-1
Class E Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jun
17, 2024 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2024-1
Class E Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Oct
3, 2024 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2024-2
Class D Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on May
22, 2024 Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Class E Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on
May 22, 2024 Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Veros Auto Receivables Trust 2023-1
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Sep 20, 2024
Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Issuer: Veros Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on May 29, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: VStrong Auto Receivables Trust 2024-A
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction(s) has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade actions are primarily driven by the buildup of credit
enhancement due to structural features including a sequential pay
structure, non-declining reserve account and
overcollateralization.
Moody's lifetime cumulative net loss expectations are noted below
for the transaction pools. The loss expectations reflect updated
performance trends on the underlying pools. In Moody's analysis,
Moody's also considered the likelihood of higher future pool
expected losses due to rising borrower defaults driven by high
inflation and declining borrower excess savings, as well as lower
recoveries driven by softening used vehicle prices.
AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-3: 5.75%
AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-1: 6.75%
AmeriCredit Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-2: 9.00%
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-2: 39.00%
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-4: 37.00%
CIG Auto Receivables Trust 2021-1: 17.00%
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D: 24.00%
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B: 23.00%
Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2022-1: 29.00%
Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2022-3: 27.00%
Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-3: 17.00%
Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1: 21.00%
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-3: 21.00%
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2022-3: 31.00%
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2023-5: 23.00%
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-1: 22.00%
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-2: 21.00%
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2024-2: 19.00%
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2024-3: 19.00%
Lendbuzz Securitization Trust 2023-2: 7.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-2: 7.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-3: 8.25%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2021-4: 10.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-1: 12.50%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-5: 15.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2022-6: 15.50%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-4: 16.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-5: 16.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2023-6: 16.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1: 16.00%
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust 2024-2: 16.00%
Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2023-1: 24.00%
Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2024-1: 22.00%
Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2024-2: 22.50%
VStrong Auto Receivables Trust 2024-A: 13.00%
Veros Auto Receivables Trust 2023-1: 27.00%
Veros Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1: 23.00%
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Auto Loan- and Lease-Backed ABS" published in
August 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are greater than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could lead
to an upgrade of the ratings. Losses could decline from Moody's
original expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor
defaults or greater recoveries from the value of the vehicles
securing the obligors promise of payment. The US job market and the
market for used vehicles are also primary drivers of the
transaction's performance. Other reasons for better-than-expected
performance include changes in servicing practices to maximize
collections on the loans or refinancing opportunities that result
in a prepayment of the loan.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could lead to a
downgrade of the ratings. Losses could increase from Moody's
original expectations as a result of a higher number of obligor
defaults or a deterioration in the value of the vehicles securing
the obligors promise of payment. The US job market and the market
for used vehicles are also primary drivers of the transaction's
performance. Other reasons for worse-than-expected performance
include poor servicing, error on the part of transaction parties
including further restatement of performance data, lack of
transactional governance and fraud.
COLT 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by COLT 2025-1 Mortgage
Loan Trust (COLT 2025-1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
COLT 2025-1
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The COLT 2025-1 certificates are supported by 516 nonprime loans
with a total balance of approximately $320.3 million as of the
cutoff date.
Loans in the pool were originated by multiple originators,
including The Loan Store Inc., Foundation Mortgage Corporation and
various others. The loans were aggregated by Hudson Americas L.P.
and are being serviced by Fay Servicing LLC (Fay) and Select
Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (SPS).
Collateral and structural changes made by Hudson, after the
publication of expected ratings, increased expected losses by
approximately 25bps for all stresses excluding the 'BB' and 'Base
Case' stresses. Additionally, the A-1 class split into an A-1A and
A-1B class, while also including an A-1 exchangeable class. After a
Trigger Event, interest is prioritized to classes A-1A then A-1B
followed by principal to the A-1A and then A-1B class.
The structure was resized to reflect updated balances, the loan
drop and rate shifts. Due to the shift in balances, the CE for the
A-2 increased 5bps and the A-3, M-1 and B-2 classes increased
25bps. The CE for all remaining classes did not change. The coupons
for the A-2 classes decreased 9bps while the A-3 and M-1 decreased
4bps and 2bps, respectively. The weighted average excess spread
increased to 124bps from 122bps.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.6% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% qoq,
based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices). Housing
affordability is at its worst levels in decades, driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased
3.9% yoy nationally as of September 2024, notwithstanding modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
COLT 2025-1 has a combined original loan-to-value ratio (cLTV) of
72.1%, slightly lower than that of the previous transaction, COLT
2024-7. Based on Fitch's updated view of housing market
overvaluation, this pool's sustainable LTV (sLTV) is 80.6%,
compared with 81.0% for the previous transaction.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 516
loans totaling $320.3 million and seasoned at approximately three
months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile, consisting of a 739 model FICO, and
moderate leverage, with an 80.6% sLTV and a 72.1% cLTV.
Of the pool, 52.8% of the loans are for a primary residence, while
44.5% comprise an investor property, as calculated by Fitch.
Additionally, 53.9% are nonqualified mortgages (non-QMs, or NQMs),
1.5% are safe-harbor qualified mortgages (SHQM) and 0.3% are
rebuttable presumption qualified mortgage loans; the QM rule does
not apply to the remainder.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 22.25%. This is
mainly driven by the NQM/nonprime collateral and the concentration
of investor cash flow product (debt service coverage ratio [DSCR])
loans.
Loan Documentation and DSCR Loans (Negative): About 96.3% of the
loans in the pool were underwritten to less-than-full documentation
and 63.7% were underwritten to a bank statement program for
verifying income, which is not consistent with Fitch's view of a
full documentation program. Its treatment of alternative loan
documentation increased 'AAAsf' expected losses by approximately
93.2%, compared with a transaction comprised of 100% fully
documented loans.
Out of the total loans, 150, or 20.1%, were originated through the
originator's investor cash flow program, which targets real estate
investors qualified on a DSCR basis. These business-purpose loans
are available to real estate investors who are qualified on a cash
flow basis, rather than a debt-to-income (DTI) basis, and borrower
income and employment are not verified. Fitch's average expected
losses for DSCR loans is 30.2% in the 'AAAsf' stress.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure with Limited Advancing
(Mixed): The A-1 class split into an A-1A and A-1B class, while
also including an A-1 exchangeable class. After a Trigger Event,
interest is prioritized to classes A-1A then A-1B followed by
principal to the A-1A and then A-1B class.
The structure was resized to reflect updated balances, the loan
drop and rate shifts. Due to the shift in balances, the CE for the
A-2 increased 5bps and the A-3, M-1 and B-2 classes increased
25bps. The CE for all remaining classes did not change. The coupons
for the A-2 classes decreased 9bps while the A-3 and M-1 decreased
4bps and 2bps, respectively. The weighted average excess spread
increased to 124bps from 122bps.
The structure distributes principal pro rata among the senior
certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs
in a given period, principal will be distributed sequentially to
class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 certificates until they are reduced
to zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will be made on
mortgage loans serviced by SPS and Fay for the first 90 days of
delinquency, to the extent such advances are deemed recoverable. If
the P&I advancing party fails to make a required advance, the
master servicer will be obligated to make such advance.
The limited advancing reduces loss severities, as a lower amount is
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. However, the additional stress on the
structure represents a downside risk, as there is limited liquidity
in the event of large and extended delinquencies.
COLT 2025-1 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1A,
A-1B, A-2 and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the
lower of a 100-basis-points (bps) increase to the fixed coupon or
the net weighted average coupon (NWAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest
distribution amount will be distributed to class A-1A. A-1B, A-2
and A-3 certificates on and after the step-up date if the cap
carryover amount is greater than zero. This increases the P&I
allocation for the senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.9% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national level
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes. A 10% gain
in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the
rated class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics, SitusAMC, Evolve, Selene,
Clarifii, Opus, Canopy, Clayton and Maxwell. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to
its analysis: a 5% credit was given at the loan level for each loan
where satisfactory due diligence was completed. This adjustment
resulted in a 49bps reduction to the 'AAA' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COLUMBIA CENT 31: S&P Affirms 'BB- (sf)' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R, A-1-R,
B-R, and C-R replacement debt from Columbia Cent CLO 31
Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 31 Corp., a CLO managed by Columbia Cent CLO
Advisers LLC that was originally issued in February 2021. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class X, A-1,
B, and C debt following payment in full on the Jan. 28, 2025,
refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class A-F,
D, and E debt, which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a conformed indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
conformed indenture, the non-call period for the replacement debt
was set to Jan. 28, 2026.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class X-R, $1.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.00%
-- Class A-1-R, $235.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.10%
-- Class B-R, $44.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
-- Class C-R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.85%
Original debt
-- Class X, $1.20 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.26%(i)
-- Class A-1, $235.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.46%(i)
-- Class B, $44.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.81%(i)
-- Class C, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.51%(i)
(i)Includes a credit spread adjustment of 0.26%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a lower rating on the class E debt which was not
refinanced. Given the overall credit quality of the portfolio and
the passing coverage tests, we affirmed our rating on the class E
debt.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Columbia Cent CLO 31 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 31 Corp.
Class X-R, $1.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $235.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $24.00 million: A (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Columbia Cent CLO 31 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 31 Corp.
Class X to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Columbia Cent CLO 31 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 31 Corp.
Class A-F: 'AAA (sf)'
Class D: 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E: 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Columbia Cent CLO 31 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 31 Corp.
Subordinated notes, $36.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
COMM 2014-CCRE14: Moody's Lowers Rating on Class E Certs to Csf
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the rating on one class and downgraded
the ratings on five classes in COMM 2014-CCRE14 Mortgage Trust,
Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE14 as
follows:
Cl. B, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024 Downgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. D, Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. E, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024 Affirmed
Caa3 (sf)
Cl. F, Affirmed C (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Mar 22, 2024
Downgraded to Baa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on four P&I classes were downgraded due to increased
risk of interest shortfalls and potential for expected losses
driven primarily by the loans in special servicing. Six loans,
representing 52.7% of the pool are in special servicing and have
passed their original maturity dates. As of the January 2025
remittance, four of the specially serviced loans (40% of the pool)
have incurred appraisal reductions (ARA) greater than 20% of their
respective loan balance and have been deemed non-recoverable by the
master servicer causing interest shortfalls to impact up to Cl. C.
The ratings on one P&I class, Cl. F, was affirmed because the
ratings are consistent with expected recovery of principal and
interest from specially and troubled loans, as well as losses from
previously liquidated loans.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded due
to the decline in the credit quality of its referenced classes
resulting from principal paydowns of higher quality reference
classes. Cl. PEZ originally referenced Classes Cl. AM, Cl. B and
Cl. C, however, Cl. A-M has previously been paid off in full.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 32.2% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 19.5% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 7.5% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 5.7% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, loan concentration, an
increase in realized and expected losses from specially serviced
and troubled loans or interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in July 2024.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 53% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determine a
probability of default for each specially serviced loan that
Moody's expect will generate a loss and estimates a loss given
default based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if
available), other information from the special servicer, available
market data and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for
each loan also takes into consideration repayment of servicer
advances to date, estimated future advances and closing costs.
Translating the probability of default and loss given default into
an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply the aggregate loss
from specially serviced loans to the most junior class(es) and the
recovery as a pay down of principal to the most senior class(es).
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the January 10, 2025 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 85.4% to $201.2
million from $1.38 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by 5 mortgage loans ranging in size from less than
1% to 47.3% of the pool.
Moody's use a variation of Herf to measure the diversity of loan
sizes, where a higher number represents greater diversity. Loan
concentration has an important bearing on potential rating
volatility, including the risk of multiple notch downgrades under
adverse circumstances. The credit neutral Herf score is 40. The
pool has a Herf of 4, unchanged from Moody's last review.
As of the January 2025 remittance report, all remaining loans are
in special servicing and have passed their original maturity dates.
Three loans representing over 40.1% of the pool were deemed
non-recoverable by the Master Servicer.
Seven loans have been liquidated from the pool, contributing to an
aggregate realized loss of $38.6 million (for an average loss
severity of 63.1%).
The largest specially serviced loan largest specially serviced loan
is the 175 West Jackson Loan ($35.8 million – 17.8% of the pool),
which represents a pari passu portion of a $250 million mortgage
loan. The loan is secured by a Class A, 22-story office building
totaling 1.45 million square feet (SF) and located within the CBD
of Chicago, Illinois. Property performance has declined steadily
since 2015, with occupancy declining to 59% in September 2024 from
86% in 2015, and the year-end 2023 NOI was 56% lower than in 2013.
The loan transferred to special servicing in November 2021, and as
of the January 2025 remittance statement was last paid through its
March 2023 payment date. The most recent appraisal from March 2024
was 71% below the value at securitization and the master servicer
has recognized an appraisal reduction on the loan. This loan has
been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer. Per the special
servicer commentary, a receiver has been appointed and the property
is being marketed for sale and/or Deed-In-Lieu. Moody's expect a
significant loss from this loan.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the 149 New
Montgomery Loan ($21 million – 10.4% of the pool), which is
secured by a 69,000 SF mixed-use property located in San Francisco,
California, built in 1907 and most recently renovated 1999. The
loan transferred to special servicing in June 2023 for imminent
maturity default, ahead of the November 2023 maturity date.
Property performance has deteriorated since 2020 as a result of
decline in occupancy. As of March 2024, the property was 71%
leased, unchanged from year-end 2022, compared to 87% in December
2021 and 100% at securitization. The most recent appraisal from
August 2024 was 52% below the value at securitization and the
master servicer has recognized an appraisal reduction on the loan.
The borrower and special servicer have signed a PNL and the
borrower had requested a loan modification. The special servicer is
pursuing foreclosure after the borrower denied the special servicer
approved terms. As of the January 2025 remittance, the loan was
last paid through the December 2023 payment date and the loan has
been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the 16530 Ventura
Boulevard Loan ($17.7 million – 8.7% of the pool), which is
secured by a 157,000 SF office building located in Encino,
California. The loan transferred to special servicing in November
2023, ahead of the January 2024 maturity date as the borrower
indicated they needed additional time to secure refinancing.
Occupancy was 42% in March 2024, compared to 43% in December 2021,
52% in December 2020, and 85% at securitization. The most recent
appraisal value from September 2024 is 86% below the value at
securitization and the master servicer has recognized an appraisal
reduction on the loan. The special servicer will appoint a receiver
and initiate foreclosure proceedings. As of the January 2025
remittance, the loan was last paid through November 2023 and the
loan has been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer.
The fourth largest loan in special servicing is the La Terraza San
Diego Loan ($13.5 million – 6.7% of the pool), which is secured
by a 78,000 SF, Class A office building in Escondido, California.
The loan transferred to special servicing in November 2023 due to
borrower-declared imminent monetary default ahead of the December
2023 maturity date. The largest tenant, Wells Fargo Bank (34.4% of
NRA), vacated at lease expiration in February 2024. The special
servicer and borrower executed a forbearance agreement in December
2024 and are in discussions to modify the loan. As of the January
2025 remittance, the loan was last paid through the December 2024
payment date.
The fifth largest loan in special servicing is the Perryville
Corporate Park Loan ($11.7 million – 5.8% of the pool), which is
secured by a 288,280 SF, Class A office building in Hampton, New
Jersey. The loan transferred to special servicing in September 2023
due to borrower-declared imminent monetary default, ahead of the
November 2023 maturity date. The largest tenant, Celidex
Therapeutics (11.6% of NRA), has a lease expiration in July 2025
and is expected to vacate at the end of the term. The special
servicer and borrower executed a forbearance agreement in December
2024, and the loan was extended through November 2025As of the
January 2025 remittance, the loan was last paid through the
December 2024 payment date.
The sixth largest loan in special servicing the Flint Creek
Crossing Loan ($6.6 million – 3.3% of the pool), which is secured
by a 40,000 SF office property located in Barrington, Illinois, a
suburb northwest of Chicago. The loan transferred to special
servicing in March 2024 as it did not pay off at the January 2024
maturity date. The borrower has signed a PNL and is actively
marketing the property for sale. As of the January 2025 remittance
date, the loan was last paid through the February 2024 payment date
and has been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer. Moody's
estimates an aggregate $64.8 million loss for the specially
serviced loans (61.2% expected loss on average).
As of the January 2025 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $9.2 million. Moody's anticipates interest
shortfalls will continue because of the exposure to specially
serviced loans and/or modified loans. Interest shortfalls are
caused by special servicing fees, including workout and liquidation
fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan modifications
and extraordinary trust expenses.
The only loan not in special servicing is the 625 Madison Avenue
loan ($95.3 million – 47.3% of the pool), which represents a
pari-passu portion of a $168.9 million first mortgage loan. The
loan was originally secured by the fee interest in a 0.81-acre
parcel of land located at 625 Madison Avenue between East 58th and
East 59th Street in New York City. However, the loan transferred to
special servicing in July 2023 due to imminent default and
subsequently the mezzanine lender foreclosed on the equity
collateral. Furthermore, a modification agreement was executed in
December 2023 which involved, among other items, the termination of
the ground lease, a completion and carry guaranty as well as a $25
million principal paydown. The senior loan is the only debt
currently on the property as the mezzanine loan was extinguished
through the UCC foreclosure sale. This loan was returned to the
Master Servicer in November 2024 as a corrected loan after
receiving a loan modification. As of January 2025 remittance, this
loan was current on P&I payments and has amortized by 13.4% since
securitization. Based on the value of the collateral and the
executed modification, Moody's do not anticipate a loss on the
mortgage loan.
COMM 2014-UBS2: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class E Certs
-------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on two classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-UBS2
issued by COMM 2014-UBS2 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class X-B to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class D to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit rating on the
remaining class as follows:
-- Class E at C (sf)
Classes X-B, E, and D have credit ratings that do not typically
carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)
credit ratings.
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
loss expectations across the four remaining loans in the pool, all
of which are in special servicing. Since the February 2024 credit
rating action, 16 loans have been repaid in full while one loan was
liquidated from the trust. Given the high concentration of loans in
special servicing, Morningstar DBRS' analysis was based on a
recoverability analysis. The credit ratings of C (sf) reflect
Morningstar DBRS' continued expectation that the certificates will
incur losses based on the recoverability analysis. In addition,
cumulative outstanding interest shortfalls totaling $5.7 million as
of December 2024 reporting have also negatively affected the
transaction. The interest shortfalls have risen to Class D, and in
its analysis, Morningstar DBRS concluded that the outstanding
shortfalls will also be realized as a loss to bondholders upon loan
resolution.
The loss expectations are primarily attributed to the One North
State Street (59.9% of the pool), which is secured by a
170,507-square-foot (sf) retail vertical subdivision of a
713,423-sf mixed-use building in Chicago. The two largest tenants,
Burlington Coat Factory (35.2% of net rentable area (NRA)) and TJ
Maxx (41.1% of NRA) recently signed lease extensions through March
2029 and January 2027, respectively, resulting in a healthy
occupancy rate of 92.5%; however, both leases were restructured at
significant reductions in rent equal to 8.0% and 10.0% of the
tenants' gross sales, respectively, which has resulted in a
less-than-breakeven cash flow.
The last monthly payment was made in August 2023 and the loan was
purchased by the trust in October 2024. According to the April 2024
appraisal, the property was valued at $19.9 million, less than the
August 2023 value of $25.0 million and a steep decline from the
issuance appraised value of $101.0 million, reflecting a total
exposure loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of more than 200%. Morningstar
DBRS liquidated the loan based on a haircut to that value,
resulting in an implied loss approaching $39.0 million, or a
severity in excess of 80.0%. Based on this loss projection alone,
the remaining certificate balances of Classes E and F, would be
fully eroded, while the certificate balance of Class D would be
eroded by nearly 20.0%.
Of the remaining three loans, Avnet Building (16.4% of the pool)
and 300 East 23rd Street (12.9% of the pool) are real estate owned,
while the servicer is actively pursuing foreclosure for Turnpike
Square (10.8% of the pool). All loans have received updated 2024
appraisals, indicating value declines over issuance appraised
values ranging between approximately 45.0% and 80.0%, reflecting
total exposure LTV ratios ranging between roughly 105.0% and
350.0%. Based on the loss cumulative loss projections for these
loans of nearly $18.0 million, the certificate balance of Class D
would be further eroded in excess of 50.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CORNHUSKER FUNDING 1C: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Class X Notes, the
Class A Notes, the Class B Notes, and the Class C Notes
(collectively, the Notes) issued by Cornhusker Funding 1C LLC (the
Issuer), pursuant to the terms of the Indenture, dated as of April
22, 2022, between the Issuer and U.S. Bank Trust Company, National
Association as follows:
-- Class X Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class B Notes at BB (sf)
-- Class C Notes at B (sf)
The credit rating on the Class X Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and ultimate payment of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity (as defined in the Indenture). The credit ratings
on the Class A Notes, the Class B Notes, and the Class C Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest and ultimate payment of
principal on or before the Stated Maturity (as defined in the
Indenture).
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating actions are a result of Morningstar DBRS' annual
review of the transaction performance by applying the "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (the CLO
Methodology; November 19, 2024.
The Notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of U.S.
middle-market corporate loans. The Issuer is managed by Mount Logan
Management, LLC (Mount Logan), which is a subsidiary of Mount Logan
Capital Inc. Morningstar DBRS considers Mount Logan to be an
acceptable collateralized loan obligation (CLO) manager. The
Reinvestment Period ends April 8, 2030. The Stated Maturity is
September 15, 2036.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Notes to withstand projected collateral loss
rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Obligations, subject to the Eligibility Criteria which
include testing the Concentration Limitations, Collateral Quality
Tests, and Coverage Tests.
(5) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
CLO management capabilities of Mount Logan as the Collateral
Manager.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Borrower and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance
methodology (the Legal Criteria).
Morningstar DBRS monitors transaction performance metrics based on
the periodicity of the transaction's reporting. The performance
metrics include Collateral Quality Tests, Coverage Tests,
Concentration Limitations, and Performing Collateral Par. As of
December 2, 2024, the transaction is in compliance with all
performance metrics, and the performing collateral par is greater
than the reinvestment target par. The current transaction
performance is within Morningstar DBRS' expectations, which
supports the credit rating confirmations on the Notes, as per the
Level I surveillance analysis in the CLO Methodology. No predictive
model is utilized in the Level I surveillance process.
The coverage and collateral quality test reported values and
thresholds, respectively, that Morningstar DBRS reviewed are as
follows:
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Subject to Collateral
Quality Matrix (CQM); actual 137.29%; threshold 124.50%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Subject to CQM; actual
127.18%; threshold 116.80%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: Subject to CQM; actual
122.67%; threshold 113.40%
Class A Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 205.26%; threshold
115.00%
Class B Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 180.61%; threshold
110.00%
Class C Interest Coverage Ratio Test: actual 168.46%; threshold
105.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Diversity Score Test: Subject to CQM; actual 22.70;
threshold 21.00
Minimum Weighted Average Spread Test: Subject to CQM; actual 4.93%;
threshold 4.70%
Maximum DBRS Risk Score Test: Subject to CQM; actual 29.47%;
threshold 31.80%
Minimum Weighted Average DBRS Recovery Rate Test: actual 66.00%;
threshold 64.30%
Some strengths of the transaction are (1) collateral quality that
consists of at least 95% senior-secured middle market-loans and (2)
adequate diversification of the portfolio of collateral obligations
(matrix-driven Diversity Score). Some challenges are (1) up to 5%
of the portfolio pool may consist of long-dated assets, and (2) the
underlying collateral portfolio may be insufficient to redeem the
Notes in an Event of Default.
As of December 2, 2024, the Borrower is in compliance with all
Coverage and Collateral Quality Tests, and there were no defaulted
obligations registered in the underlying portfolio.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
ELMWOOD CLO 37: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Elmwood CLO 37
Ltd./Elmwood CLO 37 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 37 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 37 LLC
Class A-1, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $10.00 million: Not rated
Class B, $50.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-1 (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class E-2 (deferrable), $1.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F (deferrable), $6.50 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.00 million: Not rated
ELMWOOD CLO 38: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Elmwood CLO
38 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 38 LLC's floating- and fixed-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 28,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 38 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 38 LLC
Class A, $317.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $51.50 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $11.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $2.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable). $17.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $55.80 million: Not rated
GENERATE CLO 20: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Generate CLO 20
Ltd./Generate CLO 20 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Generate Advisors LLC, a subsidiary
of Kennedy Lewis Investment Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Generate CLO 20 Ltd./Generate CLO 20 LLC
Class A, $206 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L loans, $50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41 million: Not rated
GS MORTGAGE 2013-G1: Fitch Affirms 'CCC' Rating on 2 Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed four classes of GS Mortgage Securities
Trust (GSMS) 2013-G1. The Rating Outlooks on classes B and C remain
Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2013-G1
B 36197QAG4 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 36197QAJ8 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
D 36197QAL3 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
DM 36197QAN9 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmations reflect the generally stable collateral
performance and positive leasing momentum of the remaining asset,
Deptford Mall, since Fitch's last rating action. The Negative
Outlooks on class B and C reflect the slow performance recovery as
property net cash flow (NCF) continues to lag pre-pandemic levels
and ultimate concerns regarding the loan's refinanceability.
Collateral occupancy was 85.9% as of the September 2024 rent roll,
compared to 85.2% in September 2023, 86% in September 2022 and 89%
in September 2021. The servicer-reported YTD September 2024 NCF
DSCR was 1.17x, compared with 1.37x at YE 2023, 1.31x at YE 2022
and 1.47x at YE 2021.
Although there is high upcoming tenant rollover as over 30% of the
collateral NRA expires by YE 2025, the servicer has indicated a
strong track record of positive leasing momentum, including 13%
having executed new leases or renewals since the start of 2024,
5.5% having leases in the documentation stage, and an additional
7.7% reportedly in the lease negotiation stage.
According to the servicer, the borrower has already provided notice
to exercise its second and final one-year extension option to April
2026. The trust A-note and B-note have a fixed rate coupon of
3.73%.
The loan transferred to special servicing at the end of February
2023 for imminent monetary default as the initial maturity of April
2023 was approaching and the borrower informed it would be unable
to refinance the loan.
In April 2023, a loan modification was completed, with an initial
extension through April 2024 and two additional one-year extension
options; the fully extended loan maturity is April 2026. The first
additional extension was subject to a 10.25% debt yield hurdle, and
the second additional extension is subject to a 11% debt yield
hurdle. In exchange for this modification, the borrower made a
one-time $10 million principal curtailment payment. The monthly
payment remained the same and the loan continues to amortize. The
loan returned to the master servicer at the end of October 2023.
Fitch's current NCF of $13.7 million, which reflects
leases-in-place as of the September 2024 rent roll, with a 25%
stress to holdover, temporary and rolling tenants, is 8% below
Fitch's last rating action NCF and remains 24.3% below Fitch's
pre-pandemic NCF, primarily due to lower rental income from leases
rolling and/or restructured at reduced rates, in addition to a
decline in collateral occupancy from 98% pre-pandemic at YE 2019.
Fitch's analysis incorporated a 13% cap rate, consistent with
comparable mall properties and reflective of asset quality, current
performance and concerns with ultimate refinancing. Fitch's debt
service coverage ratio and loan-to-value for the remaining loan,
inclusive of the B-note, is 0.67x and 139%, respectively.
The transaction collateral consists of one mortgage loan secured by
a 343,910-sf portion of the 1.04-million-sf Deptford Mall located
in Deptford, NJ, approximately 12 miles southeast of downtown
Philadelphia, PA. The sponsor is The Macerich Partnership, LP, one
of the largest owner/operators of shopping centers in the U.S.
Comparable in-line sales were $561 psf as of TTM September 2024,
compared with $559 psf as of June 2023, $599 psf as of September
2022, $636 psf as of September 2021, $403 psf as of September 2020
(which includes a pandemic closure period), $518 psf as of June
2019, and $496 psf at the time of issuance (as of YE 2012). The
property has limited direct competition in the region. The nearest
mall is Cherry Hill Mall about nine miles to the north, which
serves a different trade area and market segment.
There are four non-collateral anchor tenants at the Deptford Mall,
Macy's, JC Penney, Boscov's, and Dick's Sporting Goods (which
opened in 2020 after taking over a portion of the former Sears
space). The sponsor added a location of Round1 Bowling and
Amusement at the mall in 2020 to former top floor Sears space. A
brewery opened at the mall in late 2023. Sears terminated its
ground lease in January 2019, prior to its 2026 lease expiration.
Crunch Fitness opened in late October 2021 in the former Sear's
Auto outparcel space.
Paydown and Amortization: The transaction has experienced
significant paydown since issuance due to the payoff of two of the
three original loans, Great Lakes Crossing Outlets and Katy Mills.
As of the January 2025 distribution date, the Deptford Mall loan
has amortized by 28.8%, which includes the $10 million principal
curtailment received with the execution of the 2023 modification.
The current pooled debt per square foot is $371 psf ($423 psf
inclusive of the B-note). The subordinate $17.9 million B-note
backs the class DM rake bond and is also secured by the mall
collateral.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Factors that could lead to downgrades include further occupancy and
cash flow deterioration and continued lack of performance
stabilization. Additional factors include if the borrower defaults
and/or fails to extend the maturity resulting in a transfer to
special servicing.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are currently not expected due to Fitch's concern with
ultimate loan refinanceability, continued lagged performance from
pre-pandemic levels and upcoming tenant lease rollover, but may be
possible with significant and sustained occupancy and cash flow
improvements as well as additional clarity on loan refinancing
prospect.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC22: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 3 Classes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded the credit ratings on seven classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-GC22
issued by GS Mortgage Securities Trust 2014-GC22 as follows:
-- Class A-S to A (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class B to BBB (low) (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class C to CCC (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class D to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class X-A to A (high) (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B to BBB (sf) from A (high) (sf)
-- Class PEZ to CCC (sf) from BBB (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class X-C at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS maintained Negative trends on Classes AS, B, X-A,
and X-B. There are no trends on Classes C, D, E, F, X-C, and PEZ,
which have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings. The
trend on Class A-5 is Stable.
The downgrades reflect an increase in Morningstar DBRS' loss
expectations, stemming from the extremely concentrated nature of
the pool as the transaction is now in wind-down. Since the last
credit rating action, 45 loans have repaid from the trust. Interest
shortfalls increased to $5.4 million as of December 2024, compared
with the $2.1 million reported at last review in January 2024. To
date, there have been realized losses of approximately $20.0
million attributed to non-recoverable advances and the liquidation
of one loan (Prospectus ID#41), which is contained in the nonrated
Class G.
As of the December 2024 remittance, only five loans are remaining,
all of which are in special servicing and two of which, EpiCentre
(Prospectus ID#3, 26.4% of the current pool balance) and Westwood
Plaza (Prospectus ID#22, 3.0% of the current pool balance), are
real estate owned. Given the concentration of defaulted and
underperforming assets, Morningstar DBRS' analysis considered
liquidation scenarios for all five remaining loans to determine the
recoverability of the outstanding bonds. Morningstar DBRS
determined that Classes A-5, A-S, and B remain insulated from
losses at this time. However, while the two largest loans, Maine
Mall (Prospectus ID#1, 34.2% of the pool) and Selig Portfolio
(Prospectus ID#2, 31.1% of the pool), remain current and loan
modifications are in negotiation, Morningstar DBRS notes that the
risk of payment default remains high, an event which would extend
the recoverability timeline for the outstanding bonds and increase
the propensity for interest shortfalls. This consideration was a
primary factor in Morningstar DBRS' decision to maintain Negative
trends on Classes A-S, B, X-A, and X-B.
Morningstar DBRS' loss expectations are primarily driven by the
largest loan in the pool, Maine Mall (Prospectus ID#1, 34.2% of the
pool), which is secured by a 730,444 square foot (sf) portion of a
1.0 million sf super-regional mall in Portland, Maine. The $125.0
million loan is pari passu with a note securitized in the Citigroup
Commercial Mortgage Trust 2014-GC21 transaction, which is also
rated by Morningstar DBRS. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in February 2024 following the borrower's notification
that it would be unable to repay the loan at scheduled maturity in
April 2024. According to the December 2024 remittance, the special
servicer is discussing workout strategies with the borrower, while
dual tracking foreclosure. Occupancy at the subject was reported at
92.0% in September 2024, down slightly from 97.2% at issuance. In
addition, approximately 39.5% of the collateral tenants have lease
expiries within the next 12 months. The loan reported a debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.40 times (x) for the trailing
nine-month (T-9) period ended September 30, 2024, compared with the
issuer's DSCR of 1.83x. Cash flow has been stabilizing, however,
and Morningstar DBRS notes that the nearest competing mall is
located 37 miles away. An August 2024 appraisal valued the property
at $196.0 million, 50.4% below the issuance appraised value of
$395.0 million. Given the declining occupancy, high near-term
rollover, and considerable decline in value, Morningstar DBRS used
a liquidation scenario based on a haircut to the August 2024
appraised value, which implied a loss severity of nearly 40.0%.
The second-largest loan in special servicing is the Selig Portfolio
(Prospectus ID#2, 31.1% of the pool), which is secured by seven
office buildings totaling 1.1 million sf in Seattle. The subject
loan of $100.0 million represents a pari passu portion of a $239.0
million whole loan, with the additional senior notes secured in the
CGCMT 2014-GC23 (not rated by Morningstar DBRS) and Morgan Stanley
Capital I Trust 2017-H1 transactions (rated by Morningstar DBRS).
The loan transferred to the special servicer in March 2024 for
imminent maturity default and subsequently missed its May 2024
maturity date. Per the most recent servicer commentary, the
borrower and special servicer entered a 60-day forbearance period
that commenced in November 2024 in exchange for a $2.7 million
reserve deposit; terms surrounding a potential loan modification
were expected to finalize by YE2024. An update regarding the
execution of the loan modification was requested by Morningstar
DBRS but no response was provided as of this commentary. Occupancy
has been declining in recent years, most recently reported at 59.8%
as per the most recent financial statement, compared to the
issuance occupancy rate of 85.4%. The loan reported a DSCR of 1.32x
for the T-9 period ended September 30, 2024, compared with the
issuer's DSCR of 2.06x. Office properties within the Central
Seattle submarket reported an average vacancy rate of 20.0% in Q3
2024, according to Reis. A March 2024 appraisal valued the property
at $188.9 million, 43.7% below the issuance appraised value of
$335.3 million. The borrower has indicated there is continued
interest in the collateral properties, noting several ongoing
negotiations and scheduled tours from prospective tenants. While
the leasing activity and modification discussions are positive
developments, Morningstar DBRS remains concerned with the declines
in occupancy and cash flow, softening submarket fundamentals, and
recent maturity default. As such, the loan was analyzed with a
liquidation scenario based on a haircut to the March 2024 appraised
value, resulting in a loss severity of approximately 35%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2019-GC39: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F Notes to 'B-sf'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded six and affirmed seven classes of GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2019-GC39 commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates (GSMS 2019-GC39). Fitch assigned Negative
Rating Outlooks to six classes following their downgrades, and
maintained Negative Outlooks on three affirmed classes.
Fitch has also downgraded five and affirmed nine classes of GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2019-GC42 commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates (GSMS 2019-GC42). Fitch assigned Negative
Outlooks to three classes following their downgrades, and revised
the Outlook to Negative from Stable for five affirmed classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2019-GC42
A-2 36257UAJ6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 36257UAK3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36257UAL1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36257UAM9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36257UAQ0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36257UAR8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36257UAS6 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 36257UAA5 LT BB+sf Downgrade BBBsf
E 36257UAC1 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
F-RR 36257UAD9 LT CCCsf Downgrade Bsf
G-RR 36257UAE7 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-A 36257UAN7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36257UAP2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 36257UAB3 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
GSMS 2019-GC39
A-3 36260JAC1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36260JAD9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36260JAE7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36260JAH0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36260JAJ6 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36260JAK3 LT BBBsf Downgrade A-sf
D 36260JAL1 LT BBB-sf Downgrade BBBsf
E 36260JAQ0 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
F 36260JAS6 LT B-sf Downgrade Bsf
G-RR 36260JAU1 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 36260JAF4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36260JAG2 LT BBBsf Downgrade A-sf
X-D 36260JAN7 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss has increased to 5.8% in GSMS 2019-GC39 and 7.5% in GSMS
2019-GC42 from 4.9% and 5.0%, respectively, at Fitch's prior rating
action. The GSMS 2019-GC39 transaction has four Fitch Loans of
Concern (FLOCs; 20.5% of the pool), including one loan (2.3%) in
special servicing. The GSMS 2019-GC42 transaction has five FLOCs
(19.3%), including three loans (10.8%) in special servicing.
GSMS 2019-GC39: The downgrades in the GSMS 2019-GC39 transaction
reflect higher pool loss expectations since the prior rating
action, primarily driven by a significantly lower updated appraisal
valuation on the 57 East 11th Street office loan (2.3%) and
continued underperformance of larger FLOCs, including The Garfield
Apartments (3.6%), 101 California (12.0%) and Tulsa Office
Portfolio (2.6%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect the high office concentration of
46.6% in the pool and potential further downgrades if performance
and occupancy of the aforementioned FLOCs do not stabilize, or if
the workout of the special serviced 57 East 11th Street loan is
prolonged.
GSMS 2019-GC42: The downgrades in GSMS 2019-GC42 reflect an
increase in pool expected losses since the prior rating action,
driven by the maturity default of the Northpoint Tower office loan
(6.6%), a significantly lower updated appraisal valuation on the
222 Kearny Street office loan (2.4%), and continued
underperformance of the Midland Office Portfolio (1.8%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect expected further downgrades should
the appraisal valuation on Northpoint Tower, which is in process by
the special servicer, fall below Fitch's stressed valuation and/or
if the property's largest tenant does not provide indication of
lease renewal 12 months ahead of its expiration. The Negative
Outlooks also factor in the high office concentration in the pool
of 38.8%.
Largest Loss Contributors; FLOCs: The largest increase in loss
since the prior rating action and largest contributor to overall
loss expectations in GSMS 2019-GC39 is the 57 East 11th Street
loan, which is secured by a 64,460-sf office building located in
the Greenwich Village neighborhood of New York City. The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2024 due to payment
default. As of the January 2025 remittance reporting, the loan was
paid current to December 2024.
The property was formerly 100% occupied by WeWork. Per the
servicer, WeWork stopped paying rent in October 2023 and is no
longer operating at the subject property after its lease was
rejected during bankruptcy proceedings. The property remains
vacant.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 68.4% considers a recent appraisal value, which is down 76.6%
from the appraisal value at issuance, reflecting a stressed value
of approximately $290 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC39 is The Garfield Apartments loan, which is secured by a
multifamily/retail property located in Cleveland, OH. Per the
servicer, the borrower has not provided 2023 or 2024 financials.
The latest reported YE 2022 occupancy for the multifamily portion
was 80%, up from a historical low of 67% in June 2020, but remains
below 94% around the time of issuance. While occupancy improved,
the property was offering lower rents and concessions. Average
multifamily leased rent as of February 2022 was $1,332 per unit,
down over 18% compared to issuance. The retail portion, which
accounts for approximately 25% of the property's revenue, is
occupied by Marble Room (lease expiry in February 2032), Harness
Cycle (January 2027), and Shake Shack (May 2029). The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.73x at YE 2021, 0.70x at YE 2020
and 1.00x at YE 2019. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 18.9%
(prior to concentration add-ons) reflects an 8.75% cap rate and a
7.5% stress to the YE 2021 NOI.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC39 is the 101 California Street loan, which is secured by a
1.25 million-sf office property located in San Francisco's Northern
Financial District. As of Q2 2024, the property was 73.5% occupied,
down from 76% at YE 2023, 76.3% at YE 2022, 76.2% at YE 2021, and
92.1% at issuance. Major tenants at the property include Chime
Financial (16.1% of NRA through October 2032), Baker Botts LLP
(4.2%; August 2031), and Morgan Stanley (4.1%; March 2030).
In Q4 2024, Deutsche Bank (2.8%; December 2035) and Winston &
Strawn (2.1%; January 2040) both relocated within the building upon
their 2024 lease expiration, downsizing by 25,889 sf and 25,883 sf,
respectively. However, there is a letter of intent with a potential
tenant to backfill the two full floors totaling 52,235 sf, formerly
occupied by Winston & Strawn. Upcoming rollover includes 6.4% of
the NRA in 2025 and 7.8% in 2026.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 5.1% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9.25% cap rate and a 10% stress to the YE
2023 NOI.
The fourth largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations in
GSMS 2019-GC39 is the Tulsa Office Portfolio loan, secured by a
1,026,650-sf office portfolio consisting of nine older vintage
buildings built between 1973 and 1984 located in Tulsa, OK.
The loan transferred to special servicing in March 2024 for
imminent monetary default. The loan returned to the master servicer
in September 2024 after a loan modification that included the $3.2
million sale of the Riverbridge property; proceeds from the sale
were applied to pay down a portion of the loan.
As of Q3 2024, portfolio occupancy was 55%, compared to 53.6% at YE
2023, 67% at YE 2022, 66% at YE 2021, and 77% at issuance.
Approximately 15% of the portfolio NRA is scheduled to roll in
2025. The portfolio has a granular rent roll with over 200 tenants,
and no individual tenant accounts for more than 3% of the portfolio
NRA.
The largest tenants in the portfolio include the Federal Bureau of
Investigation (3.0% of portfolio NRA through July 2025), Finance of
America Reverse LLC (1.8%; February 2025) and Blackhawk Industrial
(1.7%; September 2027). The servicer-reported NOI DSCR has fallen
to 1.18x as of Q3 2024 from 1.31x at YE 2023, 1.67x at YE 2022,
1.52x at YE 2021 and 1.96x at issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 22.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects an 11% cap rate, 20% stress to the TTM September
2024 NOI for upcoming rollover, and factors in an increased
probability of default due to continued portfolio underperformance
and specially serviced loan status.
The largest increase in loss since the prior rating action and the
largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS 2019-GC42
is the Northpoint Tower loan, which is secured by an 873,335-sf
office property in Cleveland, OH. The loan transferred to special
servicing in September 2024 due to maturity default. According to
the servicer, an updated appraisal is in process.
Major tenants at the property include Jones Day (39.3% of NRA
through June 2026), GSA - Dept of Health (5.5%; October 2028) and
EY (5.1%; November 2030). The building serves as the global
headquarters for Jones Day, which has been in occupancy since 1987
and has invested over $16 million. Jones Day is required to provide
a 12-month notice prior to lease expiration if they intend to
vacate; otherwise, cash management is triggered. According to the
servicer, negotiations for the lease renewal are currently
underway.
As of Q2 2024, the property was 79% occupied, compared to 81% at YE
2023, 79% at YE 2022, and 73% at YE 2021. The servicer-reported NOI
DSCR was 3.09x as of Q2 2024, compared to 3.12x at YE 2023, 2.82x
at YE 2022, and 2.55x at YE 2021. Upcoming rollover includes 11.1%
of the NRA in 2025, and 45.5% in 2026 (which includes the largest
tenant).
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 34.1% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 10.5% cap rate, 20% stress to YE 2023 NOI due
to upcoming rollover, and factors in the loan's delinquency
status.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and the second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in
GSMS 2019-GC42 is the 222 Kearny Street loan, secured by a
148,199-sf office property in San Francisco, CA. The loan
transferred to special servicing in July 2023 for imminent monetary
default. As of December 2024, the loan remains over 90 days
delinquent. The special servicer anticipates initiating foreclosure
proceedings in the first quarter of 2025.
Since February 2024, four tenants, representing 27.8% of the NRA,
have vacated at lease expiration, including Kimpton Hotel and
Restaurant (10.7%; February 2024), Ethos Lending (10%; April 2024),
Hotwire Public Relations (3.6%; February 2024) and EPAM Systems
(3.5%; May 2024).
Per the June 2024 rent roll, the property was 28.2% occupied, down
from 49% at YE 2023 and 79% at YE 2022. The current largest tenants
at the property include Ouraring Inc (6.4%; February 2026), BTS USA
(5.4%; March 2027) and Montgomery Technologies (4.4%; September
2028).
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 66.1% considers a recent appraisal value, which is down 75.5%
from the appraisal value at issuance, reflecting a stressed value
of approximately $123 psf.
The third largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and the third largest contributor to overall loss expectations in
GSMS 2019-GC42 is the Midland Office Portfolio loan, which is
secured by a portfolio of five office properties totaling 699,584
sf located in Midland, TX. The loan transferred to special
servicing in September 2023.
Occupancy has declined further to 59% as of Q1 2024 from 73% in
June 2023 and 90% at YE 2020. The current largest tenants are
Enlink Midstream Operating, L.P. (19%; June 2026) and Bank of
America, N.A. (6%; January 2028). The servicer-reported NOI DSCR
was 1.48x at YE 2023, compared to 1.74x at YE 2022.
According to the servicer, the receiver has placed the portfolio
under contract for sale. Negotiations are underway with a
prospective purchaser. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 33.9%
(prior to concentration add-on) reflects a 10% cap rate, 20% stress
to the YE 2023 NOI and factors in an increased probability of
default due to continued property underperformance and specially
serviced loan status.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the January 2025
distribution date, the pool's aggregate balance in GSMS 2019-GC39
has been paid down by 19.4% to $647.1 million from $802.5 million
at issuance. Two loans (3.4% of the pool) are fully defeased. There
are 14 loans (64.0%) that are full-term interest-only (IO), and the
remaining 17 loans (36.0%) are amortizing.
As of the January 2025 distribution date, the pool's aggregate
balance in GSMS 2019-GC42 has been paid down by 6.4% to $992.3
million from $1.06 billion at issuance. There are 26 loans (82.3%)
that are full-term IO, and the remaining nine loans (17.7%) are
amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls affect
these classes;
- Downgrades to the junior 'AAAsf' and classes rated in the 'AAsf',
'Asf' and 'BBBsf' categories, especially those with Negative
Outlooks, may occur with outsized losses beyond Fitch's
expectations on the FLOCs/specially serviced loans, including 57
East 11th Street, 101 California, The Garfield Apartments, and
Tulsa Office Portfolio in GSMS 2019-GC39, and Northpoint Tower, 222
Kearny Street and Midland Office Portfolio in GSMS 2019-GC42, and
with limited to no improvement in these classes' CE;
- Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories
are likely with higher than expected losses from continued
underperformance of the FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses
on the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs;
- Downgrades to distressed ratings would occur should additional
loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, or as losses
are realized and/or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and stabilized performance on 57 East 11th Street, 101
California, The Garfield Apartments, and Tulsa Office Portfolio in
GSMS 2019-GC39, and Northpoint Tower, 222 Kearny Street and Midland
Office Portfolio in GSMS 2019-GC42;
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
- Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes;
- Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected, but possible
with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on B4 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-PJ1 (the Notes) to be issued by
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ1:
-- $278.4 million Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-6 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-7 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-8 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-9 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-10 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-11 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-12 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-13 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-14 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-15 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-16 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-17 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-18 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-19 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-20 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-21 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-22 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-23 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-24 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-25 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-X-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-6 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-7 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-8 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-9 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-10 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-11 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-12 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-13 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-X-14 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-X-15 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $111.4 million Class A-X-16 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-17 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-18 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-19 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-X-20 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-X-21 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $32.9 million Class A-X-22 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-X-23 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-X-24 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-X-25 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $311.3 million Class A-X-26 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1A at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-X-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $3.8 million Class B-2A at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $3.8 million Class B-X-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $3.8 million Class B-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $2.3 million Class B-3 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.3 million Class B-4 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $328,000 Class B-5 at (P) B (low) (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-1L at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-2L at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-3L at (P) AAA (sf)
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-9, A-10, A-11,
A-12, A-13, A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-18, A-1L, A-2L, and A-3L are
super senior notes or loans. These classes benefit from additional
protection from the senior support note (Class A-21) with respect
to loss allocation.
Classes A-X-1, A-X-2, A-X-3, A-X-4, A-X-5, A-X-6, A-X-7, A-X-8,
A-X-9, A-X-10, A-X-11, A-X-12, A-X-13, A-X-14, A-X-15, A-X-16,
A-X-17, A-X-18, A-X-19, A-X-20, A-X-21, A-X-22, A-X-23, A-X-24,
A-X-25, A-X-26, B-X-1, and B-X-2 are interest-only (IO) notes. The
class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-10, A-11, A-13,
A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-19, A-20, A-22, A-23, A-24, A-25, A-X-2,
A-X-3, A-X-4, A-X-5, A-X-6, A-X-7, A-X-8, A-X-11, A-X-14, A-X-15,
A-X-16, A-X-17, A-X-20, A-X-23, A-X-24, A-X-25, A-X-26, B-1, and
B-2 are exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
Classes A-1L, A-2L, and A-3L are loans that may be funded at the
Closing Date as specified in the offering documents.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Notes reflect 4.95% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The (P) AA (low)
(sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB (low) (sf), and
(P) B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 2.65%, 1.50%, 0.80%, 0.40%,
and 0.30% credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The securitization is of a portfolio of first-lien fixed-rate prime
residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the Notes. The
Notes are backed by 250 loans with a total principal balance of
$327,512,006 as of the Cut-Off Date.
The pool consists of first-lien, fully amortizing fixed-rate
mortgages with original terms to maturity of 30 years. The
weighted-average original combined loan-to-value ratio for the
portfolio is 66.3%. In addition, all the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the general Qualified Mortgage rule
subject to the average prime offer rate designation.
The mortgage loans were originated by United Wholesale Mortgage,
LLC (UWM; 37.6%), CMG Mortgage, Inc. doing business as (dba) CMG
Financial (15.3%), Guaranteed Rate, Inc. (12.8%), and various other
originators, each comprising less than 10.0% of the pool.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Newrez, LLC dba Shellpoint
Mortgage Servicing (89.6%), loanDepot.com, LLC (8.2%), PennyMac
Loan Services (1.8%) and UWM/Cenlar FSB (0.5%).
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as the Master Servicer,
Paying Agent, Loan Agent, and Custodian. U.S. Bank Trust National
Association (U.S. Bank; rated AA with a Stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) will act as Delaware Trustee. U.S. Bank Trust Company,
National Association will act as Collateral Trustee. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the File Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
This transaction allows for the issuance of Classes A-1L, A-2L, and
A-3L, loans which are the equivalent of ownership of Classes A-1,
A-2 and A-3 Notes, respectively. These classes are issued in the
form of a loan made by the investor instead of a note purchased by
the investor. If these loans are funded at closing, the holder may
convert such class into an equal aggregate debt amount of the
corresponding Notes. There is no change to the structure if these
classes are elected.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HOMES 2025-AFC1: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to HOMES 2025-AFC1 Trust's
mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by a pool of
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only periods) to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are primarily secured
by single-family residential properties, planned unit developments,
condominiums, townhomes, and two- to four-family residential
properties. The pool consists of 743 loans, which are QM safe
harbor (average prime offer rate; APOR), QM rebuttable presumption
(APOR), non-QM/ATR-compliant loans, and ATR-exempt loans.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The mortgage originator, AmWest Funding Corp.; and
-- S&P said, "One key change in our baseline forecast since
September, whereby we expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026 (was fourth-quarter 2025
previously). We continue to expect real GDP growth to slow from
above-trend growth in 2024 to below-trend growth in 2025. Heading
into 2025, the U.S. economy is expanding at a solid pace and while
President Donald Trump outlined numerous policy proposals during
his campaign, S&P Global Ratings' economic outlook for 2025 hasn't
changed appreciably, partly because we have taken a probabilistic
approach and are assuming partial implementation of campaign
promises. It will take time for changes in fiscal, trade, and
immigration policies to be implemented and affect the economy. Our
current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency is, therefore, unchanged at 2.50%.
This reflects our benign view of the mortgage and housing markets,
as demonstrated through general national-level home price behavior,
unemployment rates, mortgage performance, and underwriting.
Ratings Assigned
HOMES 2025-AFC1 Trust(i)
Class A-1A, $196,124,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $30,173,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $226,297,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $18,405,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $27,608,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $11,315,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $7,393,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $6,185,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $4,526,438: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period and is initially $301,729,438.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
INDYMAC MH 1997-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on 5 Tranches to Ba1
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings of five bonds backed by
US RMBS manufacturing housing loans issued by IndyMac MH Contract
1997-1.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: IndyMac MH Contract 1997-1
Cl. A-2, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 15, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf) and Placed On Review for Downgrade
Cl. A-3, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 15, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf) and Placed On Review for Downgrade
Cl. A-4, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 15, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf) and Placed On Review for Downgrade
Cl. A-5, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 15, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf) and Placed On Review for Downgrade
Cl. A-6, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 15, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf) and Placed On Review for Downgrade
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
The rating downgrades are primarily attributed to the outstanding
rated bonds not receiving any principal or interest remittance
since June 2023. During the periods when the bonds missed principal
and interest payments, available funds were redirected to reimburse
servicer advances. The absence of interest payments has led to
growing interest shortfalls on classes A-2 to A-6, and the lack of
principal payments has raised concerns about the ability to fully
repay the principal balance before each bond's final scheduled
distribution date of February 2028.
As of November 2024, the delinquency pipeline has been
significantly reduced from June 2023, when payments of interest and
principal stopped. As the remainder of the delinquent loans are
liquidated and the level of unrecoverable advances continues to
decline, payments on the bonds should resume. However, if
additional loans enter into delinquency and liquidation, the time
required to pay down the bond's interest and principal will be
extended.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
ISLAND FINANCE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(high) Rating on C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of notes (collectively, the Notes) to be issued by Island
Finance Trust 2025-1 (ISLN 2025-1):
-- $227,500,000 Class A Notes at (P) A (sf)
-- $34,930,000 Class B Notes at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $30,070,000 Class C Notes at (P) BB (high) (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
(A) Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization,
subordination, amounts held in the reserve fund, and excess spread.
Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support Morningstar
DBRS' stressed projected finance yield, principal payment rate, and
charge-off assumptions under various stress scenarios.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the credit ratings
address the timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and
principal by the legal final maturity date.
(3) Island Finance, LLC (Island Finance) is a private company
founded in 1959. The Company's primary business is providing
unsecured loans to near-prime and subprime consumers (average FICO
score of 668) through direct mail, its branch network, and company
website.
(4) Island Finance is regulated by the Office of the Commissioner
of Financial Institutions of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico (OCFI)
and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). To date, the
CFPB has deferred to OCFI as local regulator, effectively reducing
the bureau's focus on Puerto Rico. OCFI has regulated that "no
maximum interest rate should be set" for any of the three financial
products Island Finance is licensed to offer. In addition, OCFI
states that "interest rates should be determined by competition in
the marketplace."
(A) As a result of the obligor base being subprime, the average
interest rate of 34.65% charged to such obligors is generally
higher than the average charged to prime obligors.
(B) About 47.7% of the principal balance has interest rates greater
than 36.00%. The weighted-average (WA) annual percentage rate for
the pool is currently 34.65%. These rates, on average, have existed
in this relative range for a number of years.
(C) Island Finance uses a risk-based framework when it determines
interest rates for loans.
(D) Per the regulatory framework in Puerto Rico, entities operating
under Act No. 106 are required to publish the minimum interest
rates, the WA interest rates, and the maximum interest rates for
small personal loans charged at their organizations every Wednesday
in two newspapers.
(5) Island Finance is in Puerto Rico. This presents a unique
geographic risk because, as an island, Puerto Rico is subject to
systemic barriers. In addition, Puerto Rico's location in the
Caribbean Sea makes it especially susceptible to extreme weather
events like hurricanes. The warm ocean waters provide optimum
conditions for developing tropical storms and hurricanes. Although
the season is longer, the peak of the tropical storms and hurricane
season in Puerto Rico generally occurs in the months of August and
September.
(A) The impact of tropical storms and hurricanes has led to a more
resilient company. Since Hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017, Island
Finance transitioned to cloud-based technology and established
redundancies that enable this resiliency.
(B) Historically, charge-offs dropped after Hurricane Maria
although the main drivers of the dip in charge-offs were the
deferment programs and government aid provided by the Federal
Emergency Management Administration and other governmental
efforts.
(6) Receivables are generated through 48 Island Finance branches.
Cash and check payments are received at these branches. They
currently represent approximately 17.4% of collections on an
11-month basis ended November 2024. In a decentralized operation,
this can introduce risks that are hard to quantify.
(7) Island Finance's relationship-driven business model includes
late-stage collections and servicing that are handled at the
branches, while early-stage collections are performed at the
centralized servicing center. This is opposite from other
branch-based consumer loan lenders that manage early-stage
collections at the branches and more specialized and late-stage
collections are performed at centralized servicing centers.
(A) Field collectors are a common technique in Puerto Rico. Door
knockers are used to remind obligors of their past due balances and
are common to the way competitors pursue delinquencies too. The
Island Finance field collectors conduct collection efforts on
approximately 10% of accounts by offering borrowers the ability to
make payments through digital or centralized channels or in the
branches. Ultimately, the cash or checks collected by field
collectors amounted to diminimus levels. Starting on October 1,
2024, field collectors are no longer collecting cash or checks and
are now counseling or assisting customers to process their payments
through the web, phone, the collection center, or the branch.
(8) Many of Island Finance's personal loan borrowers make payments
in cash and in-person at Island Finance branches. Branch
collections have been steadily decreasing because of electronic
payment options. This trend could reverse itself during the
two-year revolving period. As of November 2024, on average,
approximately 33.3% (by dollar amount and excluding payoff) of
Island Finance's loan payments were received in branches and made
by cash (16%), check (1%), or debit card (16%).
(A) On a related basis, the servicer is obligated to deposit
collections received into the Collection Account no later than the
second business day after processing. Once deposited they are part
of the trust estate. The trust may not have a perfected interest in
collections commingled by the servicer or with funds such as cash
and checks received at branches that are not yet deposited in the
Collection Account. The exposure to branch payments effectively
means these funds may be subject to automatic stay risk in an
unlikely scenario where the sponsor files bankruptcy.
(9) Charge-off rates on the portfolio have generally ranged between
8.00% and 10.00% over the past several years.
(A) The Morningstar DBRS base-case assumption for the charge-off
rate is 12.29%, based on the ISLN 2025-1 reinvestment criteria and
recent credit performance.
(B) For the ISLN 2025-1 transaction, recovery rates of 5.00% and
4.00% were assumed for the consumer small loans and consumer
intermediate loans products, respectively, based on recovery data
provided by the company.
(10) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS'
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns December 2024 Update," published on December 19,
2024. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS' moderate and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
(11) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that
address the true sale of the assets from the Seller to the
Depositor, the nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with
the Seller, that the Indenture Trustee has a valid first-priority
security interest in the assets, and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS "Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance."
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Class A, Class B, and Class
C Notes address the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations are for each of the
rated Notes are the related Monthly Interest Amount and the related
Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ISLAND FINANCE 2025-1: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating on Class C Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Island Finance Trust
2025-1's personal consumer loan-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by personal
consumer loan receivables.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of credit support in the form of
subordination, overcollateralization, a reserve account, and excess
spread to absorb net losses of approximately 60.15%, 53.47%, and
47.12%, respectively, in our stressed cash flow scenarios,
commensurate with the ratings assigned to the notes.
-- S&P's worst-case weighted average base-case loss assumption of
14.61% for this transaction, which is a function of the
transaction-specific reinvestment criteria and historical Island
Finance LLC (Island Finance) loan performance data. Its base-case
loss assumption also accounts for historical volatility observed in
Island Finance's annual loan vintages over time.
-- S&P's expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress
scenario, all else being equal, the assigned ratings will be within
the limits specified in the credit stability section of "S&P Global
Ratings Definitions," published Dec. 2, 2024.
-- The timely interest and full principal payments expected to be
made under stressed cash flow modeling scenarios appropriate to the
assigned ratings.
-- The characteristics of the pool being securitized and
receivables expected to be purchased during the revolving period,
which considers the worst-case pool according to the transaction's
concentration limits.
-- Island Finance's performance history as originator and
servicer.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Island Finance Trust 2025-1
Class A, $227.50 million, 6.54% interest rate: A (sf)
Class B, $34.93 million, 7.95% interest rate: BBB (sf)
Class C, $30.07 million, 10.00% interest rate: BB+ (sf)
JP MORGAN 2011-C3: S&P Affirms CCC- (sf) Rating on Cl. J Certs
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S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on four classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from J.P. Morgan
Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2011-C3, a U.S. CMBS
transaction. At the same time, S&P affirmed its 'CCC- (sf)' ratings
on four classes from the transaction.
This is a U.S. CMBS transaction that is currently secured by two
fixed-rate specially serviced Pyramid mall-backed mortgage loans in
Massachusetts and New York.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes B, C, D, and E (despite higher
model-indicated ratings on classes B and C) and affirmations on
classes F, G, H, and J primarily reflect:
-- S&P said, "Our assessment that the transaction faces liquidity
risk and adverse selection with the two remaining loans exhibiting
weak credit metrics. Since our last published review in September
2023, the larger of the two remaining loans also transferred back
to special servicing due to imminent default." The other loan
transferred back to special servicing in May 2023. The sponsor of
both loans, Pyramid Management Group Inc., again failed to pay them
off upon their modified extended maturity dates in early 2024.
While the two specially serviced loans were again recently modified
and extended in December 2024, they have updated 2024 appraisal
values and/or broker opinions of values (BOVs) below the current
loan balances. Further, the loans have reported debt service
coverages (DSCs) below 1.10x and 1.00x, respectively. Given these
factors, S&P considered the potential for reduced liquidity support
to the trust's certificates if the loans become delinquent and
appraisal reduction amounts are effected (already in place for the
Sangertown Square loan based on the 2021 appraised value),
resulting in appraisal subordinate entitlement reduction amounts or
non-recoverability determination on the specially serviced loans.
That the reported operating performances of the collateral
properties securing the two remaining loans have not materially
improved since our last review. The servicer-reported net cash
flows (NCFs) for the trailing-12-months (TTM) ending June 30, 2024,
and year-end 2023 are on par or below the reported 2022 levels.
S&P said, "Our aggregated expected-case valuation for the two
remaining loans, which is now 34.8% lower than the values we
derived in our last review and 57.2% below our expected-case values
at issuance.
"The downgrade on class E to 'CCC (sf)' and affirmations on classes
F, G, H, and J at 'CCC- (sf)' further reflect our qualitative
consideration that their repayments are dependent upon favorable
business, financial, and economic conditions and that classes E, F,
G, H, and J are vulnerable to default.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the properties and
loans, as well as the borrower's ability to make timely debt
service payments and refinance the loans by their modified maturity
dates. If we receive information that differs materially from our
expectations, we may revisit our analysis and take additional
rating actions as we determine appropriate."
Transaction Summary
As of the Jan. 17, 2025, trustee remittance report, the collateral
pool balance was $210.2 million, which is 14.1% of the pool trust
balance at issuance. The pool currently includes two retail
mall-backed loans, the same as in S&P's last review and down from
45 loans at issuance.
To date, the transaction has experienced $16.4 million (1.1% of the
original pool trust balance) in principal losses related to prior
loan dispositions.
S&P said, "During our current review, we corresponded with the
current special servicer, Midland Loan Services, for updates on the
two specially serviced loans. We recently received a ratings agency
confirmation that the directing certificate holder has provided
notice requesting to replace Midland with Rialto Capital Advisors
LLC."
Loan Details And Property-Level Analysis
Holyoke Mall ($161.0 million, 76.6% of pooled trust balance)
The larger of the two remaining loans, Holyoke Mall, has a $161.0
million current trust balance, down from $168.1 million as of our
September 2023 review and $215.0 million at issuance. The loan pays
a 5.564% fixed interest rate per annum and amortizes on a 25-year
schedule after an initial 24-month interest-only (IO) period. The
loan originally matured Feb. 1, 2021, and was modified and extended
to Feb. 1, 2024, as part of the workout after the loan transferred
to special servicing in May 2020 due to imminent default. There is
also a $29.8 million mezzanine loan outstanding.
The loan, which has a performing matured balloon payment status,
was transferred back to special servicing on Jan. 18, 2024, due to
imminent default because the borrower stated that it would not be
able to pay off the loan at maturity and the mezzanine lender
issued a default notice under the mezzanine loan. According to the
special servicer, Midland, a loan modification agreement recently
closed on Dec. 27, 2024. The terms included, among other items:
-- Extending the loan's maturity date by 18 months from the
closing of the loan modification agreement with two options to
extend the maturity by an additional 18 months in total,
exercisable if the loan meets a 1.20x DSC threshold on an
amortizing basis.
-- The borrower paying all costs, fees, and expenses associated
with the loan's transfer to special servicing.
-- The loan remaining in cash trap.
-- Commencing with the first payment date after loan modification
closing, the monthly debt service amount being principal and
interest based on a 30-year amortization schedule.
The loan is secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in a
portion (1.36 million sq. ft.) of Holyoke Mall, a 1.56
million-sq.-ft., two-story, enclosed mall located at the
intersection of I-90 and I-91 in Holyoke, Mass., about nine miles
north of Springfield. The mall was built in 1979 and renovated in
1995. The mall is currently anchored by Macy's (200,000 sq. ft.,
noncollateral), Target (155,558 sq. ft.), JCPenney (149,146 sq.
ft.), Burlington Coat Factory (62,926 sq. ft.), and Best Buy
(50,935 sq. ft.). The former Sears anchor box remains vacant,
according to the September 2024 rent roll.
S&P said, "In our September 2023 review, we noted that the
property's occupancy had not improved and the reported NCF was
still below pre-pandemic levels. Using a 72.7% occupancy rate, an
S&P Global Ratings' gross rent of $28.45 per sq. ft., and a 48.6%
operating expense ratio, we derived an S&P Global Ratings NCF of
$14.4 million. Utilizing an S&P Global Ratings' capitalization rate
of 9.75%, we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings' expected-case value
of $147.9 million, or $109 per sq. ft., a decline of 26.1% from the
August 2020 appraised value of $200.0 million and 63.0% from the
issuance appraised value of $400.0 million."
The servicer-reported NCF for TTM ending June 30, 2024, and
year-end 2023 are at or below the 2022 levels. According to the
Sept. 30, 2024, rent roll and after adjusting for known tenant
movements, such as Burlington Coat Factory leaving upon its
February 2025 lease expiration date, the collateral property would
be 65.5% leased.
The five largest tenants, excluding the soon-to-vacate Burlington
Coat Factory that makes up 4.6% of the net rentable area (NRA),
comprise 33.8% of NRA:
-- Target (11.5% of NRA, 5.9% of S&P Global Ratings' gross rent,
January 2030 lease expiration).
-- JCPenney (11.0%, 3.7%, May 2028).
-- Hobby Lobby (3.8%, 1.6%, February 2028).
-- Round One Entertainment (3.8%, 4.4%, March 2029).
-- Best Buy (3.8%, 4.7%, March 2030).
The property faces minimal tenant rollover (less than 10.0% of NRA)
each year through 2027 (about one year after the current modified
maturity date). Tenant rollover risk is elevated in 2028 (20.4%)
and 2030 (17.1%).
According to the tenant sales report for the TTM ending Aug. 31,
2024, the property's inline sales were $461 per sq. ft. with a
13.2% occupancy cost (excluding Apple), as calculated by S&P Global
Ratings.
S&P said, "Based on our current analysis, which assumed a 34.5%
in-place vacancy rate, $31.59-per-sq.-ft. S&P Global Ratings' gross
rent, and 52.9% operating expense ratio, we arrived at an S&P
Global Ratings' NCF of $11.4 million, 20.9% below our September
2023 review.
"Utilizing an S&P Global Ratings' capitalization rate of 12.0% (up
225 basis points from our last review because, based on its weak
performance and lack of competitive advantage, we assessed that the
property's credit quality is akin to a class C mall), we arrived at
an S&P Global Ratings' expected-case value of $95.0 million, which
is 35.7% below our last review value. The property was reappraised
as of April 2024 at $185.0 million, a 7.5% decline from the 2020
appraised value. However, Midland indicated that BOVs received as
of September 2024 were below the trust balance. Our expected-case
value is 48.6% below the revised April 2024 appraised value. This
yielded an S&P Global Ratings' loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of over
100.0% on the current trust balance."
Table 1
Servicer-reported collateral performance
Trailing-12-months ending
June 30, 2024(i) 2023(i) 2022(i)
Occupancy rate (%) 69.0 70.0 61.0
Net cash flow (mil. $) 15.5 14.7 16.6
Debt service coverage (x) 1.08 1.06 1.11
Appraisal value (mil. $)(ii) 185.0 200.0 200.0
(i)Reporting period.
(ii)The property was appraised at $400.0 million at issuance in
January 2011.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Last published
Current review review At issuance
(Jan 2025)(i) (Sep 2023)(i) (Mar 2011)(i)
Trust loan balance (mil. $) 161.0 168.1 215.0
Occupancy rate (%) 65.5 72.7 85.8
Net cash flow (mil. $) 11.4 14.4 23.8
Capitalization rate (%) 12.0 9.8 8.0
Value (mil. $) 95.0 147.9 297.5
Value per sq. ft. ($) 70 109 219
Loan-to-value ratio (%)(ii) 169.4 113.7 72.3
(i)Review period.
(ii)On the trust loan balance at the time of S&P's review.
Sangertown Square ($49.1 million, 23.4% of pooled trust balance)
The smallest remaining loan, Sangertown Square, has a $49.1 million
current trust balance, down from $52.2 million as of S&P's
September 2023 review and $67.8 million at issuance. The loan pays
a 5.854% fixed interest rate per annum and amortizes on a 25-year
schedule. The loan originally matured Jan. 1, 2021, and was
modified and extended to Jan. 1, 2024, as part of the workout after
the loan transferred to the special servicer in May 2020 due to
imminent default.
The loan, which has a nonperforming matured balloon payment status,
was transferred back to special servicing on May 19, 2023, due to
imminent default because the borrower stated that the property's
cash flow was not sufficient to cover the amortizing debt service
payments and that it would not be able to pay off the loan at
maturity. Midland stated that a loan modification agreement closed
on Dec. 27, 2024. The terms included, among other items:
-- Extending the loan's maturity date by 18 months from the
closing of the loan modification agreement with two options to
extend the maturity by an additional 18 months in total, as long as
the loan meets a 1.15x DSC threshold on an IO basis.
-- The borrower paying all costs, fees, and expenses associated
with the loan's transfer to special servicing, including the 1%
modification fee on future debt service payments upfront.
-- The loan remaining in cash trap.
-- Commencing with the first payment date after loan modification
closing, the monthly debt service amount being interest accrued
(converting from amortizing).
-- The loan is secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in
Sangertown Square, an 894,127-sq.-ft. single-story, enclosed mall
on 102 acres in New Hartford, N.Y. The mall, built in 1980 and
renovated in 2005, is about 50 miles east of Syracuse. It is
currently anchored by Boscov's (172,473 sq. ft.), Target (126,000
sq. ft.), and Dick's Sporting Goods (51,355 sq. ft.). The former
Macy's (140,473 sq. ft.) and JCPenney (151,841 sq. ft.) anchor
spaces remain vacant, according to the September 2024 rent roll.
S&P said, "In our September 2023 review, the loan had transferred
back to special servicing. We noted that the property's occupancy
remained below 60.0% because the borrower had not be able to
re-tenant the two vacant collateral anchor spaces. Resultingly, the
reported NCF was insufficient to cover debt service payments. Using
a 57.5% occupancy rate, an S&P Global Ratings' NCF of $2.9 million,
and an 18.0% S&P Global Ratings' capitalization rate, we arrived at
an S&P Global Ratings' expected-case value of $16.0 million, or $18
per sq. ft., 16.0% below the February 2021 appraised value of $19.1
million and 85.0% from the issuance appraised value of $107.0
million."
The servicer-reported NCF for the TTM ending June 30, 2024, and
year-end 2023 were generally in line with the 2022 levels.
According to the Sept. 30, 2024, rent roll, the collateral property
was 55.9% leased. The five largest tenants comprise 44.0% of NRA:
-- Boscov's (19.4% of NRA, 10.9% of S&P Global Ratings' gross
rent, January 2037 lease expiration).
-- Target (14.2%, 11.6%, January 2028).
-- Dick's Sporting Goods (5.8%, 12.3%, October 2028).
-- HomeGoods (2.5%, 4.2%, October 2027).
-- PiNX (2.2%, 2.1%, June 2030).
The property has minimal tenant rollover (less than 10.0% of NRA)
each year through 2027 (about one year after the current modified
maturity date). Tenant rollover risk is elevated in 2028 (22.4%)
and 2037 (19.4%).
In our current analysis, we assumed a 44.1% in-place vacancy rate,
$12.37-per-sq.-ft. S&P Global Ratings' gross rent, and 60.2%
operating expense ratio to arrive at an S&P Global Ratings' NCF of
$2.1 million, a 26.3% decline from our September 2023 review.
Utilizing an S&P Global Ratings' capitalization rate of 18.0%
(unchanged from our last review), we arrived at an S&P Global
Ratings' expected-case value of $11.8 million, which is 26.3% below
our last review value. According to Midland, the property was
reappraised as of April 2024 at $16.1 million, a 16.0% decline from
the 2021 appraised value. Midland stated that BOVs received as of
September 2024 were also below the trust balance. Our expected-case
value is 26.3% below the revised April 2024 appraised value. This
yielded an S&P Global Ratings' LTV ratio that is significant over
100% on the current trust balance.
Table 3
Servicer-reported collateral performance
Trailing-12-months ending
June 30, 2024(i) 2023(i) 2022(i)
Occupancy rate (%) 55.9 57.0 58.0
Net cash flow (mil. $) 2.9 3.2 2.9
Debt service coverage (x) 0.56 0.74 0.92
Appraisal value (mil. $)(ii) 16.1 19.1 19.1
(i)Reporting period.
(ii)The property was appraised at $107.0 million at issuance in
December 2010.
Table 4
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Last published
Current review review At issuance
(Jan 2025)(i) (Sep 2023)(i) (March 2011)(i)
Trust balance (mil. $) 49.1 52.2 67.8
Occupancy rate (%) 55.9 57.5 88.3
Net cash flow (mil. $) 2.1 2.9 7.3
Capitalization rate (%) 18.0 18.0 8.5
Value (mil. $) 11.8 16.0 85.3
Value per sq. ft. ($) 13 18 95
Loan-to-value ratio (%)(ii) 415.7 325.3 79.4
(i)Review period.
(ii)On the trust loan balance at the time of our review.
Ratings Lowered
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2011-C3
Class B to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'A- (sf)'
Class C to 'BB- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class D to 'B- (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class E to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2011-C3
Class F: CCC- (sf)
Class G: CCC- (sf)
Class H: CCC- (sf)
Class J: CCC- (sf)
LIBRA SOLUTIONS 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class B Notes
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DBRS, Inc. confirmed two credit ratings on Libra Solutions 2023-1
LLC.
-- Class B Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes BB (sf) Confirmed
Credit rating rationale includes the key analytical
considerations:
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization, a
liquidity reserve and excess funds. Credit enhancement levels have
been rapidly building up since closing due to the turbo structure
of the transaction.
-- Overall performance of the transaction has been in-line with
expectations.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns - December 2024 Update, published on December 19,
2024. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS's moderate and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (January 10,
2025).
LOANCORE 025-CRE8: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. G Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
LoanCore 2025-CRE8 Issuer LLC as follows:
- $649,750,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $162,437,000a class A-S 'AAAsf;' Outlook Stable;
- $77,625,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $61,813,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $37,375,000a class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,250,000a class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $37,375,000b class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $24,437,000b class G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $81,938,000b Income Notes.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 12.500% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $1,043,000,000 and does not include future funding.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Jan. 22, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes represent the beneficial interests in the trust, the
primary assets of which are 24 loans secured by 35 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $1,043,000,000
as of the cut-off date. The pool also includes ramp-up collateral
interest of $107.0 million.
The loans were contributed to the trust by LoanCore CRE Seller LLC.
The servicer is expected to be Situs Asset Management LLC, and the
special servicer is expected to be Situs Holdings, LLC. The trustee
is expected to be Wilmington Trust, National Association, and the
note administrator is expected to be Computershare Trust Company,
National Association. The notes are expected to follow a sequential
paydown structure.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's
collateral, including site inspections on 57.6% of the loans by
balance, and cash flow analysis and asset summary reviews on 100%
of the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on all
loans in the pool. Fitch's resulting
aggregate net cash flow (NCF) of $59.0 million represents an 8.35%
decline from the issuer's aggregate
underwritten NCF of $64.4 million, excluding loans for which Fitch
utilized an alternate value analysis.
Lower Leverage: The pool has lower leverage compared to recent CRE
CLO transactions rated by Fitch.
The pool's Fitch loan‐to‐value (LTV) ratio of 131.4% is in
better than both the 2024 and 2023 CRE CLO
averages of 140.7% and 171.2%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF
debt yield (DY) of 6.8% is better than
both the 2024 and 2023 CRE CLO averages of 6.5% and 5.6%,
respectively.
Lower Pool Concentration: The pool concentration is better than
recently rated Fitch CRE CLO
transactions. The top 10 loans make up 59.2% of the pool, which is
lower than both the 2024 and
2023 CRE CLO averages of 70.5% and 62.5%, respectively. Fitch
measures loan concentration risk with
an effective loan count, which accounts for both the number and
size of loans in the pool. The pool's
effective loan count is 20.2. Fitch views diversity as a key
mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the
overall loss for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
No Amortization: The pool 100% comprises IO loans. This is worse
than both the 2024 and 2023 CRE
CLO averages of 56.8% and 35.3%, respectively, based on fully
extended loan terms. As a result, the pool
is expected to have zero principal paydown by maturity of the
loans. By comparison, the average
scheduled paydowns for Fitch‐rated U.S. CRE CLO transactions
during 2024 and 2023 were 0.6% and
1.7%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf' /
'BBsf' / 'B-sf' / lower than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' /
'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' / 'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria". Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Rating Recovery
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MADISON PARK XXVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Madison Park Funding XXVII, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
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Madison Park
Funding XXVII, Ltd.
A-1-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding XXVII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by UBS
Asset Management (Americas) LLC. The original deal closed in March
2018. On Feb. 28, 2025 (the first refinancing date), the CLO's
existing secured notes will be redeemed in full with refinancing
proceeds. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $800 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.24% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.49%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding XXVII, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MADISON PARK XXVII: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned provisional ratings to three classes
of CLO refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) to be issued by
Madison Park Funding XXVII, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$8,000,000 Class X Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2038, Assigned
(P)Aaa (sf)
US$490,800,000 Class A-1-R Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2037,
Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Deferrable Floating Rate Junior Notes due
2038, Assigned (P)B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
96.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 4.0% of the portfolio may consist of non-senior
secured loans.
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (the Manager) will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the other
classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: reinstatement of
the reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and
non-call period; changes to certain collateral quality tests; and
changes to the overcollateralization test levels; changes to the
base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $800,000,000
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2980
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.10%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.0%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
MF1 2025-FL17: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class F-X Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
MF1 2025-FL17 LLC notes as follows:
- $673,100,000c class A 'AAA(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $219,075,000c class A-S 'AAA(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $85,725,000c class B 'AA-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $68,262,000c class C 'A-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $41,275,000c class D 'BBB(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $20,638,000c class E 'BBB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,287,000ad class F 'BB+(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ac class F-E 'BB+(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class F-X 'BB+(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $23,813,000acd class G 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0a class G-E 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class G-X 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $26,987,000cd class H 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0a class H-E 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class H-X 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
The following classes are not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $96,838,000d Income Notes.
(a) Exchangeable Notes. Classes F, G and H notes are exchangeable
notes. Each class of exchangeable notes may be exchanged for the
corresponding classes of exchangeable notes, and vice versa. The
dollar denomination of each of the received classes of notes must
be equal to the dollar denomination of each of the surrendered
classes of notes.
(b) Notional amount and interest only (IO).
(c) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(d) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 12.750% of
the principal balance of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $1,246,318,570 and does not include future funding.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Jan. 22, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes represent the beneficial interest in the trust, the
primary assets of which are 25 loans secured by 86 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $1,246,318,570
as of the cut-off date, including seven delayed- close collateral
interests totaling $317.8 million, which are expected to close
within 90 days after the closing date. The pool also includes
ramp-up collateral interest of $23,681,429.95.
The loans were contributed to the trust by MF1 REIT III LLC. The
servicer is expected to be CBRE Loan Services, Inc. and the special
servicer, MF1 Loan Services LLC. The trustee is expected to be
Wilmington Trust, National Association, and the note administrator,
Computershare Trust Company, National Association. The notes will
follow a sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings performed cash flow analyses on
25 loans in the pool. Fitch's resulting aggregate net cash flow
(NCF) of $38.4 million represents a 7.7% decline from the issuer's
aggregate underwritten NCF of $41.6 million, excluding loans for
which Fitch utilized an alternate value analysis. Aggregate cash
flows include only the pro-rated trust portion of any pari passu
loan.
Higher Leverage: The pool has higher leverage compared to recent
CRE-CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio of 143.1% is higher than the 2024 CRE-CLO averages of
140.7%, but below the 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 171.2%. The pool's
Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 5.8% is lower than the 2024 CRE-CLO
averages of 6.5%, but higher than the 2023 CRE-CLO averages of
5.6%.
Better Pool Diversity: The pool diversity is better than that of
recently rated Fitch CRE-CLO transactions. The top 10 loans make up
56.5% of the pool, which is lower than both the 2024 CRE-CLO
average of 70.5% and the 2023 CRE-CLO average of 62.5%. Fitch
measures loan concentration risk with an effective loan count,
which accounts for both the number and size of loans in the pool.
The pool's effective loan count is 22.2. Fitch views diversity as a
key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss
for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: The pool is 34.5% comprised IO loans. This is
better than both the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 56.8% and
35.3%, respectively, based on fully extended loan terms. As a
result, the pool is expected to paydown by 1.2% by the maturity of
the loans. By comparison, the average scheduled paydowns for
Fitch-rated U.S. CRE-CLO transactions in 2024 and 2023 were 0.6%
and 1.7%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/ 'BBBsf'/
'BBB-sf'/ 'BB+sf'/ 'BB-sf'/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/ 'BB+sf'/ 'BB-sf'/
'B+sf'/ 'B-sf'/ '
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/ 'BBBsf'/
'BBB-sf'/ 'BB+sf'/ 'BB-sf'/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/ 'BBB+sf'/
'BBBsf'/ 'BBB-sf'/ 'BB+sf'/ 'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria." Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Rating Recovery
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-C9: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2013-C9
issued by Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2013-C9 as follows:
-- Class B at BBB (sf)
-- Class C at CCC (sf)
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
-- Class PST at CCC (sf)
-- Class X-B at CCC (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
-- Class H at C (sf)
All trends are now Positive.
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on all classes to Positive,
reflective of the modification of the largest loan in the pool,
Milford Plaza Fee (Prospectus ID#1, 72.9% of the pool), and
subsequent repayment of nearly all the accumulated unpaid
bondholder interest, which totaled $8.4 million at the time of
Morningstar DBRS' last rating action. Previously, interest had been
withheld from all bonds below Class C for more than a year
prompting the previous credit rating downgrades throughout the
capital stack. This stemmed from the performance deterioration of
the Milford Plaza Fee loan, which had been in special servicing
since June 2020, and the servicer's own evaluation of
non-recoverability in April 2023. At the last review in February
2024, the transaction reported approximately $18.5 million in
realized trust losses.
Since the last credit rating action, the Milford Plaza Fee loan has
been modified, as discussed further below, and nearly all of the
$8.4 million in shorted interest was repaid. In addition,
approximately $9.5 million in advances that were previously deemed
non-recoverable and had been passed through as a realized trust
loss were also recovered, reducing the actual realized loss to the
trust to $8.5 million as of the December 2024 remittance.
Only three of the original 60 loans remain in the pool with no
additional paydowns or liquidations since the last credit rating
action in February 2024. There are now no loans in special
servicing but two of the loans, representing 95.2% of the pool
remain on the servicer's watchlist due to a recent transfer back to
the master servicer and performance related concerns.
At issuance, the Milford Plaza Fee loan was secured by the
borrower's leased fee interest in the ground beneath the 1,331-key
hotel currently known as The Row NYC in the Times Square-Theatre
District in New York City. The $275 million whole loan, which has a
pari passu structure with pieces contributed to the subject
transaction ($165 million) and to the non-Morningstar DBRS-rated
MSBAM 2013-C10 transaction ($110 million), has been brought current
and returned back to the master servicer following a loan
modification that was executed in May 2024. The previous delinquent
tenant and owner of the leasehold interest, Highgate Holdings
purchased the land and assumed the subject loan in conjunction with
the modification. Collateral for the loan now consists of the new
borrower's fee simple interest in both the ground and improvements
of the Row NYC hotel. The modification included an extension of the
maturity date to June 2028. In addition, the ground lease was
terminated, cash management will be in place until a full payoff
has occurred, and the new sponsor was required to provide a
renovation guaranty and fund a capex reserve. The master servicer
confirmed that $14.1 million in protective advances have been paid
to reimburse fees and advances previously deemed non-recoverable
while the loan was in special servicing.
The borrower has extended its agreement with the city of New York
to house migrants at the subject property through April 2026 at a
reduced rate of $175 per night compared to the previous rate of
$190 per night. The loan reported an annualized net cash flow (NCF)
figure of $78.2 million for the trailing six-month period ended
June 30, 2024, which appears to include the hotel operations. The
fee simple value was appraised at $350 million in April 2024, which
is slightly below the May 2023 appraised value of $375 million and
the issuance appraised value of $386 million. Although the loan has
been reinstated and is no longer in special servicing, Morningstar
DBRS' analysis included recoverability scenario based on a stress
to the most recent appraisal, which indicates that a full recovery
of the loan could be possible. This recoverability determination
was considered a primary driver in the change of trend on all
Classes to Positive. Despite these positive developments,
Morningstar DBRS' ratings for the remainder of the capital stack
have been confirmed at this time to allow for continued seasoning
of the loan's performance following the loan modification.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MTN COMMERCIAL 2022-LPFL: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of MTN
Commercial Mortgage Trust 2022-LPFL, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2022-LPFL as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the collateral portfolio, which has exhibited minimal changes in
performance and composition since issuance. The transaction is
secured by the borrower's fee-simple or leasehold interests in a
portfolio of 82 industrial properties (78 fee-simple properties,
two payment-in-lieu-of-taxes leasehold properties, and two ground
leasehold properties) totaling over 15 million square feet across
25 states. The portfolio was acquired through Industrial Logistics
Properties Trust's (ILPT's) $4.0 billion acquisition of Monmouth
Real Estate Investment Corporation (Monmouth). The loan is
sponsored by a joint venture between ILPT, the portfolio owner and
controller, and the remaining 39.0% is owned by an institutional
investor connected to the Monmouth acquisition.
The $1.4 billion floating-rate mortgage loan is interest-only (IO)
throughout its five-year fully extended loan term. The loan had an
initial two-year term and was structured with three one-year
extension options with a fully extended maturity date in March
2027. The current scheduled maturity date is on March 9, 2025. The
most recent servicer commentary indicates that the borrower intends
to exercise the second extension option, subject to meeting
pre-determined requirements including no events of default and the
purchase of a replacement interest rate cap agreement with a rate
the lesser of 3.4% or, when added to the spread yields, a minimum
debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.10 times (x).
The transaction documents allow for property releases at a release
price of 105.0% of the allocated loan amount (ALA) for the first
80.0% of the original principal balance of the mortgage loan and
110.0% thereafter. Proceeds from the first 20.0% of property
releases by ALA are distributed across the capital stack on a pro
rata basis, with all subsequent proceeds applied sequentially.
Morningstar DBRS considers this structure to be credit negative,
particularly at the top of the capital stack; as such, a penalty
was applied in the loan-to-value (LTV) sizing. To date, there have
been no property releases.
The annualized net cash flow (NCF) for the trailing six months
(T-6) ended June 30, 2024, was $84.9 million, a modest increase
from the year-end 2023 figure of $83.3 million and the Morningstar
DBRS NCF of $79.5 million. The increase in cash flow is primarily
driven by increases in both base rent and expense reimbursements;
however, the DSCR has fallen since issuance as the in-place debt
service costs on the floating rate debt have continued to rise.
Morningstar DBRS notes that the financial reporting does not
account for the in-place interest rate cap. The June 2024 rent
rolls reported an occupancy figure of 98.7% across the portfolio, a
slight increase from the issuance figure of 96.5%.
The portfolio's largest tenant is FedEx Corporation (46.8% of net
rentable area (NRA)). Leases representing approximately 56.0% of
the portfolio's NRA are scheduled to roll throughout the fully
extended loan term; however, rollover is relatively granular with
no more than 17.0% of the NRA scheduled to roll in any given year.
In addition, Morningstar DBRS expects demand to remain stable
through the extended loan term for warehouse property types in
desirable locations such as those in the subject's portfolio. The
relative distribution of the locations is granular, with the
largest state concentration in Texas, with 8.6% of the portfolio
NRA. Indiana and Ohio follow with 8.5% of the total portfolio
square footage each.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings are based on a value analysis from
issuance, which considered a net cash flow of $79.5 million and a
capitalization rate of 6.5%, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS value
of $1.2 billion and a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 114.5% on the
mortgage loan. The Morningstar DBRS value represents a variance of
-41.6% from the issuance appraised value of $2.1 billion. In
addition, Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative
adjustments to the LTV-sizing benchmarks totaling 8.5% to reflect
the high quality of the properties, geographic diversity in key
markets, and historically stable cash flow.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
NASSAU 2021-I: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class class A-1-R,
B-1-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from Nassau 2021-I
Ltd./Nassau 2021-I LLC, a CLO managed by NCG CLO Manager LLC that
was originally issued in August 2021. At the same time, S&P
withdrew its ratings on the class A-1, B-1, C, D, and E debt
following payment in full on the Jan. 30, 2025, refinancing date.
S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class A-2 and B-2 debt, which
were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a conformed indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
conformed indenture, the non-call period for the replacement debt
was set to Jan. 30, 2026.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $181.295 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.11%
-- Class B-1-R, $22.450 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.70%
-- Class C-R, $21.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%
-- Class D-R, $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.60%
-- Class E-R, $14.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.10%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $181.295 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.51%
-- Class B-1, $22.450 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.21%
-- Class C, $21.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.86%
-- Class D, $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 4.01%
-- Class E, $14.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.66%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Nassau 2021-I Ltd./Nassau 2021-I LLC
Class A-1-R, $181.295 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R, $22.45 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $21.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R, $17.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R, $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Nassau 2021-I Ltd./Nassau 2021-I LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Nassau 2021-I Ltd./Nassau 2021-I LLC
Class A-2: 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-2: 'AA (sf)'
Other Debt
Nassau 2021-I Ltd./Nassau 2021-I LLC
Sub Note A: NR
Sub Note B: NR
NR--Not rated.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 44: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-L, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R replacement debt from Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers
CLO 44 Ltd./Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 LLC, a CLO
originally issued in 2021 that is managed by Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers II LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A, B, C, D, and E debt following payment in full on
the Jan. 29, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 16, 2026.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes were extended to Oct. 16, 2035.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Jan. 29, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remained at
$600 million. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 16, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction’s ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 LLC
Class A-L, $378.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $78.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 LLC
Class A to NR from ‘AAA (sf)’
Class B to NR from ‘AA (sf)’
Class C (deferrable) to NR from ‘A (sf)’
Class D (deferrable) to NR from ‘BBB- (sf)’
Class E (deferrable) to NR from ‘BB- (sf)’
Other Debt
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 44 LLC
Subordinated notes, $59.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
NEWARK BSL 2: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $20MM Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Newark BSL CLO 2, Ltd.:
US$56,000,000 Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 15, 2022 Upgraded to Aa1
(sf)
US$34,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 15, 2022 Upgraded to
A1 (sf)
US$30,000,000 Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 3, 2021 Assigned
Baa3 (sf)
Moody’s has also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$320,000,000 (Current outstanding US$206,249,268) Class A-1-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Mar 3, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$20,000,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2020 Confirmed at
Ba3 (sf)
Newark BSL CLO 2, Ltd., issued in July 2017 and partially
refinanced in March 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO)
backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured US loans.
The portfolio is managed by PGIM, Inc. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in July 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class A-2-R, Class B-R and Class C-R
notes are primarily a result of the deleveraging of the Class A-1-R
notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio over the
last 12 months.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R and Class D
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-R notes have paid down by approximately USD78.9
million (24.66%) in the last 12 months and USD113.75 million
(35.55%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased. According to the trustee
report dated December 2024 [1] the Class A, Class B and Class C OC
ratios are reported at 138.59%, 122.69% and 111.40% compared to
December 2023 [2] levels of 130.91%, 119.05% and 110.23%,
respectively.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD360.55m
Defaulted Securities: USD10.27m
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2713
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.52 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.08%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.0%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.42%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance" published in
October 2024. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assume that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
OCEAN TRAILS XIV: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ocean
Trails CLO XIV Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ocean Trails
CLO XIV Ltd
A-1 67515JAA3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
B1 67515JAE5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B2 67515JAJ4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
C 67515JAG0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 67515JAL9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 67515MAA6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBsf
E-R LT BBsf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Ocean Trails CLO XIV Ltd (the issuer), a reset transaction that
originally closed in March 2023, is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Five Arrows
Managers North America LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.58% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.14%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'Asf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ocean Trails CLO
XIV Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance
Scores, visit the Fitch Ratings ESG Relevance Scores page.
OCEAN TRAILS XIV: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Cl. F-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of refinancing
notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Ocean Trails CLO XIV Ltd
(the Issuer):
US$252,000,000 Class A-R Floating Rate Notes due 2038, Assigned Aaa
(sf)
US$1,000,000 Class F-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
90.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and eligible principal investments, and up to 10.0% of the
portfolio may consist of second lien loans and unsecured loans,
including up to 5% of the portfolio, for senior unsecured bonds,
senior secured bonds or senior secured floating rate notes.
Five Arrows Managers North America LLC, (the Manager) will continue
to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets
on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity,
including discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended
five year reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain
restrictions, the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal
payments and proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the other
classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to transaction
features will occur in connection with the refinancing. These
include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of the
stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain collateral
quality tests; and changes to the overcollateralization test
levels; additions to the CLO's ability to hold workout and
restructured assets; and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Portfolio par: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2893
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
OCTAGON LOAN: Moody's Cuts Rating on $20.7MM Cl. E-RR Notes to B1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Octagon Loan Funding, Ltd.:
US$49,700,000 Class B-RR Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class B-RR Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on
November 19, 2018 Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$30,700,000 Class C-RR Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031 (the "Class C-RR Notes"), Upgraded to A2 (sf);
previously on November 19, 2018 Assigned A3 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$20,700,000 Class E-RR Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031 (the "Class E-RR Notes"), Downgraded to B1 (sf);
previously on August 19, 2020 Confirmed at Ba3 (sf)
Octagon Loan Funding, Ltd., originally issued in September 2014 and
last refinanced in November 2018, is a managed cashflow CLO. The
notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly
syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in November 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since December 2023. The Class
A-RR notes have been paid down by approximately 38.8% or $97.7
million since December 2023. Based on the trustee's December 2024
report[1], the OC ratios for the Class B-RR, Class C-RR, and Class
D-RR notes are reported at 139.45%, 121.17% and 113.97%,
respectively, versus December 2023[2] levels of 128.89%, 116.98%
and 112.00%, respectively.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E-RR notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the trustee's December 2024 report[3], the OC ratio for the Class
E-RR notes is reported at 105.22% versus December 2023[4] level of
105.70%. Furthermore, the trustee-reported weighted average rating
factor (WARF) and weighted average spread (WAS) have been
deteriorating and the current levels are currently 2951 and 3.40%,
respectively[5], compared to 2889 and 3.67%, respectively, in
December 2023[6].
No actions were taken on the Class A-RR and Class D-RR notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $282,840,638
Defaulted par: $3,669,481
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2942
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.23%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.76%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.43 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
OFSI BSL XII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-J-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from
OFSI BSL XII CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC, a CLO originally issued
in February 2023 that is managed by OFS CLO Management II LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 28,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 5, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 17, 2030.
-- The non-call period will be extended to Dec. 11, 2026.
-- The replacement class B-R, C-R, and E-R debt is expected to be
issued at a lower spread over three-month CME term SOFR than the
original notes.
-- The original class D debt is being replaced by two new classes:
D-1-R and D-2-R.
-- No new subordinated notes will be issued.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OFSI BSL XII CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC
Class A-1-R, $180.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-J-R, $9.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $39.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $18.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $15.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $9.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
OFSI BSL XII CLO, Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO, LLC
Subordinated notes, $28.85 million: Not rated
PIKES PEAK 8: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Pikes
Peak CLO 8 reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Pikes Peak CLO 8
A 72133CAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A Loan LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
X LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-L Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 8 (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Partners Group US Management CLO LLC. The transaction originally
closed in June 2021 and is being reset for the first time. The
CLO's existing secured notes will be refinanced in whole on Jan.
21, 2025 from proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from
the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.66, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26.66. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.89% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.31%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A-1, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X, class A-1 and
class A-2R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category
of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, 'Asf' for class D-2R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that the data is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 8.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance
Scores, visit the Fitch Ratings ESG Relevance Scores page.
POST ROAD 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to assign ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
notes issued by Post Road Equipment Finance 2025-1, LLC.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Post Road Equipment
Finance 2025-1
A1 ST F1+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral — Strong Historical Asset Performance: Post Road's
originations have seen minimal defaults and losses since inception.
There have been 17 instances of default since 2017, with a recovery
rate of approximately 100% in 14 of the 16 resolved cases.
Bankruptcies appear to be the primary driver of defaults, with 13
instances where Post Road contracts were accepted and paid in all
cases. In three non-bankruptcy related defaults, Post Road received
sufficient sales proceeds to satisfy outstanding contract terms.
Fitch did not consider 17 default observations, with average
recovery of 98%, a sufficient dataset from which to derive recovery
rate assumptions. Consequently, Fitch relied on a range of
appraisal values provided by Post Road, including net orderly
values (NOLVs), orderly liquidation values (OLVs) and liquidation
values in place (LVIPs), to determine recovery rate assumptions for
each equipment type. These appraisals were conducted by established
third-party appraisers in the equipment space.
Lease-End Residual Value Risk: The residual value of the leased
equipment accounts for 6.55% of the pool on a discounted basis. Of
this, 5.42% presents exposure to residual risk, while the remaining
1.13% relates to residuals that are guaranteed by the obligors.
Concentration Risk, Portfolio Credit Model Approach to Derive Loss
Hurdle: Post Road 2025-1 exhibits a high degree of concentration,
with the underlying collateral consisting of 170 contracts across
67 obligors. The top 10 obligors total 36.61%, down from 41.20% in
PREF 2024-1. Due to the limited loss history and significant
obligor concentration, Fitch will determine credit loss hurdles
using its Portfolio Credit Model (PCM), in accordance with its
"U.S. Equipment Lease and Loan ABS Rating Criteria."
Structural Analysis - Adequate Credit Enhancement: The Post Road
2025-1 notes benefit from credit enhancement in the form of
overcollaterization, initially sized at 8.90% of initial aggregate
securitization value with a target of 13.05% of current aggregate
securitization value and a 6.70% overcollaterization floor of
initial aggregate securitization value; a 1% non-declining reserve
account; excess spread; and for the class A, B, C and D notes,
subordination.
Total initial hard credit enhancement for the class A, B, C, D and
E notes is 29.60%, 25.85%, 20.15%, 16.30% and 9.90%, respectively.
This is sufficient to support Fitch's total stressed loss
expectation of 31.91%, 27.77%, 22.21%, 16.99% and 12.35% at the
'AAAsf', 'AAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' rating categories,
respectively.
Adequate Servicer: Post Road has demonstrated adequate capabilities
as originator, underwriter and servicer, as evidenced by its
managed portfolio and delinquency and loss performance
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults or decreases
in recovery rates could produce loss levels higher than the rating
case and could result in potential rating actions on the notes.
Fitch evaluated the sensitivity to account for the potential
increase in default rates by assuming the ratings of each obligor
were downgraded by one-notch from the assumed ratings in Fitch's
rating case scenario. This stress would also have an impact of up
to one category on the ratings of the transaction.
Additionally, recoveries were stressed by applying haircuts of 25%
and 50% to AAAsf recovery rates on each contract. These stressed
recovery rate scenarios had an impact of up to three categories on
the ratings of the transaction.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Conversely, stable to improved asset performance, driven by stable
delinquencies and defaults would lead to rising CE levels and
consideration for potential upgrades. If total loss expectation is
20% less than projected, the expected subordinate note ratings
could be upgraded by up to one category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by RSM US LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on comparing or recalculating certain information
with respect to 50 contracts. Fitch considered this information in
its analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PRET 2025-RPL1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the PRET
2025-RPL1 Trust Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RPL1 to be
issued by PRET 2025-RPL1 Trust (PRET 2025-RPL1 or the Trust) as
follows:
-- $315.5 million Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $24.6 million Class A-2 at (P) AA (sf)
-- $340.1 million Class A-3 at (P) AA (sf)
-- $362.6 million Class A-4 at (P) A (sf)
-- $381.3 million Class A-5 at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $22.5 million Class M-1 at (P) A (sf)
-- $18.7 million Class M-2 at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $11.3 million Class B-1 at (P) BB (sf)
-- $7.9 million Class B-2 at (P) B (sf)
The Class A-3, Class A-4, and Class A-5 Notes are exchangeable.
These classes can be exchanged for combinations of initial
exchangeable notes as specified in the offering documents.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 25.75% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The (P) AA (sf),
(P) A (sf), (P) BBB (sf), (P) BB (sf), and (P) B (sf) credit
ratings reflect 19.95%, 14.65%, 10.25%, 7.60%, and 5.75% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The Trust is a securitization of a portfolio of seasoned performing
and reperforming first-lien residential mortgages funded by the
issuance of mortgage-backed notes (the Notes). The Notes are backed
by 2,151 loans with a total principal balance of $424,874,071 as of
the Cut-Off Date (December 31, 2024).
The mortgage loans are approximately 190 months seasoned. As of the
Cut-Off Date, 93.8% of the loans are current (including 2.0%
bankruptcy-performing loans), and 6.2% of the loans are 30 days
delinquent (including one bankruptcy loan) under the Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method. Under the MBA
delinquency method, 49.8% and 79.2% of the mortgage loans have been
zero times 30 days delinquent for the past 24 months and 12 months,
respectively.
The portfolio contains 81.9% modified loans as determined by the
Issuer. Morningstar DBRS considers the modifications happened more
than two years ago for 87.4% of these loans. Within the pool, 650
mortgages have an aggregate non-interest-bearing deferred amount of
$24,962,873, which comprises 5.9% of the total principal balance.
PRET 2025-RPL1 represents the fifth rated securitization of the
seasoned performing and reperforming residential mortgage loans
issued by the Sponsor, Nomura Corporate Funding Americas, LLC (NCFA
or the Sponsor), but the third on the PRET shelf. The Sponsor is
registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and
incorporated in the state of Delaware.
The Mortgage Loan Seller will contribute the loans to the Trust
through Nomura Asset Depositor Company, LLC (the Depositor). As the
Sponsor, NCFA or one of its majority-owned affiliates will acquire
and retain a 5% vertical interest in each class of Notes (other
than the Class R Notes) and the Trust Certificate to satisfy the
credit risk retention requirements under Section 15G of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder.
Selene Finance LP (Selene) services all the loans. There will not
be any advancing of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) on any
mortgages by the Servicer or any other party to the transaction;
however, the Servicer is obligated to make advances in respect of
homeowners association fees in super lien states and, in certain
cases, taxes and insurance as well as reasonable costs and expenses
incurred in the course of servicing and disposing of properties.
The Controlling Holder will have the option to repurchase any
mortgage loan that becomes 90-plus days delinquent or any REO
property at a price equal to the sum of (i) unpaid principal
balance (UPB) plus interest, (ii) any outstanding Post-Cut-Off at
Deferred Amount, and (iii) any Pre-Existing Servicing Advances,
unreimbursed Servicing Advances, or unpaid Servicing Fees with
respect to such Mortgage Loan, as long as the aggregate repurchased
delinquent mortgages and REO properties do not exceed 10.0% of the
aggregate UPB of the Mortgage Loans as of the Cut-Off Date.
On any Payment Date on or after the Payment Date in January 2027,
the Redemption Right Holder will have the option to purchase all
remaining loans and other property of the Issuer at the Redemption
Price. The Redemption Right Holder will be the beneficial owner of
more than 50% the Class XS Notes.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds can be used to cover interest shortfalls on the
Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A-2 and more subordinate P&I
bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds until the more
senior classes are retired.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
RAD CLO 27: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RAD CLO
27, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RAD CLO 27, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
RAD CLO 27, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Irradiant Partners, LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.06, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.5% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.35%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 27, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
RAD CLO 28: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to RAD CLO 28 Ltd./RAD CLO
28 LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Irradiant Partners L.P.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
RAD CLO 28 Ltd./RAD CLO 28 LLC
Class A, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $38.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $10.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.00 million: Not rated
RCKT MORTGAGE 2025-CES1: Fitch Gives 'Bsf' Rating on 5 Tranches
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed notes issued by RCKT Mortgage Trust 2025-CES1 (RCKT
2025-CES1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RCKT Mortgage
Trust 2025-CES1
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A-6 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1A LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-X-1A LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-1B LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-X-1B LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2A LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-X-2A LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-2B LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-X-2B LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1L LT WDsf Withdrawn AAA(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The notes are supported by 6,069 closed-end second lien loans with
a total balance of approximately $535.8 million as of the cutoff
date. The pool consists of closed-end second-lien mortgages
acquired by Woodward Capital Management LLC from Rocket Mortgage,
LLC. Distributions of P&I and loss allocations are based on a
traditional senior-subordinate, sequential structure in which
excess cash flow can be used to repay losses or net weighted
average coupon (WAC). The issuer and dropped all Maryland-located
loans from the pool due to ongoing regulation at the state level
since Fitch published its expected ratings; there was no impact to
bond credit enhancement, expected losses or ratings.
Fitch has withdrawn the expected rating of 'AAA(EXP)sf' for the
previous class A-1L notes as the loan was not funded at close and
is no longer being offered.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): As a result of its
updated view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price
values of this pool as 11.6% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11.7% on a national level as of 2Q24). Affordability is the
worst it has been in decades driven by both high interest rates and
elevated home prices. Home prices have increased 4.3% yoy
nationally as of August 2024, despite modest regional declines, but
are still being supported by limited inventory.
Prime Credit Quality (Positive): The collateral consists of 6,069
loans totaling approximately $535.8 million and seasoned at about
four months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch (one month, per
the transaction documents) — taken as the difference between the
origination date and the cutoff date. The borrowers have a strong
credit profile, including a WA Fitch model FICO score of 741; a
debt-to-income ratio (DTI) of 39.2%; and moderate leverage, with a
sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 77.4%.
Of the pool, 99.1% of the loans are of a primary residence and 0.9%
represent second homes, and 86.8% of loans were originated through
a retail channel. Additionally, 45.7% of loans are designated as
safe-harbor qualified mortgages (SHQMs) and 23.0% are higher-priced
qualified mortgages (HPQMs). Given the 100% loss severity (LS)
assumption, no additional penalties were applied for the HPQM loan
status.
Second-Lien Collateral (Negative): The entire collateral pool
consists of second-lien loans originated by Rocket Mortgage, LLC.
Fitch assumed no recovery and a 100% LS on second-lien loans based
on the historical behavior of second lien loans in economic stress
scenarios. Fitch assumes second-lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first-lien loans. After controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Payment Structure (Positive): The transaction features a
typical sequential payment structure. Principal is used to pay down
the bonds sequentially and losses are allocated reverse
sequentially. Monthly excess cashflow is derived from remaining
amounts after allocation of the interest and principal priority of
payments. These amounts will be applied as principal first to repay
any current and previously allocated cumulative applied realized
loss amounts and then to repay any potential net WAC shortfalls.
The senior classes incorporate a step-up coupon of 1.00% (to the
extent still outstanding) after the 48th payment date.
While Fitch previously analyzed CES transactions using an interest
rate cut, this stress is no longer being applied. Given the lack of
evidence of interest rate modifications being used as a loss
mitigation tactic, the application of the stress was overly
punitive. If this becomes a common form of loss mitigation, or if
certain structures rely too much on excess interest, Fitch may
apply additional sensitivities to test the structure.
180 Day Charge Off Feature (Positive): The servicer can write off
the balance of a loan at 180 days delinquent based on the MBA
delinquency method, but it is not obligated to do so. If the
servicer expects a meaningful recovery in a liquidation scenario,
the Majority Class XS Noteholder may direct the servicer to
continue to monitor the loan and not charge it off. The 180-day
charge-off feature will cause losses to occur sooner while there is
a larger amount of excess interest to protect against losses.
This compares favorably to a delayed liquidation scenario where the
loss occurs later in the life of the deal and less excess is
available. If the loan is not charged off due to a presumed
recovery, this will provide additional benefit to the transaction
above Fitch's expectations. Additionally, subsequent recoveries
realized after the writedown at 180 days' delinquent (excluding
forbearance mortgage or loss mitigation loans) will be passed on to
bondholders as principal.
In higher stress scenarios, Fitch does not expect loan workouts
because less or negative equity will remain. In this situation, the
six-month timeline is reasonable for cashflow analysis. In lower
stresses, there is a higher possibility of charge off not occurring
due to potential recoveries, which would be more positive than
Fitch's analysis assumed.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch's incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, already rated
'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential positive rating
migration for all of the rated classes. Specifically, a 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
class excluding those assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC Diligence, LLC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, regulatory compliance and
property valuation. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to
its analysis: a 5% PD credit to the 25.1% of the pool by loan count
in which diligence was conducted. This adjustment resulted in a
19bps reduction to the 'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
RCKT Mortgage Trust 2025-CES1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+]
for Transaction Parties & Operational Risk due to operational risk
mitigation, which has a positive impact on the credit profile, and
is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SANTANDER DRIVE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Santander Drive Auto Receivables Trust (SDART) 2025-1.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Santander Drive
Auto Receivables
Trust 2025-1
A-1 ST F1+sf New Rating F1+(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral Performance — Stable Credit Quality: SDART 2025-1 is
backed by collateral that is consistent with that of prior SDART
series, with a weighted average (WA) FICO score of 605 and an
internal WA loan funded score (LFS) of 535, both the same as in
2024-5. WA seasoning is 6.8 months, below the recent high for the
platform of 10.6 months in 2024-5. New vehicles total 32.4% of the
pool, up slightly from 30.7% in 2024-5.
In addition, the pool is diverse in terms of vehicle models and
geographic concentrations. The transaction's percentage of
extended-term loans (61+ months) remains elevated at 93.1%, and
greater-than-72-month term loans total 20.2%, up from 18.8% in
2024-5.
Forward-Looking Approach to Derive Rating Case Proxy —
Delinquencies Up, Losses Contained: Fitch considered economic
conditions and future expectations by assessing key macroeconomic
and wholesale market conditions when deriving the series rating
case loss proxy. Fitch used the 2007-2009 and 2015-2018 vintage
ranges to derive the loss proxy for 2025-1, representing
through-the-cycle performance. While performance has deteriorated
for 2022 and 2023 originations, increases in delinquencies have not
fully rolled into losses. Fitch's rating case cumulative net loss
(CNL) proxy for 2025-1 is 15.00%.
Payment Structure — Adequate Credit Enhancement: Initial hard
credit enhancement (CE) totals 42.60%, 31.30%, 21.80%, 10.75%, and
6.15% for classes A, B, C, D, and E, respectively. After a trend in
declining CE over the past several transactions, initial hard CE
increased in 2024-5. However, 2025-1 hard CE is 0.40%, 0.70%, and
0.20% lower for classes A through C, but 0.25% higher for class D,
compared with 2024-5. The 2025-1 structure differs in that it is
the first SDART transaction since 2021 to include class E. Excess
spread is expected to be 9.74% per annum. Loss coverage for each
class of notes is sufficient to cover the respective multiples of
Fitch's rating case CNL proxy of 15.00%.
Operational and Servicing Risks — Consistent
Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: Santander Consumer USA Inc.
(SC) has adequate abilities as the originator, underwriter and
servicer, as evident from historical portfolio and securitization
performance. Fitch rates SC's ultimate parent, Banco Santander,
S.A., 'A-'/Stable/'F2'. Fitch deems SC as capable of servicing this
transaction.
Fitch's base case loss expectation, which does not include a margin
of safety and is not used in Fitch's quantitative analysis to
assign ratings, is 13.00% based on Fitch's "Global Economic Outlook
— December 2024" report and transaction-based forecast
projections.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CNL levels that are higher than the rating case and would likely
result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage levels
available to the notes. In addition, unanticipated declines in
recoveries could also result in lower net loss coverage, which may
make certain note ratings susceptible to potential negative rating
actions depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Therefore, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial rating case CNL and recovery rate
assumptions, as well as by examining the rating implications on all
classes of issued notes. The CNL sensitivity stresses the rating
case CNL proxy to the level necessary to reduce each rating by one
full category to non-investment grade (BBsf) and to 'CCCsf' based
on the break-even loss coverage provided by the CE structure.
Fitch also conducts 1.5x and 2.0x increases to the rating case CNL
proxy, representing both moderate and severe stresses. Fitch
evaluates the impact of stressed recovery rates on an auto loan ABS
structure and rating impact with a 50% haircut. These analyses are
intended to provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of the
notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to rising CE levels and consideration for
potential upgrades. If CNL is 20% less than the projected proxy,
the expected ratings for the subordinate notes could be upgraded by
up to one category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparing or recomputing certain
information with respect to 150 loans from the statistical data
file. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did
not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The concentration of hybrid and electric vehicles of approximately
5.9% did not have an impact on Fitch's ratings analysis or
conclusion on this transaction and has no impact on Fitch's ESG
Relevance Score.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SCULPTOR CLO XXVII: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $19.1MM E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to seven classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Sculptor CLO
XXVII, Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$2,000,000 Class X-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2034
(the "Class X-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$248,000,000 Class A-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034 (the "Class A-1-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$4,000,000 Class A-2A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034 (the "Class A-2A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$40,000,000 Class B-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034 (the "Class B-1-R Notes"), Assigned Aa1 (sf)
US$17,350,000 Class C-1-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034 (the "Class C-1-R Notes"), Assigned A1 (sf)
US$24,300,000 Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$19,100,000 Class E-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Additionally, Moody's have upgraded the following outstanding notes
originally issued by the Issuer on July 14, 2021 (the "Original
Closing Date"):
US$8,000,000 Class B-2 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2034
(the "Class B-2 Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on July
14, 2021 Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$3,250,000 Class C-2 Senior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
due 2034 (the "Class C-2 Notes"), Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously
on July 14, 2021 Assigned A2 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Sculptor Loan Management LP (the "Manager") will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one other class of secured notes and
two classes of subordinated notes, which will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, other changes
to transaction features will occur in connection with the
refinancing including extension of the non-call period; updates to
"Benchmark" provisions; increase in concentration limitation for
Bonds; and addition of CLO's ability to hold Bonds other than
Senior Secured Bonds.
Moody's rating actions on the Class B-2 Notes, and Class C-2 Notes
are primarily a result of the refinancing, which increases excess
spread available as credit enhancement to the rated notes.
Additionally, the Notes benefited from a shortening of the weighted
average life (WAL).
No action was taken on the Class A-2B notes because their expected
loss remains commensurate with their current rating, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $394,746,700
Defaulted par: $3,655,076
Diversity Score: 80
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2752
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.36%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.93%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.59 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B+sf' Rating on Cl. B Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2025-1 (SEMT 2025-1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2025-1
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B1A LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B1X LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B2A LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B2X LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B3 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B5 LT B+sf New Rating B+(EXP)sf
B6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2025-1 (SEMT 2025-1)
as indicated. The certificates are supported by 476 loans with a
total balance of approximately $561.5 million as of the cutoff
date. The pool consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages
acquired by Redwood Residential Acquisition Corp. from various
mortgage originators. Distributions of principal and interest (P&I)
and loss allocations are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure.
Following the publication of the presale and expected ratings, the
issuer notified Fitch of an updated tape which consisted of one
loan drop and updated cutoff balances. In addition, Redwood
provided Fitch with an updated structure to reflect the new
balances as well as the credit enhancement increase from 0.45% to
0.50% on the B5 class. Fitch re-ran both its asset and cash flow
analysis and there were no changes to both the loss feedback and
the expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
476 loans totaling approximately $561.5 million and seasoned at
about three months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted-average
Fitch model FICO score of 778 and 35.8% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio,
and moderate leverage, with an 80.9% sustainable loan-to-value
(sLTV) ratio and 71.7% mark-to-market combined loan-to-value (cLTV)
ratio.
Overall, the pool consists of 93.2% in loans where the borrower
maintains a primary residence, while 6.8% are of a second home;
71.5% of the loans were originated through a retail channel. In
addition, 99.6% of the loans are designated as qualified mortgage
(QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.0% above a long-term sustainable level (versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since the prior
quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices have increased 3.9% yoy nationally as of September 2024
despite modest regional declines, but are still being supported by
limited inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years.
The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a longer
period should losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
After the credit support depletion date, principal will be
distributed sequentially to the senior classes, which is more
beneficial for the super-senior classes (A-9, A-12 and A-18).
SEMT 2025-1 will feature the servicing administrator (RRAC),
following initial reductions in the class A-IO-S strip and
servicing administrator fees, obligated to advance delinquent P&I
to the trust until deemed nonrecoverable. Full advancing of P&I is
a common structural feature across prime transactions in providing
liquidity to the certificates, and, absent the full advancing,
bonds can be vulnerable to missed payments during periods of
adverse performance.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.25%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.1% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Clayton, SitusAMC, and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance, and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction to its loss
analysis. This adjustment resulted in a 24-bp reduction to the
'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
SEMT 2025-1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2025-1 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SIGNAL PEAK 14: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Signal Peak CLO 14
Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 14 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by ORIX Advisers LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Signal Peak CLO 14 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 14 LLC
Class A, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.00 million: Not rated
SILVER POINT 1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Silver
Point CLO 1, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Silver Point
CLO 1, Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 828085AC4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 828085AJ9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-1 828085AE0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-2 828085AL4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 828085AG5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 82808DAA1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB+sf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Silver Point CLO 1, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Silver
Point RR Manager, L.P. The transaction originally closed January
2023 and this will be the first reset. The existing secured notes
will be refinanced in whole on Jan. 21, 2025 from proceeds of the
new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
notes along with the existing subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.93% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 73.56%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Silver Point CLO 1,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
SILVER POINT 1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Silver Point
CLO 1, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$320,000,000 Class A-1-R Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
92.5% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 7.5% of the portfolio may consist of loans that are
not senior secured.
Silver Point RR Manager, L.P. (the Manager) will continue to direct
the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf
of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, and the other
classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to transaction
features will occur in connection with the refinancing. These
include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of the
stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain collateral
quality tests; and changes to the overcollateralization test
levels; and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3097
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.50%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
SUTTONPARK 2021-A: DBRS Keeps BB Rating of D Notes Under Review
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. maintained its Under Review with Negative Implications
(URN) designation on nine credit ratings from four SuttonPark
Structured Settlement transactions.
Debt Rated Rating Action
---------- ------ ------
SuttonPark Structured Settlements (SPSS) 2021-A LLC
Class A Notes AAA (sf) UR-Neg.
Class B Notes A (sf) UR-Neg.
Class C Notes BBB (sf) UR-Neg.
Class D Notes BB (sf) UR-Neg.
SuttonPark Structured Settlements 2011-1 LLC
Class A AAA (sf) UR-Neg.
Class B BBB (sf) UR-Neg.
SuttonPark Structured Settlements 2012-1 LLC
Class A A (sf) UR-Neg.
SuttonPark Structured Settlements 2017-1 LLC
Class A Notes AAA (sf) UR-Neg.
Class B Notes BBB (high) (sf) UR-Neg.
The rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The maintaining of the URN designation is primarily due to the
ongoing servicing transfer to Vervent and the finalization of the
transfer of the lock box accounts to Axos Bank. Morningstar DBRS
will continue to monitor the on-going servicing transfer and
evaluate the impact on collateral performance and collections
available to each transaction to resolve the URN designation.
Morningstar DBRS continues to maintain dialogue with the
restructuring agent to keep apprised of progress and timing of
these operational transfers and collateral performance.
-- There was a steep drop in collections in November for all
transactions, primarily attributed to the migration from the former
lockbox to the replacement lockbox. This is expected to be a
one-off event and collections should stabilize on future payment
dates.
-- The generally high credit quality of annuity providers and
their improved capitalization positions and risk-management
frameworks, which have been enhanced since the global financial
crisis of 2008-09.
-- The transactions' capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
-- The transactions' performance to date with zero or minimal
defaults.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For
Rated Sovereigns - December 2024 Update, published on December 19,
2024. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS's moderate and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
TPR FUNDING 2022-1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class E Advances
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Class A-1 Advances,
the Class A-2 Advances, the Class B Advances, the Class C Advances,
the Class D Advances, and the Class E Advances (together, the
Advances) issued by TPR Funding 2022-1, LLC pursuant to the Loan,
Security and Servicing Agreement, dated December 15, 2022 (the Loan
Agreement), entered into by and among TPR Funding 2022-1, LLC as
the Borrower; Delaware Life Insurance Company as the Servicer;
Capital One, National Association (rated "A" with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) as the Administrative Agent, Hedge Counterparty
and Arranger; Citibank, N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) as Collateral Custodian and Document Custodian;
Virtus Group, LP as Collateral Administrator; and each of the
Lenders and Subordinated Lenders from time to time party thereto:
-- Class A-1 Advances at AA (sf)
-- Class A-2 Advances at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B Advances at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C Advances at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Advances at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Advances at B (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A-1 Advances addresses the timely
payment of interest (other than Interest attributable to Excess
Interest Amounts, as defined in the Loan Agreement) and the
ultimate payment of principal on or before the Facility Maturity
Date (as defined in the Loan Agreement). The credit ratings on the
Class A-2 Advances, the Class B Advances, the Class C Advances, the
Class D Advances, and the Class E Advances address the ultimate
payment of interest (other than Interest attributable to Excess
Interest Amounts, as defined in the Loan Agreement) and the
ultimate payment of principal on or before the Facility Maturity
Date (as defined in the Loan Agreement).
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating action is a result of Morningstar DBRS' annual
review of the transaction performance by applying the "Global
Methodology for Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs" (the CLO
Methodology; November 19, 2024).
The Advances are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of U.S.
middle-market corporate loans. The servicer for TPR Funding 2022-1,
LLC is Delaware Life Insurance Company. Morningstar DBRS considers
Delaware Life Insurance Company to be an acceptable collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) servicer. The Scheduled Revolving Period End
Date is December 15, 2025. The Facility Maturity Date is December
15, 2032.
Morningstar DBRS monitors transaction performance metrics based on
the periodicity of the transaction's reporting. The performance
metrics include Collateral Quality Tests, Coverage Tests,
Concentration Limitations, and Performing Collateral Par. As of
November 15, 2024, the transaction is in compliance with all
performance metrics. The current transaction performance is within
Morningstar DBRS's expectations, which supports the confirmations
on the Advances, as per the Level I surveillance analysis in the
CLO Methodology. No predictive model is utilized in the Level I
surveillance process.
The coverage and collateral quality test reported values and
thresholds, respectively, that Morningstar DBRS reviewed are as
follows:
Collateral Quality Tests
Minimum Weighted Average Spread Test: Subject to Collateral Quality
Matrix (CQM); threshold 5.25%; current 5.62%
Minimum Weighted Average Recovery Rate Test: threshold 51.90%;
current 53.09%
Minimum Diversity Test: Subject to CQM; threshold 20; current 21
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score Test: Subject to CQM; threshold
29.70%; current 26.43%
Coverage Tests
Total Interest Coverage Ratio Test: threshold 150.00%; current
217.90%
Class A-1 Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 142.86%;
current 148.77%
Class A-2 Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 138.15%;
current 148.56%
Class B Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 118.21%;
current 128.56%
Class C Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 113.21%;
current 121.55%
Class D Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 106.68%;
current 112.99%
Class E Overcollateralization Ratio Test: threshold 103.70%;
current 109.00%
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS also considered the following
aspects of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Advances to withstand projected collateral
loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Obligations, subject to the Eligibility Criteria, which
include testing the Concentration Limitations, Collateral Quality
Tests, and Coverage Tests.
(5) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the origination, servicing, and
CLO management capabilities of Delaware Life Insurance Company.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Borrower and the consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS "Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance"
methodology.
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which will consist mostly of senior-secured middle-market
loans; and (2) the expected adequate diversification of the
portfolio of collateral obligations (Diversity Score, matrix
driven). Some challenges were identified: (1) the expected
weighted-average credit quality of the underlying obligors may fall
below investment grade (per the CQM), and the majority may not have
public ratings once purchased; and (2) the underlying collateral
portfolio may be insufficient to redeem the Advances in an Event of
Default.
As of November 15, 2024, the transaction is performing according to
the contractual requirements of the Loan, Security and Servicing
Agreement, and there were no defaults registered in the underlying
portfolio.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that Morningstar
DBRS uses when rating the Advances.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
UBS COMMERCIAL 2017-C6: Fitch Cuts Rating on Two Tranches to Bsf
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded seven and affirmed nine classes of UBS
Commercial Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2017-C6. Following their downgrades, classes
C, D and X-D were assigned Negative Rating Outlooks. The Outlooks
remain Negative for classes A-S, B and X-B.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
UBS 2017-C6
A-4 90276UAW1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 90276UAX9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-BP 90276UAY7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 90276UBC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 90276UAU5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 90276UBD2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 90276UBE0 LT BBBsf Downgrade A-sf
D 90276UAJ0 LT Bsf Downgrade BB-sf
E 90276UAL5 LT CCsf Downgrade B-sf
F 90276UAN1 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
X-A 90276UAZ4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 90276UBB6 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-BP 90276UBA8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-D 90276UAA9 LT Bsf Downgrade BB-sf
X-E 90276UAC5 LT CCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-F 90276UAE1 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss increased to 8% from 6% at Fitch's prior rating action. Eight
loans (25.9% of the pool) were flagged as Fitch Loans Concerns
(FLOCs), including four loans (13.5%) in special servicing.
The downgrades reflect higher pool loss expectations since the
prior rating action, driven primarily by the two specially serviced
office loans, 111 West Jackson (6.2%) and 2U Headquarters (3.9%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for further downgrades
if the sponsors are not able to re-lease recently vacated space at
these properties, the specially serviced loans have extended
workout timelines, or additional FLOCs in the pool, including 20
South Charles Street and Murrieta Plaza, experience continued
performance declines.
Largest Increases in Loss Expectations: The largest increase in
loss since the prior rating action and the second largest
contributor to overall pool loss expectations is the 2U
Headquarters loan, secured by a 309,303-sf suburban office property
in Lanham, Maryland. The loan was transferred to special servicing
in August 2024 due to imminent monetary default.
The sole tenant of the property (2U) filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy in
July 2024 and vacated the property in August 2024, prior to its
scheduled 2028 lease expiration. The property remains 100% vacant.
According to the servicer, the borrower is working to re-lease the
space.. Fitch performed a dark value analysis, which assumed a 25%
vacancy rate and a rental rate of $25 psf, in line with current
market conditions. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 31.5% (prior
to a concentration adjustment) reflects a stressed value of $116
psf.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and the largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is
the 111 West Jackson loan, secured by a 574,878-sf office building
in Chicago, IL. The loan was transferred to special servicing in
May 2023 for imminent monetary default. A receiver was appointed in
February 2024 and continues to operate and lease the property. The
most recently reported property occupancy was 55% as of February
2024, down from 90% at YE 2020 after multiple tenants have either
vacated and downsized.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 26% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a discount to the most recent appraised
value, reflecting a stressed value of $60 psf.
The third largest increase in loss since the prior rating action is
the 20 South Charles Street loan (1.3%), which is secured by a
121,438-sf office building located in Baltimore, MD. The loan
transferred to special servicing in November 2023. As of the
December 2024 remittance reporting, the loan was 90+ days
delinquent.
Occupancy and DSCR have been trending downward since YE 2021
following the loss of several tenants, including the second largest
tenant Baltimore Regional Housing Partnership, Inc (9.8% of NRA)
which vacated at its 2022 lease expiration. YE 2023
servicer-reported occupancy and DSCR were 64% and 1.04x,
respectively, compared with 78% and 1.41x at YE 2021. According to
the servicer, the borrower has listed the property for sale and
evaluating potential buyers.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 36.3% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) reflects the loan's delinquency status, a 10% cap rate
and 10% stress to the YE 2023 NOI.
Increased Credit Enhancement (C/E): As of the December 2024
remittance report, the transaction has been reduced by 29.7% since
issuance. Realized losses to date totaling $2.6 million. Five loans
(8.1%) have been defeased. Interest shortfalls of approximately
$454,000 are impacting non-rated class NR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due
increasing CE and expected continued amortization and loan
repayments, but may occur if deal-level losses increase
significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or are expected to
occur;
- Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes, which have Negative
Outlooks, are possible with prolonged workouts of the specially
serviced office assets, including 111 West Jackson and 2U
Headquarters, and/or increased pool expected losses and limited to
no improvement in class CE, or if interest shortfalls occur;
- Downgrades to the 'AAsf' rated classes could occur with further
value declines for 111 West Jackson and 2U Headquarters, if
performance of the other FLOCs deteriorates further or if more
loans than expected default at or prior to maturity;
- Downgrades for classes rated in the 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' categories
are likely with additional deterioration in performance of the
FLOCs, if additional loans or with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs;
- Downgrades to the 'CCsf' and 'Csf' rated classes would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or
default, or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to the 'AAsf' rated classes may be possible with
significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled
with stable to improved pool-level loss expectations and improved
performance or valuations on the FLOCs. This includes 111 West
Jackson, 2U Headquarters, 20 South Charles Street and Murrieta
Plaza.
- Upgrades to 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' rated categories could occur with
performance improvements of the aforementioned FLOCs as well as
better recovery prospects of the loans in special servicing,
including 111 West Jackson, 2U Headquarters and 20 South Charles
Street;
- Upgrades to the distressed 'CCsf' and 'Csf' rated classes are not
expected, but possible with better-than-expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
UBS-BAMLL TRUST 2012-WRM: S&P Cuts Cl. E Certs Rating to 'D (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on the class E and X-B
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from UBS-BAMLL Trust
2012-WRM, a U.S. CMBS transaction, to 'D (sf)' and simultaneously
withdrew the ratings. At the same time, S&P discontinued its
ratings on classes A, B, C, D, and X-A from the transaction.
Rating Actions
According to the Jan. 13, 2025, trustee remittance report, the
class E certificates experienced $50,000 in principal losses
following the resolution of the sole remaining loan, the specially
serviced Westfield MainPlace ($140.00 million). Classes A, B, C,
and D were repaid in full, while class E experienced a 0.4% loss on
its original class balance. According to the special servicer,
KeyBank Real Estate Capital, the borrower remitted $140.52 million
to pay the loan's accrued interest to date and principal. The
$139.95 million of principal proceeds were distributed to the
bondholders, and the resulting $50,000 shortfall was reported as
realized losses on class E. According to KeyBank, the principal
losses were the result of a $50,000 holdback for precautionary
reasons to cover any future, unexpected expenses. KeyBank has
indicated that it will reassess the holdback in 60 days and may
subsequently release those funds. Because of the uncertainty in
timing and whether the funds would be released in full, S&P has
lowered its rating on class E to 'D (sf)' at this time and
simultaneously withdrawn the rating.
S&P said, "We also lowered our rating on the class X-B
interest-only (IO) certificates to 'D (sf)' and simultaneously
withdrew the rating based on our criteria for rating IO securities,
in which the rating on the IO security would not be higher than
that of the lowest-rated reference class. Class X-B's notional
amount references the balances of classes B, C, D, and E.
"Since classes A, B, C, and D were repaid in full according to the
January 2025 trustee remittance report, we also discontinued our
ratings on these classes. Further, we discontinued our rating on
the class X-A IO certificates based on our criteria for rating IO
securities. The notional amount of class X-A references class A."
Ratings Lowered And Withdrawn
UBS-BAMLL Trust 2012-WRM
Class E to 'D (sf)' (interim) from 'CCC (sf)'
Class E to not rated from 'D (sf)'
Class X-B to 'D (sf)' (interim) from 'CCC (sf)'
Class X-B to not rated from 'D (sf)'
Ratings Discontinued
UBS-BAMLL Trust 2012-WRM
Class A to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class B to not rated from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class C to not rated from 'B+ (sf)'
Class D to not rated from 'CCC (sf)'
Class X-A to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
VOYA CLO 2020-3: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class E-RR Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-RR, B-RR,
C-RR, D-1-RR, D-2-RR, and E-RR replacement debt from Voya CLO
2020-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2020-3 LLC, a CLO managed by Voya Alternative
Asset Management LLC that was originally issued in November 2020
and underwent a second refinancing on Oct. 20, 2021. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full on the Jan. 21, 2025,
refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing and additional subordinated notes) were extended to
Jan. 20, 2038.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Jan. 21, 2025
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will remain at
$400 million. There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 21, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- An additional $14.7 million of subordinated notes was issued on
the refinancing date.
-- The transaction adopted benchmark replacement language and was
updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Voya CLO 2020-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2020-3 LLC
Class A-RR, $256.0 million: AAA(sf)
Class B-RR, $48.0 million: AA(sf)
Class C-RR (deferrable), $24.0 million: A(sf)
Class D-1-RR (deferrable), $24.0 million: BBB-(sf)
Class D-2-RR (deferrable), $3.5 million: BBB-(sf)
Class E-RR (deferrable), $12.5 million: BB-(sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Voya CLO 2020-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2020-3 LLC
Class A-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R (deferrable) to not rated from 'A(sf)'
Class D-R (deferrable) to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R (deferrable) to not rated from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Voya CLO 2020-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2020-3 LLC
Subordinated notes, $47.4 million: Not rated
WELLS FARGO 2014-LC16: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class C Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the remaining classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-LC16
issued by Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2014-LC16 as
follows:
-- Class B at BB (sf)
-- Class C at C (sf)
The trend on Class B remains Negative. Class C doesn't carry a
trend as this class has a credit rating that does not typically
carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit
ratings.
The transaction is in wind down, with five matured loans remaining,
all of which are specially serviced. The credit rating actions
reflect concerns around the ultimate recoverability of the
remaining loans and the increased propensity for interest
shortfalls to accumulate, affecting the remaining Morningstar
DBRS-rated certificates. Morningstar DBRS' analysis considered
liquidation scenarios for all of the remaining loans to determine
the recoverability of the remaining bonds and determined that
losses will likely be contained to Class C. However, given the
adverse selection and concentration of defaulted loans, Morningstar
DBRS' credit ratings reflect the high credit risk of the remaining
loans.
The two largest remaining loans, Harlequin Plaza (Prospectus ID#7;
42.3% of the pool) and Orchard Falls (Prospectus ID#13; 24.7% of
the pool) are secured by suburban Denver office properties that
have faced significant value declines since issuance of more than
60% and 80%, respectively. The Harlequin Plaza loan consists of two
low-rise buildings comprising 329,926 square feet (sf). Despite the
year-end (YE) 2023 debt service coverage ratio of 1.35 times (x),
the loan transferred to special servicing in May 2024 because of
imminent monetary default as a result of the borrower being unable
to repay the loan at its June 2024 maturity. As of March 2024,
property occupancy had declined to 72% from 86% as of YE2022. The
most recent appraised value of $17.2 million, dated June 2024,
represents a substantial decline from the issuance appraised value
of $46.6 million, and implies a current loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
of 162.8%. According to updates from the servicer, a foreclosure
sale is scheduled for February 2025. Based on a liquidation
scenario that considered a haircut to the 2024 appraisal,
Morningstar DBRS expects a loss severity for this loan in excess of
50%.
According to servicer updates, the 146,276-sf Orchard Falls loan
was 90% occupied as of February 2024, unchanged from the September
2023 occupancy rate when the servicer last reported a debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) figure of 0.90x. Morningstar DBRS also notes
that three of the five largest tenants, representing 41.0% of net
rentable area, have upcoming lease expiration dates in 2025, which
suggests there's a high likelihood that DSCR will likely fall below
breakeven in the near term. The loan transferred to special
servicing in March 2024 because of imminent monetary default in
advance of its May 2024 maturity date. The most recent appraised
value of $4.8 million, dated June 2024, represents a significant
decline from the issuance appraised value of $26.1 million, and
implies a current loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 343.9%. The lender
is in negotiations with the borrower while also dual-tracking other
remedy options. Based on a liquidation scenario that considered a
haircut to the 2024 appraisal, Morningstar DBRS expects a loss
severity for this loan of nearly 80%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ZAYO ISSUER 2025-1: Fitch Gives 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has issued a presale report for Zayo Issuer, LLC,
Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes, Series 2025-1. Fitch expects
to rate the transaction as follows:
- $44.0 million(a) 2025-1 class A-1-L 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $1,022.5 million 2025-1 class A-2 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $164.9 million 2025-1 class B 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $230.9 million 2025-1 class C 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $77,000,000(b) series 2025-1, class R.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Zayo Issuer, LLC,
Secured Fiber
Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2025-1
A-1-L LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
(a) This note is a liquidity funding note that can be drawn for the
purpose of funding liquidity funding advances subject to the
satisfaction of certain conditions. The balance of the note will be
$0 at issuance and is not counted when calculating debt/Fitch NCF
ratio.
(b) Horizontal credit risk retention interest representing 5% of
the 2025-1 notes.
Transaction Summary
Zayo Issuer, LLC, Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes, Series
2025-1 is a securitization of contract payments derived from an
existing enterprise fiber network. Collateral assets include
conduits, cables, network-level equipment, access rights, customer
contracts and transaction accounts. Debt is secured by net cash
flow (NCF) from operations and benefits from a perfected security
interest in the securitized assets.
The collateral network consists of the sponsor's enterprise fiber
network of approximately 28,000 fiber route miles (FRM) that serves
2,245 on-net facilities across 11 states and Washington D.C. in the
northeast region of the U.S. The network supports 12,264 contracts
that provide lit and dark data transport, at 75.5% of monthly
recurring revenue (MRR) in October 2024, as well as lit fiber
connectivity services (24.5%).
The expected ratings reflect Fitch's structured finance analysis of
cash flow from the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic
network, rather than an assessment of the corporate default risk of
the parent, Zayo Group, LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: The pool's Fitch NCF is $131.9 million,
implying a 15.6% haircut to issuer NCF. The debt multiple relative
to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 10.8x, compared with
debt/issuer NCF leverage of 9.1x.
Based on the Fitch NCF and assumed annual revenue net cash flow
growth of 2.0%, and following the transaction's anticipated
repayment date (ARD), the notes would be repaid 18.4 years from
closing.
Credit Risk Factors: The major factors affecting Fitch's
determination of cash flow and maximum potential leverage include
the high quality of the underlying collateral networks, low
historical churn, the creditworthiness of contract counterparties,
market position, market diversity, capability of the operator and
the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect
long-term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of
this transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities
have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology, rendering obsolete the current transmission
of data through fiber optic cables, will be developed. Fiber optic
cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable means to
transmit information, and data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow because of higher expenses, customer churn,
declining contract rates or the development of an alternative
technology for the transmission of data could lead to downgrades.
Fitch's base case NCF was 15.6% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of MPL: class A-2
from 'A-sf' to 'BBB-sf'; class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'BB+sf'; class C
from 'BB-sf' to 'B-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Increasing cash flow from rate increases, additional customers, or
contract amendments could lead to upgrades.
A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings based
on Fitch's determination of MPL: class A-2 from 'A-sf' to 'Asf';
class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'BBBsf'; class C from 'BB-sf' to 'BBsf'.
Upgrades, however, are unlikely given the issuer's ability to issue
additional notes pari passu notes. In addition, the senior classes
are capped in the 'Asf' category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15G (Form 15G) as
prepared by FTI Consulting, Inc. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15G focused on a comparison of certain
characteristics with respect to the portfolio of fiber assets and
related sample of customer agreements in the data file. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis, and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on 8 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of eight bonds from four
US residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by
subprime mortgages issued by RAMP.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: RAMP Series 2005-EFC3 Trust
Cl. M-7, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 28, 2017 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2005-RS7 Trust
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 20, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2005-RS8 Trust
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 20, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2006-EFC1 Trust
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised expectation of
loss-given-default for each bond.
The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of
the related pools, and an increase in credit enhancement available
to the bonds. Credit enhancement grew by 10.5% for each of the
upgraded bonds over the past 12 months.
The rating upgrades also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating upgrade have either
incurred a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or
the bond is currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized,
sometimes reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No action were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds From 11 US RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 13 bonds from 11 US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by second
lien mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2005-SL1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-SL1
Cl. A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-SL2
Cl. A, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: First Franklin Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-FFA
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 20, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2006-S1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2006-S2
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Home Equity Mortgage Trust 2006-2
Cl. 1A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-A
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 2, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: MASTR Second Lien Trust 2005-1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 23, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: MASTR Second Lien Trust 2006-1
Cl. A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 30, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: New Century Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2006-S1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2008 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. A-2a, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2008
Downgraded to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 72 Classes From Eight US RMBS Deal
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 72 ratings from eight
U.S. RMBS transactions issued between 2003 and 2007. The review
yielded six upgrades, 18 withdrawals, and 48 affirmations.
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://tinyurl.com/mve653s7
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by its projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics and their potential effects on certain classes.
Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance or delinquency trends;
-- An increase or decrease in available credit support;
-- Available subordination and/or under-collateralization;
-- Expected duration;
-- A small loan count;
-- Tail risk;
-- Payment priority;
-- Historical and/or outstanding missed interest payments or
interest shortfalls; and
-- Principal write-downs.
Rating Actions
S&P said, "The rating changes reflect our view regarding the
associated transaction-specific collateral performance, structural
characteristics, and/or the application of specific criteria
appropriate for these classes.
"The upgrades primarily reflect the classes' increased credit
support. As a result, the upgrades reflect the classes' ability to
withstand a higher level of projected losses than we had previously
anticipated.
"The rating affirmations reflect our view that our projected credit
support, collateral performance, and credit-related reductions in
interest on these classes have remained relatively consistent with
our prior projections.
"The withdrawal of our ratings on 18 classes from six transactions
is due to the small remaining loan count on the related structure.
Once a pool has declined to a de minimis amount, we believe there
is a high degree of credit instability that is incompatible with
any rating level."
[] Fitch Takes Various Action on College Loan Trust I Indentures
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Takes Various Actions on College Loan Trust I - 2003
Indenture of Trust (2002) Related Trusts
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the class A notes for College Loan trust
(CLC) I 2002-1, 2002-2, 2003-1, 2006-1 and 2007-2 at their current
level, and the Rating Outlooks remain Stable.
Fitch downgraded the class B notes for 2002-1, 2002-2, 2003-1, to
'BBsf' from 'BBBsf' and Rating Outlooks remain Negative. Fitch also
downgraded the class B notes for 2004-1 and 2005-1 to 'CCCsf' from
'BBsf' and 2007-2 class B notes to 'CCCsf' from 'Bsf'.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2003-1
A-2 194262BM2 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-3 194262BN0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-4 194262BP5 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-5 194262BQ3 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-6 194262BR1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-8 194262BT7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B-1 194262BW0 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2006-1
A-7A 194262CW9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-7B 194262CX7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2005-1
B-1 194262CM1 LT CCCsf Downgrade BBsf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2002-2
A-21 194262AX9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-22 194262AY7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-24 194262BA8 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-25 194262BB6 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-26 194262BC4 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-29 194262BF7 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B-4 194262BK6 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2004-1
B-1 194262CF6 LT CCCsf Downgrade BBsf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2007-2
A-10 194262DH1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B-1 194262DN8 LT CCCsf Downgrade Bsf
College Loan Trust I –
Amended and Restated
2003 Indenture of
Trust (2002) 2002-1
A-4 194262AD3 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B-1 194262AK7 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
Transaction Summary
The class A notes passed all credit stresses at 'AA+sf' in Fitch's
cash flow modeling and present low maturity risk.
For the 2002-1, 2002-2 and 2003-1 class B notes, the downgrade to
'Bsf' from 'BB'sf' reflects the persistent performance
deterioration since prior review, displaying an increase in
maturity and credit risk. Rating Outlook remains Negative as Fitch
expects further deterioration in the near term.
For the 2004-1 and2005-1 class B notes, the downgrade to 'CCCsf'
from 'BBsf' and from 'Bsf' to 'CCCsf' for 2007-2 class B note
reflects the observed undercollateralization with lower parities
and deteriorated performance.
The model output reflects persistent performance deterioration
since Fitch's last review due to an overall higher interest rate
environment and negative excess spread that limits their ability to
absorb continued losses.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign Risk: The trust collateral comprises 100% Federal
Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans with guaranties
provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the
U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and
accrued interest. The U.S. sovereign rating is currently
'AA+'/Outlook Stable.
Collateral Performance: Based on transaction-specific performance
to date, Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 15.25% under
the base case scenario and a default rate of 45.75% under the 'AAA'
credit stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate. Fitch is maintaining the sustainable
constant default rate (sCDR) of 3.00% and the sustainable constant
prepayment rate (sCPR; voluntary and involuntary prepayments) at
10.00% in cash flow modelling. Fitch applies the standard default
timing curve in its credit stress cash flow analysis.
The claim reject rate is assumed to be 0.25% in the base case and
2.00% in the 'AAA' case. The TTM levels of deferment, forbearance
and income-based repayment (IBR; prior to adjustment) are 3.14%
(3.22% at Dec. 31, 2023), 4.87% (5.06%) and 26.06% (20.75%),
respectively. These assumptions are used as the starting point in
cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are
modelled as per criteria. The 31-60 DPD and the 91-120 DPD have
decreased from the last year review and are currently 2.68% and
0.91%, compared to 2.97% and 1.18% at Dec. 31, 2023, respectively.
The borrower benefit is approximately 0.09%, based on information
provided by the sponsor.
Basis and Interest Rate Risk: Basis risk for these transactions
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for SAP and the securities. Fitch applies its standard
basis and interest rate stresses to these transaction as per
criteria.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by
overcollateralization, excess spread, and for the class A notes,
subordination provided by the class B notes. As of the October 2024
distribution date, the reported total parity/asset percentage
declined year over year to 98.32% from 100.01%. Liquidity support
is provided by a reserve account maintained at the greater of 0.75%
of the note balance and $3 million. The transaction will release
cash when the reported total and senior parity rations are at least
100.50% and 107.00%, respectively, and the reported
overcollateralization amount is at least $5 million.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by
Nelnet Inc., (Nelnet). Fitch believes Nelnet to be an adequate
servicer due to its extensive track record as one of the largest
servicers of FFELP loans.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
'AAAsf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the Department of Education. Aside from the U.S.
sovereign rating, defaults, basis risk and loan extension risk
account for the majority of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan
transactions.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transactions face when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress
sensitivity analysis by increasing or decreasing key assumptions by
25% and 50% over the base case. The credit stress sensitivity is
viewed by stressing both the base case default rate and the basis
spread. The maturity stress sensitivity is viewed by stressing
remaining term, IBR usage and prepayments. The results below should
only be considered as one potential outcome, as the transaction is
exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors and should not be used as
an indicator of possible future performance.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2002-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2002-2
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2003-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2004-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Default increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2005-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Default increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class B 'CCCsf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2006-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'AA+sf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf';
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2007-2
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf', class B 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the 'AA+sf' rated tranches of notes as they are at their highest
possible ratings.
Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress sensitivity analysis by
increasing or decreasing key assumptions by 25% over the base case.
The credit stress sensitivity is viewed by decreasing both the base
case default rate and the basis spread. The maturity stress
sensitivity is viewed by decreasing remaining term and IBR usage
and increasing prepayments. The results should only be considered
as one potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors and should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2002-1
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are at their highest possible current
and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'BBsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf.'
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2002-2
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are at their highest possible current
and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'BBsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf'.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2003-1
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are at their highest possible current
and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'BBsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf'.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2004-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Bsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf'.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2005-1
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Bsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf'.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2006-1
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are at their highest possible current
and model-implied ratings.
College Loan Trust I - Amended and Restated 2003 Indenture of Trust
2007-2
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are at their highest possible current
and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'CCCsf';
Maturity Stress Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'CCCsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 11 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of five bonds and
downgraded the ratings of six bonds from four US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A, option ARM,
and subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Ameriquest Mortgage Securities Inc., Series 2005-R11
Cl. M-3, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 18, 2016
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2019
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2019 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 13, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2003-AC5
Cl. A-3, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2015
Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. A-4*, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2015
Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Mortgage Funding Trust 2006-AR2
Cl. I-A-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 3, 2024
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 7, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR7
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. Grantor Trust A-1B, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr
11, 2024 Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 11, 2024 Downgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectations for each bond.
The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of
the related pools, and an increase in credit enhancement available
to the bonds. The credit enhancement since 12 months ago has grown,
on average, by 10% for the tranches upgraded. Moody's analysis also
reflects the potential for collateral volatility given the number
of deal-level and macro factors that can impact collateral
performance, the potential impact of any collateral volatility on
the model output, and the ultimate size or any incurred and
projected loss.
The rating downgrades of Class M-3 and M-4 issued by Ameriquest
Mortgage Securities Inc., Series 2005-R11 reflect outstanding
interest shortfalls and the weak interest recoupment mechanism. The
downgrade of Class A-3 issued by Bear Stearns Asset-Backed
Securities Trust 2003-AC5 is due to weak interest recoupment
mechanism. Any missed interest payments on these bonds will likely
result in a permanent interest loss. Unpaid interest owed to bonds
with weak interest recoupment mechanisms are reimbursed
sequentially based on bond priority, from excess interest, if
available, and often only after the overcollateralization has built
to a pre-specified target amount. In transactions where
overcollateralization has already been reduced or depleted due to
poor performance, any such missed interest payments to these bonds
is unlikely to be repaid. The size and length of the outstanding
interest shortfalls were considered in Moody's analysis.
The rating downgrade of Class A-4, an interest only bond from Bear
Stearns Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2003-AC5, reflects the
updated performance of the underlying collateral and bond.
The rating downgrade of Class I-A-1 issued by Bear Stearns Mortgage
Funding Trust 2006-AR2 is the result of missed interest that is
unlikely to be recouped. The bond has incurred historical principal
losses but subsequently recouped those losses, and as a result,
missed interest on principal for those periods will not be
recouped.
The rating downgrade of Class Grantor Trust A-1B issued by
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR7 is due to
outstanding interest shortfalls and the uncertainty of whether
those shortfalls will be reimbursed. The bond has a strong
reimbursement mechanism to recoup missed interest before principal
is paid to the subordinate bonds. However, the shortfall can only
be reimbursed with the excess of funds that flow through to the
grantor trust fund from the underlying bond, which has been
insufficient to repay the shortfall. Moody's analysis has
considered the size and length of the outstanding interest
shortfall, as well as Moody's expectation about when the shortfall
will be recouped..
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
*********
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