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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, June 8, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 158
Headlines
ALESCO PREFERRED IV: Moody's Ups Rating on $5MM Ser. I Notes to B1
AMSR 2025-SFR1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on 2 Classes
ANCHOR MORTGAGE 2025-RTL1: DBRS Gives (P) B(low) Rating on M2 Notes
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 3: Moody's Ups Rating on $38MM E-R Notes From Ba3
APIDOS CLO LIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
APIDOS CLO LIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Cl. F Notes
ARBOR REALTY 2025-BTR1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on G Notes
ARDN 2025-ARCP: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
ASHFORD HOSPITALITY 2018-ASHF: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on E Certs
AVIS BUDGET 2023-4: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2023-6: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2023-8: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2025-1: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2025-2: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
BAIN CAPITAL 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
BAMLL 2024-NASH: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class E Certs
BAMLL COMMERCIAL 2016-ISQR: DBRS Confirms B Rating on XB Certs
BANK 2025-BNK50: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class JRR Certs
BARINGS CLO 2023-I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2025-5C34: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on G-RR Certs
BLACKROCK MT. XV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
BREAN ASSET 2025-RM11: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class M5 Notes
BRIDGECREST LENDING 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
BRYANT PARK 2023-20: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
BSPDF 2025-FL2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class H Notes
BSTN COMMERCIAL 2025-1C: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to HRR Certs
BX TRUST 2019-IMC: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on Class G Certs
CAFL 2025-RRTL1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class M2 Notes
CARLYLE GLOBAL 2013-1: Moody's Ups Rating on $27MM D-R Notes to Ba3
CARVANA AUTO 2025-P2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+(sf) Rating on F Notes
CFMT 2025-AB3: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class M5 Notes
CHASE HOME 2025-5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
CHASE HOME 2025-5: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Debt
CHASE HOME 2025-6: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
CHASE HOME 2025-6: Fitch Assigns B+sf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
CIFC FUNDING 2025-III: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2015-GC33: DBRS Cuts Rating on E Certs to C
CITIGROUP MORTGAGE 2025-3: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to B-5 Certs
COLT 2025-5: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B-2 Certs
COMM 2014-LC17: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class G Certs
COMM 2015-PC1: DBRS Cuts Class X-C Certs Rating to BB
COMM 2016-667M: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Certs
COMM 2019-GC44: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Certs to 'BBsf'
CPS AUTO 2025-B: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
CRIBS MORTGAGE 2025-RTL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on M2 Notes
CSAIL 2015-C2: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
CSAIL 2016-C7: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Notes to 'Bsf'
DBSG 2024-ALTA: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on HRR Certs
DRYDEN 55 CLO: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
DWIGHT 2025-FL1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Three Tranches
ELMWOOD CLO 41: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
FIGRE TRUST 2025-HE3: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F Notes
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-4: S&P Lowers Cl. E Notes Rating to CCC (sf)
GALAXY 31: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
GCAT 2025-NQM2: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
GOLUB CAPITAL 66(B): Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2013-PEMB: S&P Affirms CCC (sf) Rating on Cl. D Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2015-GC28: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2015-GS1: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Two Tranches
GS MORTGAGE 2017-GS6: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to BB-sf
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ5: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
GSCG TRUST 2019-600C: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 7 Classes
GSMS TRUST 2024-FAIR: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class F Certs
HILTON USA 2016-HHV: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class F Certs
HIT 2022-HI32: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
HMH TRUST 2017-NSS: DBRS Confirms Csf Rating on 4 Tranches
HOMES 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns Prelim B(sf) Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
HORIZON AIRCRAFT III: Fitch Hikes Rating on Class B Notes to 'BBsf'
ICG US CLO 2016-1: S&P Lowers Class D-RR Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
IP 2025-IP: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on Class F Certs
IVY HILL XX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
JP MORGAN 2025-4: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-4: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-5MPR: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-LTV1: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Notes
JP MORGAN 2025-NQM2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-2 Certs
JPMDB COMMERCIAL 2017-C5: Fitch Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Bsf
KKR CLO 9: Moody's Cuts Rating on $27.9MM Class E-R Notes to B1
KODIAK CLO II: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches From Ba3
KSL TRUST 2025-MAK: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on Cl. G Certs
LAQ 2023-LAQ MORTGAGE: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+(sf)'
LENDMARK FUNDING 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on E Notes
MARBLE POINT XXII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $20.25MM E Notes to B1
MARINER FINANCE 2025-A: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
MARKET STREET I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MF1 2025-FL19: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Three Tranches
MFA 2025-NQM2: Fitch Gives 'B-sf' Rating on Class B2 Certificates
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-ALTM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-C27: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-MS1: DBRS Cuts Class F Certs Rating to C
MORGAN STANLEY 2016-C28: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Bsf
MORGAN STANLEY 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B Rating on Class B-2 Certs
MPOWER EDUCATION 2024-A: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on C Notes
NCMF TRUST 2025-MFS: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. F Certs
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Moody's Gives (P)B3 Rating to $250,000 F Notes
NYC COMMERCIAL 2025-1155: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on F Certs
OAKTREE CLO 2025-30: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
OCP CLO 2025-43: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
PALMER SQUARE 2025-2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
POINT 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class B2 Notes
POINT SECURITIZATION 2025-1: DBRS Gives (P) B(high) on B-2 Notes
PREFERRED TERM XXV: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Caa1
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) on B5 Certs
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J2: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-5 Certs
ROCKFORD TOWER 2022-2: Fitch Affirms BB+sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
SMB PRIVATE 2024-D: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
TOWD POINT 2025-CES1: DBRS Confirms Provisional B(low) on B2 Notes
TRICOLOR AUTO 2025-2: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB' Rating on Cl. E Notes
TRINITAS CLO XXVI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
TROPIC CDO V: Moody's Ups Rating on $51MM Class A-2L Notes to Ba2
TX TRUST 2024-HOU: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class HRR Certs
UBSCM 2018-NYCH: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
VENTURE 47: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
VMC FINANCE 2025-PV2: Fitch Gives 'B-sf' Rating on Class G Notes
VOYA CLO 2014-2: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on $23MM Cl. D-R Notes
VOYA CLO 2015-1: Moody's Affirms Ca Rating on $13MM Cl. E-R Notes
WELLS FARGO 2015-C31: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class XD Certs
WELLS FARGO 2015-SG1: DBRS Cuts Class D Certs Rating to B
WELLS FARGO 2016-BNK1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. H-RR Certs
[] DBRS Reviews 127 Classes in 14 US RMBS Transactions
[] DBRS Reviews 447 Classes From 14 US RMBS Transactions
[] Fitch Upgrades 8 Classes From 12 National Collegiate Trusts
[] Moody's Takes Action on 14 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 25 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 33 Bonds from 4 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 39 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 41 Bonds from 22 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 48 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 56 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 70 Bonds From 14 US RMBS Deals
[] S&P Takes Various Actions on 260 Classes From 34 US RMBS Deals
*********
ALESCO PREFERRED IV: Moody's Ups Rating on $5MM Ser. I Notes to B1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by ALESCO Preferred Funding IV, Ltd.:
US$63,000,000 Class A-2 Second Priority Senior Secured Floating
Rate Notes due 2034 (current rated balance $46,657,620.88),
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on February 10, 2020 Upgraded to
Aa2 (sf)
US$7,000,000 Class A-3 Second Priority Senior Secured
Fixed/Floating Rate Notes due 2034 (current rated balance
$5,184,180.10), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on February 10,
2020 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
US$5,000,000 Series I Combination Notes due 2034 (current rated
balance $1,397,639), Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on February
10, 2017 Upgraded to B3 (sf)
ALESCO Preferred Funding IV, Ltd., issued in May 2004, is a
collateralized debt obligation (CDO) backed mainly by a portfolio
of bank trust preferred securities (TruPS).
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily a result of the ongoing
deleveraging of the Class A-2 notes and Class A-3 notes, which are
pari passu, and the corresponding increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) levels.
The Series I Combination notes have benefitted from ongoing
reduction in Combination Notes Rated Balances. The Series I
Combination Notes Rated Balances have decreased by 8.4% or $127.9
thousand, since May 2024.
The Class A-1 notes have paid off in full and the Class A-2 and A-3
notes have paid down by approximately 26% each, or $16.3 million
and $1.8 million respectively, since May 2024.
Based on Moody's calculations, the OC ratio for both Class A-2 and
Class A-3 notes, which are pari passu, have improved to 269.6% from
May 2024 levels of 220.0%. The Class A-2 notes and Class A-3 notes
will continue to benefit from the diversion of excess interest and
the use of proceeds from repayments of any assets in the collateral
pool.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodology and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $139.8 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $38.8 million
Weighted average default probability: 6.60% (implying a WARF of
854)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 10.0%.
Moody's rating of the Combination Securities addresses only the
ultimate receipt of the Combination Securities Rated Balance by the
holders of the Combination Securities. Moody's rating of the
Combination Securities does not address any other payments or
additional amounts that a holder of the Combination Securities may
receive pursuant to the underlying documents.
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios include, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
No actions were taken on the Class B-1, Class B-2 and Class B-3
notes because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CDO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc⢠or credit
estimates. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
AMSR 2025-SFR1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on 2 Classes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Single-Family Rental Pass-Through Certificates (the Certificates)
issued by AMSR 2025-SFR1 Trust:
-- $228.5 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $40.1 million Class B at AA (sf)
-- $31.5 million Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- $44.3 million Class D at BBB (sf)
-- $13.5 million Class E1 at BBB (sf)
-- $18.8 million Class E2 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $15.0 million Class F1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $16.9 million Class F2 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $16.9 million Class F3 at BB (low) (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A certificates reflects
53.89% of credit enhancement provided by subordinate certificates.
The AA (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (high) (sf)
and BB (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 45.81%, 39.45%, 27.78%,
23.99%, 20.96% and 14.14%, respectively, of credit enhancement.
The AMSR 2025-SFR1 certificates are supported by the income streams
and values from 1,659 rental properties. The properties are
distributed across 14 states and 37 metropolitan statistical areas
(MSAs) in the U.S. Morningstar DBRS maps an MSA based on the ZIP
code provided in the data tape, which may result in different MSA
stratifications than those provided in offering documents. As
measured by BPO value, 67.9% of the portfolio is concentrated in
three states: Florida (26.9%), Georgia (22.2%), and North Carolina
(18.8%). The average BPO value is $301,754. The average age of the
properties is roughly 34 years as of the cut-off date. The majority
of the properties have three or more bedrooms. The certificates
represent a beneficial ownership in an approximately five-year,
fixed-rate, interest-only loan with an initial aggregate principal
balance of approximately $495.6 million.
Morningstar DBRS finalized its provisional credit ratings for each
class of certificates by performing a quantitative and qualitative
collateral, structural, and legal analysis. This analysis uses
Morningstar DBRS' single-family rental subordination analytical
tool and is based on Morningstar DBRS' published criteria. (For
more details, see https://dbrs.morningstar.com). Morningstar DBRS
developed property-level stresses for the analysis of single-family
rental assets. Morningstar DBRS finalized its provisional credit
ratings to each class based on the level of stresses each class can
withstand and whether such stresses are commensurate with the
applicable credit rating level. Morningstar DBRS' analysis includes
estimated base-case net cash flows (NCFs) by evaluating the gross
rent, concession, vacancy, operating expenses, and capital
expenditure (capex) data. The Morningstar DBRS NCF analysis
resulted in a minimum debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of higher
than 1.0 times (x). (For more details, see the Morningstar DBRS'
Analysis section of the related presale report.)
Furthermore, Morningstar DBRS reviewed the third-party participants
in the transaction, including the property manager, servicer, and
special servicer. These transaction parties are acceptable to
Morningstar DBRS.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ANCHOR MORTGAGE 2025-RTL1: DBRS Gives (P) B(low) Rating on M2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RTL1 (the Notes) to be issued by
Anchor Mortgage Trust 2025-RTL1 (the Issuer) as follows:
-- $183.4 million Class A1 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class A2 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $19.0 million Class M1 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $18.1 million Class M2 at (P) B (low) (sf)
The (P) A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects 26.65% of credit
enhancement (CE) provided by the subordinated notes and
overcollateralization. The (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB (low) (sf),
and (P) B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 19.85%, 12.25%, and
5.00% of CE, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a two-year revolving
portfolio of residential transition loans (RTLs) funded by the
issuance of the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RTL1 (the
Notes). As of the Initial Cut-Off Date, the Notes are backed by
-- 191 mortgage loans with a total unpaid principal balance (UPB)
of approximately $227,610,880
-- Approximately $22,389,120 in the Accumulation Account.
-- Approximately $1,280,222 in the Pre-funding Interest Account.
Additional RTLs may be added to the revolving portfolio on future
additional transfer dates, subject to the transaction's eligibility
criteria.
ANCHR 2025-RTL1 represents the 3rd RTL securitization issued from
the ANCHR shelf. Founded in 1998 and headquartered in Thousand
Oaks, California, Anchor Loans is a business purpose lender that
provides financing to primarily experienced real estate investors
engaged in acquiring, rehabilitating, and either reselling or
holding for investment purposes residential properties.
The revolving portfolio consists of first-lien, fixed-rate,
interest-only (IO) balloon RTL with original terms to maturity
primarily of 12 to 24 months. The loans may include extension
options, which can lengthen maturities beyond the original terms.
The characteristics of the revolving pool will be subject to
eligibility criteria specified in the transaction documents and
include:
-- A minimum non-zero weighted-average (NZ WA) FICO score of 735.
-- A maximum NZ WA Loan-to-Cost (LTC) ratio of 87.5%.
-- A maximum NZ WA As Is Loan-to-Value (AIV LTV) ratio of 75.0%.
-- A maximum NZ WA As Repaired Loan-to-Value (ARV LTV) ratio of
70.0%.
RTL FEATURES
RTLs, also known as fix-and-flip mortgage loans, are short-term
bridge, construction, or renovation loans designed to help real
estate investors purchase and renovate residential or multifamily
5+ and mixed-use properties (the latter is limited to 5.0% of the
revolving portfolio), generally within 12 to 36 months. RTLs are
similar to traditional mortgages in many aspects but may differ
significantly in terms of initial property condition, construction
draws, and the timing and incentives by which borrowers repay
principal. For traditional residential mortgages, borrowers are
generally incentivized to pay principal monthly, so they can occupy
the properties while building equity in their homes. In the RTL
space, borrowers repay their entire loan amount when they (1) sell
the property with the goal to generate a profit or (2) refinance to
a term loan and rent out the property to earn income.
In general, RTLs are short-term IO balloon loans with the full
amount of principal (balloon payment) due at maturity. The
repayment of an RTL is mainly based on the ability to sell the
related mortgaged property or to convert it into a rental property.
In addition, many RTL lenders offer extension options, which
provide additional time for borrowers to repay their mortgage
beyond the original maturity date. For the loans in this
transaction, such extensions may be granted, subject to certain
conditions, at the direction of the Asset Manager.
In the ANCHR 2025-RTL1 revolving portfolio, RTLs may be
(1) Fully funded
-- With no obligation of further advances to the borrower,
-- With a portion of the loan proceeds allocated to a
rehabilitation (rehab) escrow account for future disbursement to
fund construction draw requests upon the satisfaction of certain
conditions, or
-- With a portion of the loan proceeds held back by the Servicers
for future disbursement to fund interest draw requests upon the
satisfaction of certain conditions.
(2) Partially funded
-- With a commitment to fund borrower-requested draws for approved
rehab, construction, or repairs of the property (Rehabilitation
Disbursement Requests) upon the satisfaction of certain
conditions.
After completing certain construction/repairs using their own
funds, the borrower usually seeks reimbursement by making draw
requests. Generally, construction draws are disbursed only upon the
completion of approved construction/repairs and after a
satisfactory construction progress inspection. Based on the ANCHR
2025-RTL1 eligibility criteria, unfunded commitments are limited to
60.0% of the portfolio by the assets of the issuer (UPB plus
amounts in the Accumulation Account).
CASH FLOW STRUCTURE AND DRAW FUNDING
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
During the reinvestment period, the Notes will generally be IO.
After the reinvestment period, principal will be applied to pay
down the Notes, sequentially. If the Issuer does not redeem the
Notes by the payment date in November 2027, the Class A1 and A2
fixed rates will step up by 1.000% the following month.
There will be no advancing of delinquent (DQ) interest on any
mortgage by the Servicers or any other party to the transaction.
However, the Servicers are obligated to fund Servicing Advances,
which include taxes, insurance premiums, and reasonable costs
incurred in the course of servicing and disposing properties. The
Servicers will be entitled to reimbursements for Servicing Advances
from available funds prior to any payments on the Notes.
The Servicers will satisfy Disbursement Requests by (1) directing
release of funds from the Rehab Escrow Account to the applicable
borrower for loans with funded commitments; or (2) for loans with
unfunded commitments, (a) advancing funds on behalf of the Issuer
(Rehabilitation Advances) or (b) directing the release of funds
from the Accumulation Account. The Servicers will be entitled to
reimbursements for Rehabilitation Advances from the Accumulation
Account.
The Accumulation Account is replenished from the transaction cash
flow waterfall, after payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain
a minimum required funding balance. During the reinvestment period,
amounts held in the Accumulation Account, along with the mortgage
collateral, must be sufficient to maintain a minimum credit
enhancement (CE) of approximately 5.00% to the most subordinate
rated class. The structure maintains this CE through a Maximum
Effective Advance Rate Test, which if breached, redirects available
funds to pay down the Notes, sequentially, prior to replenishing
the Accumulation Account.
The transaction also employs the Expense Reserve Account, which
will be available to cover fees and expenses. The Expense Reserve
Account is replenished from the transaction cash flow waterfall,
before payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain a minimum
reserve balance.
A Pre-funding Interest Account is in place for the first two months
of the securitization to help cover one month of interest payment
to the Notes. Such account is funded upfront in an amount equal to
$1,280,222. On the payment dates occurring in June and July 2025,
the Paying Agent will withdraw a specified amount to be included in
the available funds.
Historically, Anchor Loans RTL originations have generated robust
mortgage repayments, which have exceeded unfunded commitments
within the same portfolio. In the RTL space, because of the lack of
amortization and the short term nature of the loans, mortgage
repayments (paydowns and payoffs) tend to occur closer to or at the
related maturity dates when compared with traditional residential
mortgages. Morningstar DBRS considers paydowns to be unscheduled
voluntary balance reductions (generally repayments in full) that
occur prior to the maturity date of the loans, while payoffs are
scheduled balance reductions that occur on the maturity or extended
maturity date of the loans. In its cash flow analysis, Morningstar
DBRS evaluated Anchor Loans' historical mortgage repayments
relative to draw commitments and incorporated several stress
scenarios where paydowns may or may not sufficiently cover draw
commitments. Please see the Cash Flow Analysis section of this
report for more details.
OTHER TRANSACTION FEATURES
Optional Redemption
On any date on or after the Payment Date in June 2027, the Issuer,
at its option, may purchase all of the outstanding Notes at the par
plus interest and fees.
Depositor Repurchase Option
The Depositor will have the option to repurchase any DQ or
defaulted mortgage loan at the Repurchase Price, which is equal to
par plus interest and fees. However, such voluntary repurchases may
not exceed 10.0% of the cumulative UPB of the mortgage loans.
During the reinvestment period, if the Depositor repurchases DQ or
defaulted loans, this could potentially delay the natural
occurrence of an early amortization event based on the DQ or
default trigger. Morningstar DBRS' revolving structure analysis
assumes the repayment of Notes is reliant on the amortization of an
adverse pool regardless of whether it occurs early or not.
LOAN SALES
The Issuer may sell a mortgage loan under the following
circumstances:
-- The Sponsor is required to repurchase a loan because of a
material breach, a material diligence defect, or a material
document defect
-- The Depositor elects to exercise its Repurchase Option
-- An optional redemption occurs.
U.S. CREDIT RISK RETENTION
As the Sponsor, RCHF REIT, through a majority-owned affiliate, will
initially retain an eligible horizontal residual interest
comprising at least 5% of the aggregate fair value of the
securities (the Class XS Notes) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
NATURAL DISASTERS/WILDFIRES
The pool contains loans secured by mortgage properties that are
located within certain disaster areas (such as those impacted by
the Greater Los Angeles wildfires). Although many RTL have a rehab
component, the original scope of rehab may be affected by such
disasters. After a disaster, the Servicers follow a standard
protocol, which includes a review of the impacted area, borrower
outreach if necessary, and filing insurance claims as applicable.
Moreover, additional loans added to the trust must comply with R&W
specified in the transaction documents, including the damage R&W,
as well as the transaction eligibility criteria.
NOTES: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 3: Moody's Ups Rating on $38MM E-R Notes From Ba3
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Anchorage Credit Funding 3, Ltd.:
US$63,750,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2039
(the "Class B-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on
January 28, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
US$27,500,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate
Notes due 2039 (the "Class C-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aa3 (sf);
previously on January 28, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
US$23,750,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate
Notes due 2039 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Upgraded to A3 (sf);
previously on January 28, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3
(sf)
US$38,750,000 Class E-R Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
due 2039 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously
on January 28, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Anchorage Credit Funding 3, Ltd., originally issued in August 2016
and refinanced in January 2021, is a managed cashflow CBO. The
notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of corporate
bonds and loans. The transaction's reinvestment period will end in
January 2026.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions reflect the benefit of the shortening of the
portfolio's weighted average life (WAL) since January 2021, which
reduces the time the rated notes are exposed to the credit risk of
the underlying portfolio. Moody's also considered that the
transaction will be exiting its reinvestment period in January
2026, which increases the likelihood that the transaction will
continue to maintain certain collateral quality measures that
currently outperform their related covenants. In particular,
Moody's noted that the transaction currently benefits from interest
income on portfolio assets that significantly exceeds the fixed
rate of interest payable on the rated notes, due to the
transaction's exposure to approximately 34% in floating-rate loans
that Moody's calculated to have a weighted average spread (WAS) of
4.36%. Moody's also noted that based on Moody's calculations, the
transaction has a significantly lower weighted average rating
factor of 2714, compared to its current covenant of 3450.
No actions were taken on the Class A-1-R and Class A-2-R notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CBO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
coupon, weighted average spread, and weighted average recovery
rate, are based on Moody's published methodology and could differ
from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's
used the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 72
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3450
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 4.36%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.46%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 34.76%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 6.6 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
APIDOS CLO LIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Apidos
CLO LIII.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Apidos CLO LIII
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
C-2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Apidos CLO LIII (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CVC
Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $475 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
Class A-1 Loans were absorbed into class A-1 after expected ratings
were assigned.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.71% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 72.25%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBBsf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
20 May 2025
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Apidos CLO LIII.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
APIDOS CLO LIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to two classes of
notes issued by Apidos CLO LIII (the Issuer or Apidos CLO LIII):
US$299,250,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class F Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed above are referred to herein, collectively, as the
Rated Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Apidos CLO LIII is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will
be collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 10% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, first lien last out
loans, senior secured bonds, high yield bonds and senior secured
notes. The portfolio is approximately 98% ramped as of the closing
date.
CVC Credit Partners, LLC (the Manager) will direct the selection,
acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of the Issuer
and may engage in trading activity, including discretionary
trading, during the transaction's five year reinvestment period.
Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions, the Manager may
reinvest unscheduled principal payments and proceeds from sales of
credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued seven other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $475,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3004
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
ARBOR REALTY 2025-BTR1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on G Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes (the Notes) issued by Arbor Realty
Commercial Real Estate Notes 2025-BTR1, LLC (the Issuer).
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-1R at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-1T at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The initial collateral consists of 21 floating-rate mortgage loans
totaling $551.9 million. The collateral interest is secured by
mortgages on build-to-rent (BTR) multifamily communities. The
underlying properties are in various stages of completion with
total funding commitments ranging from 39.8% to 100.0%. As of the
cut-off date, the pool has a 78.5% funded amount, with remaining
future funding obligations of $204.3 million. The properties are
generally in the later stages of development, with horizontal
construction complete and vertical construction initiated or fully
complete. During the reinvestment period, the loans added will be
required to have, at a minimum, a 25.0% loan funded amount. In
addition, the weighted-average (WA) funding percentage for the pool
must be at least 50.0% at all times. The 25.0% loan funded amount
and 50.0% WA funding percentage thresholds provide guardrails on
future loans added to the pool, ensuring the horizontal risk is
eliminated and properties have or can begin vertical construction.
The transaction is a managed vehicle, which includes a 24-month
reinvestment period. As part of the reinvestment period, the
transaction includes a 180-day ramp-up acquisition period during
which the Issuer is expected to increase the trust balance by $50.0
million to a total target collateral principal balance of $801.8
million. Morningstar DBRS assessed the ramp loans using a
conservative pool construct and, as a result, the ramp loans have
expected losses above the pool WA loan expected losses. The A-1R
note was assumed to be sized with similar credit characteristics as
the existing collateral interests, with no consideration for
further construction completion or performance improvement.
Reinvestment of principal proceeds during the reinvestment period
is subject to Eligibility Criteria, which, among other criteria,
include a no-downgrade rating agency confirmation (RAC) by
Morningstar DBRS for all new mortgage assets and funded companion
participations exceeding $500,000. The eligibility criteria
indicates that only BTR can be brought into the pool during the
stated ramp-up acquisition period and reinvestment period. BTR for
purposes of the Eligibility Criteria means real property that
consists of (A) detached single family residences, two- or
four-family dwellings, five or more residential units and mixed-use
properties (at least 50% square feet residential) and (B) designed
and constructed with the intention of being operated as rental
residences. Additionally, the eligibility criteria establish
maximum loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and minimum debt yield
requirements.
The loans are secured by properties which are in a period of
transition with plans to stabilize and improve the asset value. In
total, 17 loans, representing 85.5% of the pool, have remaining
future funding participations totaling $204.3 million, which the
Issuer may acquire in the future, of which $172.6 million will be
acquired by the Issuer with the remaining $31.6 million to be held
by Arbor Realty SR, Inc. outside the transaction. Please see the
related presale report for the participations that the Issuer will
be able to acquire.
After closing, the transaction will be monitored for performance
concerns and No Downgrade Confirmation requests, as part of the
addition of new collateral during the reinvestment period.
Morningstar DBRS reviews the request to confirm if the proposed
action or failure to act or other specified event will not, in and
of itself, result in the downgrade or withdrawal of the current
credit rating. The Issuer is required to obtain RAC for all
acquisitions of companion participations exceeding $500,000.
All of the loans in the pool have floating interest rates, and
Morningstar DBRS incorporates an interest rate stress that is based
on the lower of a Morningstar DBRS stressed rate that corresponds
to the remaining fully extended term of the loans or the strike
price of an interest rate cap with the respective contractual loan
spread added to determine a stressed interest rate over the loan
term. When the debt service payments were measured against the
Morningstar DBRS As-Is Net Cash Flow (NCF), the Morningstar DBRS
Stabilized NCF for 18 of 21 loans, representing 91.0% of the pool,
was below 1.00 times, which is indicative of elevated refinance
risk. The properties are often transitioning with potential upside
in cash flow; however, Morningstar DBRS does not give full credit
to the stabilization if there are no holdbacks or if other
structural features in place are insufficient to support such
treatment. Furthermore, even with the structure provided,
Morningstar DBRS generally does not assume the assets will
stabilize above market levels.
The sponsor for the transaction, Arbor Realty SR, Inc., is a
majority-owned subsidiary of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. (Arbor; New
York Stock Exchange: ABR) and an experienced CRE collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) issuer and collateral manager. The ARCREN
2025-BTR1 transaction will be Arbor's 20th CRE CLO securitization
after the global financial crisis. In total, Arbor has been an
issuer and manager of 19 CRE CLO securitizations after the global
financial crisis totaling more than $10 billion. Additionally,
Arbor will purchase and retain 100.0% of the most subordinate
classes, including the Class F Notes, the Class G Notes, and the
Income Notes, which total approximately $119.3 million.
Arbor is a market leader in the BTR space and has been active in
the BTR space since 2019. Arbor's BTR team comprises 39 dedicated
professionals across five offices. All aspects of BTR are run by
this team including sourcing, underwriting, credit, loan
administration, and servicing. Since the program's inception, Arbor
has originated 122 BTR loans amounting to $4.60 billion, which
highlights its expertise in the space. In 2024, Arbor closed 40 BTR
loans amounting to approximately $1.6 billion.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ARDN 2025-ARCP: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Ratings Outlooks to ARDN 2025- ARCP Mortgage Trust, commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates:
- $369,000,000 class A 'AAAEXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $58,200,000 class B 'AA-EXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $45,600,000 class C 'A-EXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $64,400,000 class D; 'BBB-EXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $98,600,000 class E; 'BB-EXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,200,000 class F; 'B+EXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,000,000a class HRR. 'BEXPsf'; Outlook Stable;
(a) Horizontal risk retention.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $700.0 million, two-year, floating-rate,
interest-only mortgage loan with three, one-year extension options.
The mortgage will be secured by the borrower's fee simple interest
in a portfolio of 24 flex industrial centers, comprising
approximately 7.2 million sf located across eight states and nine
markets.
The borrower sponsors, Arden Real Estate Partners III, L.P. and
Arcapita Group Holdings Limited, acquired the majority of the
industrial properties in the portfolio in 2021; the portfolio was
financed through a $446.0 million CMBS transaction (GSMS 2021-ARDN)
and a revolving acquisition facility. In 2022, they acquired 27
additional assets, known as the Greater Boston Infill and Greater
Dallas Infill properties, which were not included in the previous
CMBS transaction.
The mortgage loan is expected to repay existing debt of $654.2
million and pay closing costs of $16.7 million, fund upfront
leasing costs and fund full reserves of $22.8 million, and return
to equity $6.3 million.
The loan is expected to be co-originated by German American Capital
Corporation and Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc. KeyBank National
Association, a national banking association, is expected to be the
servicer, with 3650 REIT Loan Servicing LLC as the special
servicer. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. is expected to act as
the trustee and Deutsche Bank National Trust Company will serve as
the certificate administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC, a
New York limited liability company, will act as operating advisor.
The certificates will follow a pro-rata paydown for the initial 30%
of the loan amount and a standard senior-sequential paydown
thereafter. To the extent no mortgage loan event of default (EOD)
is continuing, voluntary prepayments will be applied pro rata
between the mortgage loan components. The transaction is scheduled
to close on June 17, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF)
for the portfolio at $46.7 million. This is 12.7% lower than the
issuer's NCF. Fitch applied a 7.5% cap rate to derive a Fitch value
of approximately $622.8 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $700.0 million whole loan equates to debt
of approximately $97 psf with a Fitch stressed loan-to-value ratio
(LTV) and debt yield of 112.4% and 6.7%, respectively. The loan
represents approximately 70.3% of the appraised value of $995.5
million. Fitch increased the LTV hurdles by 1.25% to reflect the
higher in-place leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio exhibits strong
geographic diversity with 24 properties and 167 buildings (7.2
million sf) located across eight states and nine MSAs. The three
largest state concentrations are Georgia (1,607,620 sf; seven
properties including 40 buildings), Texas (1,106,710 sf; four
properties including 30 buildings) and Indiana (1,104,698 sf; one
property including 18 buildings). The three largest MSAs are
Atlanta-GA (22.2% of NRA; 23.3% of allocated loan amount [ALA]),
Dallas-Fort Worth - TX (14.5% of NRA; 13.6% of ALA) and
Indianapolis - IN (15.2% of NRA; 13.0% of ALA). The portfolio also
exhibits significant tenant diversity, as it features over 700
distinct tenants, with no tenant occupying more than 6.6% of NRA.
Institutional Sponsorship: The sponsorship is a joint venture
between Arden Logistics Park and Arcapita. Arden Logistics Park, is
owned by Arden Group. Arden Logistics Park owns approximately 11.0
million sf of industrial commercial real estate, covering 258
buildings and 1,077 tenants. Arcapita, founded in 1997, is a global
alternative investment manager headquartered in Bahrain, with
additional offices in the U.S., the U.K., Saudi Arabia and
Singapore.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/
'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAsf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf''/BBsf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf'/'CCC+sf';.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/
'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf''/BB-sf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst &Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to the mortgage loan. . Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ASHFORD HOSPITALITY 2018-ASHF: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2018-ASHF
issued by Ashford Hospitality Trust 2018-ASHF as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class X-EXT at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect
Morningstar DBRS' outlook for the loan. Although the underlying
collateral continues to deleverage, following the release of the
largest property in the portfolio, Courtyard by Marriott Boston
Downtown (10.5% of the allocated loan amount (ALA) at issuance) as
of the February 2025 payment period, and the $35.8 million
principal curtailment that was paid to exercise the loan's fifth
and final extension option, the loan surpassed its fully extended
maturity date in April 2025. Per the servicer's most recent
commentary, a two-month forbearance has been granted to give the
borrower more time to close its pending refinancing. Additionally,
although the YE2024 weighted-average (WA) revenue per available
room (RevPAR) for the unreleased properties surpassed the issuance
level by 16.8%, the consolidated net cash flow (NCF) declined year
over year, to $71.3 million, as of YE2024, from $78.9 million at
YE2023, and is also below the issuance NCF of $76.9 million.
At issuance, the subject interest-only (IO), floating-rate loan was
collateralized by a portfolio of 22 hotel properties, totaling
5,269 keys, with multiple formats, including all-suite,
full-service, limited-service, and extended-stay hotels, across 12
states. There is also additional senior and junior mezzanine
financing, which had an initial balance of $202.3 million and is
coterminous with the trust debt. As of the May 2025 remittance,
there are 18 properties remaining in the pool following the release
of four properties since issuance (previous ALA of $136.2 million
(17.4%) at issuance). The current trust balance is $560.8 million,
which reflects a collateral reduction of 24.6% since issuance.
Individual assets can be released at a price of 115.0% of the ALA
as outlined in the loan documents. The loan is sponsored by Ashford
Hospitality Trust, Inc., an experienced hotel investment company
and publicly traded real estate investment trust, which had
invested $227.5 million into the portfolio since its acquisition in
2013.
For the 18 properties remaining in the portfolio, the WA occupancy
rate, average daily room, and RevPAR were 67.6%, $189, and $128,
respectively, according to the YE2024 financials, slightly below
the metrics reported at YE2023 of 69.9%, $185, and $130,
respectively. The issuance figures were 74.6%, $146, and $109,
respectively.
Given the significant principal paydown of 13.8% since Morningstar
DBRS' last credit rating action in June 2024, Morningstar DBRS
updated the loan-to-value ratio (LTV) sizing benchmarks as part of
this review. Morningstar DBRS analyzed the cash flow under both a
base-case and stressed scenario to test the durability of the
credit ratings. In both scenarios, a 9.25% capitalization rate was
applied. The base-case scenario, which is based on a standard
surveillance haircut to the consolidated YE2024 NCF for the
remaining properties, results in a base-case Morningstar DBRS value
of $755.7 million (trust LTV of 78.1%). In the stressed scenario,
which included a 20% haircut to the YE2024 NCF, Morningstar DBRS
derived a stressed value of $616.9 million, resulting in a trust
LTV of 95.7% (whole loan LTV of 128.4%). In addition, Morningstar
DBRS maintained the positive qualitative adjustments to the LTV
sizing benchmarks considered at issuance, which total 4.0% to
reflect the property's cash flow volatility, property quality, and
market fundamentals.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-4: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a provisional rating of (P)Ba1 (sf) to
the series 2023-4 class D rental car asset backed notes to be
issued by Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer).
The issuer is an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget
Car Rental, LLC (ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis
Budget Group, Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car
System, LLC (Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget),
Zipcar, Inc, Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck
Rental LLC.
The complete rating action is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-4
Series 2023-4 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Assigned
(P)Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The provisional rating assigned to the series 2023-4 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes will benefit from dynamic credit enhancement
primarily in the form of overcollateralization. The credit
enhancement level for the 2023-4 class D note will fluctuate over
time with changes in the fleet composition and will be determined
as the sum of (1) 5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed
depreciation or repurchase program from eligible manufacturers
(program vehicles) rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all
other program vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk)
vehicles and (4) 35.75% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each
case, as a percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the
class A, B, C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings of the series 2023-4 class D
note, as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality
of the lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's
sponsor defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the series 2023-4 class D
note if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-6: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a provisional rating of (P)Ba1 (sf) to
the series 2023-6 class D rental car asset backed notes to be
issued by Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer).
The issuer is an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget
Car Rental, LLC (ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis
Budget Group, Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car
System, LLC (Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget),
Zipcar, Inc, Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck
Rental LLC.
The complete rating actions is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-6
Series 2023-6 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Assigned
(P)Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The provisional rating assigned to the series 2023-6 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes will benefit from dynamic credit enhancement
primarily in the form of overcollateralization. The credit
enhancement level for the 2023-6 class D note will fluctuate over
time with changes in the fleet composition and will be determined
as the sum of (1) 5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed
depreciation or repurchase program from eligible manufacturers
(program vehicles) rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all
other program vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk)
vehicles and (4) 35.80% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each
case, as a percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the
class A, B, C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the rating of the series 2023-6 class D note,
as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the
lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor
defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the rating of the series 2023-6 class D
note if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-8: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a provisional rating of (P)Ba1 (sf) to
the series 2023-8 class D rental car asset backed notes issued by
Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The issuer
is an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car Rental,
LLC (ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget Group,
Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System, LLC
(Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck.
The complete rating actions is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-8
Series 2023-8 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Assigned
(P)Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The provisional rating assigned to the series 2023-8 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes will benefit from dynamic credit enhancement
primarily in the form of overcollateralization. The credit
enhancement level for the 2023-8 class D note will fluctuate over
time with changes in the fleet composition and will be determined
as the sum of (1) 5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed
depreciation or repurchase program from eligible manufacturers
(program vehicles) rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all
other program vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk)
vehicles and (4) 35.80% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each
case, as a percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the
class A, B, C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations", published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the rating of the series 2023-8 class D
notes, as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality
of the lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's
sponsor defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the rating of the series 2023-8 class D
notes if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2025-1: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the notes issued
by Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The
issuer is an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car
Rental, LLC (ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget
Group, Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System,
LLC (Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck Rental, LLC.
Moody's also announced that the issuance of the Series 2025-1, in
and of itself and at this time, will not result in a reduction,
withdrawal, or placement under review for possible downgrade of any
of the ratings currently assigned to the outstanding series of
notes issued by the issuer.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2025-1
Series 2025-1 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class A, Definitive
Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Series 2025-1 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class B, Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Series 2025-1 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class C, Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Series 2025-1 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive ratings on the series 2025-1 notes are based on (1)
the credit quality of the collateral in the form of rental fleet
vehicles, which ABCR uses in its rental car business, (2) the
credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as guarantor under
the operating lease, (3) the proven track-record and expertise of
ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) consideration of the rental
car market conditions, (5) the available dynamic credit
enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (6) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (7) the transaction's legal
structure.
The total credit enhancement requirement for the series 2025-1
notes will be dynamic and determined as the sum of (1) 5.00% for
vehicles subject to a guaranteed depreciation or repurchase program
from eligible manufacturers (program vehicles) rated at least Baa3
by us, (2) 8.50% for all other program vehicles, (3) 13.80% minimum
for non-program (risk) vehicles and (4) 35.70% for medium and heavy
duty trucks, in each case, as a percentage of the outstanding note
balance. The actual required amount of credit enhancement will
fluctuate based on the mix of vehicles in the securitized fleet. As
in prior issuances, the transaction documents stipulate that the
required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion which is
liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a percentage
of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet vehicles. The
class A, B, and C notes will also benefit from subordination of
29.8%, 19.3% and 11.8% of the outstanding balance of the series
2025-1 notes, respectively. The series 2025-1 notes have an
expected final maturity of approximately 38 months.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings of the series 2025-1 notes, as
applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the
lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor
defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the series 2025-1 notes if,
among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee weakens,
(2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting on its
lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the sponsor
accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in the event
of a Chapter 11 were to decrease and (4) assumptions of the credit
quality of the pool of vehicles collateralizing the transaction
were to weaken, as reflected by a weaker mix of program and
non-program vehicles and weaker credit quality of vehicle
manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2025-2: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the notes issued
by Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The
issuer is an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car
Rental, LLC (ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget
Group, Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System,
LLC (Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck Rental, LLC.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2025-2
Series 2025-2 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class A, Definitive
Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Series 2025-2 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class B, Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Series 2025-2 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class C, Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Series 2025-2 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive ratings on the series 2025-2 notes are based on (1)
the credit quality of the collateral in the form of rental fleet
vehicles, which ABCR uses in its rental car business, (2) the
credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as guarantor under
the operating lease, (3) the proven track-record and expertise of
ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) consideration of the rental
car market conditions, (5) the available dynamic credit
enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (6) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (7) the transaction's legal
structure.
The total credit enhancement requirement for the series 2025-2
notes will be dynamic and determined as the sum of (1) 5.00% for
vehicles subject to a guaranteed depreciation or repurchase program
from eligible manufacturers (program vehicles) rated at least Baa3
by us, (2) 8.50% for all other program vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum
for non-program (risk) vehicles and (4) 35.70% for medium and heavy
duty trucks, in each case, as a percentage of the outstanding note
balance. The actual required amount of credit enhancement will
fluctuate based on the mix of vehicles in the securitized fleet. As
in prior issuances, the transaction documents stipulate that the
required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion which is
liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a percentage
of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet vehicles. The
class A, B, and C notes will also benefit from subordination of
29.8%, 19.3%, and 11.8% of the outstanding balance of the series
2025-2 notes, respectively. The series 2025-2 notes will have an
expected final maturity of approximately 62 months.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings of the series 2025-2 notes, as
applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the
lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor
defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the series 2025-2 notes if,
among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee weakens,
(2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting on its
lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the sponsor
accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in the event
of a Chapter 11 were to decrease and (4) assumptions of the credit
quality of the pool of vehicles collateralizing the transaction
were to weaken, as reflected by a weaker mix of program and
non-program vehicles and weaker credit quality of vehicle
manufacturers.
BAIN CAPITAL 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the Bain
Capital Credit CLO 2023-1, Limited reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Bain Capital Credit
CLO 2023-1, Limited
A-L Loans LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-F 05685NAC4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-N 05685NAA8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
X-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 05685NAG5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 05685NAJ9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-3-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 05685PAA3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2023-1, Limited (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Bain Capital Credit U.S. CLO Manager II, LP that original closed on
March 16, 2023. This is the first refinancing where the existing
secured notes will be refinanced in whole on June 2, 2025. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and the existing
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.49 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 97.78%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.33% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 42.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X-R notes, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf'
for class A-1-R notes, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R
notes, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R notes, between
'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R notes, between less than 'B-sf'
and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-3-R notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X-R, class A-1-R
and class A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating
category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R notes, 'AAsf' for class C-R
notes, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R notes, 'Asf' for class D-2-R notes,
and 'A-sf' for class D-3-R notes and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R notes.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Bain Capital Credit
CLO 2023-1, Limited.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BAMLL 2024-NASH: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class E Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the following classes
of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-NASH
(the Certificates) issued by BAMLL Commercial Mortgage Securities
Trust 2024-NASH (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-CP at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The confirmation of the credit ratings reflects the limited
seasoning of this transaction, which closed in May 2024. The
transaction is secured by the borrower's fee-simple, leasehold, and
condominium interests as well as the Operating Lessee's leasehold
interests in the Renaissance Nashville Hotel, encompassing 674
keys. The hotel is within downtown Nashville, adjacent to Broadway,
and within walking distance of Music City Hall, the main convention
center of Nashville. The property has many amenities, including two
food and beverage outlets, retail shops, a fitness center, an
indoor pool, and a complementary lounge. The sponsor, Ashford
Hospitality Limited Partnership, has over 50 years' experience in
the hotel industry with a successful track record of navigating
capital markets' economic downturns.
Whole loan proceeds of $267.2 million were used to retire $241.7
million of an existing loan debt and return $16.9 million of equity
to the sponsor. The loan is a two-year floating rate interest-only
mortgage loan, with three one-year extension options. The floating
rate is based on the one-month Secured Overnight Financing Rate
(SOFR) plus the initial weighted-average component spread of 3.98%.
At closing, the borrower purchased an interest rate cap agreement,
with a one-month Term SOFR strike price of 5.00%.
According to the most recent servicer provided financial reporting
for the trailing 12 (T-12) month period ended December 31, 2024,
the property generated a net cash flow (NCF) of $30.8 million,
resulting in a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.27 times
(x), in line with Morningstar DBRS' figure of $27.8 million (DSCR
of 1.14x) derived at closing. Per the February 2024 STR report, the
property reported a T-12 December 31, 2024, occupancy rate, average
daily rate (ADR), and revenue per available room (RevPAR) metrics
of 77.5%, $287.87, and $223.08, respectively. In comparison at
issuance, these reported figures were 82.5%, $279.97, and $230.84,
respectively. Overall, Morningstar DBRS continues to maintain a
favorable view on the collateral given the property location,
capital improvements completed by the sponsor in the years
preceding loan closing, and the experienced sponsorship.
For this review, Morningstar DBRS maintained a collateral valuation
of $336.8 million derived at issuance based on a capitalization
rate of 8.25% and the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $27.8 million, which
represents a -17.2% variance from the issuance appraised value of
$407.0 million. The Morningstar DBRS loan-to-value ratio (LTV) is
79.3% compared with the LTV of 65.7% based on the appraised value
at issuance. In addition, Morningstar DBRS maintained positive
qualitative adjustments totaling 5.0% to reflect the recent capital
expenditure, property location, and strong market fundamentals.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BAMLL COMMERCIAL 2016-ISQR: DBRS Confirms B Rating on XB Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2016-ISQR
issued by BAMLL Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust 2016-ISQR as
follows:
-- Class XA at BBB (sf)
-- Class A at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class B at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class XB at B (sf)
-- Class C at B (low) (sf)
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
The trends on Classes XA through C are Stable. There are no trends
on Classes D and E as those classes have a credit rating that does
not typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed
securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the performance of the
underlying collateral, which is in line with Morningstar DBRS'
expectations since its previous credit rating action in July 2024,
when the credit ratings on all classes were downgraded to reflect
increased risks in the challenged office sector, particularly in
the subject's city of Washington, and the performance declines
since issuance, driven by lower occupancy rates for the collateral
property, as further described below. Morningstar DBRS notes the
loan is scheduled to mature in August 2026 and given the high
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) implied by the Morningstar DBRS Value, it
is expected that a refinance could be difficult to obtain without a
significant equity contribution from the sponsor.
The collateral for the underlying loan, International Square, is an
office property consisting of three buildings connected by a
central atrium, totaling 1.2 million square feet (sf) in downtown
Washington. The subject includes 67,000 sf of ground-floor retail
space, 12,000 sf of storage space, and a 637-space subterranean
parking garage. The property, developed between 1978 and 1982, is
on I Street NW, between 18th Street NW and 19th Street NW, with
direct access to Farragut West Metro Station. Sponsorship is
provided by a joint venture between Tishman Speyer Properties and
the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, which has owned the property
since 2006.
Total debt held against the property is $450.0 million, with the
trust debt of $370.0 million consisting of a $166.7 million senior
A-1 note and a $203.3 million junior note. There is an additional
$80.0 million pari passu senior A-2 note split across three CMBS
multiborrower transactions; none of the multiborrower transactions
are rated by Morningstar DBRS.
In the July 2024 analysis of the transaction, Morningstar DBRS
updated its property net cash flow (NCF) and LTV-sizing benchmarks
to account for the secular shift in office use and demand as well
as the subject property's prolonged declines in occupancy and cash
flow. While recent NCF trends at the subject are positive, with a
YE2024 figure of $20.5 million (debt service coverage ratio of 1.24
times), representing a 10.9% increase over the YE2023 NCF of $18.5
million, performance remains significantly below the issuer's NCF
of $39.0 million derived at loan closing in 2016.
According to the December 2024 rent roll, the property was 76.9%
occupied with a weighted-average rental rate of $59.85 per square
foot (psf). Individual building occupancy rates ranged from 71.0%
(1850 K Street) to 86.0% (1825 I Street). In comparison, the
property was 76.4% occupied as of the March 2024 rent roll. The
largest tenant at the property continues to be the Federal Reserve
System (the Fed), which occupies 33.7% of the total property net
rentable area (NRA) with leases across all three buildings, paying
an average base rental rate of $62.96 psf across all leased space.
The Fed previously renewed its lease for approximately 270,000 sf
(22.6% of the total property NRA) in 2022 with those leases
scheduled to expire in 2029 and 2033. The rental abatements
associated with those lease renewals were scheduled to end by
YE2024, which should result in increased property cash flow in
2025.
According to the servicer, the Fed has also extended its lease for
approximately 77,000 sf (6.5% of total NRA) of additional space
scheduled to expire in January 2026 (2.2% of total NRA; Option 1
space) and April 2028 (4.3% of total NRA; Option 2 space). The
leases were extended to March 2029, with all leased space by the
Fed now having scheduled lease expiration dates in 2029 (23.9% of
the total NRA) and 2033 (9.8% of total NRA). Upon review of the
provided lease terms, the effective starting base rental rate for
the Option 1 space will decrease to $45.28 psf from $64.58 psf as
the provided tenant incentive package of $15.00 psf was amortized
and deducted from base rent. The effective base rental rate for the
Option 2 space will decrease to $52.83 psf from $66.57 psf as
leasing commissions were amortized and deducted from base rent. The
rent on the Option 1 space will have annual 2.5% escalations while
the rent on the Option 2 space will remain fixed over the lease
term. The Fed also received separate one-year abatements for
reimbursable operating expenses on the extensions, commencing in
February 2026 (Option 1 space) and May 2028 (Option 2 space),
respectively.
The Fed can terminate all or a portion of its space with a 2029
lease expiration date with 24 months' notice, and it can terminate
all or a portion of its space with a 2033 lease expiration date
effective May 2030 with 24 months' notice. The remaining tenant
roster across the property remains unchanged year-over-year. The
second-largest tenant at the property, Blank Rome LLP, occupies
14.5% of the total property NRA on a lease expiring in July 2029,
and the third-largest tenant, Daniel J. Edelman, Inc., occupies
5.4% of the total property NRA on a lease expiring in July 2030.
According to Q4 2024 Reis data, office properties in the Downtown
District of Columbia reported an average asking rental rate of
$56.72 psf with vacancy at 14.8%. Class A properties reported
figures of $62.08 psf and 13.9%, respectively. Overall, the
submarket has shown minor improvement in the last year, as Reis
reported Q1 2024 metrics of $55.69 psf and 16.5%, respectively;
however, the occupancy rate at the subject remains significantly
below market. Morningstar DBRS notes overall demand is likely to
remain tenuous within Washington D.C., given the current
administration's focus on cost cutting and reducing the size of the
federal government.
Throughout 2025, rollover risk at the subject property is limited
to two tenants, occupying 5.6% of the total NRA, including Milbank,
LLP, which occupies approximately 55,000 sf (5.4% of total NRA).
The tenant has been at the property since 2005, with its lease
scheduled to expire in August 2025. Morningstar DBRS was not
provided an update regarding the tenant's intention to renew its
lease or vacate the property for purposes of this review. An
additional four tenants (3.0% of total NRA) have scheduled lease
expiration dates prior to loan maturity in August 2026.
The property continues to struggle to attract and sign leases with
new tenants as only one new lease, with Legal Services Corporation
(3.2% of the total property NRA), has been executed since 2024. The
tenant executed a 15-year lease, which commenced in January 2025.
The tenant received 10 months of rental abatements over the lease
term and a tenant improvement allowance of $200.00 psf ($7.4
million), indicating how expensive it is to execute new leases in
the submarket. It pays a starting base rental rate of $59.20 psf.
The servicer confirmed there is no pending new leasing activity at
the property and the current leasing reserve balance is zero. Given
the current occupancy rate across the property combined with
property cash flow below issuance levels, the borrower is likely to
encounter difficulty in selling the subject or securing refinance
capital prior to loan maturity in August 2026.
As noted above, Morningstar DBRS completed an updated collateral
valuation at the previous credit rating action in July 2024. For
purposes of this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS maintained
the valuation approach from the July 2024 review, which was based
on a capitalization rate of 7.75% applied to the Morningstar DBRS
NCF of $25.1 million. Morningstar DBRS also maintained positive
qualitative adjustments to the LTV-sizing benchmarks, totaling 1.5%
to reflect the subject property's cash flow stability and property
quality. The Morningstar DBRS Value of $323.3 million represented a
-57.3% variance from the issuance appraised value of $757.0
million, and results in an LTV of 139.2% on the whole-loan debt
amount of $450.0 million.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BANK 2025-BNK50: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class JRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2025-BNK50 (the Certificates) to be issued by BANK 2025-BNK50 (the
Trust):
-- Class A-SB at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4-X1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4-X2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5-X1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5-X2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-X1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-X2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-1 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-2 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-X1 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-X2 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C-2 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C-X1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C-X2 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class D-1 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class D-2 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class D-X1 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class D-X2 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class E at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-1 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-X1 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-X2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class F-RR at (P) BBB (sf)
-- Class G-RR at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class H-RR at (P) BB (low (sf)
-- Class J-RR at (P) B (sf)
-- Class X-A at (P) AAA (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for the BANK 2025-BNK50 transaction consists of 34
fixed-rate loans secured by 71 commercial and multifamily
properties with an aggregate cut-off date balance of $490.94
million. Seven loans, representing 57.8% of the pool, are
shadow-rated investment grade by Morningstar DBRS. There are 21
loans secured by cooperative properties in this transaction,
representing 22.8% of the pool, including 17 NCB (National
Cooperative Bank) loans, representing 12.4% of the pool. Although
these loans were not shadow-rated for modeling purposes, they
exhibit characteristics of a AAA shadow credit rating. In
aggregate, 70.2% of the loans in the pool display attributes of
shadow-rated loansĀæa significantly higher percentage than previous
Morningstar DBRS-rated conduits.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the conduit pool to determine the
provisional credit ratings, reflecting the long-term probability of
loan default within the term and its liquidity at maturity. When
the cut-off balances were measured against the Morningstar DBRS Net
Cash Flow (NCF) and their respective constants, the initial
Morningstar DBRS WA Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) of the pool
was 2.88 times (x). The WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance Loan-to-Value
Ratio (LTV) of the pool was 42.8% and the loan is scheduled to
amortize to a weighted-average (WA) Morningstar DBRS Balloon LTV of
40.8% at maturity based on the A note balances. Excluding the
shadow-rated and cooperative loans, the deal still exhibits a
reasonable WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV of 60.6% and a WA
Morningstar DBRS Balloon LTV of 60.1%. Only two loans, representing
11.8% of the pool, exhibit a Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV of
higher than 67.6%, a threshold generally indicative of
above-average default frequency, Additionally, three loans,
representing 4.8% of the pool, exhibit a Morningstar DBRS DSCR of
lower than 1.25x, a threshold indicative of a higher likelihood of
midterm default. The transaction has a sequential-pay pass-through
structure.
Seven loans, representing 57.8% of the pool, exhibit credit
characteristics consistent with investment-grade shadow credit
ratings. These loans' credit characteristics were as follows: 10
West 66th Street Co-Op was consistent with a AAA shadow credit
rating; Adini Portfolio was consistent with a AA (high) shadow
credit rating; Visa Global HQ was consistent with a AA (low) shadow
credit rating; Washington Square was consistent with an A (low)
shadow credit rating; Discovery Business Center and Foothills Park
Place Shopping Center Galt House were consistent with a BBB (high)
shadow credit rating; and Marriott World Headquarters was
consistent with a BBB shadow credit rating.
This transaction features 17 NCB loans, representing 12.4% of the
pool, which consist of co-operative multifamily properties. These
loans have an exceptionally low WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV of
14.3% and a significantly high Morningstar DBRS DSCR of 6.49x.
Because of these strong credit characteristics, Morningstar DBRS
considers these loans consistent with a AAA shadow credit rating.
Additionally, there are four other loans, representing 10.4% of the
pool, secured by cooperative properties that have an exceptionally
low WA DBRS Issuance LTV of 12.1% and a significantly high
Morningstar DBRS WA DSCR of 7.30x.
Twelve loans, representing 40.3% of the pool, are in areas with a
Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 7, which indicate dense urban areas
that benefit from increased liquidity driven by consistently strong
investor demand, even during times of economic stress.
Additionally, 12 loans, representing 27.7% of the pool, are in
areas with Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 5 or 6, which benefit
from lower default frequencies than less-dense suburban, tertiary,
and rural markets. New York is the predominant urban market
represented in the transaction. Lastly, 28 loans, representing
72.5% of the pool, are in the Morningstar DBRS MSA Group 3, which
represents the best-performing group among the top 25 metropolitan
statistical areas (MSAs) in terms of historical commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) default rates.
Thirty-one loans, representing 86.8% of the pool, have Morningstar
DBRS Issuance LTVs lower than 60.9%, a threshold historically
indicative of relatively low-leverage financing and generally
associated with below-average default frequency. When excluding the
shadow-rated and cooperative loans, which represent 73.5% of the
pool, the transaction exhibits a WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV
of 60.6%. There is only one loan in the pool, Coastal Equities
Portfolio, with a Morningstar DBRS LTV equal to or higher than
70.0%.
The initial Morningstar DBRS WA DSCR of 2.88x, or 1.46x when
excluding shadow-rated and loans secured by cooperative properties,
is healthy in today's challenging interest rate environment where
debt service payments have nearly doubled since mid-2022, severely
constraining DSCRs.
Four loans, representing 33.8% of the pool, received a property
quality assessment of Average + or Above Average while only two
loans, representing 3.0% of the pool, received a property quality
assessment of Average - or Below Average. Higher-quality properties
are more likely to retain existing tenants/guests and more easily
attract new tenants/guests, resulting in a more stable
performance.
The pool contains 34 loans and is concentrated with a lower
Herfindahl score of 13.6, with the top 10 loans representing 80.2%
of the pool. These metrics are lower than the Morningstar
DBRS-rated BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2025-5C34 transaction, which had a
Herfindahl score of 22.5, and the BANK5 2024- 5YR10 transaction,
which had a Herfindahl score of 30.7.
Morningstar DBRS' model stresses the higher credit categories to
account for the pool's low diversity and raises the transaction's
credit enhancement levels.
All loans are refinancing or recapitalizing existing debt and may
not have third-party acquisition prices to support the value
conclusion. Acquisition financing typically includes meaningful
cash investment from the sponsor on an agreed-upon price and aligns
the interests more closely with those of the lender whereas
refinance transactions may be cash-neutral or cash-out
transactions, the latter of which may reduce the borrower's
commitment to a property. Of the loans, 57.8% are shadow-rated
investment grade by Morningstar DBRS.
Morningstar DBRS reviewed the implied cap rate for each loan
resulting from the Issuer's NCF and appraised value. In instances
where an implied cap rate was inconsistent with similar properties
within the market or from the price paid for a property, an
adjustment was made to the value.
The pool has a relatively high concentration of loans secured by
office and retail properties with seven loans, representing 52.3%
of the pool. These property types were among the most affected by
the COVID-19 pandemic and many have yet to return to pre-pandemic
performance. Future demand for office space is uncertain because of
the post-pandemic growth of work-from-home or hybrid work,
resulting in less use and, in some cases, companies downsizing
their office footprints. Declining consumer sentiment and spending
will continue to affect the retail sector, with many companies
closing stores as a result of decreased sales.
Two of the three office loans and two of the four retail loans,
representing 28.3% of the pool, are in MSA Group 3, which is the
best-performing group among the top 25 MSAs in terms of historical
CMBS default rates. Five of the seven office and retail loans are
Morningstar DBRS shadow-rated investment grade.
All office and retail loans in the pool were sampled. Morningstar
DBRS assessed two of the three office properties sampled with Above
Average property quality. Morningstar DBRS deemed one of the four
retail properties and two of the three office properties to have
Strong sponsorship.
Eighteen loans, representing 68.5% of the pool, are structured with
interest-only (IO) payment structures and do not benefit from any
amortization. The 16 remaining loans amortize over their full loan
terms with no periods of IO payments. Five of the IO loans,
representing 37.9% of the pool, are shadow-rated investment grade
by Morningstar DBRS. The IO loans have a WA Morningstar DBRS LTV of
46.0%, indicative of moderately low leverage.
Twenty-three loans, representing 48.3% of the pool, exhibit
negative leverage, defined as the Issuer's implied cap rate
(Issuer's NCF divided by the appraised value) less the current
interest rate. Among the loans that exhibit negative leverage, the
average leverage was -1.3%. While cap rates have been increasing
over the last few years, they have not surpassed the current
interest rates. In the short term, this suggests that borrowers are
willing to have lower equity returns to secure financing. In the
longer term, if interest rates hold steady, the loans in this
transaction could be subject to negative value adjustments that may
affect their borrowers' ability to refinance their loans.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and/or Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated
classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BARINGS CLO 2023-I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Barings
CLO Ltd. 2023-I reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Barings CLO Ltd.
2023-I
A 06762HAA5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 06762HAC1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 06762HAE7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 06762HAG2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 06763EAA1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Barings CLO Ltd. 2023-I (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Barings LLC, that
originally closed in March 2023. This is the first refinancing
which will refinance the existing secured notes in whole on June 2,
2025. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and the
existing subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio
of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior
secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.39, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.00. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.4% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
74.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1R notes,
between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R notes, between 'BB+sf'
and 'A+sf' for class B-R notes, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-1R notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R
notes and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1R and class
A-2R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R notes, 'AA+sf' for class C-R
notes, 'A+sf' for class D-1R notes, and 'Asf' for class D-2R notes
and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Barings CLO Ltd.
2023-I.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2025-5C34: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on G-RR Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2025-5C34 (the Certificates) issued by BBCMS Mortgage Trust
2025-5C34 (the Trust):
-- Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class X-F at BBB (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class F at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G-RR at BB (sf)
All trends are Stable.
Classes X-B, X-D, X-F, D, E, F, and G-RR were privately placed.
The collateral for the BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2025-5C34 transaction
consists of 37 fixed-rate loans secured by 66 commercial and
multifamily properties with an aggregate cut-off date balance of
$783.14 million. One loan (Uber Headquarters), representing 4.3% of
the pool, is shadow-rated investment grade by Morningstar DBRS. The
conduit pool was analyzed to determine the provisional ratings,
reflecting the long-term probability of loan default within the
term and its liquidity at maturity. When the cut-off balances were
measured against the Morningstar DBRS Net Cash Flow (NCF) and their
respective constants, the initial Morningstar DBRS weighted average
(WA) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of the pool was 1.33 times
(x). The WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance loan to value (LTV) of the
pool was 63.1%, and the loan is scheduled to amortize to a WA
Morningstar DBRS Balloon LTV of 63.0% at maturity. These credit
metrics are based on the A-note balances. Excluding the
shadow-rated loans, the deal still exhibits a reasonable WA
Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV of 63.7% and a WA Morningstar DBRS
Balloon LTV of 63.5%. However, 11 loans, representing 30.8% of the
allocated pool balance, exhibit a Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV in
excess of 67.6%, a threshold generally indicative of above-average
default frequency. Additionally, 19 loans, representing 59.4% of
the allocated pool balance, exhibit a Morningstar DBRS DSCR below
1.25x, a threshold indicative of a higher likelihood of midterm
default. The transaction has a sequential-pay pass-through
structure.
Five loans, representing 15.5% of the pool, are in areas with
Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 7, which is indicative of dense
urban areas that benefit from increased liquidity driven by
consistently strong investor demand, even during times of economic
stress. Additionally, seven loans, representing 25.0% of the
allocated pool balance, are in areas with Morningstar DBRS Market
Ranks of 5 or 6. Markets with these rankings benefit from lower
default frequencies than less dense suburban, tertiary, and rural
markets. New York is the predominant urban market represented in
the deal. Another 10 loans, representing 35.2% of the pool, are in
metropolitan statistical area (MSA) Group 3, which represents the
best-performing group among the top 25 MSAs in historical CMBS
default rates.
14 loans, representing 34.5% of the pool, have Morningstar DBRS
Issuance LTVs below 60.9%, a threshold historically indicative of
relatively low-leverage financing and generally associated with
below-average default frequency. Even with the exclusion of the
shadow-rated loan, Uber Headquarters, which represents 4.3% of the
pool, the transaction exhibits a WA Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTV
of 63.7%. There are five loans in the pool (The Wave, Tampa
Redstone Portfolio, Mia East, Arlington Village, and Villa Hills
Apartments) with Morningstar DBRS LTVs equal to or above 70.0%.,
which represents 17.6% of the pool.
Nine loans, representing 29.9% of the pool, received a property
quality assessment of Average (+) or Above Average, with only six
loans, representing 13.3% of the pool, receiving a property quality
assessment of Average (-) or Below Average. Higher quality
properties are more likely to retain existing tenants/guests and
more easily attract new tenants/guests, resulting in a more stable
performance.
Uber Headquarters, representing 4.3% of the pool, exhibited credit
characteristics consistent with an investment-grade shadow rating
of AA.
In today's challenging interest-rate environment, debt service
payments have nearly doubled from mid-2022. Elevated interest rates
have severely constrained DSCRs, and the subject transaction has a
WA Morningstar DBRS DSCR of 1.33x, or 1.30x when excluding
shadow-rated loans. While adequate to service debt, the ratio is
considerably lower than historical conduit transactions and
provides for a smaller cushion should cash flows be disrupted.
Loans with lower DSCRs receive a POD penalty in the Morningstar
DBRS model.
Thirty-four loans, or 96.6% of the 37 loans in the pool are
structured with IO payment structures and do not benefit from any
amortization. The three remaining loans do not have interest-only
payment periods and are on 25 or 30-year amortization schedules.
One of the IO loans, Uber Headquarters, representing 4.3% of the
pool, is shadow-rated investment grade by Morningstar DBRS. The IO
loans have a WA Morningstar DBRS LTV of 63.2%, indicative of
moderately low leverage and effectively loans that have been
pre-amortized. Seven loans, representing 20.2% of the pool are in
areas with Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 6 or higher, while five
loans representing 15.5% of the pool are in areas with Morningstar
DBRS Market Ranks of 7. These urban markets benefit from increased
liquidity even during times of economic stress.
Thirty-three loans, representing 96.6% of the total pool balance,
are refinancing or recapitalizing existing debt and may not have a
3rd-party acquisition price to support the value conclusion.
Acquisition financing typically includes a meaningful cash
investment from the sponsor on an agreed upon price and aligns the
interests more closely with those of the lender, whereas refinance
transactions may be cash-out transactions that reduce the
borrower's commitment to a property. Refinance loans tended to have
additional stresses due to low implied cap rates relative to
historical trends.
Morningstar DBRS identified eight loans, totaling 24.0% of the pool
to be Weak or Bad (Litigious) for reasons that may include lower
net worth and liquidity, a history of prior loan defaults, or a
lack of experience in commercial real estate. Of the loans assigned
a Sponsorship Score of Weak or Bad (Litigious), which increases the
POD in Morningstar DBRS' model, three of the loans had a
Morningstar DBRS LTV below 60.9%, a threshold historically
indicative of relatively low-leverage financing and generally
associated with below-average default frequency. These loans have a
WA Morningstar DBRS LTV of 49.7%.
Twenty-eight of the 37 loans in the pool exhibit negative leverage,
defined as the Issuer's implied cap rate (Issuer's NCF divided by
the appraised value), less the current interest rate. On average,
the transaction exhibits -1.02% of negative leverage. While cap
rates have been increasing over the last few years, they have not
in most cases surpassed the current interest rates. In the
short-term, this suggests borrowers are willing to have their
equity returns reduced in order to secure financing. Longer term
should interest rates hold steady, the loans in this transaction
could be subject to negative value adjustments that may affect the
borrower's ability to refinance their loans.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and/or Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated
classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BLACKROCK MT. XV: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to BlackRock
Mt. Lassen CLO XV LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and consists primarily of middle market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by BlackRock Capital Investment Advisors LLC, a
subsidiary of BlackRock Inc.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 30,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
BlackRock Mt. Lassen CLO XV LLC
Class A-1, $190.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L loans, $30.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $20.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $32.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $32.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $44.69 million: NR
BREAN ASSET 2025-RM11: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class M5 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RM11 (the Notes) issued by Brean
Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2025-RM11 (the Issuer) as follows:
-- $163.5 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $31.0 million Class A2 at AAA (sf)
-- $194.5 million Class AM at AAA (sf)
-- $3.4 million Class M1 at AA (sf)
-- $2.5 million Class M2 at A (sf)
-- $3.9 million Class M3 at BBB (sf)
-- $2.2 million Class M4 at BB (sf)
-- $2.3 million Class M5 at B (sf)
Class AM is an exchangeable note. This class can be exchanged for
combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings reflect 113.5% of cumulative advance
rate. The AA (sf), A (sf), BBB (sf), BB (sf), and B (sf) credit
ratings reflect 115.5%, 116.9%, 119.2%,120.5%, and 121.8% of
cumulative advance rates, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Reverse mortgage loans are typically offered to people who are at
least 62 years old. Through reverse mortgage loans, borrowers are
able to access home equity through a lump sum amount or a stream of
payments without periodic repayment of principal or interest,
allowing the loan balance to negatively amortize over a period of
time until a maturity event occurs. Loan repayment is required (1)
if the borrower dies, (2) if the borrower sells the related
residence, (3) if the borrower no longer occupies the related
residence for a period (usually a year) or if it is no longer the
primary residence, (4) upon the occurrence of a tax or insurance
default, or (5) if the borrower fails to properly maintain the
related residence. In addition, borrowers are required to be
current on any homeowner's association dues if applicable. Reverse
mortgages are typically nonrecourse: borrowers are not required to
provide additional assets in cases where the outstanding loan
amount exceeds property value (the crossover point). As a result,
liquidation proceeds will fall below the loan amount in cases where
the crossover point is reached, contributing to higher loss
severities for these loans.
As of May 1, 2025, cut-off date, the collateral has approximately
$171.38 million in current unpaid principal balance from 430
performing fixed-rate jumbo reverse mortgage loans secured by first
liens on single-family residential properties, condominiums,
townhomes, multifamily (two- to four-family) properties,
manufactured homes, and co-operatives. All loans in this pool
originated between 2024 and 2025, with loan ages ranging from one
month to four months. All loans in this pool have a fixed interest
rate with a 9.268% weighted-average mortgage interest rate.
The transaction uses a structure in which cash distributions are
made sequentially to each rated note until the rated amounts with
respect to such Notes are paid off. No subordinate note shall
receive any payments until the balance of senior notes has been
reduced to zero.
The note rate for the Class A1 and A2 Notes (collectively, the
Class A Notes) will reduce to 0.25% if the Home Price Percentage
(as measured using S&P Global Ratings' CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S.
National Home Price Index) declines by 30% or more compared with
the value on the cut-off date.
If the notes are not paid in full or redeemed by the Issuer on the
Expected Repayment Date in May 2030, the Issuer will be required to
conduct an auction within 180 calendar days of the Expected
Repayment Date to offer all the mortgage assets and use the
proceeds, net of fees and expenses from auction, to be applied to
payments to all amounts owed. If the proceeds of the auction are
not sufficient to cover all the amounts owed, the Issuer will be
required to conduct an auction within six months of the previous
auction.
If, on any Payment Date the average one-month conditional
prepayment rate over the immediately preceding six-month period is
equal to or greater than 25%, 50% of available funds remaining
after payment of fees and expenses and interest to the Class A
Notes will be deposited into the Refunding Account, which may be
used to purchase additional mortgage loans.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amount and Interest Accrual Amounts.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BRIDGECREST LENDING 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc finalized its provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of notes to be issued by Bridgecrest Lending Auto
Securitization Trust 2025-2 (BLAST 2025-2 or the Issuer):
-- $83,300,000 Class A-1 Notes at R-1 (high) (sf)
-- $151,470,000 Class A-2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $100,980,000 Class A-3 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $79,900,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $100,725,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $148,750,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $56,526,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, proposed ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of OC, subordination, amounts
held in the reserve fund, and excess spread, if any. Credit
enhancement levels are sufficient to support the Morningstar
DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL) assumption under various
stress scenarios.
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms in which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
payment of timely interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date for each respective class.
(2) BLAST 2025-2 provides for the Notes' coverage multiples that
are slightly below the Morningstar DBRS range of multiples set
forth in the criteria for this asset class. Morningstar DBRS
believes that this is warranted, given the magnitude of expected
loss, company history, and structural features of the transaction.
(3) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 28.00% based on the
expected pool composition for both the base and the upsize pools.
(4) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update, published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
(5) The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originations, underwriting, and servicing are as follows:
-- DriveTime has an experienced and stable management team and has
had relatively stable performance in varying economic environments
because of its expertise in the subprime auto market.
-- Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational review of
DriveTime and Bridgecrest and considers the entities acceptable
originators and servicers of subprime auto loans.
-- Morningstar DBRS did not perform an operational review of GoFi
given its relatively small contribution to the pool.
-- DriveTime has made substantial investments in technology and
infrastructure to continue to improve its ability to predict
borrower behavior, manage risk, and mitigate loss.
-- DriveTime has centrally developed and maintained underwriting
and loan servicing platforms. Underwriting is performed in the
DriveTime dealerships by specially trained DriveTime employees.
-- Computershare, an experienced auto-loan servicer, is the
standby servicer for the portfolio in this transaction.
(6) The quality and consistency of historical static pool data for
DriveTime originations and performance of the DriveTime auto loan
portfolio.
(7) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that are
expected to address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with DriveTime,
that the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and the consistency with the Morningstar DBRS Legal
Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
The transaction represents a securitization of a portfolio of motor
vehicle installment sales contracts originated by DriveTime Car
Sales Company, LLC and GoFi, LLC. DriveTime Car Sales Company, LLC
is a wholly owned subsidiary of DriveTime, a leading used-vehicle
retailer in the United States that focuses primarily on the sale
and financing of vehicles to the subprime market. GoFi is an
AI-enabled, digital-first lending platform primarily focused on
franchise dealers.
The rating on the Class A Notes reflects 62.00% of initial hard
credit enhancement provided by the subordinated notes in the pool
(45.40%), the reserve account (1.50%), and OC (15.10%). The ratings
on the Class B, C, D, and E Notes reflect 52.60%, 40.75%, 23.25%,
and 16.60% of initial hard credit enhancement, respectively.
Additional credit support may be provided from excess spread
available in the structure.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the securities referenced
herein address the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the Noteholders' Monthly Accrued Interest and the
related Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
BRYANT PARK 2023-20: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-L, A-a-R, A-b-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R debt from Bryant
Park Funding 2023-20 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 LLC, a CLO
managed by Marathon Asset Management L.P. that was originally
issued in May 2023. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on
the original class A-1, A-2, B, C, D, and E debt following payment
in full on the June 2, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The weighted average cost of the replacement debt is lower than
the existing debt.
-- The non-call period was extended to July 2027.
-- The reinvestment period and stated maturity dates were extended
to July 2030 and April 2038, respectively.
-- The new class F-R debt was issued in connection with this
refinancing.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 LLC
Class A-L loans, $142.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-a-R, $98.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-b-R(i), $0.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $64.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.75 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $5.25 million: B- (sf)
(i)Class A-b-R has zero balance as of the refinancing date, and
class A-L loans can be converted to class A-b-R notes.
Ratings Withdrawn
Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2023-20 LLC
Subordinated notes, $36.50 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
BSPDF 2025-FL2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class H Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
BSPDF 2025-FL2 Issuer, LLC as follows:
- $505,323,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $118,505,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $61,488,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $49,191,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,067,000a class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,534,000a class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,180,000b class F 'BB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,769,000b class G 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $19,006,000b class H 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $69,314,445b class J.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Retained interest, totaling 13.000% of the notional amount of
the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $794,377,445 and does not include future funding.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of
May 29, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes are collateralized by 38 loans secured by 62 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $794,377,445 as
of the cut-off date. The pool may also include ramp-up collateral
interest of $100.0 million. The pool includes two delayed close
loans totaling $84.1 million, which are expected to close within 90
days following the closing date.
The loans and interests securing the notes will be owned by BSPDF
2025-FL2 Issuer, LLC, as issuer of the notes. The servicer will be
Situs Asset Management LLC and the special servicer will be BSP
Special Servicer, LLC. The trustee and the note administrator will
be U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association. The notes will
follow a sequential paydown structure.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's
collateral, including site inspections on 43.2% of the loans by
balance, cash flow analysis on 88.3% of the pool and asset summary
reviews on 100% of the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 30 loans
in the pool (88.2% by balance). Fitch's resulting aggregate net
cash flow (NCF) of $31.8 million represents a 11.95% decline from
the issuer's aggregate underwritten NCF of $36.1 million, excluding
loans for which Fitch utilized an alternate value analysis.
Aggregate cash flows include only the pro-rated trust portion of
any pari passu loan.
Lower Fitch Leverage: The pool has lower leverage compared to
recent CRE CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch
loanātoāvalue (LTV) ratio of 135.7% is better than both the
2025 YTD and 2024 CRE CLO averages of 137.9% and 140.7%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 6.9% is
better than both the 2025 YTD and 2024 CRE CLO averages of 6.6% and
6.5%, respectively.
Lower Pool Concentration: The pool is more diverse than any
Fitch-rated CRE CLO transaction. The top 10 loans make up 50.9% of
the pool, which is lower than both the 2025 YTD and 2024 CRE CLO
averages of 60.5% and 70.5%, respectively. Fitch measures loan
concentration risk with an effective loan count, which accounts for
both the number and size of loans in the pool. The pool's effective
loan count is 28.0. Fitch views diversity as a key mitigant to
idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss for pools with
effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: The pool 26.4% comprises IO loans, based on
fully extended loan terms. This is better than both the 2025 YTD
and 2024 CRE CLO averages of 90.9% and 56.8%, respectively. As a
result, the pool is expected to have 1.2% principal paydown by
fully extended maturity of the loans. By comparison, the average
scheduled paydowns for Fitchārated U.S. CRE CLO transactions
during 2025 YTD and 2024 were 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf'/'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria". Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Recovery Rating
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BSTN COMMERCIAL 2025-1C: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to HRR Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to five classes of
CMBS securities, issued by BSTN Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-1C,
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-1C:
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. HRR, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Note: Moody's previously assigned a provisional rating to Class XA
of (P) Aaa (sf), described in the prior press release, dated May
13, 2025. Subsequent to the release of the provisional ratings for
this transaction, the transaction was restructured so that Class XA
is no longer being offered. Based on the current structure, Moody's
have withdrawn Moody's provisional rating for the Class XA
certificate.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a single loan backed by a
first-lien mortgage on the borrower's fee condominium interests in
One Congress (the "Property"), which is 43-story Class A office
tower located in downtown Boston, MA. Moody's ratings are based on
the credit quality of the loans and the strength of the
securitization structure.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also considers a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
One Congress is a 43-story, Class A office tower that part of the
larger Bulfinch Crossing master-planned development in the North
Station neighborhood of Downtown Boston, MA. The tower encompasses
1,008,101 SF and has an elliptical shape that rises 600 feet with a
prominent sail-like form that unfolds up towards the sky. Due to
its height and local development restrictions, the Property
benefits from largely unobstructed panoramic views from most
floors.
The Property was recently completed by architects Pelli Clarke &
Partners in 2023 and was built to a very high level of
specification. It is one of the only office buildings in the
country with a LEED Platinum designation and achieves energy
efficiency far superior to most Class A office buildings as the
subject occupants enjoy superior air quality and access to natural
light.
The Property is adjacent to City Hall Plaza and serves as a
connection between the Financial District, West End, North End and
Beacon Hill. It also benefits from a central location near several
major transportation hubs including both North & South Station
providing service to commuter rail and Amtrak and is adjacent to
the MBTA Green and Orange Line.
The Property is approximately 99.0% leased, as of May 1, 2025, to
five unique tenants, with two of the tenants making the Property
their headquarters. The Property has a weighted average remaining
lease term of 14.0 years. The building features an approximately
10,000 SF retail spaces on the ground floor that is currently
vacant.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessments of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessments of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's makes various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also uses an adjusted loan balance that reflects
each loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 1.37X, compared to 1.27X
at Moody's provisional ratings due to an interest rate decrease,
which is higher than the first mortgage actual stressed DSCR (at a
9.25% constant) of 0.85X. Moody's DSCR is based on Moody's
stabilized net cash flow.
The whole loan first mortgage balance of $650,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 98.0% based on Moody's value. Adjusted Moody's
LTV ratio for the first mortgage balance is 92.5% based on Moody's
Value using a cap rate adjusted for the current interest rate
environment.
Moody's also grade properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and consider those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The collateral's
overall quality grade is 0.25.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: superior asset
quality, location and accessibility, high occupancy with tenant
headquarters, no term rollover and experienced sponsorship.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: soft market
fundamentals, tenant termination options, tenant concentration,
limited operating history, cash out, full-term IO, single asset
transaction and certain credit negative legal features.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in January 2025.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
BX TRUST 2019-IMC: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on Class G Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-IMC
issued by BX Trust 2019-IMC as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AAA (sf)
-- Class D at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at AAA (sf)
-- Class E at A (sf)
-- Class F at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (high) (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the relatively stable
performance of the transaction since the last credit rating action
in June 2024. While the trailing 12-month (T-12) period ended
September 30, 2024, net cash flow (NCF) was down 7.2% compared with
the YE2023 NCF, the loan continues to benefit from deleveraging
following the $175.0 million principal payment received in April
2024 as part of the loan's maturity extension to June 2026. Despite
the decrease in cash flow, the loan reported a debt service
coverage ratio of 1.19 times for the T-12 period ended September
30, 2024. The transaction is secured by a portfolio of 16
properties comprising 9.6 million square feet (sf) of premier
showroom space across two campuses (or markets) in High Point,
North Carolina, and Las Vegas. This unique property type is
susceptible to high cash flow volatility because of the short-term
nature of its lease contracts, the majority of which are less than
12 months. According to the most recent servicer-reported financial
figures, the NCF declined to $103.6 million as of the T-12 period
ended September 30, 2024, compared with the YE2023 NCF of $111.5
million.
At the previous credit rating action in June 2024, Morningstar DBRS
downgraded its credit ratings on Classes E, F, G, and HRR to
reflect the increased credit risk as exhibited in the downward
pressure in the loan-to-value (LTV) sizing benchmarks following
updates to the analysis. This includes an updated Morningstar DBRS
NCF of $109.3 million based on a haircut to the YE2023 figure. For
this review, Morningstar DBRS updated its value to $967.0 million,
which reflects a 45.0% decline from the July 2024 appraised value
of $1.76 billion. The value was based on Morningstar DBRS' NCF of
$101.5 million, derived from a 2% haircut to the NCF as of the T-12
period ended September 30, 2024, and a capitalization rate of
10.5%. The Morningstar DBRS value reflects an LTV of 100.8%.
Morningstar DBRS also maintained positive qualitative adjustments
to the LTV sizing benchmarks totaling 3.50% to reflect the property
quality, market fundamentals, and cash flow volatility, given the
collateral's identity as one of the premier furniture, design, and
showroom spaces in the U.S.
The loan is sponsored by affiliates of Blackstone Inc.
(Blackstone). Blackstone began purchasing individual properties in
the High Point market in 2011 and has owned all of the collateral
properties since 2017 when it purchased the three World Market
Center properties in Las Vegas and the 2.66 million-sf
International Home Furnishings Center in High Point. Property
management is provided by International Market Centers, Inc., an
affiliate of Blackstone and the largest operator of premier
showroom space for the furniture, gift, home decor, rug, and
apparel industries in the world. Including its ownership of the
noncollateral AmericasMart Atlanta, the sponsor owns the majority
of the Class A showroom space throughout the U.S. At loan closing,
Blackstone maintained $400.0 million of cash equity in the
transaction. The loan had an original final maturity in April 2024
but was modified, extending the loan term to June 2026, and
received a principal paydown of $175.0 million, reducing the
transaction balance by about 15.0% and notably increasing credit
support for the senior portion of the trust debt.
The collateral represents 88.0% and 92.7% of the Class A trade show
and showroom space in the High Point and Las Vegas markets,
respectively, with the allocated loan balance split between the 13
High Point properties (50.1%) and the three Las Vegas properties
(49.9%). Each market holds biannual home and furnishings trade
shows, staggered so that an event occurs once every quarter
throughout the year, with the spring and fall events held in High
Point and the summer and winter events held in Las Vegas. The High
Point market is convenient for its proximity to manufacturers,
while the Las Vegas market serves as a regional hub for buyers in
the western U.S. The quarterly events are positioned as
business-to-business trade shows focused on the home furnishings
and decor as well as gift industries. The events provide an
efficient channel for buyers to access and view products in the
highly fragmented industries with thousands of manufacturers and
more than 60,000 commercial buyers attending each event. The
attendance and pre-registration figures provided for the 2023 and
early 2024 events remain in line with the figures previously
reported for the 2022 and early 2023 events, with attendance
figures indicating a continued demand for in-person trade shows,
which is the most important demand driver for the collateral.
The Morningstar DBRS credit rating assigned to Class G is higher
than the results implied by the LTV sizing benchmarks. This
variance is warranted given the collateral's steady performance and
ability to maintain value, as evidenced by the updated appraisal
value reflecting a marginal increase in the collateral value since
issuance, as well as the recent significant cash equity infusion by
the sponsor.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CAFL 2025-RRTL1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class M2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RRTL1 (the Notes) issued by CAFL
2025-RRTL1 Issuer, LP (CAFL 2025-RRTL1 or the Issuer) as follows:
-- $208.7 million Class A-1 at A (low) (sf)
-- $25.7 million Class A-2 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $24.0 million Class M-1 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $26.1 million Class M-2 at B (low) (sf)
The A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects 30.45% of credit
enhancement (CE) provided by the subordinated notes and
overcollateralization. The BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 21.90%, 13.90%, and 5.20% of CE,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a two-year revolving
portfolio of residential transition loans (RTLs) funded by the
issuance of the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RRTL1 (the
Notes). As of the Initial Cut-Off Date, the Notes are backed by:
-- 198 mortgage loans with a total unpaid principal balance (UPB)
of approximately $155,373,146
-- Approximately $144,626,853 in the Accumulation Account
-- Approximately $1,460,510 in the Pre-funding Interest Account.
Additional RTLs may be added to the revolving portfolio on future
additional transfer dates, subject to the transaction's eligibility
criteria.
CAFL 2025-RRTL1 represents the fifth RTL securitization issued from
the CAFL shelf. Founded in 2014 and acquired in 2019, CoreVest, a
wholly owned subsidiary of Redwood Trust, Inc. (Redwood Trust), is
a specialty real estate lending and asset management company which
specializes in business purpose loans (BPLs) to residential real
estate investors, including term loans on stabilized properties and
bridge loans. In the 24 months ending December 2024, CoreVest
originated $3.3 billion of business purpose loans (BPLs), including
$2.1 billion of RTLs.
The revolving portfolio consists of first-lien, fixed- or
adjustable-rate, interest-only (IO) balloon RTL with original terms
to maturity primarily of 12 to 24 months. The loans may include
extension options, which can lengthen maturities beyond the
original terms. The characteristics of the revolving pool will be
subject to eligibility criteria specified in the transaction
documents and include:
-- A minimum non-zero weighted-average (NZ WA) FICO score of 735.
-- A maximum NZ WA Loan-to-Cost (LTC) ratio of 82.5%.
-- A maximum NZ WA As Is Loan-to-Value (AIV LTV) ratio of 70.0%.
-- A maximum NZ WA As Repaired Loan-to-Value (ARV LTV) ratio of
70.0%.
RTL FEATURES
RTLs, also known as fix-and-flip mortgage loans, are short-term
bridge, construction, or renovation loans designed to help real
estate investors purchase and renovate residential or multifamily
5+ and mixed-use properties (the latter is limited to 5.0% of the
revolving portfolio), generally within 12 to 36 months. RTLs are
similar to traditional mortgages in many aspects but may differ
significantly in terms of initial property condition, construction
draws, and the timing and incentives by which borrowers repay
principal. For traditional residential mortgages, borrowers are
generally incentivized to pay principal monthly, so they can occupy
the properties while building equity in their homes. In the RTL
space, borrowers repay their entire loan amount when they (1) sell
the property with the goal to generate a profit or (2) refinance to
a term loan and rent out the property to earn income.
In general, RTLs are short-term IO balloon loans with the full
amount of principal (balloon payment) due at maturity. The
repayment of an RTL is mainly based on the ability to sell the
related mortgaged property or to convert it into a rental property.
In addition, many RTL lenders offer extension options, which
provide additional time for borrowers to repay their mortgage
beyond the original maturity date. For the loans in this
transaction, such extensions may be granted, subject to certain
conditions, at the direction of the Collateral Administrator.
In the CAFL 2025-RRTL1 revolving portfolio, RTLs may be:
Fully funded:
-- With no obligation of further advances to the borrower,
-- With a portion of the loan proceeds allocated to a
rehabilitation (rehab) escrow account for future disbursement to
fund construction and/or interest draw requests upon the
satisfaction of certain conditions, or
Partially funded:
-- With a commitment to fund borrower-requested draws for approved
rehab, construction, or repairs of the property or interest draws,
if applicable, upon the satisfaction of certain conditions,
-- With an uncommitted option to fund additional mortgaged
properties.
After completing certain construction/repairs using their own
funds, the borrower usually seeks reimbursement by making draw
requests. Generally, construction draws are disbursed only upon the
completion of approved construction/repairs and after a
satisfactory construction progress inspection. Based on the CAFL
2025-RRTL1 eligibility criteria, unfunded commitments are limited
to 50.0% of the portfolio by the assets of the issuer (UPB plus
amounts in the Accumulation Account).
CoreVest Lines of Credit (LOC)
LOC is a product CoreVest offers to experienced RTL borrowers with
typically 10+ fix and flip transactions or rental properties. Such
LOC can be closed end or revolving, and typically have lower
leverage points than CoreVest fix and flip loans. These LOC require
both an initial sponsor underwrite (UW), as well as a property UW
for each related project.
Generally for revolving LOC, there is a replenishment period of 12
months and a total term of 18 to 24 months. During the
replenishment period, new properties/projects can be funded with
undrawn amounts available on the LOC. After the LOC replenishment
period, as properties/fundings get completed/paid down, the LOC
gets paid down as well. Like multiproperty blanket loans, there is
a collateral release premium so that the overall LOC LTV improves
as properties pay off and exit the LOC.
At LOC origination, CoreVest conducts a full sponsor UW upfront,
which includes a complete review of the sponsor's business plan,
strategy, and creditworthiness. Based on this review, CoreVest will
approve a maximum LOC amount for the sponsor. During the
replenishment period of the LOC, for every additional
property/funding request by the sponsor, a full property UW is
completed, which includes a review of the appraisal, title,
insurance, and the project's alignment with the sponsor's business
plan. In addition, third-party due-diligence review (TPR) is
conducted. CoreVest has no obligation to fund new
properties/projects in a LOC, even if there is undrawn balance
available, and may decline a request, if warranted, based on its UW
review.
Within an RTL securitization, each individual funding within a
revolving LOC functions similarly to adding an additional mortgage
loan during the revolving period of an RTL securitization. A
similar UW and TPR process would be applied to both an additional
property in a LOC and an additional loan in an RTL securitization.
Transaction eligibility criteria and concentration limits govern
the replenishment of LOC collateral in the same fashion as any
other RTL in the securitization. Even though LOC borrowers are
approved up to a certain line amount, there is no obligation by
CoreVest to fund additional fundings in a LOC, similar to how there
is no obligation by an RTL lender to a borrower to originate a new
RTL.
Once the RTL securitization reaches the end of the reinvestment
period, there exists the possibility that certain LOC may still be
within their replenishment periods. At that point, all amounts in
the securitization Accumulation Account would be released through
the waterfall and there would be no more replenishment of cash to
fund additional properties. If an LOC borrower requests a new
funding for a project during the securitization amortization
period, the Collateral Administrator (CoreVest) will advance funds
for such additional property. The additional funding would be
contributed to the Trust as collateral (adding to the credit
support of the securitization) and the Collateral Administrator
will reimburse itself for the funding from the cash flow waterfall,
only after all the rated notes have paid down to zero.
Cash Flow Structure and Draw Funding
A failure to redeem the Notes in full by the Payment Date in May
2029 (Mandatory Auction Trigger Date) will trigger a mandatory
auction of the underlying mortgage loans. If the auction fails to
elicit sufficient proceeds to make-whole the Notes, another auction
will follow every four months for the first year, and subsequent
auctions will be carried out every six months. If the Collateral
Administrator fails to conduct the auction, holders of more than
50% of the Class M-2 Notes will have the right to appoint a
different auction agent to conduct the auction.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with
bullet pay features to Class A-2 and more subordinate notes on the
related Expected Redemption Date (ERD). During the reinvestment
period, the Notes will generally be IO. During and after the
reinvestment period, principal and interest collections will be
used to pay interest to the Notes, sequentially. After the
reinvestment period, available funds will be applied as principal
to pay down Class A-1, until reduced to zero. After Class A-1 is
paid in full and prior to the earliest of (1) the Class M-2 Note
ERD, (2) an Event of Default (EOD), or (3) the Mandatory Auction
Trigger Date, any available funds remaining will be deposited into
the Redemption Account. Class A-2 and more subordinate notes are
not entitled to any payments of principal until the earliest of (1)
an optional redemption date, (2) the Mandatory Auction Trigger
Date, (3) the related ERD, or (4) an EOD. If the Issuer does not
redeem the Notes by the payment date in November 2027, the Class
A-1 and A-2 fixed rates will step up by 1.000% the following
month.
The transaction incorporates a debt for tax structure and the
interest rates on the Notes are set at fixed rates, which are not
capped by the net weighted-average coupon (Net WAC) or available
funds. This feature, along with the bullet features, cause the
structure to have elevated subordination levels relative to a
comparable structure with fixed-capped interest rates and no bullet
feature because interest entitlements are generally higher, and
more principal may be needed to cover interest shortfalls.
Morningstar DBRS considered such nuanced features and incorporated
them in its cash flow analysis. The cash flow structure is
discussed in more detail in the Cash Flow Structure and Features
section of the related rating report.
There will be no advancing of delinquent (DQ) interest on any
mortgage by the Servicers or any other party to the transaction.
However, the Collateral Administrator or the Servicers are
obligated to fund Servicing Advances which include taxes, insurance
premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing properties. The Collateral Administrator or the
Servicers, as applicable, will be entitled to reimbursements for
Servicing Advances from available funds prior to any payments on
the Notes.
The Collateral Administrator will satisfy Draw Requests by (1)
directing release of funds from the Rehab Escrow Account to the
applicable borrower for loans with funded commitments; or (2) for
loans with unfunded commitments, (a) advancing funds on behalf of
the Issuer or (b) directing the release of funds from the
Accumulation Account. The Collateral Administrator will be entitled
to reimbursements for such Draw Advances from the Accumulation
Account.
The Accumulation Account is replenished from the transaction cash
flow waterfall, after payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain
a minimum required funding balance. During the reinvestment period,
amounts held in the Accumulation Account, along with the mortgage
collateral, must be sufficient to maintain a minimum credit
enhancement (CE) of approximately 5.20% to the most subordinate
rated class. The structure maintains this CE through a Minimum
Credit Enhancement Test, which if breached, redirects available
funds (1) to pay down Class A-1 and then (2) to the Redemption
Account, prior to replenishing the Accumulation Account.
The transaction also employs the Expense Reserve Account, which
will be available to cover fees and expenses. The Expense Reserve
Account is replenished from the transaction cash flow waterfall,
before payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain a minimum
reserve balance.
A Pre-funding Interest Account is in place for the first two months
of the securitization to help cover one month of interest payment
to the Notes. Such account is funded upfront in an amount equal to
$1,460,510. On the payment dates occurring in June and July 2025,
the Note Administrator will withdraw a specified amount to be
included in the available funds.
Historically, CoreVest RTL originations have generated robust
mortgage repayments, which have exceeded unfunded commitments
within the same portfolio. In the RTL space, because of the lack of
amortization and the short term nature of the loans, mortgage
repayments (paydowns and payoffs) tend to occur closer to or at the
related maturity dates when compared with traditional residential
mortgages. Morningstar DBRS considers paydowns to be unscheduled
voluntary balance reductions (generally repayments in full) that
occur prior to the maturity date of the loans, while payoffs are
scheduled balance reductions that occur on the maturity or extended
maturity date of the loans. In its cash flow analysis, Morningstar
DBRS evaluated CoreVest's historical mortgage repayments relative
to draw commitments and incorporated several stress scenarios where
paydowns may or may not sufficiently cover draw commitments. Please
see the Cash Flow Analysis section of the related rating report for
more details.
Other Transaction Features
Optional Redemption
On any date on or after the earlier of (1) the Payment Date
following the termination of the Reinvestment Period or (2) the
date on which the aggregate Note Amount falls to less than 25% of
the initial Note Amount, the Issuer, at its option, may purchase
all the outstanding Notes at par plus interest and fees.
Seller Repurchase Option
The Seller will have the option to repurchase any DQ or credit risk
mortgage loan at the Repurchase Price, which is equal to par plus
interest and fees. However, such voluntary repurchases in aggregate
may not exceed 10.0% of the Closing Date UPB of the mortgage loans
(as increased by any approved Draw Requests on mortgage loans with
unfunded amounts, satisfied by the Collateral Administrator after
the Closing Date). During the reinvestment period, if the Seller
repurchases DQ or credit risk mortgage loans, this could
potentially delay the natural occurrence of an early amortization
event based on the DQ or default trigger. Morningstar DBRS'
revolving structure analysis assumes the repayment of Notes is
reliant on the amortization of an adverse pool regardless of
whether it occurs early or not.
Loan Sales
The Issuer may sell a mortgage loan under the following
circumstances:
-- The Sponsor is required to repurchase a loan because of a
material breach, a material diligence defect, or a material
document defect
-- The Seller elects to exercise its Seller Repurchase Option
-- An optional redemption or successful mandatory auction occurs.
U.S. Credit Risk Retention
As the Sponsor, Redwood Maple, through itself and a majority-owned
affiliate (the Originator), will initially retain an eligible
horizontal residual interest comprising at least 5% of the
aggregate fair value of the securities to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Natural Disasters/Wildfires
The pool contains loans secured by mortgage properties that are
located within certain disaster areas (such as those impacted by
the Greater Los Angeles wildfires). Although many RTLs have a rehab
component, the original scope of rehab may be affected by such
disasters. After a disaster, the Servicers follow a standard
protocol, which includes a review of the impacted area, borrower
outreach if necessary, and filing insurance claims as applicable.
Moreover, additional loans added to the trust must comply with R&W
specified in the transaction documents, including the damage R&W,
as well as the transaction eligibility criteria.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CARLYLE GLOBAL 2013-1: Moody's Ups Rating on $27MM D-R Notes to Ba3
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2013-1, Ltd.:
US$38M Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Dec 19, 2024 Upgraded to A2
(sf)
US$27M Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Dec 19, 2024 Affirmed B1 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$71M (Current outstanding amount EUR54,270,511) Class A-2-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Dec 19, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$36M Class B-RR Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 19, 2024 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
Carlyle Global Market Strategies CLO 2013-1, Ltd., originally
issued in February 2013, refinanced in August 2017 and partially
refinanced in July 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO)
backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured US loans.
The portfolio is managed by Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in August 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C-R and D-R notes is primarily a
result of the deleveraging of the senior notes following
amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last rating
action in December 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-2-R and B-RR notes
are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-RR notes have paid down by approximately USD34.6
million (9.2%) and it`s now fully repaid while Class A-2-R have
paid down by approximately USD16.7 million (23.6%) since the last
rating action in December 2024.
As a result of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has
increased across the capital structure. According to the trustee
report dated May 2025[1] the Class A, Class B, Class C and Class D
OC ratios are reported at 256.19%, 172.15%, 127.88% and 108.12%
compared to December 2024[2] levels of 209.23%, 156.03%, 123.01%
and 106.94%, respectively. Moody's notes that the May 2025
principal payments are not reflected in the reported OC ratios.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD172.8m
Defaulted Securities: USD2.6m
Diversity Score: 40
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3322
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.46 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for the reference
rate floors): 3.03%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.68%
Par haircut in OC tests: 2.29%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
CARVANA AUTO 2025-P2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB+(sf) Rating on F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Carvana Auto
Receivables Trust 2025-P2's automobile asset-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by prime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 4,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of 16.95%, 13.44%, 9.34%, 6.07%, and 7.38%
credit support (hard credit enhancement and haircut to excess
spread) for the class A (A-1, A-2, A-3, and A-4, collectively), B,
C, D, and N notes, respectively, based on stressed cash flow
scenarios. These credit support levels provide over 5.00x, 4.50x,
3.00x, 2.00x, and 1.73x coverage of S&P's expected cumulative net
loss of 2.75% for the class A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(2.00x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its
preliminary 'AAA (sf)', 'AA+ (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB+
(sf)' ratings on the class A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively,
are within our credit stability limits.
-- The timely interest and principal payments by the designated
legal final maturity dates under our stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which S&P believes are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' prime automobile
loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral, and our
updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A., which do
not constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Bridgecrest Credit Co. LLC
as servicer, as well as the backup servicing agreement with Vervent
Inc.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2025-P2(i)
Class A-1, $73.00 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $186.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $229.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-4, $96.28 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $27.31 million: AA+ (sf)
Class C, $29.26 million: A (sf)
Class D, $9.43 million: BBB (sf)
Class N(ii), $19.50 million: BB+ (sf)
(i)Class XS notes (unrated) will be issued at closing and may be
retained or sold in one or more private placements.
(ii)The class N notes will be paid to the extent funds are
available after the overcollateralization target is achieved, and
they will not provide any enhancement to the senior classes.
CFMT 2025-AB3: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class M5 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the Asset-Backed
Notes, Series 2025-1 (the Notes) to be issued by CFMT 2025-AB3, LLC
as follows:
-- $454.0 million Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $10.5 million Class M1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $8.4 million Class M2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $9.4 million Class M3 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $8.9 million Class M4 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $5.8 million Class M5 at (P) B (sf)
The (P) AAA (sf) credit rating reflects 13.2% of credit
enhancement. The (P) AA (low) (sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low)
(sf), (P) BB (low) (sf), and (P) B (sf) credit ratings reflect
11.2%, 9.6%, 7.8%, 6.1%, and 5.0% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Lenders typically offer reverse mortgage loans to people who are at
least 62 years old. Through reverse mortgage loans, borrowers have
access to home equity through a lump sum amount or a stream of
payments without periodically repaying principal or interest,
allowing the loan balance to accumulate over time until a maturity
event occurs. Loan repayment is required (1) if the borrower dies,
(2) if the borrower sells the related residence, (3) if the
borrower no longer occupies the related residence for a period
(usually a year), (4) if it is no longer the borrower's primary
residence, (5) if a tax or insurance default occurs, or (6) if the
borrower fails to properly maintain the related residence. In
addition, borrowers must be current on any homeowner's association
dues, if applicable. Reverse mortgages are typically nonrecourse;
borrowers don't have to provide additional assets in cases where
the outstanding loan amount exceeds the property's value (the
crossover point). As a result, liquidation proceeds will fall below
the loan amount in cases where the outstanding balance reaches the
crossover point, contributing to higher loss severities for these
loans.
As of the Cut-Off Date (March 31, 2025), the collateral consists of
approximately $523.07 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB)
from 1,631 performing home equity conversion mortgage reverse
mortgage loans typically on single-family residential properties,
condominiums, multifamily (two- to four-family), manufactured
homes, and planned unit developments. The mortgage assets were all
originated between 1996 and 2016. Of the total assets, 433 have a
fixed interest rate (29.76% of the balance), with a 5.225%
weighted-average (WA) mortgage interest rate. The remaining 1,198
assets have floating-rate interest (70.24% of the balance) with a
6.276% mortgage interest rate, bringing the entire collateral pool
to a 5.963% mortgage interest rate.
All the mortgage assets in this transaction are currently
performing loans. Further, all these loans are insured by the
United States Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD),
which mitigates losses vis-Ć -vis uninsured loans. See the
discussion in the Analysis section of the related presale report.
Because the insurance supplements the home value, the industry
metric for this collateral is not the loan-to-value ratio (LTV) but
rather the WA effective LTV adjusted for HUD insurance, which is
49.75% for these loans. To calculate the WA LTV, Morningstar DBRS
divides the UPB by the sum of the maximum claim amount plus the
asset value.
The transaction uses a sequential structure. No subordinate note
shall receive any principal payments until the senior notes (Class
A Notes) have been reduced to zero. This structure provides credit
enhancement in the form of subordinate classes and reduces the
effect of realized losses. These features increase the likelihood
that holders of the most senior class of notes will receive regular
distributions of interest and/or principal. All note classes have
available fund caps.
Classes M1, M2, M3, M4, and M5 (together, the Class M Notes) have
principal lockout terms insofar as they are not entitled to
principal payments prior to a Redemption event, unless an
Acceleration Event or Auction Failure Event occurs. Available cash
will be trapped until these dates, at which stage the notes will
start to receive payments. Note that the Morningstar DBRS cash flow
as it pertains to each note models the first payment being received
after these dates for each of the respective notes; hence, at the
time of issuance, these rules are not likely to affect the natural
cash flow waterfall.
A failure to pay the Notes in full on the Mandatory Call Date (May
2030) will trigger a mandatory auction of all assets. If the
auction fails to elicit sufficient proceeds to pay off the notes,
another auction will follow every three months for up to nine
months after the Mandatory Call Date. If these have failed to pay
off the notes, this is deemed an Auction Failure, and subsequent
auctions will proceed every six months.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amounts. In addition, the associated financial obligations for
the Class A Notes include the related Cap Carryover and Interest
Payment Amounts.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHASE HOME 2025-5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-5 (the Certificates) issued
by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-5 (CHASE 2025-5) as
follows:
-- $324.3 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $324.3 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $324.3 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $243.2 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $243.2 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $243.2 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $194.6 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $194.6 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $194.6 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $129.7 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $129.7 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $129.7 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $48.6 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $48.6 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $48.6 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9-B at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9-X1 at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $43.4 million Class A-9-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $81.1 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $448.8 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $11.4 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $11.4 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $11.4 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $6.9 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.9 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.9 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.3 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.6 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $953,900 Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X1, A-9-X2,
A-9-X3, A-11-X, A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-9-A, A-9-X1, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X,
B-1, and B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be
exchanged for combinations of depositable certificates as specified
in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9, A-9-A, and A-9-B) with
respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.90% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.50%, 2.05%, 1.15%, 0.60%, and
0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien,
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 419 loans with a
total principal balance of $502,058,292 as of the Cut-Off Date (May
1, 2025).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity from 15 to 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of three months. They are
traditional, prime jumbo mortgage loans. Approximately 67.1% of the
loans were underwritten using an automated underwriting system
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. In addition, all the loans
in the pool were originated in accordance with the new general
Qualified Mortgage rule.
JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB) is the Originator and Servicer
of 100% of the pool.
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS, will act as Securities
Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust National Association will act as
Delaware Trustee. JPMCB will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are Interest Distribution Amounts, the
related Interest Shortfalls, and the related Class Principal
Amounts (for Non-IO Certificates).
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHASE HOME 2025-5: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Debt
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2025-5 (Chase 2025-5).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Chase 2025-5
A-2 161935AA9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 161935AB7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3-X 161935AC5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 161935AD3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-A 161935AE1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-X 161935AF8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-A 161935AH4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 161935AG6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-X 161935AJ0 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 161935AK7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-A 161935AL5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-X 161935AM3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 161935AN1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-A 161935AP6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-X 161935AQ4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 161935AR2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-A 161935AS0 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-X 161935AT8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 161935AU5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-A 161935AV3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-B 161935AW1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X1 161935AX9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X2 161935AY7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X3 161935AZ4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 161935BA8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11-X 161935BB6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 161935BC4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13 161935BD2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13-X 161935BE0 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14 161935BF7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X 161935BG5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X2 161935BH3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X3 161935BJ9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X4 161935BK6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-X-1 161935BL4 LT AAAsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-1 161935BM2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-A 161935BN0 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-X 161935BP5 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-2 161935BQ3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-A 161935BR1 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-X 161935BS9 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-3 161935BT7 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-4 161935BU4 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-5 161935BV2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-6 161935BW0 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-R 161935BX8 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-5
(Chase 2025-5) as indicated above. The certificates are supported
by 419 loans with a total balance of approximately $502.44 million
as of the cutoff date. The scheduled balance as of the cutoff date
is $502.06 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality, fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations (reps) and warranties
(R&Ws) are provided by the originator, JPMCB. All mortgage loans in
the pool will be serviced by JPMCB. The collateral quality of the
pool is extremely strong, with a large percentage of loans over
$1.0 million.
Of the loans, 100% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage (SHQM)
average prime offer rate (APOR) loans. There is no exposure to
Libor in this transaction. The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate
loans. The certificates are fixed rate and capped at the net
weighted average coupon (WAC) or based on the net WAC, or they are
floating rate or inverse floating rate based off the SOFR index and
capped at the net WAC; as a result, the certificates have no Libor
exposure.
Fitch has assigned a 'AAAsf' final rating to class A-X-1 from a
prior expected rating of 'NR(EXP)'.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.1% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus vs. 11% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1%
since last quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable
home prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by high interest rates and elevated home prices.
Home prices have increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of February 2025
despite modest regional declines but are still being supported by
limited inventory.
High Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
419 high-quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with
maturities of 15 years to 30 years that total $502.06 million. In
total, 100.0% of the loans qualify as SHQM. The loans were made to
borrowers with strong credit profiles, relatively low leverage and
large liquid reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of five months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 768, as determined by Fitch,
based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and the
updated FICO for loans seasoned at 12 months or more. Based on the
transaction documents, the updated current FICO is 764. These high
FICO scores are indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A
large percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived
FICO score equal to or above 750.
Fitch has determined that 76.8% of the loans have a borrower with a
Fitch-determined FICO score equal to or above 750. Based on Fitch's
analysis of the pool, the original WA combined loan-to-value ratio
(CLTV) is 75.7%, which translates to a sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV)
of 84.1%. This represents moderate borrower equity in the property
and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower with a CLTV over
80%.
Of the pool, 100% of the loans are designated as SHQM APOR loans.
Of the pool, 100% comprises loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence (87.2% primary and 12.8% secondary).
Single-family homes and planned unit developments (PUDs) constitute
89.1% of the pool, condominiums make up 10%, co-ops make up 0.7%
and the remaining 0.2% are multifamily. The pool consists of loans
with the following loan purposes, as determined by Fitch: purchases
(87.4%), cashout refinances (2.7%) and rate-term refinances (9.9%).
Fitch views favorably that no loans are for investment properties
and a majority of mortgages are purchases.
Of the pool loans, 22.1% are concentrated in California, followed
by Texas and Florida. The largest MSA concentration is in the New
York MSA (8.5%), followed by the Los Angeles MSA (7.1%) and the San
Francisco MSA (7.0%). The top three MSAs account for 22.7% of the
pool. As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was
applied for geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
fewer recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association is the trustee that will advance as needed
until a replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the
ultimate advancing party.
Losses on the non-retained portion of the loans will be allocated,
first, to the subordinate bonds (starting with class B-6). Once
class B-1-A is written off, losses will be allocated to class
A-9-B, first, and then to the super-senior classes pro rata once
class A-9-B is written off.
Net interest shortfalls on the non-retained portion will be
allocated, first, to class A-X-1 and the subordinated classes pro
rata, based on the current interest accrued for each class until
the amount of current interest is reduced to zero, and then to the
senior classes (excluding class A-X-1) pro rata, based on the
current interest accrued for each class until the amount of current
interest is reduced to zero.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.50%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.90% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.2% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.25% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 59.9% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 59.9% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this
engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades and
assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions
and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports. Please refer
to the "Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF
RATING
The principal sources of information used in the analysis are
described in the Applicable Criteria listed below. In addition, the
following sources of information which are not discussed in the
criteria were used:
ESG Considerations
Chase 2025-5 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties and Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled
in Chase 2025-5, including strong transaction due diligence.
Additionally, the entire pool is originated by an 'Above Average'
originator, and all the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated
'RPS1-'. All these attributes result in a reduction in expected
losses and are relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, due to either their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CHASE HOME 2025-6: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-6 (the Certificates) to be
issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-6 (CHASE 2025-6)
as follows:
-- $371.9 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $371.9 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $371.9 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $278.9 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.9 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $278.9 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $223.1 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $223.1 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $223.1 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $148.7 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $148.7 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $148.7 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $55.8 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $55.8 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $55.8 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9-B at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9-X1 at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $51.1 million Class A-9-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-14-X at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-14-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-14-X3 at AAA (sf)
-- $93.0 million Class A-14-X4 at AAA (sf)
-- $516.0 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $12.6 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $12.6 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $12.6 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.1 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $7.1 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $7.1 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $5.2 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.7 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $1.1 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X1, A-9-X2,
A-9-X3, A-11-X, A-13-X, A-14-X, A-14-X2, A-14-X3, A-14-X4, A-X-1,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-9-A, A-9-X1, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-13, A-13-X,
B-1, and B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be
exchanged for combinations of depositable certificates as specified
in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, A-8-A, A-11, A-12, A-13, and A-14 are super senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Classes A-9, A-9-A, and A-9-B) with
respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.65% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.35%, 2.05%, 1.10%, 0.60%, and
0.40% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien,
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 471 loans with a
total principal balance of $575,637,829 as of the Cut-Off Date (May
1, 2025).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity from 15 to 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of two months. They are traditional,
prime jumbo mortgage loans. Approximately 55.7% of the loans were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system designated by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. In addition, all the loans in the pool
were originated in accordance with the new general qualified
mortgage rule.
JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB) is the Originator and Servicer
of 100.0% of the pool.
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association, rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS, will act as Securities
Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust National Association will act as
Delaware Trustee. JPMCB will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Interest Distribution
Amounts, the related Interest Shortfalls, and the related Class
Principal Amounts (for non-IO Certificates).
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHASE HOME 2025-6: Fitch Assigns B+sf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2025-6 (Chase 2025-6).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Chase 2025-6
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14-X4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-X-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-A LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-X LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-A LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-X LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-5 LT B+sf New Rating B+(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-6
(Chase 2025-6) as indicated above. The certificates are supported
by 471 loans with a scheduled balance as of the cutoff date of
$575.64 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality, fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations and warranties (R&Ws) are
provided by the originator, JPMCB. All mortgage loans in the pool
will be serviced by JPMCB. The collateral quality of the pool is
extremely strong, with a large percentage of loans over $1.0
million.
Of the loans, 100% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage (SHQM)
average prime offer rate (APOR) loans. The collateral comprises
100% fixed-rate loans. The certificates are fixed rate and capped
at the net weighted average coupon (WAC) or based on the net WAC,
or they are floating rate or inverse floating rate based off the
SOFR index and capped at the net WAC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.6% above a long-term sustainable
level. This is in contrast to 11% on a national level as of 4Q24,
down 0.1% since last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on
sustainable home prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has
been in decades driven by both high interest rates and elevated
home prices. Home prices have increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of
February 2025 despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
471 high-quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with
maturities of 15 years to 30 years and amounting to $575.64
million. In total, 100% of the loans qualify as SHQM. The loans
were made to borrowers with strong credit profiles, relatively low
leverage and large liquid reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of four months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 770, as determined by Fitch,
based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and the
updated FICO for loans seasoned at 12 months or more. Based on the
transaction documents, the updated current FICO is 767. These high
FICO scores are indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A
large percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived
FICO score equal to or above 750.
Fitch determined that 77.8% of the loans have a borrower with a
Fitch-determined FICO score equal to or above 750. Based on Fitch's
analysis of the pool, the original WA combined loan-to-value ratio
(CLTV) is 76.1%, which translates to a sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV)
of 84.5%. This represents moderate borrower equity in the property
and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower with a CLTV over
80%.
Of the pool, 100% of the loans are designated as SHQM APOR loans
and 0.00% are rebuttable presumptions QM loans.
Of the pool, the borrower for 100% of the loans maintains a primary
or secondary residence (86.2% primary and 13.8% secondary).
Single-family homes and planned unit developments (PUDs) constitute
90.4% of the pool, condominiums make up 8.5%, co-ops make up 0.6%
and the remaining 0.5% are multifamily. The pool consists of loans
with the following loan purposes, as determined by Fitch: purchases
(89.7%), cashout refinances (2.0%) and rate-term refinances (8.2%).
None of the loans are for investment properties and a majority of
the mortgages are purchases, which Fitch views favorably.
Of the pool loans, 24.2% are concentrated in California, followed
by Texas and Florida. The largest MSA concentration is in the Los
Angeles MSA (8.5%), followed by the Seattle MSA (7.6%) and the San
Francisco MSA (7.5%). The top three MSAs account for 23.6% of the
pool. As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was
applied for geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): Mortgage
cash flow and loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure, whereby the subordinate classes
receive only scheduled principal and are locked out of receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. The lockout
feature helps maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction. The applicable
credit support percentage feature redirects subordinate principal
to classes of higher seniority if specified credit enhancement (CE)
levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
fewer recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association as trustee will advance as needed until a
replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the ultimate
advancing party.
Losses on the nonretained portion of the loans will be allocated
first to the subordinate bonds (starting with class B-6). Once
class B-1-A is written off, losses will be allocated to class A-9-B
first, and then to the super-senior classes pro rata once class
A-9-B is written off.
Net interest shortfalls on the nonretained portion will be
allocated first to class A-X-1 and the subordinated classes pro
rata, based on the current interest accrued for each class until
the amount of current interest is reduced to zero, and then to the
senior classes (excluding class A-X-1) pro rata, based on the
current interest accrued for each class until the amount of current
interest is reduced to zero.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.25%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.75% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.9% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.13% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 57.1% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 57.1% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this
engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades and
assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions
and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports. Please refer
to the "Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
Chase 2025-6 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled in
Chase 2025-6, including strong transaction due diligence. The
entire pool is originated by an 'Above Average' originator, and all
of the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated 'RPS1-'. All of
these attributes result in a reduction in expected losses and are
relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CIFC FUNDING 2025-III: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to CIFC
Funding 2025-III, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
CIFC Funding
2025-III, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CIFC Funding 2025-III, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CIFC
Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.56, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.37% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.5% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.86%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 6.25% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-3 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'A-sf' for class D-3 and
'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CIFC Funding
2025-III, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2015-GC33: DBRS Cuts Rating on E Certs to C
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded credit ratings on six classes of Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-GC33 issued by
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-GC33 as follows:
-- Class B to A (high) (sf) from AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C to BBB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEZ to BBB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D to CCC (sf) from B (high) (sf)
-- Class X-D to CCC (sf) from B (high) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-AB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trend on Class B to Negative from
Stable and maintained the Negative trend on Classes C and PEZ.
Classes A-3, A-4, A-AB, A-S, and X-A continue to carry Stable
trends. There are no trends for Classes D, X-D, E, F, and G, which
have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' liquidated
loss projections and overall poor outlook for the ultimate
resolution of the sole loan in special servicing, Illinois Center
(Prospectus ID#1, 14.2% of the pool), and another large office loan
in the top 10 that is believed to be at a high risk for default, as
further discussed below. Projected liquidated losses for those two
loans would erode the full balance of Classes E, F, G, and H and a
small portion of the Class D certificate balance, supporting the
credit rating downgrade and Negative trend with this rating
action.
Morningstar DBRS also notes concerns regarding a few other
underperforming loans in the pool that could lead to additional
value stress and increase the likelihood of realized losses further
up the capital stack, another factor considered as part of the
credit rating downgrades and Negative trends. Morningstar DBRS has
refinance concerns for eight loans, representing 29.5% of the pool,
based on the in-place performance and/or lack of liquidity for
certain property types in the current environment. For these loans,
Morningstar DBRS applied stressed loan-to-value ratios (LTVs)
and/or elevated probability of defaults (PODs) to increase the
expected loss at the loan level as applicable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends for the AAA (sf)
and AA (low) credit-rated classes at the top of the capital stack
reflect Morningstar DBRS' view that the majority of the pool's
remaining loans will successfully refinance at their respective
2025 maturity dates, based on the most recent reported debt service
coverage ratios (DSCRs) with 83.4% of the pool reporting DSCRs
above 1.26 times (x). As of the May 2025 reporting, 43 of the
original 64 loans remain in the pool with an aggregate principal
balance of $646.7 million, representing a collateral reduction of
32.5% since issuance. There are nine loans, representing
approximately 10.8% of the pool, that are fully defeased, and 33
loans, representing 75.0% of the pool, that are on the servicer's
watchlist, most of which are being monitored for an upcoming
maturity. By property type, the pool is most concentrated by loans
secured by office properties (36.4% of the pool), followed by
retail (21.4% of the pool) and lodging (16.4% of the pool)
properties.
The largest loan in the pool, Illinois Center, is secured by two
adjoining Class A office towers in downtown Chicago. The loan has
been monitored on the servicer's watchlist for performance declines
and was transferred to special servicing in April 2024 for payment
default. Occupancy fell to 67.0% at YE2020 following the departure
or downsizing of several tenants, a trend that has continued at the
properties, as occupancy fell from 47.8% at YE2023 to 36.6% at
YE2024. Per Reis, the East Loop submarket reported an average
vacancy rate and rental rate of 18.4% and $25.4 per square foot
(psf) for 2024. Given the severely depressed occupancy rate and low
investor appetite for Chicago office product in the current
environment, Morningstar DBRS assumed a stressed haircut to the
issuance appraised value in its liquidation scenario for this loan
of 65.0%, resulting in a liquidated value of $136.5 million and a
loss severity of just over 50.0%. However, Morningstar DBRS
believes the ultimate sale price (or updated as-is appraised value)
could be even further stressed, a factor considered as part of the
credit rating downgrades in the middle of the capital stack and
Negative trends with this review.
The Decoration and Design Building (Prospectus ID#3, 9.3% of the
pool) is secured by the leasehold interest in an 18-story office
building that is mainly used as a showroom in Midtown Manhattan,
New York. The loan was placed on the servicer's watchlist in May
2023 for low occupancy after several tenants vacated. The property
was 66.7% occupied as of YE2024, relatively stable with the YE2023
figure of 66.5%, but trends in recent years have been showing
steady decline from the occupancy rate of 94.8% at issuance. The
property's net cash flow (NCF) has stabilized, with a YE2024 figure
of $17.4 million (a DSCR of 1.82x), up from $14.7 as of YE2023,
$15.7 million as of YE2022 and the Issuer's NCF of $22.1 million.
The property is also subject to a ground lease that had an initial
expiration in December 2023, with two renewal options that extend
the maturity to December 2063. As noted at issuance, per the land's
issuance appraisal, without accounting for inflation, ground rent
was expected to reset to an estimated $13.8 million in January
2024, well above the initial fixed rate of $3.8 million. At last
review, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the ground lease had been
extended for another 25 years; however, the increased ground rent
increases are more gradual than anticipated, increasing to $5.75
million in 2024 and $6.0 million 2026, when the loan is scheduled
to mature. Morningstar DBRS expects that performance is likely to
further decline, given the depressed occupancy and increased ground
rent. As such, Morningstar DBRS analyzed the loan with a stressed
scenario to increase the loan-to-value ratio and probability of
default to increase the loan level Expected Loss to a figure that
was almost the double the pool average.
Hamilton Landing (Prospectus ID#4, 9.3% of the pool) is secured by
seven office buildings totaling approximately 406,000 square feet
(sf) in the San Francisco Bay Area. The loan was placed on the
watchlist in December 2024 for occupancy-related concerns as well
as an upcoming maturity date in August 2025. Per the most recent
financial reporting, the properties reported a consolidated
occupancy figure of 70.0% as of September 2024, which represents an
increase from the YE2023 figure of 63.8%, but notably decreased
from the issuance figure of 91.8%. This figure could further
decline as the largest tenant, Visual Concepts Entertainment (30.3%
of NRA on two separate leases), has one of their leases (15.8% of
NRA) scheduled to expire in July 2025. The loan reported a Q3 2024
annualized NCF of $4.1 million and a DSCR of 1.53x. Both figures
mark improvements over the YE2023 figures of $2.8 million and
1.07x, respectively, but stark declines from the issuance NCF and
DSCR of $6.4 million and 2.42x, respectively. Given the location
and uncertainty with regard to the occupancy rate for the
collateral at loan maturity, Morningstar DBRS considered a
liquidation scenario for this loan based on a stressed haircut to
the issuance appraised value, which resulted in a liquidated value
of approximately $29.6 million and implied liquidated losses of
$30.4 million.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CITIGROUP MORTGAGE 2025-3: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to B-5 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 66 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by Citigroup
Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-3, and sponsored by Citigroup Global
Markets Realty Corp.
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (61.4% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (38.6% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by Citigroup Global Markets Realty Corp. originated by
multiple entities and serviced by PennyMac Loan Services, LLC,
PennyMac Corp. and Fay Servicing LLC.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-3
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-13*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-17*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-20*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-23*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-I-25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-I-26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-I-27*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-28, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-28*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-29, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-29*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-2IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.46%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.21% and reaches 7.54% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
COLT 2025-5: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Final Rating on Class B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by COLT 2025-5 Mortgage
Loan Trust (COLT 2025-5).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
COLT 2025-5
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The certificates are supported by 437 nonprime loans with a total
balance of approximately $289.9 million as of the cutoff date.
Loans in the pool were originated by multiple originators including
The Loan Store Inc., Northpointe Bank, Foundation Mortgage
Corporation and others. The loans were aggregated by Hudson
Americas L.P. and are currently being serviced by Select Portfolio
Servicing, Inc. (SPS).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 8.1% above a long-term sustainable
level versus 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices have increased 2.9% yoy nationally as of February 2025,
despite modest regional declines, but are still being supported by
limited inventory.
COLT 2025-5 has a combined original loan-to-value ratio (cLTV) of
73.6%, slightly higher than that of the previous Fitch-rated
transaction, COLT 2025-3. Based on Fitch's updated view of housing
market overvaluation, this pool's sustainable LTV (sLTV) is 80.1%
compared with 80.7% for the previous transaction. Although the cLTV
is higher than 2025-3, Fitch views sustainable values as higher and
ultimately views this pool as less leveraged with a lower sLTV.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 437
loans totaling $289.9 million and seasoned at approximately three
months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile, consisting of a 735 model FICO, and
moderate leverage, with an 80.1% sLTV and a 73.6% cLTV.
Of the pool, 45.5% of the loans are for a primary residence, while
54.5% comprise an investor property or second home, as calculated
by Fitch. In addition, 49.8% are nonqualified mortgages (non-QMs,
or NQMs) and 0.6% are safe-harbor qualified mortgages (SHQM) or
high price qualified mortgages (HPQM); the QM rule does not apply
to the remainder.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 22.0%. This is
mainly driven by the NQM/nonprime collateral and the concentration
of investor cash flow product (debt service coverage ratio [DSCR])
loans.
Loan Documentation and DSCR Loans (Negative): About 90.7% of loans
in the pool were underwritten to less than full documentation and
61.6% were underwritten to a bank statement program for verifying
income, which is not consistent with Fitch's view of a full
documentation program. Its treatment of alternative loan
documentation increased 'AAAsf' expected losses by approximately
6.1%, compared with a transaction comprised of 100% fully
documented loans.
144 loans, or 15.1%, were originated through the originator's
investor cash flow program, which targets real estate investors
qualified on a DSCR basis. These business-purpose loans are
available to real estate investors who are qualified on a cash flow
basis, rather than a debt-to-income (DTI) basis, and borrower
income and employment are not verified. Fitch's average expected
losses for DSCR loans is 32.8% in the 'AAAsf' stress.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure with Limited Advancing
(Mixed):
The structure distributes principal pro rata among the senior
certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs,
principal will be distributed sequentially to class A-1, A-2 and
A-3 certificates until they are reduced to zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will be made on
mortgage loans serviced by SPS for the first 90 days of
delinquency, to the extent such advances are deemed recoverable. If
the P&I advancing party fails to make a required advance, the
master servicer will be obligated to make such an advance.
The limited advancing reduces loss severities as a lower amount is
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. However, the additional stress on the
structure represents downside risk, as there is limited liquidity
in the event of large and extended delinquencies.
COLT 2025-5 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lower of a
100-bps increase to the fixed coupon or the net weighted average
coupon (NWAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest distribution amount will
be distributed to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates on and after
the step-up date if the cap carryover amount is greater than zero.
This increases the P&I allocation for the senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 40.3% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national level
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. A 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Selene, Clarifii, Opus, Canopy, and Maxwell.
The third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on
credit, compliance and property valuation review. Fitch considered
this information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% credit was given at the
loan level for each loan where satisfactory due diligence was
completed. This adjustment resulted in a 50-bps reduction to the
'AAA' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COMM 2014-LC17: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class G Certs
-------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit rating on one class of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-LC17
issued by COMM 2014-LC17 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also confirmed the credit ratings on the following
classes:
-- Class X-C at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BB (sf)
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D and
X-C to Stable from Negative. The remaining classes have credit
ratings that do not typically carry a trend in commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) transactions.
The Class E certificate has been accruing interest shortfalls since
November 2024 and has reached Morningstar DBRS' maximum tolerance
of six remittance periods of consecutive shortfalls for the BB (sf)
and B (sf) credit rating categories, supporting the credit rating
downgrade to CCC (sf) from B (low) (sf) on that class. According to
the April 2025 remittance, the servicer is no longer advancing any
interest due to the Class E certificate, as a result of the
specially serviced loan concentration. Only seven loans remain in
the pool, five of which (representing 78.3% of the current pool
balance) are in special servicing, and one of which, Paradise
Valley (Prospectus ID#26, 10.8% of the current pool balance) is
Real Estate Owned (REO). As of the April 2025 remittance,
cumulative unpaid interest totaled $5.3 million, up from $4.3
million at Morningstar DBRS' previous credit rating action in June
2024.
The credit rating confirmation on Classes D, X-C, F, and G are
supported by the conservative liquidation scenarios for all
specially serviced loans based on stresses to the most recent
appraised values to determine the recoverability of the remaining
bonds. Based on those liquidation scenarios, Morningstar DBRS is
currently projecting a total implied loss of approximately $24.7
million, resulting in a partial principal write-down of over 50%
for the CCC (sf) rated Class F certificate and a complete
write-down of the C (sf) rated Class G certificate and nonrated
Class H certificate. Morningstar DBRS' recoverability analysis
suggests a full recovery of the principal balance on the Class D
certificate is likely, supporting the credit rating confirmations
and trend changes on that Class and the corresponding notional
Class X-C, to Stable from Negative.
Since the last credit rating action in June 2024, 24 loans have
successfully repaid in full from the trust. As of the April 2025
remittance, the current trust balance was $116.0 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 90.6% from issuance. The
remaining two loans that are not specially serviced, U-Haul Pool
(Prospectus ID#9, 10.1% of the current pool balance) and Highwoods
Portfolio (Prospectus ID#24, 11.7% of the current pool balance)
have extended maturity dates in September 2029. To date, the trust
has incurred losses of approximately $35.9 million, depleting more
than 95% of the nonrated Class H certificate.
The largest specially serviced loan, Parkway 120 (Prospectus ID#5,
33.7% of the current pool balance) is secured by a
221,664-square-foot, five-story suburban office building in central
New Jersey. The loan failed to repay at its initial maturity date
in September 2024 and was subsequently transferred to the special
servicer later that month. According to the most recent servicer
commentary, a notice of default was sent to the borrower, and
foreclosure proceedings have been initiated. The special servicer
continues to gather information and discuss alternative workout
strategies deemed appropriate. According to the December 2024 rent
roll, the subject property was 91.2% occupied, a slight decline
from 96.0% at YE2023 but in line with the YE2022 figure of 91.0%.
The largest tenants include K. Hovnanian (28.1% of NRA, lease
expiry in June 2028), Fragomen, Del Ray, Bernsen (21% of NRA, lease
expiry in August 2026), and Tata Communications (7.4% of NRA, lease
expiry in March 2029). Over the next 12 months there is a marginal
tenant rollover concern as leases representing only 2.0% of the NRA
are scheduled to expire. Financial performance continues to
decline; according to the most recent financial reporting as of
YE2024, the loan reported a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of
1.18 times (x), compared with the YE2023 and YE2022 figures of
1.25x and 1.33x, respectively. The property generated $3.3 million
of net cash flow in 2024, a decline of approximately 13.0% from the
issuance figure. According to REIS, the Central New Jersey office
market had a vacancy rate of 19.4% as of Q1 2025. At issuance, the
subject property was valued at $60 million, and although a new
appraisal has yet to be made available, Morningstar DBRS expects
that the collateral's as-is value has declined significantly from
issuance given the softening office submarket fundamentals,
in-place cash flow declines and suburban location of the asset.
Morningstar DBRS' analysis for the loan included a liquidation
scenario based on a 60% haircut to the issuance appraised value.
Inclusive of the outstanding advances and expected servicer
expenses, the resulting loan loss severity was almost 50% or
approximately $20 million.
The second-largest specially serviced loan is Aloft Cupertino
(Prospectus ID#6; 28.5% of the pool). The loan is secured by a
123-key, limited-service hotel in Cupertino, California. The
subject is approximately a half-mile from Apple's 1 Infinite Loop
office. The loan failed to repay at its August 2024 maturity date
and was subsequently transferred to the special servicer. According
to the most recent servicer commentary, the borrower has agreed to
pay off the loan subject to waivers. The expected closing date was
April 4; however, the borrower had a one-time extension option of
30 days available to them. According to the Smith Travel Report
(STR) for the trailing 12 month period (T-12) ended December 31,
2024, the subject property reported an occupancy rate, average
daily rate (ADR), and revenue per available room (RevPAR) of 73.9%,
$201.56, and $149.03, respectively with a RevPAR penetration figure
of 126.5%. The subject property is also outperforming its
competitive set in terms of occupancy and ADR. At issuance, the
property was valued at $48.6 million, which did increase to $54
million in December 2021 and then declined to $39.7 million as of
September 2024, representing an overall decline of approximately
27% since issuance. Morningstar DBRS' analysis for the loan
included a liquidation scenario based on a 20.0% haircut to the
September 2024 appraisal. Inclusive of the outstanding advances and
expected servicer expenses, the resulting loan loss severity was
almost 5.0% or approximately $1.5 million.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2015-PC1: DBRS Cuts Class X-C Certs Rating to BB
-----------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on five classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-PC1
issued by COMM 2015-PC1 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class D to BB (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-C to BB (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class X-D to C (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-M at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-B at A (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued the credit rating on Class A-5, which
repaid with the May 2025 remittance. Morningstar DBRS changed the
trends on Classes C and X-B to Negative from Stable. Classes D and
X-C have Negative trends. The credit ratings on Classes E, F, and
X-D do not typically carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed
securities (CMBS) transactions. The trends on Classes A-M, X-A, and
B are Stable.
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
loss projections to the trust stemming from the 13 loans in special
servicing, which collectively represent 51.8% of the current pool
balance. In its previous credit rating action in June 2024,
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D, E, X-C, and X-D
to Negative from Stable to reflect the potential for increased
losses to the trust regarding the resolution of the seven loans in
special servicing at that time. One of the former specially
serviced loans, DoubleTree South Bend (Prospectus ID#25), was
liquidated from the trust in February 2025 with a minimal loss
severity of 0.1%, below Morningstar DBRS' expectation. Since June
2024, an additional seven loans, representing 28.6% of the current
pool balance, have transferred to special servicing for payment
default prior to or at the respective loan maturity dates.
In its current analysis, Morningstar DBRS liquidated 11 of the 13
specially serviced loans, resulting in aggregate liquidated losses
of $77.9 million, which erodes the full balance of Classes F and G
and partially erodes the balance on Class E. In addition,
Morningstar DBRS identified six loans, representing 27.6% of the
pool, as having increased risk of maturity default given recent
performance challenges, weakening submarket fundamentals, and
unfavorable lending conditions for specific property types. For the
loans with elevated refinance risk, Morningstar DBRS applied an
elevated probability of default penalty and/or a stressed
loan-to-value ratio in the analysis for this review. Should these
or other loans default, or should performance for the specially
serviced loans deteriorate further, Morningstar DBRS' projected
losses for the pool could increase, further supporting the credit
rating downgrade on Class D and the Negative trends on Classes D
and C.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends on Classes A-M,
B, and X-A reflect the overall stable performance for the
non-specially serviced loans in the pool, which have upcoming
maturities in June 2025 and which Morningstar DBRS expects to repay
at maturity.
As of the May 2025 remittance, 31 of the original 80 loans remain
in the pool with an aggregate principal balance of $422.9 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 71.1% since issuance as a
result of loan repayment, scheduled loan amortization, losses
associated with liquidated loans, and principal recoveries on
liquidated loans. Pool losses to date total $1.0 million and have
been contained to the unrated Class G, which has a current balance
of $44.7 million.
The largest loan in special servicing, 760 & 800 Westchester Avenue
(Prospectus ID#7, 7.2% of the pool), is secured by two Class A
office properties in Rye Brook, New York. The whole loan has pari
passu pieces securitized in the WFCM 2015-NXS1 (rated by
Morningstar DBRS) and COMM 2015-DC1 CMBS transactions. The loan
transferred to special servicing in April 2024 for imminent
monetary default. In November 2024, a two-year forbearance
agreement was executed with terms including a modification fee of
1% of the unpaid principal balance, accrued special servicing fees,
and reimbursement of lender costs and expenses.
As of the December 2024 appraisal, the combined occupancy rate at
the property was 80.9% compared with 87.3% in March 2024 and 90.0%
at issuance. There is considerable rollover risk through YE2025
with leases comprising 17.4% of the net rentable area (NRA)
scheduled to expire. According to a Q1 2025 Reis report, the
Harrison/Rye/East office submarket reported vacancy at 24.9%, which
is expected to remain elevated in the near term. As of the YE2024
financials, the net cash flow (NCF) and debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) were reported at $6.0 million and 0.96 times (x),
respectively, below the YE2023 figures of $6.6 million and 1.06x,
respectively. NCF remains well below the $8.1 million figure from
issuance.
An updated appraisal dated December 2024 valued the property at
$99.0 million, a 34.0% decline from the issuance appraised value of
$151.0 million. Given the loan's poor historical operating
performance, upcoming tenant rollover risk in a soft submarket, and
unfavorable lending conditions for suburban office product,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the loan with a liquidation scenario. In
the analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied a 20.0% haircut to the most
recent appraised value, which, inclusive of outstanding advances
and expected servicer expenses of $2.0 million, results in an
implied loan loss severity of over 20.0%, or $6.2 million.
The 100 Pearl Street loan (Prospectus ID#11, 6.4% of the pool) is
the loan with the highest Morningstar DBRS-projected losses. The
loan is secured by a 273,089-square-foot Class A office property in
downtown Hartford, Connecticut. The loan recently transferred to
the special servicer for imminent monetary default in March 2025
after the borrower indicated it would be unable to repay the loan
at the scheduled April 2025 maturity date. The subject has
underperformed historically, with occupancy most recently reported
at 60.0% as of the September 2024 rent roll with an associated DSCR
of 0.24x for the same period. Besides the largest tenant, Hartford
Health (27.6% of the NRA, lease expiry in January 2036), the
property has a granular rent roll with no other tenants comprising
more than 6.0% of the NRA. There is no significant tenant rollover
risk within the next 12 months; however, the Hartford Central
Business District submarket continues to report a high vacancy rate
at 21.0%, according to Reis Q1 2025 data. While an updated
appraisal has not been provided to date, given the considerable
declines in occupancy and performance, and a lack of investor
demand for the property type, Morningstar DBRS believes the asset's
current market value has declined considerably. As such,
Morningstar DBRS' analysis included a liquidation scenario,
applying a 60.0% haircut to the issuance appraised value of $37.5
million, which, inclusive of outstanding advances and expected
servicer expenses (which total nearly $1.7 million), results in a
loan loss severity over 50.0%, or approximately $13.8 million.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2016-667M: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class C Certs
-------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2016-667M issued by COMM
2016-667M Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class X-A at A (sf)
-- Class A at A (low) (sf)
-- Class B at BB (sf)
-- Class C at B (sf)
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
The trends on Classes X-A, A, B, and C are Stable, while Classes D
and E have credit ratings that typically do not carry a trend in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the underlying collateral, which is in line with
Morningstar DBRS' expectations since its previous credit rating
action in July 2024. The collateral property for the underlying
loan is a 25-story, Class A office building in Midtown Manhattan at
the corner of Madison Avenue and 61st Street, one block east of
Central Park. The property was constructed by a sponsor-affiliate
in 1985 and consists of 254,316 square feet (sf) of office space
and 14,832 sf of retail space. The $254.0 million whole loan is
interest only (IO) for the entire 10-year term. This transaction
consists of a $214.0 million trust loan, with an additional senior
$40.0 million A-2 pari passu note securitized in the CD 2016-CD2
transaction, not rated by Morningstar DBRS. The loan is sponsored
by Hartz Financial, a subsidiary of Hartz Group, Inc.
As part of the analysis for the July 2024 credit rating action,
Morningstar DBRS updated its net cash flow (NCF) and LTV Sizing
Benchmarks to account for the secular shift in office use and
demand, as well as the subject property's fluctuating occupancy
rate and prolonged cash flow declines from the issuance levels. The
most recently reported figures show in-place performance continues
to be depressed as compared with issuance expectations, with a
YE2024 NCF figure of $2.7 million (debt service coverage ratio of
0.33 times), representing a 67.1% decrease from the YE2023 NCF of
$8.2 million, NCF is expected to increase significantly throughout
2025 and 2026 as rental abatement periods for new and renewal
tenant leases expire. However, performance is expected to remain
below the issuer's NCF of $22.4 million derived at loan closing in
2016. The Morningstar DBRS NCF of $14.9 million, derived in July
2024, was based on leases in place, historical operating expense
information, and leasing costs based on recently executed new and
renewal leases.
According to the December 2024 rent roll, the property was 77.4%
occupied with a weighted-average rental rate of approximately
$126.0 per square foot (psf). As of May 2025, the property's
website shows availability, which suggests a leased rate of 87.5%,
an increase from the June 2024 leased rate of 84.2%. The delta
between the stated occupancy rate and the leased rate is primarily
related to the renewals and relocations for Michael Kors and
Redbird Capital (Redbird), which was noted by Morningstar DBRS in
its previous credit rating action. The servicer confirmed Michael
Kors took possession of its space in February 2025 after a delivery
delay caused by a slower buildout process than originally
scheduled. The tenant now occupies 10,613 sf (3.9% of the NRA) of
retail space on the first floor and will begin paying full,
unabated rent in October 2025 at a rental rate of $425.00 psf or
$4.5 million annually.
According to the servicer, the buildout for Redbird also
experienced delays, with projected rent commencement pushed into
2025 from the original expected lease start date of November 2024.
According to the property's website, 18,005 sf of space formerly
leased to Redbird is now available for lease, suggesting a majority
of Redbird's new space has been delivered. It also currently leases
6,600 sf on the 17th floor on a short-term basis. Ultimately,
Redbird will be the largest tenant at the property, occupying
42,223 sf (15.7% of the NRA) on a lease through October 2034,
paying a rental rate of $130.00 or $5.5 million annually.
Additional updates provided by the servicer include the lease
extension and contraction of Corvex Management, which will move
from the second floor to the 23rd floor on a seven-year lease,
expiring in September 2032. The tenant will downsize to 8,779 sf
(3.3% of the NRA) from 15,300 sf (5.7% of the NRA) and pay a
starting rental rate of $175.00 psf, a $10.00 psf increase over its
previous rental rate. Northwell Health (1.1% of the NRA) also
extended its lease by five years to November 2030; however,
Morningstar DBRS did not receive updated rental rate information
for the tenant. The other retail tenant at the property, Santoni
(1.5% of the NRA), will commence rental payments in July 2025 after
its one-year abatement period ends. The tenant's lease expires in
July 2034, and it will pay a starting rental rate of $400.00 psf or
$1.7 million annually with annual 3.0% rent steps. The property's
second largest tenant, BevMax Office Centers (11.9% of the NRA), is
a co-working space with a scheduled lease expiration in October
2028. The provided rent roll did not include a rental rate for the
tenant; however, annual rent was budgeted at $2.9 million ($90.00
psf) in 2024. Morningstar DBRS was unable to confirm the annual
rent paid by the tenant for the purposes of this review and notes
the increased operating risk for the tenant as the business model
for co-working space has been volatile in recent years.
According to Q1 2025 Cushman & Wakefield data, office properties in
the Madison Avenue / Fifth Avenue submarket reported an average
asking rental rate of $115.99 psf with vacancy at 23.4% for Class A
office properties. As a whole, the submarket has shown minor
improvement as Cushman & Wakefield reported Q4 2023 metrics of
$111.30 psf and 25.2%, respectively. While rollover risk throughout
2025 is limited to two tenants, occupying 4.0% of the NRA, the
suites for both tenants are currently listed as available on the
property's website with availability dates coinciding with the
tenants' respective lease expiry dates. Combined, those tenants
contribute $2.0 million in rental revenue. An additional four
tenants (12.6% of total NRA) have scheduled lease expiration dates
prior to loan maturity in September 2026. Inclusive of the upcoming
tenant relocations and known future tenant departures, property
occupancy would be 84.2% if no other leasing activity occurs
through Q3 2025. Morningstar DBRS was not provided with an update
regarding any additional pending leasing activity regarding
available space; however, the servicer confirmed the leasing
reserve and cash sweep reserve have balances of $1.2 million and
$4.7 million, respectively.
As noted above, the Morningstar DBRS Value was updated as part of
the July 2024 credit rating action; in the analysis for this
review, that value was maintained, which was based on a
capitalization rate of 7.00% applied to the Morningstar DBRS NCF of
$14.9 million. Morningstar DBRS also maintained positive
qualitative adjustments to the Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV) Sizing
Benchmarks totaling 4.0% to reflect the subject property's cash
flow stability reflecting the recent leasing activity, the property
quality, and the property's location within the Plaza District
submarket. The Morningstar DBRS concluded value of $212.6 million
represented a -71.3% variance from the issuance appraised value of
$740.0 million and implies an LTV of 119.5% on the whole loan
balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2019-GC44: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Certs to 'BBsf'
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded seven and affirmed nine classes of
COMM 2019-GC44 Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates. Fitch has assigned Negative Outlooks to four classes
following their downgrades. The Rating Outlooks remain Negative for
four of the affirmed classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
COMM 2019-GC44
A-2 12655TBH1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 12655TBK4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 12655TBL2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 12655TBM0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-M 12655TBP3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12655TBJ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12655TBQ1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12655TBR9 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
D 12655TAG4 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
E 12655TAJ8 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
F 12655TAL3 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
G-RR 12655TAN9 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-A 12655TBN8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12655TAA7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 12655TAC3 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
X-F 12655TAE9 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss has increased since Fitch's prior rating action to 5.8% from
4.7%. The transaction has seven Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs)
(25.6% of the pool), including four loans (19.0%) in special
servicing.
The downgrades reflect increased pool loss expectations, primarily
driven by the performance deterioration and receipt of a lower
updated appraisal value since the prior rating action on the
specially serviced FLOC 225 Bush (5.2% of the pool), along with
heightened loss expectations for the specially serviced FLOC 55
Green Street (3.8%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect the office concentration in the pool
of 27.7% and possible further downgrades with additional value
degradation, a prolonged special servicing workout and/or increased
exposure on the 225 Bush and 55 Green Street loans, as well as
limited performance stabilization on other FLOCs. The Negative
Outlooks also incorporate an additional sensitivity scenario on the
BOA Building Tulsa (1.6%) loan that assumes a higher probability of
default due to lease rollover concerns.
The largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating
action and largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is
the 225 Bush loan, which is secured by a 579,987-sf office property
located in San Francisco, CA. The loan transferred to special
servicing in November 2024 due to maturity default; the loan did
not repay at its Nov. 6, 2024, maturity date and as of the May 2025
remittance is categorized as non-performing matured. Occupancy has
been declining since issuance and the sponsor has been unable to
backfill increasing vacancies. According to the servicer, the
sponsor is not interested in retaining the property or executing a
loan modification.
The largest tenant at issuance, Twitch (14.5% of NRA), vacated upon
its lease expiration in August 2021. In addition, Knotel (4.6% of
NRA) and several other smaller tenants vacated upon lease
expiration. This caused occupancy to decline to 40% as of June 2024
compared to 47% at December 2023, 55% at December 2022 and 97.8% at
issuance. According to Costar, as of 1Q25, the submarket vacancy
and asking rents were reported at 30.5% $50.85 psf, respectively;
these metrics have significantly worsened from 8.1% and $75.29,
respectively, at the time of issuance.
The updated Fitch NCF of $10.6 million is 11% below Fitch's NCF at
the prior review and 54% below Fitch's issuance NCF of $23.2
million. The Fitch NCF reflects leases in place according to the
June 2024 rent roll and assumes Fitch's view of sustainable,
long-term performance. It includes a lease up of vacant office
spaces grossed up to a discounted rate below in-place rents and a
sustainable long-term occupancy assumption of 70%, which is in line
with the submarket.
Fitch's analysis incorporated a higher stressed capitalization rate
of 9%, up from 8.75% at the prior rating action and 7.75% at
issuance, to factor increased office sector and submarket
performance concerns, resulting in a Fitch-stressed valuation
decline that is approximately 80% below the issuance appraisal. The
Fitch value/sf is in line with recent comparable sales in the
market for similar quality assets. Fitch's 'Bsf' ratings case loss
of 40.1% (prior to concentration add-ons) reflects its updated
valuation of the asset and considers the potential for a loan
disposition by the special servicer given that a loan modification
is considered unlikely.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
55 Green Street loan, secured by a 54,414-sf office property
located in San Francisco, CA. The loan transferred to special
servicing in January 2024 after the sole tenant, Getaround, gave
notice in October 2023 that they would be terminating its lease
early. Getaround's initial lease expiration was March 2029. The
loan started trapping cash once the tenant gave notice to vacate,
and as of the May 2025 reporting, there was approximately $4.1
million in a reserve account, inclusive of a $2.1 million
termination fee paid by Getaround.
Per the April 2025 rent roll, the property was 48.0% occupied,
compared to 17% at Q2 2024, down from 100% in 2023. New tenants at
the property are Nexus Laboratories (17.6% of the NRA through
December 2025), and Twelve Labs (13.5%; February 2028). All the new
tenants at the property have been signing short-term leases.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating assumes a 38.1% loss case before concentration
adjustments. Fitch's analysis applies a 9.5% cap rate and a
sustainable long-term cash flow that incorporates the leasing of
vacant spaces to achieve 68.5% occupancy at rents of $50 psf.
Fitch's analysis also factors in a heightened probability of
default.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
USAA Office Portfolio, secured by five office properties totaling
881,490-sf located in Tampa, FL and Plano, TX. The United Services
Automobile Association (USAA) occupies all five properties under
four leases. USAA, a financial services and insurance company, is
on a long-term triple-net lease with 3% annual escalations. Two of
the four leases expire between 2029 (the year of loan maturity) and
2030, while the remaining two leases expire in 2033, four years
past maturity.
The property has remained fully occupied since 2020. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 2.72x at YE 2024, compared to 2.65x
at YE 2023, and 2.57x at YE 2022. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of
5.5% (prior to concentration adjustments) reflects a 10% cap rate
and 10% stress to the YE 2023 NOI.
The fourth largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
BOA Building Tulsa loan, secured by a 299,342-sf office building
located in Tulsa, OK. The property's largest tenants include: The
Summit Corporation (12.8% of NRA, leased through December 2029),
Pillars Financial (7.2%; January 2035), and Tulsa Community College
(7.2%, December 2026).
Per the August 2024 rent roll, the property was 79.7% occupied,
compared to 87% at YE 2023, 91% at YE 2022, and 90% at YE 2021. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.46x at Q3 2024, compared to 1.20x
at YE 2023, 1.48x at YE 2022, and 1.47x at YE 2021. Occupancy
declined after former largest tenant, Laredo Petroleum, Inc (31.6%
of NRA) did not renew its lease at the property upon lease expiry
in January 2023. Additionally, Bank of America, 6.3% of the NRA,
vacated upon its April 2024 lease expiration. Upcoming lease
rollover includes 11.4% of the NRA in 2025.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 14.3% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.5% cap rate, a 15% stress to the YE 2024
NOI, and factors a heightened probability of default. Fitch also
performed an additional sensitivity scenario that reflects a 100%
probability of default and resulted in a 28.6% 'Bsf' sensitivity
loss (prior to concentration adjustments). This scenario
contributed to the Negative Outlooks.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 5.1% to
$1.09 billion from $1.15 billion at issuance. Three loans (4.1%)
have been fully defeased. The pool comprises 29 loans (74%) that
are full-term interest-only (IO), and the remaining 26% is
amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due
to the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur;
- Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes with Negative Outlooks
are expected with continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs,
increased expected losses and limited to no improvement in class
CE, or if interest shortfalls occur;
- Downgrades to the 'AAsf' rated category could occur should
performance of the FLOCs, most notably from 55 Green Street, 225
Bush, and BOA Building Tulsa, deteriorate further or if more loans
than expected default at or prior to maturity;
- Downgrades for the 'BBsf' categories are likely with
higher-than-expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs, particularly the aforementioned office loans with
deteriorating performance and with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs.
- Downgrades to the 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf'' rated class would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or
default, or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to classes rated 'AAsf' may be possible with
significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled
with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and improved
performance on the FLOCs such as 55 Green Street, 225 Bush, and BOA
Building Tulsa;
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' rated class would be limited based on
sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
- Upgrades to the 'BBsf' rated classes are not likely until the
later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better than
expected and there is sufficient CE to the classes;
- Upgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' ratings are not
expected, but possible with better-than-expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CPS AUTO 2025-B: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the notes
issued by CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2025-B (the Issuer) as
follows:
-- $191,520,000 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $58,430,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $70,280,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $40,640,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $59,080,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization
(OC), subordination, amounts held in the reserve fund, and
available excess spread. Credit enhancement levels are sufficient
to support the Morningstar DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL)
assumption under various stress scenarios.
-- The Series 2025-B does not include a CNL trigger.
-- The Series 2025-B does not include a prefunding feature.
-- The Series 2025-B does not include called collateral from the
previous transaction.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and the payment of
principal by the legal final maturity date.
(3) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 20.75% based on the
Cutoff Date pool composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns: March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS's
moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic
scenarios, which were first published in April 2020.
(4) The capabilities of CPS with regards to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of CPS and
considers the company to be an acceptable originator and servicer
of subprime automobile loan contracts with an acceptable backup
servicer.
-- The CPS senior management team has considerable experience and
a successful track record within the auto finance industry,
managing the company through multiple economic cycles.
(5) The quality and consistency of provided historical static pool
data for CPS originations and performance of the CPS auto loan
portfolio.
(6) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that address
the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the nonconsolidation of
the special-purpose vehicle with CPS, that the trust has a valid
first-priority security interest in the assets, and the consistency
with Morningstar DBRS's "Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured
Finance."
CPS is an independent full-service automotive financing and
servicing company that provides (1) financing to borrowers who do
not typically have access to prime credit-lending terms for the
purchase of late-model vehicles and (2) refinancing of existing
automotive financing.
The rating on the Class A Notes reflects 57.40% of initial hard
credit enhancement provided by the subordinated notes in the pool
(52.00%), the reserve account (1.00%), and OC (4.40%). The ratings
on the Class B, C, D, and E Notes reflect 44.10%, 28.10%, 18.85%,
and 5.40% of initial hard credit enhancement, respectively.
Additional credit support may be provided from excess spread
available in the structure.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the securities referenced herein
addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated notes
are the related Noteholders' Monthly Interest Distributable Amount
and the related Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
CRIBS MORTGAGE 2025-RTL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on M2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-RTL1 (the Notes) issued by CRIBS
Mortgage Trust 2025-RTL1 (CRIBS 2025-RTL1 or the Issuer) as
follows:
-- $167.9 million Class A1 at A (low) (sf)
-- $14.9 million Class A2 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $16.2 million Class M1 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $13.2 million Class M2 at B (sf)
The (P) A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects 25.40% of credit
enhancement (CE) provided by the subordinated notes and
overcollateralization. The BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(sf) credit ratings reflect 18.80%, 11.60%, and 5.75% of CE,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a 24-month revolving
portfolio of residential transition loans (RTLs) funded by the
issuance of the Notes. As of the Initial Cut-Off Date, the Notes
are backed by:
-- 346 mortgage loans with a total principal balance of
approximately $169,631,405; and
-- Approximately $55,368,595 in the Accumulation Account.
-- Approximately $2,000,000 in the Pre-Funding Interest Account.
Additional RTLs may be added to the revolving portfolio on future
additional transfer dates, subject to the transaction's eligibility
criteria.
CRIBS 2025-RTL1 represents the first RTL securitization issued by
the Sponsor, Colchis RBLF L.P. (Colchis RBLF). Formed in 2020,
Colchis RBLF is a Delaware limited partnership headquartered in San
Francisco, California. Colchis RBLF invests primarily in short term
residential transition loans collateralized by single-family homes.
Colchis Capital Management, L.P. (CCMLP), a SEC registered
investment adviser formed in 2012, is an alternative investment
firm that leverages technology, analytics, and operating experience
to invest in residential credit, single family rental, and
specialty finance.
The revolving portfolio generally consists of first-lien,
fixed-rate, interest-only (IO) balloon RTL with original terms to
maturity primarily of 12 to 24 months. The loans may be extended,
which can lengthen maturities beyond the original terms. The
characteristics of the revolving pool will be subject to
eligibility criteria specified in the transaction documents and
include, but are not limited to:
-- A minimum non-zero weighted-average (NZ WA) FICO score of 730.
-- A maximum WA Loan-to-Cost ratio (LTC) of 85.0% (Non-Ground Up
Construction).
-- A maximum WA LTC of 75.0% (Ground Up Construction).
-- A maximum NZ WA As Repaired Loan-to-Value ratio (ARV LTV) of
70.0%.
RTL Features
RTLs, also known as fix-and-flip mortgage loans, are short-term
bridge, construction, or renovation loans designed to help real
estate investors purchase and renovate residential or multifamily
5+ and mixed used properties (the latter is limited to 5.0% of
revolving portfolio in Morningstar DBRS rated securitizations),
generally within 12 to 36 months. RTLs are similar to traditional
mortgages in many aspects but may differ significantly in terms of
initial property condition, construction draws, and the timing and
incentives by which borrowers repay principal. For traditional
residential mortgages, borrowers are generally incentivized to pay
principal monthly, so they can occupy the properties while building
equity in their homes. In the RTL space, borrowers repay their
entire loan amount when they (1) sell the property with the goal to
generate a profit or (2) refinance to a term loan and rent out the
property to earn income.
In general, RTLs are short-term IO balloon loans with the full
amount of principal (balloon payment) due at maturity. The
repayment of an RTL is mainly based on the ability to sell the
related mortgaged property or to convert it into a rental property.
In addition, many RTL lenders offer extension options, which
provide additional time for borrowers to repay their mortgage
beyond the original maturity date. For the loans in this
transaction, such extensions may be granted, subject to certain
conditions, at the direction of the Collateral Manager.
In the CRIBS 2025-RTL1 revolving portfolio, RTLs may be:
-- Fully funded with no obligation of further advances to the
borrower, or
-- Partially funded with a commitment to fund borrower-requested
draws for approved rehab, construction, or repairs of the property
(Rehabilitation Disbursement Requests) upon the satisfaction of
certain conditions.
After completing certain construction/repairs using their own
funds, the borrower usually seeks reimbursement by making draw
requests. Generally, construction draws are disbursed only upon the
completion of approved construction/repairs and after a
satisfactory construction progress inspection. Based on the CRIBS
2025-RTL1 eligibility criteria, unfunded commitments are limited to
50.0% of the assets of the issuer, which includes (1) the unpaid
principal balance (UPB) of the mortgage loans and (2) amounts in
the Accumulation Account.
Cash Flow Structure and Draw Funding
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
During the reinvestment period, the Notes will generally be IO.
After the reinvestment period, principal will be applied to pay
down the Notes, sequentially. If the Issuer does not redeem the
Notes by the payment date in November 2027, the Class A1 and A2
fixed rates listed in the Credit Ratings table will step up by
1.000% the following month.
There will be no advancing of delinquent (DQ) interest on any
mortgage by the Servicers or any other party to the transaction.
However, the Servicers, Asset Managers or Collateral Manager, as
applicable, are obligated to fund Servicing Advances which include
taxes, insurance premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the
course of servicing and disposing properties. Each Servicer, Asset
Manager or Collateral Manager on behalf of the Issuer will be
entitled to reimburse itself for Servicing Advances from available
funds prior to any payments on the Notes.
The Asset Managers, Servicers, or subservicers, as applicable, will
satisfy Rehabilitation Disbursement Requests for loans with
unfunded commitments by advancing funds from their own funds
(Rehabilitation Advance) or from funds advanced or prefunded by the
Sponsor or its affiliates on behalf of the Issuer (Rehabilitation
Advance Shortfall Amount). The advancing party will ultimately be
entitled to reimbursements for Rehabilitation Disbursement Requests
from the Accumulation Account after the Collateral Manager's
satisfactory evaluation of the Rehabilitation Disbursement
Request.
The Accumulation Account is replenished from the transaction cash
flow waterfall, after payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain
a minimum required funding balance. During the reinvestment period,
amounts held in the Accumulation Account, along with the mortgage
collateral, must be sufficient to maintain a minimum credit
enhancement (CE) of approximately 5.75% to the most subordinate
rated class. The transaction incorporates a Minimum Credit
Enhancement Test during the reinvestment period, which if breached,
redirects available funds to pay down the Notes, sequentially,
prior to replenishing the Accumulation Account, to maintain the
minimum CE for the rated Notes.
The transaction also employs the Expense Reserve Account, which
will be available to cover fees and expenses. The Expense Reserve
Account is replenished from the transaction cash flow waterfall,
before payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain a minimum
reserve balance.
A Pre-funding Interest Account is in place to help cover the first
three months of interest payments to the Notes. Such account will
be funded upfront in an amount equal to $2,000,000. On the payment
dates occurring in June, July, and August 2025, the Paying Agent
will withdraw a specified amount to be included in available
funds.
Historically, RTL originations reviewed by Morningstar DBRS have
generated robust mortgage repayments, which have been able to cover
unfunded commitments in securitizations. In the RTL space, because
of the lack of amortization and the short-term nature of the loans,
mortgage repayments (paydowns and payoffs) tend to occur closer to
or at the related maturity dates when compared with traditional
residential mortgages. Morningstar DBRS considers paydowns to be
unscheduled voluntary balance reductions (generally repayments in
full) that occur prior to the maturity date of the loans, while
payoffs are scheduled balance reductions that occur on the maturity
or extended maturity date of the loans. In its cash flow analysis,
Morningstar DBRS evaluated mortgage repayments relative to draw
commitments for Colchis Asset Management, LLC's historical
acquisitions and incorporated several stress scenarios where
paydowns may or may not sufficiently cover draw commitments. Please
see the Cash Flow Analysis section of the rating report for more
details.
Other Transaction Features
Optional Redemption
On any date on or after the earlier of (1) the Payment Date
following the termination of the Reinvestment Period or (2) the
date on which the aggregate Note Amount falls to less than 25% of
the initial Closing Date Note Amount, the Issuer, at its option,
may purchase all of the outstanding Notes at par plus interest and
fees.
Repurchase Option
The Depositor will have the option to repurchase any 60 days or
more DQ or defaulted mortgage loan at the Repurchase Price, which
is equal to par plus interest and fees. However, such voluntary
repurchases may not exceed 10.0% of the cumulative UPB of the
mortgage loans as of the applicable Cut-Off Date (as increased by
any approved Rehabilitation Disbursement Requests, satisfied by the
related Servicer or Asset Manager). During the reinvestment period,
if the Depositor repurchases DQ or defaulted loans, this could
potentially delay the natural occurrence of an early amortization
event based on the DQ or default trigger. Morningstar DBRS'
revolving structure analysis assumes the repayment of Notes is
reliant on the amortization of an adverse pool regardless of
whether it occurs early or not.
Loan Sales
The Issuer may sell a mortgage loan under the following
circumstances:
-- The Seller is required to purchase a loan that has a material
representations and warranties (R&W) breach, a material document
defect, a diligence defect, or is a non-real estate mortgage
investment conduit qualified mortgage loan,
-- The Depositor elects to exercise its Repurchase Option,
-- An optional redemption occurs, or
-- A Participant exercises its option to purchase a defaulted
Participation Loan.
U.S. Credit Risk Retention
As the Sponsor, Colchis RBLF will initially retain an eligible
horizontal residual interest comprising at least 5% of the
aggregate fair value of the securities (the Class XS Notes) to
satisfy the credit risk retention requirements.
Natural Disasters/Wildfires
The pool contains loans secured by properties that are located
within certain disaster areas (such as those impacted by the
Greater Los Angeles wildfires). Although many RTL already have a
rehab component, the original scope of rehab may be affected by
such disasters. After a disaster, the Servicers, Asset Managers,
and Collateral Manager follow standard protocol, which includes a
review of the impacted area, borrower outreach, and filing
insurance claims as applicable. Moreover, additional loans added to
the trust must comply with R&W specified in the transaction
documents, including the damage R&W, as well as the transaction
eligibility criteria.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CSAIL 2015-C2: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on four classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-C2
issued by CSAIL 2015-C2 Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class C to BB (high) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D to CCC (sf) from B (high) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class X-E to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at A (sf)
-- Class B at A (low) (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes B and X-B to Stable
from Negative; Class C continues to carry a Negative trend. All
remaining classes carry Stable trends, except for Classes D, E, F,
and X-E, which have credit ratings that do not typically carry a
trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit
ratings.
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
liquidated loss projections since the previous credit rating action
in May 2024. Since that time, 80 loans in the pool have repaid. As
of the May 2025 remittance, only 24 loans remain in the pool with
an aggregate principal amount of $401.7 million, representing a
collateral reduction of 70.9% since issuance. In the analysis for
this review, Morningstar DBRS liquidated all 10 specially serviced
loans (41.4% of the current pool balance) based on conservative
haircuts to the most recent appraised values. Morningstar DBRS'
estimated liquidated losses are likely to erode through the bottom
of the capital stack, ultimately chewing through more than 60% of
the Class E certificate, a primary consideration in the credit
rating downgrades for Classes D and E. While Morningstar DBRS
expects most of the maturing loans are likely to successfully
refinance and repay from the pool, six loans, representing
approximately 22% of the current pool balance, were identified as
being at increased risk of maturity default based on concentrated
upcoming rollover or recent declines in performance. While Class C
would be insulated from losses based on the current liquidated loss
projections, the credit rating downgrade and Negative trend reflect
Morningstar DBRS' view that there could be further value declines
for loans in special servicing through the remainder of the workout
periods. In addition, as the pool continues to wind down, there is
an increased propensity for interest shortfalls on that class.
Interest shortfalls have increased to $4.4 million as of the May
2025 reporting, with interest being shorted up to the Class C
certificate, compared with the total interest shortfall amount of
$3.1 million, contained to the Class NR certificate, at the
previous credit rating action in May 2024. Morningstar DBRS'
wind-down scenario also indicated that the senior
investment-grade-rated classes are well insulated from liquidated
losses, with nearly $125.5 million in remaining credit support
beneath the Class B certificate based on current loss projections,
thereby supporting the change to Stable trends on both the Class B
and Class X-B certificates. Morningstar DBRS concluded that the
transaction's most senior classes in Class A-4, A-S, and B, are
likely to be fully repaid from scheduled loan repayments and
liquidation proceeds, the primary consideration in the credit
rating confirmations for those classes.
The largest contributor for the uptick in projected liquidated
losses from the previous credit rating action is the liquidation
scenario considered for the largest loan in the pool, Westfield
Wheaton (Prospectus ID#1, 23.7% of the current pool balance), which
transferred to special servicing in March 2025 for maturity
default. The pari passu loan also has loan pieces in two other
Morningstar DBRS-rated CMBS transactions: CSAIL 2015-C1 and CSAIL
2015-C3. The loan is secured by a super-regional mall in Wheaton,
Maryland, owned and operated by the loan sponsor,
Unibal-Rodamco-Westfield (URW). In recent years, URW has been
selling off assets within its United States-based portfolio, and
the servicer reports there are active negotiations ongoing with a
prospective buyer for the subject property. As of the YE2024
financials, the property was 99.0% occupied, a notable increase
from the YE2023 figure of 93.0%. The debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) figures during the same periods were 2.22 times (x) and
2.02x, respectively, below the issuance DSCR of 2.43x. The subject
benefits from a nontraditional anchor mix that includes Target,
Costco Wholesale, Macy's (10.6% of the net rentable area (NRA);
lease expiry in January 2026), and JCPenney (13.3% of the NRA;
lease expiry in May 2028). In addition to Macy's, there is another
10.2% of the NRA with leases scheduled to expire in the next 12
months. While the property has maintained stable performance to
date, the lack of clarity on the sponsor's takeout plan, as well as
the concentration of rollover and exposure to Macy's and JCPenney,
both of which have been reported to be closing stores as part of
respective plans to cut costs, suggests significantly increased
risks for the loan. As a result, Morningstar DBRS analyzed a
conservative scenario and liquidated the loan with a 50% haircut to
the $402.0 million issuance value, resulting in a loss severity
approaching 20.0%.
Another large contributor to Morningstar DBRS' projected losses is
a second URW-sponsored loan backed by a regional mall: Westfield
Trumbull (Prospectus ID#5, 8.5% of the current pool balance), which
is secured by a regional mall in Trumbull, Connecticut. This pari
passu loan has notes securitized in the same three transactions as
the Westfield Wheaton loan. The loan transferred to special
servicing in March 2025 for imminent monetary default and is
currently cash managed. The borrower has requested a loan
modification and discussions are currently underway. The most
recent servicer provided financials reported annualized net cash
flow of $10.8 million at Q3 2024, reflecting a DSCR of 1.83x, down
from 2.73x at issuance. The property was 80.4% occupied as per the
December 2024 rent roll, with leases totaling 13.7% of the NRA
scheduled to expire in the next 12 months. The collateral includes
the Macy's anchor pad (18.8% of the NRA), which recently renewed
its lease, extending the expiration date beyond the loan maturity
in April 2029, and all in-line space. Additional noncollateral
anchors in JCPenney and Target are open, and one noncollateral pad
that was previously occupied by Lord & Taylor has been vacant since
2021. The subject property was last appraised at issuance in
November 2014 for $262.0 million; however, given the cash flow
decline since issuance, it is likely that value has fallen
significantly. As such, Morningstar DBRS considered a 65% haircut
to the November 2014 appraisal, resulting in a $13.5 million loss
and a loss severity of 40%.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CSAIL 2016-C7: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Notes to 'Bsf'
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded six and affirmed seven classes of
Credit Suisse CSAIL 2016-C7 Commercial Mortgage Trust Mortgage Pass
Through Certificates. Following their downgrades, classes C and D
were assigned Negative Outlooks. The Outlooks for classes A-S, X-A,
B, and X-B remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CSAIL 2016-C7
A-4 12637UAV1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 12637UAW9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 12637UBA6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12637UAX7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12637UBB4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12637UBC2 LT BBBsf Downgrade A-sf
D 12637UAG4 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
E 12637UAJ8 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
F 12637UAL3 LT Csf Downgrade CCCsf
X-A 12637UAY5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12637UAZ2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-E 12637UAA7 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-F 12637UAC3 LT Csf Downgrade CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss has increased to 9.2% from 7.8% at Fitch's prior rating
action. Twelve loans (46.7% of the pool) are considered Fitch Loans
of Concern (FLOCs), including one specially serviced loan (1.3%).
The downgrades reflect higher pool loss expectations since Fitch's
prior rating action, driven by the performance declines and
refinanceability concerns for the FLOCs, including Gurnee Mills
(11.5% of the pool), CVS Office Centre Building (3.8%), Peachtree
Mall (3.1%), and Sweet Candy Building (1.8%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades if
performance of the FLOCs deteriorates beyond Fitch's current
expectations, including worsened recovery and/or prolonged workout
on specially serviced loans/assets, and/or if more loans than
anticipated fail to refinance.
The pool has significant upcoming maturities with 96% of the loans
scheduled to mature between December 2025 and November 2026.
Therefore, Fitch performed an additional sensitivity and
liquidation analysis that grouped the remaining loans based on
their current status, collateral quality, and perceived likelihood
of repayment and/or loss expectation. Today's rating actions
incorporate this analysis.
Regional Malls/Largest Contributors to Loss Expectations: The
largest contributor to Fitch's overall loss expectations is the
Gurnee Mills loan, which is secured by a 1.7 million-sf portion of
a 1.9 million-sf regional mall located in Gurnee, IL, approximately
45 miles north of Chicago. Non-collateral anchors include
Burlington Coat Factory, Marcus Cinema and Value City Furniture.
Collateral anchors include Macy's, Bass Pro Shops, Kohl's and Hobby
Lobby/ Round 1 Bowling & Amusement (in the space previously
occupied by Sears). The loan previously transferred to the special
servicer in June 2020 for imminent monetary default, returning to
the master servicer in May 2021 after receiving forbearance.
Per the December 2024 rent roll, the property was 88% occupied,
compared to 80% at March 2024, 76.4% at June 2023, 80% at YE 2022,
77% at YE 2021, 86.7% at YE 2020 and 93% at issuance. New tenants
that opened in 2024 include Round 1 Bowling & Amusement and
Reclectic. The vacant space formerly occupied by Bed Bath & Beyond
(3.6% of NRA) is expected to be taken over by Boot Barn and Primark
in 2025.
The property is encountering near-term lease rollover, with leases
totaling 11% of the NRA expiring through 2025, including Bass Pro
Shops (8.1% of NRA; December 2025 lease expiration). Additionally,
15% of leases are set to expire in 2026, including Floor and DƩcor
(6.3%) and Value City Furniture (4.7%). The servicer-reported NOI
DSCR was 1.87x at September 2024 compared to 1.87x at YE 2023,
2.06x at YE 2022, 1.86x at YE 2021, 1.24x at YE 2020, and 1.42x at
YE 2019.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 30% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects a 15% stress to the YE 2023 NOI and
a 12% cap rate. It also incorporates an increased probability of
default given concerns with refinanceability and potential for
maturity default.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Peachtree Mall loan, which is secured by a 621,367-sf portion of an
822,443-sf regional mall located in Columbus, GA and sponsored by
Brookfield Properties Retail Group. The mall is anchored by a
non-collateral Dillard's and collateral tenants that include
JCPenney and Macy's. Per the December 2024 rent roll, collateral
occupancy declined to 73%, down from 91% in February 2024, 93.5% in
March 2023, 91% in 2021 and 93% in 2020; the recent occupancy
decline is mostly due to tenant At Home (14% of NRA) vacating.
Servicer-reported NOI DSCR for this amortizing loan was 1.61x as of
YE 2024, compared with 1.54x at YE 2023, 1.56x at YE 2022, 1.58x at
YE 2021 and 1.56x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 40% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects a 25% stress to the YE 2024 NOI and
a 21% cap rate. It also incorporates an increased probability of
default due to the loan's heightened maturity default risk.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
CVS Office Centre Building loan, which is secured by a 226,501-sf
office property located in Monroeville, PA. The property has been
100% leased to CVS Procare Pharmacy Direct since 2009 and has a
lease expiration in August 2026, only three months before the loan
matures in November 2026. The loan is structured to amortize down
to $22.2 million at maturity, based on a 28-year amortization
schedule. Additionally, the loan is structured to collect $3.4
million in ongoing reserves for the first eight years and $3.1
million will be collected in years nine and 10 from a 24-month cash
flow sweep, unless CVS renews their lease.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 28% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects a 20% stress to the YE 2024 NOI due
to uncertainty with the upcoming CVS lease expiration, a 11% cap
rate and factors an increased probability of default due to the
loan's heightened maturity default risk.
Increased Credit Enhancement: As of the May 2024 distribution date,
the pool's aggregate balance has been paid down by 20.2% to $612.8
million from $767.6 million at issuance. The pool has experienced
no realized losses since issuance. Twelve loans (17.4%) have been
defeased. The deal has interest shortfalls of approximately
$865,000 that is currently affecting the non-rated class NR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not likely due to
higher pool defeasance, increasing credit enhancement (CE) and
continued paydowns from loan amortization and repayments.
Downgrades are possible if deal-level losses increase significantly
and/or if interest shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to the junior 'AAAsf rated class and classes rated in
the 'AAsf' categories, which have Negative Outlooks, could occur if
deal-level losses increase significantly from outsized losses on
larger office and retail FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity. These FLOCs include Gurnee Mills, CVS Office Centre
Building, Peachtree Mall, and Sweet Candy Building.
Downgrades to the classes rated in 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' categories are
likely with higher-than-expected losses from continued
underperformance of the FLOCs, in particular the office and retail
mall FLOCs, or should additional loans fail to repay at maturity.
Downgrades to the distressed classes would occur as losses are
realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' category may occur with
increased CE from additional paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled
with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and
stable-to-improved performance on the FLOCs, including Gurnee
Mills, CVS Office Centre Building, Peachtree Mall, and Sweet Candy
Building.
Upgrades to the class rated in the 'BBBsf' category would be
limited based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for
future concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf'
if there is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the class rated in the 'Bsf' category are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs and
special serviced loans are better than expected and there is
sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are unlikely, but possible with
better-than-expected recoveries on specially serviced loans and/or
significantly improved performance of the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DBSG 2024-ALTA: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on HRR Certs
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-ALTA
issued by DBSG 2024-ALTA Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction since issuance. While the
transaction is early in its life cycle, having closed in May 2024,
the underlying collateral continues to perform well, as evidenced
by the most recently reported occupancy rate of 95.8% as of the
March 2025 rent roll.
The transaction is collateralized by the borrower's fee-simple
interest in a 43-story, Class A high-rise apartment building
totaling 467 units with 42,878 square feet of retail space in Long
Island City, New York. The sponsor of the loan is Affinius Capital,
an institutional real estate investment firm with more than $32.0
billion in assets under management spanning a diverse portfolio of
life science, multifamily, industrial, data center, and office
properties across North America and Europe.
The three-year fixed-rate interest-only loan matures in June 2027
and does not include any extension options. The transaction
proceeds of $217.0 million, along with sponsor equity of $4.8
million, refinanced $216.5 million of debt and funded various
reserves including a $0.3 million capital expenditure reserve and a
$1.6 million free rent reserve. The sponsor had approximately
$114.5 million of equity remaining in the transaction at closing.
In 2023, the sponsor terminated a management lease for 169 units
with Common, which operated a co-living program at the asset since
2021, to save on expenses, better manage the asset, and push rents.
The sponsor is in the process of repositioning the remaining 115
co-living units to traditional leases at market rents per
regulations. At the time of loan securitization, 54 units were
transitioned to conventional units and, of those, 37 had been
re-leased, achieving rent premiums of approximately 6.9%.
Morningstar DBRS requested a status update from the servicer
regarding the repositioning of the remaining 115 co-living units;
however, a response remains pending as of the date of this press
release. As the sponsor's business plan is to convert 169
previously master-leased co-living units to traditional apartments
is minor in scope, Morningstar DBRS believes there is minimal
execution risk. Morningstar DBRS did not assume a stabilization
credit in its net cash flow (NCF).
As of the March 2025 rent roll, the property's residential
occupancy rate was 95.8% with the commercial component 100.0%
occupied. The property is in the Reis-defined Queens County
submarket, which has displayed positive trends in both vacancy
rates and rent growth since Q4 2020. According to Reis, the vacancy
rate in this submarket was 3.2% as of Q4 2024, with an average
vacancy rate consistently below 3.5% since 2020. Furthermore,
between Q4 2020 and Q4 2024, the submarket experienced a
substantial increase in effective rents, rising nearly 35%, to
$3,190 a month from $2,372 a month. As of Q4 2024, Reis reported
that the average asking rent for properties of comparable age
(constructed between 2010 and 2019) is $4,379 a month, which
exceeds the subject's average rent of $4,184 a month. However, the
property benefits from a 421-a tax abatement through June 2034,
well past the loan term. The abatement exempts the property from
100% of its taxes on improvements for the first 11 years, with the
exemption percentage declining in 20% increments every other year
until 2034, when the exemption expires. Given the tax exemption,
the borrower is required to maintain 161 affordable housing units
at the property. In return, those units have a cap on rent growth,
which is the primary reason the property's current average rent is
below market rent.
For this review, Morningstar DBRS maintained the value of $269.6
million derived at issuance for the underlying property. The
Morningstar DBRS Value considered an NCF of $16.9 million and a
capitalization rate of 6.25%, which resulted in a Morningstar DBRS
Loan-to-Value Ratio (LTV) of 80.5% on the $217.0 million senior
mortgage loan. The collateral was appraised at $326.9 million,
representing an LTV of 66.4% on the $217.0 million senior mortgage
loan. Morningstar DBRS' concluded value estimate represents a
Āæ17.5% variance to the appraiser's stabilized value estimate.
Morningstar DBRS made total qualitative adjustments of 5.25% to
reflect the strong submarket fundamentals, high property quality,
and low cash flow volatility.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
DRYDEN 55 CLO: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B and C debt
from Dryden 55 CLO Ltd. S&P also lowered its ratings on the class E
and F debt and removed them from CreditWatch, where it had placed
them with negative implications in May 2025. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on the class A-1 and D debt from the same
transaction.
The rating actions follow its review of the transaction's
performance using data from the March 2025 trustee report.
Although the same portfolio backs all the tranches, there can be
circumstances where the ratings on the tranches may move in
opposite directions due to support changes in the portfolio. The
transaction is experiencing opposing rating movements because it
experienced both principal paydowns (which increased the senior
credit support) and faced principal losses and an increase in
defaults (which decreased the junior credit support).
The transaction has paid down $200.67 million to the class A-1 debt
since S&P's July 2020 rating actions. The following are the changes
in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios since the May
2020 trustee report, which S&P used for its previous rating
actions:
-- The class B-R2 O/C ratio improved to 135.94% from 125.43%.
-- The class C-R2 O/C ratio improved to 122.40% from 117.29%.
-- The class D-R2 O/C ratio improved to 110.14% from 119.36%.
-- The class E-R2 O/C ratio declined to 104.43% from 105.46%.
-- Class F is not supported by an O/C test.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at prior rating levels primarily due the paydowns. S&P
said, "Though cash flows suggested a higher rating on both the
class B and C note debt, our actions reflect our consideration of
the results of extra sensitivity analysis we ran given the CLO's
exposure to 'CCC' rated collateral and some obligors with low
market values."
While the senior debt credit support improved, the junior debt's
support were more affected by the combination of par losses and
defaults. In addition, although some of the portfolio's credit
quality has improved since our last review in July 2020, the
recovery rates have declined overall. As a result of these factors,
credit support has weakened for junior tranches, and the cash flows
of the class E and F debt are no longer passing at their respective
previous ratings.
The lowered ratings on the class E and F debt reflect the decrease
in their credit support levels at their respective previous
ratings. On a standalone basis, the result of the cash flow
analysis for class F indicated a lower rating than the one
reflected by the rating action. While S&P believes that the Class F
debt now aligns with its 'CCC' rating category, S&P limited its
downgrade to one notch to 'CCC+ (sf)' after considering its pure
O/C (trustee O/C without haircut) and the CLO's relatively low
exposure to 'CCC'/'CCC-' rated assets. However, any increase in
defaults and/or further portfolio credit quality deterioration
could lead to potential negative rating actions on both notes.
The affirmed rating reflects S&P's view that the credit support
available is commensurate with the current rating level.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, as well as on recoveries upon default, under
various interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
Dryden 55 CLO Ltd.
Class B to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'AA- (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch
Dryden 55 CLO Ltd.
Class E to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch neg'
Class F to 'CCC+ (sf)' from 'B- (sf)/Watch neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Dryden 55 CLO Ltd.
Class A-1: AAA (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Other Debt
Dryden 55 CLO Ltd.
Class A-2: NR
Subordinate notes: NR
NR--Not rated.
DWIGHT 2025-FL1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Three Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Dwight 2025-FL1 Issuer LLC as follows:
- $531,875,000a class AAA 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $122,562,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $63,594,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $49,719,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $30,062,000a,b class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class D-E 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class D-X 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $15,031,000a,b class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class E-E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class E-X 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $30,063,000b,e class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class F-E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class F-X 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $20,812,000b,e class G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class G-E 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class G-X 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $61,282,000e,f *income notes.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Exchangeable notes: The classes D, E, F, and G notes are
exchangeable for proportionate interest in the MASCOT notes,
subject to satisfaction of certain conditions and restrictions,
provided that, at the time of the exchange, such notes are owned by
a wholly owned subsidiary of Dwight REIT. The principal balance of
each of the exchangeable notes received in an exchange will be
equal to the principal balance of the corresponding MASCOT P&I
notes surrendered in such exchange.
(c) MASCOT P&I notes.
(d) MASCOT interest-only notes.
(e) Retained notes.
(f) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 6.625% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $778,901,081 and does not include future funding.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of May 23, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes are collateralized by 31 loans secured by 38 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $778,901,081 as
of the cutoff date. The pool includes one delayed closing loan
totaling $77.5 million, which is expected to close withing 60 days.
The pool also includes ramp-up collateral interest of approximately
$146.1 million. The pool does not include $76.8 million of future
funding.
The loans and interest securing the notes will be owned by Dwight
2025-FL1 Issuer LLC as the issuer of the notes. The servicer and
special servicer are expected to be Situs Asset Management LLC and
Situs Holdings, LLC. The trustee is expected to be Wilmington
Trust, National Association, and the note administrator is expected
to be Computershare Trust Company, National Association. The notes
are expected to follow a sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed detailed cash flow analysis
for 31 loans in the pool (100.0% by balance) and asset summary
reviews of all the loans in the pool. Fitch's aggregate net cash
flow (NCF), including the prorated trust portion of any pari passu
loan, is $63.1 million, which represents a 14.9% decline from the
issuer's aggregate underwritten net cash flow NCF of $54.9
million.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The pool has higher leverage than recent
multiborrower transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 151.4% is worse than the 2024 and 2025
YTD CRE-CLO transaction averages of 140.7% and 137.9%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 6.0% is
weaker than both the 2024 and 2025 YTD averages of 6.5% and 6.6%,
respectively.
Low Loan Concentration: The pool is less concentrated than 2024
transactions but more highly concentrated than recently rated 2025
Fitch transactions. The largest 10 loans represent 63.5% of the
pool, which is less concentrated than the 2024 YTD five-year
multiborrower average of 70.5% and more concentrated than the 2025
YTD average of 60.5%. Fitch measures loan concentration risk with
an effective loan count, which accounts for both the number and
size of loans in the pool. The pool's effective loan count is 20.7
which was higher than the 2024 average of 16.9 and the 2025 YTD
five-year multiborrower average of 20.6. Fitch views diversity as a
key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss
for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Loan Seasoning: The pool contains more seasoned loans than recently
rated Fitch CRE-CLO transactions. The pool's WA seasoning of 12.8
months is higher than both the 2024 CRE-CLO and the 2025 YTD
averages of 8.8 months and 10.0 months, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating (MIR) sensitivity to changes in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
MIR sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash ļ¬ow modeling referenced in its "U.S. and
Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria." Different scenarios
were run where asset default timing distributions and recovery
timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Recovery Rating
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash ļ¬ow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to each of
the mortgage loans. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ELMWOOD CLO 41: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Elmwood CLO 41 Ltd./
Elmwood CLO 41 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 41 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 41 LLC
Class A, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $56.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.70 million: BB- (sf)
Class F (deferrable), $7.00 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $30.00 million: Not rated
FIGRE TRUST 2025-HE3: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to FIGRE Trust
2025-HE3's mortgage-backed notes.
The transaction's issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by
first- and subordinate-lien, simple interest, fixed-rate, fully
amortizing residential mortgage loans that are open ended home
equity lines of credit (HELOCs). The loans are secured by
single-family residences, condominiums, townhouses, and two- to
four-family residential properties. The pool is composed of 4,368
initial HELOCs plus 257 subsequent draws (4,625 HELOC mortgage
loans), which are ability to repay-exempt.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 3,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage originator, Figure Lending LLC;
-- Sample due diligence results consistent with represented loan
characteristics; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals. Our outlook is updated, if
necessary, when these projections change materially.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
FIGRE Trust 2025-HE3(i)
Class A, $233,694,000: AAA (sf)
Class B, $25,887,000: AA- (sf)
Class C, $39,363,000: A- (sf)
Class D, $19,858,000: BBB- (sf)
Class E, $17,022,000: BB- (sf)
Class F, $12,235,000: B- (sf)
Class G, $6,560,566: NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class FR(iii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The class XS notes will have a notional amount equal to the
aggregate principal balance of the mortgage loans and any real
estate owned properties as of the first day of the related
collection period.
(iii)The initial class FR certificate balance is zero. In certain
circumstances, class FR is obligated to remit funds to the reserve
account to reimburse the servicer for funding subsequent draws in
the event there is insufficient available funds or amounts on
deposit in the reserve account. Any amounts remitted by the class
FR certificates will be added to and increase the balance of the
class FR certificates.
NR--Not rated.
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-4: S&P Lowers Cl. E Notes Rating to CCC (sf)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on eight classes, lowered its
ratings on nine classes, and affirmed its ratings on seven classes
of notes from Flagship Credit Auto Trust (FCAT) 2021-3, 2021-4,
2022-1, 2022-2, 2022-3, and 2022-4, ABS transactions that are
backed by subprime retail auto loan receivables originated by
Flagship Credit Acceptance LLC and CarFinance Capital LLC and
serviced by Flagship Credit Acceptance LLC. At the same time, S&P
removed the CreditWatch negative placement on nine classes from
FCAT 2021-3, 2021-4, 2022-1, 2022-3, and 2022-4, where they were
placed on March 6, 2025.
The rating actions reflect:
-- Each transaction's collateral performance to date and its
expectations regarding future collateral performance, including an
increase in each series' cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations;
-- Each transaction's structure and its respective credit
enhancement level; and
-- Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, including our most recent macroeconomic outlook, which
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
Considering all these factors, S&P believes the notes'
creditworthiness is consistent with the raised, lowered, and
affirmed ratings.
Each transaction's collateral performance continues to trend worse
than our previously revised CNL expectations. Cumulative gross
losses continue to be elevated, cumulative recoveries lower, and
CNLs heightened. Additionally, delinquencies and extensions for
these transactions are elevated.
Despite FC Funding LLC's one-time capital contributions to FCAT
2022-3 (January 2024) and FCAT 2022-4 (April 2024) to remedy the
series' poor performance by building each series'
overcollateralization to their targets and increasing their reserve
accounts beyond their targets, the series' rapid acceleration of
charge-offs and losses within the last 12 months eroded these
supportive contributions. Excess spread is insufficient to cover
the full extent of net losses and, as such, overcollateralization
and, in the case of FCAT 2022-3, the reserve account are being
eroded by the heightened net losses. As of May 2025 distribution
date:
-- FCAT 2022-2 is under-collateralized by 6.66% of the current
pool balance (the overcollateralization and reserve account were
depleted as of the June 2024 and October 2024 distribution dates,
respectively).
-- The overcollateralization amounts for FCAT 2022-1 and 2022-3
are depleted. As a result, the reserve amounts are being drawn to
satisfy principal payment.
-- FACT 2021-4's overcollateralization amount will be depleted in
the next distribution month, and it is highly likely the reserve
amount will be utilized to satisfy principal payment.
-- FACT 2021-3 and 2022-4 are below their target
overcollateralization amounts, and, unless performance improves
significantly, both series are at risk of depleting their
overcollateralization amounts putting their reserve amounts at
risk.
With the exception of FCAT 2022-2, which is already
under-collateralized, each series is vulnerable to the heightened
losses and at risk of becoming under-collateralized.
Table 1
FCAT collateral performance (%)(i)
Pool 60+ day
Series Mo. factor delinq. Ext. CGL CRR CNL
2021-3 45 18.05 10.00 2.55 20.44 38.93 12.48
2021-4 42 21.11 9.95 2.65 21.59 36.01 13.82
2022-1 39 25.09 9.48 2.28 23.38 38.23 14.44
2022-2 36 29.55 9.69 3.09 29.05 37.26 18.22
2022-3 33 33.05 9.57 3.20 27.84 35.60 17.93
2022-4 30 38.52 9.43 3.00 24.67 37.11 15.51
(i)As of the May 2025 distribution date.
FCAT--Flagship Credit Auto Trust.
Mo.--Month.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
Ext.--Extensions.
CGL--Cumulative gross loss.
CRR--Cumulative recovery rate.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
Table 2
FCAT overcollateralization summary (%)(i)
Current Target
Series (%)(ii) (%)(iii) Current ($) Target ($)
2021-3 2.04 3.40 1,397,930 3,798,838
2021-4 0.06 4.00 40,045 3,106,106
2022-1 0.00 4.40 0 3,881,060
2022-2 0.00 7.25 0(iv) 13,067,933
2022-3 0.00 6.70 0 12,126,501
2022-4 6.61 9.90 10,687,439 16,014,878
(i)As of the May 2025 distribution date.
(ii)Percentage of the current collateral pool balance.
(iii)For each series, the overcollateralization target on any
distribution date is equal to the greater of the target percentage
of the current pool balance and 1% of the initial pool balance.
(iv)The series 2022-2 is currently under-collateralized (the
collateral balance is less that the notes' balance) by $12,010,934
as of the May 2025 distribution date.
Table 3
FCAT Reserve amount summary (%)(i)
Current Target
Series (%)(ii) (%)(iii) Current ($) Target ($)
2021-3 5.54 1.00 3,798,838 3,798,838
2021-4 4.74 1.00 3,106,106 3,106,106
2022-1 6.88 1.85 6,065,344 6,504,528
2022-2 0.00 1.05 0 6,405,741
2022-3 4.13 1.00 7,478,999(iv)5,476,676
2022-4 3.67 1.00 5,934,792(v) 4,200,000
(i)As of the May 2025 distribution date.
(ii)Percentage of the current collateral pool balance.
(iii)For each series, the reserve target on any distribution date
is equal the target percentage of the initial pool balance.
(iv)In January 2024, FC Funding LLC made a capital contribution of
$3.5 million (1.09% of the current pool balance) to the reserve
account to support the series.
(v)In April 2024, FC Funding LLC made a capital contribution of
$1.7 million (0.68% of the current pool balance) to the reserve
account to support the series.
In view of each series' performance to date, coupled with continued
adverse economic headwinds and relatively weaker recovery rates,
S&P further increased its expected CNLs for each series.
Table 4
CNL expectations (%)
Original Current revised
lifetime Previous revised lifetime
Series CNL exp. lifetime CNL exp. CNL exp.(i)
2021-3 11.00-11.50 12.50(ii) 15.00
2021-4 11.25-11.75 13.75(ii) 17.50
2022-1 11.25-11.75 15.25(ii) 19.50
2022-2 11.25-11.75 22.00(iii) 25.00
2022-3 11.25-11.75 19.50(ii) 25.50
2022-4 11.25-11.75 19.25(iv) 24.00
(i)As of the May 2025 distribution date.
(ii)Revised February 2024.
(iii)Revised September 2024.
(iv)Revised May 2024.
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.
Notwithstanding the decrease in overcollateralization or the
reserve account, the transactions' sequential principal payment
structures have led to an increase in the other components of hard
credit enhancement since issuance, which generally benefits the
senior notes as their collateral pools amortize.
Table 5
Hard credit support(i)
Total hard Current total hard
credit support credit support
Series Class at issuance (%) (% of current)(ii)
2021-3 C 12.40 67.98
2021-3 D 5.60 30.31
2021-3 E 1.50 7.58
2021-4 C 12.50 56.90
2021-4 D 5.50 23.75
2021-4 E 1.50 4.80
2022-1 B 24.80 96.36
2022-1 C 14.25 54.31
2022-1 D 6.65 24.02
2022-1 E 2.35 6.88
2022-2 B 27.45 78.53(iii)
2022-2 C 17.35 46.48(iii)
2022-2 D 9.25 20.78(iii)
2022-2 E 2.70 0.00(iii)
2022-3 A-3 34.05 99.90
2022-3 B 27.00 78.57
2022-3 C 16.20 45.89
2022-3 D 9.20 24.71
2022-3 E 2.40 4.13
2022-4 A-3 37.70 93.88
2022-4 B 31.00 76.48
2022-4 C 20.10 48.18
2022-4 D 14.00 32.34
2022-4 E 5.50 10.28
(i)As of the collection period ended April 30, 2025. (ii)Calculated
as a percentage of the total receivable pool balance and, if
applicable, consisting of a reserve account, overcollateralization,
and subordination. Excludes excess spread that can also provide
additional enhancement.
(iii)Calculated as a percentage of the total bonds outstanding due
to the current under-collateralization of the transaction.
S&P said, "Given our expectation that each series will continue to
incur losses at a elevated pace which, increase the risk of
under-collateralization (like FCAT 2022-2) and the vulnerability of
the two most subordinated classes, D and E, we have taken rating
actions reflecting this risk. We lowered the class E ratings to 'CC
(sf)' for FCAT 2021-4, 2022-1, and 2022-3 and to 'CCC (sf)' for
FCAT 2021-3 and 2022-4. Additionally, we lowered the class D
ratings to 'BB (sf)' for FCAT 2021-4, 'BB- (sf)' for FCAT 2022-1,
'B (sf)' for FCAT 2022-3, and 'BBB- (sf)' for FCAT 2022-4. As per
"S&P Global Ratings Definitions," published Dec. 2, 2024, an
obligation rated 'CCC' is currently vulnerable to nonpayment, and
an obligation rated 'CC' is currently highly vulnerable to
nonpayment, and we expect a default to be a virtual certainty.
"For each series, we incorporated a cash flow analysis to assess
the loss coverage levels for the notes, giving credit to stressed
excess spread. Our cash flow scenarios included forward-looking
assumptions on recoveries, the timing of losses, and voluntary
absolute prepayment speeds that we believe are appropriate given
each transaction's performance. Additionally, we conducted
sensitivity analyses to determine the impact that a moderate
('BBB') stress level scenario would have on our ratings if losses
trended higher than our revised base-case loss expectations.
In our view, the total credit support as a percentage of the
amortizing pool balance, compared with our minimum expected
remaining losses, based on the cash flow results demonstrated that
all of the classes have adequate credit enhancement at the raised,
lowered, and affirmed rating levels, which is based on our analysis
as of the May 2025 distribution date.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of each transaction to
ensure that the credit enhancement remains sufficient, in our view,
to cover our CNL expectations under our stress scenarios for each
of the rated classes."
RATINGS RAISED
Flagship Credit Auto Trust
Rating
Series Class To From
2021-3 C AAA (sf) AA (sf)
2021-4 C AAA (sf) AA (sf)
2022-1 C AA (sf) AA- (sf)
2022-2 B AAA (sf) AA+ (sf)
2022-2 C A+ (sf) A- (sf)
2022-3 B AAA (sf) AA+ (sf)
2022-4 B AAA (sf) AA (sf)
2022-4 C A+ (sf) A (sf)
RATINGS LOWERED AND REMOVED FROM CREDITWATCH NEGATIVE
Flagship Credit Auto Trust
Rating
Series Class To From
2021-3 E CCC (sf) BB (sf)/Watch Neg
2021-4 D BB (sf) A- (sf)/Watch Neg
2021-4 E CC (sf) BB (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-1 D BB- (sf) BBB+ (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-1 E CC (sf) BB- (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-3 D B (sf) BBB (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-3 E CC (sf) BB- (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-4 D BBB- (sf) BBB (sf)/Watch Neg
2022-4 E CCC (sf) BB- (sf)/Watch Neg
RATINGS AFFIRMED
Flagship Credit Auto Trust
Series Class Rating
2021-3 D A- (sf)
2022-1 B AAA (sf)
2022-2 D B- (sf)
2022-2 E CC (sf)
2022-3 A-3 AAA (sf)
2022-3 C A (sf)
2022-4 A-3 AAA (sf)
GALAXY 31: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the
replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt from Galaxy 31
CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC, a CLO managed by PineBridge Investments
LLC that was originally issued in March 2023.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 4,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the June 10, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt is
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month SOFR than
the original debt.
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period will be extended by
2.25 years and the non-call period will be extended by 2.20 years.
-- The transaction's liabilities will increase by $26.93 million
with target par increasing by $25 million.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC
Class A-R, $289.750 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $71.250 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $28.500 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $28.500 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16.625 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $40.160 million: Not rated
GCAT 2025-NQM2: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to GCAT 2025-NQM2 Trust's
mortgage pass-through certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate residential mortgage loans,
some with interest-only periods. The loans are secured by
single-family residential properties, planned-unit developments, a
townhouse, condominiums, and two- to four-family residential
properties. The asset pool has 810 mortgage loans, which are
primarily non-qualified (non-QM) mortgage loans (69.96% by balance)
and ability-to-repay (ATR)-exempt mortgage loans (27.26% by
balance). In addition, 2.59% of the mortgage loans (by balance) are
QM/safe harbor, and 0.18% of the mortgage loans (by balance) are
QM/higher-priced mortgage loans (HPML). The principal balance is
approximately $459.46 million as of the cutoff date.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, geographic concentration, and representation and
warranty framework;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Blue River Mortgage IV LLC; the
transaction-specific review on the mortgage originator, Arc Home
LLC; and any S&P Global Ratings reviewed mortgage originators; and
Our economic outlook that considers our current projections for
U.S. economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as
well as our view of housing fundamentals. The outlook is updated,
if necessary, when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned(i)
GCAT 2025-NQM2 Trust
Class A-1A(ii), $312,894,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B(ii), $45,946,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1(ii), $358,840,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $18,379,000,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $51,000,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $12,176,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $8,270,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $6,662,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $4,135,885: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(iii): NR
Class X, notional(iii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal.
(ii)Initial exchangeable certificates can be exchanged for the
exchangeable certificates, and vice versa. The class A-1
certificates are entitled to receive a proportionate share of all
payments otherwise payable to the initial exchangeable
certificates.
(iii)The notional amount equals the aggregate stated principal
balance of the loans.
NR--Not rated.
GOLUB CAPITAL 66(B): Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Golub
Capital Partners CLO 66(B)-R, Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Golub Capital
Partners CLO
66(B)-R, Ltd.
A 38179MAA4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-J 38179MAC0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R LT NRsf New Rating
B 38179MAE6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 38179MAG1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 38179MAJ5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 381731AA6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Golub Capital Partners CLO 66(B)-R, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is
managed by OPAL BSL LLC. The CLO originally closed in April 2023,
and its secured notes were refinanced on June 3, 2025. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.35, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.07% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.29% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 75.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 54% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-R and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class
E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-R and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Golub Capital
Partners CLO 66(B)-R, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
GS MORTGAGE 2013-PEMB: S&P Affirms CCC (sf) Rating on Cl. D Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on three classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from GS Mortgage
Securities Corp. Trust 2013-PEMB, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the
same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on two classes from the
transaction.
This is a U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction
backed by a 12-year, 3.562% per annum fixed-rate, interest-only
mortgage loan totaling $260.0 million (as of the May 7, 2025,
trustee remittance report), secured by a portion (748,818 sq. ft.)
of Pembroke Lakes Mall, a 1.1. million-sq.-ft. regional mall built
in 1992 and located in Pembroke Pines, Fla., about 15 miles
southwest of downtown Ft. Lauderdale. Anchor tenants include:
Dillard's (noncollateral; 157,473 sq. ft.), Macy's (collateral;
181,847 sq. ft.; January 2028 lease expiration), Round One
Entertainment (ground lease, 101,634 sq. ft., May 2032), Macy's
Home Storage (ground lease, 70,000 sq. ft.; January 2028), and AMC
Theatres (ground lease, 40,130 sq. ft.; October 2032). Round One
Entertainment and AMC Theatres backfilled the former Sears space in
2022 and 2017, respectively. The loan matured March 1, 2025.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes A, B, and C and affirmations on classes D
and E primarily reflect:
-- S&P's revised expected-case valuation for the collateral
property, which is 8.3% lower than the value it derived in its last
review in April 2024.
-- S&P's observation that although the collateral property's
reported net cash flow (NCF) and occupancy levels have generally
been stable over the past three years, the current NCFs are still
significantly below pre-pandemic levels. S&P does not expect it to
materially improve in the near term.
-- That the loan, which has a reported nonperforming matured
balloon payment status, transferred to special servicing in March
2025 because of maturity default. The sponsor, Brookfield
Properties Retail Group ('BB-/Stable'), was unable to pay the loan
off by its March 1, 2025, maturity date. Based on the property's
current reported performance and our expectation that the market
value has significantly decline from the issuance-appraised value,
S&P believes that the sponsor will continue to face challenges in
refinancing the loan in full unless it contributes capital.
-- The downgrade on class C to 'CCC (sf)' and the affirmations of
class D at 'CCC (sf)' and class E at 'CCC- (sf)' also reflect S&P's
qualitative consideration that their repayments are dependent upon
favorable business, financial, and economic conditions and that
these classes are vulnerable to default.
According to the May 2025 trustee remittance report, the loan has a
total reported exposure of $261.6 million, which included servicer
advancing $1.6 million for debt service payments due to the
implementation of cash management (which the special servicer
expects to be repaid in the June 2025 payment period) and $32,500
for other expenses. According to the special servicer, KeyBank Real
Estate Capital, it is currently exploring various resolution
options with the sponsor, including a potential loan modification
and extension.
S&P said, "We will continue to monitor the performance of the mall
property and loan, as well as the strategy and timing of any
potential workout. If we receive information that differs
materially from our expectations, such as reported negative changes
in the performance beyond what we already considered, or if the
potential workout strategy negatively affects the transaction's
recovery and liquidity, we may revisit our analysis and take
additional rating actions as we determine appropriate."
Property-Level Analysis Updates
S&P said, "In our April 2024 review, we noted that the collateral
property's reported performance was relatively stable, but still
well below pre-pandemic levels. At that time, we assumed an
occupancy rate of 94.4%, an S&P Global Ratings' gross rent of
$37.85 per sq. ft., and an operating expense ratio of 32.1% to
arrive at an S&P Global Ratings' long-term sustainable NCF of $18.6
million. Using an S&P Global Ratings' capitalization rate of 8.25%,
we derived an S&P Global Ratings' expected-case value of $225.4
million.
According to the March 31, 2025, rent roll, the collateral property
remained well occupied, at 95.2%, after adjusting for known tenant
movements, including Forever XXI (1.8% of net rentable area [NRA]).
The tenant filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in March 2025
and announced it will close all its U.S. stores. The five largest
tenants comprising 55.4% of collateral NRA included:
-- Macy's (24.3% of NRA, 7.5% of gross rent as calculated by S&P
Global Ratings; January 2028 lease expiration);
-- Round One Entertainment (ground lease; 13.6%; 0.0%; May 2032);
-- Macy's Home Store (ground lease, 9.4%; 0.7%; January 2028);
-- AMC Theatres (ground lease, 5.4%, 0.0%, October 2032); and
-- H&M (2.7%, 4.3%; January 2027).
The property faces minimal (less than 10% of NRA) tenant rollover
except in 2028 (40.1% of NRA, 23.7% of S&P Global Ratings' gross
rent) and 2032 (22.4%, 9.5%).
According to the March 2025 tenant sales report, the mall had
in-line sales of about $447 per sq. ft. and an occupancy cost of
17.3%, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings. In our April 2024
review, S&P calculated in-line sales of $454 per sq. ft., and an
occupancy cost of 19.3%.
S&P said, "In our current property-level analysis, using a 95.2%
occupancy rate, a $35.16 per sq. ft. S&P Global Ratings' average
gross rent, and a 31.0% operating expense ratio, we derived an S&P
Global Ratings' long-term sustainable NCF of $18.6 million,
unchanged from our last review. Using a 9.00% S&P Global Ratings'
capitalization rate (up 75 basis points from our last review to
reflect our observed higher market risk premium required for
nondominant class B malls in the current environment), we arrived
at an S&P Global Ratings' expected-case valuation of $206.6
million, which is 8.3% below our last review value and 51.6% lower
than the issuance appraisal value of $427.0 million. The revised
expected-case value yielded an S&P Global Ratings' loan-to-value
ratio of 125.8% on the current trust balance."
Table 1
Servicer-reported collateral performance
Nine months ending Sept. 30, 2024(i) 2023(i) 2022(i) 2021(i)
Occupancy rate (%) 95.1 93.1 93.5 90.7
Net cash flow (mil. $) 13.3 18.2 18.8 19.7
Debt service coverage (x) 1.88 1.94 2.01 2.10
Appraisal value (mil. $)(ii) 427.0 427.0 427.0 427.0
(i)Reporting period.
(ii)At issuance, as of Jan. 29, 2013.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Current review Last review At issuance
(May 2025)(i) (April 2024)(i) (April 2013)(i)
Occupancy rate (%) 95.2 94.4 93.2
Net cash flow (mil. $) 18.6 18.6 22.9
Capitalization rate (%) 9.00 8.25 6.75
Value (mil. $) 206.6 225.4 338.1
Value per collateral 276 301 451
sq. ft. ($)
Loan-to-value ratio (%) 125.8 115.3 76.9
(i)Review period.
Ratings Lowered
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. Trust 2013-PEMB
Class A to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'A- (sf)'
Class B to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class C to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. Trust 2013-PEMB
Class D: CCC (sf)
Class E: CCC- (sf)
GS MORTGAGE 2015-GC28: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on three classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-GC28
issued by GS Mortgage Securities Trust 2015-GC28 as follows:
-- Class D to BB (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-C to CCC (sf) from BB (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
The trend on Class D is Negative. Classes E, F, and X-C no longer
carry a trend given the CCC (sf) or lower credit ratings.
The credit rating downgrades reflect ongoing interest shortfalls
that have exceeded Morningstar DBRS' tolerance for timely interest
to the rated bonds. As of the May 2025 remittance, cumulative
unpaid interest totaled approximately $1.9 million, up from $0.7
million at the last credit rating action in May 2024. Class D was
shorted the full interest in May 2025 and did not receive full
interest between November 2024 and January 2025, although that was
repaid with the February 2025 remittance. Further, Classes E and F
have been accruing interest since November 2024 and have surpassed
the Morningstar DBRS shortfall tolerance ceiling of six months for
the BB (sf) and B (sf) credit rating category, supporting the
credit rating downgrades for those classes with this review.
Since Morningstar DBRS' previous credit rating action in May 2024,
53 loans have repaid from the pool, leaving five loans, all of
which are in special servicing as of the May 2025 remittance. As
the pool continues to wind down, Morningstar DBRS looked to a
recoverability analysis, the results of which suggest losses would
be contained to the nonrated Class G certificate.
The largest remaining loan, The Avenue at Lubbock in Lubbock
(43.75% of the pool balance), is secured by a 788-unit student
housing property in Lubbock, Texas. The loan transferred to special
servicing in November 2024 for imminent monetary default ahead of
the loan's December 2024 loan maturity. According to the most
recent servicing commentary, the special servicer has initiated
foreclosure. The property experienced a sharp decline in occupancy
having decreased to 73% as of YE2024 from 94% as of YE2023.
Additionally, net cash flow (NCF) decreased during this period to
$2.4 million as of YE2024 from $2.7 million as of YE2023, resulting
in a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.01 times. An updated
appraisal completed in March 2025 valued the property at $29.5
million, which reflects a 43.6% decrease when compared with the
issuance appraisal of $52.3 million. Given the depressed value
along with the special servicer's decision to initiate foreclosure,
Morningstar DBRS analysed the loan with a liquidation scenario,
resulting in a loss severity of nearly 30%.
The second-largest loan, 411 Seventh Avenue (22.11% of the pool),
is secured by a 301,000-square-foot Class B office property in
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The loan transferred to special servicing
in April 2025 for maturity default after the loan matured in
January 2025. The property has experienced precipitous declines in
occupancy in recent years having decreased to 67% as of YE2023 and
most recently to 59% as of September 2024 from 83% at issuance. The
property's three largest tenants are Duquesne Light Company (35.54%
of net rentable area (NRA), lease expiration October 2029), Office
of Comptroller (15.78% of NRA, lease expiration April 2030), and
Literacy Pittsburgh (4.85% of NRA, lease expiration October 2029).
The appraisal at issuance valued the property at $32.1 million.
While an updated appraisal has yet to be received, Morningstar DBRS
believes the value of the property has declined and applied a 65%
haircut to the issuance appraisal as part of its liquidation
scenario, which resulted in a loss severity in excess of 40%.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2015-GS1: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Two Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 13 classes of GS Mortgage Securities
Trust 2015-GS1 (GSMS 2015-GS1). The Rating Outlooks for classes
A-S, B, C, PEZ, X-A and X-B remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2015-GS1
A-2 36252AAB2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 36252AAC0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36252AAD8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36252AAG1 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 36252AAH9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 36252AAK2 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
D 36252AAL0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
E 36252AAN6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 36252AAQ9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
PEZ 36252AAJ5 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
X-A 36252AAE6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
X-B 36252AAF3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-D 36252AAM8 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The affirmations reflect stable
loss expectations, which have slightly increased to 12.7% from
12.0% since Fitch's previous rating action. Seven loans are flagged
as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 35.3% of the pool), including
four loans (14.1%) in special servicing.
Due to the near-term loan maturities, increasing pool concentration
and adverse selection concerns, Fitch performed a look-through
analysis to determine the remaining loans' expected recoveries and
losses to assess the outstanding classes' ratings relative to their
credit enhancement (CE). Higher probabilities of default were
assigned to loans that are anticipated to default at maturity due
to performance declines and/or rollover concerns. All the loans in
the pool are scheduled to mature by November 2025.
The Negative Outlooks reflect performance and refinance concerns on
the FLOCs, particularly South Plains Mall (10.3%), as well as
exposure to the specially serviced Glenbrook Square (7.6%) and
Deerfield Crossing (4.2%) loans. Downgrades are possible should
more loans than expected default at maturity and/or with a
prolonged workout or higher than expected losses on the specially
serviced loans.
Largest Loss Contributors: The largest contributor to overall loss
expectations is the Glenbrook Square loan, secured by 784,604-sf of
a 1,005,604-sf super-regional mall in Fort Wayne, IN. The loan,
which is sponsored by Brookfield Property Partners, transferred to
special servicing in July 2020 for payment default. The loan has
been periodically brought current on payments through the
application of trapped cash throughout 2021 and 2022; the loan is
current as of the May 2025 remittance. According to the special
servicer, the property is in receivership (Spinoso Real Estate) as
of September 2022, and the receiver has been able to attract new
tenants and maintain tenancy. Additionally, the servicer has
indicated that it is negotiating terms of a loan modification with
a new borrower.
Collateral anchors include Macy's (25% of NRA leased through
January 2027) and JCPenney (19%; May 2028). Former collateral
anchor Carson's (12.1%) and non-collateral anchor Sears both closed
their stores at the property in 2018, and the Sears store has been
demolished. Collateral occupancy was 82.3% occupied as of the April
2024 rent roll, compared with 80.7% as of the September 2022, 79.3%
in August 2021, 80.4% in December 2020, and 82.3% in March 2019.
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR fell to 1.14x at YE 2022 from 1.37x
at June 2020 and 1.32x at YE 2019.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 68.4% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers a discount to the February 2024 appraisal value
and implies a 26% cap rate to the YE 2022 NOI.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
South Plains Mall loan, secured by 992,140-sf portion of a
1,135,840-sf super-regional mall located in Lubbock, TX. The loan
is sponsored by the Macerich Company and GIC Realty. The loan
matures in November 2025.
Collateral anchors include Dillard's (26% of collateral NRA;
expired April 2024), JCPenney (21%; March 2028), Home Depot (10.4%;
December 2040), Premiere Cinemas (16 screens: 6.3%; April 2032) and
a non-collateral former Sears (143,700 sf), which closed in late
2018. According to the December 2024 rent roll, Dillard's extended
its lease through June 2046. The servicer noted that the tenant
consolidated its two locations at the mall and relocated to the
former Sears space. The grand opening of the new flagship store
occurred in October 2024.
The September 2024 rent roll shows 20 leases totaling 8.1% of the
NRA that are expiring by YE 2025. As of the September 2024 rent
roll, the overall property was 84.3% occupied, compared to 84% at
YE 2023, 96% at YE 2022, 84% at YE 2021 and 79% at YE 2020. The
servicer-reported Q2 2024 DSCR was 2.10x as of Q2 2024, compared to
YE 2023 NOI DSCR at 2.00x, 1.87x at YE 2022, 1.69x at YE 2021 and
1.77x at YE 2020.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 34.9% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 15% cap rate and 15% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and factors a heighted probability of default given its asset
quality, declining performance and anticipated refinance concerns.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Deerfield Crossing loan, secured by a 320,902-sf suburban office
property in Mason, OH. The loan transferred to special servicing in
September 2023 for imminent monetary default. According to the
servicer, foreclosure was filed in November 2023 and a receiver was
appointed on January 2024.
According to the servicer, the property is currently 40.5%
occupied, down from 55.3% at January 2024 61% at YE 2022, 82% at YE
2021 and 89% as of YE 2020. The decline in occupancy is primarily
due to Cengage Learning reducing its space as part of a renewal
agreement. As part of the 11-year renewal agreement (through
January 2033), Cengage reduced its space to 56,011-sf (NRA 17.5%)
from 160,069 sf (NRA 49.9%), and included a 50% rent abatement
period occurring between January 2022 and January 2024. The tenant
subsequently further reduced its a space to 13.5% of the NRA.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 34.9% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers a discount to the October 2023 appraisal value
of $24.8 million, which has declined 44% from the issuance
appraisal value of $44.2 million.
Improved Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 17.4% to
$677.8 million from $820.6 million at issuance. Thirteen loans
(21.4% of pool) have been defeased. Ten loans (42.7%) are full-term
interest only and the remaining 57.3% of the pool is amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior classes rated 'AAAsf' are not expected due to
the high CE, senior position in the capital structure and expected
continued amortization and loan repayments but may occur if
deal-level losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls
occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'Asf' and 'BBBsf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity. Loans of particular concern include the Glenbrook Square,
South Plains Mall and Deerfield Crossing.
Downgrades to the 'Bsf' category are possible with higher than
expected losses from continued underperformance of the FLOCs and/or
lack of resolution and increased exposures on the specially
serviced loans;
Downgrades to 'CCsf' and 'Csf' rated classes would occur should
additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, or
as losses become realized or more certain
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not expected due to the near-term maturities, loan
concentration and adverse selection; however, are possible to the
'Asf' category rated classes with significantly increased CE from
paydowns, coupled with improved pool-level loss expectations and
performance stabilization of FLOCs, such as Glenbrook Square, South
Plains Mall, Deerfield Crossing. Classes would not be upgraded
above 'AA+sf' if there is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes would be
limited based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for
future concentration. Upgrades could occur only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better
than expected, and there is sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to the 'CCsf' and 'Csf' category rated classes are not
likely, but may be possible with better than expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans and/or significantly higher values on
FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2017-GS6: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to BB-sf
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded seven and affirmed five classes of GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2017-GS6. Following their downgrades,
classes B, C, D, X-B and X-D were assigned Negative Outlooks.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2017-GS6
A-2 36253PAB8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 36253PAC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36253PAD4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36253PAG7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36253PAH5 LT A-sf Downgrade AA-sf
C 36253PAJ1 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
D 36253PAK8 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
E 36253PAP7 LT CCCsf Downgrade B+sf
F 36253PAR3 LT CCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-A 36253PAE2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36253PAF9 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
X-D 36253PAM4 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss is 6.3%, up from 4.1% at Fitch's prior rating action. Four
loans (24.5%) were flagged as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs),
including one loan (8.9%) in special servicing. The downgrades
reflect higher pool loss expectations, driven primarily by the
specially serviced Lafayette Centre (8.9%) and One West 34th Street
(4.4%) loan.
The Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades if
re-leasing efforts to backfill expected vacant space at Lafayette
Centre remain unsuccessful, if loan performance of One West 34th
Street fails to stabilize or if additional loans experience
performance declines. The Negative Outlooks also reflect a high
exposure to office loans, which comprise 50% of the pool.
Given the large concentration of loan maturities in 2026 and 1H
2027, Fitch also performed a sensitivity and liquidation analysis
that grouped the remaining loans based on their current status,
collateral quality, and their perceived likelihood of repayment
and/or loss expectation. The rating actions incorporate this
analysis.
Largest Increases in Loss Expectations: The largest increase in
loss since the prior rating action and largest contributor to
overall pool loss expectations is Lafayette Centre, which is
secured by a 793,533-sf office property in Washington, D.C. (three
office buildings connected by an outdoor plaza and a below-grade
mall level). The loan transferred to special servicing in June 2024
for imminent monetary default as the largest tenant, U.S. Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), will be vacating and not
renewing its lease, which expires in September 2025. The tenant
represents 37% of the NRA and approximately 60% of the rent.
Medstar, the second largest tenant, leases 14.2% NRA through 2031
with a termination option in 2026. The termination option has a
$9.4 million penalty, if exercised.
According to the March 2024 rent roll, the property was 76%
occupied with a servicer-reported NOI DSCR of 1.99x as of YE 2023.
According to servicer updates, the borrower executed a
pre-negotiation letter and discussions are ongoing regarding a
possible consensual receivership and leasing opportunities with
current and new tenants. According to CoStar, as of 1Q25, the
Washington, D.C. CBD office submarket market reported a 20% vacancy
rate, 24.1% availability rate and $54.84 psf market asking rent.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 28.7% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 9.50% cap rate and 15% stress to the TTM March
2024 NOI to account for occupancy declines, higher submarket
vacancy rate and imminent loss of the largest tenant. Fitch's
analysis also incorporates an increased probability of default to
account for heightened maturity and refinance risk.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and second largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is
One West 34th Street, which is secured by a 215,205-sf office
property located in Manhattan, New York City. The property is
located across from the Empire State Building at the corner of West
34th Street and Fifth Avenue. The property's major tenants include
CVS (ground floor retail; 7.2% of NRA; leased through January
2034), International Inspiration (4.2%; November 2026) and Amazon
(3.5%; October 2026).
Property occupancy declined to 77.8% as of the December 2024
servicer-provided rent roll from 78.3% at YE 2023, 86.7% at YE 2022
and 80.4% at YE 2021. Occupancy declined between 2023 and 2024 due
to four tenants (combined 5.3% of NRA) vacating upon lease expiry.
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.94x as of the
trailing-nine-months ended September 2024, compared with 1.05x at
YE 2023, 0.87x at YE 2022 and 0.82x at YE 2021.
According to CoStar, the property lies within the Penn
Plaza/Garment Office Submarket of the New York market area. As of
4Q24, average rental rates were $74.24 psf and $59.36 psf for the
submarket and market, respectively. Vacancy for the submarket and
market was 15.4% and 13.5%, respectively. Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss
of 35% (prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a 9.25%
cap rate and 10.0% stress to YE 2024 NOI, and factors in an
increased probability of default due to the loan's heightened
maturity default risk.
Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 remittance report, the
aggregate pool balance has been reduced by 5.8% since issuance.
Interest shortfalls of approximately $271,000 and $7,000 are
currently affecting classes G and VRR respectively. There have been
no realized losses to date.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not likely due
to their position in the capital structure and expected continued
paydowns from loan amortization and repayments. However, downgrades
may occur if deal-level losses increase significantly and/or if
interest shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to the junior 'AAAsf' rated class and classes rated in
the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories, which have Negative Outlooks,
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger the FLOCs, in particular Lafayette Centre
and One West 34th Street and/or more loans than expected experience
performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to the classes rated in 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' categories
are likely with higher-than-expected losses from continued
underperformance of the FLOCs, additional transfers to special
servicing and/or with greater certainty of loses on specially
serviced loans and/or FLOCs.
Downgrades to the distressed classes would occur as losses are
realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated 'AAsf' and 'Asf' may be possible with
significantly increased CE, coupled with stable-to-improved
pool-level loss expectations and improved performance on the FLOCs,
particularly the specially serviced Lafayette Centre and One West
34th Street.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' category rated classes could occur only if
the performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected, and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not likely but may be possible
with better-than-expected recoveries on specially serviced loan
and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ5: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings on
the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-PJ5 (the Notes) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ5 (the Issuer):
-- $278.4 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $278.4 million Class A-X-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $208.8 million Class A-X-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $167.0 million Class A-X-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $41.8 million Class A-X-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-X-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-X-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $111.3 million Class A-X-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $69.6 million Class A-X-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-X-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-X-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $23.1 million Class A-X-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-X-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-X-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-X-25 at AAA (sf)
-- $301.4 million Class A-X-26 at AAA (sf)
-- $14.6 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $14.6 million B-X-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $14.6 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class B-X-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $2.9 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.6 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $819.0 thousand Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued and withdrew its credit ratings on
Classes A-1L, A-2L, and A-3L Loans initially contemplated in the
offering documents, as they were not issued at closing.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-9, A-10, A-11,
A-12, A-13, A-14, A-15, A-16, and A-17 are super-senior notes or
loans. These classes benefit from additional protection from the
senior support note (Classes A-19, A-20, and A-21) with respect to
loss allocation.
Classes A-X-1, A-X-2, A-X-3, A-X-4, A-X-5, A-X-6, A-X-7, A-X-8,
A-X-9, A-X-10, A-X-11, A-X-12, A-X-13, A-X-14, A-X-15, A-X-16,
A-X-17, A-X-18, A-X-19, A-X-20, A-X-21, A-X-22, A-X-23, A-X-24,
A-X-25, A-X-26, B-X-1, and B-X-2 are interest-only notes. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-10, A-11, A-13,
A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-19, A-20, A-22, A-23, A-24, A-25, A-X-2,
A-X-3, A-X-4, A-X-5, A-X-6, A-X-7, A-X-8, A-X-11, A-X-14, A-X-15,
A-X-16, A-X-17, A-X-20, A-X-23, A-X-24, A-X-25, A-X-26, B-1, and
B-2 are exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged for
combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Notes reflect 7.90% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (low) (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf) credit
ratings reflect 3.50%, 2.00%, 1.10%, 0.60%, and 0.35% credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien fixed-rate
prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2025-PJ5 (the Notes). The Notes are
backed by 293 loans with a total principal balance of $327,482,769
as of the Cut-Off Date.
The pool consists of first-lien, fully amortizing fixed-rate
mortgages (FRMs) with original terms to maturity of 30 years. The
weighted-average (WA) original combined loan-to-value (CLTV) for
the portfolio is 69.3%. In addition, all the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the general Qualified Mortgage (QM)
rule subject to the average prime offer rate designation.
The mortgage loans are originated by United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC
(22.6%), PennyMac Loan Services, LLC (14.8%), Guaranteed Rate, Inc
(11.8%), and various other originators, each comprising less than
10.0% of the pool.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Newrez LLC d/b/a Shellpoint
Mortgage Servicing (80.0%) PennyMac Loan Services, LLC (19.2%).
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as Paying Agent, Loan
Agent, and Custodian, Master Servicer and U.S. Bank Trust Company,
National Association will act as Collateral Trustee. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will serve as the File Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
This transaction allowed for the issuance of Classes A-1L, A-2L and
A-3L loans which would be the equivalent of ownership of Classes
A-1, A-2 and A-3 Notes, respectively. These classes were not issued
at closing.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ5: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 60 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ5, and sponsored by Goldman
Sachs Mortgage Company, LLC (GSMC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (80.7% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (19.3% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by GSMC, including loans aggregated by MAXEX Clearing
LLC (MAXEX; 9.8% by loan balance) and originated and serviced by
multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ5
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-25, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-13*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-17*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-20*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-23*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
Moody's are withdrawing the provisional ratings for the Class A-1L
Loans, Class A-2L Loans and Class A-3L Loans, assigned on May 14,
2025, because the issuer will not be issuing these classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.30%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.12% and reaches 4.57% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GSCG TRUST 2019-600C: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 7 Classes
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on one class of
Commercial Mortgage-Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-600C
issued by GSCG Trust 2019-600C as follows:
-- Class A to C (sf) from B (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also confirmed its credit ratings on the following
classes:
-- Class B at C (sf)
-- Class C at C (sf)
-- Class D at C (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
-- Class X at C (sf)
All classes now have a credit rating that generally does not carry
a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating downgrade on Class A reflects Morningstar DBRS'
increased loss expectations driven by the continued value decline
for the collateral property as exhibited by the October 2024
appraised value provided by the special servicer. The transaction's
$240.0 million loan is secured by an office property in San
Francisco, and has been in special servicing since March 2023.
According to Morningstar DBRS' liquidation analysis based on the
most recent appraised value, losses could now be realized as high
as the Class A certificate, supporting the credit rating downgrade
to C (sf) and credit rating confirmations for the remaining
classes. At the prior credit rating action, in July 2024, all
classes except the Class A certificate were downgraded to C (sf),
and the Class A certificate was downgraded to B (sf), reflective of
Morningstar DBRS' liquidated loss expectations based on the
previous appraised value, dated February 2024.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings are also constrained by ongoing
interest shortfalls, which have been accruing for the Class A
certificate since the December 2024 remittance and has now reached
Morningstar DBRS' maximum tolerance of six remittance periods of
consecutive shortfalls for the BB (sf) and B (sf) credit rating
categories, further supporting the credit rating downgrade to C
(sf). As of the May 2025 remittance, interest shortfalls totaled
approximately $10 million, an increase from $3.7 million reported
at the last credit rating action. The continued increase in
shortfalls is due to the nonrecoverability determination made by
the servicer, with the most recent appraised value suggesting all
classes will take a loss with the asset's final disposition.
The fixed-rate underlying loan had a loan-term of five years and is
secured by a Class A, LEED Gold-certified office building totaling
359,154 square feet (sf) in the North Financial District of San
Francisco. WeWork was the largest tenant in place at issuance, with
more than 50% of the net rentable area (NRA), on a lease through
March 2035. The sponsor at issuance, Ark Capital Advisors, LLC
(Ark), is a joint venture among Ivanhoe Cambridge, the Rhone Group,
and The We Company. The We Company (WeCo) is the owner of
approximately 80% of Ark and is also the parent company of WeWork.
The loan transferred to the special servicer in March 2023 after
WeWork halted its rental payments and the default on the March 2023
debt service payment. Following the initial breakdown of lease
negotiations with WeWork in late 2023, the borrower advised the
servicer no additional equity would be contributed toward scheduled
interest payments and eventually agreed to a consensual receiver
appointment in November 2023. The loan remains delinquent. In March
2024, the servicer confirmed the WeWork lease had been renegotiated
to allow the tenant to downsize to 43,520 sf by March 2025, a
nearly 75.0% reduction in space from the original footprint of
186,130 sf. The rental rate was also significantly reduced. For
more information regarding the WeWork lease modification, please
refer to Morningstar DBRS' press release published on July 17,
2024.
According to the rent roll dated February 2025, the subject was
43.6% leased, compared with the March 2024 figure of 55.0%. The
largest tenants include WeWork (25.0% of the NRA; lease expiration
dates in February 2025 and December 2030) and Cardinia Real Estate
(11.6% of the NRA; lease expiry in May 2025). According to
communications with the servicer, Cardinia Real Estate will vacate
its space at the conclusion of its lease; when coupled with the
March 2025 downsize for WeWork, the property's leased rate is
expected to decline to approximately 20%. Outside of Cardinia Real
Estate and floors two and three of WeWork there are minimal
rollover concerns over the next 12 months with less than 1.0% of
NRA having an upcoming lease expiration. In 2024, the borrower was
able to secure SunRun (4.1% of the NRA, lease expiry in April 2032)
for an entire floor on an eight-year lease. According to the May
2025 reporting, $8.9 million was held across reserves, including
$5.6 million in a lockbox reserve and approximately $2.5 million in
capital expenditure reserves.
According to the YE2024 financials, the subject reported a debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 0.24 times (x) as compared to the
YE2023 and YE2022 figures of 0.14x and 1.72x, respectively.
In October 2024, the property was re-appraised at a value of $109
million, reflective of an approximate 12.0% decline from the
February 2024 appraised value of $124 million. This marks a
continued decline from the April 2023 value of $183 million and the
issuance value of $370 million. Morningstar DBRS points to the low
in-place occupancy rate and the associated high lease-up costs for
the vacant space, combined with the general distress of the San
Francisco office market to be driving factors in the property's
severe value deterioration since issuance. According to a Q1 2025
Reis report, the North Financial District submarket of San
Francisco reported a vacancy rate of 23.1%, which is up from the Q1
2024 rate of 18.1%.
For purposes of this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS used a
liquidation scenario based on the most recent appraised value to
determine recoverability. Morningstar DBRS' liquidation scenario
was based on the October 2024 appraised value of $109 million and
incorporated a liquidation fee, outstanding ASER and advances,
interest shortfalls as well as expected additional expenses, which
cumulatively totaled approximately $45 million. Morningstar DBRS
did give credit to the in-place reserves of approximately $9
million as of the May 2025 reporting. The analysis suggested a loss
severity approaching 70%, or $168 million, which could climb as
high as the Class A certificate.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GSMS TRUST 2024-FAIR: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-FAIR
issued by GSMS Trust 2024-FAIR as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the transaction in the relatively short time since closing in July
2024.
The transaction is secured by the leasehold interest in the
Fairmont Austin hotel, a 1,048-key full-service hotel in Austin,
Texas. The hotel opened in 2018 and is well-located in the Austin
central business district, adjacent to Rainey Street Historic
District and just half a mile from 6th Street, a popular
entertainment area in Austin. The hotel is adjacent to the Austin
Convention Center (ACC), a significant demand driver, which is
currently undergoing renovations until March 2029. Amenities at the
property include five food and beverage outlets, a seventh-floor
rooftop terrace with a swimming pool, 14 private cabanas, lounge
spaces, an outdoor bar, and a full-service spa. Additionally, the
hotel has nearly 139,000 square feet (sf) of meeting space spread
across seven spaces, the largest of which is a 31,125-sf ballroom.
The transaction comprises a five-year, fixed-rate, interest-only
loan totaling $430.0 million which, along with $50.3 million
sponsor equity, was used to refinance existing debt and buy out the
minority interest in the property. The loan is sponsored by
Manchester Financial Group, a privately held hotel and commercial
real estate firm focused on acquisition, development, and
management of high-profile properties throughout the United States.
Since its 2018 completion, the sponsor has invested approximately
$9.2 million to improve back of house, cover operating capital
costs, update meeting room and banquet spaces, and improve guest
rooms and corridors. Additional capital improvements totaling $21.3
million are expected to be completed throughout the loan term.
According to the trailing 12-month (T-12) ended March 31, 2025,
financials, the collateral reported a net cash flow (NCF) of $37.0
million, resulting in a debt service coverage ratio of 1.10 times
(x), compared with the issuer's underwritten figure of $40.2
million (DSCR of 1.20x) and Morningstar DBRS NCF of $36.4 million
(DSCR of 1.10x). Per the most recent STR report, the collateral
reported a T-12 ended February 28, 2025, occupancy, average daily
rate, and revenue per available room (RevPAR) of 67.5%, $293, and
$198, respectively, slightly less than the Morningstar DBRS figures
of 70.3%, $289, and $203, respectively. While Morningstar DBRS
believes the property's location, strong amenities, projected
capital expenditure, and experienced sponsorship could support
modest RevPAR growth, given the supply increases and the threats to
group travel with the ongoing renovations at the ACC, Morningstar
DBRS elected to apply a discount to its RevPAR figure in its NCF
analysis.
For the purposes of this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS
maintained the valuation approach from issuance, which was based on
a leasehold capitalization (cap) rate of 8.14% (implied based on a
fee-simple cap rate of 8.0% for the property) applied to the
Morningstar DBRS NCF of $36.4 million. The resulting value of
$447.0 million represents a variance of -27.3% from the issuance
appraised value of $615.0 million and corresponds to a
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 96.2%. Morningstar DBRS maintained
positive qualitative adjustments of 5.5% to the LTV sizing
benchmarks to account for the collateral's recent construction and
strong property quality, its location in the heart of downtown
Austin adjacent to several demand drivers, and historically stable
performance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HILTON USA 2016-HHV: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2016-HHV
issued by Hilton USA Trust 2016-HHV as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the collateral, as evidenced by the collateral's
revenue per available room (RevPAR) and average daily rate (ADR)
figures, which remain in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations.
In light of upcoming maturity, Morningstar DBRS re-evaluated its
net cash flow (NCF) to assess the durability of the credit ratings
and considered a stressed scenario by applying a haircut to the
in-place NCF, the results of which supported the credit rating
confirmations with this review.
The transaction is secured by the borrower's fee-simple interest in
the Hilton Hawaiian Village, a trophy-quality, full-service luxury
beachfront resort in Waikiki, Hawaii. The collateral consists of
five guest towers comprising 2,860 rooms, plus conference space for
up to 2,600 attendees. The resort has the longest stretch of beach
and the largest amount of meeting space among its competitors.
Additionally, the property benefits from the wide range of
amenities, including over 65,000 square feet of indoor meeting
space, three restaurants, four lounges, five outdoor pools, and
fitness centers.
The collateral is a $750.0 million pari passu participation
interest in a $1.3 billion whole loan, set to mature in November
2026. The loan is sponsored by Park Intermediate Holdings LLC, a
wholly owned subsidiary of Park Hotels & Resorts, one of the
largest publicly traded real estate investment trusts in the U.S.
hospitality industry. According to a Pacific Business News article,
published on May 5, 2025, the sponsor is currently working on
renovating the resort to increase the room capacity and upgrade
existing rooms, based on an estimated budget of $83.0 million. The
first phase of the renovation, which utilized $41 million of the
budget, was completed in February 2025, adding 12 more keys to the
resort and upgrading approximately half of the Rainbow Tower's
guest rooms. For the second phase of the renovation that is
scheduled to be completed by Q3 2025, the sponsor is expecting to
complete the renovation of the Tower's remaining rooms and add
another 14 keys to the room inventory.
According to year-end (YE) 2024 financial reporting, the collateral
reported a NCF of $144.8 million (resulting in a debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) of 2.66x), a decline from YE2023 figure of
$170.9 million (DSCR of 3.15x), but exceeding the Morningstar DBRS
NCF of $126.6 million (DSCR of 2.33x), which was derived as part of
the June 2023 review, and the issuer's underwritten NCF of $132.6
million (DSCR of 2.44x). Per the January 2025 STR report, the
collateral's occupancy rate, ADR, and RevPAR for the trailing
12-month period through December 31, 2024, were 84.1%, $304, and
$256, respectively, below the YE2023 figures of 90.8%, $302, and
$275, respectively. Despite the year-over-year cash flow decline,
performance remains in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations.
The property is expected to benefit from the completion of the
ongoing capital improvements and will continue to benefit from its
prime location and superior property quality.
In the analysis for this review, given the loan's upcoming maturity
in November 2026 and to test the durability of the credit ratings,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the cash flow under both a base case and
stressed scenario, with an 8.0% capitalization rate applied. The
base case scenario, which is based on a standard surveillance
haircut to the YE2024 NCF, results in a base-case Morningstar DBRS
value of $1.8 billion (loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 71.9%). In the
stressed scenario, which included a 20% haircut to the YE2024 NCF,
Morningstar DBRS derived a stressed value of $1.5 billion,
resulting in an LTV of 88.0%. Morningstar DBRS maintained
qualitative adjustments of 4.5% to the LTV sizing benchmarks to
reflect the property's prime location within a strong market,
stable performance, and high property quality.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HIT 2022-HI32: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2022-HI32
issued by HIT Trust 2022-HI32 as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class D at A (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, which remains in line with
Morningstar DBRS' expectations at issuance. The aggregate portfolio
net cash flow (NCF) decreased slightly as of Q3 2024 compared with
YE2023, while the occupancy rate remained unchanged at about 75%
over the same period. In addition, the transaction continues to
benefit from granularity in terms of the allocated loan amount
(ALA), geographic diversity, experienced management companies, and
strong brand affiliation from nationally recognized hospitality
brands with national reservation systems.
At issuance, the two-year, interest-only, floating-rate loan was
collateralized by a portfolio of 32 limited-service, extended-stay,
select-service, and full-service hotels comprising 4,168 keys
across 18 states. As of the April 2025 reporting, five properties
had been released from the pool, three of which were released since
the last credit rating action in May 2024, resulting in a
collateral reduction of 9.0% since issuance. The loan is structured
with a pro rata/sequential pay structure that allows for pro rata
paydowns of the first 20.0% of the original principal balance,
subject to a relatively weak release premium of 105.0% of the ALA,
which increases to 110.0% thereafter.
The transaction is sponsored by an affiliate of Hospitality
Investors Trust, Inc. (HIT). HIT owns or has an interest in nearly
100 hotels across more than 25 states, all of which are operated
under franchise or license agreements with a national brand owned
by one of Hilton Worldwide, Inc.; Marriott International, Inc.;
Hyatt Hotels Corporation; or one of their respective subsidiaries
or affiliates. The $465.0 million loan, along with $5.3 million of
sponsor equity, was used to refinance $455.3 million of existing
debt, establish an $8.0 million up front property improvement plan
(PIP) reserve, and cover closing costs. The loan had an initial
maturity in July 2024 with three one-year extension options. After
successfully exercising the first extension option last year, two
remain, with a current maturity date in July 2025. The servicer
confirmed that the borrower has expressed its intent to exercise
the second extension option.
The hotels were constructed between 1979 and 2013 and operate under
10 different brands, with the majority of the properties operating
under the Marriott and Hilton flags. The sponsor invested
approximately $79.8 million of capital expenditures (capex) in the
properties between 2015 and 2021. At issuance, the sponsor planned
to contribute an additional $92.7 million in capex, of which $74.3
million was part of brand-mandated PIPs partially funded by an $8.0
million upfront PIP reserve. At the last review, approximately
$20.0 million of capex had been completed, with an additional $20.0
million that was either in progress or in the initial planning
phase. According to the servicer, five hotels have undergone
renovations totaling $30.2 million since the loan closed.
Operating performance remains relatively in line with Morningstar
DBRS' expectations, with the financial reporting for the trailing
12-month (T-12) period ended September 30, 2024, reflecting an NCF
of $39.2 million, compared with the YE2023 NCF of $39.6 million and
the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $34.6 million for the remaining 27
properties in the portfolio. The loan reported a debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) of 0.98 times (x) as of the T-9 period ended
September 30, 2024, in line with the YE2023 figure of 1.00x and the
Morningstar DBRS figure of 0.96x. The borrower was required to
enter into an interest rate cap agreement for the initial loan
period with a strike rate of 4.25%, and any replacement interest
rate cap agreement purchased in connection with the exercising of
any of the extension options must have a strike price equal to the
greater of 4.25% and the rate, yielding a DSCR of 1.05x.
For the purposes of this review, Morningstar DBRS updated its
sizing benchmarks to account for the five released properties to
date. Morningstar DBRS derived a value of $357.6 million based on a
Morningstar DBRS NCF of $34.6 million, which represents a haircut
of 11.7% to the T-12 NCF for the period ended September 30, 2024,
and a capitalization rate of 9.50%. In addition, Morningstar DBRS
maintained a total qualitative adjustment of 5.50% by increasing
the loan-to-value (LTV) thresholds to account for strong revenue
growth, sponsorship investment, and geographic diversity along with
a strong presence in the high-growth Sun Belt region.
The Morningstar DBRS credit ratings assigned to Classes F and G are
higher than the results implied by the LTV sizing benchmarks by
three or more notches. Given the notable reserve balance and
continued performance of the remaining collateral, the variances
are warranted.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HMH TRUST 2017-NSS: DBRS Confirms Csf Rating on 4 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2017-NSS
issued by HMH Trust 2017-NSS as follows:
-- Class A at CCC (sf)
-- Class B at C (sf)
-- Class C at C (sf)
-- Class D at C (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
There are no trends as the CCC (sf) and C (sf) credit rating
categories typically do not carry trends in commercial
mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings.
The collateral for the underlying loan consists of the fee-simple
interest in one hotel and the leasehold interests in 21 hotels
across nine different states, with the largest concentrations in
California, Florida, and North Carolina. Morningstar DBRS
previously downgraded all classes in May 2024 based on Morningstar
DBRS' projected liquidated amount for the loan, which has been in
special servicing since May 2020. Given the presence of additional
leased fee debt on the ground underneath 21 of the 22 properties,
Morningstar DBRS previously derived a look-through value for the
portfolio to evaluate the recoverability prospects to the subject
trust in the event of a liquidation. Morningstar DBRS had applied a
capitalization rate of 9.25% to the appraiser's year two net cash
flow (NCF) estimate for each property, excluding ground rent
expense, and applied an additional 10% haircut to account for the
potential of future value volatility over the remaining workout
period, resulting in a value of $324.1 million for the portfolio's
fee-simple interest.
Because the collateral is primarily composed of leasehold
interests, with each property subject to substantial ground lease
payments (exceeding 35% of the updated look-through portfolio NCF),
Morningstar DBRS assumed that the value attributed to the leased
fee would be commensurate with the $224.0 million of debt that is
estimated to be outstanding on the land underneath the hotels,
which would imply a value for the collateral totaling approximately
$99.9 million, representing a variance of -45.0% from the May 2024
appraised value of $181.8 million. Based on the Morningstar DBRS
Value of $99.9 million, Morningstar DBRS estimated that a
liquidated loss of approximately $148.4 million would be realized
at disposition, eroding into Class A and supporting the credit
rating confirmations with this review. For more information on the
previous credit rating action, please see the press release titled
"Morningstar DBRS Downgrades Credit Ratings on All Classes of HMH
Trust 2017-NSS" dated May 23, 2024, on the Morningstar DBRS
website.
While the potential for principal loss is the primary driver for
the CCC (sf) and C (sf) credit ratings, the consideration of
increasing interest shortfalls prior to disposition remains a
factor. Interest shortfalls totaled $13.1 million as of the April
2025 remittance, with Classes E, F, and a portion of Class D being
shorted, up from a total interest shortfall amount of $8.6 million
at the time of the last credit rating actions. Unpaid interest
continues to accrue month over month, driven primarily by the
appraisal subordinate entitlement reduction (ASER) amounts
calculated by the special servicer as new appraisals have been
obtained.
In February 2024, the receiver was granted full authority to
convey, liquidate, or otherwise dispose of the collateral
properties through a combination of deeds in lieu of foreclosure,
receiver sales, or nonjudicial foreclosure sales. The Comfort Inn -
Fayetteville property (3.9% of the allocated loan amount (ALA)) was
liquidated in October 2024, with proceeds applied to property
protection advances and principal and interest advances, with a
holdback of $1.8 million for future advances. Eleven hotels have
reportedly completed the deed-in-lieu process, with another six
hotels in process. According to the April 2025 servicer commentary,
seven properties are being targeted for June or July 2025 auctions,
with one property, the Homewood Suites Phoenix (3.0% of ALA), in
the process of being sold, with a closing targeted in Q2 2025. The
special servicer is projecting a complete liquidation of the
portfolio by Q2 2026.
The properties have solid brand affiliation, with either Hilton
Worldwide Holdings Inc.; Hyatt Hotels Corporation; Marriott
International, Inc.; or Choice Hotels International, Inc. flags on
each hotel. Nearly half the pool operates as extended-stay hotels,
with the remaining operating as either limited-service or
select-service hotels. The sponsor for the loan is Jay H. Shidler,
founder of The Shidler Group, which was founded in 1972 and is
headquartered in Honolulu. The capital stack includes a $25.0
million mezzanine loan held outside of the trust, and the trust
permits an additional $26.0 million mezzanine loan; however,
additional mezzanine debt has not been obtained to date. The
mezzanine loans are co-terminus with the trust mortgage loan, which
matured in July 2022.
Since Morningstar DBRS' prior credit rating action in May 2024, an
additional round of appraisals was obtained by the servicer,
valuing the collateral portfolio on an as-is basis at $181.8
million in May 2024, in line with the August 2023 appraised value
of $180.0 million and 54.6% below the issuance value of $400.4
million. Based on the most recent value, the trust loan's
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) is 112.2%. Outstanding advances continue
to accrue, with principal and interest advances totaling $17.7
million as of the April 2025 remittance. Accounting for all
outstanding advances, ASER, and unpaid advance interest, the loan's
total exposure has increased to $242.0 million from $234.7 million
at Morningstar DBRS' last review, resulting in an implied LTV of
approximately 133.1%.
According to the YE2024 financials, the portfolio reported a
consolidated NCF of $1.8 million, representing a 67.4% decline from
the YE2023 NCF of $5.7 million. Per the January 2025 STR, Inc.
report, the portfolio reported a trailing 12-month occupancy,
average daily rate, and revenue per available room of 65.1%, $135,
and $92, respectively, generally in line with January 2024 levels.
The portfolio NCF continues to lag the appraiser's expectations,
suggesting that there could be increased value volatility as the
properties are disposed of over the next year. Furthermore, the
collateral's ground rent obligations continue to limit cash flow
growth. Using the appraiser's year two NCF, which assumes a nominal
amount of stabilization, the ground rent expense as a percentage of
NCF exceeds 35.0%, ranging from 15.9% to 100.0% across the
portfolio.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HOMES 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns Prelim B(sf) Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to HOMES
2025-NQM3 Trust's series 2025-NQM2 mortgage pass-through
certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans, including some loans with interest-only
features, secured by single-family residences, townhouses,
planned-unit developments, condominiums, cooperative, condotels,
two- to four-family homes, and manufactured housing properties to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The pool has 1,052 loans, which
are qualified mortgage (QM) safe harbor, QM rebuttable presumption,
ability-to-repay-exempt (ATR-exempt) loans and non-QM/ATR-compliant
loans.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 5,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and mortgage originators; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
our view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
HOMES 2025-NQM3 Trust
Class A-1, $373,204,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1A, $322,255,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $50,949,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $31,589,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $51,204,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $19,870,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $14,521,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $11,973,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $7,133,386: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class X, notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A(iii): NR
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal. They do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount equals the loans' aggregate stated
principal balance.
(iii)This class will receive certain excess amounts including
prepayment premium and default interest and will not be entitled to
payments of principal.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
HORIZON AIRCRAFT III: Fitch Hikes Rating on Class B Notes to 'BBsf'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the ratings of Horizon Aircraft Finance
I Limited (Horizon I), Horizon Aircraft Finance II Limited (Horizon
II), and Horizon Aircraft Finance III Limited (Horizon III) class
A, B and C notes. The Rating Outlooks have been assigned Stable
following the upgrades.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Horizon Aircraft
Finance III Limited
A 44040JAA6 LT BBBsf Upgrade BBB-sf
B 44040JAB4 LT BBsf Upgrade BB-sf
C 44040JAC2 LT CCC+sf Upgrade CCCsf
Horizon Aircraft
Finance II Limited
Series A 44040HAA0 LT BBB+sf Upgrade BBBsf
Series B 44040HAB8 LT BB+sf Upgrade BBsf
Series C 44040HAC6 LT B-sf Upgrade CCC+sf
Horizon Aircraft
Finance I Limited
A 440405AE8 LT BBBsf Upgrade BBB-sf
B 440405AF5 LT B+sf Upgrade Bsf
C 440405AG3 LT CCC+sf Upgrade CCCsf
Transaction Summary
The ratings reflect current transaction performance, Fitch's cash
flow projections, and its expectation for the structures to
withstand rating-specific stresses under Fitch's criteria and cash
flow modeling. Lease terms, lessee credit quality and performance,
updated aircraft values, and Fitch's assumptions and stresses, all
inform the agency's modeled cash flows and coverage levels.
Rental collections for Horizon I and II have remained consistent
with the transactions' previous review and in line with Fitch's
expectations, while collections for Horizon III improved
substantially. Large cash in-flows from aircraft sales have
resulted in the transactions deleveraging; three, five, and one
aircraft were sold from Horizon I, II and III, respectively since
its prior review. The upgrades reflect the improved LTVs for all
notes, improvements in outstanding principal balance versus
scheduled for senior notes and consistent or improving rental
collections yoy.
Credit profiles remain stressed with continued delinquencies in all
three transactions. APAC lessees, in particular, continue to have
arrear balances, representing approximately 23%, 30%, and 84% of
total arrears for Horizon I, II and III respectively.
Horizon I's and III's A notes are behind scheduled principal
payments by 11% and 7%, respectively, but are paying principal and
interest. The B and C notes have not received principal payments
since mid-2020. Horizon II's A notes are 10% ahead of schedule and
the B notes recently received their first principal in nearly five
years due to aircraft sales. The C notes have not received
principal payments and have capitalized interest since mid-2020.
All three transactions are serviced by Babcock & Brown Aircraft
Management (BBAM) and are backed by aircraft operating leases.
Overall Market Recovery
Demand for air travel continues to grow albeit at a slower pace.
March 2025 global passenger traffic measured in revenue passenger
kilometers (RPK) was up 3.3% compared to March 2024 per IATA.
International traffic led the way with 4.4% yoy RPK growth;
domestic traffic grew at 1.0% yoy. Growth rates vary across
geographies. Asia Pacific continues to lead the overall growth in
traffic. North American passenger traffic, however, fell by 1.1% in
March, following a 3.5% drop in February.
Aircraft Collateral and Asset Values
Aircraft ABS transaction servicers are reporting continued strong
demand for aircraft, particularly those with maintenance green time
remaining. Additionally, appraiser market values are currently
higher than base values for many aircraft types, which has not
occurred for several years. Fitch is also seeing continued strong
aircraft sale proceeds. Engines with maintenance green time
remaining are particularly in demand.
Macro Risks
Although Fitch has not yet observed deterioration in aircraft ABS
transaction performance, its sector outlook has recently been
updated from 'neutral' to 'deteriorating.' This change is due to
expectations of a slowdown in the growth rate of global air travel,
aligning with Fitch's forecast for a slowdown in global GDP in 2025
and 2026. Global air travel is highly correlated to global GDP.
Fitch also expects a greater degree of divergence in performance
across several categories including domestic versus international
travel, geographic footprint, lessee credit strength, and aircraft
type and age.
Contractions in certain domestic markets have been observed through
March of 2025. Fitch notes that in the current environment, there
is significant uncertainty about how trade relations and conflicts
will be resolved. Conclusive resolutions to tariff conflicts, for
example, may prompt Fitch to re-evaluate its sector outlook.
Despite an anticipated slowdown in the growth rate of air travel,
Fitch expects aircraft values will remain supported by the
under-supply of aircraft as impacted by continued impediments to
the construction and delivery of new aircraft, and ongoing engine
shop capacity issues that reduce total capacity. Fitch expects
these supply-side constraints to mitigate the impact of demand
reductions.
ABS performance may be impacted by deteriorating credit quality of
airline lessees, and despite generally benefiting from longer-term
fixed rental leases and staggered lease expiries, given sufficient
financial headwinds, some airlines may seek payment relief in the
form of restructures, which could reduce cash flows to ABS. Fitch
expects securitizations with younger to mid-life aircraft and with
adequate lessee quality and diversification to be better positioned
to withstand potential pressures on cashflows needed to meet debt
service.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Values: As of April 2025, the Fitch Value for the Horizon I,
II, and III pools were $336 million, $218 million and $321 million,
respectively, a decrease of $32 million (8.7%), $4 million(1.8%),
$16 million (4.8%) over the last 12 months, controlling for the
sale of aircraft. Fitch used the most recent appraisals as of
December 2024, and applied depreciation and market value decline
assumptions pursuant to its criteria.
Fitch Values are generally derived from base values unless the
remaining leasable life is less than three years, in which case a
market value is used. Fitch then uses the lesser of mean and median
of the given value.
Using the Fitch Value the changes in loan to values (LTVs) since
Fitch's prior review are as follows:
- Horizon I: A note 75.4% to 63.1%; B note 95.1% to 87.5%; C note
107.2% to 103.9%;
- Horizon II: A note 69.0% to 51.4%; B note 89.3% to 69.0%; C note
104.3% to 93.2%;
- Horizon III: A note 78.4% to 63.9%; B note 94.9% to 82.5%; C note
107.3% to 97.4%.
Horizon I, II, and III mean maintenance-adjusted base value (MABV),
depreciated from the appraisal effective date to April 2025, are
$339 million, $209 million, and $307 million, respectively.
Tiered Collateral Quality: The Horizon I pool consist of 21
narrowbody aircraft, two engines, and one airframe, with the
majority characterized as end-of-life aircraft with a
weighted-average age of 15.8 years. The Horizon II pool consist of
11 narrowbody aircraft, one engine, and one airframe, with the
majority characterized as mid-life aircraft and a weighted-average
age of 13.5 years.
The Horizon III pool consist of 16 narrowbody aircraft and one
engine, with the majority characterized as mid-life aircraft and a
weighted-average age of 13.9 years. Fitch utilizes three tiers when
assessing the desirability and liquidity of aircraft collateral.
Tier one is the most liquid, and tier three is the least liquid.
Additional details regarding Fitch's tiering methodology is
available here
As aircraft age, Fitch's aircraft tiering migrates; the weighted
average, age-adjusted, tiers for Horizon I, II, and III are 1.60,
1.45 and 1.47, respectively.
Pool Concentration: Horizon I, II, and III include 24, 13, and 17
assets (aircraft, engines, and airframes), respectively. Horizon II
and III are becoming concentrated. As the pools age and Fitch
models aircraft being sold at the end of their leasable lives
(generally 20 years), pool concentration will increase. Pursuant to
Fitch's criteria, cash flows are further stressed based on the
effective aircraft count. Concentration haircuts vary by rating
level and are applied at stresses higher than 'CCCsf'.
Horizon I is reasonably diversified across regions with 30%
exposure to Emerging Asia Pacific, 23% to Emerging Europe & CIS,
21% to Developed Europe, 12% to Emerging South & Central America,
and 5% to Developed Asia Pacific.
Horizon II has 45% exposure to Emerging Asia Pacific, 18% to
Developed Europe, 15% to Emerging Europe & CIS, 12% to Emerging
Middle East & Africa, 7% to Emerging South & Central America, and
3% to Developed North America.
Horizon III has 42% exposure to Emerging Asia Pacific, 17% to
Emerging Europe & CIS, 12% to Developed North America, 11% to
Developed Europe, 11% to Emerging South & Central America, and 7%
to Emerging Middle East & Africa.
Lessee Credit Risk: Fitch considers the credit risk posed by the
pools of lessees to be high. The portfolio composition by lessee
credit rating has not materially changed since last review for
Horizon I and III. However, due to the sale of five aircraft, the
Horizon II pool is now more concentrated with lower-rated lessees.
Although delinquencies have improved in all three transactions
since the prior review, Horizon I has significant arrear balances
that will take time to recover, and some may not be fully
recovered. The modeled credit rating Fitch assigns to the subject
airlines may improve if they demonstrate a longer track record of
timely payment performance, particularly for airlines with leases
that have recently been restructured.
Operation and Servicing Risk: Fitch believes the servicer, Babcock
& Brown Aircraft Management, is qualified based on its experience
as a lessor, overall servicing capabilities and historical ABS
performance to date.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- An increase in delinquencies, lower lease rates, or sales of
aircraft below Fitch's projections could lead to a downgrade;
- The aircraft ABS sector has a rating cap of 'Asf'. All
subordinate tranches carry ratings lower than the senior tranche
and below the ratings at close;
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to the lessee credit quality in
the pool. Fitch assigns a credit rating of 'CCC' or lower to a high
percentage of lessees in the pools. The sensitivity assumes all
future lessees are rated 'CC.' This scenario results in a zero to
two notch decrease in the model-implied-ratings.
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to the residual values of the
aircraft in the pool. The sensitivity reduces residual values by
20% to simulate underperformance in sales beyond the haircuts,
depreciation, and market value declines already incorporated into
Fitch's model. This scenario resulted in a one to two notch
decrease from the model-implied-ratings.
- Fitch ran a sensitivity assuming multiple simultaneous down
scenarios. The scenarios include no future EOL payments, future
lessees CCC, downtimes for leases with arrearages extended five
months, and aircraft values using the lesser of the typical
appraised value or maintenance-adjusted market value . This
scenario resulted in a zero to one notch decrease from the
model-implied-rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- If contractual lease rates outperform modeled cash flows or
lessee credit quality improves materially, this may lead to an
upgrade. Similarly, if assets in the pool display higher values and
stronger rent generation than Fitch's stressed scenarios this may
also lead to an upgrade.
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to the lessee credit quality in
the pool. Fitch assigns a credit rating of 'CCC' or lower to a high
percentage of lessees in the pools. The sensitivity assumes all
current lessees are rated 'B', excluding lessees rated by Fitch,
and that all future lessees will be rated 'B.' This scenario
results in a zero to two notch increase in the
model-implied-ratings.
- Fitch also considers jurisdictional concentrations per its
"Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Country Risk Rating
Criteria," which could result in rating caps lower than 'Asf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ICG US CLO 2016-1: S&P Lowers Class D-RR Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on the class C-RR and D-RR
debt from ICG US CLO 2016-1 Ltd. and removed them from CreditWatch,
where they were placed with negative implications on May 1, 2025.
At the same time, we affirmed our ratings on the class X, A-1-RR,
A-2-RR, and B-RR debt from the same transaction.
The transaction is a U.S. broadly syndicated CLO transaction
managed by ICG Debt Advisors LLC.
The rating actions follow its review of the transaction's
performance using data from the April 2025 trustee report.
S&P had placed the ratings on the class C-RR and D-RR debt on
CreditWatch negative due primarily to the decline in their
respective overcollateralization (O/C) levels and declining cash
flows.
The CLO exited its reinvestment period in April 2025 and has not
yet paid down its senior notes, other than the ongoing amortization
payments to the class X debt. However, the class A-1-RR debt was
paid down by approximately $0.12 million, or 0.05% of its original
balance, in the October 2024 payment period to help cure the
failing class D O/C ratio test. The class X debt has been paid down
by approximately $1.05 million, or 26.32% of its original balance,
since our last rating actions.
Although the O/C ratio tests were reported as passing in the April
2025 trustee report, the O/C ratios have declined since the April
2024 rating actions. The drop in the O/C ratios is due primarily to
par decline. When compared to the February 2024 trustee report:
-- The class A O/C ratio declined to 125.94% from 126.33%.
-- The class B O/C ratio declined to 116.72% from 117.09%.
-- The class C O/C ratio declined to 108.76% from 109.10%.
-- The class D O/C ratio declined to 104.03% from 104.36%.
In addition to par loss, the collateral shows signs of
deterioration as the trustee-reported 'AAA' weighted average
recovery declined to 40.10% from 40.80%, the weighted average
spread declined to 3.30% from 3.77%, and the weighted average life
increased to 4.47 years from 4.03 years. Similarly, exposure to
assets rated in the 'CCC' category increased. As reported in the
April 2025 trustee report, the 'CCC' concentration represents
$39.52 million compared to $34.02 million as reported in the
February 2024 trustee report. Notwithstanding this, there has been
some improvement in the portfolio's S&P Global Ratings weighted
average rating factor.
As a result of these factors, credit support has weakened for all
tranches, and cash flows are not passing at the current rating
levels for the class B-RR and D-RR debt. For the same reason, cash
flows were not passing at the prior rating level for the class C-RR
debt.
The downgrades reflect deteriorated credit quality of the
underlying portfolio and the decrease in credit support available
to the class C-RR and D-RR debt.
The cash flow analysis indicated a lower rating on the class B-RR
and D-RR debt than the rating action reflects. S&P said, "However,
we affirmed the rating on the class B-RR debt after considering the
margin of failure and that the transaction will soon begin to pay
down its senior notes, which we expect will increase the credit
support available to all the rated classes, all else being equal.
The lowered rating on the class D-RR debt reflects that although
credit support has deteriorated for this class, in our view, it
does not yet meet our definition of 'CCC' risk at this time, as its
current credit enhancement level can withstand a steady-state
scenario without being dependent on favorable conditions to meet
its financial commitments."
Additionally, the affirmations reflect adequate credit support at
the current rating levels, though any further deterioration in the
credit support available to the notes could further change the
ratings.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults and recoveries upon default under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with this rating
action."
S&P Global Ratings will continue to review whether, in its view,
the ratings assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit
enhancement available to support them and take rating actions as it
deems necessary.
Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
ICG US CLO 2016-1 Ltd.
Class C-RR to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch neg'
Class D-RR to 'B- (sf)' from 'B (sf)/Watch neg'
Ratings Affirmed
ICG US CLO 2016-1 Ltd.
Class X: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-RR: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-RR: AA (sf)
Class B-RR: A (sf)
IP 2025-IP: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2025-IP (the Certificates) to be issued by IP 2025-IP Mortgage
Trust (IP 2025-IP):
-- Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B at (P) AA (sf)
-- Class C at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at (P) BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The IP 2025-IP single-asset/single-borrower transaction is
collateralized by the borrower's fee-simple interest in a
1,328-unit Class A apartment complex spanning three 39-story towers
with 539 parking spaces and 51,419 square feet (sf) of retail space
in Tribeca, New York City. Transaction proceeds of $675.0 million
along with $15.0 million of sponsor equity will be used to
refinance $675.0 million worth of debt and to cover closing costs.
Initially developed in 1975, the property has a current occupancy
rate of 93.3% based on the April 17, 2025, rent roll.
Originally built in 1975 as part of an affordable housing
initiative for lower- and middle-income residents, the property
received tax breaks and subsidized mortgages until it exited the
program in 2004. Upon exiting the program, the sponsor began
renovating the units as they become available; the current tenants
that were part of the Landlord Assistance Program (LAP) and those
that are receiving Section 8 vouchers are allowed to stay in their
units as long as they maintain occupancy and the sponsor has the
ability to turn those units to free market-rate units once the
residents vacate. Currently, the collateral has a mix of
market-rate units, Section 8 voucher tenant units (Section 8), and
LAP units. The fair-market units account for 805 units and about
60.6% of the total rentable units, the Section 8 units account for
252 units and about 19.0% of the total units, and the LAP units
account for about 267 units and approximately 20.1% of the total
units. The remaining four units, or 0.3% of the total rentable
units, are nonrevenue employee units. Both the Section 8 voucher
units and the LAP units are 100% occupied as of the April 2025 rent
roll. The Section 8 tenants are responsible for paying rent up to
30% of their adjusted income with the U.S. Department of Housing
and Urban Development paying the difference between the contractual
tenant rent and the market rent for the units. Once a tenant
vacates a Section 8 unit, it is no longer subject to the Section 8
program and may become a fair-market unit that can be leased at the
current market rent. The LAP units are former Mitchell-Lama Housing
Program tenants that are enrolled in LAP and are subject to annual
rent increases, which track the New York City Rent Guidelines Board
index +1%. If a tenant vacates one of the LAP units, the unit is no
longer subject to LAP and becomes a fair-market unit. The sponsor's
business plan is to renovate all Section 8, LAP, and unrenovated
fair-market units upon turnover.
In addition to the residential portion of the collateral, there is
approximately 51,419 sf of street-facing retail space and 539
parking spaces spread across five separate garages. The largest
retail tenant is The Cocoon, which is a family-centered members
club that focuses on child growth and development programming and
camps; they have two New York City locations, with the other one
being on the Upper West Side.
The collateral is located in the Tribeca neighborhood of New York
City, which is part of the Reis-designated West Village/Downtown
submarket. This submarket has historically benefited from low
vacancy rates and stable rent trends. As of Q1 2025, the submarket
vacancy rate was 3.7%, which shows a slight 0.3% increase since
2024. Since 2020, the submarket has seen a 30.0% rent increase in
asking rent per unit to $5,638 from $4,306. In this same period,
the vacancy rate has decreased to 3.7% from 5.4%. Furthermore,
there is little new construction within the submarket and the
vacancy rate is therefore expected to remain somewhat stable. The
asking rent seen for properties of a similar vintage (1970-79) of
$6,288 per unit is higher than the subject average rent of $5,005
per unit. As the Section 8 and LAP units turn, the sponsor hopes to
raise rents to be in line with the market rate.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
IVY HILL XX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt and the new class X-R
debt from Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX Ltd./Ivy Hill
Middle Market Credit Fund XX LLC, a CLO managed by Ivy Hill Asset
Management L.P. that was originally issued in March 2023. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A, B, C,
D, and E debt following payment in full on the June 5, 2025,
refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1R, A-2R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt
was issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR than the
original debt.
-- The original class A debt was split into class A-1R and A-2R
debt.
-- The stated maturity was extended by 2.25 years.
-- The reinvestment period and non-call period were extended by
2.13 years.
-- The new class X-R debt was issued in connection with this
refinancing. This debt is to be paid down using interest proceeds
during 12 payment dates beginning with the payment date in January
2026.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX Ltd./
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX LLC
Class X-R, $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $232.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $10.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $32.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX Ltd./
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX Ltd./
Ivy Hill Middle Market Credit Fund XX LLC
Subordinated notes, $63.23 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
JP MORGAN 2025-4: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-4 (the
Certificates) to be issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-4:
-- $328.5 million Class A-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $328.5 million Class A-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $328.5 million Class A-3-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9-A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $365.4 million Class A-X-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1-A at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1-X at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2-A at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2-X at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $3.3 million Class B-3 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.9 million Class B-4 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $772,800 Class B-5 at (P) B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, B-1, and B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These
classes can be exchanged for combinations of depositable
certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super-senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificate
(Class A-9-A) with respect to loss allocation.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.45%
of credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The
(P) AA (low) (sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB
(low) (sf), and (P) B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.50%,
1.90%, 1.05%, 0.55%, and 0.35% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages to be funded by the issuance
of the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 312 loans with
a total principal balance of $386,425,361 as of the Cut-Off Date
(May 1, 2025).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average loan
age of three months. Approximately 85.1% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
14.9% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system designated by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for purchase by such
agencies. Details on the underwriting of conforming loans can be
found in the Key Probability of Default Drivers section in the
related presale report. In addition, all of the loans in the pool
were originated in accordance with the new general Qualified
Mortgage rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) and PennyMac Loan Services,
LLC (PennyMac) originated 36.5% and 19.1% of the pool,
respectively. Various other originators, each comprising less than
10%, originated the remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will
be serviced by Cenlar FSB (Cenlar) (35.8%), NewRez LLC d/b/a
Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (31.9%), and PennyMac (19.1%). For
the UWM-serviced loans, Cenlar will act as the subservicer. For the
loans serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB; rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS), Shellpoint will act as interim
servicer until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the servicing
transfer date (September 1, 2025).
For certain servicers in this transaction, the servicing fee
payable for mortgage loans is composed of three separate
components: the base servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee,
and the additional servicing fee. These fees vary based on the
delinquency status of the related loan and will be paid from
interest collections before distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as the Master Servicer. Citibank,
N.A. (Citibank; rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) will act as Securities Administrator and Delaware Trustee.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2025-4: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 31 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2025-4, and sponsored by JPMorgan Chase Bank,
National Association (JPMCB).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (85.1% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (14.9% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMCB),
originated and serviced by multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-4
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.29%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.12% and reaches 4.28% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024 and available at
https://ratings.moodys.com/rmc-documents/425169. The methodologies
used in rating interest-only classes were "Moody's Approach to
Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2025-5MPR: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 11 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to be issued by J.P.
Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-5MPR, and sponsored by JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A. (JPMCB).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (88.4% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (11.6% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB), originated and
serviced by multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-5MPR
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1C, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1D, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1M, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.59%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.28% and reaches 9.69% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2025-LTV1: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to JP Morgan Mortgage
Trust 2025-LTV1 (JPMMT 2025-LTV1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMMT 2025-LTV1
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A-3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
PT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final rating to the RMBS to be issued by JP
Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-LTV1, Series 2025-LTV1 (JPMMT
2025-LTV1), as indicated above. The notes are supported by 281
loans with a balance of $272.80 million as of the cutoff date. This
represents the first prime high loan-to-value (LTV) transaction on
the JPMMT shelf in 2025 and the second Fitch rated JPMMT
transaction in 2025.
The notes are secured by mortgage loans originated mainly by United
Wholesale Mortgage (UWM), which is assessed as an 'Above Average'
originator by Fitch. The remaining originators are contributing
less than 10% each to the transaction. On and after the closing
date, the loans are serviced by the following servicers: United
Wholesale Mortgage LLC (61.4%), which is not rated by Fitch but
Cenlar, rated 'RPS2' by Fitch, is the subservicer; Nationstar
Mortgage LLC d/b/a Rushmore Servicing (25.7%), rated 'RSS2'/Stable
by Fitch; PennyMac Loan Services and PennyMac Corp (10.5%), rated
'RPS2-'/Stable by Fitch; loanDepot.com LLC (1.8%), which is not
rated by Fitch and Fay Servicing, LLC (0.6%), rated 'RSS2'/Negative
by Fitch.
Per the transaction documents, 93.8% of the loans are designated as
safe harbor (APOR) qualified mortgage loans (SHQM) and the
remaining 6.2% are designated as rebuttable presumption (APOR)
qualified mortgage loans.
Class A-1A, class A-1B, class A-2 and class A-3 notes are fixed
rate, are capped at the net weighted average coupon (WAC) and have
a step-up feature. The pass-through rate for class M-1 and B-1
notes will be a per annum rate equal to the lesser of (i) the
applicable fixed rate for such class of notes, determined at the
time of pricing, or (ii) the net WAC rate for the related payment
date. The class B-2 and B-3 notes are based on the net WAC.
Additionally, on any payment date after the step-up date where the
aggregate unpaid interest carryover amount for class A notes is
greater than zero, payments to the class A step-up interest
carryover reserve account will be prioritized over payment of
interest/unpaid interest payable to class B-3 notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.1% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.1% on a national level 4Q24, down 0.1% since last
quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of February 2025 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory).
Prime Credit Quality High LTV Loans (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 281 fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans totaling $272.80
million. In total, 93.8% of the loans are designated as SHQM and
the remaining 6.2% are designated as APOR qualified mortgage loans.
The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit profiles but
relatively high leverage.
The loans are seasoned at approximately six months in aggregate,
according to Fitch, and three months per the transaction documents.
The borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a 746 FICO and a
39.8% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, according to Fitch. Based on
Fitch's analysis of the pool, the original WA combined LTV ratio
(CLTV) is 86.7%, which translates to a sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV)
of 95.2%. Approximately 35.2% of the loans have an sLTV greater
than 100%.
Per the transaction documents and Fitch's analysis, conforming
loans constitute 12.7% of the pool and non-conforming loans
constitute 87.3% of the pool. Additionally, 46.7% of the loans were
originated by a retail or non-broker correspondent channel, and
53.3% via a broker channel.
Of the pool, 100% comprises loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence (90.3% primary and 9.7% secondary).
Single-family homes and planned unit developments (PUDs) constitute
89.5% of the pool, condominiums make up 7.6% and the remaining 2.9%
are multifamily. The pool consists of loans with the following loan
purposes, as determined by Fitch: purchases (79.3%), cashout
refinances (9.8%) and rate-term refinances (10.9%). Fitch views
favorably that no loans are for investment properties and a
majority of mortgages are purchases.
A total of 132 loans in the pool are for over $1.0 million, and the
largest loan is approximately $2.87 million.
Eighteen loans in the transaction have an interest rate buy down
feature. Fitch did not increase its loss expectations on these
loans since they were underwritten to the full interest rate.
Of the pool loans, 27.1% are concentrated in California, followed
by Florida and Arizona. The largest MSA concentration is in the Los
Angeles MSA (11.1%), followed by the Phoenix MSA (7.7%) and the
Denver MSA (4.5%). The top three MSAs account for 23.3% of the
pool. As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was
applied for geographic concentration.
Furthermore, none of the borrowers were viewed by Fitch as having a
prior credit event within the past seven years. Additionally, 9.0%
of the loans have a junior lien in conjunction with a first-lien
mortgage. First-lien mortgages constitute 100% of the pool (no
second-lien loans are in the pool). All loans in the pool are
current as of the cutoff date.
Loan Count Concentration (Negative): The loan count for this pool
is 281 loans, which results in a weighted average number (WAN) of
208 loans. Due to the WAN being less than 300, a loan count
concentration penalty was applied. The loan count concentration for
this pool results in a 1.12x penalty, which increases loss
expectations by 214 bps at the 'AAAsf' rating category.
Full Advancing (Mixed): The servicers will provide full advancing
for the life of the transaction; each servicer is expected by Fitch
to advance delinquent principal and interest (P&I) on loans that
entered into a pandemic-related forbearance plan. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the notes, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
less recoveries.
Nationstar is the master servicer and will advance if the servicer
is unable to do so. If the master servicer is unable to advance,
the paying agent (Citibank) will advance as needed.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Neutral): The transaction
has a modified sequential-payment structure, whereby collected
principal pro rata is distributed among the class A notes while
excluding the mezzanine and subordinate notes from principal until
all the class A notes are reduced to zero. To the extent that
either a cumulative loss trigger event or a delinquency trigger
event occurs in a given period, principal will be distributed first
to class A-1A and A-1B, then to A-2 and A-3 notes until they are
reduced to zero. Once the A classes are paid in full, principal
will be allocated first to M-1, then to B-1, then to B-2 and
finally to B-3.
Like other modified sequential structures, interest is prioritized
over the payment of principal in the principal waterfall, with
interest being paid first, prior to principal. The interest
waterfall is sequential, with the class A receiving current
interest and unpaid interest first. Both of these features are
supportive of timely interest being paid to the 'AAAsf' rated
classes.
The transaction has excess interest and subordination to provide
credit protection to the rated classes in the structure.
However, excess spread will be reduced on and after the payment
date in June 2029, since the class A notes have a step-up coupon
feature, whereby the coupon rate will be the lower of (i) the
applicable fixed rate plus 1.000% and (ii) the net WAC rate.
Additionally, on any payment date occurring on or after the payment
date in June 2029 on which the aggregate unpaid interest carryover
amount for class A notes is greater than zero, payments to the
interest carryover reserve account will be prioritized over the
payment of interest and unpaid interest payable to class B-3 notes
in both the interest and principal waterfalls.
This feature is supportive of the 'AAAsf' rated notes being paid
timely interest at the step-up coupon rate under Fitch's stresses,
and classes A-2 and A-3 being paid ultimate interest at the step-up
coupon rate under Fitch's stresses. Fitch rates to timely interest
for 'AAAsf' rated classes and to ultimate interest for all other
rated classes.
The transaction has excess interest and subordination to provide
credit protection to the rated classes in the structure.
Losses will be allocated reverse sequentially, with class B-3
taking losses first. Once the class M-1 is written off, the losses
will be allocated sequentially to the A classes, with the A-1A
class taking losses last.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.69% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 100% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under
this engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades
and assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal
exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports.
Refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
JP MORGAN 2025-NQM2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2025-NQM2 (JPMMT 2025-NQM2 or the Trust) as
follows:
-- $253.5 million Class A-1A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $43.1 million Class A-1B at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $296.6 million Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $36.4 million Class A-2 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $43.3 million Class A-3 at (P) A (high) (sf)
-- $19.6 million Class M-1A at (P) BBB (high) (sf)
-- $9.9 million Class M-1B at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B-1 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2 at (P) B (low) (sf)
Class A-1 is an exchangeable certificate while the Class A-1A and
A-1B are the depositible certificates. These classes can be
exchanged in combinations as specified in the offering documents.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 31.15%
of credit enhancement provided by the subordinated Certificates.
The (P) AA (high) (sf), (P) A (high) (sf), (P) BBB (high) (sf), (P)
BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB (low) (sf), and B (low) credit ratings
reflect 22.70%, 12.65%, 8.10%, 5.80%, 2.85%, and 0.80% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed- and
adjustable-rate prime and non-prime first-lien residential
mortgages funded by the issuance of the Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2025-NQM2. The Certificates are backed by 993
loans with a total principal balance of approximately $430,783,150
as of the Cut-Off Date (May 1, 2025).
The pool is, on average, three months seasoned with loan ages
ranging from one to 12 months. The Mortgage Loan Seller acquired
approximately 36.6% and 20.5% of the Mortgage Loans, by aggregate
Stated Principal Balance as of the Cut-off Date, from United
Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) and Maxex Clearing, LLC,
respectively. All the other originators individually comprised less
than 15% of the overall mortgage loans.
NewRez LLC, formerly known as New Penn Financial, LLC, doing
business as Shellpoint will service approximately 87.5% of the
loans and Selene Finance LP will service 12.5% of the loans.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Master Servicer, Custodian,
and Securities Administrator. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB
will act as Owner Trustee.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 100.0% of the loans in the pool are
contractually current according to the Mortgage Bankers Association
(MBA) delinquency calculation method.
In accordance with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules, 52.2% of the loans by balance are
designated as non-QM. Approximately 43.6% of the loans in the pool
were made to investors for business purposes and are exempt from
the CFPB Ability-to-Repay (ATR) and QM rules. Approximately 3.2% of
the pool are designated as QM Safe Harbor, and 0.9% are QM
Rebuttable Presumption (by unpaid principal balance (UPB)).
Servicers will generally advance delinquent principal and interest
on the mortgage loans for four months. Each servicer is obligated
to make advances in respect of taxes and insurance, the cost of
preservation, restoration, and protection of mortgaged properties
and any enforcement or judicial proceedings, including foreclosures
and reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties until otherwise deemed
unrecoverable.
The EU/UK Retention Holder will retain at least 5.0% of the
aggregate fair value of the Certificates (other than the Class A-R
Certificates) consisting of a portion of the Class B-2, Class B-3,
and Class XS Certificates to satisfy the credit risk-retention
requirements under Section 15G of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 and the regulations promulgated thereunder.
On any date following the date on which the aggregate UPB of the
mortgage loans is less than or equal to 10% of the Cut-Off Date
balance, the Optional Clean-Up Call Holder will have the option to
terminate the transaction by directing the master servicer to
purchase all of the mortgage loans and any real estate owned (REO)
property from the Issuer at a price equal to the sum of the
aggregate UPB of the mortgage loans (other than any REO property)
plus accrued interest thereon, the lesser of the fair market value
of any REO property and the stated principal balance of the related
loan, and any outstanding and unreimbursed servicing advances,
accrued and unpaid fees, any non-interest-bearing deferred amounts,
and expenses that are payable or reimbursable to the transaction
parties.
The holder of the Trust Certificates may, at its option, on or
after the earlier of (1) the payment date in May 2028 or (2) the
date on which the balance of mortgage loans and REO properties
falls to or below 30% of the loan balance as of the Cut-Off Date
(Optional Redemption Date), redeem the Certificates at the optional
termination price described in the transaction documents.
Master Servicer on behalf of the Issuer may require the Seller to
repurchase loans that become delinquent in the first three monthly
payments following the date of acquisition. Such loans will be
repurchased at the related repurchase price.
The transaction's cash flow structure is generally similar to that
of other non-QM securitizations. The transaction employs a
sequential-pay cash flow structure with a pro rata principal
distribution among the senior tranches subject to certain
performance triggers related to cumulative losses or delinquencies
exceeding a specified threshold (Credit Event). In the case of a
Credit Event, principal proceeds will be allocated to cover
interest shortfalls on the Class A-1A then A-1B followed by a
reduction of the Class A-1A then A-1B certificate balances, before
an allocation of interest then principal to the Class A-2 (IPIP)
followed by a similar allocation of funds to the other classes. For
the Class A-3 Certificates (only after a Credit Event) and for the
mezzanine and subordinate classes of Certificates (both before and
after a Credit Event), principal proceeds will be available to
cover interest shortfalls only after the more senior Certificates
have been paid off in full. Also, the excess spread can be used to
cover realized losses first before being allocated to unpaid Cap
Carryover Amounts due to Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, A-3, M-1A, and M-1B
(and B-1 if issued with fixed rate).
Of note, the Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, and A-3 Certificates coupon
rates step up by 100 basis points on and after the payment date in
June 2029. Interest and principal otherwise payable to the Class
B-3 Certificates as accrued and unpaid interest may be used to pay
the Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, and A-3 Certificates Cap Carryover
Amounts after the Class A coupons step up.
Natural Disasters/Wildfires
The mortgage pool contains loans secured by mortgage properties
that are located within certain disaster areas (such as those
affected by the Greater Los Angeles wildfires). The Sponsor of the
transaction has informed Morningstar DBRS that the servicer has
ordered (and intends to order) property damage inspections (PDI)
for any property located in a known disaster zone prior to the
transactions closing date. Loans secured by properties known to be
materially damaged will not be included in the final transaction
collateral pool. To the extent that a PDI was ordered prior to
closing, but notice of material damages were not available until
after closing, the sponsor will repurchase the related loan/loans
within 90 days of notification.
The transaction documents also include representations and
warranties regarding the property conditions, which state that the
properties have not suffered damage that would have a material and
adverse impact on the values of the properties (including events
such as fire, windstorm, flood, earth movement, and hurricane).
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
JPMDB COMMERCIAL 2017-C5: Fitch Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Bsf
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded eight classes and affirmed four
classes of JPMDB Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates, series 2017-C5 (JPMDB 2017-C5).
Fitch has assigned Negative Rating Outlooks to classes A-S, X-A, B,
C and X-B following the downgrades and revised the Outlook for
class A-5 to Negative from Stable.
In addition, Fitch has affirmed all 13 classes of JP Morgan Chase
Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates 2017-JP6 (JPMCC 2017-JP6). The Outlooks
remain Negative for classes A-S, X-A, B, C, X-B, D, E-RR and F-RR.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMDB 2017-C5
A-4 46590TAD7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 46590TAE5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 46590TAJ4 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
A-SB 46590TAF2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 46590TAK1 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
C 46590TAL9 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
D 46590LBA9 LT CCCsf Downgrade Bsf
E-RR 46590LBC5 LT Csf Downgrade CCCsf
F-RR 46590LBE1 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
G-RR 46590LBG6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
X-A 46590TAG0 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
X-B 46590TAH8 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
JPMCC 2017-JP6
A-3 48128KAS0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 48128KAT8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 48128KAU5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 48128KAX9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 48128KBA8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 48128KAY7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 48128KAZ4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 48128KAA9 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E-RR 48128KAC5 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F-RR 48128KAE1 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
G-RR 48128KAG6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 48128KAV3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 48128KAW1 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' ratings
case losses are 16.7% in JPMDB 2017-C5 and 7.3% in JPMCC 2017-JP6,
increasing from 12.9% and 6%, respectively, at the last rating
action. Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs) comprise 13 loans (52.6% of
the pool) in JPMDB 2017-C5, including three loans in special
servicing (21.6%), and 12 loans (38.4%) in JPMCC 2017-JP6,
including two loans in special servicing (5%).
The downgrades in JPMDB 2017-C5 reflect higher pool loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action, driven primarily by
an updated value and increasing exposure for 229 West 43rd Street
(9.3%) and further performance declines on FLOCs including Gateway
I & II (5.8%) and Summit Place Wisconsin (3.4%). The Negative
Outlooks in JPMDB 2017-C5 reflect the office concentration of 32%
and the potential for downgrades should performance of the FLOCs
fail to stabilize. Additional factors include further performance
declines, prolonged workouts of loans in special servicing, or a
higher-than-expected failure rate in loan refinancing.
The affirmations in the JPMCC 2017-JP6 transaction reflect
generally stable pool performance and loss expectations since
Fitch's prior rating action. The Negative Outlooks in JPMCC
2017-JP6 reflect the high office concentration of 55.6% and the
potential for downgrades should performance of the FLOCs ā 211
Main Street (11.2%), Walgreens/Rite Aid/Eckerd Portfolio (3%),
Raytheon - 16800 Centretech (4.1%), Apex Fort Washington (3.3%) and
Knights Road Shopping Center (2%) ā fail to stabilize, experience
additional declines in performance, prolonged workouts of the loans
in special servicing, or if more loans than anticipated fail to
refinance.
Given the large concentration of loan maturities in 2026 and 1H
2027 (25.3% and 46.5% for JPMDB 2017-C5 and 1.9% and 64.8% for
JPMCC 2017-JP6, respectively, and excluding specially serviced
loans), Fitch performed a recovery and liquidation analysis that
grouped the remaining loans based on their current status and
collateral quality and ranked them by their perceived likelihood of
repayment and/or loss expectation. This analysis contributed to the
rating actions and the Negative Outlooks.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest increase in loss
expectations since the prior rating action and overall largest
contributor to loss in the JPMDB 2017-C5 transaction is the real
estate owned (REO) 229 West 43rd Street Retail Condo (9.3%), which
represents nearly 65% of Fitch's total expected loss for the pool.
The loan transferred to special servicing in December 2019 for
imminent monetary default. The property experienced tenancy issues
even before the pandemic. With tenants in the entertainment and
tourism industries, the property sustained further declines when
the pandemic began.
As of February 2025, the property was 32.3% occupied by two
tenants: Bowlmor (31.6% of the NRA; July 2034 lease expiration) and
Los Tacos No.1 (0.7%; December 2028). A receiver was appointed in
March 2021 and then a foreclosure action was filed. The loan became
REO in late May 2024. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss rose to 114%
(before concentration add-ons) due to the large loan exposure, and
reflects a discount on the latest appraisal reported by the
servicer that represents a 90% value decline from the appraised
value at issuance.
The second largest driver of and third largest increase in expected
losses in JPMDB 2017-C5 is the newly specially serviced Gateway I &
II loan (5.8%). The collateral consists of two contiguous mixed-use
office buildings totaling 99,393 sf in Harlem, NY. The loan
transferred to special servicing in November 2024 due to a missed
October payment. Per the servicer, a receiver was appointed in
April 2025 and the strategy includes addressing operating expenses
and litigation while simultaneously pursuing foreclosure and a
workout with the borrower.
As of the September 2024 rent roll, the property was 95.6%
physically occupied. Duane Reade, occupying 10.7% of NRA (October
2026 lease expiration), vacated its ground floor retail space but
continues to pay rent. Other vacated ground floor tenants include
Modell's, which left in 2020 before its January 2028 lease
expiration, and IHOP. Sinergia, Inc., the second largest tenant
(19.4% NRA), renewed its lease for five years in 2024 through
November 2029. In 2023, Olgam Plasma Donation Center (13% NRA)
signed a lease through 2033, with rent 38% below the previous
tenant's rate at issuance.
The largest tenant, NYSARC (The Arc New York), a non-profit funded
by state agencies, occupies 39.1% of NRA. NYSARC leases 25.4% of
NRA through November 2029 and 13.7% through January 2030 and
operates residential quarters onsite, making relocation
cost-prohibitive due to residents' needs. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case
loss (before concentration add-ons) of 25% reflects a discount on
the latest appraisal by the servicer.
The third largest driver of and second largest increase in expected
losses in JPMDB 2017-C5 is the Summit Place Wisconsin loan (3.4%).
The loan is secured by a 668,471-sf suburban office building
located in West Allis, WI which was 71% occupied as of YE 2024,
down from 78% at YE 2023 and 94% at YE 2022. Occupancy and NOI has
declined mainly due to the departure of Brookdale Senior Living
(27.9% of NRA) at lease expiration in April 2024. The loan became
30 days delinquent in January 2025 and progressed to 60 days
delinquent by April 2025. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (before
concentration add-ons) of 36% reflects a 10% cap rate and 25%
stress to the YE 2023 NOI for rollover.
The largest contributor to loss expectations in the JPMCC 2017-JP6
transaction is the 211 Main Street loan (11.2%), secured by a
417,266-sf single-tenant office building in San Francisco, CA that
is leased to Charles Schwab through April 2028. The loan was
initially transferred to special servicing in March 2024 prior to
defaulting at loan maturity in April 2024. In May 2024, the special
servicer closed a four-year extension with the borrower, with no
additional extension options available. Consequently, the loan
returned from the special servicer in November 2024, with a new
maturity date of April 2028.
Charles Schwab has relocated its headquarters from San Francisco to
Westlake, TX and has downsized to six floors from 17 floors,
operating in 38% of the building. The lease expires in 2028 with no
termination options. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 14% (before
concentration add-ons) reflects a 9.5% cap rate and the YE 2023 NOI
with a 30% stress accounting for Schwab moving operations and the
declining rental rates in San Francisco.
The second largest driver of expected losses in JPMCC 2017-JP6 is
the specially serviced Walgreens/Rite Aid/Eckerd Portfolio loan
(3%). The loan was transferred to special servicing in November
2023 due to a payment default and the special servicer has engaged
counsel to initiate foreclosure and the receivership processes
across jurisdictions in Puerto Rico, Georgia, and Michigan.
Servicer commentary notes that progress in negotiations with the
borrower has been limited, and both foreclosure proceedings and
negotiations are being pursued concurrently.
The portfolio is secured by five single-tenant retail properties
located across Michigan, Georgia, and Puerto Rico. Major tenants
include Walgreens (46.6% NRA; leases expiring September 2030 and
2031 in Puerto Rico, guaranteed by the parent company), Rite Aid
(33.0% NRA; leases expiring November 2028 and July 2029 in
Michigan), and La-Z-Boy (20.5% NRA; sublease expiring April 2024 in
Georgia). The La-Z-Boy property in Georgia is confirmed dark, with
no information on when the tenant vacated, and both Rite Aid
locations in Michigan are also dark. The Walgreens stores in Puerto
Rico do not appear on the current store closure lists. Fitch's
'Bsf' rating case loss of 34% (before concentration add-ons)
reflects a discount on the latest appraisal by the servicer.
The third largest driver of and largest increase in expected losses
in JPMCC 2017-JP6 is the Raytheon - 16800 Centretech loan (4.1%).
The loan is secured by a 216,786-sf office property located in
Aurora, CO 100% occupied by Raytheon through September 2026.
According to the April 2025 remittance report, the loan is 60 days
delinquent. The borrower requested to settle one of the past due
months and have indicated that they will be able to bring all
payments current once the insurance impounds are removed, which
they claim is causing the delay in payments.
Furthermore, the loan is being monitored for force-placed
insurance. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 19% (before
concentration add-ons) reflects a 10.25% cap rate and the YE 2022
NOI with a 10% stress; 2023 financials remain unavailable and the
annualized June 2024 NOI is 2% above YE 2022. Fitch's analysis also
included a heightened probability of default given ongoing
delinquency issues.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the April 2025
distribution date, the aggregate balances of the JPMDB 2017-C5 and
JPMCC 2017-JP6 transactions have been paid down by 17.5% and 27.3%,
respectively, since issuance.
The JPMDB 2017-C5 transaction includes four loans (7.7% of the
pool) that have fully defeased and JPMCC 2017-JP6 has three loans
(3.6%) that have fully defeased. Cumulative interest shortfalls of
$14.5 million are affecting classes D, E-RR, F-RR, G-RR and the
non-rated class NR-RR in JPMDB 2017-C5 and $323,500 are affecting
the non-rated NR-RR class in JPMCC 2017-JP6.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible future downgrades stemming
from concerns regarding further declines in performance that could
result in higher expected losses on FLOCs. If expected losses do
increase, downgrades to these classes are likely.
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes with Stable Outlooks are
not expected due to the position in the capital structure and
expected continued amortization and loan repayments, but may occur
if deal-level losses increase significantly and/or interest
shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAAsf' 'AAsf' and 'Asf'
categories that have Negative Outlooks may occur should performance
of the FLOCs deteriorate further, expected losses increase or if
more loans than expected default during the term and/or at or prior
to maturity. These FLOCs include 229 West 43rd Street (9.3%),
Gateway I & II (5.8%) and Summit Place Wisconsin (3.4%) in JPMDB
2017-C5 and 211 Main Street (11.2%), Walgreens/Rite Aid/Eckerd
Portfolio (3%), Raytheon - 16800 Centretech (4.1%), Apex Fort
Washington (3.3%) and Knights Road Shopping Center (2%) in JPMCC
2017-JP6.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf'
categories could occur with higher than expected losses from
continued underperformance of the aforementioned FLOCs and with
greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced loans or
other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf' and 'Csf' would occur
as losses become more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with stable
to improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs, including 229 West 43rd Street (9.3%),
Gateway I & II (5.8%) and Summit Place Wisconsin (3.4%) in JPMDB
2017-C5 and 211 Main Street (11.2%), Walgreens/Rite Aid/Eckerd
Portfolio (3%), Raytheon - 16800 Centretech (4.1%), Apex Fort
Washington (3.3%) and Knights Road Shopping Center (2%) in JPMCC
2017-JP6. Upgrades of these classes to 'AAAsf' will also consider
the concentration of defeased loans in the transaction and would
not occur if interest shortfalls are expected.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration and would only occur sustained improved performance
of the FLOCs.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes due to paydown and defeasance.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected but possible with
better-than-expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
KKR CLO 9: Moody's Cuts Rating on $27.9MM Class E-R Notes to B1
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by KKR CLO 9 Ltd.:
US$26,500,000 Class C-R2 Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2030, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on February 6,
2024 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
US$33,000,000 Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2030, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on February 6, 2024
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$27,900,000 Class E-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2030, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on April 15, 2021
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
KKR CLO 9 Ltd., originally issued in September 2014 and last
refinanced in April 2021, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are
collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated
senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment
period ended in July 2022.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since April 2024. The Class A-R2
notes have been paid down by 78.67% or $123.6 since then. Based on
the trustee's April 2025 report[1], the OC ratios for the C-R2 and
Class D-R notes are reported at 158.71% and 123.28%, respectively,
versus April 2024 levels[2] of 133.13% and 116.95%, respectively.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E-R notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the trustee's April 2025 report[3], the OC ratio for the Class E-R
notes is reported at 103.70% versus April 2024 level[4] of 106.05%.
Based on the trustee's April 2025 report[5], the weighted average
rating factor (WARF) is reported at 3669 versus April 2024 level[6]
of 3356. Additionally, Moody's notes that the April 2025
trustee-reported Class E-R OC ratio, WARF, Diversity Score and WAL
tests are currently failing.
No actions were taken on the Class A-R2 and Class B-R2 notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $191,698,209
Diversity Score: 44
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3442
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.37%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.42%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.2 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 5.2%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
KODIAK CLO II: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches From Ba3
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Kodiak CDO II, Ltd.:
US$80,000,000 Class A-3 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2042
(current balance of $71,152,166.19), Upgraded to Aaa (sf);
previously on January 19, 2022 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf);
US$81,000,000 Class B-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2042, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on March 5, 2019 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf);
US$5,000,000 Class B-2 Senior Secured Fixed/Floating Rate Notes due
2042, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on March 5, 2019 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf);
Kodiak CDO II, Ltd., issued in June 2007, is a collateralized debt
obligation (CDO) backed mainly by a portfolio of REIT trust
preferred securities (TruPS) with exposure to bank TruPS, insurance
notes, corporate bonds and structured finance securities.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions have been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily a result of the repayment in full
of the Class A-2 notes, the deleveraging of the Class A-3 notes, an
increase in the transaction's over-collateralization (OC) ratios,
and the improvement in the credit quality of the underlying
portfolio since May 2024.
The Class A-2 notes have paid down in full and the Class A-3 notes
have paid down by approximately 11.06% or $8.8 million since May
2024 using principal proceeds from the redemption of the underlying
assets, the diversion of excess interest proceeds and the
recoveries from a defaulted asset. Based on Moody's calculations,
the OC ratios for the Class A-3 and Class B notes have improved to
371.3% and 168.1%, respectively, from May 2024 levels of 288.2% and
149.9%, respectively. The Class A-3 notes will continue to benefit
from the diversion of excess interest and the use of proceeds from
redemptions of any assets in the collateral pool. Furthermore, the
credit quality of the portfolio has improved to 2236 from 2796
since May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodology and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $264.2 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $71 million
Weighted average default probability: 24.92% (implying a WARF of
2236)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 13.01%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios includes, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit
estimates. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
KSL TRUST 2025-MAK: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on Cl. G Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2025-MAK (the Certificates) to be issued by KSL Trust 2025-MAK:
-- Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B at (P) AA (sf)
-- Class C at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at (P) A (sf)
-- Class E at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at (P) B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The KSL Trust 2025-MAK transaction is collateralized by the
borrower's fee-simple interest (and leasehold with respect to
certain parcels) in one independent full-service hospitality
property and one limited-service hospitality property with a
combined 472 keys on Mackinac Island, Michigan. The transaction
includes three ground leases with Mackinac Island government
agencies for Grand Hotel's golf course through 2044, a borough lot
through 2099, and Fort Mackinac Tea Room through 2027. Representing
388 keys of the total 472 keys in the portfolio is Grand Hotel,
which is a AAA Four Diamond rated hotel of historical significance
as a premier summer destination. Built in 1887 and recognized as a
National Historic Landmark, the hotel has been preserved and
continues to feature old-world hospitality and charm. Grand Hotel
features a wide array of amenities including 15 food and beverage
(F&B) outlets, an 18-hole golf course, a fitness center, an outdoor
pool, a full-service shop, and retail outlets. The other hotel in
the portfolio, representing 84 keys, is Bicycle Street Inn & Suites
(Bicycle Inn), which is a limited-service, relatively new hotel off
Main Street on Mackinac Island providing excellent accessibility to
the ferry terminals; Mackinac Island is accessible only by ferry
from St. Ignace and Mackinaw City, Michigan. Mackinac Island is an
iconic tourist destination, particularly for the Midwest, which
attracts approximately 1 million visitors per year. Mackinac Island
provides a unique old-world charm that prohibits motor vehicles,
and 80.0% of the island is a state park with extremely high
barriers to entry. USA Today rated Mackinac Island as the best
summer travel destination in 2023 and 2024, and PeopleForBikes
ranked Mackinac Island number one for bicycling in the U.S. also in
2024.
The transaction sponsor is KSL Capital Partners (KSL). KSL is a
private equity firm that primarily invests in luxury hotels and
resorts. Since inception, KSL has raised more than $25.0 billion
and has invested in more than 185 travel and leisure businesses.
Both hotels are managed by Davidson Hospitality Group, which is a
highly experienced full-service hospitality management company.
Prior to the acquisition, the hotels were family-owned. Morningstar
DBRS learned on the site tour that, upon acquisition in 2019 for
Grand Hotel and 2021 for Bicycle Inn, the sponsor began active
revenue management and a dynamic pricing model to set room rates
and increase F&B and other revenue spending.
Since acquisition, KSL has invested $106.6 million ($225,795 per
key) into the portfolio including $12.8 million invested in early
2025. In line with other hotels on the island, the hotels in this
portfolio are seasonal, operating from early May until the end of
October each year. The seasonal nature of the hotels allows for
capital expenditure (capex) work to take place during the
offseason, resulting in minimal disruption to guests' experience.
The scope of this investment has been wide ranging from updating
all restrooms at Grand Hotel to creating new amenities such as
Woodlands Recreation Center and new F&B outlets such as Mackinac
Island Pizza Company. The renovation also included the expansion
and restoration of the retail corridor and swimming pool. In 2025,
approximately $4.0 million was spent on cosmetic improvements and
upkeep for Grand Hotel's iconic facade, and an additional $8.8
million is being spent on F&B and retail outlets to grow ancillary
income. While the property has seasonal operations, the loan is
structured with ongoing monthly deposits of approximately $4.3
million from May to October.
As a result of capex investment and dynamic pricing, the portfolio
generated a YE2024 revenue per available room (RevPAR) of $445.06
on a seasonal basis, and $215.82 on an annual basis, which
represents a 12.8% increase since 2022. On the back of an
impressive 9.6% increase in occupancy, the hotel portfolio's
average daily rate (ADR) increased by 1.2% in the same period.
Specifically, Grand Hotel's RevPAR experienced an enormous increase
of 58.2% from 2019 to 2024, driven by an increase in ADR. From 2022
to 2024, Grand Hotel's RevPAR increased by 10.5%. On an annual
basis, the hotel's RevPAR increased by 25.2% from 2019 and by 9.2%
from 2022. Per management, Grand Hotel already had approximately
40,000 rooms booked for the 2025 season.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
LAQ 2023-LAQ MORTGAGE: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+(sf)'
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on the class E and F
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from LAQ 2023-LAQ
Mortgage Trust, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on the class B, C, and D certificates and
discontinued our 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A certificates from
the transaction.
This is a U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction
backed by a floating-rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan. The
loan, which has $308.7 million balance as of the May 15, 2025,
remittance report, is secured by the borrowers' fee-simple and/or
leasehold interests in a portfolio of 25 limited-service, La
Quinta-flagged lodging properties. The properties are in 11 U.S.
states, totaling 3,708 guestrooms. Further, two properties were
released in May 2025, which S&P expects will be reflected in the
trustee remittance report as early as June 2025. At issuance, the
trust balance was $625.0 million, and the loan was collateralized
by 58 properties totaling 7,992 guestrooms across 20 U.S. states.
The loan matured March 9, 2025.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes E and F and affirmations on classes B, C,
and D primarily reflect:
-- S&P's revised expected-case valuation for the portfolio
properties, which is about 40% lower than the value it derived at
issuance, adjusted for the remaining 25 properties as of May 2025.
-- While the portfolio's revenue per available room (RevPAR) has
rebounded since the COVID-19 pandemic, reaching a peak in 2023, it
has since declined in 2024 and in the trailing 12 months (TTM)
ending February 2025. Additionally, operating expenses have
increased, resulting in declining net cash flow (NCF) margins
across the remaining properties. The servicer-reported NCF in 2024
($22.9 million) and the TTM period ending February 2025 ($21.8
million), are both below our new issuance assumption for the
remaining 25 properties.
-- The loan transferred to the special servicer in February 2025
due to imminent maturity default. The loan matured on March 9,
2025; the borrower did not exercise its extension option and is
requesting a loan modification. The loan is currently unhedged, and
discussions surrounding a workout resolution are ongoing.
Although the model-indicated ratings for the class B, C, and D
certificates were higher than the current outstanding ratings,
primarily as a result of the $316.3 million in principal paydowns
from property releases since issuance, we affirmed our ratings on
these classes because S&P qualitatively considered the following:
-- The transaction faces adverse selection as the borrower
continues to release properties, potentially leaving
worse-performing assets in the portfolio while releasing the
stronger performers. The remaining properties have reported
declining performance.
-- The loan is not presently covered by an interest rate cap
agreement and is susceptible to liquidity interruption. The
servicer-reported debt service coverage is sub-1.00x as of year-end
2023.
-- There remains uncertainty surrounding the potential loan
workout.
S&P said, "Although the model indicated rating for the class E
certificates was lower than the current outstanding rating, we
tempered our downgrade on the class because we qualitatively
considered that two additional properties totaling $21.2million
were released in May 2025. We expect this amount to be distributed
to the bondholders, further deleveraging the trust balance, as
early as the June 2025 trustee remittance report.
"The downgrade on class F to 'CCC (sf)' further reflects our
qualitative consideration that its repayment is dependent upon
favorable business, financial, and economic conditions and that
this class is vulnerable to default.
"We discontinued our 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A certificates
because the class's balance has been repaid in full, as noted in
the May 2025 trustee remittance report.
"At issuance, we applied a positive loan-level LTV threshold
adjustment for the granularity and geographic diversity of the
portfolio. As a significant number of the properties have been
released, in our current review, we decreased this adjustment.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the remaining
collateral properties and loan, as well as the ongoing workout
negotiations between the borrower and special servicer. If we
receive information that substantially differs from our
expectations, we may revisit our analysis and take additional
rating actions as we determine appropriate."
"
Property-Level Analysis Updates
S&P said, "At issuance, the properties' performance was rebounding
after declining during the COVID-19 pandemic. At that time, we
utilized a $76.08 RevPAR, accounting for improved performance
coming out of the pandemic. We assumed a 30.1% departmental expense
ratio and 22.4% NCF margin to derive a long-term sustainable NCF of
$51.0 million for the entire 58-property portfolio. Adjusted for
the remaining 25 properties, our NCF would be approximately $30.7
million. Using a weighted-average S&P Global Ratings capitalization
rate of 9.97% based on individual property quality, and adding
$14.6 million to our value to account for properties that we
considered to still be rebounding from the pandemic (a $25,000 per
guestroom floor value), we arrived at an expected-case value of
$525.7 million, or $65,774 per guestroom. Adjusting for the
remaining 3,708 guestrooms, our expected-case value would be about
$308.9 million, or $83,298 per guestroom."
The full-year 2023 reported NCF for the remaining 25 properties
continued to improve, but declined in 2024 and TTM period ending
February 2025. Simultaneously, RevPAR increased in 2023 and fell in
2024 and the TTM ending February 2025. Over the same period, NCF
margin declined significantly from about 26.9% in 2021 to 19.4% in
the TTM ending February 2025, driven primarily by rising operating
expenses.
S&P said, "In our current property-level analysis, we arrived at a
$18.4 million NCF using a 67.0% occupancy, $113.55 average daily
rate, and $76.08 RevPAR (unchanged from new issuance, but adjusted
to reflect the remaining 3,708 guestrooms) and increasing our
expenses, resulting in an NCF margin of 16.8%. Our derived NCF is
approximately 15.6% below the NCF achieved in the TTM period ending
February 2025. Using a 9.92% S&P Global Ratings capitalization
rate, which is a weighted average of the varied-quality lodging
properties and is unchanged from new issuance, we derived an S&P
Global Ratings expected-case value of $185.4 million, or $50,000
per guestroom. We did not carry forward the add to value utilized
at issuance because we assumed that the remaining properties'
performance has generally stabilized.
Our revised expected-case value is about 40.0% below our issuance
value and 63.7% below the issuance "as-is" appraised value of
$510.1 million (adjusted for the remaining properties). This
yielded an S&P Global Ratings' loan-to-value ratio of 166.5% on the
remaining trust balance."
Table 1
Servicer-reported collateral performance(i)
Trailing-12-months ending
Feb 2025(ii) 2024(ii) 2023(ii) 2022(ii) 2021(ii)
Occupancy rate (%) 66.9 67.6 65.9 60.3 57.2
Average daily
rate ($) 116.88 116.19 122.60 126.20 111.08
Revenue per
available room ($) 78.21 78.57 80.82 76.09 63.48
Net cash
flow (mil. $) 21.8 22.9 32.5 28.2 23.8
Appraisal
value (mil. $)(iii) 510.1 510.1 510.1 510.1 510.1
(i)Adjusted to reflect the remaining 25 properties as of the May
2025 trustee remittance report.
(ii)Reporting period.
(iii)At issuance, as of February 2023, adjusted to reflect the
remaining 25 properties.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Current review At issuance
(June 2025)(i) (March 2023)(i)
Trust loan balance (mil. $) 308.7 625.0
Number of properties 25(ii) 58
Number of guestrooms 3,708 7,992
Occupancy rate (%) 67.0 67.0
Average daily rate ($) 113.55 113.55
Revenue per available room ($) 76.08 76.08
Net cash flow (mil. $) 18.4 51.0
Capitalization rate (%) 9.92 9.97
Addition to value (mil. $)(iii) 0 14.6
Value (mil. $) 185.4 525.7
Value per guestroom ($) 50,000 65,774
Loan-to-value ratio (%) 166.5 118.9
(i)Review period.
(ii)Property count reflected in the balance as of the May 2025
remittance report.
(iii)At issuance, S&P assumed a floor value of $25,000 per
guestroom for properties that were in repair or rebounding from the
pandemic. S&P did not carry forward this treatment in the current
review.
Ratings Lowered
LAQ 2023-LAQ Mortgage Trust
Class E to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Class F to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
LAQ 2023-LAQ Mortgage Trust
Class B: AA- (sf)
Class C: A- (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Rating Discontinued
LAQ 2023-LAQ Mortgage Trust
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
NR--Not rated.
LENDMARK FUNDING 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the classes of
notes to be issued by Lendmark Funding Trust 2025-1 (Lendmark
2025-1), as follows:
-- $228,660,000 Class A Notes at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $28,360,000 Class B Notes at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $31,590,000 Class C Notes at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $30,870,000 Class D Notes at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $32,310,000 Class E Notes at (P) BB (low) (sf)
The provisional credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS review
of the following analytical considerations:
(1) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns: March 2025 Update, published on March 26, 2025.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS's
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
(2) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 10.78% and is driven by
the re-investment criteria in a worst-case pool scenario. The CNL
assumption reflects the recent elevated but stable losses coming
out from the inflation-led portfolio losses of 2022 and 2023. The
CNL assumption additionally incorporates a 5.00% recovery credit
for all products based upon historical recovery performance.
(3) Transaction capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
(A) Credit enhancement is in the form of OC, subordination, amounts
held in the reserve fund, and excess spread. Credit enhancement
levels are sufficient to support Morningstar DBRS's stressed
projected finance yield, principal payment rate, and charge-off
assumptions under various stress scenarios.
(4) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date.
(5) Lendmark's capabilities with regard to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
(A) Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational review of
Lendmark and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator
and servicer of unsecured personal loans with an acceptable back-up
servicer.
(B) Lendmark's senior management team has considerable experience
and a successful track record within the consumer loan industry.
(6) The credit quality of the collateral and performance of
Lendmark's consumer loan portfolio. Morningstar DBRS has used a
hybrid approach in analyzing the Lendmark portfolio that
incorporates elements of static pool analysis employed for assets,
such as consumer loans, and revolving asset analysis, employed for
such assets as credit card master trusts.
(A) The weighted-average (WA) remaining term of the Statistical
Cut-Off Date is 42 months.
(B) The WA Current Bureau Score as of the Statistical Cut-Off Date
is approximately 611.
(C) The weighted-average coupon (WAC) as of Statistical Cut-Off
Date is 27.18%, and the transaction includes a Reinvestment
Criteria Event if the WAC is less than 24.50%.
-- The Morningstar DBRS's base-case assumption for the finance
yield is 24.50%.
-- Morningstar DBRS applied a finance yield haircut of 10.00% for
Class A, 7.78% for Class B, 5.33% for Class C, 3.33% for Class D
and 1.33% for Class E. While these haircuts are lower than the
range described in the Morningstar DBRS's Rating U.S. Credit Card
Asset-Backed Securities methodology, the fixed-rate nature of the
underlying loans, lack of interchange fees, and historical yield
consistency support these stressed assumptions.
(D) Principal payment rates for Lendmark's portfolio, as estimated
by Morningstar DBRS, have generally averaged between 3.0% and 5.0%
over the past several years.
-- The Morningstar DBRS's base-case assumption for the principal
payment rate is 3.08%.
-- Morningstar DBRS applied a payment rate haircut of 45.00% for
Class A, 39.44% for Class B, 33.33% for Class C, 26.67% for Class D
and 16.67% for Class E.
(7) The legal structure and expected presence of legal opinions
will address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with Lendmark, that
the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and consistency with the Morningstar DBRS's Legal Criteria
for U.S. Structured Finance.
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Interest Distribution Amount, and the
related Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
MARBLE POINT XXII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $20.25MM E Notes to B1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Marble Point CLO XXII Ltd.:
US$20,250,000 Class E Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2034, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on July 26, 2021
Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Marble Point CLO XXII Ltd., issued in July 2021, is a managed
cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period will end in July 2026.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating action on the Class E notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
Moody's calculations, the total collateral par balance, including
expected recoveries from defaulted securities, is $387.0 million,
or $13.0 million less than the $400.0 million initial par amount
targeted during the deal's ramp-up.
No actions were taken on the Class A, Class B, Class C, and Class D
notes because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $385,523,122
Defaulted par: $5,349,140
Diversity Score: 71
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2850
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.29%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.4 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MARINER FINANCE 2025-A: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes (collectively, the Notes) issued by
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2025-A (MFIT 2025-A):
-- $287,070,000 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $34,370,000 Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- $38,720,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $28,410,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $36,430,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated
Sovereigns: March 2025 Update, published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
(2) Transaction capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of OC, subordination, amounts
held in the reserve fund, and excess spread. Credit enhancement
levels are sufficient to support Morningstar DBRS' stressed
assumptions under all stress scenarios.
(3) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the credit ratings
address the timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and
principal by the legal final maturity date.
(4) Mariner's capabilities with regard to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of Mariner
and, as a result, considers the entity to be an acceptable
originator and servicer of personal loans.
-- Mariner's senior management team has considerable experience
and a successful track record within the consumer loan industry.
(5) The credit quality of the collateral and performance of
Mariner's consumer loan portfolio. Morningstar DBRS used a hybrid
approach in analyzing Mariner's portfolio that incorporates
elements of static pool analysis, employed for assets such as
consumer loans, and revolving loan analysis to account for renewal
loans. As of the Statistical Cut-Off Date:
-- The weighted-average (WA) remaining term of the collateral pool
is approximately 38 months.
-- The WA coupon (WAC) of the pool is 28.97% and the transaction
includes a reinvestment criteria event that the WAC is less than
24.50%. All loans going into the pool will have an APR less than
36.00%.
-- CPR rates for Mariners' portfolio, as estimated by Morningstar
DBRS, have generally averaged between 8.0% and 14.0% since 2014
depending on product type.
-- The Morningstar DBRS base-case assumption for CPR is 6.0%.
-- Charge-off rates on the Mariner portfolio have generally ranged
between 9.00% and 15.00% over the past several years.
-- The Morningstar DBRS base-case assumption for the charge-off
rate is 12.48% which is based on the MFIT 2025-A reinvestment
criteria and recent credit performance.
-- For this transaction, Morningstar DBRS assumed an overall
recovery rate of 5.75% which based on historical recovery
performance which varies by product type, with assumptions ranging
from 5.00% to 7.50%.
(6) The MFIT 2025-A transaction is expected to add receivables
originated by Mariner's partnerships bank, WebBank and are
considered Online Loans under the re-investment criteria. The
Online Loans originated by WebBank are sold to Mariner two business
days after the origination date have a max APR of 35.99%. Though
WebBank has the ability to originate loans in all 50 states,
Mariner based on regulatory concerns or other factors can and will
exclude loan purchases in certain states in its current
geographical footprint or may expand into other states in the
future.
(7) Mariner is currently subject to a complaint filed against it by
eleven attorneys generals. The complaint initially filed by the
Eastern District of Pennsylvania by the attorneys general for
Pennsylvania, the District of Columbia, New Jersey, Oregon, Utah,
and Washington alleges certain unfair and deceptive acts and
practices by Mariner. Specifically, in relation to its sale of
optional loan products, refinancing practices and LBM products. On
October 17, 2022, Utah voluntarily withdrew from the matter. On
March 22, 2024 six additional states joined the lawsuit and did not
add any additional claims to the litigation. The attorneys generals
seek to enjoin Mariner's conduct, and seek penalties, restitution
to borrowers and rescission and/or reformation of borrower
agreements. On January 12, 2024, the court denied Mariner's motion
to dismiss. On January 26, 2024, Mariner filed its answer to the
complaint, denying any and all allegations of unlawful or deceptive
business practices, or that it engaged in any of the wrongdoing
alleged in the complaint. The ongoing litigation remains in the
discovery phase. To the extent it is determined that the Loans were
not originated in accordance with all applicable laws, the relevant
Sellers may be obligated to repurchase from the Issuer.
(8) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions address the
true sale of the assets from the Seller to the Depositor, the
non-consolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with the Seller,
that the Indenture Trustee has a valid first-priority security
interest in the assets, and the expected consistency with the
Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the securities referenced
herein address the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated Notes are the related Monthly Interest Amount and the related
Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
MARKET STREET I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Market
Street CLO Ltd. I.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Market Street
CLO Ltd. I
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating
AJ LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D2F LT BBB-sf New Rating
D2J LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Market Street CLO Ltd. I (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Macquarie Asset Finance Holdings Limited. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 21.48 versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 22.5. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.75% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.23% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.15%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 42.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A1, between 'BBB+sf'
and 'AA+sf' for class AJ, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B,
between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf'
and 'BBB-sf' for class D1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A1 and class AJ
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D1, 'A-sf' for class D2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Market Street CLO
Ltd. I. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MF1 2025-FL19: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Three Tranches
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to MF1
2025-FL19 LLC notes as follows:
- $700,000,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $171,875,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $85,937,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $68,750,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $40,625,000a class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $20,313,000a class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $15,625,000be class F 'BB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class F-E 'BB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class F-X 'BB+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $25,000,000be class G 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class G-E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class G-X 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $25,000,000be class H 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0c class H-E 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0d class H-X 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following classes are not rated by Fitch:
- $96,875,000ef Income notes.
(a) Pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Exchangeable Notes: The class F, class G, and class H notes are
exchangeable notes and are exchangeable for proportionate interests
in the MASCOT notes, subject to the satisfaction of certain
conditions and restrictions, provided that at the time of the
exchange such notes are owned by a wholly owned subsidiary of MF1.
The principal balance of each of the exchangeable notes received in
an exchange will be equal to the principal balance of the
corresponding MASCOT P&I notes surrendered in such exchange.
(c) MASCOT P&I notes.
(d) MASCOT interest-only notes.
(e) Retained notes.
(f) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 7.750% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $1,213,056,405 and does not include future funding. This
includes the expected principal balance of delayed collateral
interests.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of
May 29, 2025.
Transaction Summary
Totaling $1.250 billion, the notes represent the beneficial
interest in the trust, the primary assets of which are 25 loans
secured by 82 commercial properties, with an aggregate principal
balance of $1,213,056,405 as of the cutoff date and cash held to
fund the acquisition of additional loan and participation interests
of $36,943,595. The pool includes five delayed close loans totaling
approximately $295.4 million which are expected to close after deal
closing. The pool does not include $77.1 million of expected future
funding. The loans were contributed to the trust by MF1 REIT III
LLC.
The servicer is CBRE Loan Services Inc. and the special servicer is
MF1 Loan Services LLC. The trustee is Wilmington Trust, National
Association and the note administrator is Computershare Trust
Company, N.A. The notes will follow a sequential paydown
structure.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's
collateral, including site inspections on 53.9% of the loans by
balance, and cash flow analysis and asset summary reviews on 92.6%
of the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed net cash flow (NCF) analysis
on 15 loans totaling 52.2% of the pool by balance. Fitch's
resulting NCF of $102.2 million represents a 10.5% decline from the
issuer's underwritten NCF of $114.2 million, excluding loans for
which Fitch conducted an alternate value analysis.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The pool has higher leverage than recent CRE
CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loanātoāvalue
ratio (LTV) of 148.7% is higher than the 2025 YTD CRE CLO and 2024
CRE CLO averages of 137.9% and 140.7%, respectively. The pool's
Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 5.7% is lower than the 2025 YTD CRE
CLO and 2024 CRE CLO averages of 6.6% and 6.5%, respectively.
Lower Pool Concentration: The pool is less concentrated than
recently rated Fitch CRE CLO transactions. The top 10 loans in the
pool make up 59.2% of the pool, which is lower than the 2025 YTD
CRE CLO and 2024 CRE CLO averages of 60.5% and 70.5%, respectively.
Fitch measures loan concentration risk using an effective loan
count, which accounts for both the number and size of loans in the
pool. The pool's effective loan count is 22.2 (given credit to the
ramp cash-collateral interest). Fitch views diversity as a key
mitigator to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss for
pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at the end of
the fully extended loan term, the pool will pay down by 1.5%, which
is worse than the 2025 YTD CRE CLO and 2024 CRE CLO averages of
0.2% and 0.6%, respectively. Interest-only loans make up 19.6% of
the pool, which is better than the 2025 YTD CRE CLO and 2024 CRE
CLO averages of 90.9% and 56.8%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% Decline to Fitch NCF:
'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf'/less than
'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% Increase to Fitch NCF:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis, and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MFA 2025-NQM2: Fitch Gives 'B-sf' Rating on Class B2 Certificates
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings rates the residential mortgage-backed certificates to
be issued by MFA 2025-NQM2 Trust (MFA 2025-NQM2).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MFA 2025-NQM2
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The MFA 2025-NQM2 certificates are supported by 548 nonprime loans
with a total balance of approximately $318.4 million as of the
cutoff date.
Loans in the pool were originated by multiple originators,
including Citadel Servicing Corporation d/b/a Acra Lending and
FundLoans Capital, Inc. Loans were aggregated by MFA Financial,
Inc. (MFA). Loans are currently serviced by Planet Home Lending,
Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (SPS) and Citadel Servicing
Corporation, with all Citadel loans subserviced by ServiceMac LLC.
The structure was updated post-pricing and the coupons for A-1,
A-2, A-3 and M-1 classes decreased approximately between
12bps-46bps, which increased the weighted average excess spread to
135bps, a 20bps increase from the previous WA excess spread of
115bps.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 9.6% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices have increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of February 2025
despite modest regional declines, but are still being supported by
limited inventory).
Non-QM & Non-Prime Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral
consists of 548 loans totaling $318.4 million and seasoned at
approximately eight months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch.
The borrowers have a moderate credit profile consisting of a 737
Fitch model FICO and moderate leverage with a 71.0% sustainable
loan-to-value ratio (sLTV).
The pool is 59.1% comprised of loans for homes in which the
borrower maintains as a primary residence, while 40.9% comprises
investor properties or second homes, as calculated by Fitch.
Additionally, 55.6% are nonqualified mortgages (non-QM), while the
QM rule does not apply to the remainder. This pool consists of a
variety of weaker borrowers and collateral types.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 21.50%. This is
mainly driven by the non-QM collateral and the significant investor
cash flow product concentration.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 89.8% of loans in the
pool were underwritten to less than full documentation and 40.8%
were underwritten to a bank statement program for verifying income.
The consumer loans adhere to underwriting and documentation
standards required under the Consumer Financial Protections
Bureau's (CFPB) Ability-to-Repay Rule (ATR Rule). This reduces the
risk of borrower default arising from lack of affordability,
misrepresentation or other operational quality risks due to the
rigor of the Rule's mandates with respect to the underwriting and
documentation of a borrower's ATR.
Its treatment of alternative loan documentation increased 'AAAsf'
expected losses by approximately 65.3%, compared with a transaction
of 100% fully documented loans.
High Percentage of Debt Service Coverage Ratio Loans (Negative):
There are 239 debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and 17 property
focused investor loans, otherwise known as 'No Ratio' products in
the pool (46.7% by loan count). These business purpose loans are
available to real estate investors that are qualified on a cash
flow basis, rather than debt to income (DTI), and borrower income
and employment are not verified.
Compared with standard investment properties for DSCR loans, Fitch
converts the DSCR values to DTI and treats them as low
documentation. Its treatment for DSCR loans results in a higher
Fitch-reported nonzero DTI. Further, no-ratio loans are treated as
100% DTI. Its expected loss for DSCR loans is 30.8% in the 'AAAsf'
stress.
Modified Sequential Payment Structure with No Advancing (Mixed):
The structure distributes principal pro rata among the senior
certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs
in a given period, principal will be distributed sequentially to
class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates until they are reduced to
zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will not be
made on the mortgage loans. The lack of advancing reduces loss
severities, as a lower amount is repaid to the servicer when a loan
liquidates and liquidation proceeds are prioritized to cover
principal repayment over accrued but unpaid interest. The downside
to this is the additional stress on the structure, as there is
limited liquidity in the event of large and extended
delinquencies.
MFA 2025-NQM2 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lesser of a
100 bps increase to the fixed coupon or the net weighted average
coupon (WAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest distribution amount will
be distributed to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates on and after
the step-up date if the cap carryover amount is greater than zero.
This increases the P&I allocation for the senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.3% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes. A 10% gain
in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the
rated class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC, Clarifii, Clayton, Consolidated Analytics, Evolve,
IngletBlair and Maxwell. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and property valuation
review. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and, as a
result, Fitch made the following adjustment to its analysis: a 5%
credit at the loan level for each loan where satisfactory due
diligence was completed. This adjustment resulted in 43bps
reduction to 'AAAsf' losses.
ESG Considerations
MFA 2025-NQM2 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to elevated Operational Risk, which
has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-ALTM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2013-ALTM
issued by Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2013-ALTM as follows:
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes C, D, and E to
Negative from Stable. The trends on the remaining classes are
Stable.
The Negative trends reflect Morningstar DBRS' opinion that the
credit risk profile of the transaction is elevated after the loan
transferred to special servicing in January 2025 ahead of its
February 2025 maturity date. While a defined workout strategy has
yet to be determined, the special servicer noted that the borrower
has proposed a loan modification that would extend the loan
maturity through 2028. In consideration for the extension, the
borrower has offered to pay the loan down by $10 million. While an
updated appraisal has yet to be received, Morningstar DBRS expects
the value of the subject has declined from issuance. As part of its
analysis, Morningstar DBRS conducted a hypothetical liquidation
scenario to test the durability of the credit ratings in the event
of a value decline. That analysis showed that losses could be
realized up to the Class C certificate, discussed further below,
supporting the Negative trends on Classes C, D, and E.
The transaction is secured by the fee-simple interest in a
641,000-square-foot (sf) portion of a 1.16 million-sf, two-story,
enclosed super-regional mall known as Altamonte Mall, which is in
the northern suburbs of Orlando. The 12-year loan had an original
principal balance of $160.0 million, with an initial five-year
interest-only (IO) period; thereafter, the loan amortizes on a
30-year amortization schedule. The loan began amortizing in 2018
and, as of the May 2025 remittance, reported a balance of $136.8
million, representing a collateral reduction of 14.5% since
issuance. The loan is sponsored by a joint venture between the New
York State Common Retirement Fund and Brookfield Property Partners
L.P. (Brookfield). Brookfield acquired an interest in the property
as part of its acquisition of General Growth Properties, Inc. in
2018. Brookfield provides property management services as well.
The property is a prominent shopping destination in North Orlando,
primarily serving local patrons, in contrast to other nearby malls
that mainly cater to tourists. As of the January 2025 rent roll,
the property was 95.5% occupied, relatively unchanged since 2020.
Noncollateral anchors include Macy's and Dillard's while collateral
anchors include JCPenney (25.1% of the net rentable area (NRA),
lease expiry in January 2029) and AMC Theatres (AMC; 11.8% of the
NRA, lease expiry in December 2028). As part of the modification
terms discussed above the special servicer has requested the
extension option for JCPenney be exercised to avoid any potential
tenancy issues in the event the loan is modified. Tenant rollover
risk is moderate as the leases for approximately 17% of the NRA are
scheduled to expire in the next 12 months.
According to the YE2024 tenant sales report, inline tenants
occupying less than 10,000 sf reported sales of $700 per square
foot (psf), a decline from the December 2023 figure of $750 psf.
When excluding Apple's sales, those figures decline to
approximately $451 psf and $479 psf, respectively. Sales for AMC
were $538,611 per screen as of December 2024, which remain in line
with historical figures. Updated tenant sales for JCPenney were not
provided, however, as of YE2023, the tenant reported approximate
sales of $65 psf, which is a moderate decline from the $69 psf as
of September 2023 and below the $77 psf as of YE2021.
Based on the financials for the trailing nine-month period ended
September 30, 2024, the annualized net cash flow (NCF) was
approximately $14.3 million (representing a debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR) of 1.62 times (x)) compared with the NCF of $14.0
million (DSCR of 1.58x) at YE2023 and NCF of $14.3 million (DSCR of
1.61x) at YE2022.
Given the relatively continued stable performance of the
collateral, Morningstar DBRS maintained the $168.2 million value
derived in 2020 when the credit ratings were assigned; this value
was based on the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $13.5 million and a
capitalization rate of 8.0%. The Morningstar DBRS value implies an
as-is loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 81.5%. Morningstar DBRS
maintained positive adjustments totaling 3.0% to the LTV sizing
benchmarks to account for the property's quality build and location
in a favorable submarket. As a test of the durability of the credit
ratings given the uncertainty associated with the loan's transfer
to special servicing and potential loan modification, Morningstar
DBRS conducted a hypothetical liquidation scenario. The analysis
was based on a stressed value derived from a capitalization rate of
10% and the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $13.5 million while including
any outstanding advances, expected servicer expenses, and one year
of debt service payments, which cumulatively totalled approximately
$11 million. The results of the analysis suggest the hypothetical
liquidation could extend losses into the Class C certificate,
supporting the Negative trend changes made with this credit rating
action.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-C27: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on seven classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-C27
issued by Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2015-C27 as follows:
-- Class C to BBB (low) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D to CCC (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class XD to CCC (sf) from BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-E to C (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class X-F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class G at C (sf)
-- Class H at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued the credit rating on Class A-SB,
which repaid with the April 2025 remittance. Morningstar DBRS
changed the trend on Class C to Negative from Stable. Classes A3,
A4, AS, B, C, X-A, and X-B have Stable trends. Classes D, E, X-D,
X-E, F, G, H, and X-F have credit ratings that do not typically
carry trends in commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS)
transactions.
The credit rating downgrades on Classes C, D, E, F, X-D, X-E, and
X-F reflect the increased loss projections for the pool stemming
from the liquidation analysis for the two loans in special
servicing: 535-545 Fifth Avenue (Prospectus ID#1; 14.8% of the
pool) and Granite 190 (Prospectus ID#5; 6.1% of the pool),
discussed further below. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
liquidated both specially serviced loans from the pool and, on a
combined basis, losses were projected at approximately $55.0
million. The projected losses erode up to the Class E certificate,
supporting the credit rating downgrades on Classes E, F, X-D, X-E,
and X-F. The transaction's structure is limited due to the smaller
principal class balances toward the bottom of the capital stack,
which resulted in a considerable decline in credit enhancement to
Classes C and D with the liquidation analysis, supporting the
credit rating downgrades on those two classes.
The majority of the remaining loans in the pool have a scheduled
maturity in the next three months and Morningstar DBRS expects most
of those loans will repay successfully from the trust. However,
Morningstar DBRS has identified three loans, representing 14.8% of
the pool, that have an elevated refinance risk as a result of
performance concerns and below-submarket figures in a maturity
year. The weighted-average (WA) expected loss (EL) for these loans
is more than 170% greater than the WA EL for the pool. In the event
that these loans or other loans in the pool do not secure takeout
financing there is potential for further credit rating actions,
supporting the Negative trend on Class C.
The largest loan in the pool, 535-545 Fifth Avenue, is secured by
two mixed-use buildings in Manhattan, including 415,440 square feet
(sf) of office space and 91, 247 sf of retail space. The loan
transferred to special servicing in March 2025 for maturity default
after the borrower was unable to pay off the loan at its scheduled
maturity date earlier that month. According to the April 2025
servicer commentary, the borrower is in discussions with the lender
regarding a potential extension of the loan. Performance at the
subject has improved over the last few reporting periods. As of
YE2024, the subject reported an occupancy rate of 95% with a net
cash flow (NCF) of $23.9 million and debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 1.96x compared with the YE2023 NCF and DSCR of $20.4
million and 1.68x and the low YE2019 NCF of $11.7 million and DSCR
of 0.96x. Given the strong coverage and positive leasing momentum,
Morningstar DBRS expects the loan to be extended; however, by
YE2025, there is a cumulative rollover risk of 25.8% of the net
rentable area (NRA) coupled with the subject's recent maturity
default, Morningstar DBRS believes overall credit risk remains
heightened. As a result, Morningstar DBRS liquidated this loan from
the pool with a 65.0% haircut to the issuance appraised value of
$630 million in addition to including the outstanding advances and
expected servicer expenses, which totaled nearly $7.1 million. This
analysis suggested a loss severity in excess of 35.0%, or
approximately $33 million.
The second-largest loan in special servicing is secured by Granite
190, which includes two three-story Class A suburban office
buildings in Richardson, Texas. The loan transferred to special
servicing in February 2023 for imminent monetary default resulting
from the downsizing of the former largest tenant, United
Healthcare, to 49,6000 sf (16.1% of the NRA) from 176,000 sf (56.8%
of the NRA). The loan was ultimately foreclosed on and the property
became real estate owned in December 2023. Although United
Healthcare retained its place as the largest tenant, its lease has
an upcoming expiration in June 2026. According to the March 2024
rent roll, the property is 37.2% occupied by only two small
tenants, cumulatively representing only 2.4% of NRA, that are
scheduled to roll in the next 12 months. According to Reis, the
vacancy rate in the Plano/Allen submarket was notable at 27.4% as
of Q1 2025. The most recent appraisal dated December 2024 valued
the property at $30.4 million compared with $28.8 million in
January 2024, $33.0 million in June 2023, and $55.0 million at
issuance. Given the subject property continues to struggle with
occupancy and location in a submarket with high vacancy, the loan
was liquidated from the pool. Morningstar DBRS applied a 20%
haircut to the December 2024 appraised value, in addition to
including the outstanding advances and expected servicer expenses,
which totaled nearly $9.0 million. This analysis suggested a loss
severity of nearly 60.0%, or approximately $21.8 million.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-MS1: DBRS Cuts Class F Certs Rating to C
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded the credit ratings on two classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-MS1
issued by Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2015-MS1 as follows:
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from B (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
remaining classes as follows:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class PST at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued the credit rating on the Class A-3
certificate as that class was repaid in full with the May 2025
remittance.
Lastly, Morningstar DBRS changed the trend on Class D to Negative
from Stable. All other trends are Stable, with the exception of
Classes E and F, which are assigned credit ratings that do not
typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities
transactions.
During the prior credit rating action in June 2024, Morningstar
DBRS changed the trends on Classes E and F to Negative from Stable
to reflect the transaction's exposure to several loans identified
as being at increased risk of maturity default. Since that time,
one loan has liquidated from the pool with aggregate losses
relatively in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations, and three
loans (22.5% of the pool) have transferred to special servicing. In
its analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS liquidated all three
of the specially serviced loans, resulting in an aggregate
projected loss of $39.4 million, which would fully erode the
nonrated Class G balance in addition to more than 85% of the Class
F balance, significantly reducing credit support to the
lowest-rated principal bonds in the transaction, particularly the
Class D and E certificates. Morningstar DBRS analyzed loans that
have exhibited increased credit risks with elevated probability of
default penalties resulting in expected losses that were between
1.4 times (x) and 8.0x greater than the pool average. Morningstar
DBRS recognizes that the vast majority of outstanding loans in the
pool have an upcoming maturity date in 2025, three of which (11.6%
of the pool) will likely face difficulty obtaining takeout
financing based on deteriorating performance and/or upcoming
concentrated tenant rollover. The credit rating downgrades on the
Class E and F certificates and the Negative trend assigned to the
Class D certificate with this review reflect these loan-specific
challenges as those classes are the most exposed to loss if the
performance of the underlying collateral continues to deteriorate.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
overall stable performance and generally positive outlook for the
remaining loans in the pool, as exhibited by the healthy
weighted-average (WA) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 2.33x,
based on the most recent year-end financials. As of the May 2025
remittance, 17 of the original 54 loans remain in the pool,
representing a collateral reduction of 50.7% since issuance.
Defeasance collateral represents 0.8% of the pool balance. Loans
secured by retail properties represent the greatest property type
concentration, accounting for 53.6% of the pool balance. There are
two nondefeased loans (26.8% of the balance) in the pool that are
secured by office collateral or have an office component, both of
which are reporting a DSCR greater than 1.70x, according to the
most recent servicer reported figures.
The largest loan in special servicing and the primary driver of
Morningstar DBRS' projected liquidated losses, Waterfront at Port
Chester (Prospectus ID#4, 12.3% of the pool), is secured by a
retail property composed of five buildings and 27 tenant spaces
across 350,000 square feet in Port Chester, New York. The loan
transferred to special servicing in April 2025 for maturity
default. The property's occupancy rate declined to 84.8% as of the
July 2024 rent roll from 96.0% at issuance. Performance began to
decline after Bed Bath & Beyond (10.3% of net rentable area (NRA)
and 7.7% of base rent at issuance) vacated at its lease expiration
in January 2022. According to the most recent financial reporting
available, the property generated $3.5 million of net cash flow in
2023 (reflecting a DSCR of 0.63x), down from $9.3 million at
issuance. Despite multiple requests from the servicer, the borrower
has not provided more up-to-date financial figures; however,
Morningstar DBRS expects occupancy and cash flow have declined
further as various online sources indicate that Crunch Fitness
(6.9% of NRA and 8.1% of base rent at issuance) vacated at its
lease expiration in February 2025. In the analysis for this review,
the loan was liquidated based on a 50.0% haircut to the September
2020 appraised value, resulting in an implied loss approaching
$37.0 million and a loss severity of approximately 70.0%.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2016-C28: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Bsf
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded 11 and affirmed four classes of Morgan
Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust (MSBAM) Mortgage Trust
2016-C28 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Fitch
assigned Negative Rating Outlooks to classes A-S, B, X-B and C
following the downgrades. The Outlook on classes A-4 and X-A have
been revised to Negative from Stable.
Fitch has also affirmed 12 classes of Morgan Stanley Bank of
America Merrill Lynch Trust, commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2016-C30 (MSBAM 2016-C30).
Fitch has also downgraded 2 and affirmed 12 classes of Morgan
Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust, commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2016-C31 (MSBAM 2016-C31). The
Outlook on class A-S has been revised to Negative from Stable. The
Outlooks remain Negative for classes B, C and X-B.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MSBAM 2016-C28
A-3 61766LBR9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61766LBS7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61766LBV0 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
A-SB 61766LBQ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61766LBW8 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
C 61766LBX6 LT Bsf Downgrade BBB-sf
D 61766LAC3 LT CCCsf Downgrade Bsf
E 61766LAJ8 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
E-1 61766LAE9 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
E-2 61766LAG4 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
EF 61766LAS8 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
F 61766LAQ2 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
X-A 61766LBT5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61766LBU2 LT Asf Downgrade AA-sf
X-D 61766LAA7 LT CCCsf Downgrade Bsf
MSBAM 2016-C30
A-4 61766NBA2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 61766NBB0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61766NBE4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
A-SB 61766NAY1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61766NBF1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 61766NBG9 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
D 61766NAJ4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
E 61766NAL9 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-A 61766NBC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61766NBD6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-D 61766NAA3 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-E 61766NAC9 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
MSBAM 2016-C31
A-4 61766RAY2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 61766RAZ9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61766RBC9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
A-SB 61766RAW6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61766RBD7 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 61766RBE5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 61766RAJ5 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
E 61766RAL0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 61766RAN6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
X-A 61766RBA3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61766RBB1 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
X-D 61766RAA4 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-E 61766RAC0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-F 61766RAE6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 17% for MSBAM 2016-C28 and 11% for MSBAM 2016-C31, an
increase from 12.9% and 9.9%, respectively, at Fitch's prior rating
action. Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case losses are 11.3% for MSBAM
2016-C30, down from 12.1% at the last rating action. Fitch Loans of
Concerns (FLOCs) comprise 10 loans (34.7% of the pool) in MSBAM
2016-C28, including one specially serviced loan (3.3%); 9 loans
(34.5%) in MSBAM 2016-C30, including one specially serviced loan
(0.6%); and 11 loans (34.9%) in MSBAM 2016-C31, including three
specially serviced loans (6.8%).
MSBAM 2016-C28: The downgrades in MSBAM 2016-C28 reflect increased
pool loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating action driven by
further performance deterioration of two suburban office loans,
Princeton Pike Corporate Center and Princeton South Corporate
Center, as well as continued weak performance on the Navy League
Building office loan and limited workout progress of the specially
serviced DoubleTree by Hilton - Cleveland, OH loan. The Negative
Outlooks reflect the potential for further downgrades should
performance of the aforementioned FLOCs fail to stabilize or
decline further and also consider the elevated concentration of
office loans (28.9%) and regional mall/outlet loans (26.1%).
MSBAM 2016-C30: The affirmations in MSBAM 2016-C30 reflect the
relatively stable pool performance and loss expectations since
Fitch's prior rating action. The Negative Outlooks reflects the
high office concentration (35.1%) and possible future downgrades
due to continued performance deteriorations of the FLOCs, primarily
Bellevue Park Corporate Center, Park Tower Long Beach and West LA
Office - 1950 Sawtelle Boulevard loans, as well as the lack of
performance stabilization on the Briarwood Mall and Simon Premium
Outlets loans.
MSBAM 2016-C31: The affirmations of senior classes in MSBAM
2016-C31 reflect the relatively stable pool performance and loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action; the downgrades to
the two junior classes reflect expected losses on specially
serviced loans and higher certainty of loss given the upcoming
maturities. The Negative Outlooks reflects the high office
concentration (40%) and possible future downgrades due to continued
performance deteriorations of the FLOCs, primarily Vintage Park,
Harlem USA, Springhill Suites - Seattle, Simon Premium Outlets and
One Stamford Forum.
FLOCs; Largest Contributors to Loss: In MSBAM 2016-C28, the largest
increase in loss expectations since prior review is the Princeton
Pike Corporate Center (6.5%), which is secured by an 818,140-sf
suburban office property consisting of eight buildings located in
Lawrence Township, NJ. The loan reemerged from special servicing in
September 2021 with a loan modification allowing for the conversion
of debt service to interest-only (IO) payments and the
implementation of an ongoing cash trap for the remainder of the
loan term. However, the loan transferred back to special servicing
in February 2024 for imminent default. The loan is 60 days
delinquent as of the April remittance.
As of the most recently available reporting, occupancy had fallen
to 45% from 60% as of YE 2023 compared with 74% at YE 2022 and 77%
at YE 2021. The property occupancy has been steadily declining
since its peak in 2018 at 91%. According to servicer updates, the
borrower is planning to make another modification proposal. Workout
discussions are ongoing.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 39.1% reflects a
stressed value of $62 psf and is based on an 11% cap rate and 25%
haircut to the YE 2024 NOI, reflecting declining occupancy , lack
of performance and valuation updates and an increased probability
of default to reflect the loan's delinquent status and ongoing
performance concerns.
The second largest increase in loss expectations in MSBAM 2016-C28
since prior review is the Prince South Corporate Center (5.8%),
which is secured by a 267,426-sf suburban office property located
in Trenton, NJ. The loan transferred to special servicing in
February 2022 and became REO in November 2023. Occupancy was 53% as
of January 2024.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 83.3% reflects a
discount to the most recent appraisal which reflects a Fitch value
of approximately $53 psf.
The third largest increase in loss expectations in the MSBAM
2016-C28 transaction is the Greenville Mall loan (4.9%), which is
secured by a 406,464-sf portion of a regional mall located in
Greenville, NC.
The loan has been designated as a FLOC due to low/declining sales
and maturity default risk as the loan is set to mature in November
2025. The largest tenant at the property is Belk (22% NRA; expires
January 2030) followed by JC Penney (22%; February 2028). As of YE
2024 occupancy was 96% which is in line with prior years.
Approximately 26.2% and 4.3% of the NRA expire in 2025 and 2026,
respectively.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 35.7% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 20% cap rate, 7.5% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and an increased the probability of default due to refinancing
concerns and declining sales.
The largest contributor to loss in the MSBAM 2016-C30 transaction
is the Briarwood Mall loan (9.3%), which is secured by a 369,916-sf
portion of a 978,034-sf super-regional mall in Ann Arbor, MI,
approximately 2.5 miles from the University of Michigan. The loan,
which is sponsored in a 50/50 joint venture between Simon Property
Group and General Motors Pension Trust, was designated a FLOC due
to continued occupancy declines and refinancing concerns.
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR for this interest-only (IO) loan was
1.99x as of YE 2024, compared to 1.94x at YE 2023, 2.04x at YE
2022, below pre-pandemic levels of 3.03x at YE 2019. Occupancy was
a reported 72% at YE 2024, compared to 71% at YE 2023, 70% at YE
2022 and 87% at YE 2019 and 95% at issuance. The remaining
non-collateral anchors are Macy's, JCPenney, and Von Maur which
replaced Sears after it closed in the fourth quarter of 2018.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 41.8% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 15% cap rate, a 7.5% stress to the YE 2024 NOI
and a higher probability of default to account for refinancing
concerns.
The second largest overall contributor to pool loss in the MSBAM
2016-C30 transaction is the Bellevue Park Corporate Center (6.8%),
which is secured by three office buildings totaling 305,398 sf and
located on the Delaware and Pennsylvania border between the
Philadelphia central business district (CBD) and the Wilmington
CBD.
The loan has been designated as a FLOC due to a low DSCR and
maturity default risk. The YE 2023 NOI DSCR was 1.12x compared with
1.45x at YE 2022. Occupancy has improved to 72% as of September
2024 from 61% in September 2023 but it still significantly below
issuance occupancy of 99%. The decline in occupancy is attributed
to BNY (19% NRA) vacating at its April 2023 lease expiration and
other major tenants, including Blackrock and CIGNA, downsizing.
However, both tenants did execute lease renewals, where Blackrock
renewed for five years through April 2027 and CIGNA renewed for
eight years through September 2029. Upcoming rollover at the
property includes 4.3% of the NRA (6.9% GPR) in 2025, followed by
0% in 2026 and 20.2% of the NRA (22.9% GPR) in 2027.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 30% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate, 10% stress to the YE 2023 NOI and
an increased the probability of default due to refinancing
concerns.
The third largest contributor to pool loss in MSBAM 2016-C30 and
second largest overall contributor to loss in the MSBAM 2016-C31
transaction is the Simon Premium Outlets (2.7%), which is secured
by a 782,765-sf portfolio of three retail outlet centers. The
properties are all in tertiary locations in Massachusetts, South
Carolina, and Georgia. The largest portfolio tenants are Lee
Premium Outlets (3.3% of portfolio NRA) and Nike Factory Store
(2.7% of portfolio NRA).
Portfolio occupancy was 61% as of the September 2024, compared with
65% at YE 2022, 65% at YE 2021, 69% at YE 2020 and 82% at YE 2019.
Total portfolio sales have declined to $132.0 million as of the TTM
March 2024, down 30.6% from the $190.2 million reported for 2018
and down 38.9% from the $215.9 million reported around the time of
issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 39.1% (prior to concentration
adjustments) is based on a 25% cap rate and 15% stress to the YE
2023 NOI to reflect upcoming rollover concerns. Fitch's analysis
assumed a higher probability of default due to the upcoming
rollover, declining occupancy and sales trends and refinancing
concerns.
The largest contributor to pool loss in the MSBAM 2016-C31
transaction is the REO One Stamford Forum asset (3.9%), a
504,471-sf suburban office building located in Stamford, CT. The
loan transferred to special servicing in March 2019 for imminent
monetary default when major tenant Purdue Pharma filed for
bankruptcy due to lawsuits related to the opioid crisis. A
foreclosure sale was completed in October 2023.
The asset was 51.1% occupied as of YE 2024, compared with 51.7% at
YE 2023, 53.9% at YE 2022 and 53.8% at YE 2021. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.19x at YE 2024, 0.22x at YE 2023,
-0.17x at YE 2022 and -0.02x at YE 2021. According to the special
servicer, a lease up strategy is being implemented with a projected
disposition mid-year 2026. Per CoStar, the property lies within the
Stamford, CT CBD office submarket. As of 1Q25, submarket asking
rents averaged $40.15 psf and the submarket vacancy rate was
24.5%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 69.4% (prior to concentration
adjustments) is based on a haircut to the most recent appraisal,
reflecting a Fitch stressed value of $92 psf.
The third largest contributor to pool loss in the MSBAM 2016-C31
transaction is the Harlem USA loan (5.2%), which is secured by a
five-story multi-tenanted retail building located in the Harlem
neighborhood of NYC and anchored by a 28,000-sf AMC Magic Johnson
Cineplex. The property has been designated as a FLOC due to
declining occupancy and maturity default risk as the loan is set to
mature in October 2026. As of YE 2024 occupancy was 68%, which is
in line with prior years and significantly below issuance at 95%.
Add historical DSCR data.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 28.4% (prior to concentration
adjustments) is based on a 9% cap rate, 7.5% stress to the YE 2024
NOI and an increased probability of default due to refinancing
concerns.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the April 2025 remittance
report, the aggregate balances of the MSBAM 2016-C28, MSBAM
2016-C30 and MSBAM 2016-C31 transactions have been reduced by
20.5%, 14.8% and 18.9%, respectively, since issuance.
Respective defeasance percentages in the MSBAM 2016-C28, MSBAM
2016-C30 and MSBAM 2016-C31 transactions include 14.7% (seven
loans), 19.1% (11 loans) and 14.4% (eight loans).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due
to the high CE, senior position in the capital structure and
expected continued amortization and loan repayments, but may occur
if deal-level losses increase significantly and/or interest
shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAAsf', 'AAsf' and 'Asf'
categories, which have Negative Outlooks, may occur should
performance of the FLOCs deteriorate further or if more loans than
expected default at or prior to maturity. These FLOCs include
Princeton Pike Corporate Center, Princeton South Corporate Center,
DoubleTree by Hilton - Cleveland, OH and Navy League Building in
MSBAM 2016-C28, Briarwood Mall, Bellevue Park Corporate Center,
Flagler Corporate Center, Simon Premium Outlets, Park Tower Long
Beach and West LA Office - 1950 Sawtelle Boulevard in MSBAM
2016-C30 and Simon Premium Outlets, One Stamford Forum and TEK park
in MSBAM 2016-C31.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf'
categories could occur with higher than expected losses from
continued underperformance of the FLOCs, particularly the
aforementioned loans or if loans in special servicing experience
prolonged workouts resulting in value erosion and increased
exposures.
Downgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf', 'CCsf' and 'Csf' would
occur as losses become more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs. Upgrades of these classes to 'AAAsf' will
also consider the concentration of defeased loans in the
transaction and would not occur if interest shortfalls are
expected.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration and would only occur sustained improved performance
of the FLOCs, especially Princeton Pike Corporate Center, Princeton
South Corporate Center, DoubleTree by Hilton - Cleveland, OH and
Navy League Building in MSBAM 2016-C28, Briarwood Mall, Bellevue
Park Corporate Center, Flagler Corporate Center, Simon Premium
Outlets, Park Tower Long Beach and West LA Office - 1950 Sawtelle
Boulevard in MSBAM 2016-C30, and Simon Premium Outlets, One
Stamford Forum and TEK park in MSBAM 2016-C31.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable and there is a significant increase
in CE due to paydown and defeasance.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are unlikely but possible with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B Rating on Class B-2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Morgan Stanley
Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM3's mortgage-backed
certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only periods)
secured by single-family residential properties, including
townhouses, planned-unit developments, and condominiums, and two-
to four-family residential properties to both prime and nonprime
borrowers. The pool has 977 loans backed by 1,021 properties. The
loans are qualified-mortgage (QM) safe-harbor average prime offer
rate (APOR), QM rebuttable presumption APOR,
non-QM/ability-to-repay (ATR)-compliant, and ATR-exempt loans.
After S&P assigned preliminary ratings on May 16, 2025, the class
B-1 certificate rate was priced at a NetWac coupon rate. After
analyzing the final coupons, S&P assigned ratings for all classes
that are unchanged from the preliminary ratings it assigned.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition and geographic
concentration;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, and representations and warranties framework;
-- The mortgage aggregators, Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital
Holdings LLC and Morgan Stanley Bank N.A.;
-- The mortgage originators, including reviewed originator
HomeXpress Mortgage Corp.;
-- The 100% due diligence results consistent with represented loan
characteristics; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals. S&P's outlook is updated, if
necessary, when these projections change materially."
Ratings Assigned(i)
Morgan Stanley Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM3
Class A-1-A, $275,585,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-B, $42,726,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $318,311,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $30,977,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $42,940,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $13,672,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $7,691,000: BB
Class B-2, $8,332,000: B
Class B-3, $5,340,860: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R-PT, $21,366,860: NR
Class PT, $405,897,000: NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal; they do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period and is initially $427,263,860.
NR--Not rated.
MPOWER EDUCATION 2024-A: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on C Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed three credit ratings on classes of notes
issued by MPOWER Education Trust 2024-A Transaction.
-- Class A Notes A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes BBB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes BB (sf) Confirmed
Credit rating rationale includes the key analytical
considerations:
-- Transaction capital structure, current credit ratings, and
sufficient credit enhancement levels.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization,
reserve account, and excess spread with senior notes benefiting
from subordination of junior notes.
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the
Morningstar DBRS-expected default and loss severity assumptions
under various stress scenarios.
-- Collateral performance is within expectations, and cumulative
gross losses are low. Forbearance and delinquency levels remain
relatively stable.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
NCMF TRUST 2025-MFS: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
NCMF Trust 2025-MFS, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2025-MFS as follows:
- $254,000,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $48,700,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $38,200,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $53,900,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $82,500,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $91,100,000 class F 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the following class:
- $30,000,000a class HRR.
(a) Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0%
of the estimated fair value of all classes.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial interests in a trust that
holds a three-year, fixed-rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan.
The mortgage will be secured by the borrowers' fee simple and
leasehold interests in 18 multifamily and student housing
properties with a total of 4,431 units (3,233 multifamily units and
3,385 student-housing beds) located in eight states across 10
markets. The portfolio was 96.8% leased as of the March 2025 rent
roll.
Loan proceeds, along with $101.6 million in mezzanine debt and
approximately $7.8 million of sponsor equity, will be used to pay
off $672.0 million of existing debt, fund $10 million of upfront
reserves and pay closing costs of approximately $25.6 million.
The loan is expected to be originated by Citi Real Estate Funding
Inc. on May 30, 2025. Berkadia Commercial Mortgage LLC is expected
to act as servicer, and Situs Holdings, LLC is expected to act as
special servicer. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB is expected
to act as trustee, and Citibank, N.A. is expected to act as
certificate administrator and back-up advancing agent. Park Bridge
Lender Services LLC is expected to act as operating advisor. The
certificates will follow a standard senior-sequential paydown
structure. The transaction is expected to close on June 10, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch's stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio is estimated at $44.3 million. This is 10.9% lower than
the issuer's NCF and 5.9% below the TTM ended in February 2025 NCF.
Fitch applied an 8.5% cap rate, resulting in a Fitch value of
approximately $521.1 million.
Fitch Leverage: The $598.4 million total mortgage loan ($135,049
per unit) has a Fitch stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR),
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt yield (DY) of 0.78x, 114.8% and
7.4%, respectively. Based on total debt of $700.0 million ($157,978
per unit), inclusive of the $101.6 million mezzanine loan, the
Fitch stressed DSCR, LTV and DY are 0.67x, 134.3% and 6.3%,
respectively. The mortgage loan represents approximately 64.4% of
the portfolio appraised value of $928.8 million. The total debt
represents approximately 75.4% of the portfolio appraised value.
The Fitch market LTV at 'B-sf' (the lowest Fitch-rated
non-investment grade tranche) is 91.6%. The Fitch market LTV is
based on a blend of the Fitch cap rate and the market cap rate of
5.8%.
Geographically Diverse Portfolio: The loan is secured by 4,431
units (3,233 multifamily units and 3,385 student-housing beds)
across 12 multifamily properties and six student housing properties
located in eight states across 10 markets. The largest three
properties by allocated mortgage loan amount (ALA) contain 45.3% of
the units/beds and represent 38.5% of the ALA. No other property
constitutes more than 6.6% of the total units or 7.9% of the ALA.
No state or market represents more than 24.5% of the ALA. The
portfolio's effective geographic count is 7.2.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf'
/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf' / 'Bsf' /
'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf'
/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' /
'Bsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to the mortgage loan. Fitch considered
this information in its analysis, and it did not have an effect on
Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Ratings Outlook to
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 61, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.7% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 72.24%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Moody's Gives (P)B3 Rating to $250,000 F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned provisional ratings to two classes of
notes to be issued by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd.
(the Issuer or Neuberger 61):
US$310,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2039, Assigned (P)B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Neuberger 61 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans and unsecured loans. Moody's expects
the portfolio to be approximately 80% ramped as of the closing
date.
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer will issue six other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2925
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.05%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.5%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.2 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
NYC COMMERCIAL 2025-1155: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on F Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2025-1155 (the Certificates) issued by NYC Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2025-1155:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The NYC Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-1155
single-asset/single-borrower transaction is collateralized by the
borrower's leasehold and fee interest in 1155 Avenue of the
Americas, a 42-story, 797,891-square-foot (sf) office tower and
retail property on Sixth Avenue between 44th Street and 45th Street
in Midtown Manhattan, New York. The office tower was constructed in
1984 and has since seen major renovations, not only to the
ground-floor lobby area and top of the building, but also to the
facade of the building, which benefits the interiors by providing
floor-to-ceiling window views from each of the corners. These major
renovations started in 2017, after a major tenant vacated
approximately 300,000 sf, and were completed in 2020 for a total
cost of $330.0 million. The collateral also consists of 10,766 sf
of ground-floor retail. The subject is encumbered by a ground lease
for 17,786 sf of the total 33,639 sf of land, amounting to 52.9% of
the land under a ground lease; this lease extends until 2104.
As of April 1, 2025, the property was 88.9% leased to 32 unique
tenants. Property performance had been suppressed given the prior
largest tenant vacating and the renovations; however, leasing
remained slow for several years after the renovations were
completed. Leasing picked up over the past two years, primarily
because of the sponsor moving an affiliate's (Royal Realty Corp.)
headquarters to the collateral from One Bryant Park. Royal Realty
Corp. is now the largest tenant at the property, representing
approximately 122,948 sf or 15.4% of the total net rentable area
(NRA). Royal Realty Corp. moved into the building in 2024 and has a
lease that expires in 2034. The collateral is now viewed as the
headquarters of the Sponsor group, The Durst Organization. The
second largest tenant at the property is Global Relay USA, which
accounts for 9.6% of the total NRA and occupies the two-story
penthouse suite on the 41st and 42nd floors of the building. In
total, 24.3% of the NRA will roll through 2030, which is the final
year of the fully extended loan maturity; however, there are no
reserves to combat this risk beyond ongoing monthly deposits.
As the property was renovated in 2020, with continued maintenance
done throughout the building, the Sponsor has no plans for future
capital expenditure programs. The sponsor has continued to invest
in the building as evidenced through its extensive renovation
projects and tenant improvement packages.
The Sponsor for this transaction is The Durst Organization. The
Durst Organization was founded in 1915 and is one of New York
City's oldest family-run commercial and real estate companies. It
currently has a portfolio of more than 13 million sf of Class A
Manhattan office and retail space and 6,000 apartment units. The
company focuses on a long-term asset strategy that is evidenced
through its commitment to maintain the status of, and to continue
to improve, the assets it holds. The company has invested a large
amount of money into the property and, as of 2024, the subject will
serve as the headquarters for The Durst Organization after its
relocation from One Bryant Park.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
OAKTREE CLO 2025-30: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Oaktree CLO 2025-30
Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2025-30 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Oaktree CLO Management Co. LLC.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Oaktree CLO 2025-30 Ltd./Oaktree CLO 2025-30 LLC
Class A, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $27.50 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $25.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $7.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $17.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41.27 million: Not rated
OCP CLO 2025-43: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to OCP CLO 2025-43 Ltd./OCP
CLO 2025-43 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and consists primarily of broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Onex Credit Partners LLC, a
subsidiary of Onex Corp.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
OCP CLO 2025-43 Ltd./OCP CLO 2025-43 LLC
Class A-1, $330.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $11.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $77.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $33.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $33.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $2.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $19.25 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $48.50 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
PALMER SQUARE 2025-2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Palmer Square CLO 2025-2
Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2025-2 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Palmer Square Capital
Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Palmer Square CLO 2025-2 Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2025-2 LLC
Class A-1, $312.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $17.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $50.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41.54 million: Not rated
POINT 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on Class B2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on
Option-Backed Notes issued by Point Securitization Trust 2025-1 as
follows:
-- $162.2 million Class A-1 Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- $35 million Class A-2 Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $28.3 million Class B-1 Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- $23.3 million Class B-2 Notes at B (high) (sf)
The A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative advance rate
of 63% for the Class A-1 Notes, the BBB (low) (sf) credit rating
reflects a cumulative advance rate of 76.6% for the Class A-2
Notes, the BB (low) (sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative
advance rate of 87.5% for the Class B-1 Notes, and the (B) (high)
(sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative advance rate of 96.5% for
the Class B-2 Notes.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Home equity investments (HEIs) allow homeowners access to the
equity in their homes without having to sell their homes or make
monthly mortgage payments. HEIs provide homeowners with an
alternative to borrowing and are available to homeowners of any age
(unlike reverse mortgage loans, for example, for which there is
often a minimum age requirement). A homeowner receives an upfront
cash payment (an Advance or an Investment Amount) in exchange for
giving an investor (i.e., the Originator) a stake in their
property. The homeowner retains sole right of occupancy of the
property and pays all upkeep and expenses during the term of the
HEI, but the Originator earns an investment return based on the
future value of the property, typically subject to a returns cap.
Like reverse mortgage loans, the HEI underwriting approach is asset
based, meaning there is greater emphasis placed on the value of the
underlying property and the amount of home equity, than on the
credit quality of the homeowner. The property value is the main
focus for predicting investment return because it is the primary
source of funds to satisfy the obligation. HEIs are nonrecourse; in
a default situation, a homeowner is not required to provide
additional funds when the HEI settlement amount exceeds the
remaining equity value in the property (after accounting for any
other obligations such as senior liens, if applicable). Recovery of
the Advance and any Originator return is primarily subject to the
amount of appreciation/depreciation on the property, the amount of
debt that may be senior to the HEI, and the cap on investor
return.
As of the cut-off date, 263 contracts in the transaction are
first-lien contracts, representing roughly $29.11 million in
current intrinsic value; 1,750 are second-lien contracts,
representing roughly $210.05 million in current intrinsic value;
and 128 are third-lien contracts, representing roughly $18.42
million in current intrinsic value.
Of the pool, 11.37% of the contracts are first lien, and have a
weighted-average (WA) HEI percentage of 59.43%; 81.64% are
second-lien contracts and have a WA HEI percentage of 55.54%; and
the remaining 6.99% of the pool are third-lien contracts, with a WA
HEI percentage of 54.58%. This brings the entire transaction's WA
HEI percentage to 55.91%. To better understand the contract math,
please see the example in the Contract Mechanics -- Worked Example
section of the associated presale report. The current unadjusted
loan-to-value ratio of the pool is 34.94% (i.e., the percentage of
senior liens ahead of the contracts). At cut-off, the pool had a WA
HEI thickness of 15.89 %, and a current WA Combined Loan-to-Value
of 50.40%.
The transaction uses a sequential structure. For cash distributions
that are paid prior to the occurrence of a Credit Event, payments
are first made to the Interest Amounts and any Interest Carryover
on the Class A-1, Class A-2, Class B-1 (prior to the occurrence of
a Class B-1 PIK Date), and Class B-2 (prior to the occurrence of a
Class B-2 PIK Date) Notes. Payments are then made to the Note
Amount of Class A-1 until such notes are paid off. With respect to
Class A-2, B-1, and B-2 Notes, payments are made to the Note Amount
until Note Amount of the Class A-2, Class B-1, and Class B-2 Notes
are paid off with an amount up to the amount of Net Sale Proceeds
(if any) that was included in the total Available Funds on such
Payment Date in sequential order. If a Class B-1 PIK Date or Class
B-2 PIK Date occurs, then payments of interest will instead be
redirected first to the Advance Facility Provider, followed by
principal to the Class A-1 Notes until reduced to zero.
For cash distributions that are paid post the occurrence of a
Credit Event, payments are first made to the Interest Amounts and
any Interest Carryover on Class A-1 Notes. In the event that the
Class A-1 Notes have not been redeemed or paid in full, on or after
the Expected Redemption Date, the A-2 Notes Accrual Amount would be
paid first to Class A-1 Notes until its paid off and then to
Additional Accrued Amounts to Class A-1 Notes, until such amounts
have been reduced to zero. If the Class A-1 Notes have been
redeemed or paid in full prior to the Redemption Date, payments are
made to the Interest Amounts and any unpaid Interest Carryover on
Class A-2 Notes. The Class B-1 and B-2 Notes are accrual notes and
will not be entitled to any payments of principal until the Class
A-1 and A-2 Notes are paid down along with their respective
Additional Accrued Amounts that have accrued but were previously
unpaid.
With respect to Class A-1 Notes, payments are first made to the
Note Amount until such amounts are reduced to zero and then to the
Additional Accrued Amounts, including any unpaid Additional Accrued
Amounts, until such amounts are reduced to zero on Class A-1 Notes.
The Class A-2 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until it's reduced to zero.
The Class B-1 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until reduced to zero.
Lastly, the B-2 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until reduced to zero.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amount, Interest Amount, and Interest Carryover.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
POINT SECURITIZATION 2025-1: DBRS Gives (P) B(high) on B-2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the Option-Backed
Notes to be issued by Point Securitization Trust 2025-1 as
follows:
-- $162.2 million Class A-1 Notes at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $35 million Class A-2 Notes at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $28.3 million Class B-1 Notes at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $23.3 million Class B-2 Notes at (P) B (high) (sf)
The A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative advance rate
of 63% for the Class A-1 Notes, the BBB (low) (sf) credit rating
reflects a cumulative advance rate of 76.6% for the Class A-2
Notes, the BB (low) (sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative
advance rate of 87.5% for the Class B-1 Notes, and the (B) (high)
(sf) credit rating reflects a cumulative advance rate of 96.5% for
the Class B-2 Notes.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Home equity investments (HEIs) allow homeowners access to the
equity in their homes without having to sell their homes or make
monthly mortgage payments. HEIs provide homeowners with an
alternative to borrowing and are available to homeowners of any age
(unlike reverse mortgage loans, for example, for which there is
often a minimum age requirement). A homeowner receives an upfront
cash payment (an Advance or an Investment Amount) in exchange for
giving an investor (i.e., the Originator) a stake in their
property. The homeowner retains sole right of occupancy of the
property and pays all upkeep and expenses during the term of the
HEI, but the Originator earns an investment return based on the
future value of the property, typically subject to a returns cap.
Like reverse mortgage loans, the HEI underwriting approach is asset
based, meaning there is greater emphasis placed on the value of the
underlying property and the amount of home equity, than on the
credit quality of the homeowner. The property value is the main
focus for predicting investment return because it is the primary
source of funds to satisfy the obligation. HEIs are nonrecourse; in
a default situation, a homeowner is not required to provide
additional funds when the HEI settlement amount exceeds the
remaining equity value in the property (after accounting for any
other obligations such as senior liens, if applicable). Recovery of
the Advance and any Originator return is primarily subject to the
amount of appreciation/depreciation on the property, the amount of
debt that may be senior to the HEI, and the cap on investor
return.
As of the cut-off date, 263 contracts in the transaction are
first-lien contracts, representing roughly $29.11 million in
current intrinsic value; 1,750 are second-lien contracts,
representing roughly $210.05 million in current intrinsic value;
and 128 are third-lien contracts, representing roughly $18.42
million in current intrinsic value.
Of the pool, 11.37% of the contracts are first lien, and have a
weighted-average (WA) HEI percentage of 59.43%; 81.64% are
second-lien contracts and have a WA HEI percentage of 55.54%; and
the remaining 6.99% of the pool are third-lien contracts, with a WA
HEI percentage of 54.58%. This brings the entire transaction's WA
HEI percentage to 55.91%. To better understand the contract math,
please see the example in the Contract Mechanics--Worked Example
section of the associated presale report. The current unadjusted
loan-to-value ratio of the pool is 34.94% (i.e., the percentage of
senior liens ahead of the contracts). At cut-off, the pool had a WA
HEI thickness of 15.89 %, and a current WA Combined Loan-to-Value
of 50.40%.
The transaction uses a sequential structure. For cash distributions
that are paid prior to the occurrence of a Credit Event, payments
are first made to the Interest Amounts and any Interest Carryover
on the Class A-1, Class A-2, Class B-1 (prior to the occurrence of
a Class B-1 PIK Date), and Class B-2 (prior to the occurrence of a
Class B-2 PIK Date) Notes. Payments are then made to the Note
Amount of Class A-1 until such notes are paid off. With respect to
Class A-2, B-1, and B-2 Notes, payments are made to the Note Amount
until Note Amount of the Class A-2, Class B-1, and Class B-2 Notes
are paid off with an amount up to the amount of Net Sale Proceeds
(if any) that was included in the total Available Funds on such
Payment Date in sequential order. If a Class B-1 PIK Date or Class
B-2 PIK Date occurs, then payments of interest will instead be
redirected first to the Advance Facility Provider, followed by
principal to the Class A-1 Notes until reduced to zero.
For cash distributions that are paid post the occurrence of a
Credit Event, payments are first made to the Interest Amounts and
any Interest Carryover on Class A-1 Notes. In the event that the
Class A-1 Notes have not been redeemed or paid in full, on or after
the Expected Redemption Date, the A-2 Notes Accrual Amount would be
paid first to Class A-1 Notes until its paid off and then to
Additional Accrued Amounts to Class A-1 Notes, until such amounts
have been reduced to zero. If the Class A-1 Notes have been
redeemed or paid in full prior to the Redemption Date, payments are
made to the Interest Amounts and any unpaid Interest Carryover on
Class A-2 Notes. The Class B-1 and B-2 Notes are accrual notes and
will not be entitled to any payments of principal until the Class
A-1 and A-2 Notes are paid down along with their respective
Additional Accrued Amounts that have accrued but were previously
unpaid.
With respect to Class A-1 Notes, payments are first made to the
Note Amount until such amounts are reduced to zero and then to the
Additional Accrued Amounts, including any unpaid Additional Accrued
Amounts, until such amounts are reduced to zero on Class A-1 Notes.
The Class A-2 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until it's reduced to zero.
The Class B-1 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until reduced to zero.
Lastly, the B-2 Notes are then paid their respective Note Amount
until it's paid off, and the Additional Accrued Amounts, including
any unpaid Additional Accrued Amounts, until reduced to zero.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amount, Interest Amount, and Interest Carryover.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
PREFERRED TERM XXV: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Caa1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Preferred Term Securities XXV, Ltd. and Preferred Term
Securities XXV, Ltd. (Combo Notes):
Issuer: Preferred Term Securities XXV, Ltd.
US$482,600,000 Floating Rate Class A-1 Senior Notes Due June 22,
2037 (current outstanding balance of $120,682,222.46), Upgraded to
Aaa (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$129,400,000 Floating Rate Class A-2 Senior Notes Due June 22,
2037 (current outstanding balance of $113,794,381.82), Upgraded to
Aa2 (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
US$61,400,000 Floating Rate Class B-1 Mezzanine Notes Due June 22,
2037 (current outstanding balance of $53,994,402.38), Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
US$25,000,000 Fixed/Floating Rate Class B-2 Mezzanine Notes Due
June 22, 2037 (current outstanding balance of $21,983,866.35),
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to
Baa3 (sf)
US$82,300,000 Floating Rate Class C-1 Mezzanine Notes Due June 22,
2037 (current outstanding balance of $75,916,151.59), Upgraded to
Caa1 (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to Caa2 (sf)
US$18,500,000 Fixed/Floating Rate Class C-2 Mezzanine Notes Due
June 22, 2037 (current outstanding balance of $17,064,994.35),
Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on February 11, 2020 Upgraded to
Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Preferred Term Securities XXV, Ltd. (Combo Notes)
US$20,000,000 Series 2 due 2037 (current rated balance of
$6,298,640.44), Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on February 19,
2016 Upgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
Preferred Term Securities XXV, Ltd., issued in March 2007, is a
collateralized debt obligation (CDO) backed mainly by a portfolio
of bank and insurance trust preferred securities (TruPS).
PreTSL Combination Series P XXV-2 Trust, a combination note
security, was issued in March 2007 and originally comprised $10
million of the Class C-1 notes and $10 million of the Income Notes
issued by Preferred Term Securities XXV, Ltd.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily a result of the deleveraging of
the transaction's notes and the resulting increase in the
transaction's over-collateralization (OC) ratios.
The Class A-1 notes have paid down by approximately 5% or $6
million in the past year, using principal proceeds from the
redemption of the underlying assets and the diversion of excess
interest proceeds. Based on Moody's calculations, the OC ratios for
the Class A-1, Class A-2, B and C notes have improved to 352.9%,
181.6%, 137.2% and 105.6%, respectively, from levels of 339.8%,
178.3%, 135.4% and 104.5%, respectively a year ago. The Class A-1
notes will continue to benefit from the use of proceeds from
redemptions of any assets in the collateral pool.
The Series 2 combination notes have benefitted from ongoing
reduction in rated balance, decreasing by 5% or $324 thousand, in
the past year.
The deal has also benefited from improvement in the credit quality
of the underlying portfolio. According to Moody's calculations, the
weighted average rating factor (WARF) improved to 1200 from 1377
one year ago.
Moody's rating of the Combination Securities addresses only the
ultimate receipt of the Combination Securities Rated Balance by the
holders of the Combination Securities. Moody's rating of the
Combination Securities does not address any other payments or
additional amounts that a holder of the Combination Securities may
receive pursuant to the underlying documents.
The key model inputs Moody's used Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodology and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $425.9 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $122.5 million
Weighted average default probability: 11.0% (implying a WARF of
1200)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 10%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios include, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit
estimates. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) on B5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-J2 (the
Certificates) to be issued by the Radian Mortgage Capital Trust
2025-J2 (RMCT 2025-J2):
-- $302.8 million Class A-1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $302.8 million Class A-1-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $302.8 million Class A-2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $272.8 million Class A-3 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $272.8 million Class A-3-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $272.8 million Class A-4 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-5 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-5-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-6 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $163.7 million Class A-7 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $163.7 million Class A-7-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $163.7 million Class A-8 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $27.3 million Class A-9 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $27.3 million Class A-9-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $27.3 million Class A-10 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-11 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-11-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-12 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $40.9 million Class A-13 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $40.9 million Class A-13-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $40.9 million Class A-14 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $204.6 million Class A-15 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $204.6 million Class A-15-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $204.6 million Class A-16 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-17 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-17-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $136.4 million Class A-18 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $109.1 million Class A-19 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $109.1 million Class A-19-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $109.1 million Class A-20 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-21 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-21-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-22 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.1 million Class A-23 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.1 million Class A-23-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.1 million Class A-24 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.1 million Class A-24-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-25 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-25-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-26 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-27 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-27-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-28 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $68.2 million Class A-28-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $340.9 million Class A-29 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $340.9 million Class A-30 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $340.9 million Class A-31 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.1 million Class A-32 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $371.0 million Class A-33 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $371.0 million Class A-34 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $371.0 million Class A-34-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $371.0 million Class A-X at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $9.8 million Class B-1 at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $9.8 million Class B-1-A at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $9.8 million Class B-1-X at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2 at (P) A (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2-A at (P) A (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2-X at (P) A (sf)
-- $5.0 million Class B-3 at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $5.0 million Class B-3-A at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $5.0 million Class B-3-X at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $3.0 million Class B-4 at (P) BB (high) (sf)
-- $1.4 million Class B-5 at (P) B (high) (sf)
-- $23.7 million Class B at (P) BBB (sf)
-- $23.7 million Class B-X at (P) BBB (sf)
Classes A-1-X, A-3-X, A-5-X, A-7-X, A-9-X, A-11-X, A-13-X, A-15-X,
A-17-X, A-19-X, A-21-X, A-23-X, A-24-X, A-25-X, A-27-X, A-28-X,
A-34-X, A-X, B-1-X, B-2-X, B-3-X, and B-X are interest-only (IO)
certificates. The class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-1-X, A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-6, A-7, A-7-X, A-8,
A-10, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-14, A-15, A-15-X, A-16, A-17, A-17-X,
A-18, A-19, A-19-X, A-20, A-22, A-24, A-26, A-27, A-27-X, A-28,
A-28-X, A-29, A-30, A-31, A-32, A-33, A-34, A-34-X, B, B-1, B-2,
B-3 and B-X are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be
exchanged for combinations of exchange certificates as specified in
the offering documents.
Classes A-5, A-9, A-13, A-21 and A-25 are super-senior
certificates. These classes benefit from additional protection from
the senior support certificate (Class A-23) with respect to loss
allocation.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 7.50%
of credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The
(P) AA (high) (sf), (P) A (sf), (P) BBB (sf), (P) BB (high) (sf),
and (P) B (high) (sf) credit ratings reflect 5.05%, 2.85%, 1.60%,
0.85%, and 0.50% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-J2 (the
Certificates). The Certificates are backed by 435 loans with a
total principal balance of $401,114,073 as of the Cut-Off Date
(June 1, 2025).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average (WA)
loan age of 3 months. Approximately 74.6% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
25.4% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section. In addition, all of the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule.
Rocket Mortgage, LLC (Rocket Mortgage) originated 14.0% of the
pool. Various other originators, each comprising less than 10%,
originated the remainder of the loans. All the mortgage loans will
be serviced by Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint or SMS) or
Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr. Cooper (Nationstar).
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (Computershare; rated BBB (high)
with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Master
Servicer and Securities Administrator. Wilmington Trust, National
Association will serve as Trustee. Deutsche Bank National Trust
Company (Deutsche Bank) will act as Custodian.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J2: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed
certificates to be issued by Radian Mortgage Capital Trust 2025-J2
(RMCT 2025-J2).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Radian Mortgage
Capital Trust
2025-J2
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-10 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-11-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-13-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-15 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-15-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-16 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-17 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-17-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-18 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-19 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-19-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-20 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-21 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-21-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-22 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-23 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-23-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-24 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-24-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-25 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-25-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-26 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-27 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-27-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-28 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-28-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-29 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-30 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-31 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-32 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-33 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-34 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-34-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-A LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-X LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-A LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-X LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3-A LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3-X LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-5 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-6 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-X LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The Radian Mortgage Capital Trust 2025-J2 is expected to close on
June 16, 2025. The notes are supported by 435 prime loans with a
total balance of approximately $401.1 million as of the cutoff
date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.8% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices). Housing affordability is currently the worse it has been
in decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices had increased 2.9% yoy nationally as of
February 2025, notwithstanding modest regional declines, but are
still being supported by limited inventory.
High Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
30-year, fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) fully amortizing loans seasoned
at approximately four months in aggregate, calculated by Fitch as
the difference between the cutoff date and the origination date.
The average loan balance is $922,101. The collateral primarily
comprises 74.6% prime-jumbo loans, followed by 184
agency-conforming loans accounting for 25.4% of the unpaid
principal balance (UPB).
Borrowers in this pool have strong credit profiles (a 774 average
model FICO as calculated by Fitch), in line with comparable
prime-jumbo securitizations. The sustainable loan-to-value ratio
(sLTV) is 83.2%, and the mark-to-market (MTM) combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) is 73.1%. Fitch treated approximately
100% of the loans as full documentation collateral, and 100% of the
loans are qualified mortgages (QMs).
Of the pool, 95.6% are loans for which the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 4.4% are for second homes. Additionally,
69.9% of the loans were originated through a retail channel.
Expected losses in the 'AAAsf' stress amount to 7.00%, similar to
those of other comparable prime-jumbo shelves.
Shifting-Interest Structure (Mixed): The mortgage cash flow and
loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure whereby the subordinate classes receive
only scheduled principal and are locked out from receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. The lockout
feature helps maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained. Due to the
leakage to the subordinate bonds, the shifting-interest structure
requires more CE. While there is only minimal leakage to the
subordinate bonds early in the life of the transaction, the
structure is more vulnerable to defaults at a later stage compared
with a sequential or modified-sequential structure.
To help mitigate tail risk, which arises as the pool seasons and
fewer loans are outstanding, a subordination floor of 1.95% of the
original balance will be maintained for the senior notes and
subordinate notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.7% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. A 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
class, excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC, Canopy, Incenter, Opus and Phoenix. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance and property valuation review. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, made the following
adjustment to its analysis: a 5% credit was given at the loan level
for each loan where satisfactory due diligence was completed. This
adjustment resulted in a 31-bps reduction to the 'AAA' expected
loss.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ROCKFORD TOWER 2022-2: Fitch Affirms BB+sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings on the class B-R, C-R, D-R
and E-R notes of Rockford Tower CLO 2022-2, Ltd. (Rockford Tower
2022-2). The Rating Outlook has been revised to Negative from
Stable on class E-R notes. The Outlook remains Stable for all the
other rated tranches.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Rockford Tower
CLO 2022-2, Ltd.
B-R 77340LAQ3 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C-R 77340LAR1 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D-R 77340LAS9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E-R 77340NAG1 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
Transaction Summary
Rockford Tower 2022-2 is a broadly syndicated loan collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by Rockford Tower Capital
Management, L.L.C., an affiliate of King Street Capital Management
LP. The transaction originally closed in July 2022, underwent a
full refinancing in October 2023 and will exit its reinvestment
period in October 2027.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Cumulative Par Losses, Declining Spread and Recovery
The Negative Outlook on the class E-R notes is driven by cumulative
portfolio par losses increasing to 1.8% from 0.9% at the time of
last review in June 2024, based on the collateral balance adjusted
for trustee-reported recovery amounts on defaulted assets in April
2025. Portfolio losses stemmed from defaults and sale of distressed
issuers, resulting in lower credit enhancement (CE) levels and
overcollateralization test cushions for the rated notes.
In addition, the weighted average spread (WAS) declined to 3.30%
from 3.62% and the weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of the
portfolio has decreased to 73.1% from 75.0%. Furthermore, weighted
average life of the portfolio increased to 4.9 from 4.7 years.
Credit quality of the portfolio has slightly deteriorated, as Fitch
weighted average rating factor (WARF) decreased to 24.3 (B/B-) from
24.15 (B/B-), while exposure to assets on Fitch's CLO watchlist
dropped to 8.3% from 9.7%.
Updated Cash Flow Analysis
Based on these key rating drivers, breakeven default rate (BEDR)
cushions had decreased on the rated notes since last review. As a
result, Fitch conducted an updated cash flow analysis on the
current portfolio. For the class C-R and D-R notes, Fitch conducted
an updated cash flow analysis based on newly run Fitch Stressed
Portfolio (FSP) since the classes were passing higher than their
current ratings in the current portfolio analysis. The FSP analysis
stressed the current portfolio to account for permissible
concentration and collateral quality test (CQT) limits and was
updated to stress weighted average life to 6.0 years.
The rating actions on the class B-R, C-R, and D-R are in line with
their model-implied ratings. The class E-R rating is two notches
above its model-implied rating, with the worst modelling results
confined to a limited number of scenarios. The Negative Outlook on
the class E-R is driven by its sensitivity to additional par losses
and/or portfolio deterioration when considering the modelling
results.
The Stable Outlooks on the class B-R, C-R, and D-R reflect Fitch's
expectation that the notes have sufficient level of credit
protection to withstand potential deterioration in the credit
quality of the portfolio in stress scenarios commensurate with each
class rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades may occur if realized and projected losses of the
portfolio are higher than what was assumed at closing and the
notes' CE do not compensate for the higher loss expectation than
initially assumed.
- A 25% increase of the mean default rate across all ratings, along
with a 25% decrease of the recovery rate at all rating levels for
the current portfolio, would lead to a downgrade of three rating
notches for the Class B-R and D-R notes, two notches for the class
C-R notes, and at least six notches for the class E-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades may occur in the event of better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and transaction performance;
- A 25% reduction of the mean default rate across all ratings,
along with a 25% increase of the recovery rate at all rating levels
for the current portfolio, would lead to upgrades of up to one
rating notch for the class B-R notes, three notches for the class
E-R notes, four notches for the class C-R notes, and five notches
for the class D-R notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Rockford Tower CLO
2022-2, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
SMB PRIVATE 2024-D: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
securities included in five SMB Private Education Loan Trust
Transactions.
SMB Private Education Loan Trust 2024-D
-- Class A-1A Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class A-1B Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes A (low)(sf) Confirmed
-- Class D Notes BBB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class E Notes BB(sf) Confirmed
The credit rating confirmations are based on the following
analytical considerations:
-- Transaction capital structure, current credit ratings, and
sufficient cash flow from the underlying trusts.
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the
Morningstar DBRS-expected default and loss severity assumptions
under various stress scenarios. Credit enhancement in the form of
overcollateralization, reserve account, and excess spread with
senior notes benefiting from subordination provided by the junior
notes.
-- Collateral performance is within expectations with no triggers
in effect. Forbearance, deferment, and delinquency levels remain
stable.
-- The transactions parties' capabilities with respect to
origination, underwriting, and servicing.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
TOWD POINT 2025-CES1: DBRS Confirms Provisional B(low) on B2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed provisional credit ratings on the following
Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2025-CES1 (the Notes) to be issued
by Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2025-CES1 (TPMT 2025-CES1 or the
Trust):
-- $313.9 million Class A1 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2 at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2A at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2B at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1 at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B2 at (P) B (low) (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2AX at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2B at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2BX at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2C at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2CX at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2D at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2DX at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1A at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1AX at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1B at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1BX at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1C at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1CX at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1D at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1DX at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AA at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AAX at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AB at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ABX at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AC at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ACX at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AD at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ADX at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BA at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BAX at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BB at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BBX at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BC at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BCX at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BD at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BDX at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
The (P) AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 19.65% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The (P) AA (low)
(sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB (low) (sf), and
(P) B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 14.55%, 10.60%, 7.55%,
4.60%, and 2.85% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
TPMT 2025-CES1 is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime
and near-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Asset-Backed Securities, Series
2025-CES1 (the Notes). The Notes are backed by 5,100 mortgage loans
with a total principal balance of $429,139,932 as of the Cut-Off
Date.
Morningstar DBRS originally published a presale report for this
transaction on March 31, 2025. Subsequent to publication, the
Cut-Off Date was moved to May 1, 2025, the mortgage loan balances
were consequently updated, 158 loans were dropped, and the Note
balances and the transaction's capital structure were updated. The
Sponsor requested an updated Presale report to reflect these
updates.
The portfolio, on average, is 11 months seasoned, though seasoning
ranges from three to 34 months. Borrowers in the pool represent
prime and near-prime credit quality with a weighted-average (WA)
Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 733, a Morningstar
DBRS-calculated original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of
74.4%, and are 100.0% originated with Issuer-defined full
documentation. All the loans are current and 98.6% of the mortgage
pool has been clean for the last 24 months or since origination.
TPMT 2025-CES1 represents the ninth CES securitization by FirstKey
Mortgage, LLC and second by CRM 2 Sponsor, LLC. Spring EQ, LLC
(Spring EQ; 65.0%), Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr. Cooper
(Nationstar; 17.6%), and Rocket Mortgage, LLC (Rocket; 17.3%) are
the originators for the mortgage pool.
Newrez, LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint;
65.0%), Nationstar, and Rocket are the Servicers of the loans in
this transaction.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Indenture
Trustee, Administrative Trustee and Administrator. U.S. Bank
National Association (rated AA with a Stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) and Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with
a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Custodians.
CRM 2 Sponsor, LLC (CRM) will acquire the loans from various
transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring trusts
acquired the mortgage loans from the Originators. CRM and the
transferring trusts are beneficially owned by funds managed by
affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. Upon acquiring the
loans from the transferring trusts, CRM will transfer the loans to
CRM 2 Depositor, LLC (the Depositor). The Depositor in turn will
transfer the loans to Towd Point Mortgage Grantor Trust 2025-CES1
(the Grantor Trust). The Grantor Trust will issue two classes of
certificates: P&I Grantor Trust Certificate and IO Grantor Trust
Certificate. The Grantor Trust certificates will be issued in the
name of the Issuer. The Issuer will pledge P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate with the Indenture Trustee and will be the primary
asset of the Trust. As a Sponsor, CRM, through one or more
majority-owned affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible
vertical interest in each class of securities to be issued (other
than any residual certificates) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB) Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules,
they were made to borrowers who generally do not qualify for
agency, government, or private-label nonagency prime jumbo products
for various reasons. In accordance with the Qualified Mortgage
(QM)/ATR rules, 24.1% of the loans are designated as non-QM, 24.9%
are designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption, and 48.5% are
designated as QM Safe Harbor. Approximately 2.6% of the mortgages
are loans made to investors for business purposes and were not
subject to the QM/ATR rules.
The Servicers (except servicers servicing the Scheduled Serviced
Mortgage Loans) will generally fund advances of delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) on any mortgage until such loan
becomes 60 days delinquent under the Office of Thrift Supervision
(OTS) delinquency method (equivalent to 90 days delinquent under
the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method),
contingent upon recoverability determination. However, the Servicer
will stop advancing delinquent P&I if the aggregate amount of
unreimbursed P&I advances owed to a Servicer exceeds 95.0% of the
amounts on deposit in the custodial account maintained by such
Servicer. In addition, the related servicer is obligated to make
advances in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and
insurance, installment payments on energy improvement liens, and
reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing of properties unless a determination is made that
there will be material recoveries.
For this transaction, any loan that is 150 days delinquent under
the OTS delinquency method (equivalent to 180 days delinquent under
the MBA delinquency method), upon review by the related Servicer,
may be considered a Charged Off Loan. With respect to a Charged Off
Loan, the total unpaid principal balance (UPB) will be considered a
realized loss and will be allocated reverse sequentially to the
Noteholders. If there are any subsequent recoveries for such
Charged Off Loans, the recoveries will be included in the principal
remittance amount and applied in accordance with the principal
distribution waterfall; in addition, any class principal balances
of Notes that have been previously reduced by allocation of such
realized losses may be increased by such recoveries sequentially in
order of seniority. Morningstar DBRS' analysis assumes reduced
recoveries upon default on loans in this pool.
This transaction incorporates a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class M1
and subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1 and A2 Notes are retired.
The Sponsor will have the option, but not the obligation, to
repurchase any mortgage loan that becomes 30 or more days
delinquent within 90 days of the Closing Date at the repurchase
price (par plus interest), provided that such repurchases in
aggregate do not exceed 10% of the total principal balance as of
the Cut-Off Date.
On or after (1) the payment date in May 2028 or (2) the first
payment date when the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans
(other than the Charged Off Loans and the REO properties) is
reduced to less than 30.0% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate so long as the aggregate proceeds from such purchase
exceeds the minimum price (Optional Redemption). Minimum price will
at least equal sum of (A) class balances of the Notes plus the
accrued interest and unpaid interest, (B) any fees, expenses and
indemnification amounts, and (C) accrued and unpaid amounts owed to
the Class X Certificates minus the Class AX distributable amount.
On or after the first payment date on which the aggregate pool
balance of the mortgage loans and the REO properties is less than
10% of the aggregate pool balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate at the minimum price (Clean-Up Call).
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TRICOLOR AUTO 2025-2: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB' Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Tricolor
Auto Securitization Trust 2025-2's automobile receivables-backed
notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 4,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of approximately 52.4%, 41.8%, 37.6%, 31.7%,
26.7%, and 23.3% credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes,
respectively, based on stressed cash flows. These credit support
levels provide at least 2.60x, 2.00x, 1.85x, 1.55x, 1.30x, and
1.15x coverage of our expected cumulative net loss of 20.00% for
the class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.55x S&P's expected net loss level), all else being equal, our
preliminary 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'A- (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', 'BB (sf)',
and 'B (sf)' ratings on the class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes,
respectively, are within our credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral,
and our updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of
the auto finance sector.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Tricolor Auto Acceptance
LLC (Tricolor) as servicer, and its view of the company's
servicing, underwriting, and backup servicing arrangement with
Vervent Inc. The operational risk assessment--specifically with
regard to Tricolor's recent rapid growth, limited collateral
performance over this growth timeframe, and niche lending
market--constrains the ratings at 'AA (sf)'.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wilmington Trust N.A., which do
not constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors that are in
line with our sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Tricolor Auto Securitization Trust 2025-2
Class A, $131.09 million: AA (sf)
Class B, $27.12 million: A (sf)
Class C, $13.95 million: A- (sf)
Class D, $17.11 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $10.27 million: BB
Class F, $17.64 million: B
TRINITAS CLO XXVI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, D-R, and E-R debt and new class F-R debt
from Trinitas CLO XXVI Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVI LLC, a CLO originally
issued in January 2024 that is managed by Trinitas Capital
Management LLC.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The original class C debt was split into two classes, a
floating-rate class C-1-R and a fixed-rate class C-2-R, with an
aggregate principal balance equal to that of the original class C
debt.
--New class F-R debt was issued in connection with this
refinancing, and it is most junior class in the capital structure.
-- The non-call period for the refinancing debt was extended to
June 3, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to July 20, 2030, and the
legal final maturity date is extended to July 20, 2038.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXVI Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVI LLC
Class A-R, $310.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $70.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $25.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $5.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16.25 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $4.95 million: B- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Trinitas CLO XXVI Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVI LLC
Class A-1 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class D to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to not rated from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Trinitas CLO XXVI Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVI LLC
Subordinated notes, $42.95 million: Not rated
TROPIC CDO V: Moody's Ups Rating on $51MM Class A-2L Notes to Ba2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Tropic CDO V Ltd.:
US$220,000,000 Class A-1L1 Floating Rate Notes due July 2036
(current balance $58,064,780.90), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously
on January 14, 2020 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$220,000,000 Class A-1L2 Floating Rate Notes due July 2036
(current balance $87,507,548.01), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously
on January 14, 2020 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
US$94,000,000 Class A-1LB Floating Rate Notes due July 2036,
Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on January 14, 2020 Upgraded to A3
(sf)
US$51,000,000 Class A-2L Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due July
2036, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on January 14, 2020 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Tropic CDO V Ltd., issued in August 2006, is a collateralized debt
obligation (CDO) backed mainly by a portfolio of bank, REIT and
insurance trust preferred securities (TruPS).
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily a result of the ongoing
deleveraging of the Class A-1L1 and Class A-1L2 notes, and the
resulting increase in the transaction's over-collateralization (OC)
ratios.
The Class A-1L1 and Class A-1L2 notes have paid down by
approximately 1.4% or $0.8 million and 0.8% or $0.7 million,
respectively, since May 2024, using proceeds from defaulted
recoveries. Based on Moody's calculations, the OC ratios for the
combined Class A-1L1 and Class A-1L2 notes, for the Class A-1LB
notes, and for the Class A-2L notes have improved to 235.66%,
143.20% and 118.06%, respectively, from May 2024 levels of 233.96%,
142.72% and 117.80%, respectively. The Class A-1L1 and Class A-1L2
will continue to benefit from the use of principal proceeds from
any assets in the collateral pool.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodologies and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $343.1 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $176.5 million
Weighted average default probability: 8.65% (implying a WARF of
976)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 10.0%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios include, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
No actions were taken on the Class A-3L, Class A-3F, Class B-1L and
Class B-2L notes because their expected losses remain commensurate
with their current ratings, after taking into account the CDO's
latest portfolio information, its relevant structural features and
its actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assess through
credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit estimates.
Because these are not public ratings, they are subject to
additional estimation uncertainty.
TX TRUST 2024-HOU: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-HOU
issued TX Trust 2024-HOU (TX 2024-HOU or the Trust) as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the transaction in the relatively short time since closing in June
2024. The transaction is secured by the borrower's fee-simple
interest in the Marriott Marquis Houston, a full-service hotel
located in Houston's central business district, built in 2016. The
collateral consists of 1,000 keys and offers a wide range of
amenities, including a fitness center, a rooftop terrace with
cabanas, and a 5,000-square foot (sf) spa, among others. The
property is connected to the George R. Brown Convention Center via
skybridge, which drives additional demand to the collateral.
Additionally, the subject is close to stadiums for three major
Houston sports teams, which collectively host nearly 200 sporting
events and concerts annually.
The subject transaction comprises an interest-only (IO),
floating-rate loan of $325 million that was used to repay
approximately $319.9 million of existing debt and fund closing
costs of approximately $5 million. The loan has an initial two-year
term and three one-year extension options available. To exercise
the extension options, the borrower is required to obtain an
interest rate cap with a maximum strike rate of 6.0% for the
initial loan term and the greater of 6.0% and the rate that results
in a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.10 times (x). The loan
is sponsored by an affiliate of RIDA Development Corporation
(RIDA), well known for its extensive experience with convention
hotels.
The sponsor has shown its commitment to the property by purchasing
its private equity development partner's approximate 45% stake in
the hotel in September 2019 as well as carrying the hotel through
the pandemic. Additionally, the sponsor invested approximately $1.2
million in capital improvements following the hotel's development
in 2016. Morningstar DBRS also noted at issuance the sponsor's
elective capital improvement plan in the summer of 2025. The
renovations are expected to include upgrades to the soft goods and
painting the walls for all 1,000 rooms, based on an anticipated at
issuance budget of $13.9 million.
According to YE2024 financial reporting, the collateral reported a
net cash flow (NCF) of $44.6 million, resulting in a DSCR of 1.63x
compared with the issuer's underwritten figure of $41.5 million
(DSCR of 1.61x) and Morningstar DBRS' figure of $34.4 million (DSCR
of 1.22x). The increase in NCF above issuance expectations is
primarily driven by lower operating expenses compared with the
Morningstar DBRS concluded figure at issuance. In particular,
Morningstar DBRS did not give credit to the state tax rebate
through December 2026 in its NCF, instead opting to add the net
present value of the projected payments to the Morningstar DBRS
value. Per the February 2025 STR report, the collateral's occupancy
rate, average daily rate, and revenue per available room for the
trailing 12-month period through February 28, 2025, were 65.5%,
$265, and $174, respectively, which are in line with Morningstar
DBRS' issuance figures of 67.0%, $252, and $169, respectively.
For the purposes of this credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS
maintained the valuation approach from issuance, which was based on
a capitalization rate of 8.5% applied to the Morningstar DBRS NCF
noted above. To account for the state tax rebate through December
2026, Morningstar DBRS added the net present value of the rebate,
totaling $14.8 million, to the derived value, resulting in a
Morningstar DBRS Value of $419.5 million. The resulting value
represents a variance of -26.1% from the issuance appraised value
of $567.3 million and implies a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 77.5%.
In addition, Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative
adjustments of 6.5% to the LTV sizing benchmarks to reflect the
high property quality, its strong performance, and its location
near several notable demand drivers. Overall, Morningstar DBRS has
a favorable outlook on the transaction throughout the fully
extended loan term given the property's stable performance and its
high-demand location.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
UBSCM 2018-NYCH: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2018-NYCH issued by UBSCM
2018-NYCH Mortgage Trust (the Trust) as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at A (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the underlying hotel portfolio since Morningstar
DBRS' previous credit rating action in June 2024. Since that time,
the loan transferred to special servicing in August 2024 ahead of
its November 2024 maturity date due to imminent maturity default.
The loan was subsequently extended three months to February 2025 to
allow the borrower additional time to market the property for the
sale. As part of the modification, the borrower paid the loan down
by $5.0 million, marking the third modification since 2021.
Cumulatively, the loan modifications resulted in a principal
repayment of $25.0 million. According to the servicer, the loan is
under contract for sale to a third party; however, the borrower
requested additional time to close on the sale. The special
servicer granted the borrower an additional 90-day forbearance to
May 2025 subject to the borrower curing outstanding interest,
including default interest from loan maturity through the payoff
date, and a $250,000 forbearance fee. Morningstar DBRS expects that
the borrower will likely request an additional short-term extension
to the forbearance period as the sale date appears to have been
delayed. If talks between the sponsor and the servicer break down
completely and the Trust ultimately undertakes a liquidation of the
portfolio, Morningstar DBRS expects that the rated classes in the
transaction would be insulated from losses with a cushion of
approximately $35.0 million in the unrated Classes H and HRR,
supporting the credit rating confirmations and Stable trends.
The subject transaction comprises an interest-only (IO),
floating-rate loan, collateralized by the borrower's fee-simple
interest in seven limited-service and extended-stay hotels in New
York City, totaling 1,087 rooms. As of the April 2025 remittance,
the Trust has a balance of $275.0 million representing a collateral
reduction of 8.3% since issuance. There have been no hotel property
releases to date. Additional debt held outside the Trust includes a
subordinated mezzanine loan totaling $85.0 million.
The seven hotels are in Manhattan submarkets that typically have
active lodging demand: Times Square (three hotels), the Financial
District (two hotels), and Chelsea (one hotel) and Herald Square
(one hotel) submarkets. The midmarket hotels are flagged with
well-known brands including Hampton Inn (three hotels), Holiday Inn
Express (two hotels), Holiday Inn (one hotel), and Candlewood
Suites (one hotel). At issuance, occupancy rates at the properties
ranged from 90.0% to 95.0% with average daily rates (ADRs) ranging
from $198 to $229 per room. The previous sponsor invested $15.2
million ($13,983 per room) to undergo a portfolio-wide property
improvement plan prior to issuance. As of the April 2025 reporting,
approximately $14.6 million was held across capital improvement and
other reserve accounts.
According to the March 2025 STR, Inc. reports, the portfolio
reported weighted-average (WA) occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR figures
of 85.6%, $226, and $194 in the trailing 12-month period (T-12)
ended February 2025, respectively, compared with figures of 82.2%,
$225, and $185, respectively, for the YE2024 figures. According to
the most recent financials, the net cash flow (NCF) for the T-12
period ended November 30, 2024, was $25.1 million with a debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.26 times (x) compared with $25.5
million at YE2023 with a DSCR of 1.07x.
Given the collateral's relatively stable performance, Morningstar
DBRS maintained the value of $293.6 million derived in 2024,
representing a 22.7% decline from the October 2024 appraised value
of $380.0 million and a 49.4% decline from the appraised value of
$580.7 million at issuance. The value was based on Morningstar
DBRS' NCF of $25.0 million, derived from a 2.0% haircut to the
YE2023 NCF, and a Morningstar DBRS capitalization rate of 8.5%. The
Morningstar DBRS Value reflects a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of
93.7% across the senior debt and a whole-loan LTV of 122.6%,
including an $85.0 million mezzanine loan held outside the Trust.
Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative adjustments
totaling 0.5% to account for generally high cash flow volatility
and healthy market fundamentals. The Morningstar DBRS Value of
$293.6 million represents a slight decline from the 2018
Morningstar DBRS Value of $313.7 million when the credit ratings
were assigned; principal paydown of $25.0 million associated from
prior maturity extensions granted by the special servicer offset
the value decline.
As a test of the durability of the credit ratings, given the
uncertainty associated with the transfer to special servicing,
Morningstar DBRS conducted a hypothetical liquidation scenario
based on the updated Morningstar DBRS Value derived in June 2024.
The liquidation scenario factors in current outstanding advances,
projected future advances, and on-hand reserves. Morningstar DBRS'
analysis suggests that the transaction is insulated from loss;
however, if the sale falls through or the property is subject to
future value declines, the Morningstar DBRS-rated certificates have
an additional cushion of $35.0 million in the unrated Class H and
HRR certificates.
The credit rating on Class D is lower than the result suggested by
Morningstar DBRS' LTV Sizing Benchmarks. The variance is warranted
given the uncertain loan-level event risk. While recent performance
remains in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations at the last
review, the subject loan is now past due its fully extended
maturity date of February 2025 and past its 90-day forbearance
period of May 2025.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
VENTURE 47: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A1R, AJR, BR, CR, and DR debt from Venture 47 CLO Ltd./Venture 47
CLO LLC, a CLO managed by MJX Asset Management LLC. that was
originally issued in March 2023. At the same time, S&P withdrew our
ratings on the original class A-1, A-J, B, C, D1, and DF debt
following payment in full on the May 30, 2025, refinancing date.
S&P also affirmed its rating on the class E debt, which was not
refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to May 30, 2026.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes were not extended.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the May 30, 2025,
refinancing date. There is no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
July 20, 2025.
-- The original class D1 and DF debt are combined into the new
class DR debt.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A1R, $240.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.50%
-- Class AJR, $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.75%
-- Class BR, $44.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.05%
-- Class CR (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.55%
-- Class DR (deferrable), $22.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.90%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $240.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.92%
-- Class A-J, $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.30%
-- Class B, $44.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.65%
-- Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.75%
-- Class D1 (deferrable), $17.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.57%
-- Class DF (deferrable), $5.00 million: 9.973%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Venture 47 CLO Ltd./Venture 47 CLO LLC
Class A1R, $240.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class AJR, $20.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class BR, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class CR (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class DR (deferrable), $22.00 million: BBB (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Venture 47 CLO Ltd./Venture 47 CLO LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-J to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D1 to NR from 'BBB (sf)'
Class DF to NR from 'BBB (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Venture 47 CLO Ltd./Venture 47 CLO LLC
Class E: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Venture 47 CLO Ltd./Venture 47 CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $29.45 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
VMC FINANCE 2025-PV2: Fitch Gives 'B-sf' Rating on Class G Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has published ratings and Rating Outlooks for the VMC
Finance 2025-PV2 LLC (VMC 2025-PV2) notes as follows:
- $549,596,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $96,916,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $72,380,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $60,112,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $39,257,000a class D 'BBBsf';
- $18,402,000a class E 'BBB-sf';
- $40,483,000b,c class F 'BB-sf';
- $26,990,000b,c class G 'B-sf'.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $77,287,118b,c class H.
(a) Pursuant to Rule 144A
(b) Non-Offered notes
(c) Retained notes
Transaction Summary
The notes represent the beneficial interest in VMC Finance 2025-PV2
LLC (the issuer), the primary assets of which are 20 loans secured
by 40 commercial and/or multifamily properties having an aggregate
principal balance of $981,423,119 as of the cut-off date, including
one delayed-close loan with a principal balance of $28.3 million.
The aggregate principal balance does not include $33.4 million of
future funding.
The loans were contributed to the issuer by VMC CRE Master Lending
Sub REIT LLC. Trimont LLC is the servicer and special servicer. The
trustee is Wilmington Trust, National Association, the advancing
agent is VMC REIT, and the note administrator is Computershare
Trust Company, National Association. The notes will follow a
sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analysis on 11 loans
totaling 62.2% of the pool by balance. Fitch's resulting NCF of
$44.0 million represents a 7.9% decline from the issuer's
underwritten NCF of $47.8 million, excluding loans for which Fitch
conducted an alternate value analysis.
Lower Fitch Leverage: The pool has a lower leverage compared to
recent CRE CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 137.7% is lower than the 2025 YTD
CRE-CLO average and 2024 CRE CLO average of 137.9% and 140.7%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 6.9% is
higher than the 2025 YTD CRE-CLO and 2024 CRE CLO average of 6.6%
and 6.5%, respectively.
Higher Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated compared
to recently rated Fitch CRE-CLO transactions. The top 10 loans in
the pool make up 74.1% of the pool, which is higher than the 2025
YTD CRE-CLO average and 2024 CRE CLO average of 60.5% and 70.5%,
respectively. Fitch measures loan concentration risk with an
effective loan count, which accounts for both the number and size
of loans in the pool. The pool's effective loan count is 16.2.
Fitch views diversity as a key mitigator to idiosyncratic risk.
Fitch raises the overall loss for pools with effective loan counts
below 40.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at the end of
the fully extended loan term, the pool will pay down by 0.1%, which
is worse than the 2025 YTD CRE-CLO average and 2024 CRE CLO average
of 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively. IO loans make up 95.0% of the pool,
which is worse than the 2025 YTD CRE-CLO average and 2024 CRE CLO
average of 90.9% and 56.8%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/lower
than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
In accordance with Fitch's U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS
criteria, Fitch modeled different stress scenarios using the Global
Cash Flow model as a tool. These stresses include different
interest rate, default and default timing scenarios. The default
rates in the stressed scenarios did not exceed the available credit
enhancement in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
VOYA CLO 2014-2: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on $23MM Cl. D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Voya CLO 2014-2, Ltd.:
US$33.6M Class C-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to A1
(sf); previously on Oct 14, 2024 Upgraded to A3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$331M (Current outstanding amount US$1,325,682) Class A-1-RR
Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2020
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$44M Class A-2a-RR Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$15M Class A-2b-RR Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Aug 4, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$27.6M Class B-RR Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Oct 14, 2024 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$23M Class D-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed B1 (sf);
previously on Oct 2, 2020 Downgraded to B1 (sf)
US$9.5M Class E-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Caa3
(sf); previously on Aug 4, 2023 Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Voya CLO 2014-2, Ltd., originally issued in June 2014, refinanced
in April 2017, and partially refinanced in March 2020, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO). The notes are collateralized
primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. The portfolio is managed by Voya Alternative Asset
Management LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in
April 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C-R notes is primarily a result of
the deleveraging of the Class A-1-RR notes following amortisation
of the underlying portfolio since the last rating action in October
2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-RR, A-2a-RR,
A-2b-RR, B-RR, D-R and E-R notes are primarily a result of the
expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-RR notes have paid down by approximately USD67.1
million (20.3% of original balance) since the last rating action in
October 2024 and USD329.7 million (99.6%) since closing. As a
result of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has
increased. According to the trustee report dated April 2025[1] the
Class A, Class B, Class C and Class D OC ratios are reported at
252.22%, 173.05%, 125.20% and 105.28% compared to August 2024[2]
levels of 175.52%, 141.80%, 116.54% and 103.87%, respectively.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD159.3m
Defaulted Securities: USD1.85m
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3259
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.16 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.38%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.85%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 4.75%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Recoveries higher
than Moody's expectations would have a positive impact on the
notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
VOYA CLO 2015-1: Moody's Affirms Ca Rating on $13MM Cl. E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Voya CLO 2015-1, Ltd.:
US$26M Class D-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Upgraded to Baa3
(sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$30.25M (Current outstanding amount US$26.24M) Class C-R
Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on
Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$13M Class E-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Ca (sf);
previously on Aug 8, 2024 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Voya CLO 2015-1, Ltd., issued in April 2015, is a collateralised
loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield
senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed by Voya
Alternative Asset Management LLC. The transaction's reinvestment
period ended in January 2021.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrade on the Class D-R notes is primarily a result of
the deleveraging of the senior notes following amortisation of the
underlying portfolio since the last rating action in August 2024.
The affirmations of the ratings on the Class C-R and E-R notes are
primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes remaining
consistent with their current rating levels, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation (OC) ratios.
Since the last rating action in August 2024, the Class A-2-R and
B-R notes have been repaid in full and the Class C-R notes have
been paid down by approximately USD4 million (13.2%). As a result
of the deleveraging, OC has increased. According to the trustee
report dated April 2025 [1] the Class C and Class D OC ratios are
reported at 230.5% and 115.8% compared to July 2024 [2] levels, on
which the last rating action was based, of 129.1% and 106.7%,
respectively.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD64,559,611
Defaulted Securities: USD2,465,324
Diversity Score: 27
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3578
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.65 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.55%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.4%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 7.25%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity,
the liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of
the asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags
that of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
WELLS FARGO 2015-C31: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class XD Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-C31
issued by Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-C31 as
follows:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class PEX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class X-D at B (sf)
-- Class D at B (low) (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes B, C, D, X-B, X-D,
and PEX to Stable from Negative. The trend on Classes A-3, A-4,
A-SB, A-S, and X-A remains Stable. There are no trends for Classes
E and F, which are assigned credit ratings that do not typically
carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating confirmations reflect Morningstar DBRS' loss
projections for the loans in special servicing, which remain
contained to the Class E certificate, which is already at a C (sf)
credit rating. As of the May 2025 remittance, there is a total of
four specially serviced loans, representing 18.3% of the current
pool balance. All of the specially serviced loans were analyzed
with liquidation scenarios, with cumulative projected losses
totaling nearly $60 million. The projected losses will erode only
10% of the outstanding principal in the Class E certificate,
supporting the credit rating confirmations.
At the last review, the trends were changed to Negative on Classes
B, C, D, X-B, X-D, and PEX to reflect the increased pool expected
losses (EL) and Morningstar DBRS' concerns regarding increased
default risk as the pool neared its maturity year. For this review,
the trend changes to Stable from Negative reflect the repayment of
several loans, including a loan that had an EL significantly higher
than the pool average, decreasing the pool EL for this review. With
this review, Morningstar DBRS identified five performing loans,
representing 9.9% of the pool, that exhibit elevated refinance risk
given performance concerns and weaker credit metrics. The
weighted-average (WA) EL for these loans is more than 135% greater
than the WA EL for the pool. Morningstar DBRS maintained and
updated stressed loan-to-value ratios and/or elevated probabilities
of default for these loans to reflect the elevated risk in the pool
EL. In addition, updated appraisals for CityPlace I (Prospectus
ID#3, 6.3% of the current pool balance) and Patrick Henry Mall
(Prospectus ID#7, 3.0% of the current pool balance) were received
that exceeded the Morningstar DBRS expectations at the last credit
rating action, decreasing the cumulative projected losses from the
liquidation scenarios for this review further supporting the change
in trends to Stable from Negative.
As of the May 2025 remittance, 87 of the original 102 loans remain
outstanding with a pool balance of $716.5 million, representing a
collateral reduction of 27.5% since issuance. There are 57 loans on
the servicer's watchlist, representing 63.8% of the pool balance,
eight of these are being monitored for performance-related
concerns, while the rest are flagged for upcoming maturities. The
pool also benefits from a favorable property type concentration
with loans backed by retail properties accounting for 27.8% of the
pool, while office properties account for only 13.8% of the pool
balance.
The largest loan in special servicing and largest contributor to
Morningstar DBRS' liquidated loss projections is the Sheraton
Lincoln Harbor Hotel (Prospectus ID#2, 8.2% of the current pool
balance). The loan is secured by a 358-room, full-service hotel in
Weehawken, New Jersey. The loan has a non-controlling pari passu
piece in the CSAIL 2016-C5 transaction, which is also rated by
Morningstar DBRS. The loan transferred to the special servicer in
January 2021 for payment default and was subsequently foreclosed
upon in March 2021 with a receiver appointed in April 2021. More
recently, a purchase and sale agreement has been executed between
the receiver and potential buyer with an anticipated closing date
in the third quarter of 2025, ahead of its October 2025 maturity.
Performance has improved since the receiver took possession, with
the February 2025 STR reporting a trailing 12-month (T-12)
occupancy, average daily rate (ADR), and revenue per available room
(RevPAR) figures of 90.4%, $200.15, and $180.97, respectively, with
a RevPAR penetration rate of 96.8%. For comparison, the March 2024
STR reported T-12 occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR figures of 90.0%,
$189.75, and $170.77, respectively. The subject received an updated
appraisal dated June 2024, which valued the property at $82.6
million, remaining in line with the June 2023 appraisal of $80.5
million, but ultimately well below the issuance value of $128.0
million. In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS
liquidated the loan from the trust based on a 25% haircut to the
most recent appraised value in addition to including the
outstanding advances and expected servicer expenses, which totaled
nearly $15.7 million, resulting in an implied loss nearing 50.0%,
or approximately $27.9 million.
The second-largest loan in special servicing is CityPlace I, which
is secured by a 39-story, Class A office property totaling 884,366
square feet (sf), in downtown Hartford, Connecticut. The loan
transferred to special servicing in October 2023 for imminent
monetary default after the borrower indicated it would no longer be
funding operating shortfalls. According to the most recent servicer
commentary, the subject is generating interest from local
developers interested in purchasing the asset. The lender has
ordered an updated appraisal and has received proposals from CBRE
and Marcus & Millichap for sales broker services. According to the
most recent reporting, the property was 47.6% occupied as of
September 2024, compared to 49.6% YE2023 and 86.0% YE2022. The
significant drop in occupancy is attributable to the former largest
tenant, UnitedHealthcare Services Inc, downsizing to 57,628 sf at
its lease renewal in July 2023 from 377,624 sf. Backfilling vacant
space will be a challenge given the subject's location in a
softening office submarket, which according to Reis has reported
vacancy rates in excess of 20.0% since 2022. An appraisal dated
August 2024 valued the property at $64.0 million, representing a
decline of 44.1% from the issuance value of $114.5 million. In the
analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan from
the trust based on a 25% haircut to the appraised value in addition
to including the outstanding advances and expected servicer
expenses, which totaled approximately $3.5 million. This analysis
suggested a loss severity approaching 50.0%, or approximately $21.3
million.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2015-SG1: DBRS Cuts Class D Certs Rating to B
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on four classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-SG1
issued by Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-SG1 as
follows:
-- Class D to B (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class X-E to C (sf) from B (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
following classes:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class PEX at A (low) (sf)
The trend on Class D remains Negative. There is no trend on Classes
E, F, and X-E, as these classes have a credit rating that does not
typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities
(CMBS) credit ratings. The trends on all remaining classes are
Stable.
At the previous credit rating action in June 2024, Morningstar DBRS
changed the trends on Classes D, E, and X-E to Negative from Stable
because of increased concerns about several loans, including three
specially serviced loans and eight loans that were identified as
being at increased risk for maturity default. Since that time, two
specially serviced loans have been disposed from the pool with
losses in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations and three new
loans have transferred to special servicing, bringing the special
servicing concentration to 26.3% as of the April 2025 reporting.
In the analysis for the subject credit rating action, Morningstar
DBRS liquidated four of the five specially serviced loans,
resulting in aggregate liquidated losses of $40.1 million, which
would fully wipe out the balances of Classes F and G and would
erode the majority of the balance of Class E. In addition, there
are four loans (representing 7.4% of the pool) that Morningstar
DBRS identified as having increased risk of maturity default given
recent performance challenges, weakening submarket fundamentals,
and unfavorable lending conditions for certain property types. For
the loans with elevated refinance risk, Morningstar DBRS applied an
elevated probability of default penalty and/or a stressed
loan-to-value ratio in the analysis for this review. Should these
or other loans default, or should performance for specially
serviced loans deteriorate further, Morningstar DBRS' projected
losses for the pool could increase, further supporting the credit
rating downgrade and Negative trend on Class D.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends on Classes A-4,
A-S, X-A, B, C, and PEX reflect the overall stable performance for
the majority of the underlying collateral, as exhibited by a
healthy weighted-average debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 2.25
times (x) based on the most recent financial reporting available.
Nine loans, representing 8.7% of the pool, have been fully
defeased. As the pool is in wind-down with all loans maturing by
year-end, Morningstar DBRS has an overall positive outlook for the
refinance prospects for most of the underlying loans.
As of the April 2025 remittance, 51 of the original 72 loans
remained in the pool with an aggregate principal balance of $488.5
million, representing a collateral reduction of 31.8% since
issuance as a result of loan repayment, scheduled loan
amortization, and the liquidation of several loans. Pool losses to
date have totaled $15.4 million, eroding nearly half of the
first-loss Class G certificate. There are five loans, representing
26.3% of the pool, in special servicing.
Of the loans in special servicing, Patrick Henry Mall (Prospectus
ID#1, 11.5% of the pool), which is secured by the fee-simple
interest in one anchor box and the in-line retail space of a
mid-tier regional mall in Newport News, Virginia, is the primary
driver of Morningstar DBRS' projected liquidated losses. The mall's
owner and operator, Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust
(PREIT), emerged from bankruptcy through rounds of corporate
restructuring and consolidation in April 2024. The loan is
scheduled to mature in July 2025 and has been in special servicing
since March 2025, when PREIT advised the servicer that it would not
be able to secure a replacement loan by the maturity date. The
special servicer has obtained an updated appraisal value of $64.2
million as of May 2024, representing a nearly 60.0% decline from
the issuance appraisal value of $155.0 million. The reported
in-place cash flows have been precipitously below issuance levels
since 2016, with cash flow declines leveling off in 2021 and 2022
before turning back to negative with the YE2023 reporting, when the
net cash flow (NCF) was reported at $7.6 million, down from the
Issuer's NCF of $9.5 million. Morningstar DBRS' analysis of this
loan included a liquidation scenario based on a 15.0% haircut to
the May 2024 appraised value, resulting in a loss severity
approaching 45%.
The 580 Market loan (Prospectus ID#11, 3.2% of the pool) is secured
by a 31,325-square-foot office building in San Francisco. The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2025 because of a
monetary default. Performance has declined significantly over the
last several reporting periods, with the YE2024 financials
reporting a DSCR of 0.41x, compared with the YE2023 figure of 0.76x
and the Issuer's DSCR of 1.83x. Similarly, according to the
February 2025 rent roll, occupancy had declined to 38.4%, down
precipitously from 53% at YE2024, 74% at YE2023, and 100% at
issuance. Given the severe drop in performance since issuance,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed a liquidation scenario based on a 50.0%
haircut to the issuance appraisal, resulting in a loss severity of
nearly 70%.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2016-BNK1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded seven and affirmed seven classes of
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2016-BNK1 (WFCM 2016-BNK1)
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Classes B, C and X-B
were assigned Negative Rating Outlooks following their downgrades.
The Outlook for class A-S remained Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2016-BNK1
A-2 95000GAX2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 95000GAY0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 95000GBA1 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-SB 95000GAZ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95000GBD5 LT BBBsf Downgrade Asf
C 95000GBE3 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
D 95000GAJ3 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
E 95000GAL8 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
F 95000GAN4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
X-A 95000GBB9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 95000GBC7 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
X-D 95000GAA2 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-E 95000GAC8 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
X-F 95000GAE4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss has increased to 11.2% from 9.7% at Fitch's prior rating
action. Seven loans (29.7% of the pool) are considered Fitch Loans
of Concern (FLOCs), including one REO asset (7.1%).
The downgrades on classes B, C, D, E, X-B, X-D, and X-E reflect
increased pool loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating action,
primarily driven by sustained weak performance on the REO One
Stamford Forum asset, performance deterioration of the specially
serviced Brewers Hill and Riverside University Village loans. The
Negative Outlooks reflects possible future downgrades if there is
continued decline in performance of the FLOCs, particularly,
Pinnacle II and the Simon Premium Outlets loan.
Largest Increases in Loss: The largest increase in loss since
Fitch's last rating action is the REO One Stamford Forum asset
(7.1%), a 504,471-sf suburban office building located in Stamford,
CT. The loan transferred to special servicing in March 2019 for
imminent monetary default when major tenant Purdue Pharma filed for
bankruptcy due to lawsuits related to the opioid crisis. A
foreclosure sale was completed in October 2023. According to the
servicer, a resolution of the asset is expected in mid- to late
2026.
The asset was 51.1% occupied as of the March 2025 rent roll,
unchanged from April 2024, 51.7% at YE2023, 53.9% at YE2022 and
53.8% at YE2021.The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.02x as of the
trailing nine months ended September 2024, 0.21x at YE2023, -0.17x
at YE2022 and -0.02x at YE2021. Major tenants include Purdue Pharma
L.P. (25.3% of NRA, leased through December 2026), W.J. Deutsch &
Sons LTD. (9.1%, March 2027), AirCastle Advisor, LLC (6.5%, August
2028) and CBRE, Inc. (2.9%, December 2026). Per CoStar, the
property lies within the Stamford, CT CBD office submarket. As of
1Q25, submarket asking rents averaged $38.75 psf and the submarket
vacancy rate was 22.2%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 69.2% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a stress to the most recent (June 2024)
appraisal valuation, reflecting a stressed value of $92 psf.
The second largest increase in loss since Fitch's last rating
action is the Brewers Hill (4.6%) loan, which is secured by a
382,213-sf mixed use property with office, self-storage and retail
components) located in Baltimore, MD. The property's largest
tenant, Canton Self Storage (29.3% of NRA, leased through May 2045)
is sponsor affiliated. The loan recently transferred to special
servicing in March 2025 due to a monetary default.
The property was 76.0% occupied as of the December 2024
servicer-provided rent roll, compared to 74.8% as of December 2023
rent roll. The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.63x as of trailing
nine months ended September 2024, 0.73x at YE 2023, compared with
0.92x at YE 2021, 1.05x at YE 2020 and 1.64x at issuance. The loan
reported $2.7 million or $7.1 psf in total reserves as of the April
2025 financial reporting. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 35.1%
(prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a 9.25% cap rate
to the YE 2023 NOI, and factors in an increased probability of
default due to the loan's recent transfer to special servicing.
The third largest increase in loss since Fitch's last rating action
is the Riverside University Village (2.9%) loan, which is secured
by a 180,126-sf community shopping center located in Riverside, CA.
The property is anchored by major tenant ALOOK Cinemas (23.3% of
NRA, leased through September 2037).
Occupancy was reported at 78.5% as of YE 2024, down from 81.2% at
YE 2023, 88.3% at YE 2022 and 91.0% at YE 2021. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.26x at YE 2024, 1.24x at YE 2023,
1.33x at YE 2022 and 1.56x at YE 2021. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case
loss of 8.3% (prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a
9.0% cap rate and a stress to the YE 2022 NOI, and factors in an
increased probability of default due to the deterioration in
performance of the loan.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 remittance
reporting, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 9.6% to
$786.9 million from $870.6 million at issuance. Five loans (4.8% of
the pool) have been fully defeased. Twelve loans (41.5%) are
full-term IO, and 10 loans (28.9%) were partial-term IO, which have
all started amortizing.
Principal Loss and Interest Shortfalls: To date, the trust has
incurred $1.2 million in realized principal losses which have been
absorbed by the non-rated class G and risk retention class RRI.
Cumulative interest shortfalls totaling $2.4 million are impacting
the risk retention class RRI, non-rated class G, classes F and E.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch does not expect downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated
classes due to their high CE, position in the capital structure and
expected continued amortization and loan repayments. However,
downgrades may occur if deal-level losses increase significantly,
or interest shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
currently with Negative Outlooks class may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly from outsized losses on larger FLOCs
and/or more loans than expected experience performance
deterioration and/or default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to classes with Negative Outlooks in the 'BBBsf' and
'Bsf' categories are possible with further loan performance
deterioration of FLOCs, particularly One Stamford Forum, Simon
Premium Outlets, Pinnacle II and Brewers Hill loans, additional
transfers to special servicing, and/or with greater certainty of
losses on the specially serviced loans and/or FLOCs.
Downgrades to the distressed rated classes would occur should
additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, or
as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not expected given the upcoming maturity of the
majority of the loans in 2026 and potential for additional maturity
defaults and adverse selection, but are possible to the 'AAsf'
rated class with significantly increased CE, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and improved
performance on the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' and category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'Bsf' category rated classes could occur only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected, and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not likely, but may be possible
with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans
and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. H-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-5C4, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, series 2025-5C4 as follows:
- $4,006,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $50,000,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $353,091,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $407,097,000 (a) class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $58,156,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,079,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,808,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $109,043,000 (a) class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,312,000 (b) class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,312,000 (a)(b) class X-D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,316,000 (b)(c) class E-RR 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,451,000 (b)(c) class F-RR 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $5,815,000 (b)(c) class G-RR 'B+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $5,816,000 (b)(c) class H-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $24,717,144 (b)(c) class J-RR.
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Classes E-RR, F-RR, G-RR, H-RR and J-RR certificates comprise
the transaction's horizontal risk retention interest.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of May 27, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, the primary assets of which are 32 loans secured by 82
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$581,567,144 as of the cutoff date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, Citi Real
Estate Funding Inc., LMF Commercial LLC, Argentic Real Estate
Finance 2 LLC, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association.
The master servicer is Trimont LLC and the special servicer is
Rialto Capital Advisors, LLC. The trustee and certificate
administrator is Computershare Trust Company, N.A. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC is the operating advisor. The certificates follow
a sequential paydown structure.
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on May 12, 2025, the
balances for classes A-2 and A-3 were finalized. The initial
certificate balance of the class A-2 was expected to be in the
range of $0 to $200,000,000, and the initial aggregate certificate
balance of the class A-3 was expected to be in the range of
$203,091,000 to $403,091,000. The final class balances for classes
A-2 and A-3 are $50,000,000 and $353,091,000, respectively.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 22 loans
totaling 87.8% by balance. Fitch's resulting net cash flow (NCF) of
$56.6 million represents a 14.0% decline from the issuer's
underwritten NCF of $65.9 million.
Fitch Leverage: The pool leverage is in line with recent
multiborrower transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan to
value ratio (LTV) of 100.3% is worse than the 2025 YTD 2024
averages of 100.0% and 95.2%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF
debt yield (DY) of 9.7% is in line with the 2025 YTD and 2024
averages of 9.7% and 10.2%, respectively.
Shorter-Duration Loans: Loans with five-year terms constitute 100%
of the pool, whereas Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default (PD) than 10-year
loans, all else being equal. This is mainly attributed to the
shorter window of exposure to potential adverse economic
conditions. Fitch considered its loan performance regression in its
analysis of the pool.
High Pool Concentration: The pool is concentrated; the top 10 loans
in the pool make up 59.0% of the pool, which is only slightly lower
than the 2025 YTD and 2024 averages of 63.0% and 60.2%,
respectively. The pool's effective loan count is 21.4. Fitch views
diversity as a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the
overall loss for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Geographical Concentration: The transaction is less geographically
diverse compared to recent Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions.
The top three MSA concentrations are New York-Newark-Jersey City,
NY-NJ-PA (34.6%), San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA (9.7%), and
Boise City, IDA (8.2%). The pool's effective geographic count of
6.4 is lower than the YTD 2025 and 2024 averages of 9.6 and 9.8,
respectively. Pools with a greater concentration by geographic
region are at a greater risk of losses, all else equal. Fitch
therefore raises the overall losses for pools with effective
geographic counts below 15 MSAs.
The Fitch effective property type count is 4.7, which is in line
with the YTD 2025 and 2024 averages of 4.7 and 4.2, respectively.
Pools with a greater concentration by property type are at greater
risk of losses, all else being equal. Fitch raises the overall loss
for pools with effective property type counts below 5.0.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCC+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on its analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[] DBRS Reviews 127 Classes in 14 US RMBS Transactions
------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 127 classes in 14 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. Of the 14
transactions reviewed, 13 are classified as reperforming mortgages
and one as home equity line of credit. Of the 127 classes reviewed,
Morningstar DBRS upgraded its credit ratings on 46 classes and
confirmed its credit ratings on the remaining 81 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4dYkCn2
The Issuers are:
CIM Trust 2022-R2
MFA 2021-RPL1 Trust
CIM Trust 2020-R5
FIGRE Trust 2024-HE2
Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2020-3
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2020-RP1
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2021-RP4
BRAVO Residential Funding Trust 2020-RPL1
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2020-RPL1
Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2016-1
Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2020-2
Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2021-2
Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2017-1
Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2020-4
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating upgrades reflect positive performance trends and
increases in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
their new credit rating levels. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset-performance and credit-support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
[] DBRS Reviews 447 Classes From 14 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 447 classes from 14 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. Of the 14
transactions reviewed, eight are classified as prime mortgage
transactions, five are classified as agency credit-risk transfer
transactions and one is classified as a residential transition loan
transaction. Of the 447 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS upgraded
its credit ratings on 91 classes and confirmed its credit ratings
on 356 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/3SCMEdS
The Issuers are:
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-7
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-8
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-4
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-5
NYMT Loan Trust Series 2024-BPL2
SoFi Mortgage Trust Series 2016-1
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2021-DNA5
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2023-HQA2
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2022-HQA2
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2022-DNA5
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2023-HQA1
Wells Fargo Mortgage Backed Securities 2019-1 Trust
Wells Fargo Mortgage Backed Securities 2020-5 Trust
Wells Fargo Mortgage Backed Securities 2019-3 Trust
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating upgrades reflect a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604 ). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[] Fitch Upgrades 8 Classes From 12 National Collegiate Trusts
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded eight classes and affirmed 29 classes of
notes from 12 National Collegiate Student Loan Trusts (NCSLTs).
Fitch has also assigned Stable Rating Outlooks to seven classes.
The NCSLT trusts are collateralized by private student loans
originated by First Marblehead Corporation.
The upgrades are based on Fitch's assessment that the trusts'
litigation risk has eased following a voluntary dismissal of
litigation with prejudice by the Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau (CFPB) and the trusts on April 25, 2025.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2004-2/NCF Grantor
Trust 2004-2
B 63543PBA3 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C 63543PBB1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2005-1/NCF Grantor
Trust 2005-1
B 63543PBK1 LT CCCsf Upgrade CCsf
C 63543PBL9 LT Dsf Affirmed Dsf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2007-1
A-4 63543XAD1 LT B+sf Upgrade Csf
B 63543XAF6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543XAG4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 63543XAH2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2007-2
A-4 63543LAD7 LT Bsf Upgrade Csf
B 63543LAF2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543LAG0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 63543LAH8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2006-3
A-5 63543VAE3 LT BB+sf Upgrade CCsf
B 63543VAG8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543VAH6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 63543VAJ2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2006-1
A-5 63543PCD6 LT BB-sf Upgrade Csf
B 63543PCF1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543PCG9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2005-2/NCF Grantor
Trust 2005-2
A-5-1 63543PBU9 LT BB+sf Upgrade CCCsf
A-5-2 63543PBY1 LT BB+sf Upgrade CCCsf
B 63543PBW5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543PBX3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2005-3/NCF Grantor
Trust 2005-3
B 63543TAJ7 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543TAK4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2006-2
A-4 63543MAD5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B 63543MAF0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543MAG8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2003-1
B-1 63543PAJ5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 63543PAK2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2004-1
A-4 63543PAP1 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
B-1 63543PAS5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 63543PAT3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
National Collegiate
Student Loan Trust
2006-4
A-4 63543WAD3 LT BB+sf Upgrade Csf
B 63543WAF8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C 63543WAG6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 63543WAH4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
Transaction Summary
Credit enhancement for the upgraded classes has increased and their
payment profiles have improved under Fitch's rating scenarios since
the last review. Additionally, the dismissal of the CFPB lawsuit
against the NCSLT issuers has removed the risk of a judgment
pertaining to that lawsuit. The dismissal followed a long series of
litigation events, including the CFPB's enforcement action
initiated on Sept. 18, 2017, and subsequent rulings designating the
NCSLT issuers as "covered persons." The recent dismissal materially
reduced the risk of unforeseen monetary losses for the trusts. The
upgrades also reflect that the trusts have reserves for additional
litigation risks.
Despite these improvements, Fitch has maintained a rating cap of
'BB+sf' due to ongoing litigation risk. The dismissal of the CFPB
lawsuit on April 25, 2025, significantly reduced one source of
risk, but there is still potential for other future litigation.
Fitch will continue to monitor developments in the legal and
regulatory landscape very closely, particularly the Pennsylvania
Higher Education Assistance Agency (PHEAA) matter and other pending
litigation involving the CFPB or other parties. Fitch will update
its analysis and rating assumptions accordingly as additional
developments occur.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Ongoing Litigation Risk: The CFPB filed an action against the NCSLT
issuers in federal court on Sept. 18, 2017, alleging that the NCSLT
issuers, through the actions of their servicers and sub-servicers,
engaged in illegal student loan debt collection practices. The CFPB
also filed a consent judgment that it alleged the NCSLT issuers had
agreed to; however, this consent judgment was later denied on a
technicality. After several years of appeals and other judicial
developments, in March 2024 the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Third
Circuit ruled that the NCSLT issuers are "covered persons," subject
to the enforcement authority of the CFPB.
As of Jan. 16, 2025, the CFPB and the NCSLTs filed a proposed
stipulated judgment that, if entered by the court, would require
the trusts to pay the CFPB $2.25 million in monetary relief,
redress, and damages to affected student loan borrowers. This
filing followed an earlier 2024 ruling confirming that NCSLT
issuers are subject to the CFPB's enforcement authority.
A change in leadership at the CFPB occurred soon after the
commencement of the new federal administration. On April 25, 2025,
the CFPB and the NCSLT agreed to a voluntary dismissal, with
prejudice, of the lawsuit between the two parties. In Fitch's view,
the dismissal reduces the risk of unforeseen monetary losses.
However, the Third Circuit's ruling is not affected by the
dismissal, and the legal precedent remains, holding that the NCSLT
issuers are subject to the enforcement authority of the CFPB,
whether the CFPB chooses to exercise such authority or not. While
the CFPB under its current leadership has decided not to pursue
further litigation, there remains the possibility that new
litigation against the NCSLT issuers may be initiated in the
future. Fitch expects the senior notes rated 'Bsf' or above to be
paid off within the next two to three years.
Fitch upgraded the NCSLT 2005-2 A-5-1 notes, 2005-2 A-5-2 notes,
2006-1 A-5 notes, 2006-3 A-5 notes, 2006-4 A-4 notes, 2007-1 A-4
notes, 2007-2 A-4 notes, and the NCSLT 2005-1 B notes due to
increasing credit enhancement and the dismissal of the litigation.
On May 6, 2024, the CFPB and the trusts entered into a Stipulated
Final Judgment and Order to resolve, at its outset, an enforcement
action simultaneously filed by the CFPB against the trusts and the
PHEAA, which is the trusts' primary servicer, in the U.S. District
Court for the Middle District of Pennsylvania. The court granted
the payment of a $1.4 million supersedeas bond from the trusts to
show their ability and willingness to pay the agreed damages. Fitch
has applied a rating cap of 'BB+sf' due to the ongoing, albeit more
moderate, litigation risk.
Payment Structure: All the trusts are under-collateralized with
total parities of less than 100%. This is the most important rating
factor for classes rated 'CCC+sf' or below.
As of the distribution date of April 2025, the following senior
reported parities increased from January 2024: 198.44% from 157.21%
for NCSLT 2005-2, 159.02% from 136.11% for NCSLT 2006-1, 780.47%
from 245.55% for NCSLT 2006-3, 239.24% from 167.11% for NCSLT
2006-4, 152.51% from 130.64% for NCSLT 2007-1, and 133.64% from
119.70% for NCSLT 2007-2, respectively. While the senior reported
parities for NCSLT 2004-1 and NCSLT 2006-2 decreased from January
2024 due to under-collateralization: 33.24% from 61.31% for NCSLT
2004-1 and 66.89% from 74.71% for NCSLT 2006-1.
The senior notes benefit from subordination provided by the junior
notes. Parity levels for the senior notes have also increased due
to amortization, except for NCSLT 2004-1 and NCSLT 2006-2.
Collateral Performance:
As of the distribution date of April 2025, the NCSLT 2003-1, NCSLT
2004-1, NCSLT 2004-2, NCSLT 2005-1, NCSLT 2005-2, NCSLT 2005-3,
NCSLT 2006-1, NCSLT 2006-2, NCSLT 2006-3, NCSLT 2006-4, NCSLT
2007-1 and NCSLT 2007-2 pools have a weighted average (WA)
remaining loan term of 29 months, 33 months, 41 months, 46 months,
47 months, 51 months, 53 months, 53 months, 62 months, 59 months,
63 months, and 65 months, respectively.
Fitch has revised the assumption of constant default rate (CDR) to
5.00% for all rated NCSLTs. The recovery rate was assumed to be 0%
for all transactions considering lawsuit uncertainty between the
trusts and defaulted borrowers. Fitch assumed a 40% principal
repayment rate for NCSLT 2003-1 and NCSLT 2004-1, a 30% principal
repayment rate for NCSLT 2004-2, NCSLT 2005-1, NCSLT2005-2, NCSLT
2005-3 and NCSLT 2006-1, and a 20% principal repayment rate for
NCSLT 2006-2, NCSLT 2006-3, NCSLT 2006-4, NCSLT 2007-1 and NCSLT
2007-2, respectively.
Fitch applied a rating default multiple of 5.0x to the default
assumption at the 'AAAsf' rating level, mainly reflecting the
litigation risk and a low absolute base case default and the
potential for higher volatility between actual performance and base
case assumptions due to short weighted average remaining loan
term.
Operational Capabilities: PHEAA services roughly 98% of the trusts,
with Nelnet servicing the rest. US Bank N.A. acts as special
servicer for the trusts. Fitch believes all the servicers are
acceptable servicers of private student loans.
Uncertainty remains regarding the outcome of the pending
litigations filed on May 6, 2024, between transaction parties,
including PHEAA. However, Fitch believes this risk is addressed by
the rating cap at 'BB+sf' and Fitch's conservative assumptions on
defaults and recoveries.
ESG - Customer Welfare - Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security:
The trusts must comply with consumer protection-related regulatory
requirements such as fair/transparent lending, data security, and
safety standards.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Should the pending litigation result in unforeseen monetary
expenses, this could result in negative rating actions, depending
on the type, timing and size of such expenses.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Positive rating actions are not likely until there is resolution of
the outstanding litigation between the CFPB and the NCSLT trusts.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2003-1, 2004-1, 2004-2,
2005-1, 2005-2, 2005-3, 2006-1, 2006-2, 2006-3, 2006-4, 2007-1 and
2007-2 have an ESG Relevance Score of '5' for Customer Welfare -
Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security. This is due to compliance
with consumer protection related regulatory requirements, such as
fair/transparent lending, data security, and safety standards,
which has a negative impact on the credit profile and is highly
relevant to the ratings, resulting in capping the ratings at
'BB+sf'.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 14 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 10 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of four bonds from three US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by option ARM, prime jumbo and subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-16
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2016 Confirmed
at Ca (sf)
Issuer: GE-WMC Asset-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-1
Cl. A-1b, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 17, 2016
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2a, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2b, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2c, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: Global Mortgage Securitization 2004-A Ltd.
Cl. A1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. A2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. A3, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 18, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 18, 2016
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. X-A1*, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
The bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred a
missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 25 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 25 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). OBX 2022-INV3
Trust is backed by almost entirely agency eligible investor (INV)
mortgage loans. OBX 2021-J2 Trust, OBX 2022-J1 Trust and OBX
2023-J1 Trust are backed by almost entirely prime jumbo mortgage
loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: OBX 2021-J2 Trust
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-INV3 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Upgraded to A3 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-J1 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2023-J1 Trust
Cl. A-13, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 23, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 23, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 23, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continues to display
strong collateral performance, with no cumulative losses for each
transaction and a small percentage of loans in delinquencies. In
addition, enhancement levels for most tranches have grown
significantly, as the pools amortize relatively quickly. The credit
enhancement since closing has grown, on average, 1.17x for the
tranches upgraded.
No action was taken on the other rated class in these deals because
the expected loss on the bond remains commensurate with the current
rating, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, and credit enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 33 Bonds from 4 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 33 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). The collaterals
backing these deals consist primarily of prime jumbo and agency
eligible investor mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GCAT 2024-INV3 Trust
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-16, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-24, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-25*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Issuer: Oceanview Mortgage Trust 2021-INV1
Cl. A-19, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO21*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO22*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Oceanview Mortgage Trust 2021-INV3
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Issuer: Oceanview Mortgage Trust 2022-INV6
Cl. A-19, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO21*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO22*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO23*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO24*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
The transactions Moody's reviewed continue to display strong
collateral performance, with cumulative loss under 0.3% and a small
number of loans in delinquency. In addition, enhancement levels for
most tranches have grown significantly, as the pools amortized. The
credit enhancement for each tranche upgraded has grown by, on
average, 18% since closing.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 39 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 39 bonds from five US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). Bayview
Opportunity Master Fund VI Trust 2022-INV4 and Citigroup Mortgage
Loan Trust 2021-INV1 Trust are backed by almost entirely agency
eligible investor (INV) mortgage loans. Citigroup Mortgage Loan
Trust 2024-1, Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2021-1, and Rate
Mortgage Trust 2021-J2 are backed by prime jumbo and agency
eligible mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bayview Opportunity Master Fund VI Trust 2022-INV4
Cl. A-19, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO21*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO22*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO23*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO24*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 27, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2021-INV1
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-IO*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-IOW*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-IOX*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2W, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3-IO*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3-IOW*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3-IOX*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3W, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2024-1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-IO*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-IO*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Jul 31, 2024 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Issuer: Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2021-1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Rate Mortgage Trust 2021-J2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continues to display
strong collateral performance, with cumulative losses for each
transaction under 0.01% and a small percentage of loans in
delinquencies. In addition, enhancement levels for most tranches
have grown significantly, as the pools amortize relatively quickly.
The credit enhancement since closing has grown, on average, 1.21x
for the tranches upgraded.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bond remains commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features, and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 41 Bonds from 22 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 39 bonds and two
underlying bonds from 22 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Subprime mortgages issued by
multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Aames Mortgage Investment Trust 2005-1
Cl. M7, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2013 Affirmed C
(sf)
Issuer: ABFS Mortgage Loan Trust 2001-4, Mortgage-Backed Notes,
Series 2001-4
Cl. A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024 Downgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 21,
2014 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: MBIA Insurance Corporation (Downgraded to
Caa2, Outlook Negative on October 03, 2024)
Issuer: ABFS Mortgage Loan Trust 2002-1
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 19, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 19,
2012 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Ambac Assurance Corporation (Segregated
Account - Unrated)
Issuer: Aegis Asset Backed Securities Trust 2004-5
Cl. M2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2013 Affirmed
Caa2 (sf)
Cl. M3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 1, 2013 Affirmed
Ca (sf)
Issuer: AEGIS ASSET BACKED SECURITIES TRUST 2006-1
Cl. A2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Ameriquest Mortgage Securities Inc., Series 2002-C
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 29, 2011
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Ameriquest Mortgage Securities Inc., Series 2006-M3
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-W1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2011 Downgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2011
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-M1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-M2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 17, 2014
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-W2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Feb 18, 2014 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-W3
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 21, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-W4
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 17, 2014
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Trust 2006-W5
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 17, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE4
Cl. I-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2018
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE5
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2007-HE4
Cl. I-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 13, 2020
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. I-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jan 13, 2020
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A, Upgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Aug 7, 2013 Confirmed
at Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Centex Home Equity Loan Trust 2004-D
Cl. BF, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jun 8, 2012 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. MF-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 23, 2013
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CIT Home Equity Loan Trust 2003-1
Cl. B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2014 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: FBR Securitization Trust 2005-3
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: First Franklin Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-FF8
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2017 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 18, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Issuer: Fremont Home Loan Trust 2006-C
Cl. 1-A1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 9, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 48 Bonds From 4 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 48 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A
and prime jumbo mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-20
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-7, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-8, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-9, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-10, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-11, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-12, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-13, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-14, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-15, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-16, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-17, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-18, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-19*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-20, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-21, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-22*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-25*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-26, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-27, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-28*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-29*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-30, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-31*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-32*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-33, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-34, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-35, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-36, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-37, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. X*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-13ARX
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-16AX
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-9AR
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 56 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 56 bonds from three US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by option
ARM, and prime jumbo mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-15
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-6, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. X*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2021 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-OA4
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2007-4
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-8, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-13, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-18, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-19, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-20, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-21, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-22, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-23, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-24, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-25, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-26, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-27, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-28, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-29, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-30, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-31, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-32, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-33, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-34, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-35, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-36, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-37, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-38, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-41, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-45, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-46, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-47, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-50, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-51, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-52, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-55, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-56, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-57, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-58, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-59, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-60, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-61, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-62, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-63, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-64, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-65, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-71, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-72, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-73, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. X*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 70 Bonds From 14 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 70 bonds from 14 US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A,
option-ARM, prime and subprime mortgages issued by multiple
issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2006-4
Cl. I-A-1-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 14, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-A-1-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-A-2-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 16, 2013
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Investment Tr 2006-3
Cl. I-1A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 11, 2013
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Cl. I-1A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. I-2A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 11, 2013
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Cl. III-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 11, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Asset Backed Funding Corporation Asset-Backed Certificates,
Series 2006-OPT3
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 24, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 13, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jun 3, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Banc of America Alternative Loan Trust 2006-7
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2013
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Banc of America Funding 2006-H Trust
Cl. 5-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jan 19, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 6-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Carrington Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2005-FRE1
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-19
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-2*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-5, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-6, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-7, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. X*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017 Confirmed
at Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-21
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 9, 2016 Confirmed
at Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust Inc. 2006-WF2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2E, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2F, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: CSAB Mortgage-Backed Trust Series 2007-1
Cl. 1-A-1A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 9, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-1B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Feb 9, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-3A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Feb 9, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-6A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Feb 9, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-6, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-3*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-4*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-6*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-7, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-14, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-18, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-20, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-21, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-23, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-24, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-25, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-27, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3-A-28*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 19, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. D-P, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 10, 2013 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CSMC Mortgage-Backed Trust Series 2007-1
Cl. 1-A-1A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-1B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-1C, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-1D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 12, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CSMC Mortgage-Backed Trust Series 2007-3
Cl. 1-A-1A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 21, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-1B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 12, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. 1-A-6A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 21, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-IM3
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: GSR Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-OA1
Cl. 1A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2A-3A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2013
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] S&P Takes Various Actions on 260 Classes From 34 US RMBS Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 260 classes from 34 U.S.
RMBS transactions issued between 2019 and 2024. The review included
208 ratings that were placed under criteria observation (UCO) on
Feb. 21, 2025, following changes in its U.S. RMBS methodology. The
'AAA (sf)' ratings associated with these transactions were not
placed on UCO. The review yielded 122 upgrades and 138
affirmations. S&P also removed 208 ratings from UCO.
Analytical Considerations
S&P said, "Based on our updated criteria, we performed a credit
analysis for each mortgage pool using updated loan-level
information from which we determined foreclosure frequency, loss
severity, and loss coverage amounts commensurate with each rating
level, after which we applied our cash flow stresses where
relevant. We applied adjustments at the loan and pool levels when
warranted, including a reduction in the pool-level representation
and warranty (R&W) loss coverage adjustment factor in certain
instances, based on the updated criteria's regrouping of the
specific considerations that determine the factor. Specifically,
for the R&W, greater emphasis is given to mitigants such as
third-party due diligence, our assessment of the aggregation
quality and/or origination process, and the diversification of
contributing originators. We also applied the same mortgage
operational assessment and due diligence factors that were applied
at deal issuance.
"We incorporate various considerations into our decisions to raise,
lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative ratings
suggested by our projected cash flows. These considerations are
based on transaction-specific performance or structural
characteristics (or both) and their potential effects on certain
classes." Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance/delinquency trends;
-- Priority of principal payments;
-- Priority of loss allocation;
-- Tail risk;
-- Expected duration; and
-- Available subordination, credit enhancement floors, and/or
excess spread (where available).
Rating Actions
S&P said, "The upgrades primarily reflect the application of our
updated methodology and incorporate continued deleveraging since
the respective transactions benefit from low accumulated losses to
date and a growing percentage of credit support to the rated
classes. See the ratings list for more detail on the classes with
rating transitions that supplement the application of the updated
U.S. RMBS criteria as the primary driver of the changes.
"The affirmations reflect our projected credit support on these
classes, which we believe are sufficient to cover our projected
losses for those rating scenarios."
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://tinyurl.com/388ywj23
*********
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